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  • 8/12/2019 Pakistan Energy Growth

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    Chapter 14

    Energy

    Energy is the lifeline of an economy and is a vitalinput to sustain industrial, commercial and domesticactivities. Energy disruptions and energy shortagesnot only result in loss of economic growth andemployment but adversely affect social cohesion inthe society. Energy crisis in Pakistan had been

    brewing since 2007 and deepened in 2012 whichhugely negatively affected the economic growth andemployment. Absence of effective planning, an

    economically and financially viable strategy andincapacitated regulator resulted in supply-demandgap. The situation has been further compounded dueto high transmission and distribution losses,development of black-market for power anddeclining revenue collection. This led to persistentaccumulation of circular debt. Consequently, thefederal budget had to absorb huge quantum ofsubsidies to bridge the financial gaps in power sectorthreatening the fiscal stability on the one hand, andincreasing the public debt.

    Nevertheless, realizing the gravity of situation andimportance of energy for economic activities with

    particular emphasis on reviving the almost stalledindustrial sector, job creation and incomegeneration, the present government has put this issueon top of its economic reform agenda by pursuing acomprehensive plan to address these problems. Inthis context, government retired the circular debt (Rs480 billion) immediately after taking oath which

    added 1752 MW of electricity into the system. Inorder to resolve the issue on permanent basis,government developed National Power Policy(2013) which was announced to provide anaffordable energy in the country through efficientgeneration, transmission and distribution system. Itis expected that the policy will set Pakistan on atrajectory of rapid economic growth and socialdevelopment. More specifically, in order to reduce

    the cost of power generation to an affordableamount, a 84 MW New Bong Hydropower Project

    being the first hydro IPP in Pakistan/AJ & K hasbeen commissioned while 10.5 MW Gas BasedDavis Energen Project at Jhang started producingelectricity and is contributing to FESCO's Network.Likewise 2 x 660 MW Imported Coal based PowerProject at Port Qasim, Karachi has been inaugurated.

    In short, the government has realized the challengesfaced by Pakistan energy system. Thus efforts areunderway to reform existing energy system to

    actualize the energy sectors aspirations. It isprojected that by the end of the decade Pakistan willbe transformed from an energy deficient to aregional exporter of power while the efficiencyimprovements in transmission and distribution willdecrease the high cost of power to the end consumerwhich will bring prosperity and social developmentin the country.

    Box-1: Salient Features of National Power Policy 2013

    The Ministry of Water and Power has developed Power Policy to support the current and future energy needs of thecountry and to set Pakistan on a trajectory of rapid economic growth and social development. It will also address thekey challenges of the power sector in order to provide much needed relief to the citizens of Pakistan. To achieve thelong-term vision of the power sector and overcome its challenges, following nine goals have been set:

    i. Build a power generation capacity that can meet Pakistans energy needs in a sustainable manner.ii. Create a culture of energy conservation and responsibility

    iii. Ensure the generation of inexpensive and affordable electricity for domestic, commercial, and industrial use byusing indigenous resources such as coal (Thar coal) and hydel.

    iv. Minimize pilferage and adulteration in fuel supplyv. Promote world class efficiency in power generation

    vi. Create a cutting edge transmission networkvii. Minimize inefficiencies in the distribution system

    viii. Minimize financial losses across the systemix. Align the ministries involved in the energy sector and improve the governance of all related federal and provincial

    departments as well as regulators

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    218

    The main tari. To fullii. Toiii. Toiv. To

    14.1 PakistFigure beloverall en(Ministry oPetroleumcomponentfrom policimpacts theand laws foorganizatioElectricity(NEPRA)(OGRA).

    Fig-14.1:

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    2017 are:

    from 12c/unis from 25 peto 95 percent.

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    ess was ves to fullyibution ofaged by twearly 90s thrds marketge in the po

    ring in morovernment90s. The f

    unbundlingand com

    duced the Ppolicy was t policy resor, promotioprivatizatioprivate secter producinces havest in the enelability of

    of technincial goantees to tign direct indination plcal for thplicated sec

    ently, the gor is doneMangla da

    NCOs) geurces. The

    PPs (Indeper Plants) /d Power

    eration),

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    y slow anestablish ielectricity

    lve Area Elere was aeconomywer sectorprivate invintroducedrst visible sof WAPDleted in 1

    ower Policyo restructurlted in de-n of IPPs, r of selecte

    or has alsoion. Undeen given crgy sector.atural reso

    cal knowlernment the privateestment ann are reasoe provinceor.

    neration ofhrough hyds etc. whil

    erate electrivate secto

    ndent PowCPPs (CaptGeneration)ub Powe

    energy iser, gas, peries and s

    self. Prior t mainlys becominghandle ands decided

    lt in 1985,O) was in

    was uniqueowever, its

    it took th 1997. Tilwas coorctricity Boa

    shift in glohich led tof Pakistan.estment. Foumber of ptep in this d, the proce

    998. The

    of 1994. Ththe entire pegulation o

    estructuringcorporate

    ecome a mar 18thonsiderableowever, du

    urces in thdge, inabio providesector for

    the absencns which as to hand

    electricity bel sourcese generatioricity thror electricity

    er Plants),ve Power P, HPG (Hr Compan

    supplied totrochemical,me of it iso 1985, theonsisted odifficult forfinance theo bring the 1292 M

    itiated as a in Pakistan

    installation

    project 12l 1994, theinated andrds (AEBs).al thinkinga structuralhe idea waslowing thislicies in the

    irection wass started ingovernment

    e impetus oower sector.f the powerof WAPDentities. Tilljor player in

    mendment,utonomy to

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    y the publicike Terbela companiesgh thermalis generated

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    y Limited

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    (HUBCO)(KESC)company.generated bElectric Poinstitution

    of all geninfluence w

    In the thirdto energy

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    percent. Tpossibleminimum l

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    tion of suppcur throughoted that tucts does nheavily ininal price bjority of cce if deterto FY13 a ten as subsich higher t

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    sidy on thell not be abe market fof Rs 1.7 trsector an aof Diamer

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    Figure 14.

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    Source: Budget Wing

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    upply

    219

    ese years is

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    2 percent in

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    FY12

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    40

    50

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    MillionTOE

  • 8/12/2019 Pakistan Energy Growth

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    220

    pressure oterms of eefficient so

    14.2.1 Oil

    Overtimesources ofis highestrisks andeconomy.energy forincreasingThe priceincreased tan increaseits price in

    prices dom

    May 2014generatingincreased

    produced oproduced tprice of elKWh. In oIPP involvThat is thecircular demore thanoil reserves

    reserves wmillion baroil and 37recoverableon accountcrude oil rMarch FYcorrespond11 percentgrowth of

    barrels inmillion bar

    (MMCFD)

    akistan Eco

    domestic rfficiency, orce of prim

    here wasnergy supplhich has e

    brought neOil is mosPakistan, tontinuouslyf oil was $

    $ 110perbof almost h1995. Thisstically, es

    from Rs 9one unitanifold i.

    n furnace ohrough diectricity inther words,s a subsidyroot causet. Furtheralf of the

    . On June 3

    ere 1,102.6els(68 perc

    1.0 millionreserves. Fof importmained 44.14 comparng period lwhile loca

    12 percentJuly-Marchels in corre

    (-0.

    3,400

    3,500

    3,600

    3,700

    3,800

    3,900

    4,000

    J

    Figure14.

    Source: Mi

    nomic Surv

    sources ofil is still cry energy s

    changing py, still reliaposed theative repertly an impe price ofespecially

    10 per barrarrels in Mundred timealso led toalating to R

    er liter in 1at IPP th., Rs.18/-l and Rs.24el, while takistan isevery unitof Rs 9 toof the groore, Pakistariginal dom0, 2013, ori

    million bant) cumulatbarrel (32rther a hug

    of crude oi million ba

    d to 40.9st year pos

    l crude extas it stoodFY 14 co

    sponding pe

    9%) (0.4%)

    l Aug

    4:GasProdu

    istr of Petrole

    y 2013-14

    gas, howevonsidered applies.

    attern ince on oil ancountry tocussions oorted sourcwhich hasn last few yl in 1995y 2014 shos as comparn increase is 107 per lit

    995. The cormal plantper KWh/- per unithe averagebout Rs. 9/generated bRs 15 pering proble

    n has exhaestic recoveinal recove

    rels withve producti

    percent) bae amount is. The imporrel duringillion barre

    ting a growaction postat 23.0 m

    mpared toriod last ye

    (5.0%)

    (-0.7

    Sep Oc

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    bel

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    esources

    etary valueort of petroon in correth 6.2 perc

    izing the ri

    use of pestan is tryis on Janisionally aks to eightign compant 103,348

    he area alrks, 21 blocab, 8 in Kr executionoration acti

    entum ancial benefils. During t

    s have beemade. Altly yet duesubstitutedce of energ

    .2 Gas

    original

    ral gas wer. 30.9 trilli

    ulative propercent)n comparedatural gason cubic fec feet of n

    parison of gent year anw:

    -0.8%)

    (-4.1%

    Dec Jan

    s, US $ 4.leum crudeponding pent.

    sk and cha

    troleum crung to explary 21,arded 50

    companies ies. The totaq. Kms whady unders are locatyber Pakhtof agreemeities in the

    provincets in termshe current fi spudded aough oil isto continuooil in mansupplies.

    omestic r

    55.6 trillioon cubic feuction andas balancwith domen June 30,

    et which reatural gasas productio last year i

    ) (-4.2%)

    Feb

    20121

    3 billion wcompared t

    riod last ye

    lenges invo

    de, the Gore domesti

    2014 thepetroleumncluding bol area of thch is arounexploration.d in Balucnkhwa andts for thes

    country wil

    will getof social

    scal year, 7nd 18 discefficient pris rise in it ways bein

    coverable

    n cubic feetet (56 perc24.7 trillio recoverabstic recovera

    2012, thesresent thateserve aren during Juls shown in

    (-2.3%)

    (0.5

    Mar April

    20131

    s spent ono US $ 4.0r posting a

    lved due to

    ernment oc resources.governmentexploration

    th local andse blocks is38 percent

    Out of 50istan, 15 in6 in Sindh.blocks, thepick a new

    immediateelfares andnumbers overies haveary energy

    prices, gasg a cheaper

    reserves o

    on June 30nt) was the cubic feete reserves.

    ble reserves were 56.00.38 trilliondepleted. April forFigure 14.4

    )

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    Energy 221

    The worrisome factor is that our gas reserves aredepleting and if gas consumption grows annuallyeven at moderate rates, the present recoverablereserve will largely be exhausted by 2025. As thislimit approaches the marginal cost of gas supplieswill rise.

    To avoid such a situation we have two choices:efficient use of gas and an increase in the gasexploration rate along with diversification of energymix. Realizing this fact, the government is attractingforeign investment to explore new fields. Althoughexploring of natural gas is sub-component of miningand quarrying, yet on a positive note it should benoted that both private and public gross fixed capitalformation in mining and quarrying at basic prices of2005-06 had shown positive growth of 25 percent inFY 14 that earlier had declined to 14 percent in FY13.

    Increasing demand of natural gas with its limitedsupply has made room for Liquefied Petroleum Gas(LPG) which is also a primary source of energy.Currently about 1000 tons/day LPG is being

    produced domestically contributing less than 1percent to the total energy supply mix. Because ofits characteristics LPG is fast becoming a fuel ofchoice in the areas, where natural gas distributionnetwork is not available. Pakistan PetroleumLimited (PPL) is the pioneer of the natural gasindustry in the country which operates six producingfields in Sui, Kandhkot, Adhi, Mazarani, Chacharand Hala while Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority(OGRA) is empowered to regulate the LPG sectorunder OGRA Ordinance 2002 and LPG (Production& Distribution) Rules 2001 w.e.f 15th March, 2003.OGRA has simplified the procedure for grant ofLPG license and the same is granted on fast track

    basis once the requirements are met / compiled.During July-Dec, 2013 two licenses for constructionof LPG storage and filling plants were issued. In

    addition, OGRA has also issued 15 licenses forconstruction of LPG auto refueling station. OGRA isplaying a vital role to increase private investment onmidstream and downstream petroleum industry,During July- December, 2013 an investment of Rs.0.264 billion has been made in LPG infrastructurewhereas total investment in the sector till end of thisfiscal year is estimated about Rs. 17.464 billion.

    Natural gas and LPG are considered as cheaper thanoil but both are expensive than coal and fortunatelyPakistan has huge coal resources estimated to exceed

    185 billion tons which generally ranks from ligniteto sub-bituminous. However, less focus has beengiven to this cheaper primary energy supply.

    14.2.3 Coal

    The share of coal in energy supply is almost stagnantto 6 percent since 1995. The federal and provisionalgovernments have started giving importance to coalexploration and development activities. The federal

    government has been striving hard for optimumdevelopment and utilization of indigenous coalresources and pursuing the policy of promoting coal

    based power generation. A summary of the effortsmade in this regard is presented below:-

    i. The federal government sponsored discoveryand evaluation of Thar coal deposits,development of infrastructure in this coal-field and studies to determine its mine abilityand for gasification incurring more than Rs2.000 billion.

    ii. Lakhra Coal Development Corporation hasbeen set up as a joint venture of PakistanMineral Development Corporation, WAPDAand Government of Sindh to fulfill coalrequirement of 150 MW Khanote PowerPlant.

    iii. The Finance Division has sponsored underPSDP a pilot project for Underground CoalGasification at Thar Coal Block- V.

    iv. Federal Government is pursuing the policy ofpromoting coal based power generation andconversion of oil and gas-based power plantsto indigenous/imported coal that would lateron, be replaced by Thar coal depending uponits availability.

    Government of Sindh has leased out a coal block foran integrated mining project and power generation toincrease the share of coal. The details are as under:-

    a) Government of Sindh has entered into a jointventure with M/s Engro Powergen (Pvt)Limited for Coal Mining in Block-II and

    established a Company under Companies Act,1984 viz. Sindh Engro Coal MiningCompany for development of Coal Mine andinstallation 600-1000 MW Power Plant.

    b) M/s Cougar Energy UK limited has beenallocated Block-III in Thar coalfield forextraction Underground Coal Gasification andestablishing 400 MW Power Plant.

    c) M/s Bin Daen Group, UEA has been allocatedBlock-IV in Thar coalfield for developingCoal Mine and installing 1000 MW PowerPlant.

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    224 Pakistan Economic Survey 2013-14

    the unsustainable level of circular debt there was1752 MW increase in capacity utilization.

    To diversify the primary energy supply in thegeneration, Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission(PAEC) produce electricity through nuclear plants.

    By this time three nuclear power plants areoperational. The first nuclear power plant i.e.Karachi Nuclear Power Plant (KANUPP) completedits 30 years design life in 2002.

    14.2.5 Nuclear Energy

    Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission (PAEC) isresponsible for planning, construction and operationof nuclear power plants in the country. PAEC iscurrently operating three nuclear power plantsKarachi Nuclear Power Plant (KANUPP), Chashma

    Nuclear Power Plant Unit-1 (C-1) and Unit-2 (C-2).The construction of two more units C-3 and C-4 of340 MW each is in progress. The second and thirdnuclear power plants i.e., (C-1 and C-2) are

    performing very well. Performance of all three

    operating nuclear power plants is given in thefollowing Table 14.3:

    Table 14.2: Electricity generation

    S.No Source Capacity addition(MW)

    IPPS Fuel Operated Plants1 KAPCO 282

    2 HUBCO (RFO) 363

    3 HUBCO Narowal(RFO)

    204

    IPPS Gas Operated Plants

    4 Liberty (Gas) 193

    5 Saif Power (Gas &HSD)

    56

    6 Halmore (Gas &HSD)

    48

    GENCOs

    7 Jamshoro (RFO) 388

    8 Guddu (Gas) 136

    9 Muzaffargarh (RFO) 82

    Total 1,752

    Source: Ministry of Water and Power

    Table 14.3: Performance of the Operating Nuclear Power Plants in Pakistan

    Plants Gross Capacity (MW) Grid Connection Data Electricity sent to Grid (million KWh)

    July 1, 2014 to

    March 31, 2014

    Lifetime upto March

    31, 2014

    KANUPP 100 18-Oct-71 291 13,004

    C-1 325 13-Jun-00 1,840 26,781

    C-2 330 14-Mar-11 1,866 6,096Source: Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission

    The construction of fourth and fifth nuclear plants,Chashma Nuclear Power Plant unit 3 & 4 (C-3 andC-4) at Chashma site, is ahead of the schedule. TheDomes on containment buildings of C-3 and C-4were placed on the 6th March, 2013 and 2ndJanuary, 2014, respectively. Status of underconstruction nuclear power plant is given in thefollowing Table 14.4:

    Table 14.4: Status of under construction nuclearpower plant

    Plants Gross

    Capacity

    (MW)

    First

    Concrete

    Pour Date

    Target

    Commercial

    Operation

    Date

    C-1 340 4-Mar-11 30-Apr-16

    C-2 340 18-Dec-11 31-Dec-16

    Source: Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission

    PAEC is implementing nuclear power program 2030set by Energy Security Plan of the Government of

    Pakistan. The ground breaking ceremony of KarachiCoastal Power Project (K-2 and K-3) was held on26th November, 2013. To meet the targets, sites are

    being identified for more under power plants.

    Technical and engineering infrastructure is in placeto provide technical support to existing underconstruction and future nuclear power plants

    One reason of energy crises is expensive input and iftimely efforts are not made for cheaper energy mix,the problem can be more severe in future. Thegovernment is committed to achieve less oildependent power generation mix through

    development of indigenous energy resourcesparticularly hydel and coal. Recently, the ExecutiveCommittee of the National Economic Council(ECNEC) approved four development projects in

    power sector having a combined generation capacityof 3,511 MW. The approved projects include K-Iand K-II Nuclear Projects situated in Karachi(Province of Sindh; generation capacity 2,200 MW),

    Nandipur (Province Punjab; generation capacity 425MW; cost Rs 57,380 million) and Neelum-Jhelumhydroelectric project (AJK; generation capacity 969MW). Government of Pakistan is committed to

    arrange timely finances for these projects andmonitor their development regularly in order tocomplete them as per schedule. Also one other

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    Energy 225diversification in using energy mix in the generationof electricity is by producing electricity by Co-Generation for which government is seriouslythinking. Co-Generation is a high efficiency energysystem that produces both electricity (andmechanical power) and valuable heat from a single

    fuel source. Pakistan being the fifth largestsugarcane producer in the world has the potential togenerate electricity of almost 2,000 MW throughCo-Generation. Bagasse (process waste of sugarindustry) is a fibrous residue of cane stalk obtainedafter crushing. When burned in quantity, bagasse

    produces sufficient heat energy to supply all theneeds of a typical sugar mill, with energy to spare.To this end, a secondary use of bagasse is in Co-Generation. Development of Co-Generation plants

    based on high pressure boilers is gaining momentumworldwide. Thus Co-Generation by sugar mills by

    utilizing bagasse and coal provides one of the mosteconomically viable options for thermal powergeneration, earlier it remained unexploited inPakistan.

    14.3.Energy Consumption

    Energy consumption is the amount of energy left forfinal use after subtracting energy lost intransformation and distribution from primary energysupplies. It is considered as the oxygen of aneconomy and the lifeline of the economic growth

    particularly in the industrialization stage of anemerging economy. The importance of energy

    consumption in the economic growth can be realizedfrom the fact that the excessive productivityslowdown around the world in 1970s which was

    primarily due to oil crises. Prior to 1970s, economicgrowth and prosperity of a country in the long rundepends on the basic factors of production like labor,

    capital and land. Economists mostly link therelationship between these factors of production andeconomic output through the production functions.However, for considerable amount of time,economists did not consider energy as a factor of

    production and ignore its importance in theproduction process. Arrows learning by doing andHicks induced innovation did not include resourcesor energy explicitly in their models. However lately,the geological economists have given energy a keyrole in the production process. They placed hugeemphasis on the role of energy and its availability in

    the production and growth processes. These modelshave shown that scarcity of energy imposes a stronghindrance in the economic growth of a country.Similarly is the case of Pakistan. In past, Pakistani

    policy maker and planners had given less importanceto energy in development plan. During period ofhigher economic growth, failing to implement

    proper energy plans for addressing future needs ofthe country resulted in cyclical pattern in theirrelationship. The fluctuation in energy consumptionaffected the large scale manufacturing growth whichin turn affected the real GDP growth as shown infigure below:

    During FY 13 energy consumption was 40,185million TOEs compared to 40,026 million TOEs inFY 12 showing a growth of 0.4 percent. The currentfiscal year much improvement has been seen ineconomic activity due to better available energy for

    usage on account of relatively less losses intransformation and distribution as compared to lastyear.

    Although by source gas has the major share inenergy consumption, however, since 2008 its shareis almost stagnant 43 to 44 percent and due to rise in

    prices of oil there is decline in its share in energyconsumption.

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    1995-96

    1996-97

    1997-98

    1998-99

    1999-2000

    2000-01

    2001-02

    2002-03

    2003-04

    2004-05

    2005-06

    2006-07

    2007-08

    2008-09

    2009-10

    2010-11

    2011-12

    2012-13

    2013-14

    %

    Years

    Fig-14.7: Relationship between growth rate of Real GDP, LSM and Energy Consumption

    GDP (fc)

    LSM

    Energy Consumption

    Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, Economic Adviser's Wing, HDIP

  • 8/12/2019 Pakistan Energy Growth

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    226

    14.3.1 Oil (

    Transportsector in tHowever, dincrease inshare increof oil in treason is t

    Source: Hyd

    During Julconsumptiowhile shar0.8 and 0.compared t

    During FYwas US $ 1it was 19.

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    Power41.1

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    S

    akistan Eco

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    0%

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    ercenagea

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    Figure14.8

    Source: Hydroca

    Households0.5

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    ectors remaf oil / petro decade tf oil in po

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    Figure 14.9:

    opment Institu

    Y 14, shared by 1.7t and induse point, reng July M

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    petroleumetroleum crrt bill of pe

    2008

    :EnergyCon

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    arch FY 13

    y 2013-14

    ined the hioleum prodere is signier sector a013 whilest stagnantial transport

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    mption of Oi

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    ible shift tld decline tThe declinestry couldower shortosition ofvariant fr

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    decrease in

    prices ofwas globalchange inwhich refl

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    14.3.2 Nat

    Pakistan ishouseholdsmajor endof consumThere wasfertilizer i

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    Source: Hydr

    14.3.3 Elec

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    value of peetroleum princrease inits consumct that petr

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    the larger, power, feser of gas. Ition of gassharp decldustry whi

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    Power27.5

    re of sectors

    Ju

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    1995-96

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    Fig-14.1

    Source: H

    troleum prooducts glob

    price of pettion patteroleum crud

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    last two damong itsine in gasch had ner sector. Inction in gaGPL-base

    gas crisisFigure

    pment Institut

    ctricity hasg all sourcelogical advnt change

    lical relatielectricity

    in Consum(%)

    ly-March FY 13

    1996-97

    1997-98

    1998-99

    : Relationsh

    and elec

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    duct is declally. Evenoleum crud had beene is an ine

    of the gas.industry arcades the pasers is chaconsumptioatively affFY 13, thes supply wafertilizer pl

    which caus4.10: Share

    of Pakistan

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    1999-00

    2000-01

    2001-02

    ip between g

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    2002-03

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    Year

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    ption

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    umption of

    Power26.1

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    7.0

    Share of s

    2005-06

    2006-07

    2007-08

    s

    P (fc)

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    h was 15year. Thisthe governr industryowever, thing as pow

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    (%)

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    -

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    Electricity Co

    GDP (fc)

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    ercent in cmajor upturment to prnd fertilizer usage of gr industry cere was inctransport,

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    gher growthelectricityse that growproductionods. Likeely affect t

    shown bel

    H

    sumption of

    14

    2012-13

    2013-14

    sumption

    227

    ction. Fourk, includingw plant and of the gashe share oincreased to

    rrespondingwas due tovide gas toindustry onas in powern substitute

    rease in theowever duethere wereG that had

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    Fertilizer19.0

    Gas

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    228

    The loweroccurred dgrowth inwill lower t

    Prior to usectors exconsumptiohousehold.

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    made the sincreased t1993. Inconsumptio10 percentransformatindustrialagriculturealmost 26significant

    14.3.4 Coa

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    akistan Eco

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    oal general. Coal cont 39.1 perchas been ut

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    pectively. Awitched ovzation of.

    s huge coaltons; in

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    due to

    0

    1993

    1998

    2003

    2008

    2013

    Years

    Fig14.1

    Source: Hyd

    nomic Surv

    ectricity corowth mo

    of electricif GDP in n

    f WAPDAange in

    especiallyf industry dercent in 20g own capease in us technologi

    ntial electri in 2013 frriculture sfrom 15 pthis sho

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    sumption centum and lty in one pxt period. P

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    0%

    5%

    10%

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    35%40%

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    Figur

    lans to a electricityn GDP whf growth in

    ever, durinshare of elo that in clow:

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    50%

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    Energy 229act as a central agency for development and

    promotion of Alternative & Renewable Energy(ARE) technologies in the country and to facilitatethe private sector investment in this sector.

    Steps Taken By AEDB to Attract Investment in

    the Sector

    AEDB has undertaken a number of supportivemeasures in order to promote ARE technologies andto attract private sector investments, which include;

    Identification of new corridors for wind and solarenergy projects development. Resourceassessment of these corridors is underway.

    National Grid Code for wind power projects hasbeen amended. Grid Integration Plan 2010 -2015for wind power projects has been developed byAEDB to support NTDC.

    Local manufacturing of micro wind turbine hasbeen started. Manufacturing for large windturbines is also being encouraged. M/s DESCONhas setup a wind turbine tower manufacturingfacility and has provided towers for the first wind

    project in Pakistan. M/s Three GorgesCorporation / CWE (China) has also established atower manufacturing facility which will beupgraded to wind turbine assembling facility infuture.

    Issues related to financing of projects have beenresolved and now leading financing agencies likeInternational Finance Corporation (IFC), AsianDevelopment Bank (ADB), Overseas PrivateInvestment Corporation (OPIC), EconomicCooperation Organization (ECO), Trade Banketc. are offering financing to wind power projectsin Pakistan.

    14.4.1 Wind

    Thirty five wind power IPPs holding LOIs issuedby AEDB are at various stages of projectdevelopment.

    Operational (Achieved Commercial OperationsDate) FFC Energy Limited: 49.5 MW wind project,

    Jhampir, Distt. Thatta, Sindh Zorlu Enerji (Pvt.) Ltd. 56.4 MW wind

    project, Jhampir, Distt. Thatta, Sindh.

    Under Construction 50 MW Three Gorges First Wind Farm

    Pakistan (Pvt.) Ltd., Jhampir Sindh 50 MW Foundation Wind Power I Ltd.

    Khuttikun, Gharo, Sindh 50 MW Foundation Wind Power II (Pvt.)

    Ltd., Khuttikun, Gharo, Sindh

    Twelve projects with a cumulative capacity of630 MW are expected to achieve Financial Close

    by 2014.

    NERPA announced a new upfront tariff of UScents 13.5244 per kWh on 24th April 2013 for500 MW wind power projects. The wind powercompanies interested in opting Upfront Tariffwill have to achieve Financial Close of their

    project by September 30, 2014.

    14.4.2 Solar

    In Solar Energy, 24 LOIs for cumulative capacityof approximately 792.99 MW On-Grid Solar PV

    power plants have been issued. Four (4)companies have submitted the feasibility studiesof their projects and one feasibility study isapproved by AEDB. Other sponsors are at thestage of preparation of feasibility studies

    Solar Village Electrification Program wasinitiated under PMs directive. 3000 Solar HomeSystems have been installed in 49 villages ofdistrict Tharparkar, Sindh. Another 51 villages inSindh and 300 villages in Baluchistan have beenapproved for electrification using solar energyand will be implemented shortly.

    AEDB in light of SRO 575(1)12006 issued dutyexemption certificates for a large number of solar

    panels / solar modules to private sectorcompanies for installation / generation of almost

    64.57MW of energy in the country. These solarpanels / solar modules are deployed all over thecountry.

    AEDB issued tax exemption certificate forimport of almost 16715 units of Solar WaterHeaters in the country. These heaters aredeployed all over the country especially inBaluchistan, Gilgit-Baltistan, KhyberPakhtunkhwa and Northern Punjab.

    AEDB also issued tax exemption certificate forimport of about 1429 units of Solar Water

    Pumping System in the country. These waterpumping systems are installed for communitydrinking and agriculture purpose all overPakistan.

    14.4.3 Biomass / Waste-to-energy

    Framework for power Co-Generation has beenapproved by ECC for bagasse/biomass based sugarindustry projects. 1500-2000 MW of power isexpected to be generated in next 2-3 years. LOIs has

    been issued to following investors / sugar millsunder this framework;

    M/s JDW Sugar Mills Unit-II (26 MW), RahimYar Khan, Punjab.

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    230 Pakistan Economic Survey 2013-14

    M/s JDW Sugar Mills Unit-III, (26 MW),Ghotki, Sindh.

    M/s Hamza Sugar Mills Ltd., (15 MW) M/s RYK Sugar Mills Ltd., (19 MW) Rahim

    Yar Khan, Punjab. M/s Chiniot Power Plant, (15 MW), Chiniot,

    Punjab.

    14.4.4 Small / Mini / Micro Hydro

    Eight hydro projects have been initiated under theRenewable Energy Development SectorInvestment Program (REDSIP) with the supportof Asian Development Bank (ADB). These

    projects are being implemented in KhyberPakhtunkhwa and Punjab with an estimated costof US $ 290 Million.

    Another 02 small hydro power projects have beeninitiated under REDSIP. PC-I for these projectshave been approved. Loan approval from ADB isawaited.

    The Government of Punjab issued LOIs toprivate investors for establishment of 10 smallhydro projects with a cumulative capacity of 142MW at different location in Punjab.

    AEDB is building capacities for private sectorinvestment in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (22 projectsof cumulative 92 MW capacity throughPakhtunkhwa Hydel Development Organization

    (PHYDO) and Punjab (30 projects of cumulative240 MW capacity through Energy Department /Punjab Power Development Board (PPDB).

    AEDB initiated a program with the assistance ofGIZ support to assist the provinces solicit privateinvestments in small hydro sector; under this

    program Pre-Feasibility Studies for 25 hydrosites in AJK, Sindh, Punjab and KhyberPakhtunkhwa with the cumulative capacity of284.14 MW have been completed.

    Public sector Hydro power projects initiated in: Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (worth U$ 150.99

    Million, of 17.0MW, 36.6MW and 2.6 MW) Punjab (worth U$ 138.74 Million, of

    5.38MW, 4.04MW, 2.82MW, 4.16MW and7.64MW)

    Gilgit-Baltistan(worth U$ 71.12 Million, of26MW and 4MW).

    14.4.5 Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)

    CDM is one of the instruments that developers of theAlternative and Renewable Energy (ARE) Projects

    pursue and earn financial returns by getting theirprojects registered with CDM Executive Board andselling the accrued Certified Emission Reduction(CER) certificates in the international carbonmarket.

    Way Forward

    Realizing the criticality of energy for economicgrowth, it is the main focus of Pakistan Vision 2025.The vision aims at ensuring uninterrupted access toaffordable and clean energy for all sections of the

    population and aimed at resolving structural changeswithin the energy sector are fundamental to futureeconomic prospects. The main elements of thisvision include:1. Optimize energy supply mixeconomic,

    scalable, indigenous by 2025

    2. Reduce cost per unit3. Reduce supply gap by 2018 and exceed demandgap by 2025

    4. Create and encourage culture of conservationand efficiency in the usage of energy

    Nonetheless, these projects have long digestionperiod and would come in to system in few years. Itis also highlighted that through efficient reallocationof natural gas based on economic sense is essentialto get best value for money.