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551. 465.11 : 551.513 (267) A numerical modelling study of the interannual l'ariability in the Indian Ocean S. K. BEHERA and P. S. SALVEKAR Indian Institute of Tropical M eteorology, Pune (Received 9 March 1994, Modified 15 November 1994) om- It'< 'IWm!'1t (24" 00-23" 3:0;it{ 35" 'l0- I IS" "'" >l' ".".,IIi .. oltoffRn '"' '"""'"' m", >m1 'l"'" 'IWm!'1t f!I<" dI1 m "'" itI (II f.lnf ill 1'1l7" 1986l1ll nil> "' Jl1fllas """ """ <rflom '"' .- "' .,., ill .,q" "'" it, ... (II f!I<" lIll ... O'lllll <It<<<I Jl1fllas '"'" """ .. "'" lOAA<I "'" ... It'< 'IWm!'1t "' "'" "' '07. "' aritIast>m: <mm (lIil 31'1"'1 l'Il illlid' ;it{ 1lIm "' "'" ltl 9 lltoI\ "' afl>ast" 'ITiI' """" ""' . liI<mi ""'"" M 'l""" toto wmalr;it{ ..... lIll ill 'J"1dITt 'l1a ( ...... ) ill """" ",",",iii•. oltoffRn dI1llffi ........ it I '"'""'""'" ofto la<n '" '"""'"' m", 1978 9 1983 ""' ", " : (6) 'o.fl!as ..t "" 1979 ;it{ 1982 ", 0\ """ """f' ..t,j\ fII!lm it I ", utl "' i'JI' lIll i'lf'l 9 llffi ........ it ...... """f' ..., iI('l""" tIfl! afl>as """ i onria; " """f' ..a ill d1illl!l was m lIMll .m..- "' am lIll ., .... "'" 'It i I ..... """f' ..., iI( '""'" "'" ill <fl<wII 'J"1dITt 9 om <fl<wII " "''' iI( ""'" 9 afl>as """ "'" QIll1 "'" it I <fl<wII 'J"1dITt "' '" ill '"'" WI: "' ""'" dIl it I <fl<wII -mt It\ 'J"1dITt 'l1a ('""'l:) lltoI\ ill ..a lIll ill " 'o.fl!as """'" ...or ill oltoffRn dIl lllII """' itI ABSTRACT. A simp le reduced .ravity wind-driven ocean circulation model i. used to stud y the Intennnu al variability in the upper layer of the Indian Ocean (24-5-2rN and J S-& Il's -E). The monthly mean wind stress for me period Im·l986 are used as. forcin& in the model. The model reproduces most of the observed CeatureJ of the annual qcle of the upper layer in the Indi an Oceea when wu for- ced with me ten-yea r a we raae monthly mean wind. The ci rwlation feature•• nd the mod el upp er layer th ick- ness Ibow considerable interannual variability in most part of the buin; in particular, the Somali Curre nt, the bu in wide so u thern hem isphere I)ft. th e Equatorial Curre nu and the I)T'eS in the &y of Denial . Six conllocu th' e )'I:an atartina from 1978 to 1983 which include two bad mOn300n yr:an of 1979 and 1982 are c:hoaen to stud y the interan nual variability. February ci rwlalion field .hoWi stronger Equ atori al Coun ter CUrrenu in bad mcnscon yean., Mlere u. the currents north of Madap scar nowina up to th e African coalt are found to be . ronae!' in aood montoon yean. The IOUthward return now from the Southern Gyre in AullJa it drone and more to IlOUth em 1.tituda hi the bad monsoon yean. The flow circulated eastward to form another eddy euI of Sou th e m G)1"e. The buin ";de on: of the south ern hem isphere (SH) sho ws less variability in two CODJl:eutiw normal ye an than in c:onlrUlina yean. K.r, woNi - Reduced I n vity, Tn nsport, Indian Ocean. CiraJ)ation. Interannual variability. t, Introduction Following the work of Cox (1970), in the last two decade. there have been considerable mathemati- cal modelling work Cor the Indian Ocean. Q . Luther et aL (1985), Luther lit. 0' Brien (1989), McCn:ary lit. Kundu (1988), Das et 01. (1987) and Jensen (1990).COI (1970) used a thn:e dimeD5ional oceanic general circulation model with se""n le""ls in ""mcal din:ction, when:as, most oC the othe r "Orken used layer models with assumption oC one or mon: active layen over an infinitely deep motion- leu layer. These layer models with leu vemc al n:solution and les" prognostic equations n:quire n:latively small computational n:sources compan:d to oceanic ll"neral circulation models . These mod'e" do not include prognostic thermohaline (409) equatio ns, bu t due to their computational efficiency they can be used Cor several numerical experiments to study their sensitivity to various forcings, boun- dary co:tditions and geometries. These models can also be modified to include additional physics, e.g.• Zebiac and Cane (1987) adde d a mixed layeroC con- stan t depth with thermodynamics on the top oC the upper layer and coupled the ocean model 10 a sim- ple almosphen: model (Gill 1980) to study Ihe ENSO phenomenon. Luther et 01. (1985) using a one and half layer model with two difTen:nl wind Corcings simulated n:alistically the Somali Current and the associa ted gyn: system, Luther lit. O· Brien (1989) using 23-year mean mont hly wind data '(Cadet and Diehl 1984) showed the interannual variability in Somali

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551.465.11 : 551.513 (267)

A numerical modelling study of the interannual l'ariabilityin the Indian Ocean

S. K. BEHERA and P. S. SALVEKARIndian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune

(Received 9 Ma rch 1994, Modified 15 November 1994)

om- It'< 'IWm!'1t (24" 00-23" 3:0;it{ 35" 'l0- I IS" 'lo)",~:otl "'" >l' ".".,IIi.. oltoffRn '"' '"""'"' m",~~ >m1 'l"'"~~ 'IWm!'1t~ f!I<" dI1 m ~ "'" itI (II f.lnf ill 1'1l7" 1986l1llnil>

"' Jl1fllas """ """ <rflom '"' .- "' .,., ill .,q"~ "'" it, ... (II f!I<" lIll ... O'lllll <It<<<I Jl1fllas '"'" """ .. "'"lOAA<I~ "'" ... It'< 'IWm!'1t "' ~:otl "'"~ "'~ '07. "' aritIast>m:~ <mm (lIil 31'1"'1 l'Il~

illlid' ;it{ 1lIm "'~ "'" ltl~ 9 lltoI\ "' afl>ast" 'ITiI' ~iloor< """" ""'.~ liI<mi ""'""~. M 'l"""toto wmalr;it{ ..... lIll~ ill 'J"1dITt 'l1a (...... ) ill """" ",",",iii•. oltoffRn dI1llffi ........ it I '"'""'""'" oftola<n '"'"""'"' m",~ 1978 9 1983 ""' ", " : (6) 'o.fl!as ..t~ ""~ 1979 ;it{ 1982 ", 0\""" """f' ..t,j\ fII!lm it I

",utl "'~ i'JI' lIll i'lf'l 9 llffi ........ it~ ......"""f' ..., iI('l"""~ tIfl!~~ afl>as """ i onria;

" """f' ..a ill d1illl!l~ was m lIMll .m..- "' am lIll~~ .,.... "'" 'It i I ..... """f' ..., iI( '""'"

"'" ill <fl<wII 'J"1dITt~ 9~~ om <fl<wII " "''' iI(""'" 9 afl>as """ "'" QIll1 "'" itI <fl<wII 'J"1dITt~"' '" ill '"'" WI: "' ""'" dIl~~ itI <fl<wII -mt It\ 'J"1dITt 'l1a ('""'l:) lltoI\ ill~ ..a lIll~ ill "'o.fl!as """'" ...or ill oltoffRn dIl lllII """' itI

ABSTRACT. A simp le reduced .ravity wind-driven ocean circulation model i. used to stud y theIntennnual variability in the upper layer of the Indian Ocean (24-5-2rN and JS-&Il's -E). The mon thlymean wind stress for me period Im·l986 are used as. forcin& in the model. The model reproduces most ofthe observed CeatureJ of the ann ual qcle of the upper layer cimd.t~n in the Indi an Oceea when wu for­ced with me ten-year aweraae monthly mean wind. The cirwlation feature••nd the model upp er layer th ick­ness Ibow considerable interannual variabil ity in most part of the buin; in particular, the Somali Curre nt,the bu in wide so uthern hem isphere I)ft. th e Equatorial Currenu and the I)T'eS in the &y of Denial . Sixconllocuth'e )'I:an atartina from 1978 to 1983 which include two bad mOn300n yr:an of 1979 and 1982 arec:hoaen to stud y the in teran nual variability. February cirwlalion field .hoWi stronger Equatori al CounterCUrrenu in bad mcnscon yean., Mlereu. the currents north of Madapscar nowina up to th e African coaltare found to be . ronae!' in aood montoon yean. The IOUthward return now from the Southern Gyre inAullJa it drone an d more to IlOUth em 1.tituda hi the bad monsoon yean. The flow circulated eas tward toform another eddy euI of Sou them G)1"e. The buin ";de on: of the southern hem isphere (SH) shows lessvariability in two CODJl:eutiw normal yean than in c:onlrUl ina yean.

K.r, woNi - Reduced I n vity, Tnnsport, Indian Ocean. CiraJ)ation. Intera nnual variability.

t, Introduction

Following the work of Cox (1970), in the last twodecade. there have been cons iderable mathemati­cal modelling work Cor the Indian Ocean. Q .

Luther et aL (1985), Luth er lit. 0' Brien (1989),McCn:ary lit. Kundu (1988), Das et 01. (1987) andJensen (1990). COI (1970) used a thn:e dimeD5ionaloceanic general circulation model with se""n le""lsin ""mcal din:ction, when:as, most oC the othe r"Orken used layer models with assumption oC oneor mon: active layen over an infinitely deep motion­leu layer. These layer models with leu vemcaln:solution and les" prognostic equations n:quiren:latively small computationa l n:sources compan:dto oceanic ll"neral circulation models . Thesemod'e" do not include prognostic thermohaline

(409)

equatio ns, bu t due to their computational efficiencythey can be used Cor several numerical experimentsto study their sensitivity to various forcings, boun­dary co:tditions and geometries. These models canalso be modified to include additional physics, e.g.•Zebiac and Cane (1987) added a mixed layeroC con­stan t depth with thermodynamics on the top oC theupper layer and coupled the ocean model 10 a sim­ple almosphen: mode l (Gill 1980) to study IheENSO phenomenon.

Luther et 01. (1985) using a one and half layermode l with two difTen:nl wind Corcings simulatedn:alistically the Somali Current and the associa tedgyn: system, Luther lit. O· Brien (1989) using 23-yearmean monthly wind da ta '(Cadet and Diehl 1984)showed the interannual variability in Somali