m and a for entrepreneurs - lecture 2
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TRANSCRIPT
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Fundamentals of ValuationM&A for Entrepreneurs Elective
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Acquisition Process
Acquisition Strategy
Targeting, Analysis, and Valuation
Letter of Intent
Due Diligence
Negotiating an Agreement
Closing and Management Strategy
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Targeting and Analysis
Deliver a clear messageSize, Industry, Geography, Expertise
Delineate a contact list and communications plan
Arms length analysis and pro forma valuation
Debt/equity pro forma
Buyer’s value added
Negotiating strategy
Exit strategy
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Why is the company for sale?
Establishes credibility of deal
’Degree of Skepticism’
Frames ‘Adjustments’ & Pro Formas
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Public vs Privately-Owned Companies
Decisiveness
Quality of Information Provided
Assumptions in Pro Formas
Degree of Sophistication
Supplier Relationships
Customer Relationships
“Hockey Stick”
Quality of Management
Tax Impact
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Question to ask…
Is the company public? or a subsidiary of a public company?
Or, privately owned?
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The Analysis Process is LINKED
Assumptions are linked to analysis
Analysis is linked with adjustments
Adjustments impact valuation and structure
Valuation and structure yields price
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Where do Adjustments and Assumptions Impact?
Income Statement and Pro Forma Projections
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Projections
Buyer Value-Added
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Cost of Capital
Cost of Capital = Discount Rate/Factor
Simple Cost of Capital Calculator:
Category Cost Weight Cost Weight
Bank Debt 50% 10% 5.0%
Mezzanine 30% 20% 6.0%
Equity 20% 40% 8.0%
Cost of Capital 19%
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Valuation Methodologies
Primary
• DCF
• EBITDA/FCF Multiple
• Industry Benchmarks
Secondary
• Asset Value
• Replacement cost
• Payback
• ROI
• Market Value
• Net Worth/Book Value
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Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
1. Discount rate generally is cost of capital
2. Discount rate is higher with uncertain, cyclical, vulnerable companies
3. Target yields: Banks: Prime + 2-4% Sub Debt/Mezzanine: 15-20% (plus Kicker) Equity: 20-40%
4. EBITDA/FCF assumptions are KEY
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EBITDA/FCF Multiple
4-8 Times EBITDA
Pro Forma Adjustments and Financial Integrity are KEY
Used by Debt & Equity Providers
Most Common Valuation Technique Used
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Industry Benchmarks
Industry ‘Comps’
Revenue Multiple
Customer List Multiple
Installations Multiple
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Appraisal Methodologies
Liquidation or ‘Knockdown’ Appraisal
Replacement Value Appraisal
Fair Market Value Appraisal
Balance Sheet: A/R= Aging/Dilution/Allows./Bd.Dbt
Inv.= Aging/Inventory Turn
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In a Leveraged Buyout or Management Buyout
What is the
MOST IMPORTANT
Guiding Principle?
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“Cash is King”
(Cash Flow/EBITDA/FCF)