(lse: kgf): strong top-line performance in 2q17 2q17 by... · • uk-based home-improvement...

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1 DEBORAH WEINSWIG, MANAGING DIRECTOR, FUNG GLOBAL RETAIL & TECHNOLOGY [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 Copyright © 2016 The Fung Group. All rights reserved. AUGUST 18, 2016 (LSE: KGF): Strong Top-Line Performance in 2Q17 UK-based home-improvement retailer, Kingfisher, reported total sales increased by 3.2% at constant currency in 2Q17, with group comps up 3.0% at constant currency. Solid growth was driven by strong performances in the UK and Poland. The company grew comparable sales by 7.2% in the UK and Ireland, but French comps fell 3.2% at constant currency. Kingfisher will report full 1H17 results on September 20. 2Q17 SALES Kingfisher reported an 8.4% increase in total group sales in 2Q17, which ended July 31; at constant currency. It grew group sales by 3.2% and comparable sales by 3.0%. Group performance was underpinned by strong comparable sales growth in the UK, Ireland and Poland. Kingfisher management noted they had completed the firm’s disposal of its 30% interest in B&Q China in the quarter, which yielded net cash proceeds of £63 million. Management also noted £150 million had been returned to shareholders via buybacks since the last year end. PERFORMANCE BY SEGMENT The company posted 5.1% growth in total sales in the UK and Ireland. At constant currency, total segment sales were +5.0% and comps were +7.2%. B&Q UK and Ireland, the company’s consumer-focused banner, grew total sales by 0.5%, sales at constant currency by 0.3% and comps at constant currency by an impressive 5.6%. Store closures boosted comps by approximately 200 basis points by transferring some sales to remaining stores. Seasonal ranges were strong, with category comps up 9.6%. Screwfix grew sales by 24.5%, both as reported and at constant currency, and comps at constant currency by 13.3%. The company noted new and extended ranges helped boost sales. We expect the maturation of its fast-growing estate flattered comps. All numbers quoted in the following commentary are at constant currency. France fared poorly, with total sales down 1.4% and comps down 3.2%. The company noted the market was affected by industrial action, wet weather and “a more challenging environment.” Total sales fell 2.2% at consumer-focused chain, Castorama, and its comps were down 3.3%. Poor weather meant seasonal categories were weak, and comps were down 4.3%. Trade-focused Brico Dépôt performed better at the top line; sales edged down a total of 0.3% and fell 3.1% on a comparable basis. Kingfisher performed strongly in its other international markets: Total sales grew by 10.5% and comps by 7.3% in Poland, due to a, “currently supportive market,” and successful new ranges. Seasonal ranges turned in comps of +10.7%.

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1 DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

AUGUST18,2016

(LSE: KGF): Strong Top-Line Performance in 2Q17 • UK-basedhome-improvement retailer, Kingfisher, reported total sales increased

by 3.2% at constant currency in 2Q17, with group comps up 3.0% at constantcurrency.SolidgrowthwasdrivenbystrongperformancesintheUKandPoland.

• The companygrewcomparable salesby7.2% in theUKand Ireland,but Frenchcompsfell3.2%atconstantcurrency.

• Kingfisherwillreportfull1H17resultsonSeptember20.

2Q17SALES

Kingfisherreportedan8.4%increaseintotalgroupsalesin2Q17,whichendedJuly31;atconstantcurrency.Itgrewgroupsalesby3.2%andcomparablesalesby3.0%.Groupperformance was underpinned by strong comparable sales growth in the UK, IrelandandPoland.

Kingfishermanagementnotedtheyhadcompletedthefirm’sdisposalofits30%interestin B&Q China in the quarter, which yielded net cash proceeds of £63 million.Managementalsonoted£150millionhadbeenreturnedtoshareholdersviabuybackssincethelastyearend.

PERFORMANCEBYSEGMENT

The company posted 5.1% growth in total sales in the UK and Ireland. At constantcurrency,totalsegmentsaleswere+5.0%andcompswere+7.2%.

• B&QUKandIreland,thecompany’sconsumer-focusedbanner,grewtotalsalesby0.5%, sales at constant currency by 0.3% and comps at constant currency by animpressive5.6%.Storeclosuresboostedcompsbyapproximately200basispointsbytransferringsomesalestoremainingstores.Seasonal rangeswerestrong,withcategorycompsup9.6%.

• Screwfix grew sales by 24.5%, both as reported and at constant currency, andcomps at constant currency by 13.3%. The company noted new and extendedranges helped boost sales. We expect the maturation of its fast-growing estateflatteredcomps.

Allnumbersquotedinthefollowingcommentaryareatconstantcurrency.

France faredpoorly,with total salesdown1.4%andcompsdown3.2%.Thecompanynoted the market was affected by industrial action, wet weather and “a morechallengingenvironment.”

• Total sales fell 2.2% at consumer-focused chain, Castorama, and its comps weredown3.3%.Poorweathermeantseasonalcategorieswereweak,andcompsweredown4.3%.

• Trade-focused BricoDépôt performed better at the top line; sales edged down atotalof0.3%andfell3.1%onacomparablebasis.

Kingfisherperformedstronglyinitsotherinternationalmarkets:

• Total sales grew by 10.5% and comps by 7.3% in Poland, due to a, “currentlysupportivemarket,”andsuccessfulnewranges.Seasonalrangesturnedincompsof+10.7%.

2 DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

AUGUST18,2016

• Russiansalesgrewby3.4%intotalandby5.8%onacomparablebasis.• Spanishsalesincreasedby6.6%intotalandby4.3%onacomparablebasis.

Thecompanystatedithadnotseenanyevidenceofanimpactfromthecountry’svotetoleavetheEU.

UKINCONTEXT:RETAILSALESDATA

UKretailsalesdata,alsopublishedtoday,showsDIYandhardwarestores’salesgrewby0.6%onaverageinMay,JuneandJuly,withnegativegrowthinJuneandJuly.Kingfisher’stotalUKandIrelandsalesgrowthof5.1%thereforerepresentssubstantialmarket-sharegains.B&Q’stotalgrowthof0.5%broadlytrackedthesectorandScrewfix’s24.5%surgeinsalesonthebackofstoreopeningsindicatesaleapinUKmarketshare.

GUIDANCE

Kingfisherwillreport1H17resultsonSeptember20.Thecompanyofferedthefollowinggrossmarginguidancefor1H17:

• UK grossmargin is expected to be down100 basis points and reflects the stronggrowthatScrewfixandB&Qstoreclearanceduetoclosures.

• Francegrossmargin isexpected tobeup50basispointsdue to lesspromotionalactivity.

• Polandgrossmarginisexpectedtobeup150basispointsduetostrongtrading.

Frenchoperatingcostswillincreasebyaround£10millionin1H17,duetocertainlevies;however,thecompanyexpectsthistobeoffsetbyacorrespondingreductionin2H16.

Kingfisher’s Chief Executive Officer, Véronique Laury, said the company remained“cautiousontheshort-termoutlook.”

For FY17, analysts expect Kingfisher to post revenue growth of 6.0% and net profitgrowthof14.7%,andtoturninGAAPEPSof21pence,flatonFY16.

3 DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

AUGUST18,2016

DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFungGlobalRetail&TechnologyNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:86.186.1420.3016deborahweinswig@fung1937.comJohnMercerSeniorAnalyst

TomPearceResearchAssistant

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