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Lecture 5b on Chapter 15 Commercial Banking Industry: Structure and Competition

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Lecture 5b on Chapter 15. Commercial Banking Industry: Structure and Competition. Chapter Preview. We examine the historical development of the banking system, both in the U.S. and abroad. We then examine the role of financial innovation and its impact on competition. Topics include: - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Lecture 5b on Chapter 15

Commercial Banking Industry: Structure and Competition

Page 2: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Chapter Preview

• We examine the historical development of the banking system, both in the U.S. and abroad. We then examine the role of financial innovation and its impact on competition. Topics include:

– Historical Development of the Banking System

– Financial Innovation and the Evolution of the Banking Industry

– Structure of the U.S. Commercial Banking Industry

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-2

Page 3: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Chapter Preview (cont.)

– Bank Consolidation and Nationwide Banking

– Separation of Banking and Other Financial Service Industries

– International Banking

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-3

Page 4: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Historical Development of the Banking Industry

• The modern commercial banking industry began when the Bank of North America was chartered in Philadelphia in 1782.

• The next slide provides a timeline of important dates in the history of U.S. banking prior to WWII.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-4

Page 5: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Historical Development of the Banking Industry

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-5

Figure 18.1 Time Line of the Early History of Commercial Banking in the United States

Page 6: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Historical Development of the Banking Industry

• Outcome: Multiple Regulatory Agencies

1. Federal Reserve

2. FDIC

3. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency

4. State Banking Authorities

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-6

Page 7: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation

• Innovation is result of search for profits

• Response to Changes in Demand Conditions– Major change is huge increase in interest-rate risk starting

in 1960s– Adjustable-Rate Mortgages are an example of the reply to

interest-rate volatility– Banks also started using derivates to hedge risk

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-7

Page 8: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation

• Response to Changes in Supply Conditions

– Major change is improvement in computer technology

1. Increases ability to collect information

2. Lowers transactions costs

3. This lead to many innovations on the supply side, which we will discuss

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-8

Page 9: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation: Credit and Debit Cards

• Many store credit cards existed long before WWII.

• Improved technology in the late 1960s reduced transaction costs making nationwide credit card programs profitable.

• The success of credit cards led to the development of debit cards for direct access to checkable funds.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-9

Page 10: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation: Electronic Banking

• Automatic Teller Machines (ATMs) were the first innovation on this front. Today, over 250,000 ATMs service the U.S. alone.

• Automated Banking Machines combine ATMs, the internet, and telephone technology to provide “complete” service.

• Virtual banks now exist where access is only possible via the internet.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-10

Page 11: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation: Electronic Payments

• The development of computer systems and the internet has made electronic payments of bills a cost-effective method over paper checks or money.

• The U.S. is still far behind some European countries in the use of this technology.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-11

Page 12: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation: E-Money

• Electronic money, or stored cash, only exists in electronic form. It is accessed via a stored-value card or a smart card.

• E-cash refers to an account on the internet used to make purchases.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-12

Page 13: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation: Junk Bonds

• Prior to 1980, debt was never issued that had a junk rating. The only junk debt was bonds that had fallen in credit rating.

• Michael Milken of Drexel Burnham assisted firms in issuing original-issue junk debt, and almost single-handedly created the market.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-13

Page 14: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation: Commercial Paper Market

• Commercial paper refers to unsecured debt issued by corporations with a short original maturity.

• Currently, over $1.3 billion is outstanding in the market.

• The development of money market mutual funds assisted in the growth in this area.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-14

Page 15: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation: Securitization

• Securitization refers to the transformation of illiquid assets into marketable capital market instruments.

• Today, almost any type of private debt can be securitized. This includes home mortgages, credit card debt, student loans, car loans, etc.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-15

Page 16: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation: Avoidance of Existing Regulations

• Regulations Behind Financial Innovation

1.Reserve requirements • Tax on deposits = I rD

2.Deposit-rate ceilings (Reg Q)• As i , loophole mine to escape reserve requirement tax

and deposit-rate ceilings

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-16

Page 17: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation: Avoidance of Existing Regulations

• Money Market Mutual Funds: allowed investors similar access to their funds as a bank savings accounts, but offered higher rates, especially in the late 1970s.

• Sweep Accounts: Funds are “swept” out of checking accounts nightly and invested at overnight rates. Since they are no longer checkable deposits, reserve requirement taxes are avoided.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-17

Page 18: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation and the Decline in Traditional Banking

• The traditional role of transforming short-term deposits into long-term loans has been greatly affected by financial innovation. As the next slide shows, the importance of commercial banks as a source of funds to nonfinancial borrowers has shrunk dramatically.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-18

Page 19: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation and the Decline in Traditional Banking

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-19

Figure 18.2 Bank Share of Nonfinancial borrowings, 1960–2004

Page 20: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation and the Decline in Traditional Banking

• Loss of Cost Advantages in Acquiring Funds (Liabilities)

– π i then disintermediation because

1. Deposit rate ceilings and regulation Q

2. Money market mutual funds

3. Foreign banks have cheaper source of funds: Japanese banks can tap large savings pool

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-20

Page 21: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Financial Innovation and the Decline in Traditional Banking

• Loss of Income Advantages on Uses of Funds (Assets)

1. Easier to use securities markets to raise funds: commercial paper, junk bonds, securitization

2. Finance companies more important because easier for them to raise funds

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-21

Page 22: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Banks' Response

• Loss of cost advantages in raising funds and income advantages in making loans causes reduction in profitability in traditional banking1. Expand lending into riskier areas (e.g., real estate)2. Expand into off-balance sheet activities3. Creates problems for U.S. regulatory system

• Similar problems for banking industry in other countries

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-22

Page 23: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Decline in Traditional Banking in Other Industrialized Countries

• Forces similar to those in the U.S. have led to a similar decline in other industrialized countries.

• For example, deregulation in Japan has led to new financial instruments, leading to disintermediation.

• In many countries, as securities markets develop, banks also face competition from the products offered.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-23

Page 24: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Structure of the U.S. Commercial Banking Industry

• Around 8,000 commercial banks currently exist in the U.S.

• The tables on the next two slides shows various statistics for these banks as well as the ten largest U.S. banks.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-24

Page 25: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Structure of the Commercial Banking Industry

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-25FDIC statistics on bankinghttp://www.fdic.gov/bank/statistical/index.html

Page 26: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Ten Largest U.S. Banks

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-26

World’s 100 largest bankshttp://interactive.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/wb00-100-fpublic-2000-09-25.htm

Page 27: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Branching Regulations

• Branching Restrictions: Very Anti-competitive

• Response to Branching Restrictions1. Bank Holding Companies

• Allowed purchases of banks outside state• BHCs allowed wider scope of activities by Fed• BHCs dominant form of corporate structure for banks

2. Automated Teller Machines • Not considered to be branch of bank, so networks allowed

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-27

Page 28: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Bank Consolidation and Nationwide Banking

As the next slide shows, the number of commercial banks in the U.S. was very stable from 1934 through the mid-1980s. After that, the number of commercial banks began to fall dramatically.

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-28

Page 29: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Bank Consolidation and Number of Banks

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-29

Figure 18.3 Number of Insured Commercial Banks in the United States, 1934–2004

Quarterly banking profilehttp://www2.fdic.gov/qbp/qbpSelect.asp?menuItem=QBP

Page 30: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Bank Consolidation and Nationwide Banking

• Bank Consolidation: Why? 1. Branching restrictions weakened2. Development of super-regional banks

• Riegle-Neal Act of 19941. Allows full interstate branching2. Promotes further consolidation

• Future of Industry Structure– Will become more like other countries, but not quite:

• Several thousand, not several hundred

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-30

Page 31: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Bank Consolidation and Nationwide Banking

• Are Bank Consolidation and Nationwide Banking a Good Thing?– Cons

1. Fear of decline of small banks and small business lending2. Rush to consolidation may increase risk taking

– Pros1. Community banks will survive2. Increase competition3. Increased diversification of bank loan portfolios: lessens

likelihood of failures

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-31

Page 32: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Separation of Banking and Other Financial Service Industries

• Case for Glass-Steagall1. FDIC gives unfair advantage to banks2. Allowing banks into underwriting is dangerous because

FDIC promotes too much risk taking3. Potential conflicts of interest

• Case Against Glass-Steagall1. Decreases competition2. Unfair to banks3. Hinders diversification

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-32

Page 33: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Separation of Banking and Other Financial Service Industries

• Erosion of Glass-Steagall– Fed, OCC, FDIC are allowing banks to engage in

underwriting activities, under the Section 20 loophole in the act

• Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 2002– Legislation to eliminate Glass-Steagall– States retain insurance regulation, while SEC oversees

securities activities– OCC regulates subsidiaries that underwrite securities– Fed still oversees bank holding companies

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-33

Page 34: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Separation of Banking and Other Financial Service Industries

• Implications for Financial Consolidation

1. G-L-B will speed-up consolidation

2. Expect mergers between banks and other financial service providers to become more common

3. U.S. banks likely to become larger and more complex organizations

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-34

Page 35: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Separation of Banking and Other Financial Service Industries

• Separation in Other Countries

1. Universal banking: Germany

2. British-style universal banking

3. U.S./Japan separation

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-35

Page 36: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

International Banking

• Why Rapid Growth1. Rapid growth of international trade2. Banks abroad can pursue activities not allowed in home

country3. Tap into Eurodollar market

• U.S. Banks Overseas 1. Regulators

• Federal Reserve (Regulation K)

2. Structure• Edge Act Corporations• International Banking Facilities

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-36

Page 37: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

International Banking

• Foreign Banks in U.S.1. Regulators

• Same as for U.S. domestic banks

2. Structure• 500 offices in U.S.• 20% of total U.S. bank assets

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-37

Page 38: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Largest Banks in the World

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-38

1 BNP France 2,964 12/31/09

2 Royal Bank of Scotland Group United Kingdom 2,747 12/31/09

3 HSBC Holdings Un ited Kingdom 2,364 12/31/09

4 Crédit Agricole France 2,243 12/31/09

5 Barclays United Kingdom 2,233 12/31/09

6 Bank of America United States 2,223 12/31/09

7 Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Japan 2,196* 3/31/10

8 Deutsche Bank Germany 2,162 12/31/09

Page 39: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Largest Banks in the World

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-39

9 JPMorgan Chase United States 2,032 12/31/09

10 Citigroup United States 1,857 12/31/09

11 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) China 1,726* 12/31/09

18 China Construction Bank China China 1,409* 12/31/09

20 Agricultural Bank of China China 1,301** 12/31/09

22 Bank of China China 1,281* 12/31/09

36 China Development Bank China 665* 12/31/09

Page 40: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Chapter Summary

• Historical Development of the Banking System: the historical development of the U.S. banking system was reviewed, and the resulting agencies (OCC, Fed, SEC, etc.) discussed

• Financial Innovation and the Evolution of the Banking Industry: changes in both demand and supply forces, and the response of the banking industry was examined

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-40

Page 41: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Chapter Summary (cont.)

• Structure of the U.S. Commercial Banking Industry: the number and size of U.S. commercial banks was reviewed, as well as commercial bank responses to regulatory restrictions

• Bank Consolidation and Nationwide Banking: the forces leading bank consolidation and national banks, and the implications for the future, were outlined

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-41

Page 42: Lecture 5b on  Chapter 15

Chapter Summary (cont.)

• Separation of Banking and Other Financial Service Industries: the rise and fall of separate banks was discussed, and the implications for the future were examined

• International Banking: the branching of U.S. banks out of the U.S. as well as foreign banks operating in the U.S. were reviewed

ACF 104 Financial Institutions 18-42