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© 2006 # 1 ארציתשות רהדדימ לה והערכ בחינוך ראמ" הLarge Scale Assessments Large Scale Assessments & & Accountability Systems Accountability Systems Michal Beller [email protected] National Authority for Measurement and Evaluation in Education National Authority for Measurement and Evaluation in Education הבינ הבמהסגרת במ הרצאה הבינ הבמהסגרת במ הרצאה" " המתמטיינוך בח ציבורי לשיח ל המתמטיינוך בח ציבורי לשיח ל הרצליה הרצליה, , 3 3 במרץ במרץ2006 2006

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Page 1: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 1

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Large Scale AssessmentsLarge Scale Assessments&&

Accountability SystemsAccountability Systems

Michal [email protected]

National Authority for Measurement and Evaluation in EducationNational Authority for Measurement and Evaluation in Education

ל לשיח ציבורי בח ינוך המתמטי ל לשיח ציבורי בח ינוך המתמטי ""הרצאה במ סגרת הבמה הבינהרצאה במ סגרת הבמה הבינ20062006 במרץ במרץ 33, , הרצליההרצליה

Page 2: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 2

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

“That which cannot be measured,

cannot be improved”

Page 3: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 3

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Accountability Processes

Source: Eva Baker, 2005

Page 4: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 4

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Large Scale Assessments in IsraelMatriculation Exams – Bagrut (Math et al.)

Meytzav (Reading, Math, Science, English)

Mashov Artzi (Reading, Math, English)

International Assessments:TIMSS - Math and Science Study• (1995, 1999, 2003, 2007) – 67 countries

PIRLS - Reading Assessment • (2001, 2006) – 41 countries

SITES - Information Technology• (1997, 2006)

PISA - Reading, Mathematical & Scientific Literacy

• (2000, 2003, 2006?) – 58 countries

Group-Score A

ssessments

Page 5: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 5

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Matrix SamplingSampling plan in which different samples of respondents take different samples of items

Page 6: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 6

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

TIMSS 2003

הישגיהם הלימודיים של ' תלמידי כיתות ח

, במתמ טיקה ובמ ד עיםוההקשר החינוכי של הוראתם בישראל

ממצאי המחקר הבינלאומי השלישי

זוזובסק ירות המרכז לח י נוך מדע י וטכ נ ולוג י

בית הספר לחי נ וךאביב-או ניברסיטת תל

Page 7: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 7

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Page 8: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 8

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

http://timss.bc.edu/TIMSS2007/PDF/T07_AF_chapter1.pdf

Page 9: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 9

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

PISA

Page 10: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 10

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Designing Accountability

Systems

Page 11: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 11

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Accountability in Education

Accountability in education is not new. The mechanisms may have changed, but the questions remain the same: Who is responsible for what and to whom?

Although the questions are straightforward, the answers are not, and accountability systems are complex.

Source: Accountability in Education in Canada

Page 12: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 12

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Accountability in EducationAccountability is a tool for policy makers to employ in order to achieve their goals

It is not a goal in itself

Accountability is most valuable if it not only documents the current status of the system but also generates information that can support continuous improvement

School effectiveness with respect to increasing student test scores can be an important source of such information

Henry Braun, ETS (Personal Communication)

Page 13: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 13

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Accountability Waves

1950s: tracking and selection

1960s: program accountability

1970s: minimum competency testing

1980s: school and district accountability

1990s: standards based accountability systems

Linn (2000) identified five “waves” of reforms that occurred during the last 50 years in the U.S.:

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© 2006 # 14

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Page 15: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 15

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Set standards that are high, but attainable

1

Standards-Based Accountability – Ten Suggestions Robert Linn, 2005

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© 2006 # 16

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Non-Realistic Goals

Page 17: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 17

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Develop standards, then assessments

2

Standards-Based Accountability – Ten Suggestions Robert Linn, 2005

Page 18: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 18

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

תכנית הלימודים

סטנדרטים של ביצ וע סטנדרטים של תו כ ן

מבח נ י הישגים ושאלונ י ם אחרים

Page 19: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 19

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

In a project coordinated by the Council of Chief State School Officers and led by Norman Webb, researchers have developed a systematic approach to facilitate alignment and check to see if it exists.

Four criteria for alignment are involved.Categorical Concurrence - the extent to which both standards and the test incorporate the same content.Depth of Knowledge Consistency - the extent to which what is elicited from the students on the assessment is as demanding cognitively as what students are expected to know and do as stated in the standards.Range of Knowledge Correspondence - the extent to which a comparable span of knowledge expected of students by a standard is the same as, or corresponds to, what students need to correctly answer the test questions.Balance of Representation - the degree to which one objective is given more emphasis than another.

What is included and excluded is systematic: the most challenging objectives are the ones that are under-sampled or omitted entirely. Thus, many of the tests in use by a state cannot be judged to be aligned to the states’standards—even though most of the items map to some standard or objective

Unfinished Business: More Measured Approaches in Standards-Based Reform (ETS Policy Report 2005)

What is included and excluded is systematic: the most challenging objectives are the ones that are under-sampled or omitted entirely.

Thus, many of the tests in use by a state cannot be judged to be aligned to the states’standards — even though most of the items

map to some standard or objective

Alignment of Tests to Content Standards

Page 20: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 20

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Include all students in testing programs except those with the most severe disabilities

3

Standards-Based Accountability – Ten Suggestions Robert Linn, 2005

Page 21: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 21

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Include All StudentsIndividuals with Disabilities Education Improvement Act of 2004 (IDEA)

Universal Design of Assessments

http://www.ihdi.uky.edu/uda/

Page 22: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 22

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Useful high-stakes accountability requires

new high-quality assessments each year that are comparable

to those of previous years

4

Standards-Based Accountability – Ten Suggestions Robert Linn, 2005

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© 2006 # 23

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Page 24: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 24

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

High-Quality AssessmentsValidity and Reliability

ECD – Evidence Centered Design of Assessments (Mislevy et. al)

Technology

Page 25: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 25

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/pdf/studies/2005457_1.pdf

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© 2006 # 26

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Page 27: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 27

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Don’t put all of the weight on a single test when making

important decisions about students and schools

(i.e., retention, promotion, probation, rewards)

5

Standards-Based Accountability – Ten Suggestions Robert Linn, 2005

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© 2006 # 28

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

In analyses of the role of national educational assessment, insufficient attention has been paid to the central place of the classroom. Rather than encouraging a two-way flow of information, today's "standards-based" frameworks tend to direct the flow of accountability from the outside into the classroom.

The authors of this volume emphasize that assessment, as it exists in schools today, consists mainly of the measurements that teachers themselves design, evaluate, and act upon every day. Improving the usefulness of assessment in schools primarily requires assisting and harnessing this flood of assessment information, both as a means of learning within the classroom and as the source of crucial information flowing out of classrooms.

This volume aims to encourage debate and reflection among educational researchers, professionals, and policymakers. Five source chapters describe successful classroom assessment models developed in partnership with teachers, while additional commentaries give a range of perspectives on the issues of classroom assessment, standardized testing, and accountability.

Page 29: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 29

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Place more emphasis on comparisons of performance

from year to year than from school to school

6

Standards-Based Accountability – Ten Suggestions Robert Linn, 2005

Page 30: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 30

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

NAEP Math Score Trends by Race of 9-Year-Old U.S. Students

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© 2006 # 31

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

VAM – Value-Added Models

"In this monograph, we clarify the primary questions raised by the use of

Value-added modeling (VAM) for measuring teacher effects, review the most important recent applications of

VAM, and discuss a variety of the most important statistical and measurement issues that might affect the validity of

VAM inferences. Although the document focuses on measures of teacher effectiveness, many of the points

discussed here also apply to measures of school effects. The monograph should

be of interest to policymakers who are considering the use of VAM for teacher evaluations or accountability. It will also

be of interest to researchers who are looking to use VAM to understand

teachers or looking for ways to improve VAM models."

Page 32: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 32

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Linking and Aligning Scores and Scales

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© 2006 # 33

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Page 34: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 34

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Set both long- and short-term school goals for

all schools to reach

7

Standards-Based Accountability – Ten Suggestions Robert Linn, 2005

Page 35: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 35

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Uncertainty should be reported in all test results

8

Standards-Based Accountability – Ten Suggestions Robert Linn, 2005

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© 2006 # 36

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Uncertainty should be reported

Cautions in InterpretationsUsers of this website are cautioned against interpreting NAEP results as implying causal relations. Inferences related to subgroup performance or to the effectiveness of public and nonpublic schools, for example, should take into consideration the many socioeconomic and educational factors that may also impact performance.Beginning in 2002, the NAEP national sample was obtained by aggregating the samples from each state, rather than by obtaining an independently selected national sample. As a consequence the national sample size increased, and smaller differences between years or between types of student were found to be statistically significant than would have been detected in previous assessments.The NAEP mathematics scale makes it possible to examine relationships between students' performance and various background factors measured by NAEP. However, a relationship that exists between achievement and another variable does not reveal its underlying cause, which may be influenced by a number of other variables. Similarly, the assessments do not reflect the influence of unmeasured variables. The results are most useful when they are considered in combination with other knowledge about the student population and the educational system, such as trends in instruction, changes in the school-age population, and societal demands and expectations.

standard error. A measure of sampling variability and measurement error for a statistic. Because of NAEP’s complex sample

, sampling standard errors are designfrom samplesthe jackknifingestimated by

estimates. Standard errors samplestage -firstmay also include a component due to the error of measurement of individual scores estimated

. plausible valuesusing

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© 2006 # 37

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Evaluate not only the hoped-for positive effects

of standards-based assessments,

but the unintended negative effects of the testing system

9

Standards-Based Accountability – Ten Suggestions Robert Linn, 2005

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© 2006 # 38

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

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© 2006 # 39

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Most Children Left Behind…“…Attempting to meet the provisions of NCLB could well lead to

extraordinary attention being given to students who are just below the basic/proficient cut point (sometimes called “bubble” students), with perhaps considerably less attention given to other students. From these perspectives, I would argue that the current reauthorization of ESEA might be more aptly titled “Most Children Left Behind.” (Brennan, 2004)

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© 2006 # 40

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Between-subjects reallocation: WA, grade 4

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© 2006 # 41

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Teaching to the Test

Page 42: Large Scale Assessments Accountability Systemscms.education.gov.il/.../35809/largescaleassesments1.pdf · Large Scale Assessments & Accountability Systems Michal Beller mbeller.rama@education.gov.il

© 2006 # 42

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

ב " למיצהכנה

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© 2006 # 43

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

לשונ י ת, מדע ית , תוכ נית אורי ינו ת מתמטית

או שינוי " הכנה לבחינה"?נדרש של תכנית הלימודים

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© 2006 # 44

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

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© 2006 # 45

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Performance on Coached and Uncoached Tests

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

3.8

4.0

4.2

4.4

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991

Year

Gra

de E

quiv

alen

ts

Test C Test B

District tests

Koretz, et al., test

SOURCE: Adapted from Koretz, Linn, Dunbar, and Shepard (1991)

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© 2006 # 46

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

Narrowing the achievement gap means that we must

provide all children with the teachers and resources

they need in order to reach our high expectations

10

Standards-Based Accountability – Ten Suggestions Robert Linn, 2005

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© 2006 # 47

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

NGfL

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© 2006 # 48

רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

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רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

ו " תשס ' כית ה הב" מיצנית ו ח תשו ב ות

וצוותהגירוןידי תמי -מתוך חוברת שה וכנה על

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רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

מטרות וי עד י ם

תשו מו ת

תהלי כ י ם

מדי דה והערכה

משוב

התאמה ושינ ו י

ה " ראמ

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רשות ארציתל מ די ד ה והערכ ה בחינוך

ה "ראמ

!ת ודה

[email protected]

?הערות? שאלות