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Juvenile Rehabilitation Caseload Forecasts
Year in Review FY2008: JULY 2007 THROUGH JUNE 2008
STATE OF WASHINGTON CASELOAD FORECAST COUNCIL
P.O. Box 40962 Olympia, WA 98504-0962 (360) 586-0300
This publication is available electronically at http://www.cfc.wa.gov. To obtain this publication in an alternative format, please contact the Caseload Forecast Council at (360) 586-0300.
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JRA FORECAST MODEL
SCOPE The JRA caseload forecast includes the “in-residence”1 caseload in all residential facilities either operated by or under contract to the Department of Social and Health Services (DSHS), Juvenile Rehabilitation Administration (JRA). This includes JRA institutions, forestry camps, and state operated group homes, as well as contracted beds in private group homes and county detention facilities.
JRA IN-RESIDENCE CASELOAD COMPONENTS JRA’s in-residence caseload is composed of three types of offenders: “regular” admissions, parole revocations, and “adult” offenders who were under 18 when sentenced to prison. Each of these components of the caseload is forecast separately within the forecast model (Figure 1). The caseload impact of regular admissions is a function of length of stay. Once committed to JRA, length of stay (LOS) is determined by two factors: sentencing range and JRA release policy. Standard sentence ranges, which include a minimum and a maximum, are mandated by the state sentencing guidelines. JRA sets the actual release date within the sentencing range. Current JRA release policy requires high-risk offenders to be held to the maximum; lower-risk offenders may be released any time after the minimum depending on the behavior during confinement. Offenders held on a parole revocation are the second component of the JRA residential caseload. Offenders released from JRA before age 21 are placed on parole. If they violate terms of their parole, they may be returned to confinement for up to 30 days through an administrative hearing process. This group typically accounts for three percent of the residential population. Their caseload impact is forecast separately because it is primarily a function of JRA policy. “Adult” offenders are the third component of the JRA residential caseload, accounting for about six percent of the caseload. These offenders are tried and convicted as adults for crimes committed before age 18. Under state law they may be housed in JRA and transferred to prison at age 212. The use of JRA facilities for adult offenders was relatively rare until July 2000. However, in 2000, DOC closed its housing unit for females under age 18 and transferred them to JRA under an inter-agency agreement. The under 18 female housing unit was closed by DOC in a cost cutting move; it was uneconomical to operate a special housing unit given the low average census of five female offenders per day. As a result of the policy change in DOC, there were five adult offenders housed in JRA at the end of Fiscal Year 2000. In 2003, DOC began transferring to JRA some under age 18 male offenders with special educational needs where it was felt they would receive more appropriate
1 The “in-residence” caseload excludes youths who have been on escape, authorized leave, or temporary assignment to other state or county facilities for more than 14 days. The “in-residence” caseload is typically about 97% of the “on-book” caseload. 2 In August 2008, the federal Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (OJJDP) in the Department of Justice revised a long standing interpretation of the Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention Act that requires "sight and sound" separation of "adult" and "juvenile" offenders. Under the old interpretation, JRA was required to separate its juvenile offenders from the DOC transfer offenders by age 18.5. Under the new interpretation, these offenders may be co-mingled until age 21. As a result, it is anticipated that the DOC Offender portion of the JRA caseload will increase to about 100 by June 2011.
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services while freeing up beds in an over-crowded adult system. In 2004, DOC initiated a policy under which all adult offenders under age 18 will be transferred to JRAS until they reach age 18. Currently, all most adult offenders are returned to DOC when they reach age 18. However, offenders may be retained in JRA up to six months beyond age 18 if they are judged especially vulnerable, are near release, or are near completion of the high school education.
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FORECAST MODEL
Figure 1. JRA Forecast Model
Figure 1 presents the full forecast model. Each of the three components (Regular Admissions (A), Parole Revocations (B), and DOC Transfers (C)) comprising the JRA residential population is forecast separately, and then combined to form the full JRA residential caseload forecast. The forecast of the regular admission JRA caseload (A) is based on assumptions about future changes in the at-risk population and the proportion of the at-risk population that will be committed to JRA (commitment rate).3
3 The juvenile justice system can be visualized as a “funnel” or series of filters that divert less serious offenders from further penetration into the system (Figure 1). At one end of the process is the “at-risk” population of half a million 12-17 year-olds; at the other end are the 1,000 annual commitments to JRA custody. The actual decision by a juvenile court to commit a youth to JRA is, of course, only the final act in a juvenile justice system decision points from arrest through filing/diversion to sentencing. Each of these decision points is impacted by juvenile justice policy and resources. While a forecast model that included assumptions and data on each step in the process might help explain changes in commitment
JRA FORECAST MODEL
III. DOC Adult Offenders
Parole Revocation Parole Revocation Release
II. Parole Revocations
(B)
Informal Diversion Local
Sanctions
At-risk Population Juvenile
Crimes
Court Disposition
JRA Regular
Admission
I. Regular Admissions
JRA Parole
(A)
DOC Transferto JRA Return to DOC
(C)
Juvenile Justice System
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The state Office of Financial Management (OFM) is tasked with forecasting the state population and their annual population forecast update provides the at-risk population assumption for the forecast. The CFC JRA Technical Work Group sets the commitment rate assumptions for the forecast after reviewing available data on crime, arrests, and commitments to JRA. The Parole Revocation and DOC Transfer components of the forecast are relatively small components of the JRA caseload, accounting for about 8 percent of the total. These two components are typically forecast based on recent trends or an average of the prior 6-12 months, absent changes in JRA policy.
REGULAR ADMISSION FORECAST ASSUMPTIONS The current regular admission forecast assumptions on the at-risk population, commitment rates, and length of stay (LOS) are developed by a JRA forecast technical workgroup of juvenile justice professionals, legislative staff, and JRA program staff. Assumptions about changes in the at-risk population and commitment rates are all critical to the forecast. The at-risk population can be affected by short-term factors like changes in migration; commitment rates are also subject to immediate impact from changes in policy or practice within the juvenile justice system. The technical workgroup process is critical to the accuracy of the forecast because the members possess an in-depth knowledge of the juvenile justice system that helps them to identify ongoing changes in policy or practice that will affect JRA caseloads. The technical workgroup reviews data from a variety of sources, including: An updated at-risk population forecast from the Office of Financial Management (OFM). Data on reported crimes and arrests from the Washington Association of Sheriffs and Police
Chiefs (WASPC), and Data on juvenile offender filings and convictions from the Office of the Administrator for the
Courts (OAC). Data on admissions, length of stay (LOS), and releases from JRA.
The following sub-sections describe assumptions used in the current forecast.
AT-RISK POPULATION The “at-risk” population is defined as the portion of the state’s population from which the JRA caseload is derived. For purposes of the JRA forecast, the at-risk population includes all children age 12-17. Changes in the at-risk population alone will drive changes in JRA admissions. The current JRA forecast incorporates the most recent Office of Financial Management (OFM) population forecast of the state’s at-risk (age 12-17) population. rate, a forecast model based on assumptions about at risk and commitment rates is adequate to forecast JRA residential caseloads.
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JUVENILE CRIME, ADJUDICATION AND COMMITMENT RATES The technical workgroup reviewed trends over the past ten years and agreed that juvenile crime, adjudication, and commitment rates would remain relatively stable over the next two years. The technical workgroup’s specific assumptions,4 by crime category, are presented in Appendix B.
LENGTH OF STAY The JRA caseload is a function of admissions and LOS. The most recent forecast is based on LOS of offenders released in the most recent fiscal year.
DEVELOPMENT OF JRA FORECAST COMPONENTS The following sections describe the three major components of the forecast. The parole revocation and adult offender caseloads are both forecast as annual caseload impacts. The regular admission caseload is forecast as monthly “fractional” admission equivalents, or FAEs. Release dates are projected for these FAEs and then the net monthly gain/loss from admissions and releases is used to extend the current regular admission caseload.
FORECAST OF PAROLE REVOCATION CASELOAD The use of parole revocation has historically been at the discretion of JRA. JRA’s use of confinement as a parole sanction began to increase dramatically in Fiscal Year 1995. The impact on JRA caseload is currently forecast based on JRA expectations for the caseload, recent caseload trends and the last actual caseload.
FORECAST OF ADULT OFFENDER CASELOAD The adult offender caseload housed in JRA for the period from Fiscal Year 1992 to Fiscal Year 2005 is presented in Figure 5. Legislative initiatives from 1994 to 1997 increased the number of offenders under age 18 who were subject to adult jurisdiction. As a result, the number of offenders who were under age 18 and sentenced as adults increased, and the caseload of under age adult offenders receiving courtesy supervision in JRA increased. In 2000, DOC transferred all females under age 18 to JRA. In 2003, DOC began transferring a small number of under age 18 male offenders with special educational needs to JRA custody. In FY 2004 DOC policy was revised to have all under age 18 adult offenders transferred to JRA until age 212. The impact on JRA caseload is currently forecast based on DOC expectations for the caseload, recent caseload trends and the last actual caseload.
FORECAST OF THE REGULAR ADMISSION CASELOAD The regular admission caseload is determined in two parts: (1) the caseload impact of those regular admissions in-residence at the start of the forecast, and (2) the forecast of new regular admissions and releases during the forecast period.
FORECAST OF EXISTING JRA CASELOAD The first component of the regular admission caseload is youths admitted and not released prior to the start of the forecast period. Expected release dates are established for these offenders based on their
4 The forecast assumptions are reviewed by the technical workgroup and typically reflect consensus of the group; final responsibility for assumption setting rests with the Caseload Forecast Council.
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sentence and current release LOS patterns. This component of the JRA caseload decreases continuously beginning with the start of the forecast period as offenders are “released.” End of month (EOM) caseloads are calculated based on the expected release dates.
FORECAST OF NEW REGULAR ADMISSIONS The second forecast component is the forecast of “new” regular admissions and their releases. The OFM forecast of the state at-risk population of 12-17 year-olds and the crime rate assumptions are used to predict juvenile crimes in eleven crime categories. Assumptions about the proportion of crimes going to court, and of those convicted, the proportion committed to JRA, are used to forecast “new” JRA admissions in each of eleven offense categories. Frequency distributions of actual sentence lengths are computed based on the lengths of stay of offenders released in the current fiscal year. These LOS frequency distributions are used to forecast release dates for the forecasted admissions. End of month (EOM) caseloads are calculated based on the expected release dates. This component of the JRA caseload increases rapidly at the start of the forecast period before leveling off and becoming a function of changes in at-risk population.
JRA “REGULAR” INMATE FORECAST MODEL This section details the steps in the forecast model used to forecast the JRA Regular Admission caseload. 1. Generate historical caseload for JRA residential facilities.
a. This component is sometimes referred to as the “backcast” of the caseload. Historical individual level admission and release data from JRA are used to generate monthly distributions of admissions and releases up to the start of the forecast. These distributions are used to generate monthly caseload estimates which can be compared with published caseload figures as a validity check of the individual level data provided by JRA. The backcast is the starting point for the forecast.
2. Generate forecast of JRA regular admission caseload.
a. The forecasted caseload for any point in time is simply the starting caseload plus the net gain/loss from:
expected releases of the starting caseload, forecasted “new” admissions, and forecasted releases of “new” admissions.
3. Forecast release dates of current inmate population.
i. This component of the model forecasts an “expected release date” or ERD for each regular admission offender in the JRA caseload at the start of the forecast period. The expected release date for each offender is recorded in the JRA ACT database and serves as the basis for estimating LOS for those current offenders who have not been released.
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b. A reference LOS frequency distribution for each of 132 sentence length x age x offense combinations5 is generated from all releases in a reference time period.6
c. The ERDs for all unreleased offenders are then subtotaled by year and month of expected
release to yield a monthly release distribution for offenders in JRA custody at the start of the forecast period.
4. Forecast “new” regular admissions during the forecast period.
a. Monthly regular admissions during the forecast period are forecast based on the forecasted at-risk population and forecasted admission rate. Fiscal year admissions are forecasted for age x offense category combinations.
i. The OFM single age (12-17) population forecast by calendar year is extrapolated
to generate an age x fiscal year population forecast.
ii. Forecasted fiscal year admission rates by age x offense category are generated from the age x fiscal year population forecast and the technical workgroup assumptions about future crime rates, adjudication rates, and commitment rates.
The forecasted admission rate for each age x offense category is the product:
Admission Rate=Crime Rate x Adjudication Rate x Commitment Rate x At-Risk Proportion7
b. Forecasted annual admissions are distributed monthly to reflect historical seasonality
patterns (i.e., reflecting “monthlyality” in admissions). Unit forecasted admissions are thus converted to fractional admission equivalents or FAEs. For example, a forecast of 5 annual admissions of burglars at age 12 would be converted to 0.4178 FAE admissions per month (ignoring monthlyality).
5. Forecast “new” regular admission releases during the forecast period.
a. A LOS distribution generated from the reference period sample including ERDs for those not released at the start of the forecast is used to generate ERDs for the forecasted “new” admissions in the forecast period.
b. FAE forecasted monthly admissions are then further apportioned based on the LOS
distribution for the given age x offense category combination. Thus, for the 12 year old 5 See Appendix A. 6 The choice of a specific “reference” time period from which to generate LOS distributions is somewhat arbitrary. Longer time periods provide more stable estimates, but LOS patterns vary over time and too long a reference period risks use of out of date LOS patterns. The reference time period is typically the most recent fiscal year. 7 The At-Risk Proportion is proportion of age 12-17 population at a given age. 8 4/12=.417
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burglar example above, assume there are 3 12 year old burglars in the reference sample released at 36, 36 and 52 weeks of confinement, respectively. The forecasted 0.417 FAE 12 year old burglary admissions would be further apportioned so that .667 would be released at 36 weeks and .333 released at 52 weeks. In other words, .278 (.667 x .417) FAE admissions would be released at 36 weeks and .139 (.333 x .417) FAE released at 52 weeks.
c. Forecasted partial (FAE) monthly releases are then subtotaled by year and month of
release across all ages and offense categories to yield a monthly release distribution for the forecast period.
6. The forecasted new admissions and releases are then combined, by month, to generate a monthly
net change in regular admission caseload. This net change is then merged with the forecasted parole and adult offender components to generate the total forecasted JRA caseload.
FYEAR Month Nov08 FC ADP FYEAR Month Nov08 FC ADP FYEAR Month Nov08 FC ADP FYEAR Month Nov08 FC ADP
FY08 Jul-07 793 779 FY13 Jul-12 590 587 FY18 Jul-17 604 606 FY23 Jul-22 640 643
Aug-07 806 Aug-12 579 Aug-17 593 Aug-22 628
Sep-07 805 Sep-12 583 Sep-17 599 Sep-22 635
Oct-07 806 Oct-12 581 Oct-17 597 Oct-22 633
Nov-07 802 Nov-12 587 Nov-17 605 Nov-22 642
Dec-07 780 Dec-12 581 Dec-17 602 Dec-22 639
Jan-08 758 Jan-13 584 Jan-18 605 Jan-23 642
Feb-08 757 Feb-13 589 Feb-18 610 Feb-23 648
Mar-08 760 Mar-13 592 Mar-18 613 Mar-23 651
Apr-08 753 Apr-13 595 Apr-18 616 Apr-23 654
May-08 762 May-13 594 May-18 615 May-23 653
Jun-08 769 Jun-13 588 Jun-18 609 Jun-23 647
FY09 Jul-08 728 723 FY14 Jul-13 587 588 FY19 Jul-18 609 611 FY24 Jul-23 648 651
Aug-08 710 Aug-13 576 Aug-18 599 Aug-23 636
Sep-08 706 Sep-13 582 Sep-18 605 Sep-23 643
Oct-08 717 Oct-13 580 Oct-18 603 Oct-23 641
Nov-08 719 Nov-13 587 Nov-18 610 Nov-23 650
Dec-08 723 Dec-13 584 Dec-18 608 Dec-23 647
Jan-09 728 Jan-14 587 Jan-19 610 Jan-24 651
Feb-09 733 Feb-14 592 Feb-19 616 Feb-24 657
Mar-09 735 Mar-14 595 Mar-19 619 Mar-24 660
Apr-09 733 Apr-14 598 Apr-19 622 Apr-24 663
May-09 728 May-14 597 May-19 621 May-24 662
Jun-09 715 Jun-14 591 Jun-19 615 Jun-24 656
FY10 Jul-09 696 661 FY15 Jul-14 591 592 FY20 Jul-19 616 619 FY25 Jul-24 656 659
Aug-09 675 Aug-14 580 Aug-19 606 Aug-24 644
Sep 09 674 Sep 14 586 Sep 19 612 Sep 24 651
Table 1 November 2008 JRA Forecast
Sep-09 674 Sep-14 586 Sep-19 612 Sep-24 651
Oct-09 668 Oct-14 584 Oct-19 610 Oct-24 649
Nov-09 669 Nov-14 591 Nov-19 618 Nov-24 658
Dec-09 660 Dec-14 588 Dec-19 615 Dec-24 655
Jan-10 652 Jan-15 591 Jan-20 618 Jan-25 658
Feb-10 653 Feb-15 596 Feb-20 624 Feb-25 664
Mar-10 651 Mar-15 599 Mar-20 627 Mar-25 667
Apr-10 653 Apr-15 601 Apr-20 630 Apr-25 670
May-10 646 May-15 600 May-20 629 May-25 668
Jun-10 635 Jun-15 594 Jun-20 623 Jun-25 662
FY11 Jul-10 622 608 FY16 Jul-15 594 595 FY21 Jul-20 624 628 FY26 Jul-25 662 664
Aug-10 607 Aug-15 583 Aug-20 613 Aug-25 649
Sep-10 609 Sep-15 589 Sep-20 620 Sep-25 656
Oct-10 607 Oct-15 587 Oct-20 619 Oct-25 654
Nov-10 608 Nov-15 594 Nov-20 627 Nov-25 663
Dec-10 603 Dec-15 591 Dec-20 624 Dec-25 660
Jan-11 604 Jan-16 594 Jan-21 627 Jan-26 663
Feb-11 609 Feb-16 600 Feb-21 633 Feb-26 669
Mar-11 609 Mar-16 603 Mar-21 636 Mar-26 672
Apr-11 610 Apr-16 606 Apr-21 639 Apr-26 675
May-11 609 May-16 605 May-21 638 May-26 673
Jun-11 599 Jun-16 599 Jun-21 632 Jun-26 666
FY12 Jul-11 597 593 FY17 Jul-16 599 600 FY22 Jul-21 633 635 FY27 Jul-26 666 668
Aug-11 586 Aug-16 588 Aug-21 621 Aug-26 653
Sep-11 590 Sep-16 594 Sep-21 628 Sep-26 660
Oct-11 587 Oct-16 592 Oct-21 626 Oct-26 658
Nov-11 593 Nov-16 599 Nov-21 634 Nov-26 667
Dec-11 589 Dec-16 596 Dec-21 631 Dec-26 664
Jan-12 591 Jan-17 599 Jan-22 634 Jan-27 667
Feb-12 596 Feb-17 605 Feb-22 640 Feb-27 674
Mar-12 598 Mar-17 608 Mar-22 643 Mar-27 677
Apr-12 599 Apr-17 610 Apr-22 646 Apr-27 680
May-12 597 May-17 609 May-22 645 May-27 678
Jun-12 591 Jun-17 604 Jun-22 639 Jun-27 671
Page A - 1
APPENDIX A
JRA Forecast Offense categories: 1. Murder/manslaughter 2. Serious sex crimes 3. Other sex crimes 4. Robbery 5. Serious Assaultive crimes 6. Other Assaultive crimes 7. Serious property crimes 8. Residential burglary 9. Other property crimes 10. Drug crimes 11. Other crimes
Page B - 1
APPENDIX B
November 2008 Forecast Assumptions
JRAFC 02C: Comparison of Old and New Criminal Justice AssumptionsSource: OffGridComp
Old Assumptions: NOV07VER1New Assumptions: NOV08VER1
' October 2, 2008 --- 11:13 AM'
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 1 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=TOT
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 1,029 1,029 0 369,166 2.787 278.736 2.787 278.736
1990 1,186 1,186 0 376,674 3.149 314.861 3.149 314.861
1991 1,185 1,185 0 391,830 3.024 302.427 3.024 302.427
1992 1,301 1,301 0 411,149 3.164 316.430 3.164 316.430
1993 1,449 1,449 0 434,463 3.335 333.515 3.335 333.515
1994 1,580 1,580 0 453,136 3.487 348.681 3.487 348.681
1995 1,749 1,749 0 471,494 3.709 370.948 3.709 370.948
1996 1,810 1,810 0 488,615 3.704 370.434 3.704 370.434
1997 1,309 1,309 0 502,926 2.603 260.277 2.603 260.277
1998 1,578 1,578 0 512,196 3.081 308.085 3.081 308.085
1999 1,522 1,522 0 514,114 2.960 296.043 2.960 296.043
2000 1,403 1,403 0 516,550 2.716 271.610 2.716 271.610
2001 1,250 1,250 0 520,774 2.400 240.027 2.400 240.027
2002 1,239 1,239 0 526,795 2.352 235.196 2.352 235.196
2003 1,193 1,193 0 532,283 2.241 224.129 2.241 224.129
2004 1,123 1,123 0 536,214 2.094 209.431 2.094 209.431
2005 968 968 0 541,631 1.787 178.720 1.787 178.720
2006 998 998 0 546,609 1.826 182.580 1.826 182.580
2007 930 930 0 549,133 1.694 169.358 1.694 169.358
2008 861 886 -25 547,708 1.572 157.201 1.618 161.792
2009 * 847 880 -34 544,101 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2010 * 842 875 -33 540,980 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2011 * 839 873 -33 539,454 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2012 * 840 873 -33 539,763 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2013 * 845 879 -34 543,084 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2014 * 851 885 -34 546,733 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2015 * 856 890 -34 549,948 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2016 * 863 897 -34 554,473 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2017 * 870 904 -34 558,984 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2018 * 878 913 -35 564,253 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2019 * 889 924 -35 571,357 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2020 * 904 940 -36 580,793 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2021 * 920 957 -37 591,425 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2022 * 935 972 -37 600,812 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2023 * 949 987 -38 609,773 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2024 * 964 1,002 -38 619,307 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2025 * 975 1,013 -39 626,283 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2026 * 984 1,023 -39 632,212 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2027 * 994 1,033 -39 638,710 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2028 * 1,004 1,044 -40 645,274 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2029 * 1,014 1,054 -40 651,741 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
2030 * 1,023 1,064 -41 657,441 1.556 155.620 1.618 161.792
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 2 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=MUR
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 10 10 0 369,166 0.027 2.709 0.027 2.709
1990 14 14 0 376,674 0.037 3.717 0.037 3.717
1991 13 13 0 391,830 0.033 3.318 0.033 3.318
1992 10 10 0 411,149 0.024 2.432 0.024 2.432
1993 11 11 0 434,463 0.025 2.532 0.025 2.532
1994 10 10 0 453,136 0.022 2.207 0.022 2.207
1995 10 10 0 471,494 0.021 2.121 0.021 2.121
1996 17 17 0 488,615 0.035 3.479 0.035 3.479
1997 3 3 0 502,926 0.006 0.597 0.006 0.597
1998 6 6 0 512,196 0.012 1.171 0.012 1.171
1999 7 7 0 514,114 0.014 1.362 0.014 1.362
2000 5 5 0 516,550 0.010 0.968 0.010 0.968
2001 10 10 0 520,774 0.019 1.920 0.019 1.920
2002 14 14 0 526,795 0.027 2.658 0.027 2.658
2003 4 4 0 532,283 0.008 0.751 0.008 0.751
2004 6 6 0 536,214 0.011 1.119 0.011 1.119
2005 11 11 0 541,631 0.020 2.031 0.020 2.031
2006 8 8 0 546,609 0.015 1.464 0.015 1.464
2007 7 7 0 549,133 0.013 1.275 0.013 1.275
2008 3 9 -6 547,708 0.005 0.548 0.016 1.590
2009 * 6 9 -3 544,101 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2010 * 6 9 -3 540,980 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2011 * 6 9 -3 539,454 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2012 * 6 9 -3 539,763 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2013 * 6 9 -3 543,084 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2014 * 6 9 -3 546,733 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2015 * 6 9 -3 549,948 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2016 * 6 9 -3 554,473 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2017 * 6 9 -3 558,984 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2018 * 6 9 -3 564,253 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2019 * 6 9 -3 571,357 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2020 * 6 9 -3 580,793 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2021 * 6 9 -3 591,425 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2022 * 7 10 -3 600,812 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2023 * 7 10 -3 609,773 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2024 * 7 10 -3 619,307 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2025 * 7 10 -3 626,283 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2026 * 7 10 -3 632,212 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2027 * 7 10 -3 638,710 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2028 * 7 10 -3 645,274 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2029 * 7 10 -3 651,741 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
2030 * 7 10 -3 657,441 0.011 1.090 0.016 1.590
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 3 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=SSX
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 103 103 0 369,166 0.279 27.901 0.279 27.901
1990 136 136 0 376,674 0.361 36.105 0.361 36.105
1991 140 140 0 391,830 0.357 35.730 0.357 35.730
1992 137 137 0 411,149 0.333 33.321 0.333 33.321
1993 180 180 0 434,463 0.414 41.430 0.414 41.430
1994 215 215 0 453,136 0.474 47.447 0.474 47.447
1995 197 197 0 471,494 0.418 41.782 0.418 41.782
1996 190 190 0 488,615 0.389 38.885 0.389 38.885
1997 173 173 0 502,926 0.344 34.399 0.344 34.399
1998 171 171 0 512,196 0.334 33.386 0.334 33.386
1999 134 134 0 514,114 0.261 26.064 0.261 26.064
2000 140 140 0 516,550 0.271 27.103 0.271 27.103
2001 141 141 0 520,774 0.271 27.075 0.271 27.075
2002 136 136 0 526,795 0.258 25.817 0.258 25.817
2003 135 135 0 532,283 0.254 25.362 0.254 25.362
2004 155 155 0 536,214 0.289 28.906 0.289 28.906
2005 141 141 0 541,631 0.260 26.033 0.260 26.033
2006 113 113 0 546,609 0.207 20.673 0.207 20.673
2007 109 109 0 549,133 0.198 19.849 0.198 19.849
2008 106 90 16 547,708 0.194 19.353 0.165 16.500
2009 * 102 90 12 544,101 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2010 * 102 89 12 540,980 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2011 * 101 89 12 539,454 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2012 * 101 89 12 539,763 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2013 * 102 90 12 543,084 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2014 * 103 90 12 546,733 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2015 * 103 91 12 549,948 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2016 * 104 91 13 554,473 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2017 * 105 92 13 558,984 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2018 * 106 93 13 564,253 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2019 * 107 94 13 571,357 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2020 * 109 96 13 580,793 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2021 * 111 98 13 591,425 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2022 * 113 99 14 600,812 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2023 * 114 101 14 609,773 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2024 * 116 102 14 619,307 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2025 * 118 103 14 626,283 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2026 * 119 104 14 632,212 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2027 * 120 105 14 638,710 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2028 * 121 106 15 645,274 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2029 * 122 108 15 651,741 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
2030 * 123 108 15 657,441 0.188 18.770 0.165 16.500
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 4 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=OSX
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 42 42 0 369,166 0.114 11.377 0.114 11.377
1990 39 39 0 376,674 0.104 10.354 0.104 10.354
1991 27 27 0 391,830 0.069 6.891 0.069 6.891
1992 17 17 0 411,149 0.041 4.135 0.041 4.135
1993 29 29 0 434,463 0.067 6.675 0.067 6.675
1994 28 28 0 453,136 0.062 6.179 0.062 6.179
1995 40 40 0 471,494 0.085 8.484 0.085 8.484
1996 23 23 0 488,615 0.047 4.707 0.047 4.707
1997 15 15 0 502,926 0.030 2.983 0.030 2.983
1998 27 27 0 512,196 0.053 5.271 0.053 5.271
1999 21 21 0 514,114 0.041 4.085 0.041 4.085
2000 31 31 0 516,550 0.060 6.001 0.060 6.001
2001 30 30 0 520,774 0.058 5.761 0.058 5.761
2002 25 25 0 526,795 0.047 4.746 0.047 4.746
2003 30 30 0 532,283 0.056 5.636 0.056 5.636
2004 40 40 0 536,214 0.075 7.460 0.075 7.460
2005 24 24 0 541,631 0.044 4.431 0.044 4.431
2006 26 26 0 546,609 0.048 4.757 0.048 4.757
2007 30 30 0 549,133 0.055 5.463 0.055 5.463
2008 19 27 -8 547,708 0.035 3.469 0.049 4.884
2009 * 25 27 -2 544,101 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2010 * 25 26 -2 540,980 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2011 * 25 26 -2 539,454 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2012 * 25 26 -2 539,763 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2013 * 25 27 -2 543,084 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2014 * 25 27 -2 546,733 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2015 * 25 27 -2 549,948 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2016 * 25 27 -2 554,473 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2017 * 25 27 -2 558,984 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2018 * 26 28 -2 564,253 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2019 * 26 28 -2 571,357 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2020 * 26 28 -2 580,793 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2021 * 27 29 -2 591,425 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2022 * 27 29 -2 600,812 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2023 * 28 30 -2 609,773 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2024 * 28 30 -2 619,307 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2025 * 29 31 -2 626,283 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2026 * 29 31 -2 632,212 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2027 * 29 31 -2 638,710 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2028 * 29 32 -2 645,274 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2029 * 30 32 -2 651,741 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
2030 * 30 32 -2 657,441 0.046 4.560 0.049 4.884
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 5 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=ROB
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 85 85 0 369,166 0.230 23.025 0.230 23.025
1990 105 105 0 376,674 0.279 27.876 0.279 27.876
1991 129 129 0 391,830 0.329 32.922 0.329 32.922
1992 163 163 0 411,149 0.396 39.645 0.396 39.645
1993 169 169 0 434,463 0.389 38.899 0.389 38.899
1994 165 165 0 453,136 0.364 36.413 0.364 36.413
1995 196 196 0 471,494 0.416 41.570 0.416 41.570
1996 232 232 0 488,615 0.475 47.481 0.475 47.481
1997 152 152 0 502,926 0.302 30.223 0.302 30.223
1998 165 165 0 512,196 0.322 32.214 0.322 32.214
1999 186 186 0 514,114 0.362 36.179 0.362 36.179
2000 117 117 0 516,550 0.227 22.650 0.227 22.650
2001 109 109 0 520,774 0.209 20.930 0.209 20.930
2002 139 139 0 526,795 0.264 26.386 0.264 26.386
2003 109 109 0 532,283 0.205 20.478 0.205 20.478
2004 95 95 0 536,214 0.177 17.717 0.177 17.717
2005 87 87 0 541,631 0.161 16.063 0.161 16.063
2006 114 114 0 546,609 0.209 20.856 0.209 20.856
2007 113 113 0 549,133 0.206 20.578 0.206 20.578
2008 102 113 -11 547,708 0.186 18.623 0.206 20.578
2009 * 96 112 -16 544,101 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2010 * 95 111 -16 540,980 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2011 * 95 111 -16 539,454 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2012 * 95 111 -16 539,763 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2013 * 95 112 -16 543,084 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2014 * 96 113 -16 546,733 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2015 * 97 113 -16 549,948 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2016 * 97 114 -17 554,473 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2017 * 98 115 -17 558,984 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2018 * 99 116 -17 564,253 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2019 * 100 118 -17 571,357 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2020 * 102 120 -17 580,793 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2021 * 104 122 -18 591,425 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2022 * 106 124 -18 600,812 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2023 * 107 125 -18 609,773 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2024 * 109 127 -19 619,307 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2025 * 110 129 -19 626,283 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2026 * 111 130 -19 632,212 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2027 * 112 131 -19 638,710 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2028 * 113 133 -19 645,274 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2029 * 115 134 -20 651,741 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
2030 * 116 135 -20 657,441 0.176 17.580 0.206 20.578
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 6 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=SAS
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 86 86 0 369,166 0.233 23.296 0.233 23.296
1990 117 117 0 376,674 0.311 31.061 0.311 31.061
1991 122 122 0 391,830 0.311 31.136 0.311 31.136
1992 128 128 0 411,149 0.311 31.132 0.311 31.132
1993 158 158 0 434,463 0.364 36.367 0.364 36.367
1994 186 186 0 453,136 0.410 41.047 0.410 41.047
1995 182 182 0 471,494 0.386 38.601 0.386 38.601
1996 221 221 0 488,615 0.452 45.230 0.452 45.230
1997 114 114 0 502,926 0.227 22.667 0.227 22.667
1998 143 143 0 512,196 0.279 27.919 0.279 27.919
1999 158 158 0 514,114 0.307 30.732 0.307 30.732
2000 164 164 0 516,550 0.317 31.749 0.317 31.749
2001 101 101 0 520,774 0.194 19.394 0.194 19.394
2002 119 119 0 526,795 0.226 22.589 0.226 22.589
2003 84 84 0 532,283 0.158 15.781 0.158 15.781
2004 101 101 0 536,214 0.188 18.836 0.188 18.836
2005 94 94 0 541,631 0.174 17.355 0.174 17.355
2006 87 87 0 546,609 0.159 15.916 0.159 15.916
2007 98 98 0 549,133 0.178 17.846 0.178 17.846
2008 111 98 13 547,708 0.203 20.266 0.178 17.846
2009 * 122 97 25 544,101 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2010 * 122 97 25 540,980 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2011 * 121 96 25 539,454 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2012 * 122 96 25 539,763 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2013 * 122 97 25 543,084 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2014 * 123 98 25 546,733 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2015 * 124 98 26 549,948 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2016 * 125 99 26 554,473 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2017 * 126 100 26 558,984 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2018 * 127 101 26 564,253 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2019 * 129 102 27 571,357 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2020 * 131 104 27 580,793 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2021 * 133 106 28 591,425 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2022 * 135 107 28 600,812 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2023 * 137 109 28 609,773 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2024 * 139 111 29 619,307 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2025 * 141 112 29 626,283 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2026 * 142 113 29 632,212 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2027 * 144 114 30 638,710 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2028 * 145 115 30 645,274 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2029 * 147 116 30 651,741 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
2030 * 148 117 31 657,441 0.225 22.510 0.178 17.846
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 7 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=OAS
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 50 50 0 369,166 0.135 13.544 0.135 13.544
1990 42 42 0 376,674 0.112 11.150 0.112 11.150
1991 61 61 0 391,830 0.156 15.568 0.156 15.568
1992 69 69 0 411,149 0.168 16.782 0.168 16.782
1993 58 58 0 434,463 0.133 13.350 0.133 13.350
1994 81 81 0 453,136 0.179 17.875 0.179 17.875
1995 107 107 0 471,494 0.227 22.694 0.227 22.694
1996 104 104 0 488,615 0.213 21.285 0.213 21.285
1997 95 95 0 502,926 0.189 18.889 0.189 18.889
1998 158 158 0 512,196 0.308 30.848 0.308 30.848
1999 141 141 0 514,114 0.274 27.426 0.274 27.426
2000 149 149 0 516,550 0.288 28.845 0.288 28.845
2001 145 145 0 520,774 0.278 27.843 0.278 27.843
2002 151 151 0 526,795 0.287 28.664 0.287 28.664
2003 146 146 0 532,283 0.274 27.429 0.274 27.429
2004 102 102 0 536,214 0.190 19.022 0.190 19.022
2005 85 85 0 541,631 0.157 15.693 0.157 15.693
2006 84 84 0 546,609 0.154 15.367 0.154 15.367
2007 78 78 0 549,133 0.142 14.204 0.142 14.204
2008 65 74 -9 547,708 0.119 11.868 0.135 13.460
2009 * 55 73 -18 544,101 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2010 * 55 73 -18 540,980 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2011 * 55 73 -18 539,454 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2012 * 55 73 -18 539,763 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2013 * 55 73 -18 543,084 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2014 * 56 74 -18 546,733 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2015 * 56 74 -18 549,948 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2016 * 56 75 -18 554,473 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2017 * 57 75 -18 558,984 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2018 * 57 76 -19 564,253 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2019 * 58 77 -19 571,357 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2020 * 59 78 -19 580,793 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2021 * 60 80 -19 591,425 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2022 * 61 81 -20 600,812 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2023 * 62 82 -20 609,773 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2024 * 63 83 -20 619,307 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2025 * 64 84 -21 626,283 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2026 * 64 85 -21 632,212 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2027 * 65 86 -21 638,710 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2028 * 66 87 -21 645,274 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2029 * 66 88 -21 651,741 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
2030 * 67 88 -22 657,441 0.102 10.170 0.135 13.460
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 8 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=SPR
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 51 51 0 369,166 0.138 13.815 0.138 13.815
1990 69 69 0 376,674 0.183 18.318 0.183 18.318
1991 62 62 0 391,830 0.158 15.823 0.158 15.823
1992 75 75 0 411,149 0.182 18.242 0.182 18.242
1993 82 82 0 434,463 0.189 18.874 0.189 18.874
1994 82 82 0 453,136 0.181 18.096 0.181 18.096
1995 107 107 0 471,494 0.227 22.694 0.227 22.694
1996 128 128 0 488,615 0.262 26.196 0.262 26.196
1997 88 88 0 502,926 0.175 17.498 0.175 17.498
1998 58 58 0 512,196 0.113 11.324 0.113 11.324
1999 50 50 0 514,114 0.097 9.725 0.097 9.725
2000 37 37 0 516,550 0.072 7.163 0.072 7.163
2001 25 25 0 520,774 0.048 4.801 0.048 4.801
2002 42 42 0 526,795 0.080 7.973 0.080 7.973
2003 32 32 0 532,283 0.060 6.012 0.060 6.012
2004 30 30 0 536,214 0.056 5.595 0.056 5.595
2005 23 23 0 541,631 0.042 4.246 0.042 4.246
2006 21 21 0 546,609 0.038 3.842 0.038 3.842
2007 18 18 0 549,133 0.033 3.278 0.033 3.278
2008 32 21 11 547,708 0.058 5.843 0.038 3.789
2009 * 24 21 3 544,101 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2010 * 23 20 3 540,980 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2011 * 23 20 3 539,454 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2012 * 23 20 3 539,763 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2013 * 23 21 3 543,084 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2014 * 24 21 3 546,733 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2015 * 24 21 3 549,948 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2016 * 24 21 3 554,473 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2017 * 24 21 3 558,984 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2018 * 24 21 3 564,253 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2019 * 25 22 3 571,357 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2020 * 25 22 3 580,793 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2021 * 26 22 3 591,425 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2022 * 26 23 3 600,812 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2023 * 26 23 3 609,773 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2024 * 27 23 3 619,307 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2025 * 27 24 3 626,283 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2026 * 27 24 3 632,212 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2027 * 28 24 3 638,710 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2028 * 28 24 3 645,274 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2029 * 28 25 3 651,741 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
2030 * 28 25 3 657,441 0.043 4.320 0.038 3.789
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 9 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=BUR
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 288 288 0 369,166 0.780 78.014 0.780 78.014
1990 268 268 0 376,674 0.711 71.149 0.711 71.149
1991 211 211 0 391,830 0.538 53.850 0.538 53.850
1992 226 226 0 411,149 0.550 54.968 0.550 54.968
1993 244 244 0 434,463 0.562 56.161 0.562 56.161
1994 247 247 0 453,136 0.545 54.509 0.545 54.509
1995 205 205 0 471,494 0.435 43.479 0.435 43.479
1996 230 230 0 488,615 0.471 47.072 0.471 47.072
1997 203 203 0 502,926 0.404 40.364 0.404 40.364
1998 234 234 0 512,196 0.457 45.686 0.457 45.686
1999 238 238 0 514,114 0.463 46.293 0.463 46.293
2000 233 233 0 516,550 0.451 45.107 0.451 45.107
2001 205 205 0 520,774 0.394 39.364 0.394 39.364
2002 173 173 0 526,795 0.328 32.840 0.328 32.840
2003 221 221 0 532,283 0.415 41.519 0.415 41.519
2004 204 204 0 536,214 0.380 38.044 0.380 38.044
2005 159 159 0 541,631 0.294 29.356 0.294 29.356
2006 154 154 0 546,609 0.282 28.174 0.282 28.174
2007 151 151 0 549,133 0.275 27.498 0.275 27.498
2008 140 146 -6 547,708 0.256 25.561 0.266 26.569
2009 * 135 145 -9 544,101 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2010 * 135 144 -9 540,980 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2011 * 134 143 -9 539,454 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2012 * 134 143 -9 539,763 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2013 * 135 144 -9 543,084 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2014 * 136 145 -9 546,733 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2015 * 137 146 -9 549,948 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2016 * 138 147 -9 554,473 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2017 * 139 149 -9 558,984 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2018 * 140 150 -9 564,253 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2019 * 142 152 -10 571,357 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2020 * 145 154 -10 580,793 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2021 * 147 157 -10 591,425 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2022 * 150 160 -10 600,812 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2023 * 152 162 -10 609,773 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2024 * 154 165 -10 619,307 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2025 * 156 166 -10 626,283 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2026 * 157 168 -11 632,212 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2027 * 159 170 -11 638,710 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2028 * 161 171 -11 645,274 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2029 * 162 173 -11 651,741 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
2030 * 164 175 -11 657,441 0.249 24.900 0.266 26.569
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 10 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=OPR
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 214 214 0 369,166 0.580 57.968 0.580 57.968
1990 228 228 0 376,674 0.605 60.530 0.605 60.530
1991 241 241 0 391,830 0.615 61.506 0.615 61.506
1992 308 308 0 411,149 0.749 74.912 0.749 74.912
1993 326 326 0 434,463 0.750 75.035 0.750 75.035
1994 371 371 0 453,136 0.819 81.874 0.819 81.874
1995 460 460 0 471,494 0.976 97.562 0.976 97.562
1996 464 464 0 488,615 0.950 94.962 0.950 94.962
1997 347 347 0 502,926 0.690 68.996 0.690 68.996
1998 425 425 0 512,196 0.830 82.976 0.830 82.976
1999 405 405 0 514,114 0.788 78.776 0.788 78.776
2000 336 336 0 516,550 0.650 65.047 0.650 65.047
2001 319 319 0 520,774 0.613 61.255 0.613 61.255
2002 315 315 0 526,795 0.598 59.796 0.598 59.796
2003 276 276 0 532,283 0.519 51.852 0.519 51.852
2004 266 266 0 536,214 0.496 49.607 0.496 49.607
2005 235 235 0 541,631 0.434 43.388 0.434 43.388
2006 254 254 0 546,609 0.465 46.468 0.465 46.468
2007 207 207 0 549,133 0.377 37.696 0.377 37.696
2008 197 191 6 547,708 0.360 35.968 0.348 34.850
2009 * 168 190 -22 544,101 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2010 * 167 189 -22 540,980 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2011 * 166 188 -22 539,454 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2012 * 167 188 -22 539,763 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2013 * 168 189 -22 543,084 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2014 * 169 191 -22 546,733 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2015 * 170 192 -22 549,948 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2016 * 171 193 -22 554,473 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2017 * 173 195 -22 558,984 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2018 * 174 197 -23 564,253 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2019 * 176 199 -23 571,357 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2020 * 179 202 -23 580,793 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2021 * 183 206 -24 591,425 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2022 * 185 209 -24 600,812 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2023 * 188 213 -24 609,773 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2024 * 191 216 -25 619,307 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2025 * 193 218 -25 626,283 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2026 * 195 220 -25 632,212 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2027 * 197 223 -25 638,710 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2028 * 199 225 -26 645,274 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2029 * 201 227 -26 651,741 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
2030 * 203 229 -26 657,441 0.309 30.860 0.348 34.850
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 11 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=DRG
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 70 70 0 369,166 0.190 18.962 0.190 18.962
1990 131 131 0 376,674 0.348 34.778 0.348 34.778
1991 141 141 0 391,830 0.360 35.985 0.360 35.985
1992 138 138 0 411,149 0.336 33.564 0.336 33.564
1993 143 143 0 434,463 0.329 32.914 0.329 32.914
1994 141 141 0 453,136 0.311 31.116 0.311 31.116
1995 146 146 0 471,494 0.310 30.965 0.310 30.965
1996 121 121 0 488,615 0.248 24.764 0.248 24.764
1997 68 68 0 502,926 0.135 13.521 0.135 13.521
1998 136 136 0 512,196 0.266 26.552 0.266 26.552
1999 123 123 0 514,114 0.239 23.925 0.239 23.925
2000 121 121 0 516,550 0.234 23.425 0.234 23.425
2001 108 108 0 520,774 0.207 20.738 0.207 20.738
2002 82 82 0 526,795 0.156 15.566 0.156 15.566
2003 103 103 0 532,283 0.194 19.351 0.194 19.351
2004 73 73 0 536,214 0.136 13.614 0.136 13.614
2005 62 62 0 541,631 0.114 11.447 0.114 11.447
2006 76 76 0 546,609 0.139 13.904 0.139 13.904
2007 65 65 0 549,133 0.118 11.837 0.118 11.837
2008 42 65 -23 547,708 0.077 7.668 0.118 11.837
2009 * 61 64 -4 544,101 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2010 * 61 64 -3 540,980 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2011 * 60 64 -3 539,454 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2012 * 60 64 -3 539,763 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2013 * 61 64 -4 543,084 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2014 * 61 65 -4 546,733 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2015 * 62 65 -4 549,948 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2016 * 62 66 -4 554,473 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2017 * 63 66 -4 558,984 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2018 * 63 67 -4 564,253 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2019 * 64 68 -4 571,357 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2020 * 65 69 -4 580,793 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2021 * 66 70 -4 591,425 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2022 * 67 71 -4 600,812 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2023 * 68 72 -4 609,773 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2024 * 69 73 -4 619,307 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2025 * 70 74 -4 626,283 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2026 * 71 75 -4 632,212 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2027 * 71 76 -4 638,710 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2028 * 72 76 -4 645,274 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2029 * 73 77 -4 651,741 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
2030 * 74 78 -4 657,441 0.112 11.190 0.118 11.837
PDF File: JRAFC 02C Old v New Offense Grids Prepared for: November 2008 JRA Forecast 12 of 12Caseload Forecast Council JRAFC 02C Generate Old and New Assumption Off Grids.sas SAS run date: 10/02/2008
OFMS=OCR
FiscalYear
________FC__
JRAAdmitsNewFC______
JRAAdmitsOldFC______
JRAAdmits
New-Old______
Avg. 12-17Population
____________
NewFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
NewFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
OldFCAdmits Per 1,000 Age
12-17___________
OldFCAdmits Per
100,000 Age12-17
___________
1989 30 30 0 369,166 0.081 8.126 0.081 8.126
1990 37 37 0 376,674 0.098 9.823 0.098 9.823
1991 38 38 0 391,830 0.097 9.698 0.097 9.698
1992 30 30 0 411,149 0.073 7.297 0.073 7.297
1993 49 49 0 434,463 0.113 11.278 0.113 11.278
1994 54 54 0 453,136 0.119 11.917 0.119 11.917
1995 99 99 0 471,494 0.210 20.997 0.210 20.997
1996 80 80 0 488,615 0.164 16.373 0.164 16.373
1997 51 51 0 502,926 0.101 10.141 0.101 10.141
1998 55 55 0 512,196 0.107 10.738 0.107 10.738
1999 59 59 0 514,114 0.115 11.476 0.115 11.476
2000 70 70 0 516,550 0.136 13.551 0.136 13.551
2001 57 57 0 520,774 0.109 10.945 0.109 10.945
2002 43 43 0 526,795 0.082 8.163 0.082 8.163
2003 53 53 0 532,283 0.100 9.957 0.100 9.957
2004 51 51 0 536,214 0.095 9.511 0.095 9.511
2005 47 47 0 541,631 0.087 8.678 0.087 8.678
2006 61 61 0 546,609 0.112 11.160 0.112 11.160
2007 54 54 0 549,133 0.098 9.834 0.098 9.834
2008 44 54 -10 547,708 0.080 8.033 0.099 9.890
2009 * 53 54 -1 544,101 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2010 * 52 54 -1 540,980 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2011 * 52 53 -1 539,454 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2012 * 52 53 -1 539,763 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2013 * 53 54 -1 543,084 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2014 * 53 54 -1 546,733 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2015 * 53 54 -1 549,948 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2016 * 54 55 -1 554,473 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2017 * 54 55 -1 558,984 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2018 * 55 56 -1 564,253 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2019 * 55 57 -1 571,357 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2020 * 56 57 -1 580,793 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2021 * 57 58 -1 591,425 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2022 * 58 59 -1 600,812 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2023 * 59 60 -1 609,773 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2024 * 60 61 -1 619,307 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2025 * 61 62 -1 626,283 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2026 * 61 63 -1 632,212 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2027 * 62 63 -1 638,710 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2028 * 62 64 -1 645,274 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2029 * 63 64 -1 651,741 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
2030 * 64 65 -1 657,441 0.097 9.670 0.099 9.890
Page C - 1
APPENDIX C
Criminal Justice Background Data
JUVENILE COMMITMENTS TO STATE (JRA) INSTITUTIONS
Burglary AutoCY Homicide Sex Robbery Assault & Theft Theft Drug Other Total
199219931994199519961997 2 208 122 235 385 134 74 93 1,2531998 4 171 195 262 461 149 116 146 1,5041999 8 178 142 306 465 96 138 155 1,4882000 4 178 130 269 443 101 108 156 1,3892001 9 187 130 251 337 83 97 142 1,2362002 12 159 130 229 388 85 96 139 1,2382003 5 169 101 213 373 70 84 128 1,1432004 13 203 125 195 346 70 63 126 1,1412005 12 154 117 195 302 42 76 143 1,0412006 14 138 132 163 323 41 70 132 1,0132007 9 139 138 195 286 36 61 104 96820082009
Rate/1,000 Age 12-17 Burglary Auto PopulationCY Homicide Sex Robbery Assault & Theft Theft Drug Other Total 12 - 17
1992 417,6811993 441,0941994 457,9151995 477,2331996 493,0231997 0.00 0.41 0.24 0.46 0.76 0.26 0.15 0.18 2.47 506,7341998 0.01 0.33 0.38 0.51 0.90 0.29 0.23 0.28 2.93 513,7001999 0.02 0.35 0.28 0.60 0.90 0.19 0.27 0.30 2.89 514,1662000 0.01 0.34 0.25 0.52 0.86 0.20 0.21 0.30 2.68 517,8022001 0.02 0.36 0.25 0.48 0.65 0.16 0.19 0.27 2.37 522,1212002 0.02 0.30 0.25 0.43 0.73 0.16 0.18 0.26 2.34 528,8062003 0.01 0.32 0.19 0.40 0.70 0.13 0.16 0.24 2.14 533,5002004 0.02 0.38 0.23 0.36 0.64 0.13 0.12 0.23 2.12 537,4602005 0.02 0.28 0.22 0.36 0.56 0.08 0.14 0.26 1.92 543,4162006 0.03 0.25 0.24 0.30 0.59 0.07 0.13 0.24 1.85 547,7272007 0.02 0.25 0.25 0.35 0.52 0.07 0.11 0.19 1.76 549,3872008 546,7252009 543,038
Source: JRA ACT Data (JRA_ADMITS 08 Table 8E
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
1,0
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Total Commitments
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.03
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Homicide
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Sex
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Robbery
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Assault
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Burglary/Theft
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Motor Vehicle Theft
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Drug
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Other
JRA COMMITMENTS BY OFM CATEGORY
JUVENILE COMMITMENTS TO STATE (JRA) INSTITUTIONS
Last Actual
3 Year Average
2 Year Trend
FY MurderSerious
Sex Other Sex RobberySerious Assault
Other Assault
Serious Property Burglary 2
Other Property
Drug Crimes
Other Crimes Total
2004 6 155 40 95 102 103 30 204 267 74 51 1,1272005 11 142 24 87 94 85 23 159 235 62 47 9692006 8 113 26 114 87 84 21 154 254 76 61 9982007 7 109 30 113 99 78 18 151 207 65 54 9312008 3 106 19 102 111 65 32 142 197 43 44 8642009 6 102 25 95 122 55 23 135 168 61 53 8452010 6 101 25 95 122 55 23 135 167 60 52 8412011 6 101 25 95 121 55 23 134 166 60 52 839
Rate/1,000 Age 12-17 Population
FY MurderSerious
Sex Other Sex RobberySerious Assault
Other Assault
Serious Property Burglary 2
Other Property
Drug Crimes
Other Crimes Total 12 - 17
2004 0.0112 0.2884 0.0744 0.1768 0.1898 0.1916 0.0558 0.3796 0.4968 0.1377 0.0949 2.0969 537,460
2005 0.0202 0.2613 0.0442 0.1601 0.1730 0.1564 0.0423 0.2926 0.4324 0.1141 0.0865 1.7832 543,416
2006 0.0146 0.2063 0.0475 0.2081 0.1588 0.1534 0.0383 0.2812 0.4637 0.1388 0.1114 1.8221 547,727
2007 0.0127 0.1984 0.0546 0.2057 0.1802 0.1420 0.0328 0.2749 0.3768 0.1183 0.0983 1.6946 549,387
2008 0.0055 0.1939 0.0348 0.1866 0.2030 0.1189 0.0585 0.2597 0.3603 0.0787 0.0805 1.5803 546,725
2009 0.0109 0.1877 0.0456 0.1758 0.2251 0.1017 0.0432 0.2490 0.3086 0.1119 0.0967 1.5562 543,038
2010 0.0109 0.1877 0.0456 0.1758 0.2251 0.1017 0.0432 0.2490 0.3086 0.1119 0.0967 1.5562 540,255
2011 0.0109 0.1877 0.0456 0.1758 0.2251 0.1017 0.0432 0.2490 0.3086 0.1119 0.0967 1.5562 539,268
Source: JRA ACT Data (ACT_ADMITSm 07 Table 7E
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Total 2.0969 1.7832 1.8221 1.6946 1.5803 1.5562 1.5562 1.5562
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Rat
e p
er 1
,000
Ag
e 12
-17
Calendar Year
Total Commitments
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Total 2.0969 1.7832 1.8221 1.6946 1.5803
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Total
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Murder 0.0112 0.0202 0.0146 0.0127 0.0055
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Murder
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Serious Sex 0.2884 0.2613 0.2063 0.1984 0.1939
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Serious Sex
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Other Sex 0.0744 0.0442 0.0475 0.0546 0.0348
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Other Sex
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Robbery 0.1768 0.1601 0.2081 0.2057 0.1866
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Robbery
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Serious Assault 0.1898 0.1730 0.1588 0.1802 0.2030
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Serious Assault
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Other Assault 0.1916 0.1564 0.1534 0.1420 0.1189
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Other Assault
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Serious Property 0.0558 0.0423 0.0383 0.0328 0.0585
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Serious Property
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Burglary 2 0.3796 0.2926 0.2812 0.2749 0.2597
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Burglary 2
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Other Property 0.4968 0.4324 0.4637 0.3768 0.3603
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Other Property
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Drug Crimes 0.1377 0.1141 0.1388 0.1183 0.0787
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Drug Crimes
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Other Crimes 0.0949 0.0865 0.1114 0.0983 0.0805
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Other Crimes
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Total 2.0969 1.7832 1.8221 1.6946 1.5803 1.5562 1.5562 1.5562
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Total
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Murder 0.0112 0.0202 0.0146 0.0127 0.0055 0.0109 0.0109 0.0109
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Murder
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Serious Sex 0.2884 0.2613 0.2063 0.1984 0.1939 0.1877 0.1877 0.1877
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Serious Sex
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Other Sex 0.0744 0.0442 0.0475 0.0546 0.0348 0.0456 0.0456 0.0456
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Other Sex
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Robbery 0.1768 0.1601 0.2081 0.2057 0.1866 0.1758 0.1758 0.1758
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Robbery
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Serious Assault 0.1898 0.1730 0.1588 0.1802 0.2030 0.2251 0.2251 0.2251
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Serious Assault
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Other Assault 0.1916 0.1564 0.1534 0.1420 0.1189 0.1017 0.1017 0.1017
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Other Assault
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Serious Property 0.0558 0.0423 0.0383 0.0328 0.0585 0.0432 0.0432 0.0432
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Serious Property
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Burglary 2 0.3796 0.2926 0.2812 0.2749 0.2597 0.2490 0.2490 0.2490
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Burglary 2
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Other Property 0.4968 0.4324 0.4637 0.3768 0.3603 0.3086 0.3086 0.3086
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Other Property
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Drug Crimes 0.1377 0.1141 0.1388 0.1183 0.0787 0.1119 0.1119 0.1119
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Drug Crimes
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Other Crimes 0.0949 0.0865 0.1114 0.0983 0.0805 0.0967 0.0967 0.0967
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Ag
e 1
2-1
7
Calendar Year
Other Crimes
REPORTED CRIMES
CY Murder Rape Robbery Assault Burglary TheftAuto Theft Drug
Other Sex Total
Rape & Sex Violent
Burglary & Auto theft Total Total
1985 235 2,475 6,010 10,519 81,519 179,494 13,008 293,261 19,239 94,528 293,261 293,2611986 228 2,441 6,242 11,128 84,888 194,181 14,365 313,473 20,040 99,252 313,473 313,4731987 264 2,437 6,690 11,203 87,802 198,339 18,457 325,191 20,593 106,259 325,191 325,1911988 268 2,644 6,941 12,087 86,538 202,179 20,347 331,004 21,940 106,885 331,004 331,0041989 218 3,016 6,919 12,985 75,359 199,348 22,369 320,214 23,138 97,729 320,214 320,2141990 243 3,170 6,472 14,968 62,562 197,850 22,188 307,454 24,854 84,750 307,454 307,4541991 221 3,605 7,400 15,319 61,711 205,108 22,228 315,593 26,546 83,939 315,593 315,5931992 261 3,722 7,255 16,490 58,170 209,231 24,416 319,546 27,728 82,587 319,546 319,5461993 270 3,334 7,210 16,164 55,286 203,784 23,775 309,823 26,978 79,061 309,823 309,8231994 305 3,164 7,457 16,359 55,888 211,748 26,844 321,766 27,286 82,732 321,766 321,7661995 280 3,139 7,161 15,558 59,092 222,657 30,029 337,917 26,138 89,121 337,917 337,9171996 261 2,858 6,584 14,211 58,974 217,454 29,070 329,412 23,914 88,044 329,412 329,4121997 242 2,880 6,750 14,906 61,897 213,959 31,872 332,507 24,779 93,769 332,507 332,5071998 218 2,805 6,496 14,546 59,179 205,752 34,845 323,840 24,064 94,024 323,840 323,8401999 172 2,714 5,864 13,157 54,880 192,749 33,984 303,520 21,907 88,864 303,520 303,5202000 197 2,719 5,868 13,181 53,600 192,187 35,177 302,928 21,965 88,777 302,928 302,9282001 179 2,590 5,924 12,448 52,502 192,001 38,700 304,344 21,141 91,202 304,344 304,3442002 185 2,698 5,795 12,188 54,257 189,962 40,194 305,278 20,865 94,451 305,278 305,2782003 185 2,804 5,790 12,574 58,243 192,079 40,889 312,563 21,353 99,131 312,563 312,5632004 194 2,873 5,975 12,479 61,180 198,182 43,956 324,839 21,521 105,136 324,839 324,8392005 205 2,764 5,779 12,835 59,892 195,128 49,091 325,694 21,583 108,983 325,694 325,6942006 190 2,704 6,463 12,802 58,079 180,879 45,569 306,684 22,158 103,647 306,684 306,6842007 178 2,570 6,062 12,727 52,095 167,905 37,057 278,595 21,537 89,152 278,595 278,59520082009
Rate/1,000 Age 12-17 Age 12-39 Age 18-39
CY Murder Rape Robbery Assault Burglary Theft
Auto Theft Drug
Other Sex Total
Rape & Sex Violent
Burglary & Auto theft
Adult and Juvenile Adult Only
1985 0.6 6.4 15.4 27.0 209.4 461.1 33.4 753.4 49.4 242.8 141.8 174.61986 0.6 6.4 16.3 29.1 221.7 507.0 37.5 818.5 52.3 259.2 151.4 185.71987 0.7 6.5 17.7 29.7 232.9 526.0 49.0 862.5 54.6 281.8 157.1 192.11988 0.7 7.1 18.7 32.5 233.0 544.3 54.8 891.2 59.1 287.8 158.9 193.41989 0.6 8.2 18.7 35.2 204.2 540.1 60.6 867.5 62.7 264.8 151.6 183.81990 0.6 8.3 17.0 39.3 164.3 519.6 58.3 807.5 65.3 222.6 142.8 173.41991 0.6 9.1 18.7 38.6 155.6 517.1 56.0 795.6 66.9 211.6 143.2 174.61992 0.6 8.9 17.4 39.5 139.3 500.9 58.5 765.0 66.4 197.7 142.4 175.01993 0.6 7.6 16.3 36.6 125.3 462.0 53.9 702.4 61.2 179.2 135.8 168.31994 0.7 6.9 16.3 35.7 122.0 462.4 58.6 702.7 59.6 180.7 139.7 174.31995 0 6 6 6 15 0 32 6 123 8 466 6 62 9 708 1 54 8 186 7 145 1 182 41995 0.6 6.6 15.0 32.6 123.8 466.6 62.9 708.1 54.8 186.7 145.1 182.41996 0.5 5.8 13.4 28.8 119.6 441.1 59.0 668.1 48.5 178.6 140.2 177.51997 0.5 5.7 13.3 29.4 122.1 422.2 62.9 656.2 48.9 185.0 140.3 178.41998 0.4 5.5 12.6 28.3 115.2 400.5 67.8 630.4 46.8 183.0 135.8 173.21999 0.3 5.3 11.4 25.6 106.7 374.9 66.1 590.3 42.6 172.8 126.8 161.52000 0.4 5.3 11.3 25.5 103.5 371.2 67.9 585.0 42.4 171.4 126.1 160.82001 0.3 5.0 11.3 23.8 100.6 367.7 74.1 582.9 40.5 174.7 126.1 161.02002 0.3 5.1 11.0 23.0 102.6 359.2 76.0 577.3 39.5 178.6 126.1 161.32003 0.3 5.3 10.9 23.6 109.2 360.0 76.6 585.9 40.0 185.8 128.9 165.32004 0.4 5.3 11.1 23.2 113.8 368.7 81.8 604.4 40.0 195.6 133.4 171.12005 0.4 5.1 10.6 23.6 110.2 359.1 90.3 599.3 39.7 200.6 132.6 170.32006 0.3 4.9 11.8 23.4 106.0 330.2 83.2 559.9 40.5 189.2 122.8 157.32007 0.3 4.7 11.0 23.2 94.8 305.6 67.5 507.1 39.2 162.3 109.9 140.320082009
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
1,0
00
Po
p A
ge
12
-17
Calendar Year
Total Felonies
REPORTED CRIMES
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p A
ge
12
-17
Calendar Year
Murder
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p A
ge
12
-17
Calendar Year
Rape
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p A
ge
12
-17
Calendar Year
Robbery
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p A
ge
12
-17
Calendar Year
Assault
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p A
ge
12
-17
Calendar Year
Burglary/Theft
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p A
ge
12
-17
Calendar Year
Motor Vehicle Theft
JUVENILE FELONY ARRESTS
JUVENILE FELONY ARRESTS
CY Murder Rape Robbery Assault Burglary TheftAuto Theft Drug
Other Sex Total
Rape & Sex Violent
Burglary & Auto theft
Total Adult + Juvenile Total Adult
1985 11 122 359 716 4,977 16,686 1,598 1,513 492 26,475 614 1,208 6,576 73,578 47,1031986 21 110 388 643 4,373 16,738 1,370 1,575 447 25,665 557 1,162 5,743 75,964 50,2991987 18 135 436 701 4,125 16,628 1,799 1,626 510 25,977 645 1,290 5,925 80,610 54,6321988 26 166 447 827 3,943 16,489 1,961 2,011 494 26,364 659 1,466 5,904 91,092 64,7281989 23 183 477 909 3,620 16,021 2,027 1,924 439 25,622 622 1,592 5,647 91,298 65,6761990 32 230 520 1,125 3,477 16,999 2,575 1,301 555 26,814 785 1,907 6,052 88,458 61,6441991 21 245 768 1,319 3,882 18,756 2,610 1,225 583 29,410 828 2,354 6,492 90,275 60,8651992 31 276 742 1,354 3,996 19,362 3,025 1,446 600 30,832 875 2,403 7,021 91,169 60,3361993 37 262 795 1,420 3,824 18,657 2,522 1,836 620 29,973 883 2,514 6,345 89,787 59,8151994 63 283 987 1,839 3,848 21,691 2,633 2,663 742 34,749 1,025 3,172 6,481 100,913 66,1641995 56 204 845 1,615 3,512 20,615 2,376 3,041 389 32,654 593 2,721 5,889 99,047 66,3931996 54 185 855 1,440 3,724 20,633 1,858 3,606 374 32,729 559 2,534 5,582 96,443 63,7141997 60 220 821 1,419 3,253 17,925 1,786 4,364 374 30,222 594 2,520 5,039 95,456 65,2341998 29 187 815 1,301 3,307 15,843 1,694 3,257 320 26,753 507 2,332 5,001 89,780 63,0271999 29 215 585 1,269 2,856 14,378 1,491 3,336 355 24,514 570 2,098 4,347 85,931 61,4172000 33 217 584 1,188 2,478 13,165 1,458 3,557 345 23,024 562 2,021 3,936 87,466 64,4432001 24 176 520 1,160 2,161 11,005 1,298 3,629 335 20,308 511 1,881 3,458 84,361 64,0532002 15 196 461 1,017 2,337 10,655 1,139 3,533 355 19,707 551 1,688 3,476 80,135 60,4282003 9 225 466 999 2,356 10,272 1,074 3,526 345 19,272 569 1,699 3,430 83,233 63,9612004 12 139 446 1,006 2,082 9,795 950 3,022 327 17,780 466 1,603 3,032 81,616 63,8362005 20 145 447 925 2,037 8,801 849 3,059 270 16,552 416 1,537 2,885 81,537 64,9852006 25 146 556 885 2,046 8,206 729 3,253 231 16,076 377 1,612 2,775 84,869 68,7932007 18 136 624 983 1,944 8,875 592 3,291 212 16,676 348 1,761 2,536 84,344 67,66820082009
Rate/1,000 Age 12-17 Age 12-39 Age 18-39
CY Murder Rape Robbery Assault Burglary Theft
Auto Theft Drug
Other Sex Total
Rape & Sex Violent
Burglary & Auto theft
Adult and Juvenile Adult Only
1985 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.8 12.8 42.9 4.1 3.9 1.3 68.0 1.6 3.1 16.9 35.6 28.01986 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.7 11.4 43.7 3.6 4.1 1.2 67.0 1.5 3.0 15.0 36.7 29.81987 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.9 10.9 44.1 4.8 4.3 1.4 68.9 1.7 3.4 15.7 38.9 32.31988 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.2 10.6 44.4 5.3 5.4 1.3 71.0 1.8 3.9 15.9 43.7 37.81989 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.5 9.8 43.4 5.5 5.2 1.2 69.4 1.7 4.3 15.3 43.2 37.71990 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.0 9.1 44.6 6.8 3.4 1.5 70.4 2.1 5.0 15.9 41.1 34.81991 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.3 9.8 47.3 6.6 3.1 1.5 74.1 2.1 5.9 16.4 41.0 33.71992 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.2 9.6 46.4 7.2 3.5 1.4 73.8 2.1 5.8 16.8 40.6 33.01993 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.2 8.7 42.3 5.7 4.2 1.4 68.0 2.0 5.7 14.4 39.3 32.51994 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.0 8.4 47.4 5.7 5.8 1.6 75.9 2.2 6.9 14.2 43.8 35.91995 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.4 7.4 43.2 5.0 6.4 0.8 68.4 1.2 5.7 12.3 42.5 35.81996 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.9 7.6 41.8 3.8 7.3 0.8 66.4 1.1 5.1 11.3 41.1 34.31997 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.8 6.4 35.4 3.5 8.6 0.7 59.6 1.2 5.0 9.9 40.3 35.01998 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.5 6.4 30.8 3.3 6.3 0.6 52.1 1.0 4.5 9.7 37.7 33.71999 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 5.6 28.0 2.9 6.5 0.7 47.7 1.1 4.1 8.5 35.9 32.72000 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 4.8 25.4 2.8 6.9 0.7 44.5 1.1 3.9 7.6 36.4 34.22001 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.1 21.1 2.5 7.0 0.6 38.9 1.0 3.6 6.6 35.0 33.92002 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.9 4.4 20.1 2.2 6.7 0.7 37.3 1.0 3.2 6.6 33.1 31.92003 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.9 4.4 19.3 2.0 6.6 0.6 36.1 1.1 3.2 6.4 34.3 33.82004 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.9 18.2 1.8 5.6 0.6 33.1 0.9 3.0 5.6 33.5 33.62005 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.7 16.2 1.6 5.6 0.5 30.5 0.8 2.8 5.3 33.2 34.02006 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 3.7 15.0 1.3 5.9 0.4 29.3 0.7 2.9 5.1 34.0 35.32007 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.8 3.5 16.2 1.1 6.0 0.4 30.4 0.6 3.2 4.6 33.3 34.120082009
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Rat
e p
er 1
,000
Po
p A
ge
12-1
7
Calendar Year
Total Juvenile Felony Arrest Rate
Sources: WASPC, CFC
Calendar Year
ADULT FELONY ARRESTS
CY Murder Rape Robbery Assault Burglary TheftAuto Theft Drug
Other Sex Total
Rape & Sex Violent
Burglary & Auto theft
1985 209 717 986 3,564 4,473 27,702 1,001 6,289 2,162 47,103 2,879 5,477 5,4751986 229 638 1,076 2,846 4,693 30,388 1,004 7,640 1,785 50,299 2,424 4,789 5,6971987 226 639 1,060 2,823 4,532 30,616 1,247 11,578 1,911 54,632 2,550 4,748 5,7791988 289 823 1,237 3,771 5,040 33,694 1,371 16,458 2,045 64,728 2,868 6,120 6,4111989 227 889 1,301 3,559 4,990 33,083 1,480 17,988 2,159 65,676 3,048 5,976 6,4701990 224 894 1,076 4,053 4,186 32,524 1,254 14,867 2,567 61,644 3,460 6,247 5,4401991 198 938 1,148 4,559 4,158 31,503 1,408 14,183 2,770 60,865 3,708 6,842 5,5661992 226 881 1,317 4,403 4,136 31,197 1,309 14,048 2,820 60,336 3,700 6,827 5,4451993 207 940 1,218 4,300 3,549 30,263 1,194 15,412 2,731 59,815 3,671 6,665 4,7431994 269 907 1,402 4,871 3,800 31,636 1,315 19,542 2,420 66,164 3,328 7,450 5,1151995 226 889 1,375 6,309 3,959 30,645 1,601 19,463 1,927 66,393 2,816 8,799 5,5601996 221 778 1,238 4,837 3,756 30,226 1,317 19,400 1,940 63,714 2,718 7,074 5,0731997 195 775 1,387 5,156 3,958 27,546 1,412 22,990 1,814 65,234 2,589 7,513 5,3711998 174 761 1,356 5,096 4,094 24,804 1,522 23,631 1,588 63,027 2,349 7,387 5,6161999 177 760 1,333 4,903 3,978 23,746 1,665 23,473 1,382 61,417 2,142 7,172 5,6432000 190 718 1,375 5,322 3,933 23,020 1,875 26,391 1,618 64,443 2,337 7,606 5,8082001 155 688 1,509 5,241 3,922 22,661 1,750 26,542 1,585 64,053 2,273 7,594 5,6722002 144 788 1,347 4,612 3,703 22,351 1,617 24,442 1,423 60,428 2,211 6,892 5,3212003 144 760 1,386 4,885 4,078 23,481 1,720 26,231 1,276 63,961 2,036 7,175 5,7982004 166 769 1,483 4,852 4,532 24,632 1,786 24,258 1,358 63,836 2,127 7,269 6,3182005 207 754 1,449 4,935 4,603 24,686 1,985 25,202 1,163 64,985 1,917 7,346 6,5882006 185 789 1,604 4,870 4,759 22,398 2,038 30,717 1,432 68,793 2,221 7,448 6,7972007 158 749 1,601 4,894 4,164 23,527 1,704 29,792 1,077 67,668 1,826 7,403 5,86820082009
Rate/1,000 Age 18-39
CY Murder Rape Robbery Assault Burglary Theft
Auto Theft Drug
Other Sex Total
Rape & Sex Violent
Burglary & Auto theft
1985 0.1 0.4 0.6 2.1 2.7 16.5 0.6 3.7 1.3 28.0 1.7 3.3 3.31986 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.7 2.8 18.0 0.6 4.5 1.1 29.8 1.4 2.8 3.41987 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.7 2.7 18.1 0.7 6.8 1.1 32.3 1.5 2.8 3.41988 0.2 0.5 0.7 2.2 2.9 19.7 0.8 9.6 1.2 37.8 1.7 3.6 3.71989 0.1 0.5 0.7 2.0 2.9 19.0 0.8 10.3 1.2 37.7 1.7 3.4 3.71990 0.1 0.5 0.6 2.3 2.4 18.3 0.7 8.4 1.4 34.8 2.0 3.5 3.11991 0.1 0.5 0.6 2.5 2.3 17.4 0.8 7.8 1.5 33.7 2.1 3.8 3.11992 0.1 0.5 0.7 2.4 2.3 17.1 0.7 7.7 1.5 33.0 2.0 3.7 3.01993 0.1 0.5 0.7 2.3 1.9 16.4 0.6 8.4 1.5 32.5 2.0 3.6 2.61994 0.1 0.5 0.8 2.6 2.1 17.1 0.7 10.6 1.3 35.9 1.8 4.0 2.81995 0.1 0.5 0.7 3.4 2.1 16.5 0.9 10.5 1.0 35.8 1.5 4.8 3.01996 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.6 2.0 16.3 0.7 10.5 1.0 34.3 1.5 3.8 2.71997 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.8 2.1 14.8 0.8 12.3 1.0 35.0 1.4 4.0 2.91998 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.7 2.2 13.3 0.8 12.6 0.8 33.7 1.3 3.9 3.01999 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.6 2.1 12.6 0.9 12.5 0.7 32.7 1.1 3.8 3.02000 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.8 2.1 12.2 1.0 14.0 0.9 34.2 1.2 4.0 3.12001 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.8 2.1 12.0 0.9 14.0 0.8 33.9 1.2 4.0 3.02002 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.4 2.0 11.8 0.9 12.9 0.8 31.9 1.2 3.6 2.82003 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.6 2.2 12.4 0.9 13.9 0.7 33.8 1.1 3.8 3.12004 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.6 2.4 13.0 0.9 12.8 0.7 33.6 1.1 3.8 3.32005 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.6 2.4 12.9 1.0 13.2 0.6 34.0 1.0 3.8 3.42006 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.5 2.4 11.5 1.0 15.8 0.7 35.3 1.1 3.8 3.52007 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.5 2.1 11.8 0.9 15.0 0.5 34.1 0.9 3.7 3.020082009
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Rat
e p
er 1
,000
Po
p A
ge
18-3
9
Calendar Year
Total Adult Felony Arrest Rate
Sources: WASPC, CFC
Calendar Year
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p (
Ag
e 1
2-1
7 o
r 1
8-3
9)
Calendar Year
Murder
Juvenile
Adult
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p (
Ag
e 1
2-1
7 o
r 1
8-3
9)
Calendar Year
Rape
Juvenile
Adult
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p (
Ag
e 1
2-1
7 o
r 1
8-3
9)
Calendar Year
Robbery
Juvenile
Adult
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p (
Ag
e 1
2-1
7 o
r 1
8-3
9)
Calendar Year
Assault
Juvenile
Adult
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p (
Ag
e 1
2-1
7 o
r 1
8-3
9)
Calendar Year
Burglary/Theft
Juvenile
Adult
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p (
Ag
e 1
2-1
7 o
r 1
8-3
9)
Calendar Year
Motor Vehicle Theft
Juvenile
Adult
VOLUME
42 727 485 889 4960 2248 842 363354 637 437 899 4420 1965 932 360755 669 650 1058 4880 2302 1190 235543 653 641 1140 5065 2317 1408 2701
RATE
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p (
Ag
e 1
2-1
7 o
r 1
8-3
9)
Calendar Year
Drug
Juvenile
Adult
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te p
er
10
00
Po
p (
Ag
e 1
2-1
7 o
r 1
8-3
9)
Calendar Year
Other Sex
Juvenile
Adult
OFFICE OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT POPULATION FORECASTOFM Pop FC updated: 11/8/2007
Male Female Total State Male Female Total
12 to 17 18 to 39 12 to 17 18 to 39 12 to 17 18 to 39 12 to 39 10 to 17 10 to 17 10 to 17
1983 203,279 839,334 192,969 814,734 396,248 1,654,068 2,050,316 1983 263,774 251,055 514,829
1984 201,524 843,934 191,214 819,482 392,738 1,663,416 2,056,154 1984 259,800 247,125 506,925
1985 199,535 851,922 189,739 827,613 389,274 1,679,535 2,068,809 1985 258,613 245,620 504,233
1986 196,475 856,290 186,491 831,825 382,966 1,688,115 2,071,081 1986 256,945 243,881 500,826
1987 193,388 858,731 183,659 833,988 377,047 1,692,719 2,069,766 1987 255,749 242,879 498,628
1988 190,403 868,194 181,026 843,082 371,429 1,711,276 2,082,705 1988 254,856 242,775 497,631
1989 189,556 883,508 179,553 858,949 369,109 1,742,457 2,111,566 1989 256,751 243,824 500,575
1990 195,899 897,717 184,871 875,037 380,770 1,772,754 2,153,524 1990 268,814 253,798 522,612
1991 204,401 915,805 192,278 891,326 396,679 1,807,131 2,203,810 1991 283,716 266,835 550,551
1992 215,224 926,326 202,457 899,761 417,681 1,826,087 2,243,768 1992 295,162 277,984 573,146
1993 227,450 934,929 213,644 906,139 441,094 1,841,068 2,282,162 1993 308,694 290,816 599,510
1994 236,060 938,460 221,855 907,069 457,915 1,845,529 2,303,444 1994 319,643 300,982 620,625
1995 245,862 942,978 231,371 909,183 477,233 1,852,161 2,329,394 1995 330,259 311,084 641,343
1996 254,319 945,712 238,704 910,127 493,023 1,855,839 2,348,862 1996 340,016 320,000 660,016
1997 261,383 950,905 245,351 912,734 506,734 1,863,639 2,370,373 1997 346,891 326,264 673,155
1998 264,652 955,562 249,048 914,672 513,700 1,870,234 2,383,934 1998 350,292 329,747 680,039
1999 264,770 961,262 249,396 917,946 514,166 1,879,208 2,393,374 1999 353,283 332,896 686,179
2000 266,040 961,903 251,762 922,538 517,802 1,884,441 2,402,243 2000 356,494 337,134 693,628
2001 267,941 966,358 254,180 924,399 522,121 1,890,757 2,412,878 2001 360,322 341,561 701,883
2002 271,199 968,194 257,607 924,260 528,806 1,892,454 2,421,260 2002 363,083 344,950 708,033
2003 273,449 968,141 260,051 922,976 533,500 1,891,117 2,424,617 2003 364,386 346,099 710,485
2004 275,605 972,024 261,855 926,211 537,460 1,898,235 2,435,695 2004 364,451 345,910 710,361
2005 279,000 979,498 264,416 933,192 543,416 1,912,690 2,456,106 2005 366,032 347,279 713,311
2006 281,259 998,918 266,468 951,212 547,727 1,950,130 2,497,857 2006 368,442 349,458 717,900
2007 281,947 1,017,639 267,440 968,101 549,387 1,985,740 2,535,127 2007 369,229 350,568 719,797
2008 280,363 1,037,216 266,362 986,143 546,725 2,023,359 2,570,084 2008 368,400 350,238 718,638
2009 278,382 1,054,025 264,656 1,002,860 543,038 2,056,885 2,599,923 2009 367,785 349,814 717,599
2010 276,956 1,065,605 263,299 1,014,614 540,255 2,080,219 2,620,474 2009 366,887 348,867 715,754
2011 276,143 1,077,612 263,125 1,025,926 539,268 2,103,538 2,642,806 2009 367,366 349,946 717,312
1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
12 to 17 396,248 392,738 389,274 382,966 377,047 371,429 369,109 380,770 396,679 417,681 441,094
18 to 39 1,654,068 1,663,416 1,679,535 1,688,115 1,692,719 1,711,276 1,742,457 1,772,754 1,807,131 1,826,087 1,841,068
10 to 17 514,829 506,925 504,233 500,826 498,628 497,631 500,575 522,612 550,551 573,146 599,510
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
12 to 17 457,915 477,233 493,023 506,734 513,700 514,166 517,802 522,121 528,806 533,500 537,460
18 to 39 1,845,529 1,852,161 1,855,839 1,863,639 1,870,234 1,879,208 1,884,441 1,890,757 1,892,454 1,891,117 1,898,235
10 to 17 620,625 641,343 660,016 673,155 680,039 686,179 693,628 701,883 708,033 710,485 710,361
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
12 to 17 543,416 547,727 549,387 546,725 543,038 540,255 539,268
18 to 39 1,912,690 1,950,130 1,985,740 2,023,359 2,056,885 2,080,219 2,103,538
10 to 17 713,311 717,900 719,797 718,638 717,599 715,754 717,312