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IPSOS MORI How the voters voted inthe 2019 electionDECEMBER 2019
© Ipsos | Doc Name | Month Year | Version # | Public | Internal/Client Use Only | Strictly Confidential
VOTINGINTENTION
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
15%
46%
31%
12%9%
43%
34%
12%
Con Lead over Lab Conservative Labour Lib Dem
F
M
FM
3
Voting by Gender
F
F
M
M
Women were slightly more likely than men to vote Labour and slightly less likely to vote Conservative,
but there was no gender difference in voting Lib Dem
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1974 1979 1983 1987 1992 1997 2001 2005 2010 2015 2017 2019
W M
4
Gender difference in voting over time
% Women voting Labour and % of Men voting
Labour
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1974 1979 1983 1987 1992 1997 2001 2005 2010 2015 2017 2019
W M
% of Women voting Conservative and % of Men
voting Conservative
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
2%
0%
-9%-8%
5%4%
2%
4%
Men Women
5
Change in Vote Share by GenderLabour’s vote share fell roughly the same amount among men and women
LabourCon Lib Dem OtherBase: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
45% 45%47%
41%
30%32% 32%
39%
16%12%
9% 9%
AB C1 C2 DE
6
Voting by Social ClassThe Conservative vote varied less by social class than in the past, while Labour did best among social
class DE and the Lib Dems best among ABs
LabourCon Lib Dem
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
-2%
1%2%
3%
-7%-8%
-9%-8%
6%5%
3%4%
3%2%
4%
1%
AB C1 C2 DE
7
Change in Vote Share by Social ClassLabour lost support among all classes
LabourCon Lib Dem OtherBase: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public8
Vote by social class over time
AB C1 C2 DE AB C1 C2 DEAB C1 C2 DE
2010 2017 2019
AB C1 C2 DEAB C1 C2 DEAB C1 C2 DE
1992 2001 2005
LabourConservative
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
AB C1 C2 DE
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
AB C1 C2 DE
2015
1997
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
19%
27%
36%
46%49%
64%62%
51%
39%
28% 27%
17%
9%11%
13% 14%11% 11%
18-24 25-34 34-44 45-54 55-64 65+
9
Voting by AgeThe age divide in voting was key, and the gap even increased since 2017 to become the biggest we’ve
seen since our estimates began in 1979
LabourCon Lib DemBase: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
-8%
0%
3% 3%
-2%
3%
0%
-5%
-10%
-12%
-7%-8%
4%
2%3%
7%
4% 4%4%3%
4%
2%
5%
1%
18-24 25-34 34-44 45-54 55-64 65+
10
Change in Vote Share by AgeThe biggest swing away from Labour was among 35-54 year-olds, while the Conservatives lost
support among 18-24 year olds
LabourCon Lib Dem OtherBase: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public11
Vote by Age over time
18-24 25-34 34-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-24 25-34 34-44 45-54 55-64 65+18-24 25-34 34-44 45-54 55-64 65+
2010 2017 2019
18-24 25-34 34-44 45-54 55-64 65+18-24 25-34 34-44 45-54 55-64 65+18-24 25-34 34-44 45-54 55-64 65+
1992 2001 2005
LabourCon
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
18-24 25-34 34-44 45-54 55-64 65+
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
18-24 25-34 34-44 45-54 55-64 65+
2015
1997
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
22%
31%
45%
58%59%
48%
30%
21%
10% 10%14%
11%9%
11% 11% 10%
18-24 25-34 35-54 55+
12
How men voted by age
LabourCon Lib Dem
Base: 13,268 GB adults aged 18+ identifying as male interviewed telephone and online Nov – Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results by region and to the population profile of Great Britain. Voting
Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections, registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency = 8.532
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
-14%
1%
5%
2%
7%
-6%
-12%
-9%
5%
2%
6%5%
2%3%
1%2%
18-24 25-34 35-54 55+
13
Change in Vote Share among Men by Age
LabourCon Lib Dem Other
Base: 13,268 GB adults aged 18+ identifying as male interviewed telephone and online Nov – Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results by region and to the population profile of Great Britain. Voting
Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections, registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency = 8.532
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
17%
23%
37%
59%
64%
54%
36%
21%
9%12%
14%12%
10% 11%13%
8%
18-24 25-34 35-54 55+
14
How women voted by age
LabourCon Lib Dem Other
Base: 14,256 GB adults aged 18+ identifying as male interviewed telephone and online Nov – Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results by region and to the population profile of Great Britain. Voting
Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections, registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency 8,337
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
-1% -1%
0%1%
-9%
-4%
-10%
-6%
4%
2%
6%
4%
6%
3%4%
1%
18-24 25-34 35-54 55+
15
Change in Vote Share among Women by Age
LabourCon Lib Dem Other
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
26%24%
27%
18%
52%55%
51%
63%
13%10% 9% 8%
AB C1 C2 DE
16
Voting by class among age
LabourCon Lib Dem
42%44% 44%
35%
29%
32%31%
42%
20%
13%
10%9%
AB C1 C2 DE
60% 59%61%
53%
17%20% 21%
26%
14% 13%
8% 9%
AB C1 C2 DE
18-34 35-54 55+
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
30%28%
21%
51%
54%56%
5%
9%
12%
No Qual Other Qual Degree+
17
Voting by qualification among age group
LabourCon Lib Dem
50% 49%
32%33%
30%
37%
7%
10%
20%
No qual Other qual Degree +
62% 61%
49%
20% 19%
24%
7%
11%
18%
No qual Other qual Degree +
18-34 35-54 55+
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections, registered to vote and
answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results by region and to the population profile of
Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
47% 47% 48%
43%
29%31% 30%
37%
15%
12%
8% 8%
AB C1 C2 DE
18
Voting by class within gender
LabourCon Lib DemMen Women
42%44%
46%
39%
31%33% 33%
40%
17%
13%
9% 9%
AB C1 C2 DE
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
-3%
4%3%
7%
-5%
-9%
-11% -11%
5%4%
3%4%
3%
1%
5%
0%
AB C1 C2 DE
19
Change in vote share by class within gender
LabourCon Lib DemMen Women
-1%
0%1% 1%
-9%
-7%
-9%
-7%
6% 6%
2%3%
4%
1%
6%
3%
AB C1 C2 DE
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
59%
47%
34%
23%
33%
39%
7%10%
17%
No qualifications Other qualifications Degree or higher
20
Voting by QualificationsThe Conservatives were ahead among non-graduates, while graduates were more split
LabourCon Lib DemBase: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
7%
1% 1%
-12%
-6%
-9%
3%4%
5%
2%1%
3%
No qualifications Other qualifications Degree or higher
21
Change in Vote Share by Qualifications
LabourCon Lib Dem Other
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public22
Vote by Education from 2017 to 2019
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
No qualifications Other qualifications Degree or higher No qualifications Other qualifications Degree or higher
2017 2019
LabourCon
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
57%
43%
33%31%
22%
33%
45% 46%
12%14%
7%
11%
Owned Mortgage Social renter Private renter
23
Voting by Tenure
LabourCon Lib Dem
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
2%
0%
7%
0%
-8%-7%
-12%
-8%
5% 5%
3%4%
1%2% 2%
4%
Owned Mortgage Social renter Private renter
24
Change in Vote Share by Tenure
LabourCon Lib Dem Other
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
48%
20%
29%
64%
12% 12%
White All BME
25
Voting by Ethnic GroupLabour led among BME voters, the Conservatives among white voters
LabourCon Lib Dem
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
3%
1%
-10%-9%
4%
6%
3%2%
White All BME
26
Change in Vote Share by Ethnic GroupLabour’s vote share fell by roughly the same amount among BME and white voters
LabourCon Lib Dem Other
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
80%
3%
19%
8%
88%
11%8% 6%
63%
Labour 2017 Conservative 2017 Lib Dem 2017
27
Voting by 2017 Vote
LabourConservative Lib Dem
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
The Conservatives held on to more of their 2017 vote than Labour
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
20%
73%
48%
15%21%
3%0%
4%6%2%4%
1%
Remain Leave
28
Voting by Referendum VoteThe Conservatives won most of the Leave vote while the Remain vote was much more split
LabourCon Brexit PartyLib Dem GreenSNP
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
92%
73%
23%
2%2%6%
65%
85%
2%
19%
4%9%
2% 0%5%
0%
Con Leave Con Remain Lab Leave Lab Remain
29
Vote by 2017 General Election and 2016 EU Referendum Vote
LabourCon Lib Dem Brexit Party
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Doc Name | Month Year | Version # | Public | Internal/Client Use Only | Strictly Confidential
TURNOUT
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Estimating turnout is one of the hardest
challenges when relying solely on survey
data, as despite improvements to our
methodology people may still overestimate
their likelihood of voting, may think they are
registered when they are not, and polls may
still be more likely to interview politically
engaged people than disengaged. This is
particularly important to bear in mind when
comparing turnout estimates to 2017, as
there is contradictory evidence from a
number of different sources on the level of
turnout among different groups in that
election.
Furthermore, it should be noted that our
turnout estimates are expressed as a % of all
resident adults, not as a % of all those
registered (see here for more on our reasons
behind this). This means that these figures
are not comparable to the official turnout
figures normally used, and within our series
are only comparable to figures going back to
2015 (before then a different methodology
was used).
Turnout estimates should be treated with caution, but show a broadly similar
pattern to previous elections of higher turnout among older people and
graduates and lower among younger people, renters and BME voters.
31
Interpreting turnout estimates
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
47%
55% 54%
63%66%
74%
18-24 25-34 34-44 45-54 55-64 65+
32
Turnout by Age
Estimated turnout among all adults %Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public33
Turnout by age over time
Estimated turnout among all adults %
38%
53% 54%
47%47%
54% 55% 55%58%
64%
56%54%
67%69%
66%63%
72%76%
71%
66%
74% 73%71%
74%
GE 2015 EU 2016 GE 2017 GE 2019
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
68%64%
59%53%
AB C1 C2 DE
34
Turnout by Social Class
Estimated turnout among all adults %Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public35
Turnout by Social Class over time
Estimated turnout among all adults %
71%74%
69% 68%64%
68% 68%64%
56%
62% 60% 59%
51%
57%53% 53%
GE 2015 EU 2016 GE 2017 GE 2019
AB C1 C2 DE
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
59% 59%
69%
No qualifications Other qualifications Degree or higher
36
Turnout by Education
Estimated turnout among all adults %
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
70%
64%
52% 51%
Owned Mortgage Social renter Private renter
37
Turnout by Tenure
Estimated turnout among all adults %
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public38
Turnout by Tenure over time
Estimated turnout among all adults %
72%75%
70% 70%
64%
70% 68%64%
51%54% 52% 52%
45%
53% 53% 51%
GE 2015 EU 2016 GE 2017 GE 2019
Owner Mortgage Social renter Private renter
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public39
Turnout by ethnic group over time
Estimated turnout among all adults %
63%68%
64% 63%
47% 47%
53% 52%
GE 2015 EU 2016 GE 2017 GE 2019
White All BME
Base: 27,591 GB adults aged 18+, of whom 19,747 defined as likely voters according to our standard turnout filter (all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections,
registered to vote and answers reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency) interviewed telephone and online 15 Nov – 11 Dec 2019. Data has been weighted to the actual election results
by region and to the population profile of Great Britain.
Gideon Skinner
Research Director
Dylan Spielman
Research Executive
Keiran Pedley
Research Director
Ipsos MORIHow Britain Voted 2019
For more information