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  • 8/10/2019 Hiring Requirements Available Talent 10 Year

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    Canadian Mining Industry Employment,

    Hiring Requirements and Available Talent

    10-year Outlook

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    This project is funded in part by the Government of Canada.

    The opinions and interpretations in this publication are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those

    of the Government of Canada.

    Copyright 2013 Mining Industry Human Resources Council (MiHR)

    All rights reserved. The use of any part of this publication, whether it is reproduced, stored in a retrieval system,

    or transmitted in any form or by means (including electronic, mechanical, photographic, photocopying or recording),

    without the prior written permission of MiHR is an infringement of copyright law.

    For more information, contact:

    Mining Industry Human Resources Council

    260 Hearst Way, Suite 401

    Kanata, Ontario K2L 3H1

    Tel: 613-270-9696

    Fax: 613-270-9399

    Email: [email protected]

    Or visit the website at:

    www.mininghrforecasts.ca

    www.mihr.ca

    Published May 2013

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    3/68CANADIAN MINING INDUSTRY 10-YEAR HR OUTLOOK i

    Table of Contents

    Executive Summary .......................................................................................................... 1

    National Forecasts of Employment and Hiring Requirements ....................................................... 2

    Available Talent ............................................................................................................................ 3Understanding the Gaps ............................................................................................................. 4

    Mining Labour Market Trends ...................................................................................................... 5

    Summary..................................................................................................................................... 6

    1 Background and Overview ......................................................................................... 7

    Updates and Enhancements to MiHRs Outlook and Analysis ...................................................... 8

    Hiring Requirements Forecast Model Enhancements ............................................................. 8

    New This Year: Available Talent Forecasts ............................................................................. 9

    Province- and Region-Specific Reports ................................................................................. 10

    Industry Definition and Scope ...................................................................................................... 11

    About the Report ......................................................................................................................... 11

    2 Canadian Economic Overview and Mining Industry Trends ................................... 12

    Canadian Outlook Private Sector Forecasts ............................................................................ 12

    Mining Industry Economic Overview and Outlook ........................................................................ 13

    Value of Mineral Production ................................................................................................... 13

    Commodities ......................................................................................................................... 14

    3 Canadas Mining Labour Market ............................................................................... 17

    Canadian Mining Industry Employment ........................................................................................ 17

    The Aging Mining Workforce ........................................................................................................ 19

    Retirement ............................................................................................................................ 19

    New Approaches to Retirement............................................................................................. 20

    Compensation and Wages .......................................................................................................... 21

    Educational Attainment ................................................................................................................ 22

    Knowledge Workers .............................................................................................................. 23

    Diversity ...................................................................................................................................... 24

    Aboriginal Participation in Mining ........................................................................................... 25

    Immigrants ............................................................................................................................ 26

    Women in Mining .................................................................................................................. 27

    Summary..................................................................................................................................... 28

    4 National Hiring Requirements Forecast ................................................................... 29Net Change in Employment ......................................................................................................... 29

    Replacement Requirements ......................................................................................................... 30

    Retirements........................................................................................................................... 30

    Non-Retirement Separations................................................................................................. 30

    Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts ................................................................................. 31

    Forecast by Sector ................................................................................................................ 33

    Forecast by Occupation ........................................................................................................ 35

    Mining Labour Market Trends ...................................................................................................... 36

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    5 Available Talent ........................................................................................................... 38

    Forecasting Available Talent ......................................................................................................... 38

    Cumulative Total Available Talent ................................................................................................. 39

    Available Talent by Occupation .............................................................................................. 40

    Labour Market Pressures ............................................................................................................ 40

    6 The Talent Gap ............................................................................................................ 42

    The Canadian Mining Talent Gap ................................................................................................. 43

    Retaining and Developing ............................................................................................................ 46

    Occupational Analysis ........................................................................................................... 47

    Knowledge Workers .............................................................................................................. 47

    Changing Nature of Retirement ............................................................................................. 47

    Mid-Career Attrition ............................................................................................................... 48

    Increasing Minings Share ............................................................................................................ 48

    Occupational Analysis ........................................................................................................... 48

    Career Awareness ................................................................................................................. 49

    Growing the Talent Pool ............................................................................................................... 50

    Occupational Analysis ........................................................................................................... 50

    Management Training for Technical Workers .......................................................................... 50

    Mining Worker Certification .................................................................................................... 51

    Aboriginal Workplace Readiness........................................................................................... 51

    Provision of Training .............................................................................................................. 51

    Workforce Optimization ......................................................................................................... 52

    Summary..................................................................................................................................... 52

    Appendix A ........................................................................................................................ 53

    Hiring Requirements Forecast Methodology ................................................................................ 53

    Appendix B ........................................................................................................................ 55

    Available Talent Model Inputs and Assumptions ..................................................................... 55

    Employment by Occupation .................................................................................................. 55

    Migration ............................................................................................................................... 55

    School Leavers ..................................................................................................................... 56

    Retirements ........................................................................................................................... 56

    Other Entrants ....................................................................................................................... 56

    Other Leavers ....................................................................................................................... 56

    Appendix C ........................................................................................................................ 57

    Industry Definition and Scope ...................................................................................................... 57The Mining Sector, Industry Classifications ............................................................................ 57

    Occupation Classification ...................................................................................................... 58

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    List of Figures

    Figure 1: Product Mix, by Province (Share of Mineral Sales) ........................................................... 10

    Figure 2: Value of Mineral Production, Canada ($ Billions) .............................................................. 14

    Figure 3: Historical and Forecasted Price Movements of Coal and Copper ................................... 15Figure 4: Historical and Forecasted Price of Gold and Silver .......................................................... 15

    Figure 5: Metals and Minerals Price Index (MMPI) and

    Mining Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ............................................................................ 16

    Figure 6: Sales by Industry Segment .............................................................................................. 16

    Figure 7: Employment in the Mining Industry and its Prominent Sectors (20002012) .................... 18

    Figure 8: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Employment in Canadas Mining Industry

    (19872010).................................................................................................................... 18

    Figure 9: Age Group Distribution in Canadian Mining, 2011 ........................................................... 19

    Figure 10: Projected Retirement Rates by Educational Attainment in Canadian Mining ..................... 20

    Figure 11: Average Hourly Wages for Selected Job Titles in Mining,

    by Commodity Produced ($CAD/Hour) ........................................................................... 21

    Figure 12: Proportion of Mining Labour Force by Highest Level of Educational Attainment .............. 22

    Figure 13: Change in Graduation Rates and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Canada .................. 23

    Figure 14: Participation of Aboriginal Peoples, Immigrants and Women ........................................... 24

    Figure 15: Aboriginal Communities and Mining and Exploration Agreements in Canada, 2012 ......... 25

    Figure 16: Proportion of Immigrants in Labour Force ....................................................................... 26

    Figure 17: Proportion of Women in Natural Resource Industries, 2012 ............................................. 27

    Figure 18: Proportion of Women in Select Mining Occupations ........................................................ 28

    Figure 19: Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts, by Scenario 20122023 .......................... 31

    Figure 20: Annual Hiring Requirements Forecasts, Baseline Scenario 20132023 ....................... 32

    Figure 21: Annual Hiring Requirements Forecasts, Exploration

    Baseline Scenario 20132023 .................................................................................... 33

    Figure 22: Annual Hiring Requirements Forecasts, Mining (Extraction)

    Baseline Scenario 20132023 .................................................................................... 34

    Figure 23: Annual Hiring Requirements Forecasts, Mineral Processing

    Baseline Scenario 20132023 .................................................................................... 34

    Figure 24: Annual Hiring Requirements Forecasts, Mining Support Services

    Baseline Scenario 20132023 .................................................................................... 35

    Figure 25: A Model of Available Talent for Mining ............................................................................. 39

    Figure 26: Focus on Retention and Development

    Projected Gaps to 2023 ............................................................................................. 46

    Figure 27: Increase Minings Share of Talent

    Projected Gaps to 2023 ............................................................................................. 49

    Figure 28: Grow the Talent Pool

    Projected Gaps to 2023 ............................................................................................. 51

    Figure A1: Employment and Hiring Requirements Forecasting Model ............................................... 54

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    List of Tables

    Table 1: Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts, by Scenario 2015, 2018, 2023 ............... 2

    Table 2: Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts, by Industry Sector

    Baseline Scenario to 2023 .......................................................................................... 2Table 3: Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts, by Broad Occupational Categories

    Baseline Scenario 2015, 2018, 2023 .......................................................................... 3

    Table 4: Cumulative Available Talent, 66 Occupations 2015, 2018, 2023 ................................. 3

    Table 5: Cumulative Available Talent, by Broad Occupational Categories to 2023 .................... 4

    Table 6: The Talent Gap and Challenge, Baseline Scenario 2015, 2018, 2023 ......................... 4

    Table 7: The Gap and Challenge, by Broad Occupational Categories

    Baseline Scenario to 2023 .......................................................................................... 5

    Table 8: Average Private-Sector Forecasts ................................................................................... 13

    Table 9: Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts, by Scenario to 2023 ............................... 31

    Table 10: Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts, by Scenario 2015, 2018, 2023 ............... 32

    Table 11: Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts, by Industry Subsector

    Baseline Scenario to 2023 .......................................................................................... 33

    Table 12: Hiring Requirements Forecasts, by Broad Occupational Categories

    Baseline Scenario to 2023 .......................................................................................... 36

    Table 13: Cumulative Available Talent, all Sectors and Mining

    66 Occupations 2015, 2018, 2023 ............................................................................. 39

    Table 14: Cumulative Available Talent, by Broad Occupational Categories

    66 Occupations to 2023 ............................................................................................. 40

    Table 15: Labour Pool Pressures, by Occupation ........................................................................... 41

    Table 16: Cumulative Occupational Breakdown of Hiring Needs and Available Talent to 2023 .... 43

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    7/68CANADIAN MINING INDUSTRY 10-YEAR HR OUTLOOK 1

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    The mining industry is a pillar of the Canadian economy yet its future is threatened by

    considerable labour market challenges. This 2013 national mining labour market outlook

    continues to send this urgent message. Over the next 10 years, minings projected hiring

    requirements exceed 145,000 workers representing more than half the current workforce and human resources challenges continue to cast shadows over the industry. The aging

    of the Canadian population and the workforce; loss of industry knowledge and experience;

    a lack of young people with the right skills to fill vacant positions; and the need to attract and

    develop diverse groups (women, immigrants and Aboriginal peoples) will present the mining

    sector with critical challenges in meeting future needs.

    Skills and labour shortages are top-of-mind issues for mining employers. A deep

    understanding of current labour market trends, valid projections of future needs, and

    a clear picture of the potential sources of labour to meet these needs, all provide a

    necessary foundation for proactive, coordinated and cooperative industry strategies to

    address the looming labour market issues. Building this foundation will ensure that jobseekers find the opportunities and have the right skills to meet industry hiring needs.

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    NATIONAL FORECASTS OF EMPLOYMENT

    AND HIRING REQUIREMENTS

    The Canadian mining industry currently employs nearly 235,000 workers in exploration and development, mining and

    quarrying, support services for mining, and mineral processing. MiHRs forecasting Model uses economic factors to

    predict employment and then calculates replacement requirements due to retirement and other attrition factors. Netchange in employment is combined with replacement requirements each year to produce estimates of total hiring

    requirements, under three economic scenarios over a 10-year horizon. Under a baseline scenario, hiring requirements

    in the Canadian mining industry are expected to be more than 145,800 by 2023 (over half the current workforce). Even

    under a contractionary scenario, the industry will need to hire almost 116,800 workers. In an expansionary scenario,

    hiring requirements are projected to reach more than 199,000. This outlook underscores the urgency of the impending

    human resources challenge.

    CUMULATIVE HIRING REQUIREMENTS

    2015 2018 2023

    Contractionary 19,770 46,560 116,850

    Baseline 34,500 69,800 145,870

    Expansionary 52,240 102,100 199,150

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013

    Hiring requirements under a baseline scenario were further broken down by industry sector, revealing different levels of

    need. While worker-intensive segments of the industry are projected to need large numbers of workers (e.g., mining and

    quarrying, and mineral processing), other segments of the sector that employ large numbers of knowledge workers

    and professionals (e.g., exploration and support services) will need to replace larger portions of the current workforce,

    with long education and training lags to meet demands.

    EMPLOYMENT

    IN 2013

    NET CHANGE IN

    EMPLOYMENT

    REPLACEMENT REQUIREMENTSCUMULATIVE HIRING

    REQUIREMENTSRETIREMENT NON-RETIREMENT

    Exploration 51,395 -1,935 13,075 10,550 21,690

    Mining and Quarrying

    (except oil and gas) 70,690 10,425 20,965 16,860 48,255

    Mineral Processing 72,080 17,136 22,555 18,120 57,810

    Support Activities

    for Mining40,650 -1,040 10,595 8,545 18,100

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013

    Table 1: Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts, by Scenario 2015, 2018, 2023

    Table 2: Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts, by Industry Sector

    Baseline Scenario to 2023

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    Cumulative hiring requirements are also reported by broad occupational category under a baseline scenario. This

    breakdown illustrates the hiring needs for each occupation with the greatest need for trades and undesignated

    occupations, technical occupations, and professional and physical science occupations.

    2015 2018 2023

    Trades and Undesignated Occupations 11,125 22,510 47,055

    Professional and Physical Science Occupations 1,920 3,880 8,100

    Human Resources and Financial Occupations 740 1,485 3,110

    Support Workers 1,095 2,235 4,665

    Technical Occupations 1,725 3,470 7,250

    Supervisors, Coordinators and Foremen 2,190 4,415 9,230

    All Other Occupations 15,705 31,805 66,460

    Total 34,500 69,800 145,870

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013

    AVAILABLE TALENT

    When facing large hiring requirements, it is natural to wonder where the industry will find all the talent it needs.

    New this year is MiHRs Model of Available Talent, which projects all new entrants for each of 66 core mining

    occupations from three main sources: school leavers, immigrants and others who are generally people

    who switch occupations or re-enter the workforce after temporarily leaving it.

    Forecasts of new labour market entrants from these entry points are used to estimate the available talent to meet

    future hiring requirements over a 10-year period. The annual supply of workers in all industries was calculated across

    the 66 occupations of interest. The Canadian mining industrys share of this supply was then estimated based on

    historic trends of the flow of workers from these occupations into the mining industry.

    CUMULATIVE AVAILABLE TALENT 2015 2018 2023

    Total entrants for 66 occupations, all industry sectors 386,275 768,800 1,397,560

    Minings share of entrants for 66 occupations (assuming the historical rate of attraction) 16,440 33,380 63,350

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013

    Table 3: Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts, by Broad Occupational Categories

    Baseline Scenario 2015, 2018, 2023

    Table 4: Cumulative Available Talent, 66 Occupations 2015, 2018, 2023

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    The proportion of the available talent entering mining varies, depending on how specific an occupation is to the mining

    industry. For example, the mining industry attracts approximately one per cent of human resources and financial

    workers, but attracts 12 per cent of available supervisors, coordinators and foremen, and almost 100 per cent of

    underground miners.

    MININGS SHARE

    OF AVAILABLE

    TALENT (NUMBER

    OF WORKERS)

    TOTAL AVAILABLE

    TALENT, ALL

    SECTORS (NUMBER

    OF WORKERS)

    MININGS HISTORIC

    PROPORTION OF

    AVAILABLE TALENT

    (PER CENT)

    Trades and Undesignated Occupations 39,180 586,200 7%

    Professional and Physical Science Occupations 7,200 159,360 5%

    Human Resources and Financial Occupations 2,630 212,550 1%

    Support Workers 3,470 277,020 1%

    Technical Occupations 4,490 108,520 4%

    Supervisors, Coordinators, and Foremen 6,420 53,890 12%

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013

    UNDERSTANDING THE GAPS

    With forecasts of hiring requirements and available talent for each of the 66 core mining occupations under a baseline

    scenario, it is now possible to analyze the gaps between hiring needs and the talent pool that will be available. Overall,

    it is predicted that the available talent for the selected 66 occupations will not be sufficient to meet the forecasted hiring

    requirements over the short, medium, and long terms under a baseline scenario. The industry is expected to attract only

    63,350 new entrants to the labour pool to meet a hiring need of more than 79,410 workers by 2023.

    THE TALENT GAP 2015 2018 2023

    Hiring Requirements for Selected 66 Occupations 18,795 37,995 79,410

    Available Talent Minings Share of Labour Pool 16,440 33,380 63,350

    Gap -2,355 -4,615 -16,060

    THE CHALLENGE

    All Entrants Selected Occupations 386,275 768,800 1,395,015

    Needed Share to Meet Hiring Requirements (%) 5% 5% 6%

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013

    Table 5: Cumulative Available Talent, by Broad Occupational Categories to 2023

    Table 6: The Talent Gap and Challenge, Baseline Scenario 2015, 2018, 2023

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    Three underlying trends emerge in gap analysis. For some occupations (e.g., electricians, truck drivers) there is a

    large pool of talent but minings ability to attract new talent falls short of projected needs. In other words, mining

    must compete with other sectors to attract talent away from other sectors.

    For other occupations (e.g., underground miners, supervisors in mining and quarrying) there will not be enough workers

    in the projected talent pool to meet the industrys needs. To fill these gaps, the mining industry must coordinate efforts

    with education and training, immigration services and even other sectors, to attract new talent and grow the labour pool.

    The third trend revealed conditions where there will be just enough available talent to meet the industrys projected

    needs for some occupations (e.g., geoscientists). However, this does not mean the industry can ignore these occupation

    groups. The gap analysis assumes a status quo where the industry retains the current workforce and continues to

    engage its traditional share of the talent pool. Achieving the status quo will become increasingly challenging, as the

    Canadian labour market heats up and other sectors compete for the same talent.

    THE NEED AVAILABLE TALENT & GAP THE CHALLENGE

    CUMULATIVE

    HIRING

    REQUIREMENTS

    AVAILABLE

    TALENT

    MININGS

    SHARE GAP

    TOTAL

    AVAILABLE

    TALENT

    ALL SECTORS

    MININGS

    SHARE

    MININGS

    REQUIRED

    SHARE

    Trades and Production 47,055 39,180 -7,875 586,200 7% 8%

    Professional and Physical Sciences 8,100 7,200 -900 159,360 5% 5%

    Human Resources and Financial 3,110 2,630 -480 212,550 1% 1%

    Support Workers 4,665 3,470 -1,195 277,020 1% 2%

    Technical 7,250 4,490 -2,760 108,520 4% 7%

    Supervisors, Coordinators, Foreman 9,230 6,420 -2,810 53,890 12% 17%

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013

    MINING LABOUR MARKET TRENDS

    The forecasts and gap analyses presented in this report indicate that the Canadian mining industry will be affected

    by a number of trends and HR issues over the next decade:

    The greatest hiring requirements will be in the trades and production occupations. Certification and recognition

    of this essential group in the mining workforce is imperative to attract new workers to fill needs and to retaincurrent workers to ensure the needs are not compounded with unforeseen losses.

    The demographics of the aging workforce, a lack of young people entering the industry, and projected retirement

    rates all point to a knowledge and experience crisis. Mentorship and development of younger workers will be

    essential to filling the knowledge gap.

    The industry faces losses of important talent in leadership positions over the forecast horizon and the leadership

    pipeline is thin. Succession planning and leadership development initiatives will be needed to address this gap.

    Table 7: The Gap and Challenge, by Broad Occupational Categories

    Baseline Scenario to 2023

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    Immigration will be a key source of talent for meeting future needs. Attracting immigrants to remote locations

    and foreign-credential recognition improvements will both be part of a mosaic of solutions.

    Young people are not attracted to mining. To meet future needs, increased efforts in career awareness and youth

    outreach are needed.

    Women are broadly under-represented in Canadian mining at 16 per cent of the workforce. Mining falls short of

    other resource sectors (e.g., oil and gas, 30 per cent; and utilities, 24 per cent) in employing women. Further, womenare employed mainly in administrative and office roles, with very few employed in trades and production roles.

    The mining industry is a major employer of Aboriginal peoples but they are mainly found in entry-level and support

    roles. Industry and education partnerships to provide advanced education opportunities for local Aboriginal peoples

    will help ensure sound socio-economic development and address industry gaps in knowledge worker roles.

    Education and training partnerships are important, particularly given the demonstrated gaps and the projected

    needs for highly skilled and highly educated workers; however, initiatives take time to implement and strategy

    development requires immediate action.

    SUMMARY

    The Canadian labour market as a whole faces significant challenges over the next 20 years. This is primarily due to an

    aging and shrinking population and the pending retirement wave of Canadas baby boomers. These demographics will

    put significant pressures on the Canadian economy and living standards over the next few decades.

    The labour market conditions in the mining industry are particularly dire. Unique industry-specific characteristics layered

    on top of Canadian labour market trends extensively compound the issues. The mining workforce is older and retirement

    ages are younger than in the rest of Canadas labour force. In fact, current and looming retirements create the bulk of

    projected hiring requirements for the industry over the next 10 years. There is also little inflow of younger workers to

    offset the exits of older workers. On top of this, key labour market groups, such as immigrants and women, are severely

    under-represented in the mining workforce with participation rates at a fraction of those observed in other sectors.

    The labour market indicators point to a crisis; the industry needs people but this is only part of the story. The industrymust address the burning question that immediately follows where are these future workers going to come from?

    Immigrants and Aboriginal peoples are essential to addressing minings HR needs, but challenges exist with both of

    these talent groups. On one hand, participation rates of immigrants are considerably lower than for the rest of the labour

    market. Employment in mining is highly sensitive to economic uncertainty, and diverse populations particularly

    immigrants, women and youth are easily deterred from pursuing career options in the sector. On the other hand, the

    mining industry is the single-largest employer of Aboriginal peoples, with participation rates that well outperform the

    rest of the Canadian labour market. Aboriginal people represent the greatest potential as a source of future labour supply

    for the industry.

    Solutions to the pending crisis will require coordinated and cooperative efforts among all stakeholders. The responsibility to

    address hiring requirements and talent gaps does not rest with industry employers alone, but also with industry associations,community stakeholders, education and training institutions, and governments. Ensuring that all stakeholders work together

    to attract and retain talent is critical not only to the mining industry, but to the Canadian economy as a whole.

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    1BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW

    No matter what happens in the economy, skills and labour shortages will remain a significant

    challenge for the Canadian mining industry over the next decade. The 2013 forecasts

    presented in this report predict a hiring requirement of more than 145,000 workers by 2023,

    under a conservative baseline scenario a number that represents nearly two-thirds of thecurrent workforce. This outlook report also provides a forecast of available talent, as well as

    analysis of the gaps in meeting the forecast needs for each occupation. Projections indicate

    that for core mining occupations, the industry will attract slightly more than 63,000 workers

    over the next 10 years, to meet a requirement of almost 80,000.

    The Mining Industry Human Resources Councils (MiHRs) 2013 labour market forecasts show

    critical shortages in many mining occupations through to 2023. Without a proactive mitigation

    strategy, underground production and development occupations, and key supervisory and

    management positions will face gaps between their forecasted needs and the available talent

    pool. Even for occupations where the pools of available talent will be comfortably sized as

    is the case with many professional sciences occupations the industry will not meet itsneeds unless it attracts more people away from careers in other sectors.

    Efforts to retain and develop the current workforce remain essential. Skills and labour

    shortages are not unique to mining and pose challenges for the Canadian labour market

    as a whole. In the decade ahead, competition will be fierce for talent with particular skills

    and experience, as all industry sectors strive to address labour shortages. This competition

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    will impact worker mobility across sectors. Workers may opt to leave mining to find employment in other sectors for

    perceived higher wages, better conditions, less remote living or shorter commutes causing a significant loss of

    valuable industry knowledge and experience. The projected skills gaps and labour shortages presented in this report

    could be worsened by any systematic erosion of the current workforce.

    Over the next decade, coordinated strategies among government, industry and education will be essential in meeting

    the industrys needs. Many young Canadians entering the labour market do not have the needed skills to fill theavailable jobs and struggle to find work after leaving education programs. At present, the mining industry cooperates

    and collaborates with universities and colleges to ensure appropriate education and training; however, the numbers

    of graduates with the requisite skill sets continue to be below the industrys projected hiring requirements.

    UPDATES AND ENHANCEMENTS TO MiHRS OUTLOOK AND ANALYSIS

    MiHRs forecasting and analysis includes several updates and enhancements from previous years forecasts. MiHR has

    improved and developed the input variables and equations used to predict industry employment to allow for greater

    precision. Retirement rates have been updated to include factors related to level of education and likelihood of continued

    participation in the labour market. The outlook also now includes a forecast of labour supply that predicts the available

    talent for each occupation. And finally, a gap analysis of hiring requirements and available talent for each occupation

    reveals trends and patterns that provide new insight into strategies to effectively address the gaps.

    HIRING REQUIREMENTS FORECAST MODEL ENHANCEMENTS

    MiHR uses an econometric model to forecast employment and hiring requirements over a 10-year horizon for

    three economic scenarios baseline, contractionary and expansionary. The econometric model includes three main

    elements: net change in employment, retirement replacements, and replacements due to all other separations. The

    forecast numbers for each of these elements are then added together to provide the overall hiring requirements. For

    the baseline scenario, hiring requirements are presented for each industry sub-sector (exploration and advanced

    development, extraction, processing, and support services for exploration and mining) and also for each of 66 core

    mining occupations.

    Employment and hiring requirements forecasts reflect direct employment in the Canadian exploration and mining industry.

    Incidental or secondary employment that results as a consequence of industry activity is outside the scope of this report.

    Net Change in Employment

    The forecasts predict future employment on the basis of the historical relationship between employment and economic

    conditions in Canadian mining. This relationship is modelled for each province, based on its unique mix of mining activities

    and commodities; and a national estimate is created. Several economic indicator variables are tested, including minings

    Gross Domestic Product (GDP), commodity prices, productivity and output sales. The main predictors of employment in

    Canadian mining are GDP and productivity. Regression analysis of historic trends creates a model that uses consensusforecasts for the various indicators to predict future employment levels in the mining industry.

    This modelling exercise requires extensive data inputs that MiHR collects from a variety of sources. Data on economic

    indicators comes mainly from Statistics Canada, Natural Resources Canada, other provincial and territorial sources,

    international indices (e.g., World Bank commodity-price forecasts), and private sector indices and forecasts.

    Demographic inputs are also collected from Statistics Canada and other public sources, and from MiHRs industry

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    survey of Canadian exploration and mining employers. This survey is conducted regularly and provides information

    on current employment and the demographics of the workforce; future intentions for expansion and development;

    and the HR challenges or issues employers face.

    Model outputs are validated and verified, using independent findings from MiHRs survey and extensive industry

    consultation. MiHR conducted labour market surveys, interviews, and focus group sessions across Canada in 2012.

    This research with over 160 industry employers in eight different regions informed the forecast analysis and validation.Total employment is predicted for each year of the forecast. Net change in employment from year to year is then

    calculated and used as the input for each year, along with replacement requirements, to calculate a hiring requirement.

    Retirement Rates

    MiHR projections of retirements estimate the probability that an individual will retire, given his or her unique demographic

    characteristics. Retirement behaviour depends on many factors that are difficult to measure and predict (e.g., family

    circumstances, financial stability, health and wellbeing, societal pressures, career enjoyment and engagement). MiHRs

    Model quantifies and approximates retirement based on labour market participation of individuals of different ages and

    educational attainment levels.

    Other Separations

    People leaving the mining labour force for reasons other than retirement are captured as other separations in MiHRs

    hiring requirements forecasts. Other separations include long-term leaves, movement to other sectors, emigration and

    mortality. Data analysis and research estimate the non-retirement-related separation rate to be approximately two per

    cent for the Canadian mining industry. This rate may be higher or lower in various regions across the country, depending

    on factors such as labour market mobility and competition from other regional sectors. The national separation rate

    represents the total activity for all of Canada.

    NEW THIS YEAR: AVAILABLE TALENT FORECASTS

    New in this years outlook is a model of labour supply for Canadian exploration and mining that projects the amount

    of new available talent over the forecast horizon. MiHRs Available Talent Model projects, for each occupation, the pool of

    labour the industry is expected to draw from, and then predicts the proportion that the industry will successfully attract

    each year. The share of talent predicted to flow into mining reflects the industrys traditional capacity to attract and

    retain talent for a particular occupation.

    Forecasts of available talent were prepared for 66 core mining occupations that make up nearly two-thirds of the industrys

    total employment. The forecast begins with the previous years labour pool and considers the flows of workers into and out

    of the labour pool during the year. The primary sources of new entrants to the mining labour market are individuals leaving

    school; individuals migrating to Canada to work; and those workers that are changing occupations or re-entering the labour

    market after an absence. The cumulative total of new entrants into the mining industry over the forecast period represents

    the available talent for each occupation.

    Estimates of hiring requirements under a baseline scenario are then compared to the number of new workers available

    for each occupation, to provide an understanding of the gaps and trends. Three broad categories of gaps were uncovered.

    The first type of gap is a case where the need is large and the total available talent is small, so there will not be enough

    individuals in the total labour pool to meet the projected hiring requirements. To address this gap category, the industry

    must attract all new talent and increase the numbers of new entrants.

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    In the second case, the need is large and the talent pool is larger; yet, the number of entrants the industry traditionally

    attracts will not meet its needs. In this case, there will be a healthy-sized labour pool, so to address the gaps, the

    industry must compete against other sectors and attract more than its traditional share of talent.

    The third category of gap involves conditions where the need and the available talent the industry traditionally attracts

    are fairly well-balanced. In this case, the industry must strive to retain and make the best use of the workforce it already

    engages. However, this does not mean that the industry can ignore these occupations. As the competition for talentheats up among all industries, mining will have to work harder to hold onto the talent it already attracts and engages.

    PROVINCE- AND REGION-SPECIFIC REPORTS

    This report provides a national outlook and highlights the trends and issues the Canadian mining industry faces as a

    whole. It aims to provide insight on a national, coordinated, cooperative strategy to address the hiring requirements

    gaps. Forecasts for the baseline scenario are also broken down for industry sub-sector and occupation-level analysis.

    While national-level reporting and analysis is informative and important for over-arching issues that the industry shares

    as a whole, each province and region has unique context and issues for example, a different product mix as

    illustrated in Figure 1). In previous outlook reports, data limitations for Model inputs limited the capacity for provincialand regional analysis. This resulted in groupings of provinces that forced aggregations (e.g., the three territories into

    one Northern forecast and the three Prairie Provinces into one Prairies forecast), which in turn resulted in dilution

    of local contexts in analysis and led to broad-level recommendations.

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; The Conference Board of Canada, 2012

    *Note: in some cases a known commodity for a province is not represented due to data limitations and privacy suppressions (e.g., Alberta, coal; Northwest Territories,

    tungsten). Please refer to the Mining Association of Canadas Facts and Figures 2012for a list of operating mine sites and commodities in each province and territory.

    Figure 1: Product Mix, by Province (Share of Mineral Sales)*

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    Other metals

    Other non-metallic minerals

    Diamond

    Gold and silver

    Stone, sand, gravel and ceramic

    Coal

    Potash

    Copper, nickel, lead and zinc

    NuNWTYKBCABSKMBONQCNBNSNL

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    MiHR now provides customized forecasting and analysis for provincial and regional stakeholders in separate reports.

    These analyses and reports are produced on demand and respond to the unique context of the region in question.

    Provincial and regional partners, along with other stakeholders, commission custom analysis. Models and forecasts are

    specified to the unique mix of commodities (see Figure 1), operations, economic and labour market conditions, location,

    and human resources (HR) challenges in each region. Gap analysis and discussion then pinpoint the solution strategies

    that make sense, given that regions dynamics.

    MiHR has recently conducted detailed analysis in Saskatchewan (2011), British Columbia (2012), six local districts in

    northern Ontario (2012) and Yukon (2013). These tailored reports discuss the anticipated needs, supply and gaps for

    each province and region. While a national strategy is necessary and many umbrella issues exist, these reports highlight

    the fact that local interpretation of that national strategy is essential. To learn more about contributing to this important

    work, or to discuss your own labour market research needs, please email [email protected] visit www.mihr.ca.

    INDUSTRY DEFINITION AND SCOPE

    MiHR defines the mining industry as including all phases of the mining cycle: exploration, development, extraction,

    processing and reclamation. The MiHR forecasts presented in this report include exploration and development;

    mining and quarrying; support services and contractors (not including oil and gas); iron and steel mills and ferro-alloy

    manufacturing; and alumina and aluminum and other non-ferrous metal production and processing. Statistics Canadas

    North American Industry Classification Codes (NAICS) are used to define the mining industry. There is no single NAICS

    code or set of codes that directly correspond to all phases of the mining cycle. Details on the NAICS codes included in

    MiHR forecasts are found in Appendix C.

    ABOUT THE REPORT

    This report is broken into three main sections. The first section consists of an overview of economic conditions and

    trends in the mining labour market, followed by a section outlining the hiring requirements and available talent forecasts

    for the mining industry. The final section of the report provides a national-level gap analysis of the forecasted hiringrequirements and available talent, along with discussion of trends in the observed gaps and possible options for

    attracting more workers to meet future industry needs.

    mailto:[email protected]://www.mihr.ca/http://www.mihr.ca/mailto:[email protected]
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    The Canadian economy was resilient and responsive in 2012, and despite a tenuous global

    recovery, Canada experienced sustained growth in the domestic economy. Looking forward,

    Canadas economic outlook remains positive, amid continued global economic uncertainty.

    Despite a cautious mood among investors and the business community, Canadas economicgrowth is expected to be modest in the near term, with moderately increasing demand for

    its natural resources and production.

    However, the global economic environment remains volatile and uncertain. The ongoing

    European crisis and its impact on growing economies, including China, remains a drag

    on world economies. In addition, the political disruption in developing nations continues

    to create global instability and threatens economic growth.

    CANADIAN OUTLOOK PRIVATE SECTOR FORECASTS

    Canada regularly surveys private-sector economists on their outlooks for the Canadianeconomy. An outlook that combines the consensus view of 14 private sector forecasts

    (see Table 8) predicts Canadas real GDP growth to be 2.2 per cent in the first quarter of

    2012; 2.1 per cent over the remainder of 2012; and 2.0 per cent in 2013. The expected

    real GDP growth rates for 2014, 2015 and 2016 are forecast at 2.5 per cent; 2.5 per cent;

    and 2.3 per cent, respectively.

    CANADIAN ECONOMIC OVERVIEWAND MINING INDUSTRY TRENDS

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    Private sector firms surveyed for this consensus forecast included Bank of America Merrill Lynch, BMO Capital Markets,

    Caisse de Dpt et Placement du Qubec, CIBC World Markets, The Conference Board of Canada, Desjardins, Deutsche

    Bank of Canada, Laurentian Bank Securities, National Bank Financial Group, Royal Bank of Canada, Scotiabank, TD Bank

    Financial Group, UBS Securities Canada, and the University of Toronto (Policy and Economic Analysis Program).

    2011(A) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20122016

    Real GDP growth 2.5 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.3

    3 month T-Bills 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.8 2.6 3.4 2.0

    Unemployment 7.4 7.3 7.2 6.8 6.6 6.5 6.9

    CPI 2.9 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9

    US real GDP growth 1.7 2.2 2.0 2.9 3.1 3.0 2.6

    A Actual

    *October 2012 forecasts

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; Finance Canada, 2012

    MINING INDUSTRY ECONOMIC OVERVIEW AND OUTLOOK

    The sustained growth in the Canadian economy is mirrored in the mining sector. The combined GDP of Canadian

    metal mines, non-metal mines and coal mines reached $8.3 billion in 2010, from the 2009 low of $7.2 billion;

    the GDP of the sector is expected to reach its pre-recession levels of over $9.0 billion in 2011 (estimated). The

    overall total GDP of the mining industry, excluding oil and gas extraction, but including the three other stages of

    the downstream manufacturing processes that cover primary metal manufacturing such as smelting, refining, rolling,

    extruding, alloying, casting; and non-metallic mineral product manufacturing such as abrasives, lime, cement, glass,

    ceramics; and fabricated metal product manufacturing stands to multiply the mining industry GDP four-fold, to close

    to $40 billion in 2011 (estimated). In relative terms, this GDP figure is equivalent to almost 10 times that of the Forestry

    and Logging sector, two times that of the Agricultural sector, and 1.5 times the Electric Power, Gas and Water Utilities

    sectors combined.

    VALUE OF MINERAL PRODUCTION

    The value of mineral production in Canada continues to lead the world with a total value of $50.3 billion in 2011 (see Figure 2).

    Historically, the top three mineral-producing provinces in Canada have been Ontario, Quebec and British Columbia. More

    recently, however, Saskatchewan is among the top-producing provinces, due to strong developments in potash.

    Table 8:Average Private-Sector Forecasts*

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    Sources: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; Statistics Canada, 2011; Natural Resources Canada, 2011

    COMMODITIES

    The largest impact of the continued global economic turbulence will be realized in Canadian mining through lower

    commodity prices. The slower pace of global economic growth and reduced demand, together with financial market

    uncertainties, have been reflected in commodity markets through lower and weaker commodity prices. Since 2011,

    prices for base metals and agricultural products have fallen, while natural gas prices continue to remain belowpreviously anticipated levels. These trends represent a slight correction in prices and not a long-term downward trend.

    Prices are expected to recover by 2014 and increase steadily thereafter, as shown in the World Bank forecasts for base

    metals (see Figure 3) and for precious metals (see Figure 4).

    High demand for Canadas natural resources from major developing countries such as Brazil, Russia, India and China

    is expected to continue over the next few decades, as large populations of new middle-class consumers emerge and

    try to catch up to western nations. Therefore, the forecast for future commodity prices during the next decade is for a

    sustained and steady increase. In the global competition for natural resources, the Canadian mining industry is well-

    positioned to exploit these competitive developments and to ensure a fair price premium for Canadas non-renewable

    natural resources.

    The globalization of international trade and the composition of demand for Canadas mineral resources have caused

    a closer correlation between the Minerals and Metals Price Index and GDP in the mineral extraction sector. Figure 5

    demonstrates this relationship, which strengthened with the 2009 recovery.

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    UraniumZi

    ncSt

    one

    Sand

    and

    gravel

    Cement

    Diam

    onds

    Nickel

    Copp

    erGo

    ld

    Iron

    oreCoal

    Pota

    sh

    Figure 2:Value of Mineral Production, Canada ($ Billions)

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    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; World Bank, Development Prospects Group, 2012

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; World Bank, Development Prospects Group, 2012

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

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    6,000

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    8,000

    2022F

    2020F

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    2014F

    2012

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    1998

    1996

    1994

    1992

    1990

    Copper (left axis)

    0

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    Coal (right axis)

    $USpermetricton

    $USpermetricton

    0

    500

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    0

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    1994

    1992

    1990

    Gold (left axis) Silver (right axis)

    $US

    pertroy

    oz.

    $US

    pertroy

    oz.

    Figure 3: Historical and Forecasted Price Movements of Coal and Copper

    Figure 4: Historical and Forecasted Price of Gold and Silver

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    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; Statistics Canada, 2011; Bank of Canada, 2012

    Despite this cyclicality, demand for Canadian metals and minerals is expected to grow in the long term. This is primarily due

    to the gradual but stable economic growth momentum in 2012 in the United States, the largest single market for Canadian

    metals. Close to 60 per cent of all metals exports and almost 55 per cent of total Canadian mining exports for aluminum,

    copper, iron and steel, silver, zinc, nitrogen, potash and potassium compounds go to the U.S. In addition, the relatively

    high economic growth rates in China and in the two developing countries of India and Brazil, along with demand for

    Canadian exports of nickel, coal, and potash and potassium compounds bode well for additional incremental demand for

    Canadian metals and minerals in the near term. Canadian mining sales by industry segment are illustrated in Figure 6.

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; The Conference Board of Canada, 2012

    Controlling for price effects, increases in real mining GDP have expanded at an historical average rate of 2.3 per cent

    per year. Over the past 25 years, the mining industry contribution to Canadas GDP has remained relatively stable at

    an average of 2 per cent over the entire 19842008 period. Today, mining accounts for 3.5 per cent of Canadas GDP.

    Figure 6: Sales by Industry Segment

    Geoscience, engineering, and related services: 6%

    Iron, steel and aluminum manufacturing: 34%

    Non-metallic mineral mining: 14%

    Metal ore mining: 42%

    Coal mining: 4%

    Figure 5: Metals and Minerals Price Index (MMPI) and Mining Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    10,000

    2011201020092008200720062005

    Mining GDP MMPI

    0

    100

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    700

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    900

    1,000

    2011201020092008200720062005

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    In the coming years, the shape and composition of the labour force may be transformed,

    as older workers begin to exit the workplace and the skill sets of employees continue

    to expand. This section profiles Canadas mining labour force and highlights the key

    demographic trends and labour market challenges facing the industry.

    CANADIAN MINING INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT

    MiHR estimates that the Canadian mining industry directly employed more than

    235,000 people in 2012. About 71,000 (30 per cent) of these workers were employed

    in mineral extraction; about 50,000 (22 per cent) were employed in mineral exploration;

    about 41,000 (17 per cent) were employed in mining support and supply services; and

    about 72,000 (31 per cent) were employed in primary metal manufacturing.

    Figure 7 illustrates employment in Canadian mining and its subsectors. Changes in the

    composition of mining activities over time have affected employment in the subsectors.Notably, employment in exploration and mining support services has increased relative

    to other subsectors, while processing employment has declined in recent years.

    CANADAS MINING LABOUR MARKET

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    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; Statistics Canada

    Mining employment is characteristically volatile. Research by MiHR demonstrates that the industrys employment level

    is especially responsive to fluctuations in economic activity. As illustrated in Figure 8, over the last two decades,

    employment growth in mining has been strongly correlated with the industrys GDP growth. The connection between

    industry employment and economic activity is a key element in MiHRs employment forecasts.

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; Statistics Canada

    Figure 8: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Employment in Canadas Mining Industry

    (19872010)

    -30

    -25

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    200920072005200320011999199719951993199119891987

    % Chg Emp % Chg GDP

    Figure 7: Employment in the Mining Industry and its Prominent Sectors (20002012)

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    2012201120102009200820072006200520042003200220012000

    Total mining industry

    Mining (extraction)

    Support services for mining

    Mineral processing

    Exploration

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    THE AGING MINING WORKFORCE

    As the existing labour force continues to age, fewer younger people are entering the mining sector, leaving a void that

    could potentially limit the industrys competitiveness in the near future. An aging population and low fertility rates are

    contributing factors; however, the mining industry still captures fewer younger workers compared to the overall labour

    force in Canada. Figure 9 shows the age distribution of the mining labour force relative to the overall labour force in

    Canada. The mining industry has a greater proportion in the older age groups and a smaller proportion in the younger

    age groups.

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; Statistics Canada

    RETIREMENT

    A relatively older workforce means that retirements are anticipated to increase in mining over the next decade. MiHRs

    hiring requirements forecasts commonly show retirements to be the most significant contributor to the industrys

    future hiring needs. Mining employers indicated in recent MiHR surveys that roughly 20 per cent of their workforce

    was eligible to retire in the next three to five years and 6 per cent of workers were currently eligible to retire.

    MiHR projects that the retirement rate in Canadas mining industry will rise from about 2.2 per cent in 2013 to

    2.8 per cent in 2023 an increase of roughly 27 per cent. Figure 10 illustrates projected retirement rates according

    to workers levels of educational attainment. Over the next decade, retirements are expected to accelerate in particular

    for employees holding a university degree, an apprenticeship certificate or a college certificate. To the extent thatretirees hold extensive technical training, certain mining occupations will be challenged more than others to find

    replacements with the critical level of expertise.

    Figure 9:Age Group Distribution in Canadian Mining, 2011

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    55 to 64 years45 to 54 years35 to 44 years25 to 34 years15 to 24 years

    Canadian labour forceMining

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    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; Statistics Canada

    NEW APPROACHES TO RETIREMENT

    When it comes to retirement, older generations of Canadians are demanding more flexibility than ever; in particular,

    more workers are delaying retirement. Recent Statistics Canada research shows that the number of years that a person

    is expected to work before retiring has lengthened since the mid-1990s. Many factors determine how long an individual

    chooses to remain in the workforce. For example, an increase in life expectancy can affect the years individuals spend

    in both their retirement and working lives.

    As older workers choose to stay in the labour force longer, the impact on the younger generation of workers can

    be significant. For instance, an over-emphasis on retaining the experienced baby-boom generation is potentially

    detrimental to Canadas mining industry, as it may limit younger workers opportunities to gain experience. On the

    other hand, delayed retirements can also benefit younger employees because older workers are available to help train

    and develop less-experienced colleagues coming up through the ranks. Encouraging retired workers to take on this

    role could be an excellent way for employers to ensure extended knowledge transfer and mentoring of younger workers.

    It also creates a niche of employment opportunities for retired or semi-retired workers.

    Figure 10: Projected Retirement Rates by Educational Attainment in Canadian Mining

    0.0%

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    COMPENSATION AND WAGES

    Compensation plays an important role in the labour market to the extent that significant wage differences exist among

    industry sectors and occupations. CostMines 2011 Survey of Canadian Mine Salaries, Wages and Benefits provides

    statistics on the average hourly wages for relevant occupations in mining, broken down by commodity groups. As

    Figure 11 shows, occupations that produce diamond and industrial minerals, and fossil fuels are generally among the

    highest paid, while many comparable occupations in metal production have a relatively lower wage rate. Fossil fuel

    producers primarily in occupations in the oil sands receive higher wages on a relatively consistent basis. On the

    other hand, the wages of diamond and industrial mineral-producers tend to vary between different occupations; some

    of these occupations (e.g., heavy equipment operators) are frequently the lowest-paid among the commodity categories.

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; CostMine Salary Survey, 2011

    Figure 11: Average Hourly Wages for Selected Job Titles in Mining,

    by Commodity Produced ($CAD/Hour)

    $20

    $25

    $30

    $35

    $40

    Electr

    ician

    Mech

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    Fossil fuels MetalDiamond/Industrial mineral

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    EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

    As mining activities become increasingly sophisticated and complex, there is pressure on the mining labour force to

    adapt skills to the needs of the industry. At the same time, the mining industry draws from a pool of educated individuals

    who may also align their skills with the needs of competing industries. As Figure 12 shows, the educational profile in

    mining differs from the overall labour force in a couple of key areas. The mining labour force has a greater proportion

    of workers with an apprenticeship or trades certificate. Conversely, the percentage of mining workers with a university-

    level education is lower than in the overall labour force.

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; Statistics Canada

    While these patterns are similar to those presented in MiHRs report, Canadian Mining Industry Employment and Hiring

    Forecasts, 2010, the current mining labour force includes more university graduates than in previous years. This is

    mainly due to MiHRs newly expanded definition of the industry; it now includes mineral exploration activities in which

    comparatively more jobs require university-level education rather than any systematic change in educational attainment.

    Figure 12: Proportion of Mining Labour Force by Highest Level of Educational Attainment

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    Unive

    rsity

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    Canadian labour forceMining

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    Keeping up with minings shifting economic activity presents a significant challenge for education and training providers.

    As it can take many years to administer new programs and to fully prepare people for the workplace, the education

    systems capacity to respond frequently falls behind industrys rapidly changing needs. Figure 13 compares changes

    in GDP with graduation rates for mining-related programs of study over the last decade. Naturally occurring economic

    shifts have created a coordination problem between industry needs and the numbers of students supplied by different

    levels of education programs; these programs arent always nimble enough to meet the needs of a sector with volatile

    employment cycles. Moving forward, it will become increasingly important for industry and education to better

    coordinate their efforts and to ensure they are closely aligned.

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; Statistics Canada

    KNOWLEDGE WORKERS

    In July 2011, MiHR, in partnership with the Canada Mining Innovation Council (CMIC) released a comprehensive study

    on knowledge workers in Canadas exploration and mining industry Making the Grade: Human Resources Challenges

    and Opportunities for Knowledge Workers in Canadian Mining. This report profiles this segment of the workforce, and

    presents labour market information and discussion of the HR challenges and issues the industry will face in engagingits knowledge workers.

    Figure 13: Change in Graduation Rates and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Canada

    -30

    -25

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    2010200920082007200620052004200320022001

    % Chg GDP

    % Chg post-secondary education

    or equivalent-college

    % Chg post-secondary education or

    equivalent-university

    % Chg post-secondary general, career, technicalor professional education or equivalent

    -50

    -40

    -30

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    -10

    0

    10

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    40

    50

    2010200920082007200620052004200320022001

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    Knowledge workers are a valuable segment of the industry. They occupy pivotal roles, including leadership positions;

    drive innovation; educate the future workforce; lead research and development; and ensure the industrys long-term

    competitiveness. However, shifts in demographic trends indicate that many of these employees will leave the workforce

    by 2020 and demand for knowledge workers will be high in all sectors. Knowledge workers, who are historically a highly

    mobile segment of the workforce, will become increasingly mobile as their portable skills become highly demanded

    across a number of industries.

    As global skills shortages and skills competition increase, it will be more difficult to recruit and retain many knowledge

    workers. As a result, organizations will have to work harder to attract, engage and keep these key people; for many,

    this will require them to adapt their talent-management practices and programs to meet the needs of their knowledge

    workforce. MiHRs recommended strategies include:

    Reach broader audiences through outreach and recruitment initiatives.

    Ensure the concerns of female knowledge workers are understood and addressed.

    Explore alternate forms of career development for mid-career technical professionals.

    Ensure stable and continued investment in research and development activities.

    Nurture collaboration and cooperation among academic institutions, employers, government and industry associations. Expand work opportunities and experiential learning for secondary and post-secondary students.

    DIVERSITY

    The future strength of Canadas mining labour force will depend greatly on the participation of diverse groups, such

    as Aboriginal peoples, women and immigrants. Compared with other industries, these groups have historically

    been under-represented or under-utilized in the mining industry. As Figure 14 indicates, the participation rates of

    women (16 per cent) and immigrants (12 per cent) in the mining labour force are lower than in the total labour

    force and other resource sectors. Aboriginal peoples, however, participate at a higher rate in mining (5 per cent)

    than in the rest of the labour force and in other resource sectors.

    Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, 2013; Statistics Canada, 2012

    Figure 14: Participation of Aboriginal Peoples, Immigrants and Women

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    WomenImmigrantsAboriginal peoples

    Canadian labour force Other resource sectorsMining

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    ABORIGINAL PARTICIPATION IN MINING

    A continuation of strong Aboriginal participation will be crucial to Canadas mining industry. Given that many

    Aboriginal communities are in close proximity to mining operations and exploration sites, they constitute a

    significant portion of the local workforce. Aboriginal peoples are also the youngest and fastest-growing segment

    of the Canadian labour market. Figure 15 illustrates the correlation between mining and exploration activity,

    and the location of Aboriginal communities in 2011.

    Industry employers report Aboriginal participation mainly in entry-level positions. An important opportunity exists

    for industry and education partnerships, such as MiHRs Mining EssentialsProgram, to address education gaps

    through training and development in Aboriginal communities.

    Source: Natural Resources Canada, 2012.

    *This is a partial reproduction. The complete figure can be found at www.nrcan.gc.ca/minerals-metals/sites/www.nrcan.gc.ca.minerals-metals/files/files/pdf/abor-auto/

    aam-eac-e2013.pdf.

    Figure 15:Aboriginal Communities and Mining and Exploration Agreements in Canada, 2012*

    9

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    167

    NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR

    1. Voiseys Bay - IBA -Innu Nation (Labrador),Labrador Inuit Association

    2. Schefferville Area Iron Ore Projects- IBA -Innu Nation (Labrador) representingthe Sheshatshiu Innu Nation and theMushuau Innu FN, Naskapi Nationof Kawawachikamach, Nation InnuMatimekush-Lac John, Innu TakuaikanUashat Mak Mani-Utenam of Sept-Iles; CA -NunatuKavut Community Council

    3. Direct Shipping Ore (DSO) - IBA - NaskapiNation of Kawawachikamach, NationInnu Matimekush-Lac John, Innu Nation(Labrador), Innu Takuaikan Uashat MakMani-Utenam

    4. Block 103 - EA -Innu Takuaikan Uashat MakMani-Utenam

    NOVA SCOTIA

    5. Melford and Sugar Camp - IBA -Mikmaqcommunities of Cape Breton: Chapel Island,

    Eskasoni, Waycobah, Wagamacook, andMembertou

    NEW BRUNSWICK

    6. Halfmile Mine - O, IBA -Mikmaq FNs of:Amlamgog (Fort Folly), Esgenoopetitj,Elsipogtog, Lnui Menikuk (Indian island),Metepenagiag, Natoaganeg (Eel ground),Oinpegitjoig (Pabineau), Tjipogtotjg(Bouctouche), Ugpiganjig

    QUEBEC

    7. Bloom Lake - IBA -Innu Takuaikan UashatMak Mani-Utenam

    8. Isoukustouc - EA -Innu Council of Pessamit9. Lablache - EA -Innu Council of Pessamit

    22. Kipawa - MOU -Eagle Village FN, Kipawa,Wolf Lake

    ONTARIO

    23. Lapointe - MOU -Timiskaming FN24. Detour Lake - EA -Moose Cree FN;

    IBA-Taykwa Tagamou Nation,Wahgoshig, Mtis Nation of Ontario

    25. Lake Abitibi Claims - EA - Wahgoshig26. Kerrs Gold - MOU -Wahgoshig27. Black Fox - MOU -Wahgoshig28. WALP - EA - Wahgoshig29. Scadding - MOU -Wahnapitae30. Podolsky - IBA -Wahnapitae31. Young-Davidson - IBA -Matachewan32. Mohawk Garnet - MOU -Wahnapitae

    10. Hopes Advance Bay - LI -Makivik Corp.(on behalf of the Inuit of Nunavik), NunavikLandholding Corp. of Aupaluk

    11. Renard - IBA -Grand Council of the Crees(Eeyou Istchee) / Cree Regional Authority,Cree Nation of Mistissini

    12. Nunavik Nickel - IBA -NunaturlikLandholding Corp. of Kangiqsujuaq,Qaqqalik Landholding Corp. of Salluit, theNorthern Village of Puvirnituq, MakivikCorp.

    13. Raglan - IBA -Makivik Corp., QaqqalikLandholding Corp. of Salluit, NorthernVillage Corp. of Salluit, Nunaturlik

    Landholding Corp. of Kangiqsujuaq,Northern Village Corp. of Kangiqsujuaq

    14. Troilus - IBA -Cree Nation of Mistissini15. Windfall Lake - EA -Grand Council of the

    Crees (Eeyou Istchee) / Cree RegionalAuthority, Cree FN of Waswanipi

    16. Bachelor Lake - PA -Grand Council of theCrees (Eeyou Istchee) / Cree Regional

    Authority, Cree FN of Waswanipi17. Rose Tantalum-Lithium - O -Cree Nation

    of Eastmain, Grand Council of the Crees(Eeyou Istchee) / Cree Regional Authority

    18. Eleonore - CA -Cree Nation of Wemindji,Grand Council of the Crees (EeyouIstchee) / Cree Regional Authority

    19. Lac Rocher - MOU - Cree FN ofWaswanipi

    20. Montviel Project - O -Grand Council of theCrees (Eeyou Istchee) / Cree Regional

    Authority, Cree FN of Waswanipi21. Quebec Lithium - MOU -Abitibiwinni FN of

    Pikogan, Anishinabe FN of Lac-Simon

    33. Xstrata Nickel - PA -Wahnapitae34. Bell Creek - EA -Flying Post,

    Matachewan, Mattagami, Wahgoshig35. Shaw Dome Nickel Belt - IBA -Mattagami,

    Matachewan, Wahgoshig36. Project 81 - MOU -Mattagami,

    Matachewan37. Shining Tree Gold - EA - Mattagami38. Victoria - MOU -Atikameksheng

    Anishnawbek, Sagamok Anishnawbek39. Totten Nickel Mine - IBA -Sagamok

    Anishnawbek40. Timmins West - EA -Flying Post,

    Mattagami

    41. Shakespeare Nickel Mine - IBA -SagamokAnishnawbek

    42. Chester - EA -Mattagami43. Sudbury Mines Area - MOU -Wahgoshig,

    Wahnapitae; EA -Sagamok Anishnawbek44. Within the traditional territories of

    Sagamok Anishnawbek - MOU -SagamokAnishnawbek

    45. Jerome Mining Claims - EA -First NationsPartnership comprising Mattagami,Brunswick House, Flying Post

    46. Severn - MOU -Attawapiskat47. Warren Township Calcium Feldspar

    - MOU -Chapleau Cree FN on behalfof affected regional FNs and AboriginalPeople

    48. Borden Lake - MOU -Brunswick House,Chapleau Ojibwe, Chapleau Cree FNs

    49. Martison - O -Constance Lake50. Victor - IBA -Attawapiskat, Moose Cree

    FN, Kashechewan, Fort Albany FN; O Taykwa Tagamou Nation

    51. MacFadyen - EA -Attawapiskat52. Pickle Lake Properties - MOU -

    Mishkeegogamang53. Albany Project- EA - Constance Lake54. Bolds Ring of Fire Project - MOU -

    Attawapiskat, Marten Falls FN55. Within the traditional territories of the Pic

    Mobert FN - MOU -Pic Mobert FN56. Marten Falls area - LI -Marten Falls FN57. Big Lake and Hemlo East - MOU -

    Ojibways of the Pic River FN58. Highbank - EA -Marten Falls FN59. Black Thor - EA -Webequie60. Junior Lake - MOU -Whitesand,

    Animbiigoo Zaagiigan Anishinaabek61. Eagles Nest - EA -Webequie; O -Marten

    Falls FN62. Marathon - MOU -Ojibways of Pic River

    FN, Pic Mobert FN; O -Ojibways of PicRiver FN

    63. Hardrock - MOU -Ginoogaming FN; EA -Long Lake No.58 FN

    64. South Bend - EA -Webequie65. Semple-Hulbert - EA -Kasabonika Lake66. Ti-pa-haa-kaa-ning - O -Neskantaga FN67. Fort Good Hope - EA -Eabametoong FN68. KM61 - MOU -Whitesand69. Wellington - EA -FN Community of

    Summer Beaver70. Nipigon Reefs - O - Red Rock Band of

    Lake Helen Reserve #53A71. Pickle Crow - MOU -Mishkeegogamang72. Pickle Lake - MOU -Mishkeegogamang73. Dona Lake - SEA -Osnaburgh

    Indian Band, Windigo Tribal Council,Governments of Canada and Ontario

    74. Musselwhite - IBA -North Caribou Lake,

    Lake FN, Wunnumin, Shibogama FNCouncil

    75. PQ North Property - LI -North CaribouLake

    76. Thierry Mine Property - MOU -Mishkeegogamang

    77. Chief Peter Property - MOU -Lac DesMille Lacs

    78. Golden Patricia - SEA - Cat Lake,Osnaburgh Indian Band, Slate FallsNation, Windigo Tribal Council,Government of Ontario

    79. Hammond Reef - MOU, O - FortFrances Chiefs Secretariat representing:Couchiching FN, Lac La Croix,Mitaanjigamiing FN, Naicatchewenin FN,

    Nigigoonsiminikaanikaaning FN, RainyRiver FN, Seine River FN, Lac des Mille-

    les FN; MOU-Mtis Nation of Ontario80. Thorne Lake - LI -Sachigo Lake81. Kenbridge Deposit - EA -Anishinaabeg

    of Naongashiing FN, Big Grassy,Northwest Angle No.33, Northwest

    Angle No.37, Ojibways of OnigamingFN, Naotkamegwanning, Anishinabe ofWauzhushk Onigum, Anishinaabeg ofKabapikotawangag Resource Council

    82. Phoenix Gold - EA -Lac Seul83. Rainy River - MOU -Fort Frances

    Chiefs Secretariat representing:Couchiching FN, Lac La Croix,Mitaanjigamiing FN, Naicatchewenin FN,Nigigoonsiminikaanikaaning FN, RainyRiver FN, Seine River FN, Lac des Mille-

    les FN; PA-Naicatcheweni, Rainy RiverFN, Mitaanjigamiing FN, Couchiching FN,Lac La Croix, and Seine River FN

    84. Big Mack - MOU - WabaseemoongIndependent Nations

    85. Separation Rapids - MOU -Wabaseemoong Independent Nations

    MANITOBA

    86. Monument Bay - MOU - Red Sucker Lake87. Makwa Nickel - MOU -Sagkeeng88. Minago - MOU -Misipawistik Cree Nation,

    Mosakahiken Cree Nation, Cross Lake FN

    SASKATCHEWAN

    89. Konuto Lake - SLA -Govt ofSaskatchewan

    90. Muskowekwan - MOU -Muskowekwan FN91. Chacachas - O -Chacahas FN Alliance92. Ochapowace - O -Ochapowace FN

    Alliance93. Day Star - MOU -Day Star FN Alliance94. Jasper - SLA -Govt of Saskatchewan95. Rabbit Lake - SLA -Govt of

    Saskatchewan96. McClean Lake - SLA -Govt of

    Saskatchewan97. Seabee Gold - SLA -Govt of

    Saskatchewan98. Komis - SLA -Govt of Saskatchewan99. Midwest - SLA -Govt of Saskatchewan

    100. Muscowpetung - O - Muscowpetung FNAlliance

    101. Jolu - SLA -Govt of Saskatchewan102. La Ronge Gold Belt - MOU -Lac La Ronge

    Indian Band; SLA -Govt of Saskatchewan103. Cigar Lake - SLA -Govt of Saskatchewan104. Southeastern Sask. - MOU -Federation of

    Saskatchewan Indian Nations

    Exploration

    may be pending)ProducingClosed or in reclamationOn hold

    LEGENDNote: Properties have been plotted and listedbelow from east to west for ease of reference.

    http://%20www.nrcan.gc.ca/minerals-metals/sites/www.nrcan.gc.ca.minerals-metals/files/files/pdf/abor-auto/aam-eac-e2013.pdf.http://%20www.nrcan.gc.ca/minerals-metals/sites/www.nrcan.gc.ca.minerals-metals/files/files/pdf/abor-auto/aam-eac-e2013.pdf.http://%20www.nrcan.gc.ca/minerals-metals/sites/www.nrcan.gc.ca.minerals-metals/files/files/pdf/abor-auto/aam-eac-e2013.pdf.http://%20www.nrcan.gc.ca/minerals-metals/sites/www.nrcan.gc.ca.minerals-metals/files/files/pdf/abor-auto/aam-eac-e2013.pdf.
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    32/68A Mi HR RE PO RT26

    IMMIGRANTS

    The Canadian mining industry continues to under-perform the rest of the labour market in employing immigrants.

    Accordi