hdfc prudence fund - ppt.pdf

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  • 8/17/2019 HDFC Prudence Fund - PPT.pdf

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     HDFC PRUDENCE FUND(Open ended Balanced Scheme)

    The Fund that has seen it all

    Celebratin 20

    11October 16, 2014

    This product is suitable for investors who are seeking*: Capital appreciation over long term Investment predominantly in equity and equity related instruments of medium

    to large sized companies• High risk  (BROWN)

    * Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whetherthe product is suitable for them. Fund Inception date: February 1, 1994

    Note: Risk is represented as: 

    ( BLUE) investors understand that their principal will be at low risk 

    (YELLOW) investors understand that their principal will be at medium risk 

    (BROWN) investors understand that their principal will be at high risk 

     

     years*of Prudentinvesting

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    The journey so far…

    • Launched as Centurion Prudence Fund in Januar 1994, it was renamed as Zurich India Prudence Fund

    and finally HDFC Prudence Fund in June 2003.

    • HDFC Prudence Fund is today the largest*

    balanced Fund in India with a AUM of ~ INR 7000 crores as

    on 30th September, 2014 and ~ 3 lac investors

    • In this journey of over 20 years, Rs 10,000 has become ~Rs 4.5 lacs (~45 times) at CAGR of ~20.3%* *

    • Our sincere thanks to all investors, distributors, well wishers etc. in making this possible

    •  A s ecial thanks to 2 500 investors who have sta ed with us ri ht throu h this 20 ear ourne

    22

     “Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world.He who understands it, earns it ... he who doesn't ... pays it.” –  Albert Einstein

    * Source: AMFI - Average AUM : Rs 7,058 crs (July – Sep 2014), ** Past performance may or may not be sustained in Future, Refer Slide No. 16

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    The Fund that has seen it all.

    Crises, bubbles, events, market cycles… HDFC Prudence Fund has seen it all

    33

     A disciplined approach to investing with a long term focus has enabled HDFC Prudence Fundto weather all of the above and generate ~20.3%* CAGR over 20 years

    * Past performance may or may not be sustained in Future, Refer Slide No 16

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    The Fund that has seen it all

    4.5 lacs

    Reference made to SENSEX in this slide is only for easy understanding of market movement. The Benchmark for this FUND

    is CRISIL Balanced Fund Index. * Past performance may or may not be sustained in Future, Refer Slide No 16

    ~20,000~5,000Sensex Levels ~10,000 ~9,000 ~20,000 ~27,000~4,000

    0.67 lacs

    0.49 lacs

    4

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    Salient Features of HDFC Prudence Fund

    • Prudence being a balanced fund, invests in both equities and in debt

    •  Asset Allocation between equities/debt is a function of valuations, growth outlook, interestrates etc.

    • Equity strategy

    Clear long term focus

    Multi cap strategy, flexibility to invest in large / mid / small cap stocks Preference for high quality companies Effective diversification of portfolio to reduce risk 

    • Debt Strate

    5

     

    Portfolio duration is actively managed based on outlook for interest rates with a 2-3 year view Strong preference for good credit quality

    5

    One Fund that offers the best of both asset classes

    For details on ‘Investment Strategy’ refer Scheme Information Document available on www.hdfcfund.com

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    Consistent dividends

    • The Fund has paid dividends in each of last 15 years

    • Total dividends paid in last 15 years aggregate to Rs 50.9 per unit

    • Double digit dividend yield in each of last 10 years

    In last 15 years 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Dividend per unit (Rs) (A) 2.0 1.5 0.9 1.0 2.0 3.0 1.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 2.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0

    NAV (Record Date) (B) 17.7 15.2 12.7 13.9 18.7 23.7 20.2 25.3 30.5 32.5 33.5 17.4 31.2 31.3 29.5 27.5 25.7

     

    6

    ^ Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future. There is no assurance or guarantee to Unit holders as to rate/quantum of dividend distribution nor that the

    dividends will be paid regularly

     All dividends are on face value of Rs. 10 per Unit. After payment of the dividend, the per Unit NAV falls to the extent of the payout and statutory levy, if any. Please log on towww.hdfcfund.com for Record Date-wise listing of dividends declared.

    v en e

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    India Economic Outlook : on the recovery path

    • GDP rowth CAD Fiscal deficit FD IIP CPI WPI are showin encoura in trend

    •  A strong, pro economy, pro business government bodes well for economy and for businesses

    • Recent sharp fall in crude oil prices, should lead to sharply lower CAD, FD and inflation

    7Source : Citi Research, Internal estimates, Colored rows refer to yearly data; other represent quarterly data

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    Equity Markets : A positive outlook 

    Low P/E’s*

    despite markets* *

    run upEBITDA margins at cyclical lows

    FY 14.0

    16.0

    18.0

    20.0

    22.0

    24.0 S&P BSE Sensex EBITDA margin (%)%

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,000Roll PE (LHS) Average (LHS)

    SENSEX (RHS) **

    *

    Reasonable P/E’s at cyclically low margins leads to positive outlook for equities

    Source : BAML

    Reference made to S&P BSE SENSEX in this presentation is only for easy understanding of market movement and must not be construed as future performance ofS&P BSE SENSEX. The Benchmark for this fund is Crisil Balanced Fund Index. Refer Disclaimer / Risk Factors on Slide 20

    Source : CLSA 

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    Interest rates : Headed lower

    • Falling fiscal deficit, low CAD, falling inflation and likely further fall in inflation should lead to

    Past Future

    High commodity prices Lower/Stable Commodity prices

     

    lower rates

    Inflation drivers are moderating

     

    Strong Consumer demand Slowdown in Consumer demand

    High wage inflation Moderation in wage growth

    High increase in MSP's Low growth in MSP's

    Sharply rising Diesel prices Stable prices

    9

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    HDFC Prudence Fund - Positive Outlook 

    • Economic outlook for India is improving

    • Equity valuations are attractive

    SENSEX @ 26,630 is trading at 15.6x FY15E; earnings upgrades are being witnessed (Source : CLSA)

    • Cyclically low margins aid profit growth outlook 

    • Interest rates are near peak and are likely to come down in medium term

    • In view of above, outlook for both equities and bonds is positive

     • HDFC Prudence Fund, offers a simple solution to benefit from both equities and bonds

    10

     “Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication” - Leonardo da Vinci

    Sensex value as on 30th Sep, 2014

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     Asset Allocation is the key to wealth creation – An illustration

     You earn on what you invest

    Debt, Equity allocation makes abigger difference to wealth over

    long periods, than timing.

    Equity % Debt %

    100 0 404 15.0

    80 20 367 13.9

    60 40 328 12.6

    40 60 291 11.3

    20 80 253 9.7

    0 100 216 8.0

    Initial investment of Rs 100  Value at Year

    10CAGR (%)

    11 11

    For illustration purposes only. For calculation purpose CAGR returns for equities has been taken as 15% CAGR and for debt as 8% CAGR.

    In India, household allocation to equity funds is minimal, there is a strong case to increase it.

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    The benefits of long term investingStudy based on return distribution of HDFC Prudence Fund over 20 years

    Following table represents monthly rolling returns over last 20 years of HDFC Prudence Fund distributed over different

    holding periods and return brackets, e.g., returns have been more than 15% p.a. in ~57% of 1 year holding

    periods, more than 15% p.a. in ~63% of 3 year holding periods, more than 15% p.a. in ~81% 5 year holding periodsand more than 15% p.a. in ~100% of 10, 15 and 20 years holding periods

    CAGR (%) 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 15 Years 20 Years

    more than 20   49 46 55 83 94 56

    more than 15   57 63 81 100 100 100

    more than 10   65 75 96 100 100 100

    more than 0   76 96 100 100 100 100

    more than -10   89 100 100 100 100 100

    more than -20   96 100 100 100 100 100

      -

    • It can be clearly seen, that as the holding period increases, return profile improves

    • This is consistent with the belief that equities are a long term asset class and that risk reduces as holdingperiod increases

    12

     “Time spent in markets is more important than timing the markets”

    12Performance data computed till September, 2014

     

    ^ Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future.

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    Fund Selection - Lane Changing does not work !

    RANK 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    1   H H G H E D D E H G

    3   F G B A J F F J D J

    4   E F I I F A C B F C

    5   B I C F B J G G J F

    6   C E H D C E J A G D

    7   A B F J A C A F B B

    8   I A D C D I H D E E9   G C E E I G B H I I

    10   J J J G H B I I C H

    Balanced funds as on Dec 31, 2013 for last 10 years

    • It is evident that flavor of the season investing does not work. There is merit in stickingwith funds that have a disciplined approach to investments and have performedacross cycles

    Data compiled by HDFC Mutual Fund

     “If investing is entertaining, if you're having fun, you're probably not making any money”. – George Soros

    13^ Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future.

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    Summary : Keep it simple

    • Economic outlook in India is slowly but steadily improving

    • Equity valuations are attractive and interest rates are likely to come down in medium term

    • Outlook for both equity and bonds is thus positive

    • HDFC Prudence Fund, a balanced fund with a track record of 20 years across several cycles,

    across good and bad times, is well positioned to benefit from improving economic environment,

    and from positive outlook of equities and bonds

     “A wise companion is half the journey” – Russian Proverb

    14

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    Performance(As on September 30, 2014)

    Refer Disclaimer / Risk Factors on

    Slide: 22 Slide 15 15

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    SCHEME PERFORMANCE SUMMARY 

    Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future.$All dividends declared prior to the splitting of the Scheme into Dividend & Growth Options are assumed to be reinvested in the units of the Scheme at the then prevailing NAV

    (ex-dividend NAV). #The Scheme is co-managed by Prashant Jain and Srinivas Rao Ravuri. +The Scheme is co-managed by Prashant Jain (Equities) and Shobhit Mehrotra(Debt). @Scheme performance may not strictly be comparable with that of its Additional Benchmark in view of balanced nature of the scheme where a portion of scheme'sinvestments are made in debt instruments. ^Scheme performance may not strictly be comparable with that of its Additional Benchmark in view of hybrid nature of the schemewhere a portion of scheme's investments are made in equity instruments. 1. Benchmark 2. Additional Benchmark 

    16

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    Product Features

    Type of Scheme  An Open-ended Balanced Scheme

    Inception Date (Date of  allotment)

    February 1, 1994

    Investment Objective To provide periodic returns and capital appreciation over a long period of time from a judicious mix of equity

    Fund Manager $ Prashant Jain (Since June 19, 2003)*

    Investment Plan HDFC Prudence Fund, HDFC Prudence Fund - Direct Plan#

    Investment Option Under Each Plan: Growth & Dividend. The Dividend Option offers Dividend Payout and Reinvestment facility.

    Minimum Application Amount(Under Each Plan/Option)

    Purchase:  ` 5,000 and any amount thereafter Additional Purchase:  ` 1,000 and any amount thereafter

    Load Structure Entry Load:Not Applicable. Upfront commission shall be paid directly by the investor to the ARN Holder (AMFIregistered Distributor) based on the investors’ assessment of various factors including the servicerendered by the ARN Holder.

    Exit Load:

     –

    17

    * Date of migration from Zurich India Mutual Fund.$ Dedicated Fund Manager for Overseas Investments: Mr. Rakesh Vyas since May 10, 2012.

    # Direct Plan is for investors who purchase/subscribe Units in a Scheme directly with the Fund and is not available for investors who route their investmentsthrough a Distributor. Direct Plan shall have a lower expense ratio excluding distribution expenses, commission, etc and no commission for distribution of Unitswill be paid / charged under the Direct Plan.

    , .redeemed / switched – out within 18 months from the date of allotment.

    No exit load is payable if units are redeemed / switched out after 18 months from the date of  allotment.

    For further details on load structure, please refer to the Scheme Information Document / Key InformationMemorandum

    of the Scheme.

    Benchmark  CRISIL Balanced Fund Index

    17

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     Asset Allocation Pattern

    Under normal circumstances, the asset allocation (% of the net assets) of the Scheme’sportfolio will be as follows:

    Type of theInstruments

    Minimum Allocation

    (% of Net Assets)

    Maximum Allocation

    (% of Net Assets)

    Risk Profile of theInstrument

    Equity & Equity

    linked instruments

    40 75 High

    Debt Securitiesand money marketinstruments*

    25 60 Low to Medium

    18

    *Investment in Securitised debt, if undertaken, would not exceed 10% of the net assets of the Scheme.The scheme may seek investment opportunity in the ADR / GDR / Foreign Equity and Debt Securities (max. 40% of net assets) subject to SEBI (Mutual Funds)Regulations, 1996. The scheme may use derivatives mainly for the purpose of hedging and portfolio balancing (max 25% of net assets) based on theopportunities available subject to SEBI (Mutual Funds) Regulations, 1996.

    18

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    Glossary

    CAD - Current Account Deficit

      -

    GDP - Gross Domestic Product

    MSP - Minimum Selling Price

    EBITDA - Earning before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization

    19

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    Thank You

    20 20

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    The views expressed herein are based on the basis of internal data, publicly available information and other

    sources believed to be reliable. Any calculations made are approximations, meant as guidelines only, which

    you must confirm before relying on them. The information contained in this document is for general purposes

    only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy/sell any mutual fund units/securities. The document is

    given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. The document does not have regard to specific

    investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this

    document. The information/ data herein alone are not sufficient and should not be used for the development or

    implementation of an investment strategy. The same should not be construed as investment advice to any

    party. The statements contained herein are based on our current views and involve known and unknown risks

    and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those

    expressed or implied in such statements. Neither HDFC Asset Management Company (HDFC AMC) andHDFC Mutual Fund (the Fund) nor any person connected with them, accepts any liability arising from the use

    of this document. The recipient(s) before acting on any information herein should make his/her/their own

    investigation and seek appropriate professional advice and shall alone be fully responsible / liable for any

    decision taken on the basis of information contained herein.

    21

     

    MUTUAL FUND INVESTMENTS ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET RISKS, READ ALL SCHEME

    RELATED DOCUMENTS CAREFULLY.

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