felix petersen (amen) – grow the f*** up? how to raise your service properly

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Growing up @fiahless [email protected]

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Post on 15-Aug-2015

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Conception

Conception =

Product / Value Fit

Are we or are we not?

Is it working?

Customer XYZ loves it

“Did you see the article on us

on TC?”

Is it working?

“We’ve had over a Million

Downloads?”

“We have 100k Users”

Customer XYZ loves it

“Did you see the article on us

on TC?”

Most data points = Not good predictors

Two Words: Cohort Retention

“How many people that did X came back in the next week and did X again”

80/20

25% = Good?

ADDICTIVE +

VALUABLE

NON-ADDICTIVE +

VALUABLE

NON-ADDICTIVE +

NON-VALUABLE

ADDICTIVE +

NON-VALUABLE

VALU

E

Stickyness

ADDICTIVE +

VALUABLE

NON-ADDICTIVE +

VALUABLE

ADDICTIVE +

NON-VALUABLE-> 0%

VALU

E

Stickyness

ADDICTIVE +

VALUABLE

NON-ADDICTIVE +

VALUABLE

-> 0%-> 0%

VALU

E

Stickyness

ADDICTIVE +

VALUABLE

-> 0%-> 0%

-> >10%

VALU

E

Stickyness

-> 0%-> 0%

-> >10% -> >50%

VALU

E

Stickyness

VALU

E

Stickyness

Version 1.0 Release of iOS

K = # Touch Points

Path of Infection

Infectious Pop. *

K =

# Invites / Shares

Conversion Rate

Active Users *

RetentionEa

sier

Intentional Incremental

Har

der

Viral Drivers

Conversion

Using Cohort Retention:

-> True measure for traction -> Helps you chase value instead of vanity -> Helps you focus -> Helps you test and manage features