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Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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Page 1: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market

Milano Energia

Milan, 5 October 2005

Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

Page 2: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

2

Contents

• Background on the European Emissions market;

• Market characteristics: Volumes, Prices and Players

• Introduction to the European Climate Exchange;

• How do emissions relate to other energy markets?

• Looking ahead: the carbon market & the future

Page 3: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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European Climate Exchange

» The European Climate Exchange (ECX) is a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) which, in collaboration with the International Petroleum Exchange (IPE), offers a series of emissions products;

» ECX Carbon Financial Instruments futures Contracts are listed and traded on the IPE and offers a pan-European electronic trading platform where industry and financial institutions can trade CO2 under the EU Emissions Trading Scheme;

» ECX CFI futures Contracts are financially guaranteed by LCH.Clearnet;

» At current prices, the EU carbon market has an annual baseline value of €50 bn in 2005;

» ECX/ IPE has become the leading CO2 emissions exchange in Europe with 38 million tonnes traded in the first five months of activity;

» ECX, IPE and Powernext will co-operate to offer futures and spot contracts on an integrated screen.

Page 4: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

4

Development of the EU Emissions Market

Futures market

Spot market OTC derivatives

Forward market

First forward trade in February 2003

First cash-settled OTC trade in

February 2005

First spot trade in February 2005

ECX IPE futures contract launched on 22nd April 2005

Page 5: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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Market Development

• Forward trading began in February 2003 and 10 MtCO2 were traded in 2004 –approximately 140 million tonnes CO2 traded first in the 9 months of 2005;

• Market infrastructure:– Increasing numbers of market participants – 50-60 now active;– 9 brokers;– 7 exchanges;

• All 25 National Allocation Plans now approved by EU Commission;

• 11 National registries currently operational (fully or partly).

• Companies from all industrial sectors included in EU Emissions Trading Scheme have traded at ECX/IPE.

Page 6: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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Price and volume ECX

-

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

22 Apr 09 May 23 May 07 Jun 21 Jun 05 Jul 19 Jul 02 Aug 16 Aug 31 Aug 14 Sep

-

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

5 months activity = 42 million tonnes CO2 traded on ECX

Page 7: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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Market Shares

53%

30%

17%

OTC ECX/ IPE Other Exchanges

Page 8: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

8

IPE ECX CFI volatility

ECX CFI volatility vs. settlement price

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

Vo

lati

lity

(%

)

-

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

Pri

ce

(€

)

Settlement Price

Volatility

Page 9: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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Correlation with other IPE markets

Energy Product Price Correlation

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

4/22

/200

5

4/24

/200

5

4/26

/200

54/

28/2

005

4/30

/200

5

5/2/

2005

5/4/

2005

5/6/

2005

5/8/

2005

5/10

/200

5

5/12

/200

5

5/14

/200

5

5/16

/200

5

5/18

/200

55/

20/2

005

5/22

/200

5

5/24

/200

5

5/26

/200

5

5/28

/200

55/

30/2

005

6/1/

2005

6/3/

2005

6/5/

2005

6/7/

2005

6/9/

2005

6/11

/200

5

6/13

/200

5

6/15

/200

5

6/17

/200

5

6/19

/200

56/

21/2

005

6/23

/200

5

6/25

/200

5

6/27

/200

5

6/29

/200

57/

1/20

05

7/3/

2005

7/5/

2005

7/7/

2005

7/9/

2005

7/11

/200

5

7/13

/200

5

7/15

/200

5

7/17

/200

5

7/19

/200

5

7/21

/200

57/

23/2

005

7/25

/200

5

7/27

/200

5

7/29

/200

5

7/31

/200

58/

2/20

05

8/4/

2005

8/6/

2005

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

NBP Winter05 (p/th) Power Winter05 (£/MWh) Brent Dec05($/bbl) CFI Dec05 (€/t)

Page 10: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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Correlation with other IPE markets (2)

Spark Spread vs Carbon Price

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

4/22

/200

54/

24/2

005

4/26

/200

54/

28/2

005

4/30

/200

55/

2/20

055/

4/20

055/

6/20

055/

8/20

055/

10/2

005

5/12

/200

55/

14/2

005

5/16

/200

55/

18/2

005

5/20

/200

55/

22/2

005

5/24

/200

55/

26/2

005

5/28

/200

55/

30/2

005

6/1/

2005

6/3/

2005

6/5/

2005

6/7/

2005

6/9/

2005

6/11

/200

56/

13/2

005

6/15

/200

56/

17/2

005

6/19

/200

56/

21/2

005

6/23

/200

56/

25/2

005

6/27

/200

56/

29/2

005

7/1/

2005

7/3/

2005

7/5/

2005

7/7/

2005

7/9/

2005

7/11

/200

57/

13/2

005

7/15

/200

57/

17/2

005

7/19

/200

57/

21/2

005

7/23

/200

57/

25/2

005

7/27

/200

57/

29/2

005

7/31

/200

58/

2/20

058/

4/20

058/

6/20

058/

8/20

058/

10/2

005

8/12

/200

58/

14/2

005

8/16

/200

58/

18/2

005

Sp

ark

Sp

read

Pri

ce (

£)

10

15

20

25

30

35

Car

bo

n P

rice

(€)

Spark Spread CFI Dec05 (€/t)

Page 11: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

How can you trade ECX CFI futures Contracts on IPE?

• Trade directly as an IPE Member; or

• Order-Route as a customer of an IPE Member or a Broker electronically (or place orders by telephone);

Page 12: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

ABN AMRO Futures*

Accord Energy

ADM Investor Services International*

Amerex

Atel Trading

Bache Financial*

Banco Santander*

Barclays Capital*

Bear Stearns International*

BHF Bank*

BNP Paribas Commodity Futures*

BP Gas Marketing

Breakwater Trading

Calyon Financial*

Cargill Investor Services*

Climate Change Markets*

Credit Suisse First Boston (Europe)*

Deutsche Bank*

Dresdner Bank*

E.On UK

Electrabel

Fimat International Banque*

Fortis Bank Global Clearing*

Goldman Sachs*

ICAP*

JP Morgan Securities*

Kyte Broking

MAN Financial*

Marquette Partners (UK)

Merrill Lynch International*

Merrill Lynch Commodities (Europe)

Mizuho Securities*

Morgan Stanley & Co International*

Optiver

Refco Overseas*

Saxon Financials

Scottish Power Energy Management

SEB Bank*

Sempra Energy Europe

Shell Energy Trading

Shell International Trading & Shipping

Smartest Energy

Spectron Energy Services

Starmark Trading

TFS Derivatives

Tradelink

UBS*

Members in ECX CFIs on IPE

*Entities marked with a star are able to offer clearing services to third parties.

Page 13: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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IPE ECX CFI futures - Contract specifications

Settlement Physically settled against transfer of EU allowances.

Settlement cycle Quarter-ends on Mar / Jun / Sept / Dec cycle to Mar 2008 – first expiry in December 2005.

5 annual contracts – Dec expiry 2008 – 2012.

Contract size 1000 tonnes CO2 (i.e. 1000 allowances).

Tick size €0.05 per tonne (i.e. €50.00 per contract).

Trading hours 8:00am to 5:00pm (GMT/BST).

Closing price Weighted average of trades during the daily settlement period.

Fees Members €2 per lot per side, Non-members €2.5 per lot per side. LCH.Clearnet clearing fee €1 per lot per side.

Page 14: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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Other information

• INFORMATION VENDORS CODES:

Bloomberg (MOA/EMIT) Reuters (0#CFI)

CMS (UX) IDC (<17>t, UX)

CQG (UX) IPE Energy Live (LUX)

E-Signal/Futuresource (LUX) Telerate (GB@UX)

• VAT:Interim TMO status received – transfers between the Member and the LCH.Clearnet will be zero-rated for VAT purposes.

Page 15: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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Chicago Climate Exchange

• Voluntary, legally binding pilot greenhouse gas trading program;

• Includes emitters and specified offset projects in North America;

• All six greenhouse gases included (converted to CO2e);

• Emitters commit to cut 1% per year (achieve -4% in 2006);

• Over 100 international companies have signed up for CCX membership inc Dupont, IBM, Stora Enso, Rolls Royce, Motorola, American Electric Power, Confederation of British Industry etc.

Page 16: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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Looking ahead..

• By year end integrated platform ECX/ IPE (futures) and Powernext (spot);

• ECX/ IPE plan to launch more emission derivatives: options and spreads;

• EU ETS will foster the development of the CDM and JI market;

• Carbon becomes an integrated part of the energy portfolio;

• Linking Europe to other trading schemes.

Page 17: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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Legal disclaimer

• ECX/ IPE is seeking recognition from the Commisione Nazionale per la Societa e la Borsa (CONSAB) as a foreign market under Article 67(2) of Consolidated Finance Act. The application is currently pending;

• The information given in this presentation is not, and is not intended to be, an invitation to access the market directly or via a non-Italian member;

• The information given in this presentation is not, and is not intended to be, a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any of the products that are traded on the market.

Page 18: Exchange-traded products for the EU Emissions Market Milano Energia Milan, 5 October 2005 Peter Koster, Chief Executive Officer, European Climate Exchange

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Thank You!

For more information, please contact: • Albert de Haan, Commercial Director [email protected]• Sara Stahl, Carbon Economist [email protected]

Telephone: +31 (0)20 799 7990

Website: www.ecxeurope.com