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Jan 2015 © GSMA 2015 EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE Creating a sustainable future for mobile broadband March 27 th 2015 Roberto Ercole, Senior Director, Future Spectrum GSMA

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Page 1: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

Jan 2015

© GSMA 2015

EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE

Creating a sustainable future for mobile broadband

March 27th 2015

Roberto Ercole, Senior Director, Future Spectrum GSMA

Page 2: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE

© GSMA 2015

AGENDA

Europe Market UpdateMassimiliano Simoni, Cost Analysis and Frequency

Management,Telecom Italia

Recommended New Mobile BandsGlyn Carter, Senior Spectrum Advisor,

Government & Regulatory Affairs, GSMA

ConclusionsRoberto Ercole, Senior Director, Future Spectrum

GSMA

Lunch

GSMA Exhibition Area - CICG building

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SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE

© GSMA 2015

GROWING MOBILE ECONOMIC IMPACT

Page 4: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

CEPT Seminar @CPM-15Room 23 – Exhibition hall

GRUPPO TELECOM ITALIA

CPM-15

March 27th 2015

Cost Analysis and Frequency Management

Massimiliano Simoni

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“…Mobile communications including mobile broadband communications contribute positively to the economic

and social developments of both developed and developing countries. …”

Draft CPM Report to the WRC-15

Page 6: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

Italian mobile market

61 Mln inhabitants

88 Mln MNO voice SIM

144% penetration

42 Mln BB SIM

69% penetration

6,7 Mln MVNO SIM

25 MVNO

Overall penetration 155%

Italian MNO market share

CEPT Panel @CPM-15

Massimiliano Simoni

AGCom data – Q3 14

Page 7: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

Yearly Italian MBB traffic trend

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

+54%

+36%

+33%

+48%

Terabytes

Processing of AGCom data

Page 8: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

Quarterly Italian MBB traffic trend

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

Terabytes

Processing of AGCom data

Page 9: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

What are we doing?

Page 10: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

TIM 4G deployment in Italy

TIM 4G Frequency assets:

- 2x10 FDD @800MHz

- 2x5 FDD @1800MHz

- 2x10 FDD @1800MHz refarming

- 2x15 FDD @2600MHz

Page 11: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

5 Bln € invested

CEPT Panel @CPM-15Massimiliano Simoni

2014 TI Group Results

>80% pop. coverage with 4G services

29% pop. coverage with fiber (FTTH)

124 cities covered by MBB

+92% increase in 4G sites

Page 12: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

14 Bln R$ new investments (4,2 Bln €)

80% pop. coverage with 4G services

15k sites for 4G and 14k for 3G services

2015-2017 TI Group Strategic Plan

10 Bln € new investments

95% pop. coverage with 4G services

75% pop. coverage with fiber (FTTH)

CEPT Panel @CPM-15Massimiliano Simoni

14 Bln € new investments

Page 13: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

Economies of scale

More products and more services to people at a lower price

Less cross-border interference

Roaming

Harmonisation benefits

16% 13%

10%

00%

05%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

World Smartphone shipment (%)

China

North America

Western Europe

Middle East and Africa

Latin America

Asia Pacific Developed

Eastern Europe

India

Asia Pacific Emerging

Processing of CCS Insight data

Page 14: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

Thank you

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Jan 2015

© GSMA 2015

FUTURE MOBILE SPECTRUM IN EUROPE

Creating a sustainable future for mobile broadband

27th March 2015

Glyn Carter, Senior Spectrum Advisor, GSMA

Page 16: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE

© GSMA 2015

MOBILE DATA REVOLUTION

SOURCE: ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT 2014 & CISCO VNI 2015

Additional spectrum needs to be identified at WRC-15 to meet data demand in 2020-2025

– New technology, small cells and Wi-Fi offload being used to help meet demand for mobile data

– Without additional spectrum, networks will not be able to meet growing data demand

Cisco VNI 2015 Ericsson 2015Cisco VNI 2015

Exab

ytes

of

dat

a (p

er a

nn

um

)

Mobile data traffic is

growing exponentially

and several forecasts

have been revised

upward since last year

Page 17: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE

© GSMA 2015

NEW BANDS FOR MOBILE

RADIO SPECTRUM: IDENTIFIED MOBILE BANDS

1.8G

Hz

2.1G

Hz

2.6G

Hz

450–

470M

Hz

Dig

ital D

ivid

end

(700

/800

MH

z)

900M

Hz

2.3G

Hz

3.4–

3.6

GH

z

GSMA had agreed widespread mobile

operator support for 4 new mobile

allocations

– Sub-700MHz UHF (470-694 MHz)

– L-Band (1350-1400 & 1427-1518 MHz)

– 2.7-2.9 GHz

– C-Band (3.4-4.2 GHz)

Mixture of coverage and capacity bands

Bands can be harmonised regionally/

globally to drive lower cost devices

– Supporting too many bands risks

creating fragmentation

470-694

MHz

3.4–3.8

GHzTARGET BANDS

FOR WRC-15

2.7–2.9

GHz

1350-

1400

MHz

3.8–4.2

GHz

1427-

1518

MHz

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SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE

© GSMA 2015

WIDESPREAD SUPPORT FOR IMT IN L-BAND

Page 19: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE

© GSMA 2015

2.7-2.9GHz

ATTRACTIVE BAND FOR ADDITIONAL MOBILE BROADBAND CAPACITY

Cost-effective network implementation due to re-use of base stations

2.7-2.9GHz BAND UNDER-UTILIZED IN MOST COUNTRIES

Small numbers of radars at fixed locations in most countries

Significant potential to use the spectrum much more efficiently

MOBILE COULD BE ACCOMMODATED IN A PORTION

Existing radar requirements could be met using much less spectrum

Band could be segmented, or IMT used in areas where no radars

2.7-2.9GHz SHOULD NOT BE SUBJECT TO ‘NO CHANGE’ ECP

Growing support for 2.7-2.9GHz in Africa and Asia-Pacific

Feasible and attractive option for mobile broadband capacity

Countries that wish to use it should be able to do so

*For more details on segmentation of this band, please see document APG15-4/INF-17

ECONOMIC BENEFITS OF USING THE BAND FOR MOBILE MUCH

GREATER THAN COSTS THAT WOULD BE INCURRED

Page 20: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE

© GSMA 2015

CURRENT USAGE

Mostly used for the Fixed Satellite Service (FSS) worldwide

3.4-3.8GHz already harmonised for mobile/fixed networks in Europe

3.8-4.2GHz also has potential to provide additional capacity

However situation in some other parts of the world (e.g. tropical regions) very

different to Europe, with greater FSS use

OPTIONS TO ACCOMMODATE BOTH MOBILE AND FSS OUTSIDE EUROPE

Portion could be freed as FSS increasingly moving to higher bands

Sharing between IMT and FSS is possible, e.g. through cross-border co-

ordination and/or use of IMT in urban areas and FSS in rural

Even with IMT identification, countries can continue to use the band for satellite

services

C-BAND (3.4-4.2GHz)

CAN PROVIDE WIDE BLOCKS OF SPECTRUM FOR CAPACITY AND HIGH

PERFORMANCE MOBILE BROADBAND

Page 21: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

Jan 2015

© GSMA 2015

CONCLUSIONS

Creating a sustainable future for mobile broadband

March 27th 2015

Page 22: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE

© GSMA 2015

PROGRESS ON MOBILE AGENDA ITEM IS VITAL

THE FUTURE OF MOBILE BROADBAND IS AT RISK WITHOUT MORE SPECTRUM

Mobile traffic is growing faster than anyone’s expectations

– 2015-2020: 10x traffic growth currently expected

Unless significant progress is made on Agenda Item 1.1, it could fail in its goal

– Goal is to plan for mobile spectrum requirements in 2020-2025 – not today

– Existing mobile allocations will be used to meet demand in 2015-2020

Without sufficient spectrum, Europe risks losing out in the broadband race

– Networks could slow, consumer prices may rise and socioeconomic benefits could be lost

Flexibility is essential to allow countries to react to their evolving situations

– New bands won’t be licensed to operators until governments see clear demand

Page 23: EUROPE WRC-15 UPDATE › spectrum › wp-content › uploads › 2015 › 03 … · CEPT Panel @CPM-15 Massimiliano Simoni 2014 TI Group Results >80% pop. coverage with 4G services

Jan 2015

© GSMA 2015

THANK YOU – ANY QUESTIONS?

FUTURE MOBILE SPECTRUM

IN EUROPE