es daytrading presentation
DESCRIPTION
An introduction to daytrading the S&P e-mini futures (/ES)TRANSCRIPT
INTRODUCTION TO
DAYTRADING THE S&P 500
E-MINI FUTURES
Presented by Brian Leip
Stocks vs. Options vs. Futures
Stocks Options Futures
Minimum acct. balance to day trade
$25,000 $25,000 As low as $3,000 (depends on broker)
Leverage Between 0x and 2x
Around 15x for ATM option
Between 8x and 87x
Equivalents 500 shares 10 ATM calls 1 future contract
Capital gains: daytrading
100% short term
100% short term
1256 contracts = 40% short term 60% long term
Non-1256 contracts = 100% short term
Advantages of Trading the ES (S&P e-mini)
No pattern day trading rule Efficient use of capital 1256 contract means 60% gains/losses
taxed at long term rate VOLATILE!
Futures Basics Futures trade on margin Initial margin amount is set by the exchange
and is subject to changeExample: ES is set by CME at $5,625 per contract
Each future has a different tick amount, dollar value per tick, and trading hours, expiration datesKnow these before considering trading a specific
future
Futures Basics Futures are speculations about future prices,
NOT what the future will actually bring Always a buyer and seller No difference between buying and selling Contracts have expiration dates similar to
optionsBut no greeks (other than delta)
At expiration, held contracts must be performedGoods exchanged, cash settled, etcNever hold over expiration!
Futures Naming Format /XXY#
XX = Symbol name○ S&P 500 e-mini = ES
Y = month code○ June = M
# = last digit of the year○ 2009 = 9
Example: June 2009 S&P e-mini = /ESM9
Types of Futures Commodity Futures
Gold, Corn, Wheat, Oil, Natural Gas, etc. Index Futures
S&P 500, Dow, NASDAQ, Russell 2000, FTSE, Nikkei, etc.
Forex FuturesEuro, Pound, Yen, Aussie, etc.
Interest Rates30 year Treasury bond, 10 year, etc.
WeatherCooling, Heating, Hurricanes, Snowfall, etc.
How Futures Margin Works Trader puts up a performance bond (margin) to
guarantee against lossesES - $5,625 initial margin controls $43,300
Gains and losses are settled immediately Margin call if account less than 80% of initial
margin Intraday margins are set by the broker (like TOS)
and not by the exchangeThese vary from as low as $500 to as high as the initial
$5,625TOS is 25% of the initial margin = $1,406.25 (30x
leverage)
Why Trade the ES (S&P 500 e-mini)
Most liquid of all futures products Widely followed and discussed Best representative of the market as a
whole Best way to introduce yourself into the
futures market Some people make their entire living off
of this one product
ES Basics Tick size = 0.25 point Tick dollar increment = $12.50 4 ticks per point 1 point = $50 Average daily range – currently around 25 points
$50 * 25 = $1,250 Trading Hours: 24/5
Intraday hours: 9:30am to 4:15pm ESTClosed from 4:15pm to 4:30pm EST dailyWeekly: Open Sunday 6pm to Friday 4:15pm EST
For more information check out www.CME.com
Importance of Volume
Volume and liquidity are very important for short term futures trading
Bid / Ask should be 1 tick wide Daytraders need to get in and out quickly Each future has different time frames
when volume is heaviestExamples:
○ S&P (ES) – best during US market hours○ Euro currency (6E) best during European
market hours
Importance of Commissions
If you trade with any volume, commissions are vital
Scenario 1: 10 round-trip trades per day, 5 contracts, $3.50 commissions ($7 RT)10 * 5 * $7 = $350 per day$350 * 5 = $1,750 per week$1,750 * 4 = $7,000 per month
$7,000 * 12 = $84,000 per year
Importance of Commissions
Scenario 2: 10 round-trip trades per day, 5 contracts, $2.20 commissions ($4.40 RT)10 * 5 * $4.40 = $220 per day$220 * 5 = $1,100 per week$1,100 * 4 = $4,400 per month
$4,400 * 12 = $52,800 per year
Importance of Commissions
$3.50 comm. $2.20 comm. Savings
Daily $350 $220 $130
Weekly $1,750 $1,100 $650
Monthly $7,000 $4,400 $2,600
Yearly $84,000 $52,800 $31,200
$31,200 = Annual salary working full time at $15 per hour
Profit Potential: Conservative
Using scenario 2 from before:10 trades per day, 5 contracts, $2.20
commissionsAssume conservative average of 2 points per
day2 points * 5 contracts * $50 per point = $500$500 - $220 commissions = $280 per day$280 * 5 = $1,400 per week$1,400 * 4 = $5,600 per month$5,600 * 12 = $67,200 per year
Profit Potential: Aggressive
Same scenario:10 trades per day, 5 contracts, $2.20
commissionsNow assume aggressive average of 6 points
per day6 points * 5 contracts * $50 per point = $1,500$1,500 - $220 commissions = $1,280 per day$1,280 * 5 = $6,400 per week$6,400 * 4 = $25,600 per month$25,600 * 12 = $307,200 per year
Choosing a Broker
1. Software / Tools
2. Commissions
3. Data Feed
4. Intraday Margin $500 to $5,625
5. Customer Service
Recommended Brokers
www.mirusfutures.com www.thinkorswim.com www.interactivebrokers.com www.infinityfutures.com www.alaron.com www.mfglobalfutures.com www.pfgbest.com
Tools of the Trade: Charts
Futures can be fast movers Many futures day traders prefer to use
tick or constant volume bar charts Warning: Prophet charts are terrible for
intraday futures trading Recommend TOS charts or NinjaTrader
charts with a good data feed
Tools of the Trade: DOM Ladder
Allows you to set multiple price targets and stops
Easy visual representation of the market Shows depth of market (DOM)
Tools of the Trade: Technicals
Moving Averages Oscillators Trendlines Price Patterns Pivot Points Fibonacci Retracements Value Areas
**too deep to go into all these today**
LEVERAGE WARNING!!!
The majority of futures traders blow out their account very quickly
Respect the leverage! Start in Simulation / Papermoney Do not hold overnight yet ALWAYS have a stop loss in place Progress to 1 live contract after
consecutive long term successes Continue progression slowly