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Transatlantic Trends
Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately 1,000 phone or face-to-face interviews in each country between June 9 and July 1, 2009. For results based on national samples, the margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points, for results based on the total European sample the margin of error is plus or minus one percentage point, at a 95 percent confidence level. Total sample size is 13,095.
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YearTotal Coverage European Coverage
2002 U.S. + E6 France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom
2003 U.S. + E7France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom, Portugal
2004-2005 U.S. + E10
France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom, Portugal, Turkey, Slovakia, Spain
2006-2009 U.S. + E12
France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom, Portugal, Turkey, Slovakia, Spain, Bulgaria, Romania*
*E11 includes all European countries but Turkey
Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview
• The Obama Bounce
• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran
• A Divide in the Continent
• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy
• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives
• The European Union on the World Stage
• The Turkish Enigma
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview
• The Obama Bounce
• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran
• A Divide in the Continent
• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy
• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives
• The European Union on the World Stage
• The Turkish Enigma
11
12
13
14
15
Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview
• The Obama Bounce
• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran
• A Divide in the Continent
• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy
• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives
• The European Union on the World Stage
• The Turkish Enigma
16
17
18
19
20
21
Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview
• The Obama Bounce
• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran
• A Divide in the Continent
• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy
• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives
• The European Union on the World Stage
• The Turkish Enigma
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview
• The Obama Bounce
• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran
• A Divide in the Continent
• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy
• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives
• The European Union on the World Stage
• The Turkish Enigma
29
30
31
32
Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview
• The Obama Bounce
• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran
• A Divide in the Continent
• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy
• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives
• The European Union on the World Stage
• The Turkish Enigma
33
34
35
Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview
• The Obama Bounce
• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran
• A Divide in the Continent
• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy
• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives
• The European Union on the World Stage
• The Turkish Enigma
36
37
38
Transatlantic Trends Takeaways
• Unprecedented Obama Bounce• New Political Space For Transatlantic Cooperation • Expectations Exceed Experience with Obama To Date• Continued Transatlantic Disagreement over Afghanistan, Iran,
Climate Change• A Divide between Western Europe and Central and Eastern Europe• Limited Impact of the Economic Crisis on Transatlantic Relations• Greater European Concern and Willingness for Governmental and
International Action on Climate Change• EU Cynicism and Turkish Fatalism on EU Membership for Turkey
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Questions and Discussion