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Page 1: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 2: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 3: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

Transatlantic Trends

Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately 1,000 phone or face-to-face interviews in each country between June 9 and July 1, 2009. For results based on national samples, the margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points, for results based on the total European sample the margin of error is plus or minus one percentage point, at a 95 percent confidence level. Total sample size is 13,095.

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YearTotal Coverage European Coverage

2002 U.S. + E6 France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom

2003 U.S. + E7France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom, Portugal

2004-2005 U.S. + E10

France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom, Portugal, Turkey, Slovakia, Spain

2006-2009 U.S. + E12

France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom, Portugal, Turkey, Slovakia, Spain, Bulgaria, Romania*

*E11 includes all European countries but Turkey

Page 4: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

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Page 5: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 6: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 7: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 8: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 9: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 10: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 11: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

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Page 12: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 13: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 14: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 15: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 16: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

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Page 17: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 18: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 19: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 20: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 21: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 22: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

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Page 23: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 24: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 25: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 26: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 27: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 28: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 29: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

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Page 30: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 31: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 32: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 33: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

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Page 34: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 35: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 36: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

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Page 37: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 38: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

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Page 39: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

Transatlantic Trends Takeaways

• Unprecedented Obama Bounce• New Political Space For Transatlantic Cooperation • Expectations Exceed Experience with Obama To Date• Continued Transatlantic Disagreement over Afghanistan, Iran,

Climate Change• A Divide between Western Europe and Central and Eastern Europe• Limited Impact of the Economic Crisis on Transatlantic Relations• Greater European Concern and Willingness for Governmental and

International Action on Climate Change• EU Cynicism and Turkish Fatalism on EU Membership for Turkey

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Page 40: 2 Transatlantic Trends Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately

Questions and Discussion