the national basin delineation project

10
E VOLUTION OF THE NEED FOR A FLASH-FLOOD-SCALE BASIN DATA- SET. Floods and flash floods, on average, cause more fatalities and property damage annually than any other weather-related hazard. It is possible, though, to reduce these fatalities and property dam- age through accurate and timely warnings. On the flooding scale, the National Weather Service (NWS) River Forecast System and the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service, which is currently being imple- mented at the River Forecast Centers, provide a suite of hydrologic products that are used to determine flooding potential and assist in flood-warning deci- sions. Tools to assist NWS forecasters in warning decisions for shorter temporal scale flash floods, however, have historically been lacking. A flash- flood guidance product (Sweeney 1992) is issued by the River Forecast Centers on a county-by-county basis, or, in some areas, on a gridded basis. Based on current soil moisture conditions, these guidance values are estimates of the average amount of rain- fall for given durations required to produce flash flooding in a particular county. Until recent times, flash-flood guidance, radar precipitation estimates, and rain gauge amounts were the primary sources of information upon which forecasters at the NWS Weather Forecast Offices (WFOs) could base flash- flood-warning decisions. To address the need for a more hydrologically based flash-flood-monitoring tool, the Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction System (FFMP) has been developed by the NWS. The first step to determin- ing whether or not a rainfall event will cause flash flooding is to pinpoint where the rain is falling and how it will travel over the terrain. Based on radar pre- cipitation estimates, the FFMP system monitors the amount of precipitation that has fallen in a particular basin, bridging a significant gap by enabling forecast- ers to interpret precipitation estimates hydrologi- cally. This system is the offspring of the Areal Mean Basin Estimated Rainfall (AMBER) program (Davis and Jendrowski 1996), which was developed at the Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, WFO during the past two decades. A brief history of AMBER follows. THE NATIONAL BASIN DELINEATION PROJECT BY AMI T. ARTHUR, GINA M. COX, NATHAN R. KUHNERT, DAVID L. SLAYTER, AND KENNETH W. HOWARD A fruitful collaborative effort has produced a seamless digital dataset of flash-flood-scale basin boundaries that is an important component of flash-flood-warning decision tools in forecast offices throughout the nation. AFFILIATIONS : ARTHUR, COX, KUHNERT, AND SLAYTER—Coopera- tive Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma; HOWARD—NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma CORRESPONDING AUTHOR : Ami T. Arthur, National Severe Storms Laboratory, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069 E-mail : [email protected] DOI:10.1175/BAMS-86-10-1443 In final form 28 May 2005 ©2005 American Meteorological Society 1443 OCTOBER 2005 AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY |

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E VOLUTION OF THE NEED FOR A FLASH-FLOOD-SCALE BASIN DATA- SET. Floods and f lash f loods, on average,

cause more fatalities and property damage annually

than any other weather-related hazard. It is possible,

though, to reduce these fatalities and property dam-

age through accurate and timely warnings. On the

flooding scale, the National Weather Service (NWS)

River Forecast System and the Advanced Hydrologic

Prediction Service, which is currently being imple-

mented at the River Forecast Centers, provide a suite

of hydrologic products that are used to determine

flooding potential and assist in flood-warning deci-

sions. Tools to assist NWS forecasters in warning

decisions for shorter temporal scale f lash f loods,

however, have historically been lacking. A f lash-

flood guidance product (Sweeney 1992) is issued by

the River Forecast Centers on a county-by-county

basis, or, in some areas, on a gridded basis. Based

on current soil moisture conditions, these guidance

values are estimates of the average amount of rain-

fall for given durations required to produce f lash

flooding in a particular county. Until recent times,

flash-flood guidance, radar precipitation estimates,

and rain gauge amounts were the primary sources

of information upon which forecasters at the NWS

Weather Forecast Offices (WFOs) could base flash-

flood-warning decisions.

To address the need for a more hydrologically

based flash-flood-monitoring tool, the Flash Flood

Monitoring and Prediction System (FFMP) has been

developed by the NWS. The first step to determin-

ing whether or not a rainfall event will cause flash

flooding is to pinpoint where the rain is falling and

how it will travel over the terrain. Based on radar pre-

cipitation estimates, the FFMP system monitors the

amount of precipitation that has fallen in a particular

basin, bridging a significant gap by enabling forecast-

ers to interpret precipitation estimates hydrologi-

cally. This system is the offspring of the Areal Mean

Basin Estimated Rainfall (AMBER) program (Davis

and Jendrowski 1996), which was developed at the

Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, WFO during the past two

decades. A brief history of AMBER follows.

THE NATIONAL BASINDELINEATION PROJECT

BY AMI T. ARTHUR, GINA M. COX, NATHAN R. KUHNERT, DAVID L. SLAYTER, AND KENNETH W. HOWARD

A fruitful collaborative effort has produced a seamless digital dataset of flash-flood-scale

basin boundaries that is an important component of flash-flood-warning decision tools

in forecast offices throughout the nation.

AFFILIATIONS: ARTHUR, COX, KUHNERT, AND SLAYTER—Coopera-tive Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma; HOWARD—NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OklahomaCORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Ami T. Arthur, National Severe Storms Laboratory, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK 73069E-mail: [email protected]:10.1175/BAMS-86-10-1443

In final form 28 May 2005©2005 American Meteorological Society

1443OCTOBER 2005AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY |

From 1983 to 1992, the first version of the AMBER

program computed average basin rainfall rates and

accumulations from Radar Data Processor II pre-

cipitation estimates. These calculations were made

for relatively small basins with areas on the order

of 10–50 km2, which had been manually delineated

from hundreds of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)

7.5-min topographic quadrangle maps. The Radar

Data Processor II polar grid was drawn on these

topographic maps to determine which radar bins

corresponded to each basin. The basins and their cor-

responding radar bins were stored in input files and

formed the basis of the AMBER calculations.

Over time, AMBER was upgraded to take advan-

tage of the higher spatial and temporal resolution

of the Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler

(WSR-88D) precipitation estimates in the Digital

Hybrid-Scan Ref lectivity (DHR) product (Fulton

et al. 1998). Years of operational use at the Pittsburgh

WFO, and many case studies, indicate that among the

most significant factors in flash-flood initiation are

rainfall intensity and duration (Davis 1998). Flash

floods generally occur over small areas during short

time periods. The ability to monitor smaller areas in

AMBER over short intervals of time would potentially

improve the accuracy and timeliness of flash-flood

warnings. For these reasons, and because the higher

spatial resolution of the WSR-88D made monitoring

smaller basins feasible, further subdivisions of the

existing basins at the Pittsburgh WFO were manually

delineated from the USGS topographic maps.

As the news of AMBER spread throughout the

NWS community, forecasters at many WFOs were

anxious to implement the system in their own opera-

tions. In response, the NWS decided to include an

AMBER-like functionality in its FFMP system (Smith

et al. 2000). Implemented in the NWS Advanced

Weather Interactive Processing System, FFMP is a

set of tools that forecasters at the WFOs can use to

monitor precipitation in individual basins prior to a

flash flood. To make this happen, however, a data-

set of flash-flood-scale basins was needed for every

WSR-88D radar coverage area in the country. In the

interest of consistency, and considering the time

constraints faced by WFO staff, it was agreed that

the delineation of small basins should be done at a

central location rather than by each WFO.

The National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL)

became involved with the AMBER program in the

late 1990s when it developed and tested a proto-

type AMBER display. As part of this work, NSSL

delineated basins for two WSR-88D coverage areas

associated with the Sterling, Virginia, and Tulsa,

Oklahoma, WFOs. This was accomplished using the

ESRI ArcView (version 3.1) geographic information

system (GIS) software, and was based on USGS three-

arc-second (approximately 90 m)-resolution digital

elevation models (DEMs). Shortly thereafter, NSSL’s

help was enlisted by the NWS to delineate f lash-

flood-scale basins for the United States, including

Puerto Rico and Guam, in support of FFMP. FFMP

would require a separate GIS basin dataset for each

radar coverage area in the country. In late 1999, NSSL

embarked on the National Basin Delineation Project

(NBDP) to fill this need.

The NBDP was shaped by specific requirements

within FFMP, as well as lessons learned from years of

operational use of FFMP’s predecessor, the AMBER

program, at the Pittsburgh WFO. The requirement that

most significantly shaped the NBDP was that, in most

regions of the country, AMBER and FFMP calcula-

tions are considered to be most meaningful for basins

that are a few square kilometers in area. To accurately

delineate such small basins using GIS, it is necessary to

have a high-quality, high-resolution DEM, such as the

USGS one-arc-second (approximately 30 m)-resolution

National Elevation Dataset (NED).

To obtain access to the NED, NSSL formed a part-

nership with the USGS Earth Resources Observation

Systems (EROS) Data Center (EDC). As part of the

agreement, NSSL assisted the EDC in the initial stage

of its Elevation Derivatives for National Applications

(EDNA) dataset (Kost and Kelly 2001). Derived from

the NED, EDNA is a multilayered raster and vector

dataset, which includes f low direction, f low accu-

mulation, shaded relief, slope, catchments, synthetic

streamlines, and other layers. Because several of these

layers were also necessary for the NBDP, the partner-

ship was developed to eliminate duplication, while

maintaining consistency in elevation derivatives

used among federal and state agencies. The result

was a seamless dataset of elevation derivatives that

has fulfilled the requirements of both EDNA and

the NBDP.

The purpose of this paper is to explain how the

NBDP was carried out and describe the flash-flood-

scale basin dataset that was produced. Details of

the general basin delineation procedure, techniques

applied in regions of the country requiring special

attention, and assembly of the final FFMP datasets are

provided. Potential errors in the dataset and regions

that may require additional attention are described,

and examples are provided on how individual us-

ers can edit or customize the dataset to maximize

its utility in flash-flood-warning decisions or other

applications.

1444 OCTOBER 2005|

NBDP PROCEDURE. The procedure for delin-

eating basins in a GIS begins with a digital elevation

dataset. For the NBDP, basin and stream datasets

were derived from the one-arc-second (approximately

30 m)-resolution raster elevation data in the NED using

the ESRI ArcInfo (Version 7.2.1) and ArcView (Version

3.2) GIS software. Produced at the USGS EROS Data

Center, the NED is a seamless mosaic of the highest-

resolution, best-quality elevation data for the United

States. It is based primarily on USGS 1:24,000-scale

DEMs and is assembled using data-filtering tech-

niques to ensure edge matching, fill sliver areas of

missing data, and minimize artifacts from the source

DEM production methods. In addition, the NED is a

dynamic dataset that is updated periodically by the

EDC as new and improved source

DEMs become available.

Scripts were specially tailored by

EDC scientists to fulfill the require-

ments of both the EDC’s EDNA

project and NSSL’s NBDP. These

scripts automated the delineation

process using the drainage analysis

tools in the ESRI ArcInfo GIS soft-

ware. ESRI’s drainage analysis tools

include the algorithms described

by Jenson and Domingue (1988),

which have been widely adopted as

a standardized method for extract-

ing topographic structure from

DEMs. The drainage analysis tools,

in conjunction with the specially

tailored scripts, automated the basic

delineation procedure to the greatest

degree possible. Certain customized

tasks and the compilation of the final

FFMP datasets, however, required

significant manual intervention.

Basic delineation procedure. The first

step in any basin delineation project

is to define the area of interest and

a “processing unit” or manageable

area for processing. For this project,

the simplest approach would have

been to designate each radar cover-

age area as a processing unit. The

large file size of the NED tiles, cou-

pled with the computing resources

available at the time, prohibited this,

however, and it was necessary to

define smaller processing units that

could be mosaicked for each radar

coverage area. The processing units selected were the

USGS eight-digit hydrologic unit basins (Seaber et al.

1987), also known as cataloging units. The catalog-

ing units for all of the United States were derived

from the 1:500,000-scale USGS state base maps and

were published in a series beginning in 1974. They

are widely accepted as a standardized base for use

by water-resources organizations in planning and

describing water-use activities and in geographically

organizing hydrologic data. The average cataloging

unit area is approximately 4200 km2, which is a rea-

sonable area to process using the NED. In addition,

a 25-km buffer was applied to each cataloging unit

to ensure adequate terrain data for correctly defining

basins along the boundaries (Fig. 1, step 1a). Thus, the

FIG. 1. Schematic diagram of the National Basin Delineation Project delineation process.

1445OCTOBER 2005AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY |

buffered cataloging unit became the processing unit

for the NBDP (Fig. 2).

For each buffered cataloging unit, the necessary

1° latitude × 1° longitude NED tiles were mosaicked

to create a single NED grid (Fig. 1, step 1b), and

were clipped to eliminate data values outside the

processing unit (Fig. 1, step 1c). The resulting NED

grid was projected (Fig. 1, step 1d) from geographic

coordinates to an Albers Equal Area Conic Projection

based on the North American Datum 1983 (NAD83),

with units in meters (Alaska NED tiles were based

on the North American Datum 1927). Because the

algorithms that were used work in Cartesian space,

projecting the elevation grid before delineating basins

ensures the accurate measurement of lengths and

areas and the correct derivation of flow direction.

After projecting to the Albers Equal Area Conic

Projection, it was necessary to “hydrologically con-

dition” the NED grid (Fig. 1, step 2). Unconditioned

elevation grids often contain sinks, which are one or

more grid cells with an undefined drainage direction

(all neighboring cells are a higher elevation). Most

automated basin-delineation algorithms function

with the assumption that every grid cell must be part

of the drainage network. Grid cells with undefined

drainage direction are not part of the network and,

therefore, must be modified so that all grid cells are

connected, and ultimately flow to one or more outlet

points. The elevations of the sink grid cells are in-

creased in an iterative process until all grid cells have

a defined drainage direction. In reality, these sinks

may exist either as small-to-large “natural sinks” or

as “closed basins,” such as those in the Great Basin

region. A closed basin is defined as a basin with no

outlet point. The Great Salt Lake and Sevier Lake in

Utah are well-known examples of closed basins. To

maintain their hydrologic integrity, closed basins

and natural sinks were processed separately in a

customized step.

From the hydrologically conditioned DEM, a grid

of flow direction values was derived (Fig. 1, step 3).

Each grid cell in the conditioned DEM was assigned a

value, representing one of the eight principal flow di-

rections, based on the greatest slope to its neighboring

cells. The logic described by Jenson and Domingue

(1988) is used to assign f low direction when the

“greatest slope to” a neighbor is shared by multiple

cells. The resulting values define the flow direction or

drainage network grid from which synthetic stream-

lines and basin boundaries are extracted.

Before the synthetic streamlines and basin bound-

aries can be defined, it is necessary to know the up-

stream area contributing drainage to specific points.

The upstream area, known as flow accumulation, can

be calculated by totaling the number of upstream grid

cells f lowing into a specific grid cell. Based on the

drainage network represented in the flow direction

grid, the flow accumulation value for each grid cell

is calculated and stored in a flow accumulation grid

(Fig. 1, step 4). In this grid, cells with values of zero

represent topographic ridges, and cells with high

values are areas of concentrated flow where stream

channels likely exist in the real world. Thus, the flow

accumulation grid is integral to defining the synthetic

stream network.

The synthetic stream network is defined by ap-

plying a minimum flow accumulation threshold to

the flow accumulation grid (Fig. 1, step 5). Grid cells

with a flow accumulation equal to or greater than the

threshold define the stream network. Selection of an

appropriate minimum flow accumulation threshold

is critical to any basin delineation project and is

dependent on many factors, such as topography and

rainfall regime. For projects with a large scope, such

as the NBDP, it is difficult to determine a single flow

accumulation threshold that is appropriate for all ar-

eas. For the sake of simplicity, it was decided that the

FIG. 2. USGS cataloging units for the conterminous United States and the NED grid of elevation data for buffered cataloging unit 15060202 (upper Verde River basin in Arizona). Buffered cataloging units were the processing units for the NBDP.

1446 OCTOBER 2005|

FIG. 3. Synthetic stream network for cataloging unit 15060202, defined from a minimum flow accumulation threshold of 5000 grid cells (4.5 km2).

best approach for the NBDP would be to select a single

threshold for the nation that was small enough to

fulfill the needs of those areas that would benefit from

monitoring very small basins on the urban scale. This

threshold would be applied nationwide to develop the

base set of delineated basins and streams. For those

areas that would benefit from a higher threshold,

the base set of delineated basins and streams could

be filtered based on a more appropriate threshold,

resulting in larger and fewer basins to monitor. This

postprocessing of the base set of delineated basins and

streams could be accomplished relatively easily by

staff at the local forecast offices using GIS tools. Using

this approach, and based on various case studies and

forecasters’ experiences using AMBER (Davis 1998), a

minimum flow accumulation threshold of 5000 grid

cells (4.5 km2) was selected for the NBDP. Thus, all

points along the NBDP synthetic stream network are

guaranteed to have a flow accumulation value of at

least 5000 grid cells (a minimum upstream drainage

area of 4.5 km2). This small threshold produced a

dense synthetic stream network (Fig. 3).

Basin outlet points were derived from the f low

accumulation and synthetic stream network grids

(Fig. 1, step 6). Located just before the junction of

two or more stream segments or “reaches,” an outlet

point is defined as the grid cell with the maximum

flow accumulation along each stream reach.

Finally, based on the outlet points and flow direc-

tion grid, boundaries for the small basins correspond-

The synthetic stream network den-sity is an important consideration in any basin-delineation project. Because it directly affects the general size and number of delineated basins, the appropriate density will vary depending on the scope and purpose of the project. The density of the synthetic stream network can be varied by adjusting the minimum-flow-accumulation threshold. The minimum-flow-accumulation thresh-old is a filter for the flow accumula-tion grid that identifies grid cells as either being “stream” or “non-stream.” All grid cells with flow accu-mulation values greater than or equal to the threshold become part of the synthetic stream network. Thus, a high-flow-accumulation threshold produces a sparse synthetic stream network, resulting in basins that are larger in area and fewer in number. A low-flow-accumulation threshold produces a dense synthetic stream

MINIMUM FLOW ACCUMULATION THRESHOLDnetwork, resulting in basins that are smaller in area and greater in number.

A common misconception is that the minimum-flow-accumulation threshold determines the minimum basin area. In actuality, the minimum-flow-accumulation threshold deter-mines the minimum upstream drainage area (not individual basin area) of the delineated basins. In headwater basins, the upstream drainage area is the same as the basin area. Thus, the NBDP headwater basins are guaranteed to have both an upstream drainage area and an individual basin area of at least 5000 grid cells (4.5 km2). Headwater basins are the only basins for which the minimum-flow-accumulation threshold determines the minimum basin area. Moving downstream, each subsequent basin will have a greater upstream drainage area than the previ-ous basin. The individual basin area of each subsequent basin will vary widely though. An NBDP interbasin (a basin

defined between the inflow points for two tributaries along a main stem) may have an area as small as one grid cell (0.0009 km2).

It is important to note that the syn-thetic stream network does not neces-sarily represent the existing stream channels. A synthetic stream reach, or segment of a stream correspond-ing to a specific defined basin, may not have a corresponding stream channel in the real world, and vice versa. The synthetic stream network is simply the result of applying the minimum-flow-accumulation threshold as a filter to the flow accumulation grid, which itself was derived from a hydrologi-cally conditioned digital representation of terrain. Regardless of whether or not there is a corresponding stream channel in the real world, the synthetic stream network generally represents the direction that water will travel over the terrain.

1447OCTOBER 2005AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY |

ing to every reach in the synthetic stream network

were defined (Fig. 1, step 7). These basins are different

from the large drainage areas that typically come to

mind when the term “basin” is used. The definition

of a basin in hydrology often refers to an area that

drains many stream reaches or a network of streams.

The small basins defined by the NBDP, however,

represent either headwater or local flow into a single

stream reach, depending on whether the reach is a

first- or higher-order reach. Because the synthetic

stream network for the NBDP was relatively dense,

the defined basins were relatively small (Fig. 4). Most

were on the order of several square kilometers, which

is essential for meaningful FFMP-averaged basin

rainfall calculations in many areas of the country.

Coastal areas. Because the NED includes elevation

values over portions of the ocean, automatically de-

lineated basins and synthetic streams that are derived

from the NED extend into the ocean in coastal areas

(Fig. 5a). Using these basins in FFMP would result

in erroneous average basin rainfall values, because

precipitation estimates in those portions of the basins

that are over the ocean would be included in the cal-

culations. To ensure accurate FFMP-averaged basin

rainfall calculations in coastal areas, basin and stream

definitions must end at the coastline. For the NBDP,

ocean polygons from the National Hydrography Da-

taset (NHD) were used to distinguish between ocean

elevations and nonocean elevations in the NED. The

1:100,000-scale NHD is the result of a cooperative

effort between the USGS and the U.S. Environmen-

tal Protection Agency (EPA), combining elements

of the USGS digital line graph hydrography files for

spatial accuracy and the EPA Reach File version 3.0

for attribute information. Along the coasts, NED

grid cells corresponding to the NHD ocean polygons

were eliminated, and basins and streamlines were

defined strictly from the nonocean NED elevations.

This produced basins and streamlines that end at the

NHD-defined coastline (Fig. 5b), which will result in

more accurate FFMP calculations.

Closed basins and natural sinks. As previously dis-

cussed, all sinks in the NED grid were filled to ensure

FIG. 4. Basin boundaries defined for the 5000-grid-cell-threshold synthetic stream network (cataloging unit 15060202).

FIG. 5. (a) NED-derived basins and streams for Cape Cod (cataloging unit 01090002). Without coastline data, irregularly shaped basins and streams extend into the ocean. These irregularly shaped basins and streams also appear in areas adjacent to and coinciding with lakes, reservoirs, and swamps. (b) Cape Cod basins and streams derived from NED data clipped with NHD coastline data. After clipping, the basins and streams do not extend further than the coast.

1448 OCTOBER 2005|

of assistance in projects from local to national scales.

For more information about the NBDP dataset and

its accessibility, please contact the corresponding

author.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS. The Nat iona l Basin

Delineation Project was funded by NWS Eastern Region

Headquarters, NWS Office of Climate, Weather, and

Water Services, NWS Office of Hydrologic Develop-

ment, and NOAA–University of Oklahoma Cooperative

Agreement NA17RJ1227. The authors extend special

thanks to Thomas Donaldson, Peter Gabrielsen, Thomas

Graziano, Michael Mercer, and Mary Mullusky for their

support of this national effort. We are also grateful to

the reviewers, Dr. J. J. Gourley, Dr. David Schultz, and

Greg Stumpf, for their constructive comments and help-

ful suggestions.

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1452 OCTOBER 2005|