sharing money creation in a monetary union
TRANSCRIPT
Sharing Money Creation in a Monetary Union*
Stephane Auray, Aurelien Eyquem,
Gerard Hamiache, and Jean-Christophe Poutineau
Abstract
This paper focuses on the way money creation is shared among the members of
the European Monetary Union. To address this issue, we construct a two-country
New Open Economy Macroeconomics model of an asymmetric monetary union with
an incomplete financial market and home bias in consumption. Two sharing rules
consistent with the current regulations of the European System of Central Banks
are examined. First, each participating National Central Bank supplies half of the
European Central Bank determined money creation in the monetary union. Second,
each National Central Bank adapts the national increase in money demand, under
the constraint that the total money creation in the union does not exceed the level
determined by the European Central Bank for the whole union. We adopt a linear-
quadratic procedure, and show that the current sharing rule, which ignores countries’
heterogeneity, is superior in terms of welfare. The key role of the current account is
emphasized. It proves an e!cient decentralized mechanism for allocation of money.
Keywords: Monetary Union, New Open Macroeconomics Economy, Sharing Rule.
JEL Classification numbers: E51, E58, F33, F41.
*Auray: GREMARS-EQUIPPE, Universite de Lille III, Domaine universitaire du Pont de Bois, B.P. 60149,59653 Villeneuve d’Ascq Cedex, France, and CIRPEE, Canada. E-mail: [email protected]: CREM CNRS, Universite de Rennes 1 - 7, place Hoche, 35065 Rennes Cedex, France. E-mail:[email protected]. Hamiache: GREMARS-EQUIPPE, Universite de Lille III, Domaine uni-versitaire du Pont de Bois, B.P. 60149, 59653 Villeneuve d’Ascq Cedex, France. E-mail: [email protected]. Poutineau: CREM CNRS, Universite de Rennes 1 - 7, place Hoche, 35065 RennesCedex, France. Ecole Normale Superieure de Cachan. E-mail: [email protected] would like to thank the editor, Menzie Chinn, and two referees for insightful comments which led toa substantial revision of the paper. Useful input has been derived from discussions during presentationsat various conferences. We are indebted to Marjorie Sweetko for her excellent editing. The traditionaldisclaimer applies.
1
1. Introduction
In the European Monetary Union, money creation is shared on the basis of ho-
mogeneous treatment of its members (see “The Monetary Policy of the ECB,” 2nd
edition, January 2004, p. 72). This paper compares this current rule with a shar-
ing rule which takes account of national particularities. We consider two situations
that are consistent with the current regulations of the European System of Central
Banks (ESCB). First, each participating National Central Bank (NCB) supplies half
of the money creation determined by the European Central Bank (ECB) (and agents
are able to satisfy their money demand through money transfers within the union).
Second, each NCB accommodates the national increase in money demand, under the
constraint that total money creation in the union does not exceed the level determined
by the ECB for the whole union. We then evaluate the welfare gains associated with
these situations.
We address this issue in a two-country New Open Economy Macroeconomics
(NOEM) model of an asymmetric monetary union where two crucial assumptions
are made: financial markets are incomplete and there is home bias in consumption.
Further, it is worth noting that the following two assumptions are really borne out by
observations in practice.
(i) The incompleteness of financial markets allows agents to transfer wealth within the
union and restores the current account as an additional stationary external adjust-
ment channel. In a model with perfect risk-sharing, wealths are equal. When money
does not circulate in the monetary union, this implies that the net foreign assets are
stationary and, depending on parameter values, that the current account is balanced.
But when money circulates, introducing a di"erence in money demand and supply
patterns implies that money flows permanently a"ect net foreign assets.
(ii) Without home bias in consumption, agents have similar consumption baskets and
face similar consumer price levels and inflation rates; the current account is always
balanced and money demands are equal across the monetary union. In such a case,
there is no di"erence between a situation where the ECB supplies the amount of money
required in each country (which is the same in both countries) and a situation where
the ECB supplies the same amount of money to each NCB.
We assume that national economies are a"ected by asymmetric shocks, which is
in line with the findings of Camacho et al. (2006) among others, and that the estab-
2
lishment of the monetary union in Europe has not significantly increased the level of
co-movements across Euro-area economies. Union members may also di"er in terms
of nominal rigidities, which appears consistent with empirical contributions, such as
Alvarez et al. (2006).1 Adopting the linear-quadratic (LQ) procedure of Benigno and
Woodford (2006), we compute the optimal commitment monetary policy. Unfortu-
nately, this first best is not feasible given the set of constraints applied to the bank
policy, in particular the Harmonized Index of Consumer Price Index (HICP)2 based
measurement of inflation.
The main result of this paper is that the current sharing rule, which ignores
countries’ heterogeneity, is superior to the second sharing rule in terms of welfare.
This result is robust to a wide range of parameter combinations, and gains range from
0.05% to 0.26% of permanent consumption, depending on parameter values. Our
results show that the current account plays a key role by favoring smooth external
adjustment, since it provides the required quantity of money to national economies
while keeping the monetary union closer to its optimal monetary policy path.
The paper is organized as follows: Section 2 describes a two-country world that
forms a monetary union. Section 3 presents both the linear dynamics of the model and
the quadratic loss function. Section 4 focuses on the definition of di"erent monetary
policies compatible with ECB status. Section 5 compares the impact of these policies
in terms of welfare. Conclusions are o"ered in Section 6.
2. An Asymmetric Monetary Union
We assume a two-country monetary union sharing the same currency and which
delegates monetary policy to the Union Central Bank (UCB). In other words, gov-
ernments and NCBs implement the monetary policy decided by the UCB.3 Nominal
exchange rate issues are beyond the scope of this paper, being equal to one in our
model.4 Each nation is populated by N infinitely-living households, and an infinite
number of firms specialized in the production of di"erentiated goods. The financial
market between the two countries is incomplete and countries only trade one period
composite bond. The goods market is characterized by home bias in consumption
practices and a gradual adjustment of goods prices.
2.1 Households
In each country the number of infinitely-living households is normalized to one.
3
The representative household j ! [0, 1] of nation i ! {h, f} maximizes a welfare index
#it(j),
#it(j) =
!!
s=t
!s"tEt
"Ci
s(j)1"!
1 " "+
#
1 " $
#M i
s(j)P i
s
$1""
" N is(j)1+#
1 + %
%, (1)
subject to the budget constraint,
RtBit(j) + W i
t Nit (j) + $i
t(j) " T ig,t(j) = Bi
t+1(j) + P it C
it(j)
+ Pi,tACit(j) + M i
t (j) " M it"1(j) " T i
b,t(j), (2)
and the transversality condition, limT#!$T$=tR
"1$ Et
&Bi
T+1(j)'
= 0. The parameter
! = (1 + &)"1 is the subjective discount factor, Cit(j) is the consumption bundle
chosen by the representative agent, N it (j) is the quantity of labor of type j that
is competitively supplied to the firms of country i, " is the index of risk aversion,
and %"1 determines the Frischian elasticity. In Eq. (2), W it (j) is the nominal wage
corresponding to type j labor supplied in country i for period t, $it(j) =
( 10 $i
t(k, j)dk
is the profit paid by national firms to the representative national agent j, Bit(j) is the
holding of the composite one-period nominal bond at the end of period t " 1 paying
a gross nominal rate of interest Rt between periods t" 1 and t. In addition, T ib,t(j) is
a lump-sum transfer from NCBs to households and T ig,t(j) is a lump-sum tax paid by
household j to the national government of country i, P it is the consumer price index
in country i in period t. Finally, Pi,t is the producer price index in country i in period
t and ACit(j) represents portfolio adjustment costs.
We assume that households can trade a one-period composite financial asset. Buying
(resp. selling) bonds a"ects the individualized interest rate negatively (resp. posi-
tively), so that (i) agents have a strong incentive to return to their initial position
in the long run and (ii) agents belonging to a creditor country face lower nominal
interest rates than agents in a debtor country. As underlined by Schmitt-Grohe and
Uribe (2003), this assumption is a convenient way to balance the current account in
the long run. In this model, it is not possible to introduce asymmetries into the finan-
cial friction, since the premium paid by the debtor agent perfectly equates with the
premium received by the creditor agent. We assume the standard quadratic form for
portfolio adjustment costs,
ACit(j) =
'
2)Bi
t+1(j) " Bi(j)*2
,
4
where Bi(j) is the steady-state level of net foreign assets and ' is the portfolio adjust-
ment cost. Portfolio adjustment costs a"ect the Euler condition since,
Et
&P i
t+1Cit+1(j)
!'
= !Iit+1P
it C
it(j)
!, (3)
with, Iit+1(j) = Rt+1
)1 + 'Pi,t(Bi
t+1(j) " Bi(j))*"1. The value of ' a"ects the in-
tertemporal consumption choice described by Eq. (3). An increase in the cost of
bond trading reduces the sensitivity of wealth accumulation to a variation in interest
rate, as it becomes more costly to smooth consumption. The labor supply function is
standard since it depends on the level of consumption and on the real wage,
N it (j)
# =W i
t
P it C
it(j)!
.
The money demand depends on consumption and on the individualized nominal in-
terest rate, +M i
t (j)P i
t
,"
= #
+Iit+1
Iit+1 " 1
,Ci
t(j)!.
Shocks and nominal rigidity asymmetries between both countries induce di"erences in
the pattern of money demand, creating room for alternative monetary policies. The
Union System of Central Banks (USCB) can either address these di"erences or treat
countries identically, letting money circulate to provide the right amount of money in
the right place. In this paper, we assess the value of the latter decentralization mech-
anism and show that the second type of policy beats the first type in terms of welfare.
To do this, an incomplete financial market between the two countries is required. In
such a case, when the elasticity of substitution between home and foreign goods is
unitary, the terms of trade replicate the allocation of complete markets (see Cole and
Obstfeld (1991) and Corsetti and Pesenti (2001)). As a consequence, the assumption
of financial market incompleteness is neutral with respect to terms of trade adjustment
and weakly contributes to welfare losses in our framework. However, the incomplete-
ness of the financial market is a crucial modelling hypothesis since it allows agents
to transfer wealth within the union and restores the current account as an additional
stationary external adjustment channel. In a model with perfect risk-sharing, wealths
are equal. When money does not circulate in the monetary union, this implies that
the net foreign assets are stationary and, depending on parameter values, that the
current account is balanced. But when money circulates, introducing a di"erence in
5
money demand and supply patterns (M it (j) " M i
t"1(j) " T ib,t(j)) means that money
transfers permanently a"ect the net foreign assets and induce non-uniqueness of the
steady state and non-stationarity. Moreover, in the special case of $ = 1, assuming
perfect risk-sharing implies similar money demands, leaving no room for alternative
monetary policies.
Following Galı-Monacelli (2005) and Corsetti-Pesenti (2005), we assume home bias in
the consumption bundles. The aggregate consumption of consumer j living in country
i, Cit(j) and the companion consumption price index P i
t are,
Cit(j) =
)(%i
i (1 " (i)1"%i*"1
CiH,t(j)
1"%iCiF,t(j)
%i , P it =
-P i
H,t
.1"%i-P i
F,t
.%i ,
where (i !)0, 1
2
*represents the openness of the final goods market in country i
with (h + (f = 1 (see Corsetti (2006)). The consumption sub-indices are CiH,t(j) =
[( 10 Ci
H,t(k, j)!!1
! dk]!
!!1 , and CiF,t(j) = [
( 10 Ci
F,t(k, j)!!1
! dk]!
!!1 , where CiH,t(k, j) (resp.
CiF,t(k, j)) is the consumption of a typical final good k of home (resp. foreign)
country by the representative consumer j of country i and ) > 1 is the elastic-
ity of substitution between national varieties of final goods. The law of one price
holds and the corresponding prices of domestic and foreign goods in country i are,
P iH,t = PH,t = [
( 10 PH,t(k)1"&dk]
11!! and P i
F,t = PF,t = [( 10 PF,t(k)1"&dk]
11!! .
In a monetary union, the nominal exchange rate is constant. We consequently
define the real exchange rate as Qt = P ft
P ht
, which, after defining the terms of trade in
the monetary union as St = PF,t
PH,t, implies Qt = S1"2%h
t .
Finally, optimal variety demands are defined as,
CiH,t(k, j) = (1 " (i)
+PH,t(k)PH,t
,"&
S%it Ci
t(j), CiF,t(k, j) = (i
/PF,t(k)P i
F,t
0"&
S1"%it Ci
t(j).
We assume that countries are a mirror image of each other, so that (h = ( and (f
= 1 " (. Thus, a bias in favor of the national goods consumption in each country
requires that ( < 12 . Finally, the demand corresponding to portfolio costs writes as
ACit(j) = [
( 10 ACi
t(k, j)!!1
! dk]!
!!1 .
2.2 Firms
We normalize the number of firms to 1 in each economy. The representative firm
k ! [0, 1] of nation i ! {h, f} is the monopolistic provider of quantity Y it (k) of the kth
6
variety of final good in this economy according to, Y it (k) = Ai
tLit(k) where Ai
t+1 =
"iaAi
t + *it+1, and where *i
t+1 is iid. The marginal cost of firm k in country i ! {h, f}
writes,
$it(k) =
+(1 " +) P i
t (k) " W it
Ait
,Y i
t (k), (4)
with Y it (k) =
1Pi,t(k)
Pi,t
2"& 1Ch
i,t + Cfi,t + ACi
t
2where Ci
H,t =( 10 Ci
H,t(j)dj, CiF,t =
( 10 Ci
F,t(j)dj, and ACit =
( 10 ACi
t(j)dj. In Eq. (4), + is a subvention that compen-
sates for the distorting e"ects of monopolistic competition in the economy.5
Following Calvo (1983), we assume that in economy i ! {h, f}, a fraction-1 " ,i
.of
firms sets new prices each period, with an individual firm’s probability of re-optimizing
in any given period being independent of the time elapsed since it last reset its price.
Contrary to the typical mark-up behavior that would prevail in flexible price settings,
firms set higher prices according to the period during which they expect to be unable
to reset. Since households own firms, producers maximize the anticipated path of
profits per units of wealth, i.e.,
ArgmaxPi,t(k)
!!
v=0
-,i!
.vEt
3Y i
t+'(k)P i
t+'Cit+'(j)!
4(1 " +) Pi,t(k) " W i
t+v
-Ai
t+v
."156
,
implying,
P $i,t(k) =
)
() " 1) (1 " +)
7!v=0
-,i!
.vEt
3Y i
t+"(k)W it+v(Ai
t+v)!1
P it+"Ci
t+"(j)#
6
7!v=0 (,i!)v Et
8Y i
t+"(k)
P it+"Ci
t+"(j)#
9 .
Finally, aggregating among final firms and assuming behavioral symmetry of Calvo
producers, the average price of final goods in nation i ! {h, f} is,
Pi,t =)-
1 " ,i.P $
i,t(k) 1"& + ,iP 1"&i,t"1
* 11!! .
2.3 Authorities
In this model, fiscal policy is aimed at closing first order distortions, i.e, national
governments compensate for distortions on the goods market by taxing households to
finance support to firms,
: 1
0T i
g,t(j)dj + +
: 1
0Pi,t(k)Y i
t (k)dk = 0.
7
We assume that the USCB combines a UCB and two NCBs. The UCB controls
the nominal interest rate Rt+1 that endogenously determines the quantity of money
to be supplied in the union (see Beetsma and Jensen (2005)) and NCBs supply the
corresponding increase or decrease V it to their national economy, so that for i ! {h, f},
: 1
0T i
b,t(j)dj = V it ,
and,12V h
t +12V f
t = V ut = V u
t (Rt+1) .
Identical treatment of NCBs in the implementation process means that each provides
half of the money increase determined by the UCB.
2.4 General Equilibrium
Defining the aggregate supply as, Y it =
1( 10 Y i
t (k)!!1
! dk2 !
!!1, national goods mar-
kets clear according to,
Y ht = (1 " () S%
t Cht + (S1"%
t Cft + ACh
t ,
Y ft = (1 " () S"%
t Cft + (S%"1
t Cht + ACf
t .
Labor is immobile, thus for i ! {h, f},
N it =
: 1
0N i
t (j)dj =: 1
0Li
t(k)dk,
and the aggregate production function of country i ! {h, f} is, Y it DPi,t = Ai
tNit ,
where DPi,t =( 10
1Pi,t(k)
Pi,t
2"&dk is the dispersion of production prices in country i.
The equilibrium on the money market gives,
: 1
0M
dht (j)dj +
: 1
0M
dft (j)dj = M
dut ,
implying, by Walras law, the following equilibrium of the international financial mar-
ket, : 1
0Bh
t (j) +: 1
0Bf
t (j)dj = 0.
Finally, the aggregation of (nominal) national constraints for country i ! {h, f} yields
the following intertemporal equilibrium condition,
Bit+1 " RtB
it =
)PH,t
-Y i
t " ACit
." P i
t Cit
*"
)M i
t " M it"1 " V i
t
*. (5)
8
Equation (5) indicates that a country accumulates net foreign liabilities with respect
to the rest of the monetary union depending (i) on the di"erence between revenue
both from activity and from foreign liabilities already held and the amount of con-
sumption spending and (ii) on the value of the net money inflow with respect to the
level of money creation in this region. The latter component is traditionally neglected
in monetary union models, where the increase in national money supply exactly o"sets
the increase in money demand in the country, i.e. M it "M i
t"1 " V it = 0. Analytically,
(ii) describes money flows between union members and provides a way to compen-
sate for asymmetries in the provision of money caused by the adjustment of money
demand following asymmetric shocks. This dimension is crucial to our results, since
the possibility of trading money may justify the absence of a regional concern in the
implementation of monetary policy. Intuitively, Eq. (5) indicates that there may be
current account movements that even out money demand and money supply patterns.
3 A Linear-Quadratic Framework
We solve the model by applying standard linearization methods and define the
authorities’ loss function. The derivation of the optimal monetary policy is defined
as the minimization of a second order approximation utility-based welfare metric con-
strained by the model. Since the authorities’ loss function is quadratic, the model
does not need to be solved with a second order approximation.6
3.1 The Model in Log-deviation to the steady state
We firstly solve the model in log-deviation with respect to a symmetric steady
state. In the symmetric steady state Ai = A = 1, M i = M = 1 and V i = V = 0, #t
$ 0 for i ! {h, f}. To replicate the competitive flexible price equilibrium, we impose
that + = 11"& < 0. Then, Bi = B = 0, R = 1 + &, Y = C = N = 1, and PH = PF
= Ph = P f = PH(k) = PF (k) = P = W =1#"1
1(
1+(
221/". Applying the standard
linearization procedures, denoting xit as the log deviation of Xi
t , #t for i ! {h, f}
and defining ki =-
1 " ,i!. -
1 " ,i./,i, the model in log-deviation is summarized
in Table 1.7
9
Table 1: The model in log-deviation to the steady state
Global Households
"Et
&cit+1 " ci
t
'= (
1+( rt+1 " Et
&-i
t+1
'" 'bi
t+1
%nit + "ci
t = wit " pi
t
$-mi
t " pit
.= "ci
t "4
11+( rt+1 " '
bit+1(
5
Firms
-i,t = !Et {-i,t+1} + ki-wi
t " ait " pi,t
.
Goods markets equilibria
aht + nh
t = (1 " () cht + (cf
t + 2( (1 " () st
aft + nf
t = (1 " () cft + (ch
t " 2( (1 " () st
Definitions
pht = (1 " () pH,t + (pF,t pf
t = (1 " ()pF,t + (pH,t
-it+1 = pi
t+1 " pht -i,t+1 = pi,t+1 " pi,t
st = pF,t " pH,t qt = (1 " 2() st
Current accounts
bht+1 " (1 + &) bh
t = yht " ch
t " (st ")# 1+(
(
*1/" -mh
t " mht"1 " vh
t
.
bfs = "bh
s , #s = t, t + 1
3.2 The Model in Deviation with respect to the Natural Equilibrium
The optimal monetary policy at union level aims at reaching the e!cient equi-
librium. As is now standard in the literature, we consider the flexible price (corre-
sponding to ,i = 0) complete market equilibrium as the benchmark for the definition
of the optimal monetary policy of the UCB, as this situation corresponds to a zero
inflation rate for the monetary union. Considering ;xt as the natural log-deviation of
xt , ;xut = 1
2 (;xht + ;xf
t ) represents its average union wide value and ;xrt = 1
2 (;xft " ;xh
t )
represents its average relative value. National expressions can be obtained by applying
Aoki’s formulae, ;xht = ;xu
t " ;xrt and ;xf
t = ;xut + ;xr
t . Finally, we denote the variation
of a given variable xt by %xt = xt " xt"1. The corresponding natural values are
summarized in Table 2.
10
We define as <xt = xt";xt, the deviation of the corresponding variable from its log linear
natural equilibrium value. Letting $ = 1, the model in deviation from the flexible price
equilibrium writes,
<n rt = (1 " 2()<c r
t " 2((1 " ()<st, (6)
"Et{%<c ut+1} =
&
1 + &<rt+1 " Et
&-u
t+1
', (7)
"Et{%<c rt+1} = 'bh
t+1 "1 " 2(
2Et {-F,t+1 " -H,t+1} , (8)
-H,t = !Et {-H,t+1} + kh[(% + ")<c ut " %<n r
t " "<c rt + (<st], (9)
-F,t = !Et {-F,t+1} + kf [(% + ")<c ut + %<n r
t + "<c rt " (<st], (10)
%<st = (-F,t " -H,t) " %;st, (11)
<b ht+1 " (1 + &)<b h
t = <c rt " <y r
t " (<st + #1 + &
&(%<mr
t " <v rt ), (12)
%<m rt =
1 " 2(
2(-F,t " -H,t) + "%<c r
t " '
&%bh
t+1, (13)
<v ut = %<mu
t = - ut + "%<c u
t " 11 + &
%<rt+1. (14)
Table 2: The natural equilibrium
;yut = ;cu
t = (1+#)!+# au
t
;rt+1 = Et
8!(1+#)(1+()
((!+#) %aut+1
9
$%;mut = $;vu
t = !(1+#)(1+()((!+#) %au
t " !(1+#)((!+#)Et
&%au
t+1
'
;st = " 2(1+#)(1+2#)$)a
rt ;yr
t = 2)$(1+#)(1+2#)$)a
rt
;crt = (1"2%)(1+#)
!(1+2#)$) art ;nr
t = 2)$"1(1+2#)$)a
rt
.% = ( (1 " () /% = (1"2%)2+4!*$
2!
Here, variables are presented in terms of union, relative or national values, de-
pending on the role they play in the policy problem in the next section. Equation (6)
is the contraction of the relative expression of goods market equilibria within the union
(right-hand side) and the relative production function (left-hand side). Equations (7)
and (8) summarize the relative and union-wide expressions of Euler equations. Equa-
tions (9) and (10) are the modified expressions of the Phillips curves, obtained by
expressing marginal cost in terms of variables in deviation from natural equilibrium.
Equation (11) is the dynamic definition of terms of trade. Equation (12) describes
11
the dynamics of net foreign assets, which play a key role in our framework. Finally,
Eqs. (13) and (14) are the dynamic relative and union-wide versions of nominal money
demands.
3.3 The Authorities’ Loss Function
In this section we derive the loss function through a second order approximation
of the utility function We write this function as a quadratic function of endogenous
variables expressed in deviation from their natural paths. Stating # % 0, the global
welfare criterion assumes away monetary terms from the utility function.8 Using the
assumption of symmetry among agents and after some algebra, the welfare function
writes,
0uT = "C1"!
2
T!
s=t
!s"tEt {1s} + t.i.p + O-==*3
==., (15)
where, t.i.p gathers terms independent of the problem and where O-==*3
==.are terms
of order 3 or higher and where,
1s = ((1 " () (<st)2 +
)
2kh-2
H,t +)
2kf-2
F,t + (" + %) (<c ut )2 + " (<c r
t )2 + % (<n rt )2 .
The welfare measurement given by Eq. (15) takes into account the actualized inflation
and consumption gap rates in the monetary union. It also takes into account the
allocation of resources within the union via the relative consumption gap, the relative
e"ort gap and the terms of trade gap. The UCB takes Eq. (15) (with a reversed
sign) as its loss function. Note that the weights allocated to national inflation rates
are a"ected by the degree of price stickiness through the values of ki. Parameter ki
depends negatively on the degree of price rigidities, so that higher weights are given
to inflation rates when prices are stickier.
4 Monetary Policy
The UCB determines the monetary policy of the monetary union by minimizing
the union-wide welfare-based loss function using the model in deviation from the nat-
ural equilibrium. The corresponding first order conditions define a dynamic system
that characterizes the optimal path of the variables in the monetary union. As this
optimal policy cannot be implemented, this path will be kept as a benchmark for the
ranking of feasible monetary policies.
12
4.1 The Optimal Policy
Assuming that the UCB can commit for an infinity of periods, it adapts an optimal
monetary policy for the monetary union by minimizing the Lagrangian corresponding
to the optimal scheme,
L =7t=T
t=0 !tEt{1t
+2&1,t
)-H,t " !-H,t+1 " kh[(" + %)<c u
t " %<n rt " "<c r
t + (<st]*
+2&2,t
)-F,t " !-F,t+1 " kf [(" + %)<c u
t + %<n rt + "<c r
t " (<st]*
+2&3,t [(<st " <st"1) + (;st " ;st"1) " (-F,t " -H,t)]}.
The optimal path linked to the optimal policy is given by,
<c rt = <n r
t , (16)
)-ut + %<c u
t +-kh " kf
. -kh + kf
."1#
)
2(-F,t " -H,t) + %<c r
t
$= 0, (17)
)
2(-F,t " -H,t) + %<c r
t " &3,t
-kf + kh
.= 0, (18)
&3,t " !"1&3,t"1 = !"1.%<st"1 + !"1(<c rt"1, (19)
together with,
-H,t = !Et {-H,t+1} + kh ((% + ")<c ut " %<nr
t " "<c rt + (<st) , (20)
-F,t = !Et {-F,t+1} + kf ((% + ")<c ut + %<nr
t + "<c rt " (<st) , (21)
%<st = (-F,t " -H,t) " %;st. (22)
The existence and uniqueness of the equilibrium defined by Eqs. (16)-(22) are only
satisfied for symmetric nominal rigidities (i.e., for kh = kf ). As in the standard
literature, this path for endogenous variables implies,
<rt+1 = 0,
which means that the UCB targets the nominal interest rate to its natural value to
close both the union-wide inflation and the consumption gaps. This implies that
money creation is at its natural value, i.e., <mut " <mu
t"1 = <vut = 0, and that there
is no inflation, -ut = 0. However, this optimal policy is not fully feasible since the
path defined here implies too many variables and the UCB runs out of instruments
to implement it. Authorities have access to money creation and lump-sum taxes, not
13
su!cient to fully implement the e!cient equilibrium of the monetary union defined
by Eqs. (16)-(22). We therefore adopt this perfect situation as a benchmark for our
(feasible) policy analysis.
4.2 Feasible monetary policies and the concern for heterogeneity
We focus on policies setting the nominal interest rate at its natural level. Taking
the agenda for union-wide price stability as given for the UCB, we assume that it sets,
<rt+1 = %<mut = <v u
t = 0.
The corresponding quantity of money supplied at the union level is thus,
vut = ;v u
t =" (1 + %) (1 + &)
& (" + %)%au
t " " (1 + %)& (" + %)
Et
&%au
t+1
'. (23)
Secondly, monetary policy is implemented through NCBs. If the union system of
central banks has no concern for heterogeneity, the sharing rule for money creation in
the monetary union is,
vht = vf
t =12vu
t . (24)
Equation (24) represents the observed sharing rule adopted by the ECB according to
ESCB status. In this case, the dynamics of the current account is given by,
bht+1 " (1 + &)bh
t = yht " ch
t " (st " (#1 + &
&)(mh
t " mht"1 "
12vu
t ),
where the last element on the right-hand side expression reflects the decentralized
currency allocation mechanism analyzed previously.
However, if the USCB has a policy of heterogeneous response to shocks within the
union, the sharing of money creation is,
<v it = %<mi
t, (25)
for i ! {h, f}, with <v ht + <v f
t = 0, so that the policy responds exactly to the quantity
of money demanded in each country. In this case, the expression of the dynamics of
the current account becomes standard,
bht+1 " (1 + &) bh
t = yht " ch
t " (st.
We define two monetary policy regimes p ! {1, 2} , where p = 1 combines Eqs. (23)
and (24) and where p = 2 combines Eqs. (23) and (25). These policies are optimal in
14
terms of inflation-targeting (but are di"erent from the actual optimal monetary poli-
cy) when nominal rigidities are symmetric (see Benigno (2004)). Indeed, in the case
of heterogeneous nominal rigidities, setting <rt+1 = 0 does not imply -ut = 0. Figure 1
plots the Impulse Response Function (IRF) of union-wide inflation to a unit domestic
productivity innovation for di"erent asymmetric patterns of nominal rigidities.9 Figure
1 shows that -ut &= 0 and that the variance of union-wide inflation is a positive function
of nominal rigidity asymmetries. Since there is a negative relationship between the
union-wide inflation rate and the consumption gap dynamics when <rt+1 = 0 according
to Eq. (7), the variance of the union-wide consumption gap is a positive function of
asymmetries in the price-rigidities pattern.
Figure 1: Union-wide inflation IRF to a unit domestic productivity innova-
tion - sub-optimal policies
This implies a much higher response of the union-wide consumption gap linked to the
positive union-wide inflation rate by the union-wide Euler equation since <rt+1 = 0. As
a consequence, both policies yield some additional losses when nominal rigidities are
asymmetric, compared to when nominal rigidities are symmetric.
5 The Optimality of an Identical Treatment of NCBs
In this section, we examine the alternative policy regimes, p ! {1, 2}, on the basis
of their welfare implications. To this end, we simulate the model under alternative
15
policies and compute the average welfare distance to the optimal scheme defined by
Eqs. (16)-(22).10 We then obtain a permanent consumption loss (in %) for represen-
tative union-wide agents. Following Lucas (2003) and Beetsma and Jensen (2005), we
express this loss as (copt " cp), defined by,
copt " cp = 1001(" + %)"1 (1 " !)(0opt,T " 0p,T )
2 12
,
for p!{1, 2} and where T is the number of periods.
5.1 Calibration
We adopt a baseline calibration of the deep parameters of the model based on
standard values found in the literature. Following Beetsma and Jensen (2005), the
intertemporal elasticity of substitution is " = 2.5. The value of %"1 refers to Can-
zoneri, Cumby and Diba (2004) and varies between 0.05 and 0.33. For the baseline
case, we choose %"1 = 0.1. The elasticity of substitution across varieties determines
the average mark-up, which according to Rotemberg and Woodford (1997) is around
16-17%, implying ) = 7. We set the openness parameter to ( = 0.3 in the benchmark
calibration and, according to Faia [2006], we let it vary from 0.2 to 0.4. The parameter
controlling the nominal rigidities ranges, according to di"erent estimates, from 0.5 to
0.8. Following Canzoneri et ali. (2004), we set the baseline value at ,h = ,f = , = 0.7.
The portfolio cost parameter ' is set to 0.0007, in line with Schmitt-Grohe and Uribe
(2003). Remember that we set $ = 1 earlier in the paper. Other parameters are fairly
standard and we set ! = 0.99, # = 0.01, and std-*it
.= 0.7%. Finally, the persis-
tence parameter of productivity shocks is set to "a = 0.95, as in the standard RBC
literature.
5.2 Results
For various parameter combinations, Table 3 reports two permanent consumption
losses associated with asymmetric technology shocks, taking the complete financial
market flexible price situation as a benchmark. The first term (copt " c2) measures
the permanent consumption loss associated with the feasible monetary policy when
NCBs have the same per capita weight in the money creation process. The second
term (c2 " c1) measures the extra permanent consumption loss due to the di"erent
treatment of NCBs in the money creation process.
16
Table 3: Welfare analysis under symmetric nominal rigidities in percent of permanentconsumption loss - BC: Baseline calibration
BC " " "" 2.5 4 5 6
copt " c2 2.11 2.15 2.13 2.10
c2 " c1 0.09 0.06 0.05 0.05
( 0.3 0.2 0.25 0.35copt " c2 2.11 1.74 1.98 2.19
c2 " c1 0.09 0.26 0.16 0.05-,h,,f
.(0.70,0.70) (0.65,0.65) (0.75,0.75) (0.80,0.80)
copt " c2 2.11 1.64 2.81 3.86
c2 " c1 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10
"a 0.95 0.8 0.9 0.99
copt " c2 2.11 8.14 5.14 0.26
c2 " c1 0.09 0.04 0.04 0.21
In the baseline case, the losses related to being unable to reproduce the optimal policy
are equivalent to a 2.11% drop in permanent consumption. For the baseline calibration,
our results also show that losses associated with a policy where NCBs are treated
di"erently are equivalent to a further permanent consumption drop of 0.09% compared
to the identical treatment policy. Nevertheless, since in all cases (c2 " c1) is positive,
treating NCBs identically when implementing non-optimal monetary policies improves
welfare. This result is robust to various combinations of parameters. Our results thus
show that the solution currently adopted in the European Monetary Union implies
sizeable welfare consumption-equivalent gains. Depending on parameter values, the
identical treatment of NCBs implies an equivalent rise in permanent consumption
ranging from 0.04% to 0.18%, with a value of 0.09% in the baseline calibration.
Welfare gains related to identical treatment are in line with most results encountered
in the literature. For example, Galı and Monacelli (2005), find that gains from an
optimal monetary policy are between 0.02% and 0.11% of permanent consumption.
Benigno (2004) finds that the optimal core-inflation monetary policy is equivalent to a
permanent consumption increase of 0.02% compared to the suboptimal HICP targeting
policy. Beetsma and Jensen (2005) find that the consumption-equivalent increase of
17
fiscal stabilization represents between 0.09% and 1.16% of permanent consumption.
Concerning the value of (copt " c2), our results range from 0.36% to 3.85%, in terms
of permanent consumption, which is consistent with the findings of Benigno (2001).
Figure 2: IRF to a unit domestic productivity innovation under alternative
policy regimes - OPT: Optimal monetary policy, CH: Monetary policy set
with concern for heterogeneity, NCH: Monetary policy set with no concern
for heterogeneity --,h, ,f
.= (0.70, 0.70)
Figure 2 reports the IRFs of the variables of interest. The two sharing rules di"er with
respect to relative consumption and terms of trade dynamics. These dynamics are
closer to the Pareto-optimal adjustment scheme if NCBs are treated identically. Since
these two variables directly a"ect the authorities loss function as given by Equation
(welfare), the welfare distance to the optimal situation in the monetary union is lower
when monetary policy is not concerned with regional factors. As already noted, the
identical treatment of NCBs implies that a greater role is given to the current account
as an e!cient decentralized mechanism to allocate money between union members, in
18
a situation where price rigidities imply suboptimal terms of trade adjustments.
As underlined above, the identical treatment of NCBs induces an international
money flow that provides money where needed in the monetary union. This net money
flow implies an accumulation of net foreign liabilities that contrasts with the standard
response of an accumulation of net foreign liabilities. As a matter of fact, the deficit
of the current account rises to 30% of GDP in our baseline calibration. This speeds up
both the consumption di"erential and terms of trade adjustments. Here, more money
is injected into the economy experiencing the technology shock. This, in turn, reduces
both deflation and the relative consumption di"erential. Finally, these two variables
return more quickly to the flexible price equilibrium, which reduces welfare loss in the
monetary union.
5.3 Sensitivity Analysis
A sensitivity analysis reveals that the Pareto-improving nature of this mechanism
is robust to various parameter combinations, while the size of the e"ect varies. An
increase in the parameter of risk aversion " from 2.5 to 6 reduces the value of the
consumption equivalent welfare gain of the current sharing rule from 0.09% to 0.05%.
As agents become more risk averse, they are less prone to use the current account
as a device to adjust asymmetric technology shocks, reducing the role of the current
account in the external adjustment. As the current account adjustment is closer to
that obtained when there is di"erent treatment of NCBs, the marginal reduction of the
consumption gap and of the terms of trade variability is lower. Therefore the welfare
gains associated with the identical treatment of NCBs are reduced.
A reduction in the home bias, for example an increase in the value of ( from 0.2
to 0.35, reduces the net permanent consumption gains associated with the identical
treatment of NCBs from 0.25% to 0.05%. The significant reduction of the Pareto-
improving nature of the equal sharing rule can be explained as follows. In this case,
aggregate consumption behavior becomes more homogeneous between countries, as
does money demand behavior. As a consequence, the economic implications of the
two money creation policies become more similar. In the extreme case where ( = 12 ,
both policies coincide. Thus, as consumption preferences become homogeneous in
the monetary union, identical treatment and di"erent treatment of NCBs become
isomorphic. Indeed, when ( = 12 , agents have similar consumption baskets (domestic
and imported goods are consumed in the same proportion) and face similar CPI price
19
levels and inflation rates. As a consequence, the current account is always balanced
and money demands are equal across the monetary union. There is no di"erence then
between a situation where the UCB supplies the amount of money required in each
country (which is the same in both countries) and a situation where the UCB supplies
the same amount of money to each NCB.
Following Baxter (1995) or Backus, Kehoe and Kydland (1992), we also investi-
gate the sensitivity of these results to situations where shocks become more permanent
("a ranking from 0.8 to 0.99). We show that, when "a increases, the welfare gains asso-
ciated with the identical treatment of NCBs increase. Here, as the identical treatment
of NCBs speeds up the adjustment of relative prices and relative consumption, the
monetary union returns more rapidly to the long-run equilibrium, which is better for
more permanent shocks. Note that a key feature of this sensitivity analysis for "a,
is that the distance between the actual equilibrium and the Pareto-optimal situation
diminishes from more than 8% (for "a = 0.8) to 0.26% (for "a = 0.99) of permanent
consumption. This is because, as shocks become more permanent, the economy must
adjust more rapidly to the new permanent situation, implying a quicker convergence
to the steady state, which remains the same independently of price-setting practices.
Thus there is a clear reduction in consumption loss compared to the optimal situation
and an increase in the optimality of the equal sharing rule.
Finally, our results are not significantly a"ected by the duration of prices as
long as pricing practices are symmetric. The only significant e"ect is the increase in
consumption loss as compared to the Pareto-optimal situation. When prices become
more rigid, the equilibrium moves further away from the flexible price equilibrium
and more weight is devoted to inflation in the welfare-based loss function. These two
aspects account for the increase of (copt " c2). Moreover, our results are robust to the
assumption of asymmetric nominal rigidities. Maintaining a constant average level of
nominal rigidities while the distance between ,h and ,f is variable, we have run similar
simulations and chosen not to report the results since they are very similar to those
already reported in Table 3. Since the assumption of asymmetric price rigidities implies
a higher dispersion of prices, results in this case feature additional losses compared to
a situation where nominal rigidities are symmetric.
20
6 Conclusion
This paper evaluates alternative sharing rules for the creation of money in an
asymmetric monetary union characterized by nominal rigidities, incomplete financial
markets and home bias in consumption. It shows that the identical treatment of
NCBs in a system of central banks such as the ESCB, leads to welfare gains. By
treating NCBs equally, the UCB relies on current account adjustments, which provide
an e!cient decentralized mechanism to allocate money where needed in the monetary
union.
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Notes
1. The particular problem of asymmetric nominal rigidities has already been ad-
dressed, using a di"erent approach, by Benigno (2004).
2. This HIPC is a compound average of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of union
members with weights related to their respective share of Union total consumption.
3. In this paper, fiscal policy is strictly concerned with o"setting first-order distortions
related to monopolistic competition. Moreover, we assume lump-sum taxation. This
implies that fiscal policies do not interact with the decisions related to the design
of monetary policy. Indeed, Eyquem (2007) shows that the optimal design of fiscal
policies does not a"ect the design of the centralized optimal monetary policy. Debt
issues are beyond the scope of the paper. For insightful results concerning debt issues
in a monetary union, see Pappa and Vassilatos (2006).
4. See Corsetti and Pesenti (2005) for a discussion of nominal exchange rate policy in
NOEM models.
5. Indeed, monopolistic competition distorts the first-best allocation through mark-up
pricing and a lower output. As shown by Benigno and Woodford (2005), an optimal
subsidy policy restores the optimal perfectly competitive allocation.
6. Benigno and Woodford (2006) point out that using a first-order approximation to
the model leads to wrong optimal dynamics when the loss function is not quadratic. In
addition, they show that when the loss function can be expressed in a pure quadratic
fashion, the solution to the problem can be set in the convenient LQ form while
remaining valid.
7. Noting that price dispersion variations are of second order, the linear expression
of DPi,t writes dpi,t = 0. Furthermore, it should be remembered that the loglinear
expression for Rt+1 is dRt+1R = (
1+( rt+1. Finally, for Bit and V i
t , since B = V = 0, the
23
loglinear expressions of these variables need to be defined as bit = Bi
tPC and vi
t = V it
M .
8. This assumption is standard in NOEM models to prevent the inflationary bias in
optimal monetary policy. A full justification is provided in Devereux, Shi and Xu
(2005).
9. For instance, we choose the following patterns-,h, ,f
.= (0.50, 0.82),
-,h, ,f
.=
(0.55, 0.80),-,h, ,f
.= (0.60, 0.77) and
-,h, ,f
.= (0.65, 0.74). In all cases, the average
nominal rigidity in the union is , = 0.7, in line with most empirical studies.
10. Each welfare computation is averaged over 20 simulations. Each simulation is
characterized by the realization of a random and asymmetric productivity innovation
in each country at each period.
24