india infrastructure trust
TRANSCRIPT
22
• Brookfield is one of the world’s leading asset manager with an AUM of over US$ 600 Bn and presence in 30+ countries
• Oil & gas midstream portfolio includes ~15,000 kms of transmission pipelines and ~600 Bn cubic ft. of gas storage
• Present in India since the last 12 years and has built an AUM of over US$ 21 Bn in the country
India’s longest privately owned cross country gas pipeline originating from the gas rich Krishna Godavari Basin
ROUTE MAP
1st
Pure gas transmission InvIT
1,375 kmsCross country,
5 states, Bi- directional
2008-09Vintage
Rs 11 Bn+Distribution for FY
2020-21
85 mmscmdTransmission
capacity
~18 yearsResidual contract
CRISILAAA/Stable
Credit rating
Backed by a Distinguished Sponsor with a history of over 120 years in owning and operating assets
RIL, ONGCAnchor suppliers
LongestPrivately owned pipeline in India
Company Overview
33
Benefitting from the ramp up in Reliance’s KG-D6
Favorable Demand-Supply Dynamics in the Indian Gas
Industry
02
03
04
05
06
01
PIL – A Strategically Important Pipeline
Strong Focus on ESG
Consistent Track Record of Distribution
Experienced Management Team backed by a Strong
Sponsor Group
Key Investment Highlights
44
144 153 162 167 175 166180-185
212-218
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22P FY25P
46%
54%
FY21 Gas supply
Domestic Production LNG Import
As majority of supply is still being importedIndia’s gas consumption is highly underpenetrated compared to
both developed and developing nations
54% 52%
32%27% 24% 24%
12%8%
6%
Russia MiddleEast
USA Africa Europe World APAC China India
Gas Contribution to Total Energy Consumption
Source: PPAC, BP Statistical Review 2020, CRISIL Research, Public information
1
Large headroom for growth as the Indian Government has committed to increase gas contribution to 15% by 2030
Domestic gas demand seeing a strong revival in FY22 after being impacted by COVID in FY21
In mmscmd
5-7% CAGRCovid Impact
5.1% CAGR 8-10%
Next 5 Years to be a Golden Period for the Indian Gas Industry
55
11% 17% 18%
46%70%45
80 86
178
228
Round 3 Round 7 (Jun' 16) Round 8 (Nov' 16) Round 9 (Apr' 18) Round 10 (Nov'18)
% of populaton covered Cumulative GAs
Source: PPAC, BP Statistical Review 2020, Public information, CRISIL Research
1
Upcoming CGDs laying out additional gas distribution infrastructure leading to an uptick in demand
Indian gas industry has a diverse mix of customers
(0.2)%Fertilizers
Power
CGD
Refinery
Petrochem
Sectoral growth in demand
FY16-FY20(CAGR)
FY21P(on-year)
FY21-FY25(CAGR)
11% 4-6%
0.4% (2)% 0-1%
10% (12)% 13-16%
11.3% 2% 7-9%
(1.2)% (14)% 7-9%
~140 new CGDs expected to come on-stream in 3-5 years
Sector specific tailwinds in place to drive future growth
Conversion of naptha based units, revival of existing units & capacity additions under New Urea Investment Policy – MFCL, Ramagundam
Focus on clean energy to revive gas demand
Expansion in CNG network and industrial sectors
Better connectivity of gas infrastructure
Increase in petrochemical capacities
29%
18%
15%
13% 5%
FY21 demand by industry
Fertilizers Power CGD Refinery Petrochemicals
Better Connectivity Driving Demand Growth
66
7
19
30
Q4FY21 June' 21 2023E
RIL Production expected to ramp up at KG D6 as all 3 fields go live
Production has started in 2 of 3 discovered fields by RIL
Legacy fields faced technical challenges due to which production had to be stopped
RIL discovered KG-D6 as India’s largest deposit of natural gas and the largest such discovery in the world in 2002
Krishna Godavari Basin covers more than 19,000 sq. miles
Production from the RIL-BP KGD6 gas fields is expected to reach its peak in the next few years
In mmscmd
Source: Company Disclosures, Public information
2
R-Cluster
ONGC is also investing heavily to increase production in its discoveries next to KG-D6
“”KGD6 will produce 30 MMSCMD gas production by 2023. This will establish Reliance again as one of the largest producers of gas in India, meeting 20% of India's gas demand””
- Mukesh Ambani at RIL AGM 2021
Dec-20
First production>>
~13
Peak production>>
Satellite Cluster
MJ
Apr-20 Oct-22(Exp.)
6 12In mmscmd
Ramp-up Expected in KG Basin Volumes
77
Strategically one of the most important pipelines in the country
PIL is the only pipeline connecting supply centers on the east coast to the demand centers on the west coast
3
Key Pipeline Networks Length (km)KG D6
connectivityArea
East-West Pipeline(PIL)
1,375 East/West
HVJ /VDPL(GAIL)
4,222 Central/
North
GSPL High Pressure Gas Grid (GSPL)
2,207 West/North
DVPL-II & VDPL(GAIL)
1,280 Central/
West
Dahej-Uran-Panvel-Dhabhol (GAIL)
815 West
KG Basin Network (GAIL)
878 South
Gujarat Regional Network (GAIL)
609 West
Fully operational pipeline > 500 kms in length
* As of March 31, 2021. Source: Company Disclosures, Public information
Current gas pipeline infrastructure in India
Ennore
Kochi
Dabhol
DahejHazira
MundraHVJ1 Pipeline
East West Pipeline
GAIL Pipeline Network
Existing LNG Terminals
Under Construction LNG Terminals
GSPL Pipeline Network
KG basin accounts for
50% of the country’s
estimated remaining
gas reserves
More than 65% of
India’s Gas Demand
comes from the West
& the North
Only cross-country
pipeline
19,968 km
Total length of operational Natural Gas pipelines*
Jaigarh
DhamraJafrabad
Chhara
Kakinada
PIL – A Strategically Important Pipeline
88
PIL has built relationships with key gas providers to help service their transportation requirements
3
ONGC
• Connected to ONGC terminals at Mallavaram and
Oduru in Andhra Pradesh
KG-D6
• Largest gas reserve in India
• Only pipeline connected to Gadimoga gas terminal
of RIL/BPEA on the east coast along with the KG-D6
gas reserves
Transport of RLNG
• Transports RLNG from Hazira and other terminals
on the west coast
• Potential to deliver RLNG from Dahej and other
terminals like Mundra through connected pipelines
Connecting Key Supply Sources Across India
99
3
City Gas Distribution
Note: Includes major consumers directly / indirectly supplied by PIL
With a Diversified Customer Base
1010
MTPA Present Capacity
Large LNG Opportunity3
Shell LNG Terminal, Hazira
17 Countries from where supplies are received
10 MTPAPotential capacity
5 Petronet LNG, Dahej 17.5
MTPAPresent Capacity
Potential future connections
Kakinada FSRUSwan LNG Jafrabad
Adani LNG, Dhamra
IOCL LNG, Ennore
>20 MTPA Potential Capacity
Direct connection
Current indirect connections
East West Pipeline is an integral part of the national LNG supply network with connections to major terminals in place
Largest Terminal in the country
Long term Contract
with RasGas to supplyLNG from Qatar
22.5 MTPAPotential capacity
Source: Company Disclosures, Public information
1111
State of the Art Operations
Record Breaking Infrastructure• Largest Greenfield pipeline project in India- backbone
for the vast pan-India national gas grid• Constructed in record time of less than 36 months• First bi-directional natural gas pipeline of the country
World Class Operations & Maint.• Remotely controlled & monitored, manned 24*7, with
two layered advance safety features• >99% pipeline availability since its commencement of
commercial operations in 2009• Internationally recognized prestigious certifications &
awards for highest standards of Health, Safety,Environment & Quality
Customer Centric Services• Providing best services to shippers ensuring
convenience and feasibility• First pipeline to offer imbalance management services
to their shippers• A pure gas transmission company – provides non-
discriminatory services to all with focus to increase thegas volumes in the country
02
03
01
3
1212
World Class Construction & Engineering3
Vendors used for Construction & Commissioning Key Features of the Pipeline
1,375 km
Trunk pipeline length
105 km
Cumulative length of interconnects
48’’Trunk pipeline diameter
20’-30’Diameter of interconnects
85 mmscmd
Design throughput
98 barg
Design Pressure
11Compressor stations
11Metering & Regulation
stations
44Maintain block valves and
tap-off stations
Engineering
Bechtel, USA • Conceptualization & optimization
Gulf Interstate Engg - USA • Basic and detailed engineering
Procurement
Baoji Steel, China
Nippon Steel, China
ILVA, Italy
• Supply of line pipes
General Electric, USA & Italy• Supply of gas compressor &
commissioning• Performance/maintenance
Telvent, Canada• Supervisory control & data
acquisition system and telecom system
Emerson, Singapore • Metering & regulating
Construction
Stroytransgas, Russia
China Petroleum Pipeline Bureau, China
Larsen & Toubro, India
Punj Lloyd, India
• Pipeline construction
Zublin, Germany• Gauthami Godavari crossing by
micro
HDI, France• Vashishta Godavari crossing by
Horizontal Directional Drilling (HDD)
Pre commissioning & Commissioning
B J Services, Canada • Drying and Pre commissioning
Enbrdge, Canada • Commissioning & startup support
Shell Global Solutions, Netherlands
• Pre startup & Safety audit
Baoji steel
1313
Pedigreed Leadership with vast experience in their respective disciplines
Gurpreet Singh, Head of Corporate Services
- Almost 2 decades of industry experience
- Was earlier the Head HR & Admin at DP World - Mundra
- Has earlier worked with ONGC, HAL and Dell
Kunjal Thackar, Chief Financial Officer
- 2 decades of experience in the finance vertical
- Was earlier the Group CFO at H-Energy (Hiranandani )
- Has also worked with HPCL, BG Group and Gujarat Gas
Narayan Chaudhari. Head – HSSE
- Over 3 decades of experience as a HSE professional
- Member of various sub committees of PNGRB, OISD, FIPI
- Previously worked at NOCIL, Reliance Communications
Sourav Gupta, Head – Risk & Compliance
- Led teams across consulting and industry roles
- Was earlier at Cairn Oil & Gas leading several risk initiatives
- Has also worked with at PWC, KPMG & Barclays
Neha Jalan, Company Secretary
- Over 8 years of experience in Compliance
- Previously at multiple entities of the Aditya Birla group
- Experience in fundraising as well as mergers & acquisitions
Emani V S Rao, Chief Commercial Officer
- Over 3 decades of Oil & Gas experience
- Worked for 20+ years at GAIL and 10+ years at RIL
- Has led teams across multiple functions
Aayushi Agarwal, Chief GM – Strategic Planning
- Over 8 years of experience in the energy sector
- Previously worked with NPCIL, NTPC, RIL
- Triple Gold Medalist from DCE and a PGDM from IIM Bangalore
Raghavanachari Suresh, Chief Operating Officer
- Associated with the Hydrocarbon industry for over 40 years
- 20+ years of experience at GAIL in various leadership roles
- Also served as the CEO of Reliance Gas Pipeline
Akhil Mehrotra, MD & CEO
- 29+ years of experience across Oil & Gas , Power & Telecom
- Was previously the Chairman of Mahanagar Gas
- Has also worked at Shell for over 15 years in various roles
4 Experienced Management Team
1414
Arpit Agrawal
Brookfield Nominee
- MD and Head of Investments at Brookfield’s Infrastructure Group
- Holds an MBA from IIM – Bangalore and a Bachelors from NIT, Allahabad
Mihir Nerurkar, Chairman
Brookfield Nominee
- MD & COO of Brookfield Infrastructure Group
- Over 18 yrs of diverse experience across various industries
Jeff Kendrew
Brookfield Nominee
- Managing Partner at Brookfield, working with the APAC team
- Previously served as CEO of Prime Infrastructure
Sanjay Barman Roy
Reliance Nominee
- Currently spearheading Reliance’s Deepwater O&G fields
- Earlier he has worked at multiple MNCs such as Schlumberger
Anish Kedia
Brookfield Nominee
- Senior Associate at Brookfield’s Infrastructure Group in India
- Has previously worked at ChrysCapital
Arun Balakrishnan
Independent Director
- Experience of over 37 years in the energy industry
- Retired as the Chairman & MD at HPCL
Chaitanya Pande
Independent Director
- Previously the MD at Lionshead Alternatives
- He was also at ICICI Pru AMC for over a decade
Radhika Haribhakti
Independent Director
- Has over 3 decades of experience in investment banking
- Is an independent director on the board of multiple listed cos.
4 Backed by a Reputed Board
The management is guided by an extremely skilled and knowledgeable Board of Directors
1515
Environment Social Governance
18,053Total trees planted
4,603Trees planted
at CS03
Large varietyMango, Guava, Water
Apple, Coconut etc.
• Focus on developing a green belt around
Compression stations (CS) and ground
water recharging
• Green CS Award instated amongst the 10
Compression Stations to foster competition
• Multiple initiatives undertaken to assist underprivileged families and villages in areas surrounding facilities
• 557 students to benefit due to construction of toilets at a school near CS07 (90% completed as on Mar 2021)
• We provide employment to more than 1,000 people in remote areas
Covid ReliefEssential items to over
2,000 families
Project SahbhagDevelopment projects
across 9 villages
Magic BusApprox. 1,000 economically
underprivileged families assisted
• PIL has institutionalized best practices for
Corporate Governance as the basis in all
business practices. Accountability and
transparency practiced across all endeavors
• Board run company as per SEBI and
Companies Act
• Ethical governance framework primarily
driven by core governance policies viz.
Code of Conduct, Anti- Bribery and
Corruption (ABC) Policy and Whistle-Blower
Policy
• Disclosure practices in line with stated goals
of accountability and transparency, has
made additional disclosures in its Annual
Report
5 Strong Focus on ESG
1616
1.1 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 6.3 14.02.4 2.2 1.90.7
0.4 0.7 0.6
0.5
0.515.8 16.4 15.7
14.412.4
10.6 9.4
6.3
6.9
Q1FY20 Q2FY20 Q3FY20 Q4FY20 Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22
Gas volumes (in mmscmd)KGD6 ONGC RLNG
Sharp increase seen in KGD6 Volumes as R-Cluster & Satellite fields have gone live
Witnessed a rise in realized tariffs in successive quarters
23.4
67.8 67.7 66.4 66.1 66.7 67.774.0 76.7 76.6
Q1FY20 Q2FY20 Q3FY20 Q4FY20 Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FT22*
Rs / mmBtu (Transportation + MSOP)
COVID Impact on demand
19.3 19.5 18.4 15.3 12.8 11.4 10.5 13.1 21.4Total
>>
* For July 2021
6 Ramp-up in Volumes with Rising Tariffs
1717
18.3 11.9
22.7
38.2
47.3 46.7 45.8 45.9 42.7 39.6 37.7 35.6 32.9 31.1 29.5 28.2 27.4 28.5 29.1 29.7
FY20 FY21 FY22e FY23e FY24e FY25e FY26e FY27e FY28e FY29e FY30e FY31e FY32e FY33e FY34e FY35e FY36e FY37e FY38e FY39e
Total expected gas volumes from RIL, ONGC and RLNG
In mmscmd
Source: CRISIL ResearchNote: CRISIL Research, a division of CRISIL Limited (CRISIL) has taken due care and caution in preparing this report (Report) based on the Information obtained by CRISIL from sources which it considers reliable (Data). However, CRISIL does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of the Data / Report and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of Data / Report. This Report is not a recommendation to invest / disinvest in any entity covered in the Report and no part of this Report should be construed as an expert advice or investment advice or any form of investment banking within the meaning of any law or regulation. CRISIL especially states that it has no liability whatsoever to the subscribers / users / transmitters / distributors of this Report. Without limiting the generality of the foregoing, nothing in the Report is to be construed as CRISIL providing or intending to provide any services in jurisdictions where CRISIL does not have the necessary permission and/or registration to carry out its business activities in this regard. Rapid Holdings 2 Pte. Ltd. will be responsible for ensuring compliances and consequences of non-compliances for use of the Report or part thereof outside India. CRISIL Research operates independently of, and does not have access to information obtained by CRISIL Ratings Limited / CRISIL Risk and Infrastructure Solutions Ltd (CRIS), which may, in their regular operations, obtain information of a confidential nature. The views expressed in this Report are that of CRISIL Research and not of CRISIL Ratings Limited / CRIS. No part of this Report may be published/reproduced in any form without CRISIL’s prior written approval.
Uptick in volumes on account of KGD6 flows
6 Estimated Gas Volumes & Financials of the Pipeline
Source: Management Estimates
24
41
56 56 55 5551
47 45 43 40 38 36 34 33 35 35 36
19
33
47 46 46 4541 40 38 35 32 30 28 26 25 26 26 26
FY22e FY23e FY24e FY25e FY26e FY27e FY28e FY29e FY30e FY31e FY32e FY33e FY34e FY35e FY36e FY37e FY38e FY39e
Projected revenues and EBITDA expected to increase in the near term, in-line with projected gas volumes
In INR Bn
1818
Consistent distributions across last 10 quarters in line with contractual profile
Total Distributions
10,56311,693
10,229
FY20 FY21 FY22e
1.0
3.8
6.7
4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.33.9
Q1FY20 Q2FY20 Q3FY20 Q4FY20 Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22
Consistent Quarterly Distributions Per Unit
DPU of Rs 17.6
Distributions Per Unit
Strong visibility to meet FY22 DPU guidance of Rs 15.4 per unit
15.917.6
15.4
FY20 FY21 FY22e
In Rs
In RsIn Rs Mn
6 Consistent Track Record of Distribution
1919
• PIL has also introduced imbalance management services (IMS) to help customers manage their portfolio of gases from different source
• Other services of netting and trading and lending services would be introduced in near future
• Offer more flexible payment terms for customers
Future Reserves
• Potential upside due to yet to
find (YTF) and technical
reserves in the KG Basin
• Additional gas available will
be in high demand for
customers connected by the
pipeline
New Terminals
• Potential for increased
LNG/RLNG from upcoming
terminals on the east coast
• Increase in LNG imports can
also increase the flow through
the pipeline
CGD Network
• Potential opportunities to
connect CGD networks that
may be awarded on the east
coast
• Strategic position which is
close to several industrial hubs
provides additional
opportunities
Customer centric initiatives
• Has introduced imbalance
management services (IMS) to
help customers manage their
portfolio of gases from
different source
• Potential to introduce other
services like netting and
trading and lending services in
near future
Key Growth Drivers
2020Source: PNGRB, Public Sources
PNGRB has notified regulations for a unified tariff structure for pipelines transporting gas across the country
Key features of the ‘unified’ tariff structure
Fixed tariffs for gas transport through all operational pipelines in India notified by PNGRB
The tariffs will be determined by the board for each FY at the start of the FY
Tariffs will be grouped by 2 zones– transport of gas within 300 km and transport of gas beyond 300 km
Difference between revenue entitlement of natural gas pipeline entities and unified tariff invoiced by such entities shall be settled amongst such pipeline entities on a periodic basis
Benefits of the structure
Simplification of tariffOne gas tariff across the country, vs. earlier regime where
each pipeline had its own tariff
Customer convenienceCustomer only has to pay the pipeline delivering the gas to
them rather than each interconnected pipeline
Improved affordability across IndiaCost of gas transportation for areas far away from gas
sources expected to come down
Gas sources in East to benefitAs cost of transportation goes down, customers will focus
more on cost of gas across different sources
Government support and a stable regulatory regime is expected to be a big boost for the gas industry
Supportive Regulatory Environment
2121
Market Yields for Comparable Instruments
Yields have declined over the last 2 years (YTM)
Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21
7 yr India G-Sec Index
Source: Bloomberg as on Aug 13th , 2021, *Dividend from public sources, dividend annualized for Mindspace REIT & Brookfield REIT
Current YTMs of key bonds
6.24% 6.24%6.86%
5.85%
India 7 yr GSEC India 10 yr GSEC index RIL Bond - 2028 India Infra Bond - 2024
Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21
10 yr India G-Sec Index
Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21
RIL Bond 2028
Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21
India Infra Trust Bond 2024
9.00%
6.63%6.04%
6.79%
Indigrid Invit Mindspace REIT Embassy REIT Brookfield REIT
YTM Distribution Yield (TTM)
7.22%6.24%
8.49%
6.86%
7.28%6.24%
9.46%
5.85%
Dividend Yield for listed InvITs/REITs*
2323
This document is confidential and is intended solely for the information of the person to whom it has been
delivered. It may not be reproduced or transmitted, in whole or in part, to third parties except as agreed in writing
by India Infrastructure Trust. This document does not constitute an offer to participate in a transaction or any
commitment on the part of India Infrastructure Trust. The information set forth herein does not purport to be
complete.
Except where otherwise indicated herein, the information provided herein is based on matters as they exist as of
the date of preparation and not as of any future date, and will not be updated or otherwise revised to reflect
information that subsequently becomes available or circumstances existing or changes occurring after the date
hereof. Certain information contained in this presentation constitutes “forward-looking statements,” which can be
identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “target,”
“project,” “estimate,” “intend,” “continue,” or “believe,” or the negatives thereof or other variations thereon or
comparable terminology. Due to various risks and uncertainties, actual events or results or the actual performance
may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. To that extent, no
assurance is being given to meet the performance reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements.
Nothing contained herein should be construed as legal, business or tax advice. The recipient should consult its
own attorney, business advisor and tax adviser as to legal, business, tax and related matters concerning the
information contained herein.
Disclaimer