changes in escherichia coli to cryptosporidium ratios for various fecal pollution sources and...
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Changes in Escherichia coli to Cryptosporidium ratiosfor various fecal pollution sources and drinkingwater intakes
Cindy Lalancette a,b,*, Isabelle Papineau a, Pierre Payment b, Sarah Dorner a,Pierre Servais c, Benoit Barbeau a, George D. Di Giovanni d, Michele Prevost a
aPolytechnique Montreal, Departement des Genies Civil, Geologique et des Mines, CP 6079, Succ. Centre-ville,
Montreal, Quebec, Canada H3C 3A7bCentre INRS-Institut Armand-Frappier, Institut National de Recherche Scientifique (INRS), 531 Boulevard des
Prairies, Laval, Quebec, Canada H7V 1B7c Ecologie des Systemes Aquatiques, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, Campus de la Plaine, CP 221, Boulevard du
Triomphe, B-1050 Bruxelles, BelgiumdUniversity of Texas-Houston School of Public Health, Center for Infectious Diseases, El Paso Regional Campus, 1101
N. Campbell CH 412, El Paso, TX 79902, United States
a r t i c l e i n f o
Article history:
Received 6 June 2013
Received in revised form
24 January 2014
Accepted 27 January 2014
Available online 5 February 2014
Keywords:
Cryptosporidium
Escherichia coli
Fecal indicators
Fecal pollution
Source water
Drinking water
* Corresponding author. Polytechnique Montrdes Mines, CP 6079, Succ. Centre-ville, Mont
E-mail address: cindy.lalancette@polymtl
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2014.01.0500043-1354/ª 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights rese
a b s t r a c t
Assessing the presence of human pathogenic Cryptosporidium oocysts in surface water
remains a significant water treatment and public health challenge. Most drinking water
suppliers rely on fecal indicators, such as the well-established Escherichia coli (E. coli), to
avoid costly Cryptosporidium assays. However, the use of E. coli has significant limitations in
predicting the concentration, the removal and the transport of Cryptosporidium. This study
presents a meta-analysis of E. coli to Cryptosporidium concentration paired ratios to compare
their complex relationships in eight municipal wastewater sources, five agricultural fecal
pollution sources and at 13 drinking water intakes (DWI) to a risk threshold based on US
Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) regulations. Ratios lower than the USEPA risk
threshold suggested higher concentrations of oocysts in relation to E. coli concentrations,
revealing an underestimed risk for Cryptosporidium based on E. coli measurements. In raw
sewage (RS), high ratios proved E. coli (or fecal coliforms) concentrations were a conser-
vative indicator of Cryptosporidium concentrations, which was also typically true for sec-
ondary treated wastewater (TWW). Removals of fecal indicator bacteria (FIB) and parasites
were quantified in WWTPs and their differences are put forward as a plausible explanation
of the sporadic ratio shift. Ratios measured from agricultural runoff surface water were
typically lower than the USEPA risk threshold and within the range of risk misinterpre-
tation. Indeed, heavy precipitation events in the agricultural watershed led to high oocyst
concentrations but not to E. coli or enterococci concentrations. More importantly, ratios
established in variously impacted DWI from 13 Canadian drinking water plants were found
to be related to dominant fecal pollution sources, namely municipal sewage. In most cases,
when DWIs were mainly influenced by municipal sewage, E. coli or fecal coliforms con-
centrations agreed with Cryptosporidium concentrations as estimated by the meta-analysis,
eal, Chaire Industrielle CRSNG en Eau Potable, Departement des Genies Civil, Geologique etreal, Quebec, Canada H3C 3A7. Tel.: þ1 514 340 4711; fax: þ1 514 340 5918..ca (C. Lalancette).
rved.
wat e r r e s e a r c h 5 5 ( 2 0 1 4 ) 1 5 0e1 6 1 151
but when DWIs were influenced by agricultural runoff or wildlife, there was a poor rela-
tionship. Average recovery values were available for 6 out of 22 Cryptosporidium concen-
tration data sets and concomitant analysis demonstrated no changes in trends, with and
without correction. Nevertheless, recovery assays performed along with every oocyst count
would have enhanced the precision of this work. Based on our findings, the use of annual
averages of E. coli concentrations as a surrogate for Cryptosporidium concentrations can
result in an inaccurate estimate of the Cryptosporidium risk for agriculture impacted
drinking water intakes or for intakes with more distant wastewater sources. Studies of
upstream fecal pollution sources are recommended for drinking water suppliers to
improve their interpretation of source water quality data.
ª 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved
.
1. Introduction
Cryptosporidium is oneof themost frequently identified etiologic
agents associated with drinking waterborne illness in the
United States (US) (Craun et al., 2006) and in some European
countries such as England and Wales (Smith et al., 2006). In
reaction to the threats posed by this pathogen, increasing
rigorous regulations on its surveillance and removal were
promulgated in the US and in England (USEPA, 2005a,b; 1998,
Lake et al., 2007). Oocyst quantification through USEPA
Method 1623 (USEPA, 2005b) has so far been the reference
method but challenges remain, such as widespread afford-
ability (USEPA, 2005a). Consequently, most regulations rely on
widely recognized fecal indicators to assess themicrobiological
quality of surfacewater (Tallon et al., 2005; Ashbolt et al., 2001).
Several studies have shown positive correlations in different
types of aquatic systems between Cryptosporidium oocysts and
fecal indicators, turbidity and rainfall (Table S1). Significant
correlations have been reported for somatic coliphage (Fu et al.,
2010), Escherichia coli, fecal streptococci and total coliforms in
sewage (Reinoso et al., 2008) and for Clostridium perfringens
spores (Atherholt et al., 1998; Payment and Franco, 1993), E. coli
(McGuire et al., 2002; Wilkes et al., 2009) and rainfall events
(Kistemann et al., 2002; Schets et al., 2008) for surface water.
However, in most cases, studies conducted on surface water
and wastewater have shown that the concentrations of Cryp-
tosporidium oocysts were poorly or uncorrelated with those of
traditional indicators such as E. coli, total and fecal coliforms
and enterococci (Fu et al., 2010; Gibson III et al., 1998; Isaac-
Renton et al., 2005; Wohlsen et al., 2006; Payment et al., 2000;
World Health Organization (WHO) 2009, Payment and Locas
2010; Rose et al., 2004; Wu et al., 2011a) or with turbidity or
rainfall (Wilkes et al., 2009; Isaac-Renton et al., 2005). Reasons
for poor correlations may be inherent to limited data sets and
statistics using Cryptosporidium counts below detection limits
for linear correlations (Wu et al., 2011a). As a consequence,
costlyCryptosporidiummonitoring in sourcewater (USEPA, 2003)
and in treated drinking water (Drinking Water Inspectorate
(DWI) 2000) and increased treatment requirements for high
risk systems have been implemented as regulatory re-
quirements in the US and in England. However, for many other
countries, E. coli is still accepted as the best (and affordable)
surrogate of contamination by Cryptosporidium (WHO, 2006).
Relationships between E. coli and Cryptosporidium presence
and concentrations have been studied with the help of an
important survey conducted on American raw waters during
the regulatory development process (Information Collection
Rule: ICR and its Supplemental Survey: ICRSS). Results sup-
ported the decision not to require expensive Cryptosporidium
monitoring for small systems under the USEPA Long Term 2
Enhanced Surface Water Treatment Rule (LT2) if they had low
densities of E. coli (in lakes or reservoirs: <10; in flowing
streams: <50 CFU 100 ml�1) (USEPA, 2003). These levels were
considered too stringent for small systems andwere increased
up to 100 E. coli 100 ml�1 in the 2010 revisions (USEPA, 2010).
This E. coli level is considered to safely predict densities of
Cryptosporidium below 0.075 oocysts L�1 in source waters.
A better understanding of the implications of using in-
dicators to define pathogen concentrations could be obtained
by examining paired E. coli/Cryptosporidium ratios, further
referred to as Ec/Cr, in different types of pollution sources,
namely raw sewage (RS), treated wastewater (TWW) and
agricultural runoff (AgrRO). To help comparisons, a reference
ratio Ec/Cr of 1.3 � 104 can be calculated from these values.
The main objective of this study was to nuance the sig-
nificance of E. coli originating from various water sources as a
surrogate for Cryptosporidium. A meta-analysis was performed
using published and local data to calculate Ec/Cr ratios for the
primary sources of fecal contamination, namely raw sewage,
treated wastewater and manure contaminated agricultural
runoff. Ratios were shown to be very different for wastewater
effluents and agricultural runoff. The influence of various and
mixed fecal pollution sources on the ratio were investigated at
13 drinking water intakes (DWI). Monitoring recommenda-
tions are proposed for DWI where the ratio is insufficiently
conservative.
2. Material and methods
2.1. Description of the WWTPs surveyed
Two wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) in the Greater
Montreal area (Canada) were investigated. Both received
municipal sewage from a combined sewer network with
minor industrial flows. Both included primary settlingwithout
wat e r r e s e a r c h 5 5 ( 2 0 1 4 ) 1 5 0e1 6 1152
coagulant addition, secondary biological treatment but no
disinfection. WWTP-S is equipped with aerated lagoons (AL)
offering an annual average hydraulic retention time of 16 day.
It receives wastewaters of a population of 63 000 inhabitants
with an average annual flow of 47.0 MLD. During our sampling
period (April to November 2009), the flow ranged from 12.1 to
73.1 MLD (average: 44.4 MLD). WWTP-V receives wastewaters
of about 30 000 inhabitants with an average annual flow of
20MLD and is equippedwith sequential bioreactors (SBR) with
an annual average hydraulic retention time of 7 h.
2.2. Description of runoff sample collection from theagricultural watershed
Microbial sampling was conducted from June to November
2009 in the Ruisseau au Castor watershed (11.2 km2) in
Southern Quebec (Canada). During this period, flow rates
(1 km upstream of our sampling site) ranged from 29 to
12 774 m3 d�1 with an average of 472 m3 d�1. Daily recorded
precipitation averaged 3 mm d�1 with a maximum of
54.2 mm d�1. The area drained by this small sub-watershed is
mainly agricultural (97%) and is predominantly used for dairy
and grain production. 52% of the cultivated land is tile drained
and inlets are also used for surface drainage (Michaud et al.,
2005). This sub-watershed contains 9 dairy farms, 1 pig farm
and 5 crop farms. Each dairy farm is composed of approxi-
mately 50 cows, 35 heifers, and 40 cow-heifers. Bovinemanure
from 7 of the 9 dairy farms is frequently land applied within
the subwatershed area, whereas hog manure is generally
spread outside of the study area. Most manure is spread in
spring and fall, but cattle slurry may be spread after each
forage harvest, depending on the climatic conditions. Runoff
from this subwatershed is considered to be representative of
agricultural fecal pollution sources influencing DWIs located
downstream of agricultural areas.
2.3. Description of data from other studies
Data for RW and secondary TWW were also gathered from
Rose et al. (2004) and agricultural runoff data were obtained
from NAESI (2006), Brookes et al. (2005) and Boyer and
Kuczynska (2003). For DWIs, data came from either Payment
et al. (2000) or from the DWI laboratories. Figures S2a and
S2b provide further details.
2.4. Microbiological and physico-chemical parameters
Sampling protocols included: (1) grab sampling of raw sewage
and treated wastewaters during the early morning peak hy-
draulic loading of urban wastewater, and (2) cartridge filtra-
tion for rural discharge water as described in detail in
Lalancette et al. (2012).
The Cryptosporidium Dual Direct Detection on Cell Culture
with Immunofluorescent Assay (3D-CC-IFA) protocol used in
this study for total oocyst counts (without consideration for
their infectious fraction) was previously described by
Lalancette et al. (2010), and environmental control experi-
ments and sampling protocols were reported in Lalancette
et al. (2012). Giardia cysts were quantified according to U.S.
EPAMethod 1623 (USEPA, 2005b) using an EasyStain GC combo
(BTF) and an Olympus BX51 microscope (Olympus, Tokyo,
Japan) equipped with FITC (U-N51006).
Fecal indicators were enumerated following standard
methods: enterococci (membrane filtration onmEI agar, Difco
No. 233320; USEPA Method 1600), total coliforms (membrane
filtration on MI agar, Difco No. 2124882; USEPA Method 1604)
and E. coli (membrane filtration on modified mTEC agar, Difco
No. 233410; USEPA Method 1603).
Standard methods were used for measuring total sus-
pended solid (TSS) concentrations (SM No. 2540 D) and
turbidity (SM No. 2130) using a Hach 2100AN.
2.5. Ratio and log removal estimates
Ratios were calculated using paired E. coli (or fecal coliforms
(FC) when E. coli concentrations were not available) and
Cryptosporidium positive counts from the same samples. The
impact of using Cryptosporidium recovery on the ratios was
investigated for 6 out of 22 data sets that included recovery
assays done on a limited subset (Table S2b). Corrected ratios
were computed based on these corrected concentrations.
When both indicators were available, E. coli concentrations
were used preferentially to FC concentrations. The ratio of FC
to E. coli typically varies from 0.6 to 0.99, depending of the
water type and themethods used (Garcia-Armisen et al., 2007;
Hamilton et al., 2005; USEPA, 2002a; Rasmussen and Ziegler,
2003). As this ratio was not available for all sources, FC con-
centrations were used without any correction. In a previous
study of two drinking water intakes in the study area, E. coli to
FC paired ratios were shown to have respective means and
standard deviations of 0.95 (CV ¼ 0.13) for one site and 0.85
(CV ¼ 0.24) for the other (n ¼ 68) (unpublished municipal
surveillance data).
Log removals of turbidity, fecal indicators and parasites
were calculated for above detection limit data collected
concurrently. Excel 2007 software (Microsoft, WA, USA) was
used to calculate p-values using two-tailed and unequal
variance Student’s t-test (unless otherwise stated, significance
was assessed at the p ¼ 0.05 level) and Pearson correlation
coefficients (r2p). For non-parametric analyses, Statistica 10
software (Statsoft, OK, USA) was used to calculate Spearman
rank order of correlation (rs), theManneWhitneyU test (MWU
test p-values) for comparing two groups and the Krus-
kaleWallis analysis of variance (KW ANOVA) for comparing
multiple groups.
3. Results and discussion
3.1. Ec/Cr ratio: an overview
Fig. 1 presents the ratios of E. coli (or FC) to Cryptosporidium
concentrations for the three water types investigated (RS,
TWW and AgrRO). Those values are also compared with the
ones measured at 13 drinking water treatment plant intakes
(DWI) impacted at various levels by contamination from
urban discharges and agricultural runoff. Their water sources
were a priori classified as being: 1- heavily impacted by
wastewater, 2- heavily impacted by agricultural runoff or 3- on
rivers with a very large capacity for dilution (1960e8560 m3/s)
wat e r r e s e a r c h 5 5 ( 2 0 1 4 ) 1 5 0e1 6 1 153
with few local sources of contamination. Information on the
discharges up flow of the DWIs is presented in Table S2a. For
example, in the case of Class 1 DWI-2 and DWI-4, primary and
secondary wastewater discharge represents from 15 to 48% of
the river flow and numerous combined sewer overflows
(CSOs) discharge regularly. DWI-1, also a Class 1, is located in a
dense urbanized area immediately downstream (<30 km) of
the wastewater discharges of 3.8 M inhabitants, including the
discharge from a large primary treatment facility with an
average dry-time flowof 2.5Mm3 d�1. On the other hand, DWI-
10 is located in a watershed with a land use of 46% forested,
46% farmland of which 65% is bovine and was classified as a
Class 2.
Also shown on this figure is the regulation threshold of 100
FIB 100ml�1 to 0.075 oocyst L�1 (ratio of 1.3� 104) of the USEPA
revised small systems regulation (USEPA, 2010) that triggers
required Cryptosporidium monitoring. When the observed ra-
tios exceeded the USEPA regulation threshold ratio, E. coliwas
considered as conservative indicator of Cryptosporidium. A
higher ratio corresponded to higher concentrations of FIB
relative to lower oocyst concentrations. Conversely, a lower
ratio was considered to present a risk of misinterpretation
because relatively lower concentrations of FIB were measured
although higher concentrations of oocysts were present.
Fig. 1 e Ratios of Ec/Cr from raw sewage (RS), treated
wastewater (TWW), agricultural runoff (AgrRO) and a
selection of Canadian drinking water intakes (DWI) with
their water source classification (1- Heavily impacted by
WW; 2- Heavily impacted by AgrRO; 3- With large capacity
for dilution and few local sources of contamination). Dotted
line represents a ratio threshold calculated from USEPA
Long Term 2 Enhanced Surface Water Treatment Rule (LT2
USEPA, 2010) small system regulations. In addition to the
data collected in the present study, data from Rose et al.
(2004), Brookes et al. (2005), Boyer and Kuczynska (2003)
and NAESI (2006) were used. Fecal coliforms were used
instead of E. coli for: Rose RS and TWW; DWI-1, -2, -3, -5, -7,
-8, -10, -11, -12, -13 and Boyer AgrRO data. One extreme
Rose RS point removed: 3 3 107 fecal coliforms 100 mlL1,
0.24 Cryptosporidium LL1, for a ratio of 1 3 109. OM: OldMan
Riv., SN: South Nation Riv. Boyer raw data were not
available and seasonal medians were used. * This study.
A lower ratio for a source water could translate into the defi-
nition of lower microbial removal goals and may result in the
provision of insufficient treatment barriers. Fig. 1 shows high
Ec (or FC)/Cr ratios for municipal wastewaters, low ratios for
agricultural runoff and a mixture of ratios coming from vari-
ously impacted DWI. Detailed analysis of Fig. 1 are provided in
upcoming water type sections integrating raw data from Fig. 2
and comparative statistics using KruskaleWallis analysis of
variance (KW ANOVA) in Table S2c.
Fig. 2a presents the overall locational relationship between
the standard criterion of average concentrations of E. coli (or
FC) and Cryptosporidium for all data from RS, TWW, DWI and
AgrRO (rs ¼ 0.85, n ¼ 22, p-value <0.05). In this case, the grey
zone identifies the regulatory level used by USEPA to require
Cryptosporidium monitoring for small drinking water systems,
while the black dash line represents an extension of this
reference ratio. When segregating data, significant correla-
tions were also observed for all DWI averages (rs ¼ 0.81, n ¼ 13,
p-value <0.05). The areas under the reference ratio lines rep-
resented the zones where risks of misinterpretation may lead
to an underestimation of Cryptosporidium risk, as they corre-
sponded to conditions of elevated oocyst concentrations
while indicator concentrations were low. Furthermore, the
grey zones represented situations for which no Cryptospo-
ridium monitoring would be required based on low FIB con-
centrations. Three locations, DWI-9, -13 and OM AgrRO fell
into this zone. When considering the average values of Ec/Cr
ratios (Fig. 1) as opposed to locational standard E. coli and
Cryptosporidium averages (Fig. 2a), nine other locations/sour-
ces fell under the reference ratio (DWI-6 to�13 and Boyer, OM,
this study AgrRO and this study TWW), showing the impor-
tance of the computational approach to estimate fecal indi-
cator relationships to Cryptosporidium. These results show that
very high concentrations of FIB (>103 CFU 100 ml�1) were
clearly associated with elevated oocyst concentrations. In the
case of FIB values between 102 and 103 CFU 100ml�1, locations
most impacted by agricultural sources may be misclassified.
3.2. Ec/Cr ratios in raw sewage and treated wastewater
Ratios for raw sewage were calculated from data from two
collection systems in Canada (Lalancette et al., 2012) and from
6 collection systems in the US (Rose et al., 2004). Detailed in-
formation on theWWTPs is provided in Lalancette et al. (2012)
and Rose et al. (2004). The mean ratios measured in the Ca-
nadian plants were 5.4 � 106 (CV ¼ 0.81) when not corrected
for recovery and 9.5 � 105 (CV ¼ 0.81) when corrected. They
were similar to previous reports in Canada and Spain which
ranged from 4.9 � 105 to 6.0 � 106 (Reinoso et al., 2008;
Payment et al., 2001). The mean ratios reported for the com-
bined data from the 6 southern US plants were higher (but not
significantly) at 8.2 � 106 (CV ¼ 2.3) for FC/Cr. Detailed raw
sewage data (n ¼ 29) are presented in Fig. 2b. Clearly no cor-
relation was observed, but paired data were found conserva-
tively above the reference ratio line. As also shown in Fig. 1, an
underestimation of the risk was unlikely in the case of recent
raw sewage discharges (treatment plant by-pass, combined
sewer overflow, cross connections, unconnected/mis-
connected collectors), since the RS ratios remained consis-
tently higher than the reference ratio. Using non-parametric
Fig. 2 e Relationship between E. coli or fecal coliforms (Ec or FC) and Cryptosporidium for paired positive samples in a) all raw
sewage (RS), treated wastewater (TWW), agricultural runoff (AgrRO) and drinking water intakes (DWI) averages; b) all RS raw
data; c) all TWW raw data; d) all AgrRO raw data and e) all DWI raw data employed in ratio calculations. Gray dashed lines
represent the USEPA LT2 2010 small systems regulation and the gray areas indicate the zone of riskmisinterpretation. Black
dashed lines show ratio regulation threshold of 1.3 3 104 CFU Ec or FC/Cr oocysts. Sources of data are detailed in Table S2a
and b.
wat e r r e s e a r c h 5 5 ( 2 0 1 4 ) 1 5 0e1 6 1154
analysis of variance (KW ANOVA), RS ratios (n ¼ 29) were not
significantly distinct from ratios of TWW (n ¼ 30; p-value
>0.05) but significant differences (p-values <0.001) were noted
for ratios from AgrRO (n ¼ 57) and ratios from only one DWI of
Class 1 (-5) and all DWI of Class 2 (-7, -10, -12) and Class 3 (-3,
-6, -8, -9, -11, -13) (Table S2c).
Fig. 1 shows that TWW ratios from the Rose TWW (n ¼ 22)
and from this study TWW (n ¼ 8) varied significantly (MW U
test p-value <0.01) ranging from 5.0 � 104 (CV ¼ 1.96) (this
study) when not corrected and 1.3 � 104 (CV ¼ 1.96) when
corrected for recovery, to 1.3 � 106 (CV ¼ 1.62) (Rose et al.,
2004). The ratios measured in the current study fall below
the risk reference ratio line indicating relatively low E. coli
concentrations in the presence of higher concentrations of
oocysts while data from Rose et al. (2004) in secondary treated
effluent remain well above the reference level. These
variations are further illustrated when examining all sec-
ondary TWW raw data (n ¼ 30) in Fig. 2c where D-TWW shows
1 out of 4 and S-TWW 2 out of 3 raw paired data in the zone of
risk misinterpretation. For S-TWW, longer retention times for
solids resulted in higher log removals of FIB as compared to
parasites (Fig. 3). These variations show the large impact of
specific treatment on the differential removal of indicators
and parasites by biological wastewater plants.
Differences in these ratios reflect the various conditions of
treatment that will determine the relative removal of FIB vs.
oocysts. This is demonstrated in Fig. 3 which summarizes the
performance of various WW treatment processes. Clear
trends are observed with clustered removal levels of particu-
late related parameters (turbidity and TSS), FIB and parasites.
Log removals of FIB achieved by the WWTP-S lagoons oper-
ating at an average hydraulic retention time of 16 days were
Fig. 3 e Log removal of total suspended solid (TSS) and
turbidity, FIB (enterococci, total coliforms and E. coli) and
pathogenic protozoa (Cryptosporidium and Giardia) by an
aerated lagoon WWTP-S (n [ 4e13), a sequential
bioreactor WWTP-V (n [ 2e8) and combined data from 6
secondary treatment WWTPs reported by Rose et al. (2004)
(n [ 31e33). Paired data were used to calculate log
removals and all values below detection limits (BDL) were
removed, including the extreme data removed from Rose
RS in Fig. 1.
wat e r r e s e a r c h 5 5 ( 2 0 1 4 ) 1 5 0e1 6 1 155
elevated and medians ranged from 4.4 to 4.6, while they were
only 1.9e2.3 for the sequential bioreactor treatment atWWTP-
V. These values are in agreement with those reported by Rose
et al. (2004) and by several other studies showing approxi-
mately 2-log removals by activated sludge secondary biolog-
ical treatment. When combining the log removal data from
our two WWTPs, strong correlations (n ¼ 14, 15; r2p � 0.9; p-
values < 0.05) were found amongst FIB removals (E. coli, total
coliforms, enterococci). Modest removals of Cryptosporidium
(<1.5 log) were measured in both plants in agreement with
previous reports varying from 0.7e2 (Crockett, 2007), 0e2.2
(Rose et al., 2004), 0.7 (Cheng et al., 2012), 0.02e1 and 0.6
(Medema and Schijven, 2001).
In general, protozoa were removed less efficiently than
FIBs and mechanisms responsible for the inactivation and/or
the destruction of protozoa by biological treatment processes
remain to be detailed (Fayer and Xiao, 2007). Also, Cryptospo-
ridium varies with infection rates within the population (Fayer
and Xiao, 2007). Moreover, Fig. 2c shows treatment having
variable impact on daily concentrations of FIB and Cryptospo-
ridium, thereby making their relationship less predictable.
These are possible explanations for the variable Ec(FC)/Cr ra-
tios following wastewater treatment depicted in Fig. 1.
3.3. Ec/Cr ratios from agricultural runoff
At the Ruisseau au Castor discharge point, monitoring of E. coli
and oocysts in agricultural runoff during this study revealed
ratios lower than threshold of 2.6 � 103 (CV ¼ 0.88) (corrected
for recovery: 7.3 � 102, CV ¼ 0.92). Fig. 1 also presents ratios
calculated from a wide Canadian study assessing water
pollutants in agricultural area (NAESI, 2006) with values of
mean ratios of 3.9 � 104 (CV ¼ 1.54) in the South Nation River
(NAESI-SN) and 4.6 � 103 (CV ¼ 1.83) in the Oldman River
(NAESI-OM), while ratios inferred from Boyer and Kuczynska
(2003) show seasonal medians of 4.2 � 102 (CV ¼ 1.38) and
ratio of 2.0 � 104 (CV ¼ 0.60) can be derived from Brookes et al.
(2005) data. Fig. 2a clearly shows that locational average ratios
in sites with dominant agricultural discharges fall near or
below the USEPA reference ratio. When considering detailed
data for all sites (n ¼ 57; Fig. 2d), most samples remain under
the reference ratio except for those from the NAESI-SN. These
samples originate from a river (2.5 Mm3 d�1) located in an area
of mixed but predominantly dairy farming with potential WW
discharges from several small municipalities (NAESI, 2006).
Detailed AgrRO raw data presented in Fig. 2d also show that
the NAESI-SN data are less clustered ranging from 9 to 2000 E.
coli 100 ml�1 and from 0.03 to 9 oocysts L�1. Comparative
statistics (KW ANOVA) demonstrated significant differences
for AgrRO ratios (n ¼ 57) when compared to ratios from RS and
TWW (n ¼ 29, 30; p-values < 0.001) but no significant differ-
ences are noted for ratios from all DWI (p-values> 0.05) (Table
S2c).
Temporal variations of concentrations as a function of
rainfall and river flows in the Ruisseau du Castor are pre-
sented in Fig. 4. A threshold precipitation value of
1.1 mm d�1 was required to observe a response from the
watershed (Michaud et al., 2005) and precipitation exceeded
this value on 50% of sampling days. Flow rates during the
sampling days varied 24-fold and corresponded to typical
values during the period of May to November during which
land application of manure is allowed. The maximum pre-
cipitation over a 24 h period (54 mm d�1) was observed at the
end of July (day 210; flow rate of 125 m3 d�1) coinciding with
the highest Cryptosporidium oocyst concentration
(15 oocysts L�1). Interestingly, elevated concentrations of
Giardia cysts, E. coli, enterococci were not observed on that
day, evidence of the intrinsic variability of Cryptosporidium
oocysts in environmental samples. Parasite concentrations
were not detected (below the detection limits (BDL) of
0.02e0.24 (oo)cysts L�1) for some sampling dates during the
late summer and fall periods: on days 266, 280 and 309 for
Giardia, and on day 266 for Cryptosporidium. Different sedi-
mentation and/or transportation behaviors were observed
for Cryptosporidium oocysts as compared to E. coli in vege-
tative treatment areas (Berry et al., 2007). Enterococci are shed
in lower numbers as compared to E. coli (Cabral, 2010) and
they may become undetectable earlier during an event.
River concentrations of enterococci were associated with
the first flush of runoff events, while in contrast, elevated E.
coli river concentrations persisted during the whole event
suggesting an unlimited supply (Cinque and Jayasuriya,
2010).
In summary, high oocysts concentrations in the presence
of low tomoderate E. coli concentrations produce low ratios in
agricultural runoff, a situation which could be wrongly inter-
preted as a low Cryptosporidium risk. The fate of protozoa and
FIBs vary widely when land application serves as a barrier
between manure and source water (Wilkes et al., 2009; King
and Monis, 2007; Dorner et al., 2007). Ratios from this study
suggest that the USEPA reference ratio is not adequate to
Fig. 4 e Concentrations of Cryptosporidium oocysts, Giardia cysts, E. coli and enterococci with daily precipitation and rural
Ruisseau au Castor discharge daily stream flow rate for year 2009. ((Oo)cyst data were corrected for recoveries measured for
each sample).
wat e r r e s e a r c h 5 5 ( 2 0 1 4 ) 1 5 0e1 6 1156
predict Cryptosporidium risk in agricultural runoff and rivers
impacted by agricultural runoff.
3.4. Ec/Cr ratios at drinking water intakes (DWIs)
Three classes of DWI were initially defined with regards to
their dominant fecal pollution sources (Table S2a). Class 1
included water sources heavily impacted by municipal
wastewater, Class 2 water sources were heavily impacted by
agricultural runoff and Class 3, water sources had a large ca-
pacity for dilution and few local sources of contamination.
Since FIB/Cr ratios primarily serve to determine water quality
types to set regulatory monitoring and treatment re-
quirements for this protozoan, the variations of this ratiowere
investigated in 13 DWI paired data ratios placed in decreasing
ratio order with their corresponding dominant fecal pollution
sources classification (Fig. 1). Detailed information on the
relative contribution of fecal sources and their classification is
presented in Table S2a. DWI ratios can be considered con-
servative for protozoan risk when ratios are higher than the
USEPA reference threshold.
DWIs can be sorted according to their ratio value and
interpreted in light of the dominant sources of fecal contam-
ination classification identified in Table S2a. The first group of
DWI ratios (1e4) are above the threshold with DWI-1 and -2
being highly variable, similar to ratios observed in raw
sewage. The DWIs that show a ratio value above the reference
threshold are not statistically distinct from RS and TWW
sources (KW ANOVA p-value >0.05) with the exception of
DWI-3 (Class 3) when compared to RS (KW ANOVA p-value
<0.001) (Table S2c). DWI-1 is located downstream of a very
large metropolitan area (pop. 3.8 M) and wastewater plumes,
RS, CSOs, sanitary sewer overflows can influence the water
intake (Class 1) (Dorner et al., 2012). Most upstream waste-
water plants did not disinfect their effluents at the time of
sampling and the largest WWTP (dry time flow of
2.5 � 106 m3 d�1) uses physicochemical treatments with
known important performance fluctuations (Gouvernement
du Quebec, 2008). DWI-2 is located on a small urban river of
w30 km receiving TWW, sporadic sewage by-pass, sanitary
and combined sewer overflow (SSO and CSO) discharges
from a population of 250k residents (Class 1) (Payment, 2003).
DWI-3 intake was initially categorized as a Class 3 water
source based on its origin. DWI-3’s water is supplied by the St-
Lawrence River that has a large capacity of dilution. However,
it then transits via an urban canal located in a dense urban
area and local sources of fecal contamination entering the
canal are suspected. Studies are presently being performed to
identify municipal fecal sources in proximity (unpublished
data) and to quantify known wildlife sources of fecal inputs.
DWI-4 is located upstream of DWI-2 and receives discharges
from a nearby population of 125k residents (Class 1). The
observed variability of DWI-1 and -2 on the E. coli to Crypto-
sporidium ratios in rivers with dominant wastewater fecal
sources may have several causes. First, from an epidemio-
logical standpoint, E. coli is a natural inhabitant of warm-
blooded animals but the prevalence of Cryptosporidium fol-
lows disease cycles (Percival et al., 2004). Secondly, waste-
water treatment may be selective and removal efficacies vary
widely by treatment type and with season, especially for
Cryptosporidium, as shown in Fig. 2. The province of Quebec
(Canada) instituted a moratorium on chlorination of waste-
water which may positively favor the presence of microbial
indicators in TWW. The relative abundance of pathogens vs.
indicators in raw and treated WW will impact the risk evalu-
ation as shown by Soller et al. (2010a). For a given concentra-
tion of FIB in recreational water, raw sewage represents a
source of contamination with a lower risk of pathogens than
TWW. When evaluating Cryptosporidium risk on the basis of
FIB concentration, one could argue that treated wastewater
discharges represent a situation for more frequent misclas-
sification of protozoan risk. However, Fig. 2e plotting raw data
show that clusters do remain in the conservative zone for
DWI-1 and mostly for DWI-2 (1/5), -3 (5/47) and -4 (3/12).
The second group comprising DWI-5 to -8 have ratios near
the threshold value. Most of DWI of this group show signifi-
cant differences (KW ANOVA p-value DWI-5, -7, -8 <0.1; DWI-
6 ¼ 0.4) with RS but not with TWW and AgrRO ratios (KW
ANOVA p-value > 0.05) (Table S2c). DWI-5 is variable and
located on a heavily urbanized river with moderate flow
(1094 m3 s�1) known to be impacted by CSOs from the sur-
rounding densely urbanized area (2007e2009 averages of 731
CSO events per year)(Class 1). DWI-6 is located on a large river
with modest upstream fecal pollution sources which are
originating from a nearby village (pop. 8000) andmany distant
small communities, wildlife from the forestry dominated area
and from nearby bird colonies (Class 3). DWI-7 is variable and
draws water from a low flow (192 m3 s�1) agricultural river
wat e r r e s e a r c h 5 5 ( 2 0 1 4 ) 1 5 0e1 6 1 157
which also receives discharges from a population of approxi-
mately 165k residents, including one large city with a popu-
lation of 157k located at about 90 km upstream in the
watershed (Class 2). DWI-8 is located on the same river as
DWI-1 but on the opposite shore receiving mainly water from
main flow of the St-Lawrence River (Class 3) (Comite Zone
d’Intervention Prioritaire (ZIP) Seigneuries 2003).
Finally, the group showing the lowest ratios (DWI-9 to �13)
have averages below threshold and are the least variable. All
DWI of this group show significant differences with RS, most
of DWI (-9, -11, -13) with TWW (KW ANOVA p-values < 0.05)
and no difference with AgrRO (Table S2c). DWI-9 is located on
a large river with modest upstream fecal pollution sources
which are originating from a village (pop. 8000) and many
distant small communities, urban stormwater runoff, and
also wildlife from the forestry dominated area (Class 3). DWI-
10 and DWI-12 differ but are dominated by agricultural use
(Class 2), with modest low density upstream populations of
50k habitants (Table S2a). DWI-11 and DWI-13 draw water
from the St-Lawrence River with a large capacity for dilution
with an upstream Great Lakes population of >33 million res-
idents but there are no wastewater discharges immediately
upstream (Class 3).
In fact, DWI-1, -2, -4, -5, -7, -8, -10, -12 averages fell above
USEPA LT2 small systems Bin 1 classification (100 E. coli
100 ml�1) while DWI-1, -2, -4, -5, -7, -8, -9, -10, -12, -13 were
above Bin 1 at 0.075 oocyst L�1 (Table S2b); average data
demonstrated for all but DWI-9 and -13 Cryptosporidium pres-
ence being conservatively explained by E. coli concentrations
(Fig. 2a) but none of them had conservative paired data ratios
all the time (Fig. 1).
3.5. General discussion
Average concentrations of E. coli and Cryptosporidium decrease
along with ratio values, with highest values found in raw
sewage and lowest in river intakes located downstream of
forested watershed areas (Table S2b). Overall, log transformed
E. coli and Cryptosporidium averages are strongly correlated
(Fig. 2a; rs ¼ 0.85, n¼ 22, p-value<0.05). However, variations in
ratios clearly show that reductions are greater for E. coli,
raising the issue of establishing one reference ratio for the
determination of monitoring requirements that would be
valid for all sources of fecal contamination. Indeed, in Table
S2c, KW ANOVA showed significant differences (p-values
<0.001) in ratios from RS (n ¼ 29) and TWW (n ¼ 30) and ratios
from AgrRO (n ¼ 57). Plausible explanations for these obser-
vations include: (1) the initial ratio at the source of production,
(2) the impact of environmental factors, such as travel time
and initial treatment; and (3) the presence of methodological
bias.
The source of fecal contamination and the associationwith
organic matter and particles are critical factors to consider.
Recreational water risk models demonstrate lower risk of
gastrointestinal illness when fecal contamination was origi-
nating from gull, chicken or pig feces compared to cattle feces
and human sources (Soller et al., 2010a). The type of fecal
contamination also influences aggregation and settling, two
importantmechanisms to predictmicrobial transport and fate
in receiving lakes and rivers (Brookes et al., 2005; Cizek et al.,
2008; Medema et al., 1998; Passerat et al., 2011; Krometis
et al., 2010). Microorganisms from raw sewage and TWWmay
remain incorporated in fecal particles or associated with
organic matter or treatment flocs. On the other hand, micro-
organisms leaching from fecal pats to subsurface or surface
runoff may be transported more easily through soil particles
than aggregated microbes. Brookes et al. (2005) suggested that
oocysts may show higher affinity for organic matter (e.g.
sewage effluent) than inorganic particles (e.g. soil) and may
tend to be transported as small particles, whereas bacteria are
associatedwith the transportof largerparticles.The ratioof FIB
to Cryptosporidium is influenced by selective removal of FIBs by
WWtreatment andagricultural runoff. The typeofwastewater
treatment will affect bacteria and protozoan die-off/removal
rates (Reinoso et al., 2008; Rose et al., 2004; Lalancette et al.,
2012; Cheng et al., 2012). WW disinfection by chlorination will
depress FIBs (Soller et al., 2010b) but not oocysts (Rose et al.,
2004). Die-off following manure application, with or without
previous treatment, is determined by several factors including
temperature, ammonia, desiccation, solar inactivation and
predation (Lalancette et al., 2012; King and Monis, 2007;
Medema et al., 1997; Jenkins et al., 2011; Oliver et al., 2006;
Karim et al., 2004). Wildlife, such as birds and waterfowl, may
also contribute to bacteria and protozoa presence in source
water by directly depositing their fecal matter in water. In the
present study, DWI-11 and -3 and DWI-9 and -6 source waters
(all Class 3) could be grouped together as they use almost the
same water. Interestingly, DWI-9 is upstream of DWI-6 while
DWI-11 is upstream of DWI-3. Large bird colonies are located
between both groups of DWIs. Ratios for DWIs located up-
stream of bird colonies are in both cases higher than ratios
located downstream. Althoughwaterfowl and Canadian geese
are known to be sources of Cryptosporidium oocysts (Graczyk
et al., 1998; Zhou et al., 2004), these higher ratios downstream
of the bird colonies demonstrated a relatively higher input for
FIB than oocysts. Also, seasonal variation and its interrelated
variations of flow rate, precipitation, and cycles of disease,
solar UV and temperaturemay affect survival and fate of E. coli
and Cryptosporidium in variousways depending on their origin.
Environmental microbial behaviors are highly complex and
often put into a black box (USEPA, 2010; Soller et al., 2010a) and
are of lesser importance the closer thepoint ofmeasurement is
to the fecal source in space and in time.
For the group of DWIs categorized in the zone of risk
misinterpretation, it should be noted that relatively higher
Cryptosporidium concentrations may reflect methodological
discrepancy between E. coli culture methods and microscopic
detection of oocysts. Indeed, for DWI-13 and DWI-11, fecal
contamination originates from the Great Lakes, with the first
major city 300 km upstream as shown by the persistence of
recalcitrant pharmaceuticals (Daneshvar et al., 2012). It is
plausible that environmentally aged oocysts, were still
detectable via microscopy while some E. coli could not be
detected by culture-based methods. Methods assessing oo-
cysts infectivity could help better evaluate Cryptosporidium
risk (Lalancette et al., 2010).
A significant source of methodological bias could be the
treatment of non-detect data. In this study, only paired positive
samples were considered as the research weighed the value of
E. coli as an indicator of the presence and the concentration of
wat e r r e s e a r c h 5 5 ( 2 0 1 4 ) 1 5 0e1 6 1158
Cryptosporidium oocysts. Considering the BDL data is critical to
establish occurrence especially when estimating risks using
QMRA models (Petterson et al., 2006). However, a study
reviewing 40 years of indicator and pathogen data collection
and correlationshighlighted thenumber of samplespositive for
pathogens as being one of the most important factors in
determining correlations (Wu et al., 2011b). Furthermore, the
purpose of our evaluation of the Ec/Cr ratio is to verify its ability
to determine safely the potential of Cryptosporidium oocysts
contamination. By using only data greater than the DL for
Cryptosporidium oocysts, this verification addresses the poten-
tial situations most at risk of misclassification.
Methods for detecting environmental oocysts often show
great variability due to challenging sample matrices, low
concentration of oocysts, and the skill level of the practitioner
(Petterson et al., 2006). In order to improve estimates, labora-
tories rely on recovery assays with spiking. However, recovery
assays are not always performed as they involve significant
time, effort and cost (Ongerth, 2013; Dechesne et al., 2006) and
uncorrected values are used for regulatory purposes. When
recoveries are assessed, little consensus on the method
employed leads to various protocols (e.g. frequency of spiking,
spiking techniques, transformations of monitoring data)
(Ongerth, 2013; Petterson et al., 2007). To enhance accuracy,
some matrix spikes are required for the USEPA protocol for
Cryptosporidium with a minimum frequency of 1 matrix spike
sample per 20 field samples for each individual source (USEPA,
2012). More recently, an argument has been presented that the
systematic measurement of recovery rates should be required
for Cryptosporidium monitoring (Ongerth, 2013; USEPA, 2012).
Althoughmost recent research focuses on parasite recoveries,
similar concerns have beenbe raisedon the impact ofmatrices
on the recoveryof fecal coliformsand E. coli (Olstadt et al., 2007;
USEPA, 2002b). Targeting total coliforms, Olstadt et al. (2007)
showed significant variability in recovery between these rela-
tively similar water types within a single protocol for nine
methods. The value of using raw ratios without correction for
recoveries, as isprescribed inmost regulations, is subject to the
same limitations as the interpretation of true Cryptosporidium
occurrence. However, using ratios computed from paired
measurements subjected to the same matrix effect may pro-
vide a better trending tool as bothmeasurements are subject to
the same temporal interferences.
Average Cryptosporidium recoveries were available for some
of the data sets (6/22) used for this analysis (Table S2b). Cor-
rected ratios calculated for those data sets show that account-
ing for recoverydoesnot change the trendsof ratios in reference
to the dominant source of fecal contamination sources at DWIs
(Fig. 1). Using a global average recovery value such as the 40%
(CV¼ 56%) from the USEPA LT2ESWTR (n¼ 3370) would simply
cause a shift of the ratios and introduce more uncertainties, as
the variations in recovery can be considerable (10e90%) at each
sample site over a year (USEPA, 2005a; Ongerth, 2013; Petterson
et al., 2007; Schmidt and Emelko, 2011).
This study highlights the importance of the character-
ization of fecal pollution sources influencing DWIs not as
averages but considering paired raw data sets. For those
influenced by nearby municipal wastewater outfalls, routine
E. coli or fecal coliforms measurements appear to be conser-
vative indicators of the potential presence of Cryptosporidium
oocysts. Nevertheless, when fecal pollution originates from
distant municipal, rural or forested areas, Cryptosporidium
monitoring may be prudent, at least, the introduction of a
more environmental resistant fecal indicator such as C. per-
fringens should be considered (Dorner et al., 2007). However,
more data are needed to understand the human health risk
posed by Cryptosporidium spp. originating from distant
wastewater, rural and forested sources since they may
represent non-human pathogenic Cryptosporidium species
(Ruecker et al., 2007) or be non-infectious (Lalancette et al.,
2012).
4. Conclusions
Fecal indicator bacteria (FIB), such as fecal coliforms and E.
coli, are commonly employed to assess the potential presence
of pathogens in drinking water treatment plant intakes
(DWIs). However, their relationships to Cryptosporidium con-
centrations have never been straightforward and detection of
E. coli or fecal coliforms is still considered a good economical
alternative to costly Cryptosporidium monitoring. Concentra-
tion ratios of E. coli to Cryptosporidium originating from distinct
fecal pollution sources and those found at DWIs were
compared to USEPA LT2 regulations for small systems (USEPA,
2010). Overall, this study shows that when considering ratios,
FIB concentrations did not always predict high concentrations
of Cryptosporidium oocysts, although averages often did,
masking Cryptosporidium risk. From the perspective of raw
sewage, E. coli (or fecal coliforms) concentrations proved to be
a conservative indicator of Cryptosporidium concentrations
when using both ratio and detailed raw data. For secondary
treated wastewaters, ratios typically remained in the conser-
vative zone but sporadic exceptions occurred, likely due to
fluctuations in treatment efficiency. Longer retention time
during biological treatment resulted in a higher removal of FIB
but not Cryptosporidium oocysts. Ratios from agricultural
runoff were typically below the USEPA risk threshold, unless
municipalities were also present upstream. Peak concentra-
tion of oocysts in runoff was related to peak precipitation,
which was not the case for FIB. DWIs with ratios in the con-
servative zone were mainly influenced by nearby municipal
fecal pollution sources and results support FIB as good in-
dicators of Cryptosporidium. When themeasurable influence of
municipal fecal pollution sources decreased, ratios decreased
into the zone where Cryptosporidium concentrations were not
explained by FIB concentrations.When available in this study,
concomitant analysis of ratios including Cryptosporidium
average recoveries were performed and did not influence the
study conclusions. However, accounting for variations in re-
coveries and measurements of microorganisms in highly
heterogeneous environmental matrixes remains a desirable
approach to better understand their behavior in the environ-
ment. Finally, these results strongly suggest that E. coli or fecal
coliforms are potentially good indicators of Cryptosporidium
concentrations when source waters are impacted by recent
and nearby municipal sewage, but not for sources dominated
by agricultural or rural fecal pollution sources or more distant
wastewater sources. Addressing the trade-off between time
and effort to produce recovery corrected data and the
wat e r r e s e a r c h 5 5 ( 2 0 1 4 ) 1 5 0e1 6 1 159
production of more accurate concentrations remains a chal-
lenge for the water industry.
Acknowledgment
This study was supported by the NSERC Industrial Chair on
Drinking Water at the Polytechnique Montreal, which is
jointly funded by the City of Montreal, John-Meunier/Veolia
Water, the City of Laval, and the Natural Sciences and Engi-
neering Research Council of Canada. We also thank Erin
Gorman and Ian Douglas from City of Ottawa.
Appendix A. Supplementary data
Supplementary data related to this article can be found at
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2014.01.050.
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