Daytona Beach

Daytona State’s Planning Council,

NORTHExit: 261A

Planning Assumptions, andThe Road Ahead

2011-12

Dr. Angela M. FalconettiPlanning, Development, and Institutional Effectiveness

Daytona State College

U.S. President Barack Obama predicted the completion of 5 million community college degrees and certificates by 2020 and secured $12 billion to support the advancement of community colleges within the next decade.

“Now is the time to build a firmer, stronger foundation for growth that will not only withstand future economic storms, but one that helps us thrive and compete in a global economy. It's time to reform our community colleges so that they provide Americans of all ages a chance to learn the skills and knowledge necessary to compete for the jobs of the future” (Obama, 2009).

“Now is the time to build a firmer, stronger foundation for growth that will not only withstand future economic storms, but one that helps us thrive and compete in a global economy. It's time to reform our community colleges so that they provide Americans of all ages a chance to learn the skills and knowledge necessary to compete for the jobs of the future ” (Obama, 2009).

Federal Implications:A National Emphasis on Community Colleges

The newly founded American Graduation Initiative will usher in new innovations and reforms for the 21st century by:

• calling for 5 million additional community college graduates,

• creating the community college challenge fund,

• funding innovative strategies to promote college completion,

• modernizing community college facilities, and

• creating a new online skills laboratory.

“Now is the time to build a firmer, stronger foundation for growth that will not only withstand future economic storms, but one that helps us thrive and compete in a global economy. It's time to reform our community colleges so that they provide Americans of all ages a chance to learn the skills and knowledge necessary to compete for the jobs of the future ” (Obama, 2009).

Federal Implications:American Graduation Initiative

“Now is the time to build a firmer, stronger foundation for growth that will not only withstand future economic storms, but one that helps us thrive and compete in a global economy. It's time to reform our community colleges so that they provide Americans of all ages a chance to learn the skills and knowledge necessary to compete for the jobs of the future ” (Obama, 2009).

Federal Implications:American Graduation Initiative

The initiative will support a new research center with a mission to develop and implement new measures of community colleges’ success so prospective students and businesses could get a clear sense of how effective schools are in helping students -- including the most disadvantaged -- learn, graduate, and secure good jobs.

• Fund Innovative Strategies to Promote College Completion• Modernize Community College Facilities• Create a New Online Skills Laboratory

 

The Obama-Biden Administration’s agenda will build the country’s capacity, innovation and confidence to drive the nation to first place in the highly skilled workforce crucial for success in the 21st century. These initiatives include:

• Expanding Pell Grants and College Tax Credits• Reforming the Student Loan Programs to Save Billions• Simplifying the Student Aid Application• Helping Unemployed Workers Get New Skills• Expanding the Perkins Loan Program• Helping Families Save for College

National Community College Initiatives

On-Line LearningAmerican Graduation InitiativeCommunity College Consortium for Open Education Resources

Cost Effectiveness of TextbooksU.S. Government Accountability OfficeThe College Board

Ageless Learning – From Retired to RewiredAACC’s Plus 50 Initiative

Accountability and State Reports to Federal AgencyCarl D. Perkins Act

Student EngagementCommunity College Survey for Student Engagement

Reliance on U.S. Support for the Development and/or Addition of a “Community College” model in Developing Countries

Community College for International DevelopmentU.S. Department of State, U.S. Department of Education, and US AID

Statewide Implications: The Great 28

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1. Brevard Community College2. Broward College3. College of Central Florida4. Chipola College5. Daytona State College6. Edison State College7. Florida State College at

Jacksonville8. Florida Keys Community College9. Gulf Coast Community College10. Hillsborough Community College11. Indian River State College12. Florida Gateway College (Lake

City)13. Lake-Sumter Community College14. State College of Florida (Manatee)15. Miami Dade College16. North Florida Community College17. Northwest Florida State College18. Palm Beach State College19. Pasco-Hernando Community College20. Pensacola State College

21. Polk State College22. Santa Fe College23. Seminole State College of Florida24. South Florida Community College25. St. John's River Community College26. St. Petersburg College27. Tallahassee Community College28. Valencia Community College

Volusia County unemployment rate (11.0%) fell slightly below the state rate of 11.1%.

UnemploymentNational 9.1%

Florida, June 2011 11.1%

Flagler County 14.6%Palm Coast 14.3%

Volusia County 11.0%Daytona Beach 11.3%Deland 11.7%Deltona 11.9%Ormond Beach 9.0%Port Orange 8.9%

Local Implications:June 2011 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Here’s how Volusia and Flagler counties “stacked up” with the top and bottom counties in Florida. (Preliminary Data)

1. Palm Beach $45,8232. Miami Dade $45,6843. Duval $45,0934. Hillsborough $45,054 5. Broward $43,8126. Brevard $43,7477. Orange $41,4738. Pinellas $41,10133. Volusia $33,728 (2009 = 33; $33,010 & 2008 = 30;

$32,938)

50. Flagler $30852 (2009 = 52; $30,479 & 2008 = 48; $30,417)

67. Holmes $26,959

Local Implications:Average Annual Wage for 2010

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

www.bls.gov

69Local Implications:

Age Projections for Volusia County

Age 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

15-17 18793 18797 18735 18363 18166 17900 17693 17585 17507 17402 17502

18-19 13493 13503 13474 13195 13053 12863 12715 12638 12583 12509 12585

20-24 31958 32300 32547 32199 32179 31962 31849 31921 32054 32145 31953

25-29 26508 27262 27882 27960 28367 28414 28557 28869 29241 29583 29669

30-34 25254 25439 25493 25063 24932 25311 25778 26404 27093 27763 28065

2006

/07

2007

/08

2008

/09

2009

/10

2010

/11

2011

/12

2012

/13

2013

/14

2014

/15

2015

/16

2016

/17

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000 Volusia County 2011 Age Projections

15-17

18-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

Local Implications: Age Projections for Flagler County

Age 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

15-17 3383 3556 3608 3575 3597 3632 3703 3812 3937 4057 4126

18-19 1699 1786 1812 1797 1808 1825 1861 1915 1977 2037 2072

20-24 3820 4090 4200 4222 4304 4384 4507 4678 4876 5070 5209

25-29 3227 3518 3651 3706 3821 3930 4082 4282 4505 4732 4892

30-34 3526 3678 3664 3562 3529 3677 3869 4108 4376 4650 4851

2006/07

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

2012/13

2013/14

2014/15

2015/16

2016/17

2017/18

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6000Flagler County 2011 Age Projections

15-17

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25-29

30-34

Local Implications: High School Graduation Projections for

Volusia and Flagler Counties

Year 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Flagler 580 680 712 727 713 698 675 825 1044 1268

Volusia3433 3457 3454 3493 3222 3111 3198 3238 3197 3140

Florida135,893 142,102 147,735 145,793 148,147 142,695 144,729 146,193 146,942 145,252

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/160

500

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2500

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3500

4000

2011 Florida High School Graduate Projections

Flagler County Volusia County

2010-11 Student Enrollment

Annual Unduplicated Headcount 36,020

Annual FTE 16,241.6Campus FTE

• Daytona 11,067.7 (68.1%)• DeLand 1,930.7 (11.9%)• Palm Coast 1,051.1 (6.5%)• Deltona 951.2 (5.9%)• Advanced Technology College 635.7 (3.9%)• New Smyrna Beach 605.2 (3.7%)

Implications for Daytona State:Demographic Factors

Average Age 27

Median Age 23

Age Ranges• Under 18

6.4%• 18-19 19.6%• 20-21 15.8%• 22-24 13.6%• 25-29 13.9%• 30-34 9.1%• 35-39 6.7%• 40-49 10.0%• 50+ 4.8%

2010-11 Daytona State Student Profile:

Age

GenderFemale 61%Male 39%

EthnicityWhite 70%Black 15%Hispanic 10%Asian 2.0%American Indian/Alaskan Native 0.6%2 or More Races 0.5%Pacific Islander 0.05%

Fall 2010 Daytona State CC Student Profile:

Gender and Ethnicity

Fall 2010 NEW STUDENTSVolusia County 3,405 (75.1%)

Flagler County 678 (15%)

Total Florida 4,446 (98.1%)

Out of State 87 (1.9%)TOTAL 4,533

Where Do Our State College Students Come From?

Planning Assumptions and Drivers of Institutional Success: 2009-10

Driver Probability of Controllable/Occurring Uncontrollable

1. Receipt of Federal American Potential Partial

Graduation Initiative Funds2. Decrease in state budget allocation High Potential Uncontrollable

3. Continued Economic Decline High Potential Uncontrollable

4. National/Statewide/Local High Potential Uncontrollable Unemployment Decline5. Generation of Additional Revenue Potential Partial

6. Enrollment Increase Definite Partial

7. Need for Additional Space/ Definite Partial Facilities

8. Increased Costs for Students Potential Partial

Carroll, C. (2008). Planning assumptions. . Daytona Beach: Daytona State College.

2014 Reaffirmation:Southern Association of Colleges and

SchoolsQuality Enhancement Plan (QEP)• The Quality Enhancement Plan is the component of the accreditation

process that reflects and affirms the commitment of the Commission on Colleges to the enhancement of the quality of higher education and to the proposition that student learning is at the heart of the mission of all institutions of higher learning.

• The QEP describes a carefully designed course of action that addresses a well-defined and focused topic or issue related to enhancing student learning.

• The QEP should be embedded within the institution’s ongoing integrated institution-wide planning and evaluation process and may very well evolve from this existing process or from other processes related to the institution’s internal reaffirmation review (SACS, 2007, 2009).

Student Learning Outcomes“Learning Outcomes are statements of the knowledge, skills, and abilities the individual student possesses and can demonstrate upon completion of a learning experience or sequence of learning experiences (e.g., course, program, degree)” [League for Innovation in the Community College, 2009]. 

Daytona State College-Wide Surveys

Community College Survey of Student EngagementSpring 2011

Faculty Community College Survey of EngagementSpring 2011

Student Opinion Survey (ACT)Fall 2011

Graduate SurveySpring 2011

Charting the Path with a Navigation Strategy

Predetermine a course of action.Lay out your goals.Adjust your priorities.Notify key personnel.Allow time for acceptance.Head into action.Expect problems.Always point to the successes.Daily review your plan.

“Balancing optimism and realism, intuition and planning, faith and fact can be very difficult. But that’s what it takes to be an effective navigator of conditions” (Maxwell, 2007).

The 21 Irrefutable Laws of Leadership

Daytona Beach

Notions about the Planning Assumptions as related to the

road ahead?