broadband conference - august 2008
TRANSCRIPT
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Indiana Office of Utility Consumer Counselor
David Stippler
Indiana Utility Consumer Counselor
317-233-3232 [email protected]
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Broadband deployment helps build economic
development and business growth in Indiana, especially
in our small cities and towns.
A strong telecommunications infrastructure in our statewill keep us competitive in todays global marketplace.
Becky Skillman
Lieutenant Governor, State of Indiana
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- Technology allows consumers/small business to connect
through coaxial cable modems
Typical speeds from 512 KBps to 1.5 MBps;
Biggest problem today is fluctuating speed the more usage, theslower the connection speed for each customer. Companies are
switching from coax and upgrading to all-digital networks FTTH and
Next Generation Network Architecture (NGNA) to offer full packages
of service in response to competition and consumer demand
-Availability throughout state fairly ubiquitous, particularly inthe east central and northeast parts of Indiana
Cable Industry Evolving
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- Digital Subscriber Line -- According to INdianaINterconnect, DSL is available in Indianas populated areas Limited to consumers/business within @18,000 ft of the Central Office
(CO). Past 12,000ft line quality and other factors may inhibit speed.
Next generation DSL offers 25Mbps speeds while very high-speedasymmetrical systems can achieve 100 Mbps within a few hundredfeet of the CO.
-AT&T, Verizon, and Embarq deployed extensive DSL
networks in rural areas as a result of pre-HB1279
Alternative Regulatory Plans under IURC jurisdiction.
DSL Near Term Future Steady
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- Continues to be a panacea for rural broadband connectivity
Operating in the licensed and unlicensed spectrums
Capable of speeds from 3 MBps to 11 MBps
Licensed wireless providers can reach 82% of U.S. population andalmost 100% of Indiana population, offering viable competition to
unlicensed providers.
- Unlicensed provider deployments continue and new
providers continue to appear, especially in southern
Indiana.
- Wi-Fi hotspots and muni-networks on the upswing.
Wireless BroadbandContinues Growth and Evolution
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- Broadband Over Powerline
Deployment continues but is trending more to utility usage to improve
service system monitoring, deployment of smart grid and advance
metering. Speeds on consumer internet access systems remain symmetrical
and average around the 2 Mbps
BPL Technology Evolving
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- Satellite Broadband
Satellite access still an option for other providers do not offer service.
Although continuing to evolve, still does not meet FCC definition of
advanced service. Latency will always remain an issue
View of southern hemisphere also required
New Ka-band systems promise improved coverage and potentially
higher upstream/downstream speeds.
Satellite systems evolving to provide last-mile connectivity to mobileplatforms airplanes, ships, vehicles.
Satellite Broadband Remains An Option
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- Fiber-optic
The absolute fastest conduit for data transfer
Speeds are unlimited
Fiber rings around major metropolitan areas, along I-69, I-65, and I-70; fiberalso connects states major universities.
Dramatic increases in deployment providers responding to
consumer demands for package voice/video communications, full
spectrum entertainment, high-speed internet access, security, and
new technology.
RBOCs slow to deploy outside urban and suburban areas.
RLECs are deploying within historical operating territories and absorbing
adjacent territory, especially since passage of HB-1279.
Fiber-Optic Experiencing Explosive Growth
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- Highly responsive to consumer demands they hear what
consumers want and are providing it.
Sensitive to generational differences generations younger than Baby
Boomers want mobility and ability to stay connected Companies changing themselves physically and operationally to meet
the generational demand
Indiana Companies Changing How They Do Business
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- Boomers (1945-1964)- They want technology and are willing to pay for it
- Need to feel young
- Tech savvy but need more hand holding
- Xers (1965-1982)- EXTREME child involvement -- make purchasing decisions based on
their kids
- Millennials/Gen Y (1982-2004 / 2005 - )- They live online - word of mouth/social networking is all important
- Influence the majority of purchasing decisions - $200 billion per year
- Will probably never have landline phone service
- They dont care much about quality or service
Indiana Companies Changing How They Do Business
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Consumer demands, global economic
requirements and the evolution of technologypoints to one conclusion:
Indiana and the nation is shifting to
a Fiber-Optic networkwith a robust wireless network overlay
WhereWillWe End Up?
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-Ability to evolve almost instantaneously with a capability
limited only by transmission equipment.
Only technology to offer full range of services: communications,
internet access, entertainment, security, energy management, etc.
Providers see the future deploying rapidly at local level while
backbone providers remain aggressive at the state level.
- Fiber-optic technology makes Indiana globally competitive.
- Fiber fundamentally changes the landscape
Once deployed by a provider, overlaying competitive networks notcompetitively viable
Quickly degrades value of copper and coaxial networks they cant
match capability
Why Fiber-Optic?
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- First and foremost Consumers. They want to stay
connected while on the move.
Generational While Baby Boomers want the capability, younger
generations DEMAND it.
Economic in todays evolving environment, business has to stay
connected while on the move to remain competitive.
Security and Emergency Response Technology allows responders
to get up-to-date information while responding.
Kosciusko County 911 Dispatch leading the way.
- Cell phone providers quickly becoming the leader in
nationwide networks 3G, 4G
Voice, data, entertainment access already in place
Cards enable laptops and PCs to access networks
Why AWireless Overlay?
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- Indiana has penetration in over 90% of all zip codes by
some type of high-speed access provider.
OUCC database increased to approximately 250 service providers
25% increase since 2007.-Almost 100% coverage with cellular 3G or comparable
technologies.
Viable competition to unlicensed wireless provision
- Unlicensed wireless broadband provider coveragecontinues to expand, especially in southern part of the
state.
How Does Indiana Look Today?
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- Existing copper network will remain viable in rural areas for
the short term.
- Rural LECs deploying and expanding fiber networks
absorbing new territory as they expand. Big three losses will continue & losses likely to be permanent.
- DSL deployment will slow down.
Low hanging fruit is almost gone without significant technology
advance, 18K limitation makes deployment in low population densityareas not viable for business investment considerations.
How Does Indiana Look Today?
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- Illinois, Kentucky, Ohio and Michigan have agencies or
organizations directly or indirectly associated with state
government examining broadband development.
- Indiana no dedicated authority or agency. Hands-off approach within guidelines of HB1279 to allow market
forces to work.
Not enough data to support conclusion yet, but Indiana seems to be
moving much more rapidly deploying globally competitive high-speed
access networks.
How Does IndianaCompare To The Region?
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- Reports do not provide accurate assessments at the state
level
Generally rely on inaccurate and incomplete FCC data.
Few offer any analysis of what providers in each state actually offer. No real understanding of mom and pop shops provision.
Feed off each other.
- International comparisons between U.S. and other countries
do not account for cultural, generational, or geographicfactors that have dramatic effects on deployment strategies
Iceland, Japan, Korea
SoWhy Do The Experts and Reports Say Different?
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- Funding Potential revenue deploying to low-density rural areas with fiber, cable,
or DSL circuits is usually not sufficient to off-set costs to deploy the
technology and provision service. No state or federal Universal Service Fund or USF-type programs
available yet to offset costs of provision to rural areas like we have for
telephone service
Currently, only viable options for consumers living in deep rural areas
continue to be wireless and satellite broadband service
What Hurdles Still Exist?
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- Education
If consumers dont understand what broadband is, they wont want it.
Information Resource weather, news, the new encyclopedia
Social Resource getting connected staying connected
Educational Resource teaching, learning
Economic Resource shopping, business, financial management
Only true for the older generations!!
Although we enjoy the technology, we grew up with the Eight-Track Player
Younger generations want the technology at younger ages.
Younger generations dont consider it a luxury they want the technology
to stay connected to each other
What Hurdles Still Exist?
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- Schools have to remain the first level
Teach/expose students to technology at an earlier age
Require it for informational / educational purposes daily
- Government continues the need Offer services online - be responsive to citizens
Promote broadband education
Teach independent business operators (small business owners, farmers,etc.) to become more effective and efficient using broadband technology
Promote global marketing and expansion
- Service Providers already marketing and changing
Educate older consumers why they should have it
Working to stay on top of what younger generations want.
Education Must Be At All Levels
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- Information Availability Once consumers want the technology, who can they contact?
Some online search site available Not complete; inaccurate information
Many not updated regularly Small or start-up providers rarely have enough funding to maintain
operations and do extensive marketing Valuable resource in areas not served by larger well-known companies
Typically offer good packages, reasonable rates, and excellent service quality
Until 2007, no single source existed in Indiana to get consumers
connected to providers. OUCC developed online search tool to help consumers get connected Designed to get consumers and companies connected; not designed to
detail specific deployment of specific services Consumers can get connected to small start-up providers
Any Other Hurdles?
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QUESTIONS?