biol 108 - chp 1: scientific thinking
TRANSCRIPT
Scientific ThinkingScientific Thinking
BIOL BIOL 108 Intro to Bio 108 Intro to Bio SciSci
Chapter 1Chapter 1
Rob Rob SwatskiSwatski Assoc Prof BiologyAssoc Prof Biology HACCHACC--YorkYork
1
Learning GoalsLearning Goals Learning GoalsLearning Goals
Describe what science
is.
Describe the scientific method.
Describe the key aspects
of well-designed
experiments.
Describe how the scientific method can be used to help make
wise decisions.
Describe the major
themes in biology.
2
1.1 1.1
What What is science? is science?
What What is biology? is biology?
3
4
ScientistsScientists ScientistsScientists
Are curious
Ask questions about how the
world works
Seek answers
5
Science is NOT simply a body ofScience is NOT simply a body of knowledge or a list of facts to knowledge or a list of facts to
bebe remembered…remembered… 6
Science is an intellectual activity, Science is an intellectual activity, encompassing observation, description, encompassing observation, description, experimentation, and explanation of experimentation, and explanation of natural phenomena.natural phenomena.
7
“How do you know that is true?” “How do you know that is true?”
The single question that underlies scientific thinking 8
Can we trust the packaging claims that Can we trust the packaging claims that companies make?companies make?
9
Don’t be at the mercy of cranks, Don’t be at the mercy of cranks, charlatans, advertising, or slick charlatans, advertising, or slick
packagingpackaging
Learn exactly what it means to have
scientific proof or evidence
Learn what it means to think scientifically
10
The most The most important important
questions in questions in biology:biology:
The most The most important important
questions in questions in biology:biology:
What is the chemical and physical basis for life and
its maintenance?
What is the chemical and physical basis for life and
its maintenance?
How do organisms use genetic information to
build themselves and to reproduce?
How do organisms use genetic information to
build themselves and to reproduce?
What are the diverse forms that life on Earth takes and how has that
diversity arisen?
What are the diverse forms that life on Earth takes and how has that
diversity arisen?
How do organisms interact with each other and with
their environment?
How do organisms interact with each other and with
their environment? 11
How to think scientifically
Increasingly important in our
lives
How to use the knowledge we
gain to make wise decisions
Literacy in matters of biology is
especially essential
Scientific LiteracyScientific Literacy
12
TakeTake--Home Message 1.1Home Message 1.1
Through its emphasis on objective observation,
description, and experimentation, science is a
pathway by which we can come to discover and better
understand the world around us.
Through its emphasis on objective observation,
description, and experimentation, science is a
pathway by which we can come to discover and better
understand the world around us. 13
1.2 Biological literacy is essential in the modern world.
14
Biological LiteracyBiological Literacy Biological LiteracyBiological Literacy
Use the process of scientific inquiry to
think creatively
about real-world issues
Communicate those
thoughts to others
Integrate them into your decision-making
15
“Scientific issues permeate the law. I believe [that] in this age of science we must build
legal foundations that are sound in science as well as in law. The result, in my view,
will further not only the interests of truth but also those of justice.”
U.S. Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer
February 1998 at the annual meeting of the
American Association for the Advancement of Science
16
TakeTake--Home Message 1.2Home Message 1.2
Biological issues permeate all aspects of
our lives.
To make wise decisions, it is essential for
individuals and societies to attain biological
literacy. 17
The Culture of Science: The Culture of Science: CreativityCreativity 18
1.3 The scientific method is a powerful approach to understanding the world.
Why and when Why and when do people do people develop develop superstitions & superstitions & belief in the belief in the paranormal? paranormal?
19
20
21
The Scientific The Scientific MethodMethod
The Scientific The Scientific MethodMethod
An empirical process of examination &
discovery
Based on experience & observations that
are rational, testable, & repeatable
22
The Scientific MethodThe Scientific Method
Observe a phenomenon
Propose an explanation for it
Test the proposed explanation through a series of experiments
Explanation is accurate & valid
Revise or propose alternative
explanations 23
TakeTake--Home Message 1.3Home Message 1.3
There are numerous ways of gaining an understanding of
the world.
Because it is empirical, rational, testable,
repeatable, and self-correcting, the scientific method is a particularly
effective approach. 24
25
1.4 Thinking like a scientist: 1.4 Thinking like a scientist: how to use the scientific how to use the scientific
methodmethod 26
What is the Scientific What is the Scientific Method?Method?
What is the Scientific What is the Scientific Method?Method?
A rigid process
to follow? A recipe?
An adaptable process?
One that includes
many different
methods?
27
1. Make Observations
2. Formulate a hypothesis
3. Devise a testable prediction
4. Conduct a critical experiment
5. Draw conclusions and make revisions 28
29
What should you do when What should you do when something you believe in turns something you believe in turns
out to be wrong?out to be wrong?
This may be the most important feature of the scientific method:
it tells us when we should change our minds.
30
Does echinacea reduce the intensity or duration of the common cold?
Does chemical runoff give rise to hermaphrodite fish?
Does shaving hair from your face, legs, or anywhere else cause it to grow back coarser or darker?
31
TakeTake--Home Message 1.4Home Message 1.4
The scientific method (observation, hypothesis,
prediction, test, and conclusion) is a flexible, adaptable, and efficient
pathway to understanding the world because it tells us when we
must change our beliefs.
32
1.5 1.5 Step 1Step 1: Make observations.: Make observations.
Look for interesting patterns or cause-and-
effect relationships.
33
Does taking Does taking echinaceaechinacea reduce the intensity or reduce the intensity or duration of the common cold?duration of the common cold?
34
TakeTake--Home Message 1.5Home Message 1.5
The scientific method begins by making
observations about the world, noting apparent
patterns or cause-and-effect relationships.
35
1.6 1.6 Step 2Step 2: Formulate a hypothesis.: Formulate a hypothesis.
A proposed explanation for
observed phenomena
36
37
38
To be most useful, a hypothesis To be most useful, a hypothesis must accomplish two things:must accomplish two things:
It must clearly establish mutually exclusive
alternative explanations for a phenomenon
It must generate testable predictions
39
The Null HypothesisThe Null Hypothesis The Null HypothesisThe Null Hypothesis
A negative statement
that proposes
that there is no
relationship between
two factors
These hypotheses are equally
valid but are easier to disprove
An alternative hypothesis
It is impossible to prove a
hypothesis is absolutely
and permanently
true
40
41
HypothesisHypothesis HypothesisHypothesis
Echinacea reduces the duration and severity of the symptoms of the common cold.
Null Null HypothesisHypothesis
Null Null HypothesisHypothesis
Echinacea has no effect on the duration
or severity of the symptoms of the
common cold.
TakeTake--Home Message 1.6Home Message 1.6
A hypothesis is a proposed explanation
for a phenomenon.
42
1.7 1.7 Step 3Step 3: Devise a testable : Devise a testable prediction.prediction.
Suggest that under certain conditions we
will make certain observations.
43
44
PredictionsPredictions PredictionsPredictions
Propose a situation that will give a particular
outcome if your hypothesis is true…
…but that will give a different outcome if
your hypothesis is not true.
Keep in mind any one of several possible
explanations could be true.
Hypothesis: Echinacea reduces the duration and severity of the symptoms of the common cold.
45
46
Hypothesis: Eyewitness testimony is always accurate.
Prediction: If individuals have witnessed a crime, then they
will correctly identify the criminal regardless of whether
multiple suspects are presented in a lineup one at a time or all at
the same time.
47
Hypothesis: Estrogens in sewage runoff turn fish into
hermaphrodites.
Prediction: If estrogens in sewage runoff turn fish into
hermaphrodites, then exposing fish to estrogens should cause
them to turn into hermaphrodites more frequently than fish not
exposed to estrogens.
48
Hypothesis: Hair that is shaved grows back coarser and darker.
Prediction: If shaving leads to coarser, darker hair growing
back, then if individuals shaved one leg only, the hair that grows
on that leg should become darker and coarser than the hair
growing on the other leg.
TakeTake--Home Message 1.7Home Message 1.7
For a hypothesis to be useful, it must generate
a testable prediction.
49
1.8 1.8 Step 4Step 4: Conduct a critical : Conduct a critical experiment.experiment.
An experiment that makes it possible to decisively determine whether a particular hypothesis is correct
50
Hypothesis: Echinacea reduces the duration and severity of the symptoms of the common cold.
51
52
53
54
55
56
HypothesisHypothesis HypothesisHypothesis
Estrogens in sewage runoff turn fish into
hermaphrodites.
Critical experiment
ideas?
57
HypothesisHypothesis HypothesisHypothesis
Hair that is shaved grows
back coarser and darker.
Critical experiment
ideas?
TakeTake--Home Message 1.8Home Message 1.8
A critical experiment is one that makes it possible
to decisively determine whether a particular hypothesis is correct.
58
1.9 Step 5: Draw conclusions, make 1.9 Step 5: Draw conclusions, make revisions.revisions.
Trial and error
59
The Role of ExperimentsThe Role of Experiments The Role of ExperimentsThe Role of Experiments
It is important that we attempt to
demonstrate that our initial
hypothesis is not supported by the
data.
If it is not, we might then adjust our
hypothesis.
60
61
Making Making RevisionsRevisions Making Making
RevisionsRevisions
Try to further refine a
hypothesis
Make new and more specific
testable predictions
Hypothesis: Echinacea reduces the duration and severity of the symptoms of the common cold.
62
TakeTake--Home Message 1.9Home Message 1.9
Experimental test results can be used to revise hypotheses and explain the observable world more accurately.
Scientific thinking helps us to understand when we should change our
minds.
63
1.10 When do hypotheses 1.10 When do hypotheses become theories?become theories?
64
Two distinct levels of understanding that
scientists use in describing our knowledge about natural phenomena
65
HypothesisHypothesis HypothesisHypothesis
A proposed explanation for a
phenomenon
A good hypothesis leads
to testable predictions
66
TheoryTheory TheoryTheory
A hypothesis for natural phenomena that is exceptionally well-
supported by the data.
A hypothesis that has withstood the test of
time & has been repeatedly tested
Is unlikely to be altered by any new evidence
TakeTake--Home Message 1.10Home Message 1.10
Scientific theories do not represent speculation or guesses
about the natural world.
Theories are hypotheses that have been so strongly supported
by empirical observation that the scientific community views
them as very unlikely to be altered by new evidence.
67
68
1.11 Controlling variables makes 1.11 Controlling variables makes experiments more powerful.experiments more powerful.
69
Elements Common to Most Elements Common to Most ExperimentsExperiments
Elements Common to Most Elements Common to Most ExperimentsExperiments
1. Treatment 2.
Experimental group
3. Control group
4. Variables
70
71
1. Treatment1. Treatment Any experimental condition applied to
individuals
72
2. Experimental group2. Experimental group A group of individuals who are
exposed to a particular treatment
73
3. Control group3. Control group A group of individuals who are
treated identically to the experimental
group with one exception: they are not exposed to the
treatment
74
4. Variables4. Variables Characteristics of your experimental
system that are subject to change
75
Controlling Controlling VariablesVariables
Controlling Controlling VariablesVariables
The most important feature of a good
experiment
The attempt to minimize any differences between a
control group and an experimental group other than the treatment itself
76
77
The Placebo The Placebo EffectEffect
The Placebo The Placebo EffectEffect
The phenomenon in which people respond
favorably to any treatment
Highlights the need for comparison of treatment effects
with an appropriate control group
78
Clever HansClever Hans
Experimental DesignsExperimental Designs
BlindBlind
The experimental subjects do not know which
treatment (if any) they are receiving
DoubleDouble--blindblind
Neither the experimental subjects nor the
experimenter knows which treatment the subject is
receiving 79
80
RandomizedRandomized
The subjects are randomly
assigned into experimental and
control groups
TakeTake--Home Message 1.11Home Message 1.11
In experiments, it is essential to hold
constant all those variables we are not
interested in.
Control and experimental groups should vary only with
respect to the treatment of interest.
Differences in them can then be attributed
to the treatment.
81
1.12 Repeatable experiments 1.12 Repeatable experiments increase our confidence.increase our confidence.
Can science be misleading?
How can we know?
82
83
84
Do Do megadosesmegadoses of vitamin C of vitamin C reduce cancer risk?reduce cancer risk?
An experiment must be reproducible and repeatable.
85
TakeTake--Home Message 1.12Home Message 1.12
Experiments and their outcomes must be repeatable for their
conclusions to be valid and widely accepted.
86
1.13 We’ve got to watch out for 1.13 We’ve got to watch out for biases.biases.
Can scientists be sexist?
How would we know?
87
88
TakeTake--Home Message 1.13Home Message 1.13
Biases can influence our behavior, including
our collection and interpretation of data.
With careful controls, it is possible to
minimize such biases.
89
1.14-1.17
Scientific thinking
can help us make
wise decisions.
90
1.14 1.14 Visual displays of data Visual displays of data can help us understand and can help us understand and
explain phenomena.explain phenomena.
91
92
93
VariablesVariables
Independent Variables
– some measurable entity that is available at the start of a process and whose value can be changed as required.
Dependent Variables
– created by the process being observed and whose value cannot be controlled.
94
TakeTake--home message 1.14home message 1.14
Visual displays of data, which condense large amounts of information, can aid in the presentation and exploration of the data.
95
1.15 Statistics can help us to make 1.15 Statistics can help us to make decisions.decisions.
96
A set of analytical & mathematical tools designed to help researchers gain understanding
from the data they gather.
Drawing conclusions based on limited observations is risky.
Measuring a greater number of people will generally help us draw more accurate conclusions about human height.
97
Making Wise DecisionsMaking Wise Decisions About Concrete ThingsAbout Concrete Things
Does having access to a textbook help a student to perform better in a biology class?
• Students who had access to a textbook scored an average of 81% ± 8% on their exams…
• …while those who did not scored an average of 76% ± 7%.
98
99
100
StatisticsStatistics StatisticsStatistics Can help us to identify
relationships (or the lack of relationships) between
variables
Positive correlation: when one variable increases, so
does the other
“Correlation is not causation.”
Statistical analyses can help us to organize & summarize
TakeTake--Home Message 1.15Home Message 1.15
Because much variation exists in the world, statistics can help us evaluate whether differences
between a treatment and control group can be attributed
to the treatment rather than random chance.
101
1.16 1.16 Pseudoscience and Pseudoscience and
misleading misleading anecdotal anecdotal
evidence can evidence can obscure the truth.obscure the truth.
102
103
PseudosciencePseudoscience PseudosciencePseudoscience
Individuals make scientific-sounding claims that are not supported by trustworthy, methodical
scientific studies
Anecdotal Anecdotal observationsobservations
Anecdotal Anecdotal observationsobservations
Based on only one or a few observations, people conclude that there is or is not a link between two
things
“Four out of five dentists surveyed “Four out of five dentists surveyed recommend sugarless gum for their patients recommend sugarless gum for their patients
who chew gum.”who chew gum.”
“How do they know what they know?”
Maybe the statement is factually true, but the general relationship it implies may not be.
104
105
Anecdotal Anecdotal observationsobservations
Anecdotal Anecdotal observationsobservations
Do not include a sufficiently large and representative set of observations of the
world
Data are more reliable than anecdotes
“Science is a way to call the bluff of those who only pretend to knowledge. It is a bulwark
against mysticism, against superstition, against religion misapplied to where it has no
business being. If we’re true to its values, it can tell us when we’re being lied to.”
—Carl Sagan
106
TakeTake--Home Message 1.16Home Message 1.16
Pseudoscience and anecdotal observations
often lead people to believe that links between two
phenomena exist, when in fact there are no such links.
107
1.17 There are limits to what 1.17 There are limits to what science can do.science can do.
1.17 There are limits to what 1.17 There are limits to what science can do.science can do.
The scientific method will never prove or disprove
the existence of
God.
Understand elegance?
What is beauty?
108
109
Approaches to the Acquisition Approaches to the Acquisition of Knowledgeof Knowledge
The scientific method is, above
all, empirical
Value judgments and subjective
information
Moral statements and
ethical problems
TakeTake--Home Message 1.17Home Message 1.17
Although the scientific method may be the most effective path toward
understanding the observable world, it cannot give us insights into the generation of value judgments
and other types of non-quantifiable, subjective information.
110
1.18
On the road to
biological
literacy: what are
the major themes
in biology?
111
1.18 A few important themes tie 1.18 A few important themes tie together the diverse topics in biology.together the diverse topics in biology.
112
Hierarchical organization
The power of evolution
Four Chief Areas of FocusFour Chief Areas of Focus
1. The chemical, cellular, and energetic foundations of life
2. The genetics, evolution, and behavior of individuals
3. The staggering diversity of life and the unity underlying it
4. Ecology, the environment, and the subtle and important links between organisms and the world they inhabit
113
TakeTake--Home Message 1.18Home Message 1.18
Although the diversity of life on earth is tremendous,
the study of life is unified by the themes of
hierarchical organization and the power of evolution.
114