bimbsec - wah seong company update - 20120704

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  • 7/31/2019 BIMBSec - Wah Seong Company Update - 20120704

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    BIMB SECURITIES RESEARCH

    MARKET INSIGHTWednesday, 4 July, 2012

    Company Update

    PP16795/03/2013(031743)

    | 1

    Wah Seong Trading BuyDetails Out Price: RM1.92

    Target Price: RM2.28Stock Data

    Bloomberg Ticker WSC MK Altman Z-score 2.5

    Market Cap 1,487.8 YTD price chg -7.2%

    Issued shares 757.3 YTD KLCI chg 5.0%

    52-week range (H) 2.43 Beta 0.8

    52-week range (L) 1.79 Major Shareholders

    3-mth avg daily volume 0.4 Wah Seong (M) 32.7%

    Free Float 41.53% KWAP 5.0%

    Shariah Compliant Y Midvest Asia S/B 4.9%

    Share Performance (%) 1mth 3mth 12mth

    Absolute 4.3% -6.3% -16.9%

    vs. KLCI 0.9% -6.8% -20.6%

    Financial Highlights

    FYE 31 Dec 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013ETurnover 1,950.3 1,523.4 1,889.1 2,012.3 2,268.3

    EBIT 280.9 113.8 209.5 204.3 226.3

    Pretax profit 245.8 86.2 173.3 174.3 198.3

    Core Net Profit 121.3 56.0 110.4 115.0 130.9

    EBIT margin 14.4% 7.5% 11.1% 10.2% 10.0%

    Pretax margin 12.6% 5.7% 9.2% 8.7% 8.7%

    Effective tax rate -16.1% -24.6% -24.3% -22.0% -22.0%

    ROE 13.7% 6.0% 11.0% 10.7% 11.4%

    ROA 9.3% 3.2% 5.7% 5.6% 6.0%Net Gearing (x) 0.27 0.25 0.21 0.17 0.25

    Core EPS (sen) 16.0 7.4 14.6 15.2 17.3

    Core EPS growth 29.4% -53.9% 97.2% 4.2% 13.8%

    PER (x) 12.0 26.0 13.2 12.6 11.1

    DPS (sen) 5.0 4.3 6.0 6.8 7.8

    Div. Yield (%) 2.6% 2.3% 3.1% 3.6% 4.1%

    NTA/share (RM) 1.20 1.23 1.30 1.40 1.50

    Growth ratios

    Turnover -16.8% -21.9% 24.0% 6.5% 12.7%

    EBIT 80.4% -59.5% 84.1% -2.5% 10.8%

    Pretax profit 87.5% -64.9% 101.1% 0.6% 13.8%

    Core Net profit 29.4% -53.9% 97.2% 4.2% 13.8%

    Share Price Chart

    Chiong Tong Chai

    [email protected]

    03-26918887 ext 175

    Subsequent to its successful bid for the 26.9% stake in

    Petra Energy (PE) from Perdana Petroleum (PP), Wah

    Seong has announced the pricing details of the deal at

    RM1.68 per share, or a 5.5% premium over PEs net asset

    value. While we are positive on this deal as a way of

    earnings base diversification, we are less sanguine on the

    on-going USD25m Atama Resources deal, as the operating

    risk is high. Overall, with its balance sheets improvement

    over the last few years, we foresee no significant (if any)

    credit metrics deterioration from these deals. However,

    reservations over the groups further investment

    requirements could create some uncertainty over the

    Groups credit profile. Maintain our forecast and Trading

    Buy call at target price of RM2.28.Slightly lower than previously indicated. The purchase

    price of RM1.68 is slightly lower than the indicative price of

    RM1.70 and represents a mild premium of 5.5% against PEs

    net asset value. The total gross purchase consideration of

    RM96.9m is digestible even after we factored in Wah

    Seongs early investment commitment in Atama Resources

    of USD25m, considering its strong liquidity level with cash

    holding of about RM580m and balance sheet flexibilitywhich has strengthened over the past few years. Pending

    PPs shareholders approval, the transaction is expected to

    be closed in 3QFY12.

    Diversified earnings base/risk. We reckon this acquisition

    by Wah Seong will allow it to entrench its business within

    the oil and gas value chain, considering PEs strong

    exposures particularly in brownfield services segment. This

    transaction may also allow Wah Seong to diversify its

    earnings base and risk as most of its current oil and gas

    businesses are relying heavily on one-off contract which is

    susceptible to contract delay and industry contraction. As a

    second largest shareholder, we expect the Group to have atleast a representative in PEs board. Nevertheless, we are

    less sanguine on its USD25m investment in Atama

    Resources given the high operating risk involved in

    developing a greenfield plantation asset in a country that

    inherited high political risk.

    No change in forecast. Pending the deal, we made no

    change to our numbers. For illustrative purposes, based on

    street estimates, the deal could marginally boost Wah

    Seongs bottomline by RM5m in FY13.

    Valuation & Recommendation. We maintained our Trading

    Buy call on the counter with target price of RM2.28 based

    on PER of 15x on FY12 EPS of 15.2sen.

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
  • 7/31/2019 BIMBSec - Wah Seong Company Update - 20120704

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    4 July 2012 Company Update: Wah Seong

    www.bimbsec.com.my | 2

    DEFINITION OF RATINGS

    BIMB Securities uses the following rating system:

    STOCK RECOMMENDATION

    BUY Total return (price appreciation plus dividend yield) is expected to exceed 10% in the next 12 months.

    TRADING BUY Share price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain.

    NEUTRAL Share price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months

    TAKE PROFIT Target price has been attained. Fundamentals remain intact. Look to accumulate at lower levels.TRADING SELL Share price may fall by more than 15% in the next 3 months.

    SELL Share price may fall by more than 10% over the next 12 months.

    NOT RATED Stock is not within regular research coverage.

    SECTOR RECOMMENDATION

    OVERWEIGHT The Industry as defined by the analysts coverage universe, is expected to outperform the relevant primary

    market index over the next 12 months

    NEUTRAL The Industry as defined by the analysts coverage universe, is expected to perform in line with the relevant

    primary market index over the next 12 months

    UNDERWEIGHT The Industry as defined by the analysts coverage universe, is expected to underperform the relevant primary

    market index over the next 12 months

    Applicability of ratings

    The respective analyst maintains a coverage universe of stocks, the list of which may be adjusted according to needs. Investment

    ratings are only applicable to the stocks which form part of the coverage universe. Reports on companies which are not part of the

    coverage do not carry investment ratings as we do not actively follow developments in these companies.

    Disclaimer

    The investments discussed or recommended in this report not be suitable for all investors. This report has been prepared for

    information purposes only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. The directors and employees of BIMB

    securities Sdn Bhd may from time to time have a position in or either the securities mentioned herein. Members of the BIMB

    Group and their affiliates may provide services to any company and affiliates of such companies whose securities are mentioned

    herein. The information herein was obtained or derived from sources that we believe are reliable, but while all reasonable care has

    been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable, we do not represent that it is accurate or

    complete and it should not be relied upon as such. No liability can be accepted for any loss that may arise from the use of this

    report. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgements as of this and are subject to change without

    notice. BIMB Securities Sdn Bhd accepts no liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss arising from use of this report.

    Published by

    BIMB SECURITIES SDN BHD (290163-X)

    A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad

    Level 32, Menara Multi Purpose, Capital Square,

    No. 8 Jalan Munshi Abdullah,

    50100 Kuala Lumpur

    Tel: 03-2691 8887, Fax: 03-2691 1262 Kenny Yee

    http://www.bimbsec.com.my Head of Research

    http://www.bimbsec.com.my/http://www.bimbsec.com.my/http://www.bimbsec.com.my/