bankable projects: key attributes of sound project proposal...au agenda 2063….1 strategic...

38
Presented by: SIYANGA MALUMO VIRTUAL FROM JOHANNESBURG 14 July 2021 Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal

Upload: others

Post on 02-Aug-2021

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

Presented by:

SIYANGA MALUMO

VIRTUAL FROM JOHANNESBURG

14 July 2021

Bankable Projects:

Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal

Page 2: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

BASICS OF INVESTMENTS

Page 3: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

ENABLING ENVIRONMENT

❑Political Environment

❑Macro-economic Environment

❑Legal & Regulatory Environment

Page 4: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

THE PROJECT CYCLE

National Development

Strategy

Identification

Preparation

AppraisalApproval

Implementation

Monitoring

Post Implementation

Evaluation

Page 5: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

KEY ELEMENTS OF INVESTMENT

Page 6: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

INVESTMENT STRUCTURES

❑Government

❑PPPs

❑Private Sector

Page 7: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

VARIANTS OF PROJECT DEVELOPMENT

❑Private Sector:

▪ High Risk – High Reward Philosophy

▪ Profit Driven

▪ Success Driven

▪ Efficiency

▪ Productivity

❑Public Sector:

▪ Public Service / Goods

▪ Political Benefits

▪ National Development

▪ Socio-Economic Progress

❑Public-Private Partnership

Page 8: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

GOALS (SDG)

Page 9: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

THE SDGs:

Sustainable Development Goals

1. No Poverty

2. Zero Hunger

3. Good Health & Well Being

4. Quality Education

5. Gender Quality

6. Clean Water & Sanitation

7. Affordable & Clean Energy

8. Decent Work & Economic Growth

9. Industry, Innovation &

Infrastructure

10. Reduced Inequalities

11. Sustainable Cities & Communities

12. Responsible Consumption

& Production

13.Climate Action

14. Life Below Water

15. Life on Land

16. Peace, Justice & Strong Institutions

17. Partnership for the Goals

Page 10: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

AFRICAN UNION AGENDA

2063

Page 11: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

AU Agenda 2063….1

❑ Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the

next 50 years:

▪ PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040 (60% Energy)

▪ Reduce Extreme Poverty (Below USD 1.25 per day) to

10% by 2040 and 3% by 2063

▪ Increase per capita to USD 10 000 by 2040

▪ Increased Power Demand from 590 TWh in 2010 to

3100 TWh by 2040

▪ Increased Transport Volume from 265 Million tons in

2009 to 2 Billion tons by 2040

▪ Increase Domestic Resource Mobilisation

Page 12: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK HIGH 5s

Page 13: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

AfDB High 5s

• Light up and power Africa

• Feed Africa

• Industrialise Africa

• Integrate Africa

• Improve the quality of life for the people of

Africa

Page 14: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

PROJECT DEVELOPMENT

Page 15: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

PROJECT DEVELOPMENT

Page 16: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

FUNDING MIX

Page 17: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

The Funding Mix: Overview

Investment bank

Commercial bank

Development bank

Investment bank

Commercial bank

Mezzanine fund

Development bank

Institutional investors

Investment bank

Commercial bank

Mezzanine fund

Development bank

Pension funds

Insurance companies

Semi-sovereign funds

Vendor

Financial sponsor

Development bank

Pension funds

Insurance companies

Semi-sovereign funds

Senior debt

• Revolving

• Term

• 30—70% of total capital

• Five—Fifteen years

Subordinated debt

• Senior / sub notes• Discount notes

• MTN programs

• 10—25% of total capital• Seven—Ten years

• Five—Ten years

Preferred stock/Mezzanine securities

• Sub. debt • Preferred stock• Warrants

• 0—35% total capital

• Seven—Ten+ years

Common equity

• 25—40% of total capital• Permanent

• Common equity

Financial Products Traditional suppliers of capital

Page 18: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

18

Types and Sources of Funds…2

Loan / Bonds & Warrants

PIYC (Pay-if-you-can)

PIK (Payment-in-kind)

Shareholder's Loan

Preference Shares

Ordinary Shares

Loan & Redemption

Premium (call protect ion)

Stretch Senior

Senior Debt

Risk

Return

Mezzanine

Page 19: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

AFRICANA PROJECT

STRUCTURE

(ZESCO)

SPV

(ITT)Lenders

O&M

Contractor

EPC

Contractor

Zesco &

TATA

ITT Dam

Off - takerGRZ

PPA

Water rightsO&M

Contract

EPC

Contract

Concession

Agreement

Loan

AgreementEquity

Dividends

Insurance

Cover

Debt

Service

Payments

Premium

O&M Fee

Water utilization fee

Concession

Fees

AFRICANA(SPV)

O&M

Operator EPC

Contractor

EE

(GOVT

T

(REG)

(Water Board)

CONCESSION /

IPPA

PPA

(ZULU

GENERATION

LICENSE

LENDERS

WATER

RIGHTS

Page 20: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

AFRICANA Financing Structure

AFI 20

INDOSURE

BANK 1

INDOHYDROAFRICANA

SPV

ZULU COMUKUNI CO

BANK 2 Intercreditor Agreement

Alternative

PPA

LOAN

EPC(Assigned to SPV)

LOANPPA 1

PPA 2

Insurance

Payment of insurance premium

Assignment

of receivables/

Escrow Acct

LOAN

Page 21: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

RISK MANAGEMENT:

Commercial & Political Risks

Page 22: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

VALUE OF RISK TAKING

Page 23: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

KEY RISKS

❑Financial (Including Cost over runs, Underwriting, etc.)

❑Commercial (Including Pricing, Quantity, Marketing)

❑Partner Selection

❑Economic (Macro – Economic Aggregates, Infrastructure, etc.)

❑Technical

❑Legal

❑Environmental

❑Social

❑Political

❑Climatic

Page 24: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

SELECTED SPECIFIC RISKS

• Payment system risk

• Refinancing risk

• Reinvestment risk

• Settlement risk

• Sovereign risk

• Underwriting risk

• Market Risk

• Change in Law

• Capital Risk (Equity / Debt shortfall)

• Completion risk

• Default risk

• Delivery risk

• Exchange rate risk

• Interest rate risk

• Liquidity risk

• Operations risk

Page 25: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

RISK MITIGATION - 1

❑ Identify Pertinent Risks

❑Develop a Risk Inventory

❑Develop a Risk Matrix

❑Undertake Due Diligence

❑Develop Risk Mitigation Strategy (Covering All Pertinent

Risks)

❑Allocate Risks to Various Parties

Page 26: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

DUE DILIGENCE

Page 27: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

OBJECTIVES OF DUE DILIGENCE

❑Risk Management

❑Corporate Buy-In

❑Resource Mobilisation

27

Page 28: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

KEY COMPONENTS OF DD

❑Commercial

❑Financial

❑Human Resources

❑Cultural

❑Legal

❑Socio-Environmental

❑ICT

❑Others

28

Page 29: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

29

TYPES OF DUE DILIGENCE

❑Investor Due Diligence

❑Lender Due Diligence

❑Customer Due Diligence

❑Supplier Due Diligence

❑Banker Due Diligence

❑Greenfield Due Diligence

❑Brownfield Due Diligence

❑Mergers & Acquisition Due Diligence

❑Public-Private Partnership Due Diligence

❑Privatisation Due Diligence

Page 30: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

LEGAL

Page 31: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

THE KEY CONTRACTS

❑ Project Contracts:

▪ Joint Project Development Agreement (JDA)

▪ Shareholders’ Agreement

▪ Concession Agreement

▪ Permits and Licenses

▪ EPC

▪ O&M

▪ Connection Agreement (Infrastructure Projects)

❑ Financing Contracts

▪ Loans

▪ Equity

▪ Security, etc.

❑ Commercial Contracts (PPA)

Page 32: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

SECURITY PACKAGE

Page 33: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

THE SECURITY PACKAGE

❑The Market

❑Finance

❑Technical

❑Legal

❑Socio-Environmental

❑Insurance

❑Political Support

Page 34: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

THE KEY ELEMENTS OF SOUND PROJECT PROPOSAL

❑ The Security Package

❑ Stakeholders

❑ The Advisors & Role

❑ Project Preparation

❑ Due Diligence

❑ Risk Management

❑ Structuring & Packaging

❑ Project Implementation:

▪ EPC Procurement

▪ O&M Procurement

▪ Construction

▪ Operation

▪ Administrative Aspects

❑ Key Contracts:

▪ Project Contracts (Concession/Implementation, EPC, O&M, etc.)

▪ Joint Development Agreement / Shareholders Agreement

▪ Financial (Loan, Equity, Security/Collateral, Escrow Accounts, Insurance, Common Lenders Agreement, etc.)

▪ Market (Offtake, Supply)

❑ Termination Clauses (Project)

❑ Termination Support (Finance)

Page 35: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

CONTENTIOUS ISSUES

❑Tariffs/Tolls/Charges

❑Price Adjustments

❑Termination Clauses

❑Compensation

❑Step-In Rights

❑Direct Agreement (with Government)

❑Government Support

❑Inter-Creditor/Common Agreement

Page 36: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

SUCCESS FACTORS

Page 37: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

SUCCESS FACTORS

❑ The Political Climate

❑ The Economy & Economic Policies

❑ Project Structuring & Packaging

❑ Legal & Regulatory Environment

❑ Socio-Environmental Management

❑ Due Diligence (in Partner Selection: Country, Investors,

Lenders, EPC Contractors, Off-takers, Suppliers)

❑ Local / International Competitive Bidding (all players)

❑ Careful Technology Selection

❑ Probity in Tender Processing

Page 38: Bankable Projects: Key Attributes of Sound Project Proposal...AU Agenda 2063….1 Strategic Framework for Transformation of Africa in the next 50 years: PIDA: USD 360 Billion by 2040

THE END

❑ASANTE SANA

❑SIYABONGA

❑REA LEBOGA

❑MUITO OBRIGADO

❑MERCI BEAUCOUP

❑THANK YOU