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Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders Conference December 10, 2015

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Page 1: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders Conference December 10, 2015

Page 2: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Forward-Looking Statements & Non-IFRS Financial Information

• All financial references are expressed in US$ unless otherwise noted.

• This presentation contains forward-looking statements and estimates.

• Actual company results could differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information.

• Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.

• Additional information can be found in the Company’s annual information form, annual MD&A, and on Norbord’s website (www.norbord.com) about the material factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information, and the material factors or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.

• During the course of this presentation, certain non-IFRS financial information will be presented. Definitions and reconciliation of terms can be found in the Company’s annual and quarterly MD&A.

2

Notices

Page 3: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Company Overview

Page 4: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Norbord Snapshot

• Leading manufacturer of wood-based panel products

• Largest global producer of Oriented Strand Board (OSB)

– Installed OSB capacity of 8.0 Bsf-3/8” (1) (2)

– Installed panel capacity (including particleboard & MDF) of 8.9 Bsf-3/8” (1) (2)

– Approximately 2,600 employees at 17 plants across the US, Canada and Europe

• Listed on the TSX (“NBD”)

• Report in US dollars and in accordance with IFRS

• LTM Q3-2015 sales of $1.5 billion (2)

4

Company Overview

North America

Europe

Oriented Strand Board (OSB)

Particleboard

Medium Density Fibreboard (MDF)

Furniture

Europe 20%

Canada 37%

US 43%

8.9 Bsf-3/8” (1)(2)

Panel Capacity by Region

(1) Does not include the 600 MMsf-3/8” Grande Prairie, Alberta Line 2 (“GP2”) expansion project (2) Results reflect combined performance following completion of merger with Ainsworth

Page 5: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

West Fraser Louisiana-Pacific Norbord Canfor Corp. Interfor Western Forest Products Conifex

Ente

rpri

se V

alu

e (

$U

Smm

)

The Leading Global OSB Company

5

Company Overview

Top 10 Global OSB Producers

Enterprise Value

Source: Bloomberg and company filings. Enterprise values as at October 30, 2015

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

Norbord Louisiana-Pacific Georgia-Pacific Weyerhaeuser Kronospan Huber Tolko KronoSwiss Egger Martco

OSB

Cap

acit

y (B

sf-3

/8")

Page 6: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Norbord’s Products

6

Company Overview

OSB – 90% of Capacity

• Norbord’s operations now include 15 OSB mills and two other plant locations in the UK producing particleboard, MDF and related value-added products

• New home construction

• Repair and remodel

• Light commercial construction

• Industrial applications

Particleboard – 6% of Capacity

• New home construction

• Repair and remodel

• Furniture

• Fixtures

MDF – 4% of Capacity

• Furniture

• Fixtures

• Mill work

Page 7: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Industry Overview

Page 8: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Typical Uses for OSB Products

8

Industry Overview

Wall Sheathing

Webstock

Flooring

Rimboard Door Header

Roof

Window Header

Garage Door Header

• OSB is an innovative, affordable and environmentally “sustainable” structural panel – Serves many of the same uses as plywood, but produced at a lower cost

• Norbord expects OSB will continue to capture market share from plywood – Currently, OSB represents 67% of total North American structural panels

Page 9: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Global OSB Industry

9

Industry Overview

Industry OSB Capacity (MMsf-3/8”)

0

10

20

30

North America

Europe South America

Asia

Norbord operates in the two significant global OSB producing regions

Source: Company Documents and Other Public Filings

Page 10: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Kronospan 39%

KronoSwiss 20%

Egger 12%

Sonae 7%

Smartply 5%

Kalavela 4%

Others 2%

Industry Capacity 8 Bsf-3/8”

North American & European OSB Industries

10

Industry Overview

Louisiana-Pacific 22%

Georgia-Pacific 19%

Weyer- haeuser

11%

Huber 8%

Tolko 8%

Martco 3%

Other 3%

Industry Capacity 28 Bsf-3/8”

North American OSB Industry

26%

Source: Company documents and other public filings – installed industry capacity

European OSB Industry

11%

Norbord is a significant player in both key markets

Page 11: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Demand Growth Ahead in Both Key Markets

11

Industry Overview

OSB Share of Structural Panels

Source: FEA and Norbord Estimates

0%

25%

50%

75%

80 85 90 95 00 05 10

North America

Europe

Page 12: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

US Housing Recovery is Real

12

Industry Overview

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015F

US

Ho

usi

ng

Star

ts (

mm

)

U.S. Housing Starts Underlying Demand

Favourable long-term OSB industry fundamentals

US Housing Starts and Underlying Demand

1.5 mm Over-Built

21.4 22.8 24.0 24.8 25.9 26.9 28.0 28.6 29.2 28.4 27.8 27.1 26.9 27.1 28.0 28.4 28.7 29.0

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F

Effective

De

man

d / C

apacity

Cap

acit

y (B

sf-3

/8")

Effective Capacity Mothballed Capacity Effective Demand / Capacity

North American OSB Demand and Capacity

3.7 mm Under-Built

Source: US Census Bureau and Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA); As of October 2015

Page 13: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

North American Capacity Restarted to Meet Growing Demand

13

Industry Overview

39 Mills in Operation

8 Mills Indefinitely Curtailed

North American OSB Installed Capacity:

Norbord Mill

6 Mills (Re)started in 2013

Source: Company documents and other public filings

Page 14: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Attractive North American OSB Price Outlook

14

Industry Overview

North Central Benchmark OSB Price

Source: Random Lengths and Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA); As of September 2015

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F

An

nu

al A

vera

ge N

C P

rice

U

S$ p

er

Msf

7/1

6"

Historical Price Forecasted Price

15-year average: $229

• OSB prices are tied to demand for building products, which is influenced by the general economy, demographics and the need for housing

• With US housing recovering, OSB prices are projected to rise above trend

Page 15: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Core European Housing Markets Recovering

15

Industry Overview

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Housing Starts (000’s)

UK +9% in 2014

Germany +4% in 2014

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

80 85 90 95 00 05 10

European OSB Share of Structural Panels

Source: National House Builder Confederation (NHBC), Construction Products Association (CPA) & Bundesbank

Page 16: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

• Significant growth opportunity – OSB accounts for only ~8% of the structural panel market in Japan compared to >60% in North America

543 556 505 517

430 460 465 487 550

489

693 729

556 577

358 353 369

396

430

403

1,236 1,285

1,061 1,093

788 813 834

883

980

892

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Wooden All Other

Japanese Housing Market Stable

16

Industry Overview

Japanese Housing Starts (000’s)

Source: Japanese Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism

Page 17: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Business Strategy

Page 18: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Norbord’s Strategy is Well Defined

18

Business Strategy

Pursue growth in OSB 2

Own high-quality assets with low-cost positions 3

Maintain a margin-focused operating culture 4

Focus on growth customers through best-in-class service and product development

5

Allocate capital with discipline 6

Develop a world-class safety culture 1

Page 19: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Norbord’s Growth Focused on OSB

19

Business Strategy

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

Norbord OSB Capacity (Bsf-3/8”)

Page 20: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Margin Improvement is an Operational Priority

20

Business Strategy

37

28

56

9

14

29

16

25 23

0

24

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(1) Measured relative to prior year at constant prices and exchange rates

(2) The benefits of improved productivity and a richer value-added product mix were offset by higher maintenance spending in 2013

(2)

Margin Improvement Program Gains ($ in millions) “In Control of Our Controllables”

• Margin Improvement Program (MIP) gains help offset impact of industry-wide rising input costs: – Increased productivity – Reduced overhead costs – Reduced raw material usage – Improved product mix

• MIP has delivered $261 million of margin improvements over the past 11 years with minimal capital investments

• 2015 Q3 YTD MIP gains of $34 million

(1)

Page 21: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Further MIP Ahead Through Identified Merger Synergies

21

Business Strategy

Operational Best

Practices Corporate Overhead

Sales & Logistics

Purchasing Savings

Product Specialization

Single Public Company

$45 Million in Annual Merger Synergies (1)

As of Q3 2015, $5 million in realized synergies ($20 million annualized)

Ainsworth’s Forming Technology

Operational Standardization

Continuous Press Experience

Order File Optimization

(1) Costs to achieve ~50%; Achievable over 18-24 months

Page 22: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Diversification From European & Asian End Market Exposure

22

Business Strategy

72%

24%

4%

7.1 Bsf-3/8” (1)

LTM Q3-2015 Shipments by Geography (1)

(1) Results reflect combined performance following completion of merger with Ainsworth

• Strong North American footprint

• Stable margin operations:

– Europe

– Asia-focused exports

• Provides greater diversification than North American-based competitors

• Better positioned to weather market cycles

Europe

North America

Asia

Page 23: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Focused Customer Strategy Sets Norbord Apart

23

Business Strategy

(1) Results reflect combined performance following completion of merger with Ainsworth

New Home Construction (Pro-Dealers)

50%

Repair & Remodel (Big Box)

25%

Industrial 20%

Export 5%

5.4 Bsf-3/8” (1)

LTM Q3-2015 North American Shipments (1)

• New housing sales volume growing as US housing starts recover • Industrial and export sales at more stable margins

Page 24: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Fcast

2016 Target

Capex Greenfield Expansion

24

Business Strategy

Capex Investment (US$ millions) • Three main priorities:

– Investing in our mills

–Optimizing debt profile

–Returning cash to

shareholders

Capital Allocation

(1)

(1) 2015 and 2016 numbers reflect Norbord following completion of merger with Ainsworth. Pre 2015 reflects Norbord excluding Ainsworth.

(1)

Page 25: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Financial Overview

Page 26: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

631

495

247

42 -60

107 45

188

287

290

307

48

-23 5

58

13

106

145

802

295

19

-60

5

165

58

294

432

117 80

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM Q3-2015

Norbord Combined Adjusted EBITDA (2)

Ainsworth Adjusted EBITDA (1)

Norbord (excluding Ainsworth) Adjusted EBITDA

Strong Operating Cash Flow Through The Cycle

26

Financial Overview

North Central Benchmark OSB Price

$369 $320 $217 $161 $172 $163 $219 $186 $271 $315 $218 $202

US Housing Starts (000s)

1,956 2,068 1,801 1,355 906 554 587 609 781 925 1,003 1,089

Total Adjusted EBITDA (US$ millions)

11-year average: $277 million

(1) As disclosed in Ainsworth’s historical MD&As; converted to USD using annual average exchange rate (2) As disclosed in the Q2-2015 and Q3-2015 MD&A

Norbord Sensitivity to North American OSB Price Changes:

+$10/Msf 7/16” = +$58 million Adjusted EBITDA (at full capacity)

921

Page 27: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Stable Results from European Operations

27

Financial Overview

• Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales and earnings diversification than other North American-based competitors

European Adjusted EBITDA (US$ millions)

58

32 35

81

4

17

37

44 39

46 47

39

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM Q3-2015

Page 28: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Strong Balance Sheet & Liquidity

28

Financial Overview

Q3 2015

Cash $ 2

Bank Lines (1) 240

A/R Securitization(2) 81

Liquidity

$323

Manageable Debt Maturities (US$ millions) Strong Liquidity Profile (US$ millions)

Moody’s Ba2 (Stable)

S&P BB- (Stable)

DBRS BB (Negative)

Stable Issuer Credit Ratings

$200

$240

$315

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

7.7

0%

5.3

75

%

6.2

5%

(1) $245 million of bank lines less $5 million outstanding letters of credit drawn at quarter-end (2) $125 million of A/R Securitization limit less $44 million drawn at quarter-end

Page 29: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Attractive Investment Opportunity

29

Summary

Leverage to unfolding US housing recovery Every +$10 in NA OSB price = +$58 million in Adjusted EBITDA at full capacity

Diversification from European operations, North American industrial sales and Asian export sales

High quality asset base with low operating costs

Focused customer strategy and strong customer partnerships

Superior margins versus peers

Track record of disciplined capital allocation

Strong financial liquidity and comfortable debt maturities

Page 30: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paper, Packaging & Builders ... · Stable Results from European Operations 27 Financial Overview •Norbord’s European operations provide greater sales

Norbord Inc.

Suite 600 One Toronto Street

Toronto, Ontario, M5C 2W4 Canada

Tel: 416-365-0705 Fax: 416-365-3292

www.norbord.com