baird september 2012 facility services report
DESCRIPTION
RW Baird is the leading financial institution tracking the uniform industry. This is the September 2012 update which hallmarks a downward shift in outlook.TRANSCRIPT
Notably weaker survey results leave us cautious of uniform rental stocks in F2013 ,
particularly when balanced against premium valuations (above five-year averages), high
expectations (estimates at the high end of guidance ranges), and less opportunity for
subsequent positive earnings revisions (slowing employment growth, increasing price
competition). While we still see modest opportunity at GKSR for longer-term investors, we
are downgrading to Neutral, citing fewer catalysts, a more balanced risk/reward, and strong
YTD alpha performance.
■ Survey suggests noticeable deterioration. Survey results turned decidedly negative in
September, paralleling recent BLS data trends and other macroeconomic softness.
■ Add/Stop Index turns negative - first time since September 2009. Our Baird Add/Stop
survey diffusion index – a measure of uniform-wearer expansion/contraction at existing
accounts – turned negative in 3Q12, its first negative print since September 2009.
Importantly, we note that the last time our Index turned positive-to-negative (neutral=50.0)
was March 2008, portending cautious sector positioning.
■ New customer (no-programmer) index declines, now flat. New customer ("no
programmer") interest held essentially flat at 48.6 (a slight decline), but well below 55.1 in
June and several quarters above 60 throughout 2011-1H12. No-programmer interest has
been an important component of the current cycle's recovery, with public uniform
companies citing no programmers driving ~50% of new business wins. Slowing new
business momentum likely reflects more difficult comparisons and economic slowdown.
■ Pricing deteriorates. Pricing deteriorated in 3Q12 with our diffusion index well below a
neutral rating at 37.5, its lowest reading since December 2009 and its fifth consecutive
reading below 50 (following slight gains in 2011). Slowing fundamentals could reinvigorate
competitive pricing, in our view, with participants also citing risk from rising fuel costs.
■ Growth expectations move lower but generally consistent with our outlook.
Forecasted 12-month growth rates have declined to +4.8% (from +5.4% in June),
generally consistent with historical mid-late cycle growth. Our estimates contemplate
3.9%, 6.2%, and 4.2% FTM organic growth rates at CTAS, UNF, and GKSR, respectively,
paralleling industry expectations.
■ Downgrading GKSR to Neutral; Neutral-rated across sector. Citing slowing industry
fundamentals, high expectations, strong YTD performance, and a fair multiple, we are
downgrading GKSR to Neutral, leaving us Neutral-rated across our uniform coverage.
Separately, we are incrementally cautious on CTAS, citing somewhat elevated
expectations and paper price risk though believe guidance is likely maintained on the
company's earnings report, this week. Finally, UNF may offer the next opportunity should
expectations reset lower post-initial F2013 guidance (October) given potential balance
sheet catalysts.
Prices as of 09/14/12 Rating TargetTicker Price Mkt Cap
(mil)Current
PriorCurrent
Prior
CTAS $41.72 $5,278 N/A $41
.
GKSR $33.71 $637 N/A $37
.O/A $36
UNF $68.30 $1,339 N/A $73
.
Sources: Bloomberg and Baird Data
September 17, 2012 Baird Equity ResearchBusiness Services
Facility ServicesUniform Survey Shows Deterioration; Downgrading GKSR to Neutral
Andrew J. Wittmann, CFA
414.298.1898
Justin P. Hauke
314.445.6519
[Please refer to Appendix- Important Disclosuresand Analyst Certification]
2
Prices as of 09/14/12 Market Cap (mil) Rating Target F2012 F2013 F2014
COMPANYTICKER - PRICE
CurrentPrior
CurrentPrior
CurrentPrior
CurrentPrior
CurrentPrior
Cintas Corporation $5,278 N/A 41 2.27 2.57 2.78
CTAS - $41.72 2.59
G&K Services, Inc. $637 N/A 37 2.07 2.39 2.73
GKSR - $33.71 O/A 36 2.38 2.71
UniFirst Corporation $1,339 N/A 73 4.48 4.92 -
UNF - $68.30 -
Details
Industry Perspective and Outlook
■ Survey results suggest noticeable deterioration. Survey results turned decidedly negative in
September, paralleling recent BLS data trends and other macroeconomic softness.
- While our sense is that trends remain more supportive than a high-level review of our survey results
would otherwise suggest, we are cautious of uniform rental stocks, particularly when balanced
against fair valuations (above five-year averages), high expectations (estimates at the high-end or
above company guidance ranges), and less opportunity for subsequent positive earnings revisions
(slowing employment growth, increasing price compression, and fewer opportunities for fixed cost
leverage, with revenue at or above prior peaks).
■ Valuation levels fair levels relative to history; estimates at high-end of guidance. With uniform
stocks riding recent market gains, valuation -- previously in line with five-year historical levels -- has
now moved to a modest premium relative to historical levels, despite slowing fundamentals. Balanced
with Street estimate expectations at the high end (or above) company guidance ranges, we're a bit
cautious of additional opportunities for alpha, at least near term. The sector is now trading at a
forward 12-month EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.6x (6.8x average) and 14.9x earnings (14.8x average) --
see chart.
Uniform Industry Valuation
Company Ticker Price Price Target Rating MktCap ($M) FTM AVG FTM AVG
Cintas CTAS $41.72 $41 N $5,384 8.3x 7.5x 16.3x 15.7x
G&K Services GKSR $33.71 $37 N $638 8.0x 7.2x 14.1x 15.7x
UniFirst UNF $68.30 $73 N $1,342 6.4x 5.7x 14.4x 12.9x
Average: 7.6x 6.8x 14.9x 14.8x
FY1 Avg.
S&P 500: 14.2x 16.4x
As of 09/14/2012; AVG = 5-year average
Source: FactSet Research Systems and Baird estimates
EV/EBITDA, ftm P/E, ftm
■ Earnings expectations are relatively high. We note that consensus estimates across our coverage
list are at the high end of company guidance ranges (see chart below). Furthermore, we note that
"whisper" expectations are likely a bit higher, highlighting the sector's recent track record of beating
consensus earnings expectations (see charts below). High expectations warrant some caution, in our
view.
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
3
Uniform Rental Guidance and Estimates
CTAS GKSR UNF
F2013 F2013 F2012
Guidance $4.25-4.35 billion $890-910 million $1.252-1.257 billion
Consensus $4.29 billion $906.3 million $1.26 billion
Guidance $2.47-2.55 $2.20-2.40 $4.39-4.49
Consensus $2.52 $2.36 $4.45
Source: Company reports; FactSet Research
Revenue
EPS
Cintas Corp. Quarterly EPS vs. Consensus
Source: Company reports
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
F1Q10 F2Q10 F3Q10 F4Q10 F1Q11 F2Q11 F3Q11 F4Q11 F1Q12 F2Q12 F3Q12 F4Q12
Consensus
Actual Average EPS beat = +6.5%
G&K Services Quarterly EPS vs. Consensus (since initiation of company "Game Plan")
Source: Company reports
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
F1Q10 F2Q10 F3Q10 F4Q10 F1Q11 F2Q11 F3Q11 F4Q11 F1Q12 F2Q12 F3Q12 F4Q12
Consensus
ActualAverage EPS beat = +11%
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
4
UniFirst Quarterly EPS vs. Consensus
Source: Company reports
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
F1Q09 F2Q09 F3Q09 F4Q09 F1Q10 F2Q10 F3Q10 F4Q10 F1Q11 F2Q11 F3Q11 F4Q11 F1Q12 F2Q12 F3Q12
Consensus
Actual
Average EPS beat = +20%
■ Recent fuel cost increases suggest incremental caution. While natural gas prices remain low,
keeping facility (electricity) costs contained, the recent rise in fuel (gasoline/diesel) costs creates an
incremental headwind relative to previous guidance expectations (and potentially exacerbated
following last week's Federal Reserve actions). Gasoline/diesel costs have now increased ~12%
since the end of June and are up ~6% on a YOY basis. (We note energy typically represents 3-5% of
revenue.) While fuel prices remain volatile (last quarter, fuel prices were a net YOY benefit), we're
cautious of subsequent margin gains for the sector (which are now, increasingly, led by gross margin
improvement), particularly amidst renewed price compression -- an area of concern anecdotally
highlighted in our survey response pool.
- Separately, we highlight recent paper price declines as an area of incremental caution for CTAS
(we estimate a ~$0.02/share headwind to current guidance at current price levels, reflected in our
reduced estimates -- see below).
U.S. Retail Fuel Prices
Source: Energy Information Administration
300
320
340
360
380
400
420
440
Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12
U.S. Retail Gasoline Prices (cents/gallon)
U.S. Retail Diesel Fuel Prices (cents/gallon)
■ Recent stock performance has been pretty good, potentially limiting further upside. The
uniform stocks have been very strong alpha generators since 2011. Previously this strength was
based on cyclical momentum as employment recovered and the uniform rental companies posted
meaningful operating leverage. We believe this strength was also supported by previously low
expectations. Return of capital initiatives have also been an important component of total returns
(particularly at GKSR and, to a lesser extent, CTAS). Today, with estimates more reasonably set,
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
5
valuation at a premium, and fundamentals deteriorating, we see less opportunity for additional gains.
- In addition, we believe investor appetite may move away from the uniform rental companies,
at least near term, as QE-induced equity inflows are more likely to chase higher-beta
sectors, at least initially. The chart below shows the stocks' recent performance.
Uniform Stock Performance
Note: Dividend reinvested compound returns
Source: FactSet Research Systems
One-Month Percentage Price Change YTD Percentage Price Change
Three-Month Percentage Price Change Trailing 12 Months Percentage Price Change
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0%
S&P 500
UniFirst
Cintas
Uniform Index
G&K Services
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0%
S&P 500
Cintas
UniFirst
Uniform Index
G&K Services
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0%
Uniform Index
Cintas
S&P 500
UniFirst
G&K Services
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
S&P 500
Uniform Index
Cintas
G&K Services
UniFirst
■ Stock performance at the uniform rental companies has historically paralleled our survey
results, suggesting caution. Correlation between our Add/Stop Diffusion Index (which is computed
from directional commentary from our survey respondents) and uniform stock performance has
historically been quite high, particularly at CTAS/GKSR (see charts below), suggesting caution given
the sector's recent decoupling.
Uniform Stock Index vs. Add/Stop Diffusion Index (Baird survey data)
Note: Uniform index is a capitalization-weighted index of uniform stock performance
Source: Baird Research; FactSet
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2Q03 4Q03 2Q04 4Q04 2Q05 4Q05 2Q06 4Q06 2Q07 4Q07 2Q08 4Q08 2Q09 4Q09 2Q10 4Q10 2Q11 4Q11 2Q12
Baird Add/Stop Diffusion Index (left)
Uniform Index Stock Performance (1Q03 = 100), right
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
6
Cintas Stock Performance vs. Add/Stop Diffusion Index (Baird survey data)
Source: Baird Research; FactSet
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2Q03 4Q03 2Q04 4Q04 2Q05 4Q05 2Q06 4Q06 2Q07 4Q07 2Q08 4Q08 2Q09 4Q09 2Q10 4Q10 2Q11 4Q11 2Q12
Baird Add/Stop Diffusion Index (left)
CTAS Stock Performance (1Q03 = 100), right
■ Downgrading GKSR to Neutral. Citing the above industry factors, fewer operating catalysts, high
expectations (consensus estimates now assume achievement of management's 10% EBIT margin
goal), significant YTD outperformance (~20% alpha versus the S&P 500 which it's $6/share special
dividend is included) and a more balanced risk/reward (premium valuation), we are downgrading
GKSR from Outperform to Neutral.
- That said, a very strong F4Q12 earnings report last month continues to lend credibility to the
company's multi-year turnaround efforts and we believe GKSR still offers the best risk-adjusted
opportunity for investors among the public uniform companies. Net, while the stock may offer fewer
immediate catalysts, we believe GKSR may offer longer-term opportunity and modest upside from
current levels.
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
7
Baird Uniform Industry Survey: 3Q12
SURVEY BACKGROUND. The Baird uniform industry survey, conducted quarterly since June 2003, is
meant to gauge the sentiment of industry participants and the key industry drivers affecting the uniform
market. The participants are senior executives from private uniform rental companies located throughout
the United States and Canada. The collection of companies is intended to mimic the national coverage
and size of the public uniform rental companies and offers anecdotal insight into emerging industry
trends.
We survey ~100 independent uniform rental and linen companies. Our 3Q12 survey generated
responses from 36 companies, representing an annual revenue pool and geographic distribution roughly
equal to that of the national uniform rental companies.
■ Add/Stop Index turns negative - first time since September 2009. Our Baird Add/Stop survey
diffusion index – a measure of uniform-wearer expansion/contraction at existing accounts – turned
negative in 3Q12, its first negative print since September 2009. Importantly, we note that the last time
our Index turned positive-to-negative (neutral=50.0) was March 2008, portending cautious sector
positioning.
- Recall that a diffusion index is calculated by adding the percentage of respondents reporting
improvement in add/stops to one-half of the percentage of respondents reporting no change. Thus,
a reading above 50 indicates sequential add/stop improvement, while a reading below 50 indicates
sequential deterioration.
- Our diffusion index has historically exhibited strong correlation (~0.9) with BLS employment
data within uniform-wearing industries (which we refer to as our Add/Stop Employment Index).
Baird Add/Stop Diffusion Index: During the past 90 days add/stop rates at existing accounts have been
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Baird Research
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Ju
n0
3
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teri
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<
----
-|--
--->
Im
pro
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g Add/Stop Employment Index (000s), right
Add/Stop Diffusion Index (Survey data)
Correlation = 0.90
■ Revenue continues to fall modestly below expectations, reflecting (in our view) relatively high
expectations. 19% of respondents cited results below expectations in September, similar to 21% last
quarter. That said, nearly half of respondents met internal expectations. We note that this is a distinct
change from previous response rates last year, in which results exceeded internal expectations. We
believe this is consistent with our expectation that consensus estimates for the public uniform
companies likely similarly have more limited upside. See chart below.
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
8
Survey Revenue Trends: September 2012 vs. June 2012
Source: Baird Research
21% 19%
46% 47%
26%31%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
June '12 Survey Sep '12 Survey
Well above expectations
Slightly above expectations
Near expectations
Slightly below expectations
Well below expectations
8% 4%
3% 0%
■ Pricing deteriorates further. Pricing deteriorated in 3Q12 with our diffusion index well below a
neutral rating at 37.5, its lowest reading since December 2009 and its fifth consecutive reading below
50 (following industry pricing gains in 2011). Slowing fundamentals could reinvigorate competitive
pricing, in our view, with participants also citing risk from rising fuel costs.
- We note that pricing has historically been a source of modest pressure within the industry
though has been additive to growth rates over the past ~12 months. Prior pricing initiatives
followed the rise in commodity prices (particularly cotton) but appears to have lost momentum in
recent quarters.
Baird Price Index: "During the past 90 days the base price quoted for new accounts has
Source: Baird Research
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Ju
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teri
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ted
<--
---|
----
->
Imp
rove
d
Long-term secular compression Economic compression Recovery Today??
■ New customer (no-programmer) index declines, now flat. New customer ("no programmer")
interest remains held essentially flat at 48.6 (a slightly decline), but well below 55.1 in June and
several quarters above 60 throughout 2011-1H12. No-programmer interest has been an important
component of the current cycle's recovery, with public uniform companies citing no programmers
driving as much as 50% of new business wins. Slowing new business momentum likely reflects more
difficult comparisons and economic slowdown.
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
9
Baird No-Programmer Diffusion Index (Survey Data)
Source: Baird Research
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Ju
n0
3
Se
p0
3
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n1
2
Se
p1
2
De
teri
ora
tin
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<
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-|--
--->
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pro
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g
■ Growth expectations move lower but generally consistent with our outlook. Forecasted
12-month growth rates have declined to +4.8% (from +5.4% in June), generally consistent with
historical mid-late cycle growth. Our revised estimates contemplate 3.9%, 6.2%, and 4.2% FTM
organic growth rates at CTAS, UNF, and GKSR, respectively, paralleling industry expectations.
At what rate do you expect your revenue to grow excluding acquisitions in the next 12 months?"
Note: Growth rates reflect average responses of survey participants
Source: Baird Research
5.7%5.4%
5.7%
5.3%
5.8%5.9%
4.7%5.0%5.0%
3.8%
1.5%
0.3%0.0%
2.7%
2.3%
2.9%
3.3%
4.3%4.6%
5.4%
4.5%
5.1%
5.6%5.4%
4.8%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
■ Most respondents are expecting growth rates of roughly +3% to +5% in 2012 (unchanged).
Mean growth rates continue to be skewed by several outliers of 9%+ organic growth, mostly reflecting
company-specific or localized-gains.
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
10
Organic Rental Growth Expectations (FTM)
Source: Baird Research
14%
3%
19%
36%
17%
11%
0%0%0%0%0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
mo
re t
ha
n
9%
7%
to
9%
5%
to
7%
3%
to
5%
1%
to
3%
-1%
to
1%
-3%
to
-1
%
-5%
to
-3
%
-7%
to
-5
%
-9%
to
-7
%
Le
ss
th
an
-
9%
Pe
rce
nta
ge
of R
es
po
nd
en
ts
FTM Organic Revenue Growth Expectations
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
11
Investment Perspective, Valuation and Estimate Changes
UNIFIRST (UNF)
■ We rate UniFirst (UNF; $73 price target) at Neutral. With shares trading at a modest premium to
5-year averages, we believe shares more properly value the company's franchise, recognizing recent
execution success and share gains. Moreover, it is our sense that a continuation of recent strong
trends of solid execution both on the top line and on margins are increasingly priced into the shares,
heightening risk and justifying a Neutral position.
- That said, should expectations be sufficiently tempered post-initial F2013 guidance
(expected in conjunction with the company's October earnings report), we believe the stock
could find a potential entry point as we continue to note the potential for a major positive catalyst
in UNF's overcapitalized balance sheet which has ~$15/share ($300 million) excess capital
available for acquisitions or dividend/buyback, by our estimates.
■ Valuation. Our estimates are unchanged and our $73 price target assumes a 6.0x EBITDA multiple
on our FTM estimates one year from today. The multiple is above the company's five-year historical
average of 6.0x recognizing the lower risk profile offered by the debt-free balance sheet today as well
as the company's long track record of above-average execution. On a PE basis our price target
assumes 14.0x FTM estimates one year from today also a premium to historical (five-year) levels of
12.9x, but when adjusted for excess cash, is more likely in line with historical averages. We believe
these multiples are justified in a decelerating operating environment.
UniFirst Valuation Chart
F3Q12 Multiples Forward P/E Forward EV/EBITDA
Current 14.4x 6.4x
Historical Range (5-Year) 6x-17x 3x-7x
Historical Average (5-Year) 12.9x 5.7x
$73 Price Target Assumes: 14.0x 6.0x
Source: Baird Research
■ Risks. Risks to our price target include a highly competitive market/pricing, employment trends,
energy and other commodity price fluctuations and a 10:1 super-voting dual-class insider share
structure.
G&K SERVICES (GKSR)
■ We rate G&K Services (GKSR; $37 price target) at Neutral. With fewer operating catalysts, high
expectations (consensus estimates now assume achievement of management's 10% EBIT margin
goal by the end of F2014), significant YTD outperformance and a more balanced risk/reward
(premium valuation), we are downgrading GKSR from Outperform to Neutral.
■ Estimate changes. Despite our downgrade, we took our F2012-F2013 estimates modestly higher (by
$0.01/$0.02, respectively), though largely unchanged, reflecting confidence in the company's margin
trajectory. We also moved our EBITDA estimates modestly higher, adjusting for the company's recent
(and planned) uptick in growth-oriented capital expenditures (higher depreciation expense).
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
12
G&K Services Estimate Changes ($M)
F2012A
New Old New Old
Revenue $869.9 $906.4 $904.4 $934.6 $931.6
Consensus
Guidance
EBIT $68.2 $78.6 $78.5 $89.2 $88.9
Margin 7.8% 8.7% 8.7% 9.5% 9.5%
Adjusted EPS $2.07 $2.39 $2.38 $2.73 $2.71
Consensus
Guidance
Source: Baird estimates; Thompson FirstCall
$2.20-2.40
F2013E F2014E
$906.4 $962.9
$2.36 $2.72
$890-910
■ Valuation. Our revised $37 price target (from $36) assumes a relatively constant 7.6x EBITDA
multiple (a modest premium to its historical average of 7.2x) and 13.7x earnings (a modest discount
to its historical average of 15.7x), both of which we believe are supported by continued good
execution and stronger earnings growth (from a lower base) relative to peers. Assuming little change
in the direction of the economy, we see the stock as likely to trend modestly higher
G&K Services Valuation Chart
F4Q12 Multiples FTM P/E FTM EV/EBITDA
Current 13.7x 7.9x
Historical Range (5-Year) 8x-23x 5x-9x
Historical Average (5-Year) 15.7x 7.2x
$37 Price Target Assumes: 13.7x 7.6x
Source: Baird estimates
■ Risks. Risks to our price target include a highly competitive industry/pricing, employment trends, and
energy and other commodity price fluctuations.
CINTAS (CTAS)
■ We rate Cintas (CTAS; $41 price target) at Neutral. With valuation now above CTAS' five-year
average and fewer immediate catalysts ahead, we remain on the side lines until employment trends
reignite sector interest. We'd look to turn more constructive in the low-mid $30s or on lower
expectations (management has also demonstrated share repurchase appetite in this range). Indeed,
our estimates (while lower) remain modestly above guidance.
■ Estimate Changes. We lowered our F2013 EPS estimate by $0.02 entirely due to lower gross
margin assumptions in the Document Management business as scrap paper prices have recently
moved lower and are below management's guidance of ~$175/ton for the fiscal year (currently at
$163.66 through September). Our operating assumptions remain unchanged at this time.
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
13
Cintas Estimate Changes ($M)
2012A
New Old New Old
Revenue $4,102 $4,263 $4,263 $4,421 $4,421
Consensus
Guidance
EBIT $534.9 $575.8 $581.5 $618.2 $618.2
Margin 13.0% 13.5% 13.6% 14.0% 14.0%
EPS $2.27 $2.57 $2.59 $2.78 $2.78
Consensus
Guidance
Source: Baird Research; Thompson FirstCall
$2.52 $2.79
$2.47-$2.55 N/A
2013E 2014E
$4,288 $4,499
$4,250-$4,350 N/A
■ Valuation. Our 12-month, $41 price target assumes 7.3x FTM EBITDA one year from today and
14.7x earnings, a discount to current levels but generally consistent with the stock's five-year average
of 7.5x and 15.7x, respectively. We believe our estimates reflect the company's continued good
execution, modest top-line growth opportunity for modest margin expansion and balance sheet
opportunities, but balanced by a slowing employment environment and a difficult macroeconomic
backdrop.
Cintas Valuation Chart
F4Q12 Multiples P/E EV/EBITDA P/FCF
Current 16.3x 8.3x 13.9x
Historical Range (5-Year) 10x-24x 5x-10x 5x-26x
Historical Average (5-Year) 15.7x 7.5x 15.2x
$41 Price Target Assumes: 14.7x 7.3x 14.7x
Source: Baird Research
Valuation (FTM)
■ Risks. Risks to our price target include a highly competitive industry/pricing, employment trends,
energy and scrap paper price fluctuations and acquisition integration.
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
14
Andrew J. Wittmann, CFA (414) 298-1898
Justin P. Hauke (314) 445-6519
Date Printed: 9/14/2012
Year End: May
Income Statement 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 2,201,405 2,363,397 2,568,776 2,734,629 2,834,568 2,755,015 2,569,357 2,692,248 2,912,261 3,036,094 3,142,357
Uniform Direct Sale 612,654 703,886 834,832 501,443 517,490 428,369 386,370 419,222 433,994 442,674 455,954
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection - - - 362,417 403,552 378,097 338,651 377,663 415,703 434,310 451,683
Document Management - - - 108,411 182,290 213,204 252,961 321,251 340,042 350,269 371,285
Total Revenue 2,814,059 3,067,283 3,403,608 3,706,900 3,937,900 3,774,685 3,547,339 3,810,384 4,102,000 4,263,347 4,421,279
Cost of Sales and Service 1,627,567 1,762,524 1,948,816 2,125,545 2,256,300 2,196,314 2,049,522 2,201,097 2,363,392 2,446,746 2,519,707
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 1,222,638 1,295,992 1,406,829 1,515,185 1,581,617 1,553,830 1,449,576 1,530,456 1,648,551 1,707,994 1,761,489
Uniform Direct Sale 404,929 466,532 541,987 340,767 349,280 306,236 270,034 292,747 304,380 309,651 318,029
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection - - - 217,978 242,729 230,917 206,925 221,603 237,238 247,410 256,403
Document Management - - - 51,615 82,674 105,331 122,987 156,291 173,223 181,691 183,786
Gross Income
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 978,767 1,067,405 1,161,947 1,219,444 1,252,951 1,201,185 1,119,781 1,161,792 1,263,710 1,328,100 1,380,868
Uniform Direct Sale 207,725 237,354 292,845 160,676 168,210 122,133 116,336 126,475 129,614 133,023 137,925
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection - - - 144,439 160,823 147,180 131,726 156,060 178,465 186,900 195,280
Document Management - - - 56,796 99,616 107,873 129,974 164,960 166,819 168,578 187,499
Gross Income 1,186,492 1,304,759 1,454,792 1,581,355 1,681,600 1,578,371 1,497,817 1,609,287 1,738,608 1,816,601 1,901,572
Selling, general and administrative 727,618 810,232 907,954 1,010,163 1,104,145 1,082,709 1,086,359 1,168,944 1,198,981 1,240,814 1,283,352
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 581,380 633,488 690,707 757,039 801,692 769,275 786,145 822,230 834,210 860,633 888,398
Uniform Direct Sale 146,238 176,744 217,247 97,361 103,444 98,131 76,232 78,220 80,577 82,977 84,555
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection - - - 106,171 125,184 127,126 118,284 134,604 143,338 149,554 154,632
Document Management - - - 49,592 73,825 88,177 105,698 133,890 140,856 147,650 155,766
Operating Income
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 397,387 433,917 471,240 462,405 451,259 431,910 333,636 339,562 429,500 467,467 492,470
Uniform Direct Sale 61,487 60,610 75,598 63,315 64,766 24,002 40,104 48,255 49,037 50,045 53,370
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection - - - 38,268 35,639 20,054 13,442 21,456 35,127 37,347 40,647
Document Management - - - 7,204 25,791 19,696 24,276 31,070 21,230 20,928 31,733
Adjustments - - - (6,254) - - - - - - -
Total Operating Income 458,874 494,527 546,838 577,446 577,455 495,662 411,458 440,343 534,894 575,787 618,220
Interest Income 2,650 6,914 6,759 6,480 6,072 2,764 1,695 2,030 1,942 2,574 3,835
Interest Expense 25,101 24,448 31,782 50,324 52,823 50,236 48,612 49,704 70,625 59,923 59,403
Other Expense (Income) - - - - - - - - - - -
Pretax Income 436,423 476,993 521,815 533,602 530,704 448,190 364,541 392,669 466,211 518,438 562,652
Taxes 161,482 176,475 194,637 199,016 195,299 167,618 136,258 145,680 173,307 193,377 209,869
Net Income 274,941 300,518 327,178 334,586 335,405 280,572 228,283 246,989 297,637 325,061 352,783
Adjusted EPS $1.60 $1.74 $1.94 $2.09 $2.15 $1.83 $1.49 $1.68 $2.27 $2.57 $2.78
Restructuring / Merger charges - - - - - (54,215) (12,663) - - - -
Asset Write-offs - - - - - - - - - - -
Other One-time Items & Discontinued Operations - - - (6,254) - - - - - - -
GAAP EPS $1.60 $1.74 $1.94 $2.05 $2.15 $1.48 $1.41 $1.69 $2.27 $2.57 $2.78
Diluted Shares 172,371 172,651 169,005 160,141 155,897 153,287 152,859 146,585 130,013 126,670 127,070
Basic Shares 170,961 171,679 167,952 159,774 155,675 152,844 152,858 146,574 129,893 126,670 127,070
Dividend 0.29 0.32 0.35 0.39 0.46 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.54 0.72 0.78
Dividend payout 18.2% 18.4% 18.1% 19.0% 21.4% 32.1% 34.0% 29.0% 23.8% 28.0% 28.0%
EBITDA 602,133 642,702 707,491 753,719 769,358 695,768 604,599 633,810 733,792 774,418 822,921
Change YOY 6.2% 6.7% 10.1% 6.5% 2.1% -9.6% -13.1% 4.8% 15.8% 5.5% 6.3%
% of Sales 21.4% 21.0% 20.8% 20.3% 19.5% 18.4% 17.0% 16.6% 17.9% 18.2% 18.6%
Margin Analysis 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E
Gross Margin 42.2% 42.5% 42.7% 42.7% 42.7% 41.8% 42.2% 42.2% 42.4% 42.6% 43.0%
Incremental GM% 52.8% 46.7% 44.6% 41.7% 43.4% 63.2% 35.4% 42.4% 44.3% 48.3% 53.8%
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 44.5% 45.2% 45.2% 44.6% 44.2% 43.6% 43.6% 43.2% 43.4% 43.7% 43.9%
Uniform Direct Sale 33.9% 33.7% 35.1% 32.0% 32.5% 28.5% 30.1% 30.2% 29.9% 30.0% 30.2%
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 39.9% 39.9% 38.9% 38.9% 41.3% 42.9% 43.0% 43.2%
Document Management 52.4% 54.6% 50.6% 51.4% 51.3% 49.1% 48.1% 50.5%
SG&A Margin 25.9% 26.4% 26.7% 27.3% 28.0% 28.7% 30.6% 30.7% 29.2% 29.1% 29.0%
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 26.4% 26.8% 26.9% 27.7% 28.3% 27.9% 30.6% 30.5% 28.6% 28.3% 28.3%
Uniform Direct Sale 23.9% 25.1% 26.0% 19.4% 20.0% 22.9% 19.7% 18.7% 18.6% 18.7% 18.5%
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 29.3% 31.0% 33.6% 34.9% 35.6% 34.5% 34.4% 34.2%
Document Management 45.7% 40.5% 41.4% 41.8% 41.7% 41.4% 42.2% 42.0%
Operating Margin 16.3% 16.1% 16.1% 15.6% 14.7% 13.1% 11.6% 11.6% 13.0% 13.5% 14.0%
Incremental OM% 27.5% 14.1% 15.6% 10.1% 0.0% 50.1% 37.0% 11.0% 32.4% 25.3% 26.9%
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 18.1% 18.4% 18.3% 16.9% 15.9% 15.7% 13.0% 12.6% 14.7% 15.4% 15.7%
Uniform Direct Sale 10.0% 8.6% 9.1% 12.6% 12.5% 5.6% 10.4% 11.5% 11.3% 11.3% 11.7%
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 10.6% 8.8% 5.3% 4.0% 5.7% 8.5% 8.6% 9.0%
Document Management 4.1% 6.6% 14.1% 9.2% 9.6% 9.7% 6.2% 6.0% 8.5%
Pretax Margin 15.5% 15.6% 15.3% 14.4% 13.5% 11.9% 10.3% 10.3% 11.4% 12.2% 12.7%
Tax Rate 37.0% 37.0% 37.3% 37.3% 36.8% 37.4% 37.4% 37.1% 37.2% 37.3% 37.3%
Net Margin 9.8% 9.8% 9.6% 9.0% 8.5% 7.4% 6.4% 6.5% 7.3% 7.6% 8.0%
Changes YOY 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E
Total Revenue 4.7% 9.0% 11.0% 8.9% 6.2% -4.1% -6.0% 7.4% 7.7% 3.9% 3.7%
Total Internal Revenue 3.0% 6.3% 7.8% 5.3% 4.7% -4.4% -6.5% 5.2% 6.1% 4.3% 4.1%
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 4.7% 7.4% 8.7% 6.5% 3.7% -2.8% -6.7% 4.8% 8.2% 4.3% 3.5%
Internal 4.3% 6.8% 7.3% 4.2% 3.4% -2.4% -6.4% 3.3% 6.6% 4.7% 3.9%
Uniform Direct Sale 4.8% 14.9% 18.6% 6.5% 3.2% -17.2% -9.8% 8.5% 3.5% 2.0% 3.0%
Internal 4.4% 14.9% 18.6% 4.2% 3.2% -16.9% -10.1% 8.5% 3.5% 2.4% 3.4%
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 11.4% -6.3% -10.4% 11.5% 10.1% 4.5% 4.0%
Internal 6.2% -7.7% -10.8% 7.3% 8.5% 4.9% 4.4%
Document Management 68.1% 17.0% 18.6% 27.0% 5.8% 3.0% 6.0%
Internal 40.4% 9.2% 15.9% 15.3% 2.2% 3.4% 6.4%
Organic, ex-paper 6.0% 12.7% 8.2% 4.4% 3.4% 6.4%
Gross Income 6.0% 10.0% 11.5% 8.7% 6.3% -6.1% -5.1% 7.4% 8.0% 4.5% 4.7%
Operating Expenses 4.6% 11.4% 12.1% 11.3% 9.3% -1.9% 0.3% 7.6% 2.6% 3.5% 3.4%
Operating Income 8.3% 7.8% 10.6% 5.6% 0.0% -14.2% -17.0% 7.0% 21.5% 7.6% 7.4%
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 6.7% 9.2% 8.6% -1.9% -2.4% -4.3% -22.8% 1.8% 26.5% 8.8% 5.3%
Uniform Direct Sale 19.6% -1.4% 24.7% -16.2% 2.3% -62.9% 67.1% 20.3% 1.6% 2.1% 6.6%
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection -6.9% -43.7% -33.0% 59.6% 63.7% 6.3% 8.8%
Document Management 258.0% -23.6% 23.3% 28.0% -31.7% -1.4% 51.6%
Pretax Income 10.3% 9.3% 9.4% 2.3% -0.5% -15.5% -18.7% 7.7% 18.7% 11.2% 8.5%
Net Income 10.3% 9.3% 8.9% 2.3% 0.2% -16.3% -18.6% 8.2% 20.5% 9.2% 8.5%
EPS 10.1% 9.1% 11.2% 7.9% 3.0% -14.9% -18.4% 12.8% 34.7% 13.0% 8.2%
Source: Company reports and Robert W. Baird & Co. analysis
Cintas Corporation
Annual Model
15
Andrew J. Wittmann, CFA (414) 298-1898
Justin P. Hauke (314) 445-6519
Date Printed: 9/14/2012
Year End: May
Income Statement 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13E 2Q13E 3Q13E 4Q13E 1Q14E 2Q14E 3Q14E 4Q14E
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 719,423 722,789 721,012 749,037 751,797 751,701 749,852 782,744 778,110 778,010 776,097 810,140
Uniform Direct Sale 101,702 111,946 109,114 111,232 103,736 114,185 111,296 113,457 106,848 117,610 114,635 116,860
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 103,743 101,687 101,378 108,895 108,930 106,771 106,447 112,162 113,287 111,042 110,705 116,648
Document Management 92,312 82,704 80,608 84,418 87,696 86,839 86,251 89,483 92,958 92,050 91,426 94,852
Total Revenue 1,017,180 1,019,126 1,012,112 1,053,582 1,052,160 1,059,496 1,053,846 1,097,845 1,091,204 1,098,712 1,092,863 1,138,500
Cost of Sales and Service 578,140 589,329 586,209 609,714 600,586 610,400 605,798 629,962 617,463 628,481 624,194 649,570
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 403,406 410,247 409,958 424,940 419,304 424,402 423,357 440,931 432,423 437,700 436,622 454,744
Uniform Direct Sale 72,594 78,819 75,888 77,079 73,009 80,167 77,628 78,847 74,985 82,337 79,728 80,979
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 58,956 57,887 57,619 62,776 61,795 60,675 60,394 64,547 64,040 62,879 62,588 66,896
Document Management 43,184 42,376 42,744 44,919 46,479 45,156 44,419 45,636 46,014 45,565 45,256 46,952
Gross Income
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 316,017 312,542 311,054 324,097 332,493 327,299 326,496 341,812 345,687 340,310 339,475 355,396
Uniform Direct Sale 29,108 33,127 33,226 34,153 30,728 34,018 33,668 34,609 31,863 35,274 34,907 35,881
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 44,787 43,800 43,759 46,119 47,135 46,097 46,053 47,615 49,247 48,163 48,117 49,753
Document Management 49,128 40,328 37,864 39,499 41,217 41,683 41,832 43,847 46,944 46,485 46,170 47,900
Gross Income 439,040 429,797 425,903 443,868 451,573 449,096 448,048 467,883 473,741 470,232 468,669 488,930
Selling, general and administrative 310,466 297,112 288,367 303,036 313,449 311,629 301,183 314,553 324,221 322,300 311,523 325,308
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 216,599 208,065 198,583 210,963 218,828 216,388 206,526 218,891 225,903 223,378 213,173 225,944
Uniform Direct Sale 20,701 19,885 18,745 21,246 19,870 21,653 20,010 21,444 20,253 22,067 20,381 21,854
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 36,404 34,838 36,035 36,061 37,897 37,114 37,624 36,919 39,187 38,376 38,907 38,162
Document Management 36,762 34,324 35,004 34,766 36,853 36,474 37,023 37,299 38,878 38,479 39,062 39,348
Operating Income
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 99,418 104,477 112,471 113,134 113,665 110,911 119,969 122,921 119,783 116,933 126,302 129,452
Uniform Direct Sale 8,407 13,242 14,481 12,907 10,857 12,365 13,658 13,165 11,610 13,206 14,526 14,028
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 8,383 8,962 7,724 10,058 9,238 8,983 8,430 10,696 10,061 9,787 9,210 11,591
Document Management 12,366 6,004 2,860 4,733 4,364 5,208 4,808 6,547 8,065 8,006 7,108 8,553
Adjustments - - - - - - - - - - - -
Total Operating Income 128,574 132,685 137,536 140,832 138,124 137,468 146,865 153,330 149,520 147,932 157,146 163,622
Interest Income 365 403 373 801 567 650 650 707 874 968 965 1,028
Interest Expense 17,334 17,728 17,219 18,344 15,370 14,851 14,851 14,851 14,851 14,851 14,851 14,851
Other Expense (Income) - - - - - - - - - - - -
Pretax Income 111,605 115,360 120,690 123,289 123,321 123,267 132,664 139,186 135,543 134,049 143,260 149,800
Taxes 42,967 41,010 44,655 44,675 45,999 45,979 49,484 51,916 50,558 50,000 53,436 55,875
Net Income 68,638 74,350 76,035 78,614 77,322 77,288 83,180 87,270 84,985 84,049 89,824 93,924
Adjusted EPS $0.52 $0.57 $0.58 $0.60 $0.61 $0.61 $0.66 $0.69 $0.67 $0.66 $0.71 $0.74
Restructuring / Merger charges - - - - - - - - - - - -
Asset Write-offs - - - - - - - - - - - -
Other One-time Items & Discontinued Operations - - - - - - - - - - - -
GAAP EPS $0.52 $0.57 $0.58 $0.60 $0.61 $0.61 $0.66 $0.69 $0.67 $0.66 $0.71 $0.74
Diluted Shares 131,338 129,727 129,945 129,040 126,520 126,620 126,720 126,820 126,920 127,020 127,120 127,220
Basic Shares 131,309 129,740 129,735 128,788 126,520 126,620 126,720 126,820 126,920 127,020 127,120 127,220
Dividend - - 0.54 - - - 0.72 - - - 0.78 -
EBITDA 177,084 181,201 185,596 189,911 187,218 186,907 196,084 204,209 200,159 198,855 207,843 216,064
Change YOY 19.6% 20.6% 17.9% 6.7% 5.7% 3.1% 5.7% 7.5% 6.9% 6.4% 6.0% 5.8%
% of Sales 17.4% 17.8% 18.3% 18.0% 17.8% 17.6% 18.6% 18.6% 18.3% 18.1% 19.0% 19.0%
Margin Analysis 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13E 2Q13E 3Q13E 4Q13E 1Q14E 2Q14E 3Q14E 4Q14E
Gross Margin 43.2% 42.2% 42.1% 42.1% 42.9% 42.4% 42.5% 42.6% 43.4% 42.8% 42.9% 42.9%
Incremental GM% 48.6% 47.4% 45.7% 26.1% 35.8% 47.8% 53.1% 54.3% 56.8% 53.9% 52.9% 51.8%
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 43.9% 43.2% 43.1% 43.3% 44.2% 43.5% 43.5% 43.7% 44.4% 43.7% 43.7% 43.9%
Uniform Direct Sale 28.6% 29.6% 30.5% 30.7% 29.6% 29.8% 30.3% 30.5% 29.8% 30.0% 30.5% 30.7%
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 43.2% 43.1% 43.2% 42.4% 43.3% 43.2% 43.3% 42.5% 43.5% 43.4% 43.5% 42.7%
Document Management 53.2% 48.8% 47.0% 46.8% 47.0% 48.0% 48.5% 49.0% 50.5% 50.5% 50.5% 50.5%
Operating Margin 12.6% 13.0% 13.6% 13.4% 13.1% 13.0% 13.9% 14.0% 13.7% 13.5% 14.4% 14.4%
Incremental OM% 30.4% 36.8% 38.6% 28.8% 27.3% 11.8% 22.4% 28.2% 29.2% 26.7% 26.4% 25.3%
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 13.8% 14.5% 15.6% 15.1% 15.1% 14.8% 16.0% 15.7% 15.4% 15.0% 16.3% 16.0%
Uniform Direct Sale 8.3% 11.8% 13.3% 11.6% 10.5% 10.8% 12.3% 11.6% 10.9% 11.2% 12.7% 12.0%
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 8.1% 8.8% 7.6% 9.2% 8.5% 8.4% 7.9% 9.5% 8.9% 8.8% 8.3% 9.9%
Document Management 13.4% 7.3% 3.5% 5.6% 5.0% 6.0% 5.6% 7.3% 8.7% 8.7% 7.8% 9.0%
SG&A Margin 30.5% 29.2% 28.5% 28.8% 29.8% 29.4% 28.6% 28.7% 29.7% 29.3% 28.5% 28.6%
Pretax Margin 11.0% 11.3% 11.9% 11.7% 11.7% 11.6% 12.6% 12.7% 12.4% 12.2% 13.1% 13.2%
Tax Rate 38.5% 35.5% 37.0% 36.2% 37.3% 37.3% 37.3% 37.3% 37.3% 37.3% 37.3% 37.3%
Net Margin 6.7% 7.3% 7.5% 7.5% 7.3% 7.3% 7.9% 7.9% 7.8% 7.6% 8.2% 8.2%
Changes YOY 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13E 2Q13E 3Q13E 4Q13E 1Q14E 2Q14E 3Q14E 4Q14E
Total Revenue 10.1% 8.8% 7.9% 4.1% 3.4% 4.0% 4.1% 4.2% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
Total Internal Revenue 7.6% 7.0% 6.0% 4.0% 3.4% 4.0% 4.1% 4.2% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 9.4% 9.9% 8.4% 5.2% 4.5% 4.0% 4.0% 4.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
Internal 7.3% 7.9% 6.4% 5.0% 4.5% 4.0% 4.0% 4.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
Uniform Direct Sale 3.0% 2.9% 6.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Internal 3.0% 2.9% 6.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 10.9% 9.0% 11.2% 9.3% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
Internal 7.9% 7.8% 9.1% 9.3% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
Document Management 24.7% 7.9% 2.0% -7.8% -5.0% 5.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
Internal 15.9% 4.6% -1.3% -8.2% -5.0% 5.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
Gross Income 11.5% 10.0% 8.7% 2.5% 2.9% 4.5% 5.2% 5.4% 4.9% 4.7% 4.6% 4.5%
Operating Expenses 5.8% 3.1% 1.9% -0.4% 1.0% 4.9% 4.4% 3.8% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
Operating Income 28.3% 29.6% 26.3% 5.6% 7.4% 3.6% 6.8% 8.9% 8.2% 7.6% 7.0% 6.7%
Rental Uniforms and Ancillary Products 27.1% 33.8% 31.5% 15.8% 14.3% 6.2% 6.7% 8.7% 5.4% 5.4% 5.3% 5.3%
Uniform Direct Sale -14.6% -0.3% 16.9% 1.3% 29.1% -6.6% -5.7% 2.0% 6.9% 6.8% 6.4% 6.6%
First Aid, Safety and Fire Protection 121.9% 75.5% 66.9% 26.6% 10.2% 0.2% 9.1% 6.3% 8.9% 8.9% 9.3% 8.4%
Document Management 47.2% 2.7% -54.7% -100.0% -64.7% -13.3% 68.1% 38.3% 84.8% 53.7% 47.8% 30.6%
Pretax Income 26.0% 27.4% 24.9% 1.4% 10.5% 6.9% 9.9% 12.9% 9.9% 8.7% 8.0% 7.6%
Net Income 12.0% 33.1% 28.7% 11.1% 12.7% 4.0% 9.4% 11.0% 9.9% 8.7% 8.0% 7.6%
EPS 29.8% 49.3% 42.7% 21.5% 16.9% 6.5% 13.2% 14.7% 9.6% 8.4% 7.6% 7.3%
Source: Company reports and Robert W. Baird & Co. analysis
Please refer to "Appendix - Important Disclosures" and Analyst Certification
Cintas Corporation
Quarterly Model
16
Andrew J. Wittmann, CFA (414) 298-1898
Justin P. Hauke (314) 445-6519
Date Printed: 9/14/2012
Year End: May
Assets 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 4Q11 4Q12
Cash 87,357 43,196 38,914 35,360 66,224 129,745 411,281 438,106 339,825 565,396 822,476 438,106 339,825
Marketable Securities 166,964 266,232 202,539 120,053 125,471 120,393 154,806 87,220 - - - 87,220 -
Accounts Receivable 285,592 326,896 389,905 408,870 430,078 357,678 366,301 429,131 450,861 474,020 479,097 429,131 450,861
Inventory 185,585 216,412 198,000 231,741 238,669 202,351 169,484 249,658 251,205 259,547 260,507 249,658 251,205
Uniforms & Other Rental Items in Service 301,350 305,450 337,487 344,931 370,416 335,447 332,106 393,826 452,785 462,212 474,677 393,826 452,785
Other Current Assets 7,395 8,358 11,163 15,781 51,478 99,147 90,966 102,836 46,892 46,892 46,892 102,836 46,892
Total Current Assets 1,034,243 1,166,544 1,178,008 1,156,736 1,282,336 1,244,761 1,524,944 1,700,777 1,541,568 1,808,067 2,083,649 1,700,777 1,541,568
Net PP & E 785,310 817,198 863,783 920,243 974,575 914,627 894,522 946,218 944,305 981,675 1,027,645 946,218 944,305
Goodwill 805,441 889,538 1,136,175 1,245,877 1,315,569 1,331,388 1,356,925 1,487,882 1,485,375 1,485,375 1,485,375 1,487,882 1,485,375
Service Contracts 144,664 146,596 179,965 171,361 152,757 124,330 103,445 102,312 76,822 40,822 4,822 102,312 76,822
Other Assets 40,639 39,868 67,306 76,263 83,364 80,333 89,900 114,751 112,836 112,836 112,836 114,751 112,836
Total Assets 2,810,297 3,059,744 3,425,237 3,570,480 3,808,601 3,695,439 3,969,736 4,351,940 4,160,906 4,428,775 4,714,327 4,351,940 4,160,906
Liabilities & Equity
Current Portion of LTD 10,523 7,300 4,288 4,141 1,070 598 609 1,335 225,636 225,636 225,636 1,335 225,636
Accounts Payable 53,451 69,296 71,635 64,622 94,755 69,965 71,747 110,279 94,840 109,042 119,554 110,279 94,840
Deferred Taxes 83,682 41,883 51,669 52,179 - - - - 2,559 2,559 2,559 - 2,559
Other Liabilities 178,030 238,002 282,755 282,096 271,417 221,390 311,326 322,525 347,856 350,647 353,461 322,525 347,856
Total Current Liabilities 325,686 356,481 410,347 403,038 367,242 291,953 383,682 434,139 670,891 687,884 701,210 434,139 670,891
Long term Debt 473,685 465,291 794,454 877,074 942,736 786,058 785,444 1,284,790 1,059,166 1,059,166 1,059,170 1,284,790 1,059,166
Deferred Taxes 122,957 133,837 130,244 122,630 124,184 149,032 150,560 196,321 204,581 221,445 239,699 196,321 204,581
Other Noncurrent/Accrued Liabs - - - - 120,308 100,987 116,021 134,041 87,133 87,133 87,133 134,041 87,133
Stockholder's Equity 1,887,969 2,104,135 2,090,192 2,167,738 2,254,131 2,367,409 2,534,029 2,302,649 2,139,135 2,373,147 2,627,115 2,302,649 2,139,135
Total Liabs & SE 2,810,297 3,059,744 3,425,237 3,570,480 3,808,601 3,695,439 3,969,736 4,351,940 4,160,906 4,428,775 4,714,327 4,351,940 4,160,906
Balance Sheet Statistics 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 4Q11 4Q12
Net Total Debt to Capital 10% 6% 19% 24% 24% 17% 7% 21% 28% 20% 12% 21% 28%
Current Ratio 3.2 3.3 2.9 2.9 3.5 4.3 4.0 3.9 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.9 2.3
EBITDA / Gross Interest Expense 24.0 26.3 22.3 15.0 14.6 13.8 12.4 12.8 10.4 12.9 13.9 12.8 10.4
Debt/EBITDA (TTM) 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.3 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.6 2.0 1.8
Book Value $10.93 $12.20 $12.49 $13.63 $14.65 $15.45 $16.58 $16.06 $16.58 $18.71 $20.65 $16.06 $16.58
Tangible Book Value $6.27 $7.04 $5.70 $5.80 $6.10 $6.76 $7.70 $5.68 $5.07 $7.00 $8.97 $5.68 $5.07
Ending working capital / Annualized Sales 16% 16% 15% 16% 18% 20% 16% 18% 18% 18% 17% 18% 18%
Ending Working Capital / TTM Sales 16.5% 16.6% 15.6% 16.3% 18.4% 18.6% 16.2% 19.5% 18.4% 18.3% 17.8% 19.5% 18.4%
Inventory Turnover 7.9 8.8 9.4 9.9 9.6 10.0 11.0 10.5 9.4 9.6 9.7 10.5 9.4
Cash & Equivs. / Annualized Sales 9% 10% 7% 4% 5% 7% 16% 13% 8% 13% 18% 13% 8%
Receivable Days (Ending) 35 37 39 39 39 37 37 39 39 39 38 39 39
Inventory Days (Ending) 40 43 35 38 38 36 30 39 38 38 37 39 38
Accounts Payable Days (Ending) 11 14 13 11 15 12 12 17 14 16 17 17 14
Rental Items in Service Days (Ending) 87 82 81 80 83 84 82 89 99 96 95 89 99
Cash Cycle Days (Ending) 63 66 62 66 62 61 54 61 62 61 58 61 62
Return on Average Equity 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 4Q11 4Q12
Net Margin 9.8% 9.8% 9.6% 9.0% 8.5% 7.4% 6.4% 6.5% 7.3% 7.6% 8.0% 6.5% 7.3%
Asset Turnover (S/A) 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0
Leverage (A/E) 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.9
Return on Average Equity 15.6% 15.1% 15.7% 15.7% 15.2% 12.1% 9.3% 10.2% 13.4% 14.4% 14.1% 10.2% 13.4%
Source: Company reports and Robert W. Baird & Co. analysis
Please refer to "Appendix - Important Disclosures" and Analyst Certification
Cintas Corporation
Balance Sheet
17
Andrew J. Wittmann, CFA (414) 298-1898
Justin P. Hauke (314) 445-6519
Date Printed: 9/14/2012
Year End: May
Quarterly Statement of Cash Flows 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 4Q11 4Q12
Cash Flow from Operating Activities
Net Income 274,941 300,518 327,178 334,586 335,405 280,572 228,283 246,989 297,637 325,061 352,783 70,776 78,614
Adj. to reconcile net income to Cash Flows - -
Deferred tax benefit 56,609 (30,919) 6,193 (7,104) 1,663 (1,174) 13,295 47,908 56,727 16,864 18,254 25,384 57,722
Depreciation 117,285 119,813 127,117 135,672 148,566 157,572 152,059 150,886 155,831 162,630 168,701 38,760 40,265
Amortization 25,974 28,362 33,536 40,601 43,337 42,534 41,082 42,581 38,334 36,000 36,000 10,415 8,814
Impairment of long-lived assets - - - - - 48,888 - - - - - - -
Charges - - - (6,254) - (54,215) (12,663) - - - - - -
Changes in working capital
Accounts receivable (7,445) (41,304) (62,182) (11,733) (16,189) 71,149 5,222 (48,986) (24,261) (23,159) (5,077) (16,142) (12,501)
Inventories 42,825 (30,827) 18,872 (29,723) (4,140) 35,136 30,293 (78,824) (2,330) (8,342) (960) (17,204) 24,628
Uniforms and Other Items in Service 4,371 (4,100) (30,567) 5,413 (16,562) 29,661 4,164 (58,180) (60,279) (9,427) (12,465) (19,747) (19,844)
Other Current Assets 212 (963) (2,805) (4,618) (35,697) (4,949) 3,715 360 (1,496) - - 2,778 4,481
Accounts payable (458) 15,845 2,339 (7,013) 30,133 (24,560) 8,939 29,215 (12,557) 14,202 10,513 2,241 (18,929)
Other Current Liabilities (41,265) 5,004 44,753 (659) (10,679) (69,045) 75,916 (6,266) 1,944 2,791 2,814 30,280 (6,391)
Other 36,660 52,784 (2,548) (5,982) 68,706 11,953 15,349 15,203 20,312 - - 5,390 5,289
Net Cash Flow from Operations 509,709 414,213 461,886 443,185 544,543 523,522 565,654 340,886 469,862 516,620 570,562 132,931 162,148
Cash Flow used in Investing Activities
Capital Expenditures (112,888) (140,727) (156,632) (180,824) (190,333) (160,092) (111,078) (182,592) (160,802) (200,000) (214,672) (40,294) (43,086)
Cash Paid for Acquisitions / Cash Received for Divestitures (101,654) (109,076) (346,363) (160,707) (111,535) (30,909) (50,444) (171,552) (24,864) - - (13,035) (3,982)
Purchase of Investments - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Change in Short-Term Investments, net (141,544) (99,268) 61,864 69,659 (8,707) (11,969) (46,557) 60,749 79,361 - - (53,956) 135,810
Other 12,282 (1,663) 1,085 (1,836) (400) (251) 497 (5,198) 2,011 - - (2,353) 158
Net Cash Flow from Investing (343,804) (350,734) (440,046) (273,708) (310,975) (203,221) (207,582) (298,593) (104,294) (200,000) (214,672) (109,638) 88,900
Cash Flow from Financing Activities
Issuance of Common Stock - 4,621 7,680 10,907 8,371 - - - - - - - -
Purchase of Common Stock - (58,204) (323,409) (198,949) (191,479) (25,847) (969) (443,690) (388,432) - - (240,476) (125,750)
Payment of Dividends (49,634) (54,968) (58,823) (61,996) (70,831) (72,207) (73,960) (71,812) (70,820) (91,049) (98,815) - -
Net Borrowings from (payments to) Banks (61,153) 911 348,430 70,801 51,235 (156,294) (1,580) 495,464 (1,323) (0) 4 472,508 (1,853)
Net Cash Flow from Financing Activities (110,787) (107,640) (26,122) (179,237) (202,704) (254,348) (76,509) (20,038) (460,575) (91,049) (98,811) 232,032 (127,603)
- -
Effects of Foreign Exchange - - - - - (2,432) (27) 4,570 (3,274) - - (1,950) (1,603)
Cash from (used for) Discontinued Operations - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Net Increase (decrease) in Cash 55,118 (44,161) (4,282) (9,760) 30,864 63,521 281,536 26,825 (98,281) 225,571 257,080 253,375 121,842
Cash & Equivalents, Beg. Of Year 32,239 87,357 43,196 38,914 35,360 66,224 129,745 411,281 438,106 339,825 565,396 184,731 217,983
Cash & Equivalents, End Of Year 209,306 41,682 39,312 29,106 66,224 129,745 411,281 438,106 339,825 565,396 822,476 438,106 339,825
Free Cash Flow (before dividends) 396,821 273,486 305,254 262,361 354,210 363,430 454,576 158,294 309,060 316,620 355,890 92,637 119,062
% of Sales 14.1% 8.9% 9.0% 7.1% 9.0% 9.6% 12.8% 4.2% 7.5% 7.4% 8.0% 9.2% 11.3%
% of Net Income 144.3% 91.0% 93.3% 78.4% 105.6% 129.5% 199.1% 64.1% 103.8% 97.4% 100.9% 130.9% 151.5%
Per share $2.30 $1.58 $1.81 $1.64 $2.28 $2.37 $2.97 $1.10 $2.38 $2.50 $2.80 $0.65 $0.92
Excess Cash Flow (after dividends) 347,187 218,518 246,431 200,365 283,379 291,223 380,616 86,482 238,240 225,571 257,076 92,637 119,062
% of Net Income 126.3% 72.7% 75.3% 59.9% 84.5% 103.8% 166.7% 35.0% 80.0% 69.4% 72.9% 130.9% 151.5%
Source: Company reports and Robert W. Baird & Co. analysis
Please refer to "Appendix - Important Disclosures" and Analyst Certification
Cintas Corporation
Cash Flow Model
18
Andrew J. Wittmann, CFA (414) 298-1898
Justin P. Hauke (314) 445-6519
Date Printed: 9/14/2012
Year End: June
Income Statement 2004 2005 2006 2007R 2008R 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E
Revenue 733,447 788,775 880,843 929,542 1,002,395 935,965 826,940 822,932 869,937 906,394 934,600
Rental Operations 708,708 740,708 801,240 847,401 925,767 860,921 769,446 754,375 795,199 825,955 851,747
Direct Sale 24,739 48,067 79,603 82,141 76,628 75,044 57,494 68,557 74,738 80,439 82,852
Cost of Sales and Service 467,030 505,946 576,065 609,671 681,885 654,756 582,266 567,410 607,558 627,365 641,341
Rental Operations 448,131 470,116 518,543 550,199 626,270 599,106 539,711 516,631 549,622 565,904 578,038
Direct Sale 18,899 35,830 57,522 59,472 55,615 55,650 42,555 50,779 57,936 61,462 63,303
Gross Income 266,417 282,829 304,778 295,000 320,510 281,209 244,674 255,522 262,379 279,029 293,259
Rental Operations 260,577 270,592 282,697 297,202 299,497 261,815 229,735 237,744 245,577 260,052 273,709
Direct Sale 5,840 12,237 22,081 22,669 21,013 19,394 14,939 17,778 16,802 18,977 19,550
Selling, general and administrative 158,034 165,815 186,652 215,600 230,017 216,907 195,743 194,413 194,223 200,384 204,054
Depreciation and Amortization 39,346 41,543 43,263 - - - - - - - -
Total Operating Income 69,037 75,471 74,863 79,400 90,493 64,302 48,931 61,109 68,156 78,645 89,205
Gross Interest Expense (Income) 11,966 11,338 13,226 13,901 15,543 13,996 13,849 10,240 6,082 4,783 4,092
Other Expense (Income) - - - - - - - - - - -
Pretax Income 57,071 64,133 61,637 65,499 74,950 50,306 35,082 50,869 62,074 73,862 85,113
Taxes 21,687 24,206 19,786 22,271 28,901 18,380 13,710 19,842 23,450 28,348 32,667
Net Income 35,384 39,927 41,851 43,228 46,049 31,926 21,372 31,027 38,624 45,514 52,446
EPS $1.69 $1.88 $1.97 $2.02 $2.27 $1.73 $1.17 $1.68 $2.07 $2.39 $2.73
Restructuring / Merger charges - - - - - - - - - - -
Asset Write-offs - - - - - - - - - - -
Other One-time Items & Discontinued Operations - - - - - (128,738) 7,240 2,133 (14,477) - -
GAAP EPS $1.69 $1.88 $1.97 $2.02 $2.27 ($5.25) $1.56 $1.80 $1.29 $2.39 $2.73
Diluted Shares 20,899 21,199 21,253 21,424 20,274 18,430 18,339 18,472 18,676 19,050 19,241
Basic Shares 20,709 20,942 21,093 21,231 20,374 18,398 18,290 18,355 18,494 19,050 19,241
Dividend 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.16 0.22 0.28 0.30 0.38 6.55 0.78 0.82
Payout Ratio 4.1% 3.7% 3.6% 7.9% 9.7% 16.2% 25.7% 22.6% 316.9% 32.6% 30.0%
EBITDA 108,383 117,014 118,126 124,995 138,897 108,554 89,119 98,709 102,139 114,151 126,853
Change YOY 1.7% 8.0% 1.0% 5.8% 11.1% -21.8% -17.9% 10.8% 3.5% 11.8% 11.1%
% of Sales 14.8% 14.8% 13.4% 13.4% 13.9% 11.6% 10.8% 12.0% 11.7% 12.6% 13.6%
Margin Analysis 2004 2005 2006 2007R 2008R 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E
Gross Margin 36.3% 35.9% 34.6% 31.7% 32.0% 30.0% 29.6% 31.1% 30.2% 30.8% 31.4%
Incremental GM% 19.1% 29.7% 23.8% -20.1% 35.0% 59.2% 33.5% -270.7% 14.6% 45.7% 50.5%
Rental Operations 36.8% 36.5% 35.3% 35.1% 32.4% 30.4% 29.9% 31.5% 30.9% 31.5% 32.1%
Incremental GM% 20.2% 31.3% 20.0% 31.4% 2.9% 58.1% 35.1% -53.1% 19.2% 47.1% 53.0%
Direct Sale 23.6% 25.5% 27.7% 27.6% 27.4% 25.8% 26.0% 25.9% 22.5% 23.6% 23.6%
Incremental GM% -13.7% 27.4% 31.2% 23.2% 30.0% 102.2% 25.4% 25.7% -15.8% 38.2% 23.7%
SG&A Margin 26.9% 26.3% 26.1% 23.2% 22.9% 23.2% 23.7% 23.6% 22.3% 22.1% 21.8%
Operating Margin 9.4% 9.6% 8.5% 8.5% 9.0% 6.9% 5.9% 7.4% 7.8% 8.7% 9.5%
Incremental OM% 0.4% 11.6% -0.7% 9.3% 15.2% 39.4% 14.1% -303.8% 15.0% 28.8% 37.4%
Pretax Margin 7.8% 8.1% 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 5.4% 4.2% 6.2% 7.1% 8.1% 9.1%
Tax Rate 38.0% 37.7% 32.1% 34.0% 38.6% 36.5% 39.1% 39.0% 37.8% 38.4% 38.4%
Net Margin 4.8% 5.1% 4.8% 4.7% 4.6% 3.4% 2.6% 3.8% 4.4% 5.0% 5.6%
Changes YOY 2004 2005 2006 2007R 2008R 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E
Total Revenue 3.9% 7.5% 11.7% 5.5% 7.8% -6.6% -11.6% -0.5% 5.7% 4.2% 3.1%
Total Internal Revenue -0.6% 2.4% 6.7% 4.5% 4.2% -7.3% -11.1% 3.2% 5.6% 4.2% 3.1%
Total Organic Revenue Growth -2.1% 1.2% 5.5% 4.1% 2.3% -5.3% -11.5% 2.3% 5.8% 4.2% 3.1%
Rental Operations 4.0% 4.5% 8.2% 5.8% 9.2% -7.0% -10.6% -2.0% 5.4% 3.9% 3.1%
Internal -0.7% -0.1% 2.8% 4.8% 5.3% -7.7% -9.9% 2.7% 5.4% 3.9% 3.1%
Organic (yoy) -2.3% 0.2% 3.5% 4.2% 3.2% -5.4% -11.3% 0.8% 5.5% 3.9% 3.1%
Direct Sale 3.5% 94.3% 65.6% 3.2% -6.7% -2.1% -23.4% 19.2% 9.0% 7.6% 3.0%
Internal 3.5% 94.3% 65.6% 3.2% -6.7% -2.1% -23.4% 19.2% 9.0% 7.6% 3.0%
Organic 1.6% 30.1% 35.9% 3.2% -6.7% -2.1% -28.3% 11.5% 9.1% 7.6% 3.0%
Gross Income 2.0% 6.2% 7.8% -3.2% 8.6% -12.3% -13.0% 4.4% 2.7% 6.3% 5.1%
Rental Operations 2.1% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 0.8% -12.6% -12.3% 3.5% 3.3% 5.9% 5.3%
Direct Sale -1.9% 109.5% 80.4% 2.7% -7.3% -7.7% -23.0% 19.0% -5.5% 12.9% 3.0%
Operating Expenses 2.3% 4.9% 12.6% 15.5% 6.7% -5.7% -9.8% -0.7% -0.1% 3.2% 1.8%
Operating Income 0.2% 9.3% -0.8% 6.1% 14.0% -28.9% -23.9% 24.9% 11.5% 15.4% 13.4%
Pretax Income 3.3% 12.4% -3.9% 6.3% 14.4% -32.9% -30.3% 45.0% 22.0% 19.0% 15.2%
Net Income 5.2% 12.8% 4.8% 3.3% 6.5% -30.7% -33.1% 45.2% 24.5% 17.8% 15.2%
EPS 4.1% 11.2% 4.6% 2.5% 12.6% -23.7% -32.7% 44.1% 23.1% 15.5% 14.1%
Source: Company reports and Robert W. Baird & Co. analysis
Please refer to "Appendix - Important Disclosures" and Analyst Certification
G&K Services
Annual Model
19
Andrew J. Wittmann, CFA (414) 298-1898
Justin P. Hauke (314) 445-6519
Date Printed: 9/14/2012
Year End: June
Income Statement 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13E 2Q13E 3Q13E 4Q13E 1Q14E 2Q14E 3Q14E 4Q14E
Rental Operations 194,001 196,832 200,238 204,128 202,731 204,705 207,246 211,272 209,827 210,846 213,464 217,611
Direct Sale 15,722 20,232 18,571 20,213 19,653 20,839 19,128 20,819 20,242 21,464 19,702 21,444
Revenue 209,723 217,064 218,809 224,341 222,384 225,544 226,374 232,092 230,069 232,311 233,166 239,055
Cost of Sales and Service 145,502 152,602 154,097 155,357 153,723 156,622 157,604 159,416 157,748 159,845 160,885 162,863
Rental Operations 133,587 136,350 139,303 140,382 138,787 140,576 142,935 143,605 142,281 143,423 145,836 146,499
Direct Sale 11,915 16,252 14,794 14,975 14,936 16,046 14,669 15,811 15,466 16,422 15,050 16,364
Gross Income
Rental Operations 60,414 60,482 60,935 63,746 63,944 64,130 64,311 67,667 67,545 67,424 67,628 71,112
Direct Sale 3,807 3,980 3,777 5,238 4,717 4,793 4,459 5,008 4,776 5,042 4,652 5,080
Gross Income 64,221 64,462 64,712 68,984 68,660 68,922 68,771 72,676 72,321 72,466 72,280 76,191
Selling, general and administrative 48,746 47,508 48,409 49,560 50,466 49,251 49,743 50,924 51,519 50,264 50,536 51,735
Depreciation and Amortization - - - - - - - - - - - -
Total Operating Income 15,475 16,954 16,303 19,424 18,195 19,671 19,027 21,752 20,802 22,202 21,744 24,457
Gross Interest Expense (Income) 1,653 1,607 1,524 1,298 1,245 1,218 1,174 1,146 1,086 1,047 1,000 959
Other Expense (Income) - - - - - - - - - - - -
Pretax Income 13,822 15,347 14,779 18,126 16,950 18,453 17,853 20,605 19,716 21,155 20,745 23,498
Taxes 5,529 5,881 5,102 6,938 6,780 7,071 6,610 7,887 7,887 8,106 7,680 8,994
Net Income 8,293 9,466 9,677 11,188 10,170 11,382 11,244 12,718 11,829 13,048 13,065 14,504
EPS $0.45 $0.51 $0.52 $0.59 $0.54 $0.60 $0.59 $0.67 $0.62 $0.68 $0.68 $0.75
Restructuring / Merger charges - - - - - - - - - - - -
Asset Write-offs - - - - - - - - - - - -
Other One-time Items & Discontinued Operations - - (14,477) - - - - - - - - -
GAAP EPS $0.45 $0.51 -$0.26 $0.59 $0.54 $0.60 $0.59 $0.67 $0.62 $0.68 $0.68 $0.75
Diluted Shares 18,610 18,660 18,502 18,931 18,978 19,026 19,073 19,121 19,169 19,217 19,265 19,313
Basic Shares 18,430 18,493 18,502 18,552 18,978 19,026 19,073 19,121 19,169 19,217 19,265 19,313
Dividend 0.13 0.13 0.13 6.16 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20
EBITDA 24,251 25,331 24,769 27,788 26,486 28,418 28,146 31,101 30,069 31,560 31,137 34,087
Change YOY 3.4% 5.0% -2.4% 7.9% 9.2% 12.2% 13.6% 11.9% 13.5% 11.1% 10.6% 9.6%
% of Sales 11.6% 11.7% 11.3% 12.4% 11.9% 12.6% 12.4% 13.4% 13.1% 13.6% 13.4% 14.3%
Margin Analysis 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13E 2Q13E 3Q13E 4Q13E 1Q14E 2Q14E 3Q14E 4Q14E
Gross Margin 30.6% 29.7% 29.6% 30.7% 30.9% 30.6% 30.4% 31.3% 31.4% 31.2% 31.0% 31.9%
Incremental GM% 25.8% 17.3% -19.0% 23.8% 35.1% 52.6% 53.6% 47.6% 47.6% 52.4% 51.7% 50.5%
Rental Operations 31.1% 30.7% 30.4% 31.2% 31.5% 31.3% 31.0% 32.0% 32.2% 32.0% 31.7% 32.7%
Incremental GM% 26.4% 23.6% -14.0% 30.1% 40.4% 46.3% 48.2% 54.9% 50.8% 53.6% 53.3% 54.3%
Direct Sale 24.2% 19.7% 20.3% 25.9% 24.0% 23.0% 23.3% 24.1% 23.6% 23.5% 23.6% 23.7%
Incremental GM% 21.1% -5.3% -53.9% -308.3% 23.1% 133.9% 122.5% -37.9% 10.0% 39.8% 33.6% 11.4%
SG&A Margin 23.2% 21.9% 22.1% 22.1% 22.7% 21.8% 22.0% 21.9% 22.4% 21.6% 21.7% 21.6%
D&A Margin 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 3.7% 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
Operating Margin 7.4% 7.8% 7.5% 8.7% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 9.4% 9.0% 9.6% 9.3% 10.2%
Incremental OM% 10.6% 15.1% 4.1% 29.5% 21.5% 32.0% 36.0% 30.0% 33.9% 37.4% 40.0% 38.9%
Pretax Margin 6.6% 7.1% 6.8% 8.1% 7.6% 8.2% 7.9% 8.9% 8.6% 9.1% 8.9% 9.8%
Tax Rate 40.0% 38.3% 34.5% 38.3% 40.0% 38.3% 37.0% 38.3% 40.0% 38.3% 37.0% 38.3%
Net Margin 4.0% 4.4% 4.4% 5.0% 4.6% 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% 5.1% 5.6% 5.6% 6.1%
Changes YOY 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13E 2Q13E 3Q13E 4Q13E 1Q14E 2Q14E 3Q14E 4Q14E
Total Revenue 6.8% 7.4% 4.0% 4.8% 6.0% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Total Internal Revenue 5.7% 7.1% 4.9% 5.4% 6.0% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Total Organic Revenue Growth 5.7% 7.1% 4.9% 5.4% 6.0% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Rental Operations 6.4% 6.3% 3.8% 5.2% 4.5% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Internal 6.4% 6.3% 3.8% 5.2% 4.5% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Organic (yoy) 5.2% 6.0% 4.8% 5.8% 4.5% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Direct Sale 12.1% 19.0% 6.0% 1.0% 25.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Internal 12.1% 19.0% 6.0% 1.0% 25.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Organic 12.1% 19.0% 6.0% 1.0% 25.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Gross Income 5.7% 4.2% -2.4% 3.7% 6.9% 6.9% 6.3% 5.4% 5.3% 5.1% 5.1% 4.8%
Rental Operations 5.4% 4.7% -1.7% 5.0% 5.8% 6.0% 5.5% 6.2% 5.6% 5.1% 5.2% 5.1%
Direct Sale 10.4% -4.1% -13.1% -10.2% 23.9% 20.4% 18.1% -4.4% 1.3% 5.2% 4.3% 1.4%
Operating Expenses 4.3% 0.7% -3.9% -1.2% 3.5% 3.7% 2.8% 2.8% 2.1% 2.1% 1.6% 1.6%
Operating Income 10.1% 15.2% 2.2% 18.5% 17.6% 16.0% 16.7% 12.0% 14.3% 12.9% 14.3% 12.4%
Pretax Income 21.2% 24.7% 13.7% 28.0% 22.6% 20.2% 20.8% 13.7% 16.3% 14.6% 16.2% 14.0%
Net Income 29.5% 25.6% 21.5% 22.7% 22.6% 20.2% 16.2% 13.7% 16.3% 14.6% 16.2% 14.0%
EPS 27.7% 24.3% 21.1% 20.6% 20.2% 17.9% 12.7% 12.5% 15.2% 13.5% 15.0% 12.9%
Source: Company reports and Robert W. Baird & Co. analysis
Please refer to "Appendix - Important Disclosures" and Analyst Certification
G&K Services
Quarterly Model
20
Andrew J. Wittmann, CFA (414) 298-1898
Justin P. Hauke (314) 445-6519
Date Printed: 9/14/2012
Year End: June
Assets 2004 2005 2006 2007R 2008R 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 4Q11 4Q12
Cash and cash equivalents 26,931 15,345 19,690 22,759 12,651 13,136 8,774 22,974 19,604 19,604 19,604 22,974 19,604
Accounts Receivable 71,058 83,459 94,964 98,276 111,307 85,209 82,754 90,522 93,064 96,279 99,168 90,522 93,064
Inventory 94,476 121,120 141,031 140,780 142,318 135,492 126,325 163,050 178,226 177,642 181,483 163,050 178,226
Other Current Assets 14,902 16,587 15,552 14,912 26,181 21,241 21,279 21,614 12,239 12,736 13,253 21,614 12,239
Total Current Assets 207,367 236,511 271,237 276,727 292,457 255,078 239,132 298,160 303,133 306,261 313,507 298,160 303,133
Net PP & E 240,609 243,307 249,001 255,996 253,041 216,736 194,988 185,521 187,840 197,622 203,262 185,521 187,840
Goodwill 285,892 338,701 349,469 380,070 434,900 319,942 323,055 328,219 325,336 325,336 325,336 328,219 325,336
Other Intangible Assets 44,960 57,790 50,712 44,928 40,996 29,539 22,300 18,200 12,435 7,147 1,858 18,200 12,435
Investments/Held for Sale - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Other Assets 23,919 26,860 30,673 34,093 31,780 29,873 34,393 35,820 44,987 44,987 44,987 35,820 44,987
Total Assets 802,747 903,169 951,092 991,814 1,053,174 851,168 813,868 865,920 873,731 881,352 888,951 865,920 873,731
Liabilities & Equity
Current Portion of LTD 24,018 26,537 18,199 65,838 7,891 7,744 1,023 40,710 206 206 206 40,710 206
Accounts Payable 20,511 25,695 27,404 21,911 30,873 29,134 25,944 38,067 41,358 42,439 43,356 38,067 41,358
Deferred Taxes 7,395 8,971 10,419 6,568 6,154 3,414 3,557 7,626 8,439 8,439 8,439 7,626 8,439
Other Liabilities 76,470 71,483 72,999 68,927 78,282 79,010 71,478 72,395 69,902 71,311 72,748 72,395 69,902
Total Current Liabilities 128,394 132,686 129,021 163,244 123,200 119,302 102,002 158,798 119,905 122,394 124,749 158,798 119,905
Long term Debt 184,305 210,462 195,355 149,005 280,428 224,781 160,398 95,188 218,018 192,495 161,052 95,188 218,018
Deferred and Accrued Income Taxes 38,256 32,580 34,343 34,298 35,190 1,893 11,355 22,388 16,812 16,812 16,812 22,388 16,812
Pension Withdrawal Liability - - - - - - - - 23,562 23,562 23,562 - 23,562
Other Noncurrent Liabs 26,369 47,691 44,985 53,279 56,880 67,836 73,217 74,640 92,375 92,375 92,375 74,640 92,375
Stockholder's Equity 425,423 479,750 547,388 591,988 557,476 437,356 466,896 514,906 403,059 433,714 470,401 514,906 403,059
Total Liabs & SE 802,747 903,169 951,092 991,814 1,053,174 851,168 813,868 865,920 873,731 881,352 888,951 865,920 873,731
Balance Sheet Statistics 2004 2005 2006 2007R 2008R 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 4Q11 4Q12
Net Total Debt to Capital 29% 31% 25% 24% 33% 33% 24% 17% 32% 28% 22% 17% 32%
Current Ratio 1.6 1.8 2.1 1.7 2.4 2.1 2.3 1.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.9 2.5
EBITDA / Gross Interest Expense 9.1 10.3 8.9 9.0 8.9 7.8 6.4 9.6 16.8 23.9 31.0 9.6 16.8
Debt/EBITDA (TTM) 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.4 2.1 1.7 1.3 1.4 2.1
Book Value $20.22 $22.59 $25.66 $27.53 $28.96 $24.01 $25.39 $27.67 $21.29 $22.68 $24.36 $27.67 $21.29
Tangible Book Value $4.49 $3.92 $6.90 $7.77 $4.24 $4.82 $6.61 $9.06 $3.45 $5.29 $7.42 $9.06 $3.45
Ending working capital / Annualized Sales 10% 14% 15% 16% 16% 15% 15% 18% 18% 18% 18% 18% 18%
Ending Working Capital / TTM Sales 10.4% 14.6% 16.0% 16.8% 16.4% 13.9% 15.6% 19.1% 18.8% 18.1% 18.1% 19.1% 18.8%
Inventory Turnover 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.0 4.5 4.4 4.1 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.4
Cash & Equivs. / Annualized Sales 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2%
Receivable Days (Ending) 34 37 38 37 40 36 35 39 38 38 38 39 38
Inventory Days (Ending) 71 82 86 79 75 80 77 101 105 102 102 101 105
Accounts Payable Days (Ending) 15 17 17 12 16 17 16 24 24 24 24 24 24
Cash Cycle Days (Ending) 89 102 107 104 99 98 97 116 118 115 115 116 118
Receivable Days (Average) 35 36 37 38 38 38 37 38 39 38 38 38 39
Inventory Days (Average) 74 78 83 84 76 77 82 93 103 104 102 93 103
Payable Days (Average) 16 17 17 15 14 17 17 21 24 24 24 21 24
Cash Cycle Days (Average) 94 97 103 108 100 99 102 111 117 117 116 111 117
Return on Average Equity 2004 2005 2006 2007R 2008R 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 4Q11 4Q12
Net Margin 4.8% 5.1% 4.8% 4.7% 4.6% 3.4% 2.6% 3.8% 4.4% 5.0% 5.6% 3.8% 4.4%
Asset Turnover (S/A) 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0
Leverage (A/E) 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.9
Return on Average Equity 8.8% 8.8% 7.6% 7.6% 8.0% 6.4% 4.7% 6.3% 8.4% 10.9% 11.6% 6.3% 8.4%
ROIC Calculation 2004 2005 2006 2007R 2008R 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 4Q11 4Q12ROIC, Annualized 6.8% 6.5% 6.1% 6.1% 6.5% 5.9% 4.7% 5.8% 6.8% 7.8% 8.7% 6.3% 7.7%
Source: Company reports and Robert W. Baird & Co. analysis
Please refer to "Appendix - Important Disclosures" and Analyst Certification
G&K Services
Balance Sheet
21
Andrew J. Wittmann, CFA (414) 298-1898
Justin P. Hauke (314) 445-6519
Date Printed: 9/14/2012
Year End: June
Quarterly Statement of Cash Flows 2004 2005 2006 2007R 2008R 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 4Q11 4Q12
Cash Flow from Operating Activities
Net Income 35,384 39,927 41,851 43,228 46,049 (62,432) 21,372 31,027 38,624 45,514 52,446 9,117 11,188
Adj. to reconcile net income to Cash Flows - -
Deferred tax benefit 3,525 (4,100) 3,211 (3,896) 478 (34,999) (1,824) 982 2,775 - - (2,752) 4,278
Depreciation 31,417 31,981 32,479 34,789 37,304 37,052 33,788 31,200 28,983 30,218 32,360 7,768 7,042
Amortization 7,929 9,562 10,784 10,806 11,100 7,200 6,400 6,400 5,000 5,288 5,288 1,600 1,322
Allowance for uncollectible accounts - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Reserve for Inventory - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Asset sales (gains/losses) - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Charges - - - - - 124,700 7,240 2,133 (14,477) - - (1,566) -
Changes in working capital
Accounts receivable (1,219) (12,401) (11,505) (3,312) (13,031) 22,155 2,455 (7,768) (2,542) (3,215) (2,888) 779 957
Inventories 1,377 (26,644) (19,911) 251 1,470 6,762 (1,643) (36,725) (14,633) 584 (3,841) (17,253) (506)
Other Current Assets (54) (1,685) 1,035 640 2,963 8,874 (38) (335) 9,375 (497) (517) (5,912) 801
Accounts payable 283 5,184 1,709 (5,493) 8,962 3,485 (3,190) 12,123 3,291 1,081 918 3,288 7,529
Other Current Liabilities 14,143 (4,987) 1,516 (4,072) (7,986) 5,405 (7,532) 917 (2,493) 1,409 1,437 889 1,188
Other 3,482 26,697 8,352 7,486 15,719 (15,022) 15,682 27,050 19,070 - - 22,029 (202)
Net Cash Flow from Operations 96,267 63,534 69,521 80,427 103,028 103,180 72,710 67,004 72,973 80,381 85,202 17,987 33,598
- -
Cash Flow used in Investing Activities
Capital Expenditures (17,349) (19,408) (31,968) (31,515) (27,057) (23,363) (16,710) (20,670) (34,026) (40,000) (38,000) (5,205) (8,105)
Cash Paid for Acquisitions / Cash Received for Divestitures (26,527) (76,466) (13,422) (49,654) (63,820) 33 21,620 - (1,087) - - - (1,087)
Purchase of Investments - - - - (3,223) - - - - - - - -
Increase in Short-Term Investments, net - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Other - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Net Cash Flow from Investing (43,876) (95,874) (45,390) (81,169) (94,100) (23,330) 4,910 (20,670) (35,113) (40,000) (38,000) (5,205) (9,192)
Cash Flow from Financing Activities
Issuance of Common Stock 5,218 5,952 2,958 3,279 4,357 210 384 695 2,858 - - 436 1,989
Purchase of Common Stock - - - (7,883) (93,142) (17,047) (395) (352) (817) - - (10) (200)
Payment of Dividends (1,459) (1,467) (1,493) (3,436) (4,041) (5,213) (5,579) (7,105) (123,921) (14,859) (15,758) (1,778) (116,581)
Net Borrowings from (payments to) Banks (80,786) 14,671 (22,063) 11,757 73,467 (56,240) (76,245) (25,525) 81,215 (25,523) (31,443) (10,262) 92,841
Net Cash Flow from Financing Activities (77,027) 19,156 (20,598) 3,717 (19,359) (78,290) (81,835) (32,287) (40,665) (40,381) (47,202) (11,614) (21,951)
- -
Effects of Foreign Exchange 306 1,598 812 142 293 (1,075) (147) 153 (565) - - (138) (442)
Net Increase (decrease) in Cash (24,330) (11,586) 4,345 3,117 (10,138) 485 (4,362) 14,200 (3,370) - - 1,030 2,013
Cash & Equivalents, Beg. Of Year 11,504 26,931 15,345 19,690 22,759 12,651 13,136 8,774 22,974 19,604 19,604 21,838 17,249
Cash & Equivalents, End Of Year 6,052 15,345 19,690 22,290 12,874 13,136 8,774 22,868 19,262 19,604 19,604 22,868 19,262
Free Cash Flow (before dividends) 78,918 44,126 37,553 48,912 75,971 79,817 56,000 46,334 38,947 40,381 47,202 12,782 25,493
% of Sales 10.8% 5.6% 4.3% 5.3% 7.6% 8.5% 6.8% 5.6% 4.5% 4.5% 5.1% 6.0% 11.4%
% of Net Income 223.0% 110.5% 89.7% 113.1% 165.0% -127.8% 262.0% 149.3% 100.8% 88.7% 90.0% 140.2% 227.9%
FCF / share $3.78 $2.08 $1.77 $2.28 $3.75 $4.33 $3.05 $2.51 $2.09 $2.12 $2.45 $0.69 $1.35
Excess Cash Flow (after dividends) 77,459 42,659 36,060 45,476 71,930 74,604 50,421 39,229 (84,974) 25,523 31,443 11,004 (91,088)
% of Sales 10.6% 5.4% 4.1% 4.9% 7.2% 8.0% 6.1% 4.8% -9.8% 2.8% 3.4% 5.1% -40.6%
Source: Company reports and Robert W. Baird & Co. analysis
Please refer to "Appendix - Important Disclosures" and Analyst Certification
G&K Services
Cash Flow Model
22
Appendix - Important Disclosures and Analyst Certification
Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q316
24
32
40
48
2010 2011 2012
09/23/09U:$28
12/23/09U:$26
02/17/10U:$22
07/21/10N:$28
09/22/10N:$30
12/22/10N:$32
03/14/11O:$34
03/23/11O:$35
07/20/11O:$36
09/12/11O:$34
12/21/11O:$38
02/21/12O:$42
03/21/12N:$45
06/15/12N:$41
Rating and Price Target History for: Cintas Corporation (CTAS) as of 09-14-2012
Created by BlueMatrix
Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q315
20
25
30
35
40
2010 2011 2012
09/23/09U:$21
10/28/09N:$23
01/27/10N:$26
04/28/10N:$28
06/15/10N:$23
08/18/10N:$24
11/02/10N:$30
01/19/11O:$37
02/02/11O:$38
05/03/11O:$40
08/17/11O:$37
01/31/12O:$38
04/09/12O:$43
05/02/12O:$39
06/15/12O:$36
Rating and Price Target History for: G&K Services, Inc. (GKSR) as of 09-14-2012
Created by BlueMatrix
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
23
Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q330
40
50
60
70
2010 2011 2012
09/23/09U:$42
10/29/09U:$43
01/07/10O:$59
04/01/10O:$60
07/01/10O:$51
10/20/10O:$54
01/05/11O:$57
01/19/11N:$58
03/30/11N:$60
06/30/11N:$61
09/12/11N:$57
10/19/11O:$60
01/05/12O:$68
03/29/12O:$70
06/15/12O:$68
06/28/12O:$72
07/17/12N:$73
Rating and Price Target History for: UniFirst Corporation (UNF) as of 09-14-2012
Created by BlueMatrix
1 Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated makes a market in the securities of CTAS, GKSR and UNF.
Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated and/or its affiliates expect to receive or intend to seek investment banking related compensationfrom the company or companies mentioned in this report within the next three months.Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated may not be licensed to execute transactions in all foreign listed securities directly. Transactions inforeign listed securities may be prohibited for residents of the United States. Please contact a Baird representative for more information.Investment Ratings: Outperform (O) - Expected to outperform on a total return, risk-adjusted basis the broader U.S. equity marketover the next 12 months. Neutral (N) - Expected to perform in line with the broader U.S. equity market over the next 12 months.Underperform (U) - Expected to underperform on a total return, risk-adjusted basis the broader U.S. equity market over the next 12months.Risk Ratings: L - Lower Risk - Higher-quality companies for investors seeking capital appreciation or income with an emphasis onsafety. Company characteristics may include: stable earnings, conservative balance sheets, and an established history of revenue andearnings. A - Average Risk - Growth situations for investors seeking capital appreciation with an emphasis on safety. Companycharacteristics may include: moderate volatility, modest balance-sheet leverage, and stable patterns of revenue and earnings. H -Higher Risk - Higher-growth situations appropriate for investors seeking capital appreciation with the acceptance of risk. Companycharacteristics may include: higher balance-sheet leverage, dynamic business environments, and higher levels of earnings and pricevolatility. S - Speculative Risk - High-growth situations appropriate only for investors willing to accept a high degree of volatility and risk.Company characteristics may include: unpredictable earnings, small capitalization, aggressive growth strategies, rapidly changingmarket dynamics, high leverage, extreme price volatility and unknown competitive challenges.Valuation, Ratings and Risks. The recommendation and price target contained within this report are based on a time horizon of 12months but there is no guarantee the objective will be achieved within the specified time horizon. Price targets are determined by asubjective review of fundamental and/or quantitative factors of the issuer, its industry, and the security type. A variety of methods may beused to determine the value of a security including, but not limited to, discounted cash flow, earnings multiples, peer group comparisons,and sum of the parts. Overall market risk, interest rate risk, and general economic risks impact all securities. Specific informationregarding the price target and recommendation is provided in the text of our most recent research report.Distribution of Investment Ratings. As of August 31, 2012, Baird U.S. Equity Research covered 679 companies, with 53% ratedOutperform/Buy, 46% rated Neutral/Hold and 1% rated Underperform/Sell. Within these rating categories, 12% of Outperform/Buy-rated,8% of Neutral/Hold-rated and 11% of Underperform/Sell rated companies have compensated Baird for investment banking services inthe past 12 months and/or Baird managed or co-managed a public offering of securities for these companies in the past 12 months.Analyst Compensation. Analyst compensation is based on: 1) The correlation between the analyst's recommendations and stock priceperformance; 2) Ratings and direct feedback from our investing clients, our institutional and retail sales force (as applicable) and fromindependent rating services; 3) The analyst's productivity, including the quality of the analyst's research and the analyst's contribution tothe growth and development of our overall research effort and 4) Compliance with all of Robert W. Baird’s internal policies andprocedures. This compensation criteria and actual compensation is reviewed and approved on an annual basis by Baird's ResearchOversight Committee.Analyst compensation is derived from all revenue sources of the firm, including revenues from investment banking. Baird does notcompensate research analysts based on specific investment banking transactions.A complete listing of all companies covered by Baird U.S. Equity Research and applicable research disclosures can be accessed athttp://www.rwbaird.com/research-insights/research/coverage/research-disclosure.aspx .You can also call 1-800-792-2473 or write: Robert W. Baird & Co., Equity Research, 24th Floor, 777 E. Wisconsin Avenue, Milwaukee,WI 53202.Analyst Certification. The senior research analyst(s) certifies that the views expressed in this research report and/or financial modelaccurately reflect such senior analyst's personal views about the subject securities or issuers and that no part of his or her compensationwas, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in the research report.
September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.
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DisclaimersBaird prohibits analysts from owning stock in companies they cover.This is not a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any company, industry or security. The opinions expressed here reflectour judgment at this date and are subject to change. The information has been obtained from sources we consider to be reliable, but wecannot guarantee the accuracy.ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON COMPANIES MENTIONED HEREIN IS AVAILABLE UPON REQUESTThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, S&P 400 and Russell 2000 are unmanaged common stock indices used to measure andreport performance of various sectors of the stock market; direct investment in indices is not available.Baird is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services license. Baird is regulated by the United States Securitiesand Exchange Commission, FINRA, and various other self-regulatory organizations and those laws and regulations may differ fromAustralian laws. This report has been prepared in accordance with the laws and regulations governing United States broker-dealers andnot Australian laws.Copyright 2012 Robert W. Baird & Co. IncorporatedOther DisclosuresThe information and rating included in this report represent the Analyst’s long-term (12 month) view as described above. Robert W. Baird& Co. Incorporated and/or its affiliates (Baird) may provide to certain clients additional or research supplemental products or services,such as outlooks, commentaries and other detailed analyses, which focus on covered stocks, companies, industries or sectors. Not allclients who receive our standard company-specific research reports are eligible to receive these additional or supplemental products orservices. Baird determines in its sole discretion the clients who will receive additional or supplemental products or services, in light ofvarious factors including the size and scope of the client relationships. These additional or supplemental products or services mayfeature different analytical or research techniques and information than are contained in Baird’s standard research reports. Any ratingsand recommendations contained in such additional or research supplemental products are consistent with the Analyst’s long-termratings and recommendations contained in more broadly disseminated standard research reports.UK disclosure requirements for the purpose of distributing this research into the UK and other countries for which Robert W.Baird Limited holds an ISD passport.This report is for distribution into the United Kingdom only to persons who fall within Article 19 or Article 49(2) of the Financial Servicesand Markets Act 2000 (financial promotion) order 2001 being persons who are investment professionals and may not be distributed toprivate clients. Issued in the United Kingdom by Robert W. Baird Limited, which has offices at Mint House 77 Mansell Street, London, E18AF, and is a company authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. For the purposes of the Financial ServicesAuthority requirements, this investment research report is classified as objective.Robert W. Baird Limited ("RWBL") is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services license. RWBL is regulated bythe Financial Services Authority ("FSA") under UK laws and those laws may differ from Australian laws. This document has beenprepared in accordance with FSA requirements and not Australian laws.
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September 17, 2012 | Facility Services
Robert W. Baird & Co.