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8/24/16 1 INTRODUCTION TO STATISTICS UNIT 1, LESSON 1; AP STATS HIRING DISCRIMINATION With your neighbors, talk about and complete the distributed activity. Introduction to AP Stats Hiring discrimination: It just won’t fly! An airline has just finished training 25 junior pilots—15 male and 10 female—to become captains. Unfortunately, only eight captain positions are available right now. Airline managers announce that they will use a lottery process to determine which pilots will fill the available positions. The names of all 25 pilots will be written on identical slips of paper, placed in a hat, mixed thoroughly, and drawn out one at a time until all eight captains have been identified. A day later, managers announce the results of the lottery. Of the 8 captains chosen, 5 are female and only 3 are male. Some of the male pilots who were not selected suspect that the lottery was not carried out fairly. One of the pilots knows that you are taking a statistics class, and comes to you for advice. You offer to consult with your classmates and get back to him. The key question in this possible discrimination case seems to be: is it plausible (believable) that these results happened just by chance? To find out, you and your classmates will simulate the lottery process that airline managers said they used. 1. Without looking, remove 8 beads from the bag. Count the number of female pilots selected. Then return the beads to the bag. 2. Your teacher will draw and label axes for a class dotplot. Plot the number of females you obtained in Step 1 on the graph. 3. Repeat Steps 1 and 2 if needed to get a total of at least 40 simulated lottery results for your class. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 4. Discuss the results with your classmates. Does it seem believable that airline managers carried out a fair lottery? What advice would you give the male pilot who contacted you? 5. Would your advice change if the lottery had chosen 6 female (and 2 male) pilots? What about 7 female pilots? Explain. Number of female pilots chosen in fair lottery STATISTICAL THINKING The activity models the components of the statistical problem solving process that we will be using throughout this course: DEFINITION OF STATISTICS What, then, constitutes data?

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8/24/16

1

INTRODUCTIO

N TO STA

TISTIC

S

U N I T 1 , L E S S O N 1 ; A P S T A T S

HIRING DISCRIMINATION

With your neighbors, talk about and complete the distributed activity.

IntroductiontoAPStatsHiringdiscrimination:Itjustwon’tfly!

Anairlinehasjustfinishedtraining25juniorpilots—15maleand10female—tobecomecaptains.Unfortunately,onlyeightcaptainpositionsareavailablerightnow.Airlinemanagersannouncethattheywillusealotteryprocesstodeterminewhichpilotswillfilltheavailablepositions.Thenamesofall25pilotswillbewrittenonidenticalslipsofpaper,placedinahat,mixedthoroughly,anddrawnoutoneatatimeuntilalleightcaptainshavebeenidentified.

Adaylater,managersannouncetheresultsofthelottery.Ofthe8captainschosen,5arefemaleandonly3aremale.Someofthemalepilotswhowerenotselectedsuspectthatthelotterywasnotcarriedoutfairly.Oneofthepilotsknowsthatyouaretakingastatisticsclass,andcomestoyouforadvice.Youoffertoconsultwithyourclassmatesandgetbacktohim.

Thekeyquestioninthispossiblediscriminationcaseseemstobe:isitplausible(believable)thattheseresultshappenedjustbychance?Tofindout,youandyourclassmateswillsimulatethelotteryprocessthatairlinemanagerssaidtheyused.

1.Withoutlooking,remove8beadsfromthebag.Countthenumberoffemalepilotsselected.Thenreturnthebeadstothebag.2.Yourteacherwilldrawandlabelaxesforaclassdotplot.PlotthenumberoffemalesyouobtainedinStep1onthegraph.3.RepeatSteps1and2ifneededtogetatotalofatleast40simulatedlotteryresultsforyourclass.0123456784.Discusstheresultswithyourclassmates.Doesitseembelievablethatairlinemanagerscarriedoutafairlottery?Whatadvicewouldyougivethemalepilotwhocontactedyou?5.Wouldyouradvicechangeifthelotteryhadchosen6female(and2male)pilots?Whatabout7femalepilots?Explain.

Number of female pilots chosen in fair lottery

STATISTICAL THINKING The activity models the components of the statistical problem

solving process that we will be using throughout this course:

DEFINITION OF STATISTICS

What, then, constitutes data?

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EX 1: WHAT INDIVIDUALS DO THE DATA DESCRIBE?

EX 2: WHAT INDIVIDUALS DO THE DATA DESCRIBE?

BACK TO INDIVIDUALS…

After it’s determined what individuals are being described, Further, there are

EX 1: WHAT VARIABLE IS BEING MEASURED? AND WHAT KIND OF VARIABLE IS IT?

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EX 2: WHAT VARIABLES ARE BEING MEASURED? AND WHAT KIND OF VARIABLES ARE THEY? HOW TO EXPLORE DATA

1. 

2.

3. 4.

GRAPHICAL DISPLAYS OF DATA: SO MANY CHOICES! GRAPHING CATEGORICAL DATA

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HOLD UP…DON’T GET TOO GRAPH CRAZY.

This is a misleading graph. Any ideas why?

STILL GETTING CRAZY WITH GRAPHS.

Which one is deceptive, and why? What impression do you get?

ON YOUR OWN TO SHARE

1. Using our class, identify one group of individuals.

2.   From these individuals, identify two variables we could measure, one categorical and one quantitative.

3.   Then, repeat #1 and #2, but with a non-human group of individuals. (*note: remember, these individuals do NOT have to be physically in the classroom…they can be, but don’t get too confined with what I’m asking).

Homework: 1, 3, 5, 7, 8, 11, 13, 15, and 17 from section 1.1 of newer edition handout. Also, create the glossary for the terminology from 1.1.