ansonia debt analysis

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  • 8/18/2019 Ansonia Debt Analysis

    1/9

    City of

    Ansonia,

    Connecticut

    Existing

    &

    Proposed Debt Analysis

    April 7,

    2016

    Barry Bernabe

    Managing

    Director

    PrroENrx

    ADVISORS,

    LLC

  • 8/18/2019 Ansonia Debt Analysis

    2/9

    Long-term

    lnterest

    Rates

    Ten

    Year

    U.S.

    Treasury Yield

    -

    January

    1,1970

    to

    April

    2016

    17o/"

    160/o

    1$Vo

    14o/"

    13o/o

    12o/o

    11o/o

    1Oo/o

    9o/o

    8o/o

    7o/o

    60/o

    5o/o

    4o/o

    3o/o

    2o/o

    1olo

    17o/o

    160/o

    15o/o

    14o/o

    13o/o

    12o/o

    11o/o

    1Oo/o

    9o/o

    8o/o

    7olo

    60/o

    5o/o

    4o/o

    3o/o

    2o/o

    1olo

    FF+

    BFTE

    EqBEqEEq

    qEEE

    EqqHE?E*

    q

    5

    8t58gi

    0$5

    $PI fi95 $t5

    $E

    5

    g

    E

    E

    si

    i

    Prronxrx

    ,"\D\IIS0R\Lt"C

    dMWtu

    %*t*M

    \

    High:

    September

    1981

    t

    16.0%

    Low:

    July 2012, 1.5OYo

    l-,

    \-

    I

    \

    it

    I \-

    r1 \

    t

    U

    \-

    .I

    -l

    \-

    A f' /Y'LA

    \-

    \

    ,

    /v

    "\n/

    U

    ^l

    \-

    Ul

    -,rrl"

    '\.

    lkry\ tu \-

    v

    u

    \/\n. \-

    ts

    -Y-\.

    r^ltl,/w \.

    11

    '

    vlr,r1

    n

    r

    v[

    /\*

    --***M,,

    Page

    2

  • 8/18/2019 Ansonia Debt Analysis

    3/9

    Standard &

    Poor's Rating

    Scale

    H

    ighest

    AAA

    Greenwich, Westport,

    West

    Hartford

    BBB- None

    PuonNrx

    ADVISORS,IJ,C

    n

    Shelton, Southington,

    Suffield

    Derby,

    Seymour,

    Watertown

    Ansonia,

    Bolton,

    Portland

    Bridgeport,

    Waterbury

    Hartford, Hamdefl,

    West

    Have

    East Haven, New

    Haven

    None

    None

    :

    -

    +

    A,A+

    AA

    aA-

    A+

    A

    &

    BBB

    BBB

    Lowest

    Page 3

  • 8/18/2019 Ansonia Debt Analysis

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    Existinq

    Short-Term

    Bond

    Anticipation

    Notes

    (BANs)

    Project

    Amount

    Authorized

    Lot A

    Tax-

    Exempt

    to

    Mature 5123116

    Lot

    B Taxable

    to

    Mature

    5t23t16

    Demolition of the

    Rircrside

    Housing

    Complex

    $5,200,000 $2,975,000

    2013-14 CIP

    -

    Various

    Capital

    lmprorcments 5,120,000 3,750,000

    Total

    $3,750,000

    $2,975,000

    Page 4

  • 8/18/2019 Ansonia Debt Analysis

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    Existinq

    Debt

    Seruice Pavments

    $3,500,000

    $3,000,000

    $2,500,000

    $2,000,000

    $1,500,000

    $1,000,000

    $500,000

    $0

    N2013-14

    CIP

    aRiverside

    P&l

    rExisting

    NET Debt Service

    INN

    N

    #+d

    t#t-H

    l]JrJ]+

    ffi

    I

    I

    FiscalYear

    Page

    5

  • 8/18/2019 Ansonia Debt Analysis

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  • 8/18/2019 Ansonia Debt Analysis

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    Existing

    &

    Proposed Debt

    Spreadsheet

    Line

    Descriiption

    Tvpe FY 2015-16 FY 2OL6-LI FY 2OL7-L8 FY 2018-19 FY 20L9-20 FY 2020-2L

    7 2004 Bond Principal

    School

    1,610,000

    1,080,000 1,075,000

    2

    2011 Bond Principal

    School

    1,190,000

    1.200.000

    1,180,000 1,165,000

    3

    2004 Bond lnterest

    School L37,225 72,675 24,1,88

    4

    2011 Bond lnterest School L24.200 88.350

    52,650 77,475

    5

    Chase

    Ambulance

    &

    Dump Truck

    Lease

    ARMS/PW 85,356

    85,356 85,356

    6 Plow Truck Lease PW

    77,913

    7L.913

    7

    Fire Truck

    and Sweeper Fire/PW 1.44,400 L3L,47A t3L,470 L37,470

    73L,470 78,865

    8 Riverside BAN Principal

    Citv/Housins

    1s0.000

    18s,000 325,000

    300,000 300,000 300,000

    9 Riverside

    BAN

    lnterest

    City/Housing

    50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 s0,000 s0,000

    10 2OL3-L4

    CIP

    Princioal

    City 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000

    200,000

    LI

    2OL3-L4

    CIP

    lnterest

    Citv 50,000 150,000 125,000

    LL7,OOO

    110,500 108,000

    L2

    Future 2OL6-L7

    CIP

    Debt

    Service City

    25,000 540,000 1,0s5,000 1,110,000

    L3

    Total Gross Debt 3.613.094

    3,314,764 3,273,664 2,520,945 1-,846,970 1,846,865

    L4

    Less

    State

    Reimbursements

    (1,,762,1.s81

    (1,464,s74\

    (1,399,132) (672,952

    15 Net Debt

    Service 1.850.936 1,850,190 1.,874,532

    L,847,993 L,846,970 L,8,46,965

    Amount

    budgeted

    for

    Debt

    Service

    FY 2075-76

    Page

  • 8/18/2019 Ansonia Debt Analysis

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    Existing

    & Proposed

    Debt

    Service

    $3,500,000

    $3,000,000

    $2,500,000

    $2,000,000

    $1,500,000

    $1,000,000

    o

    N

    o

    N

    FiscalYear

    EFuture

    Debt

    Capacity

    N2013-14

    CIP

    e

    Riverside P&l

    r Existing

    NET Debt

    Service

    Page

    8

  • 8/18/2019 Ansonia Debt Analysis

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    Summary Points

    o

    Though

    the

    Fed has started

    to

    raise short-term interest rates,

    they

    remain

    at

    close to

    historic

    Iow

    levels

    (about

    0.50%) and so do long-term rates.

    .

    The City

    has rating

    of

    AA-

    which

    will

    allow

    for strong

    investor demand.

    .

    The

    City has an opportunity for a

    possible

    upgrade to AA

    o

    The

    City's existing debt service amortizes

    very

    aggressively.

    .

    Structured appropriately

    -

    the City can

    issue over

    $4

    million

    per year

    with no impact on

    the

    debt service

    budget.

    o

    The

    City currently budgets about

    $1.8

    million

    per

    year

    for

    debt service.

    The

    City

    would

    need

    to

    keep debt service budgeted

    at

    the

    $1.8

    million.

    Page

    9