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The New Economy in Indianapolis

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Rob Atkinson

Vice President and Director, Technology and New Economy Project

Progressive Policy Institute

www.ppionline.org

The New Economy in Indianapolis

• Founded in 1989 by the Democratic Leadership Council

• 501 (c) (3)

• Mission is to define and promote a ‘Third Way’

progressive politics for the Information Age

• An alternative to the liberal impulse to defend the

bureaucratic status quo and the conservative bid to

dismantle government

The Progressive Policy Institute

The New Economy in Indianapolis

“The Information Economy” “The Network Economy”

“The Digital Economy”

“The Knowledge Economy”“The Risk Society”

“The New Economy”

The New Economy in Indianapolis

• A New Economy Has Emerged

• It Will Change The Nature And Practice Of Economic Development

• It Will Affect All Regions And Communities

• There’s No Going Back

The New Economy in Indianapolis

The New Economy is a knowledge and idea-based economy where the keys to wealth and job creation are the extent to which ideas, innovation, and technology are imbedded in all sectors of the economy.

The question to ask is not “do we have ‘New Economy’ industries,” but rather, “are our industries New Economy?”

6The New Economy in Indianapolis

Economist Joseph Schumpter DescribedHis Era’s (1940's) New Economy

“These [economic] revolutions periodicallyreshape the existing structure of industry byintroducing new methods of production -- themechanized factory, the electrified factory,chemical synthesis, and the like; newcommodities, such as railroad service, motorcars,electrical appliances; new forms of organization --the merger movement; new sources of supply -LaPlata wool, American cotton, Katanga copper;new trade routes and markets to sell in and soon.”

7The New Economy in Indianapolis

Today’s New Economy Transformation isJust as Profound

These revolutions periodically reshape the existingstructure of industry by introducing new methods ofproduction -- the networked office, computer-aidedmanufacturing, biotechnology production and thelike; new commodities, such as the Internet, cellulartelecommunications, the PC; new forms oforganization -- the venture capital movement; therise of “high-performance work organizations”; thegrowth in business alliances and partnerships; andnew sources of supply - high-skilled H1-Bimmigrants, solar power; new trade routes andmarkets to sell in (Nafta, Asia) and so on.

8The New Economy in Indianapolis

The Reports of the Demise of the New

Economy are Premature

9The New Economy in Indianapolis

GDP Growth: What Recession?

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.04.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

1998 1999 2000 2001

% G

row

th

10The New Economy in Indianapolis

Productivity Growth

0

1

2

3

4

5

1998 1999 2000 2001

% C

hang

e

11The New Economy in Indianapolis

The Stock Market

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Dow Jones

Nasdaq

12The New Economy in Indianapolis

IT Expenditures

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1998 1999 2000 2001

Bill

ions

13The New Economy in Indianapolis

Telecom Investment

0

20

40

60

80

1998 1999 2000 2001* 2002*

* Projections

Bill

ions

14The New Economy in Indianapolis

Venture Capital Still Higher than in 90’s

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Bill

ions

15The New Economy in Indianapolis

Industry R&D Expenditures

1.80%

1.85%

1.90%

1.95%

2.00%

2.05%

1997 1998 1999 2000

% o

f GD

P

16The New Economy in Indianapolis

Patents Issued

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

17The New Economy in Indianapolis

The Digital Economy is Alive

and Well

18The New Economy in Indianapolis

Rapid E-Commerce Growth

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Billions o

f D

ollars

1998 1999 2000

U.S. Internet Economy

19The New Economy in Indianapolis

Mushrooming Internet Hosts

020406080

100120140

Mill

ions

20The New Economy in Indianapolis

More People Online

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1997 1998 2000 2001

% O

nlin

e

21The New Economy in Indianapolis

More People Can Get Broadband

0

20

40

60

80

100

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

% o

f Hou

seho

lds

DSL and/or Cable Modem Cable Modem DSL

22The New Economy in Indianapolis

More People Have Broadband

02468

101214

99 00 01 02* 03* 04* 05** Projections

Mil

lio

ns

of

Su

bsc

rib

ers

Cable-to-PC DSL

23The New Economy in Indianapolis

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

1999 2000 2001

Bill

ions

of D

olla

rsBanner Ad Sales

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Metropolitan and State New Economy Indexes used 5 groups of indicators to measure how well places are adapting to the New Economy:

Knowledge Jobs Globalization Economic Dynamism Digital Economy Technological Innovation

How Are Indiana and Indianapolis Doing in the New Economy?

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Indianapolis

Rank

29

Overall New Economy Scores

Indiana 40

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Overall Metropolitan New Economy Scores (2001)

27The New Economy in Indianapolis

2nd Quartile

1st Quartile

3rd Quartile

4th Quartile

Overall State New Economy Scores (1999)

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Score Rank

39% 15

Managerial, Professional, and Technical Jobs

IndianapolisIndiana 22.1% 47

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Managerial, Professional & Technical Jobs

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Rank

33

Workforce Education

IndianapolisIndiana 33

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Workforce Education

The New Economy in Indianapolis

“Gazelle” Jobs

Rank

38IndianapolisIndiana 37

The New Economy in Indianapolis

“Gazelle” Jobs

The New Economy in Indianapolis

New Publicly Traded Companies

Rank

35IndianapolisIndiana 38

The New Economy in Indianapolis

New Publicly Traded Companies

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Online Population

Score Rank

42% 23

IndianapolisIndiana 56% 2

7

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Online Population

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Broadband Telecommunications

42

Rank

28Providers Per Zip Code

2.76IndianapolisIndiana 40Composite Score

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Broadband Telecommunications

The New Economy in Indianapolis

High-Tech Jobs

Score Rank

2.7% 30

IndianapolisIndiana 3.4% 3

3

The New Economy in Indianapolis

High-Tech Jobs

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Scientists and Engineers

Rank

37IndianapolisIndiana 38

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Scientists and Engineers

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Patents

Rank

15IndianapolisIndiana 39

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Patents

The New Economy in Indianapolis

R&D Funding

Rank

49IndianapolisIndiana 34

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Academic Research and Development Funding

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Venture Capital

Rank

48IndianapolisIndiana 36

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Venture Capital

The New Economy in Indianapolis

A New Economy Requires a New Economic Policy

OLD ECONOMY MODEL

Get Big

Get Cheap

NEW ECONOMYMODEL

Get Prosperous

Get Better

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Getting big meant trying to get more jobs and companies even if:

- the jobs were bad, and - the region was choking from growth (high housing prices, air pollution, shortage of workers, traffic gridlock)

The Old Economy Model: Getting Big

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Getting cheap meant tax holidays, big subsidies and other giveaways to companies that only cared about cost.

The result were low wage jobs and companies that were just as likely to leave after a decade for even cheaper pastures.

For example, almost half the jobs of companies in one Midwestern city that got tax subsidies paid less than 8$ per hour.

The Old Economy Model: Getting Cheap

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Getting prosperous means focusing on creating jobs with higher wages and better working conditions, reducing poverty and increasing economic opportunities for all of the region’s citizens.

The New Economy Model: Getting Prosperous

54The New Economy in Indianapolis

The Old Economy Model: Location, Costs, and Resources

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Getting better means boosting the skills of the region’s workforce, ensuring a technologically advanced infrastructure, fast and responsive government, and ensuring a high quality of life that will be attractive to knowledge workers.

The New Economy Model: Getting Better

The New Economy in Indianapolis

• Help companies get skilled workers

• Help Companies Access Technology

• Foster a Climate of Innovation

• Encourage a Robust IT Infrastructure

• Boost Quality of Life

• Foster New Economy Governance

What To Do:

The New Economy in Indianapolis

Metropolitan regions that meet the challenges of the New Economy focusing on innovation, learning, and constant adaptation… will be the ones that succeed and prosper.

The New Economy in Indianapolis

WWW.PPIONLINE.ORG

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