risk in a collaborative culture

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Risk in a Collaborative Culture. Why risk matters Risk and Conscious Competence Mitigating risk. why risk matters. what is risk?. what drives risk?. Project Management. how does risk change during a project?. Change Management. what happens if we ignore risks?. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Risk in a Collaborative Culture

Why risk matters Risk and

Conscious Competence

Mitigating risk

why risk matters

what is risk?

what drives risk?

Project Management

• Change Managementhow does risk change during a project?

what happens if we ignore risks?

I’m beginning to think it wasn’t such a good idea to turn off those

unit tests

what happens if we incorrectly define risks?

at what levels should we assess risk?

how is risk management different from change management?

risk and the conscious competence learning

model

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

From William Howell

applied to profiling and

mitigating risk

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

From William Howell

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

From William Howell

become aware

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

From William Howell

learn

high churn~afraid to make

decisions~uncertainty

“agile”

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

From William Howell

bureaucracycomplexity

optimize.mentor.perfect.

“lean”

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

From William Howell

out of touch ~process is kingdevelop a

blind spot

decision making

what do we do?when do we do it?

when do we decide?

Business Value

Benefits

Value CalculationCosts

calculation

typical financial calculation

Business Value

Guess

Value CalculationEstimate

calculation

however….

we need some help !

Purpose

Considerations

Costs and Benefits

Business Value Model

where do

we

start?

MarketDifferentiating

High

Low

Mission CriticalLow High

Differentiate

Parity

Partner?

Who cares?

Purpose Based Alignment Model

MarketDifferentiating

High

Low

Mission CriticalLow High

Innovate,Create

Do we take this on?

Minimize or Eliminate

Achieve andMaintain

Parity, Mimic,Simplify

Purpose Based Alignment Model

example

financial documentation system

MarketDifferentiating

High

Low

Mission CriticalLow High

What goes here?

Anything here?

Anything here?

Most are usually here.

Purpose Based Alignment Model

350 differentiators

simplified the rest

focused

on

differentiators

results: better product

cut time by 50% 60% cost reduction

MarketDifferentiating

High

Low

Mission CriticalLow High

Differentiate

Parity

Partner?

Who cares?

Strategy?

• Sustainable• Competitive advantage

strategy = sustainable

competitive advantage

the “billboard” test…

You Think My Products Are Good?

You Should See My Chart of Accounts!

“To be the low cost airline.”

- Southwest Airlines

“Will this help us be

the low cost airline?”

- Southwest Airlines

remember, parity is

mission critical

and purpose is not priority

differentiating

changes over

time

• Leadership Influence

innovate!

Purpose

Business Value Model

other

considerations ?

time

to

market

risks

Collaboration Model

flexibility

Collaboration Model

dependencies

team size and experiencemarket uncertainty

domain knowledge

team capacity

technical uncertainty

Purpose

Considerations

Business Value Model

costs

and

benefits ?

Purpose

Considerations

Costs and Benefits

Business Value Model

group chunks high – medium - low

“build”

a

chunk…

obje

ctiv

es /

proj

ects

/ id

eas

Value Model

Valu

e M

odel

prio

ritiz

ed c

hunk

s

build highest value chunks

adjust VMif inputs changed

discuss value and value to

date

Enough value to go to market? ~ Yes? Deploy ~ No?

Continue? ~ No? Stop. ~ Yes?

using the value model

applied to risk

becoming aware: profiling risk

There are many models . . . most work well.

How about: Delivery risks Business case risks Collateral damage

delivery risks

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Failed

Challenged

Succesful

20061996

Standish Group Study, reported by CEO Jim Johnson, CIO.com, ‘How to Spot a Failing Project’

Always or Often Used:

20%

Never or Rarely Used:

64%

Standish Group Study, reported by CEO Jim Johnson, XP2002

Sometimes16%

Rarely19%

Never45%

Often13%

Always7%

business case risks

collateral damage

example: express products

• Re-factor existing enterprise software products for the SMB market.

• The goal: make these products consumable by the SMB market.

what are the delivery risks?

Low• The development work is complete.• Depending on the requirements, some functionality might

be disabled.

what are the business case risks?

Business Case Risk: High

– IBM Sales teams for these products might not be experienced in reaching customers in this market

– Required new sales channels (telesales, business partners etc)

– Required new support structures (IBM L1/L2/L3 and support methods were accustomed to enterprise customers)

– Marketing material needed targeting at this market

collateral damage risks?

could be high

are there existing enterprise customers that will want to migrate to the SMB versions?

Leading Agile

• Collaboration Model• Collaboration Process

we collaborate to increase

awareness

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

From William Howell

collaborate to become

aware

example: updated transaction engine

WHOSE input is important to create an accurate, project-level profile of the risk?

development sales

product manager testing support

different risk

perspectives for:

delivery business case

collateral damage

how does knowing this mitigate risks?

how do we now reduce uncertainty to further mitigate risks?

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

From William Howell

learn

high churn~afraid to make

decisions~uncertainty

using the business value model to reduce churn and uncertainty

Purpose

Considerations

Costs and Benefits

Business Value Model

This models iterative decisions.

It helps us identify the “lastresponsible moment” to make decisions.

example: customer retention

Potentially great way to improve customer retention. However, lots of costs and guessed-at benefits.

How do we reduce uncertainty and make progress?

What project “chunks” make sense?

Phase 2, measure the value of improving retention in each segment.Results? Focus the big project on the segments with high retention value.

Phase 1, segment the market while delivering value.Four segments each with a unique buying trigger.How does this generate value? Advertising hits oneOf the buying triggers. Results? Lower marketing costs with higher return at a fraction of the big project costs.

Phase 3, no need to continue.Overall results? Increased retention where it made sense ata much lower project cost and risk.

reduce the tendency towards complexity and further reduce risks?

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

From William Howell

bureaucracycomplexity

optimize.mentor.perfect.

use purpose-based

alignment model

MarketDifferentiating

High

Low

Mission CriticalLow High

Innovate,Create

Do we take this on?

Minimize or

Eliminate

Achieve andMaintain

Parity, Mimic,Simplify

Purpose Based Alignment Model

example: business intelligence

our product: superior analytics

engine

our competitor: superior UI

What do we do about a new user interface?

• Differentiating for us? Analytics Engine• Differentiating for our competitor? User

Interface• What is the purpose of our user interface

project? PARITY!• How does this help us reduce complexity? (we

“go to school” on competitors UI and just try to keep pace).

our dynamic world

what happens if…

you accelerate

the timeline?

the demand for the product shrinks?

you fold-in an acquisition?

part of the team is pulled away?

your triggers to reassess your risk profile and mitigation

plans?

we want to avoid …

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

out of touch ~process is kingdevelop a

blind spot

but how?

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

out of touch ~process is king

collaborate broadly to maintain awareness

Scenario• In order to respond to a competitor, Product

Management announces an early release.• In order to meet the release date, Development

shrinks the time allocated to the quality plan.• Technical Sales now requires a SAR and a service

engagement.• The product releases but Support is not prepared

for the required support levels.• Support shifts some support tasks to Development.• Development no longer has the resources to meet

the next planned release date or content.

in other words . . .

there are no isolated decisions!

What triggers should cause us to review and revise the risk profile and mitigation plan?

macro leadership and risk

Macro Leadership Cube

Mitigate Delivery Risks

Mitigate Business Case

Risks

Mitigate Collateral Damage

Results

Shared Boundaries

Mitigate Delivery

Risks

Mitigate Business

Case Risks

Mitigate Collateral Damage

Results

Mitigate Delivery

Risks

Mitigate Business

Case Risks

Mitigate Collateral Damage

Results

Mitigate Delivery

Risks

Mitigate Business

Case Risks

Mitigate Collateral Damage

ResultsInterlock Interlock

DevelopmentSales Support

example: network services to remote locations

what are

the critical interlocks?

construction schedulesnetwork design decisions

vendor schedules

focus on any changes …

Leading Agile

• Collaboration Model• Collaboration Process

throughcross-functional

collaboration

summary

profiling risk

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

From William Howell

collaborating to profile riskdelivery risk ~ business case risks ~ collateral damage risks

bring the right people together

from the entire enterprise

in other words,

the affected and

affectors!

MarketDifferentiating

High

Low

Mission CriticalLow High

Differentiate

Parity

Partner?

Who cares?

Purpose Based Alignment Model

Purpose

Considerations

Costs and Benefits

Business Value Model

risk management cannot be siloed

Shared Boundaries

Mitigate Delivery

Risks

Mitigate Business

Case Risks

Mitigate Collateral Damage

Results

Mitigate Delivery

Risks

Mitigate Business

Case Risks

Mitigate Collateral Damage

Results

Mitigate Delivery

Risks

Mitigate Business

Case Risks

Mitigate Collateral Damage

ResultsInterlock Interlock

DevelopmentSales Support

Collaborative Leadership and Risk Mitigation

The collaborative leadership tools are designed to improvedecision making.

This includes decisions about risks.

These tools are:The Purpose Alignment Model The Business Value Model

What Tool Do We Use For Decisions Today?

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

BusinessValue ModelTo Reduce Uncertainty

Competence

Con

scio

usne

ss

Low

Low

High

Hig

h

UnconsciousIncompetence

ConsciousIncompetence

ConsciousCompetence

UnconsciousCompetence

PurposeAlignmentTo Focus

what triggers will cause you to reassess your risk profile and mitigation plans?

Leading Agile

• Collaboration Model• Collaboration Process

collaborate!

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