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European Urban Roadmaps to
2030
Dr Guy Hitchcock
Knowledge Leader
ETC, 28th September 2015
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Project launched by DG MOVE to:
• Catalyse action on developing sustainable urban mobility across Europe
• Ensure urban transport objectives of 2011 Transport White Paper can be realised
• Facilitate practical action through development and dissemination of robust, easy-to-use tools
and guidance
Key features:
• Free, on-line, policy support tool available at the end of 2015
• Five illustrative policy roadmaps
• Stakeholder engagement key
Duration:
• 2014 – 2017
Project team
• Ricardo Energy and Environment, TRT and ICLEI
Project Overview
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Link to the SUMPS process
Facilitates assessment
and discussion of current
issues
Quantification supports
development of priorities
and targets
Allows scoping and
development of policy
packages
© Ricardo plc 2015
Online policy support tool
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• To support small and medium sized cities who have less resources for modelling
• Aims to be simple and easy to use with limited data input and no need for significant
transport modelling experience
• Provides quantified outputs for a range of transport, environmental and economic
impacts
• Online, easily accessible tool
• Helps a range of city policy makers to explore and scope initial policy packages
(roadmaps) to meet sustainability objectives
• Facilitates discussion and engagement between key city departments with a common
tool
Key objectives of the online tool
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Outline structure of the tool
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Outline structure of the tool
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The City Wizard
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Outline structure of the tool
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The policy toolbox
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Adding policies in the tool
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Outline structure of the tool
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Tool outputs
© Ricardo plc 2015
Building a policy roadmap
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1. Analyse the current situation
2. Setting the vision (objectives)
3. Identify policy measures
4. Grouping of policy measures in
consistent strategies
5. Specify the pathway and timelines to
proceed towards scenarios’ goals
6. Assess the outcomes
From policy measures to roadmaps
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Analysing the current situation
Set baseline
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Exploring policies
Assess outcomes
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Roadmap Promote and Regulate: a scenario based on changing behaviour by means
of push and pull incentives.
Light interventions aimed at promoting the use of existing and new alternatives to private
transport and to regulate the use of cars and goods vehicles in the city
Objective
The municipal authorities intend to pursue the objective of halving the use of
conventional vehicles travelling in the city by 2030.
Promote and regulate roadmap - overview
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Promote and Regulate roadmap - policies
Traffic calming measures
Access regulations and road
and parking space reallocation
Parking regulation and pricing
Public Transport integrated
ticketing and tariffs schemes
Sustainable travel information
and promotion
Legal and regulatory
framework of urban freight
transport
Prioritising public transport
Walking and cycling networks
and facilities
2015 2020 2025 2030
Traffic calming measures
Bike sharing scheme
Car sharing (Car Clubs)
Delivery and servicing plans
Traffic calming measures
Bike sharing scheme
Delivery and servicing plans
Sustainable travel information
and promotion
Sustainable travel information
and promotion
Public Transport integrated
ticketing and tariffs schemes
Prioritising public transport Prioritising public transport
Walking and cycling networks
and facilities
Walking and cycling networks
and facilities
Prim
ary
Support
ing
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Promote and Regulate roadmap – example impacts
Domain Indicator
Base year (2015)
Reference trend in
2030
Roadmap + Ref trend in
2030
Transport
Vkm travelled by conventional cars (gasoline/diesel) (Mio vkm/year)
Abs. Value 776.7 556.9 484.8
% Diff. to base year -28.3% -37.6%
% Diff. to Reference 0.0% -12.9%
Car mode share 42.3% 43.6% 37.5%
PT mode share 23.9% 23.8% 26.4%
Average distance per trip (km)
Abs. Value 3.2 3.2 3.2
% Diff. to base year 0.3% 0.2%
% Diff. to Reference 0.0% -0.1%
Average car speed in peak hours (km/h)
Abs. Value 36.0 35.2 33.8
% Diff. to base year -2.2% -6.1%
% Diff. to Reference 0.0% -4.0%
Value of travelled time per individual (1000 Euro/year)
Abs. Value 2.579 2.560 2.724
% Diff. to base year -0.6% 5.7%
% Diff. to Reference 0.1% 6.5%
Penetration of alternatively fuelled car vehicles 0.5% 29.4% 31.4%
Environment and safety CO2 emissions
(t/year)
Abs. Value 172,381 145,781 138,082
% Diff. to base year -15.4% -19.9%
% Diff. to Reference -0.1% -5.4%
PM emissions (t/year)
Abs. Value 22.1 10.0 9.3
% Diff. to base year -54.8% -57.8%
% Diff. to Reference 0.5% -6.1%
Fatalities per 100,000 inhabitants
Abs. Value 6.3 5.7 5.4
% Diff. to base year -8.8% -13.7%
% Diff. to Reference 0.0% -5.4%
Economy
Transport expenditure per individual (1000 Euro/year)
Abs. Value 1.021 1.037 1.083
% Diff. to base year 1.5% 6.1%
% Diff. to Reference 0.0% 4.5%
Transport expenditure of public administration 2015-2030 (1000 Euro)
Abs. Value 1,756,537 1,833,382
% Diff. to Reference 0.0% 4.4%
Revenues of public administration 2015-2030 (1000 Euro)
Abs. Value 515,430 634,506
% Diff. to Reference 0.0% 23.1%
Public CO2 abatement costs (Euro/tonne) 0 -369
Private CO2 abatement costs (Euro/tonne) 0 886
2015
2020
2030
PolicyReference
28.3%
1.8%
3.7%42.3%
19.1%
4.8%0.0%
0.0%Pedestrian
Bike
Motorbike
Car
Bus
Tram
Metro
Car sharing
28.1%
1.6%
3.7%
42.7%
19.1%
4.8% 0.0% 0.0% Pedestrian
Bike
Motorbike
Car
Bus
Tram
Metro
Car sharing
27.7%
1.2%
3.7%
43.6%
19.0%
4.8%0.0%
0.0%Pedestrian
Bike
Motorbike
Car
Bus
Tram
Metro
Car sharing
28.3%
2.6%
4.0%
37.9%
20.4%
5.0% 0.0% 1.7%
27.8%
2.9%
3.7%37.5%
21.3%
5.1%0.0% 1.8%
2015
2020
2030
PolicyReference
28.3%
1.8%
3.7%42.3%
19.1%
4.8%0.0%
0.0%Pedestrian
Bike
Motorbike
Car
Bus
Tram
Metro
Car sharing
28.1%
1.6%
3.7%
42.7%
19.1%
4.8% 0.0% 0.0% Pedestrian
Bike
Motorbike
Car
Bus
Tram
Metro
Car sharing
27.7%
1.2%
3.7%
43.6%
19.0%
4.8%0.0%
0.0%Pedestrian
Bike
Motorbike
Car
Bus
Tram
Metro
Car sharing
28.3%
2.6%
4.0%
37.9%
20.4%
5.0% 0.0% 1.7%
27.8%
2.9%
3.7%37.5%
21.3%
5.1%0.0% 1.8%
Vkm travelled by conventional cars Mode split
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• Testing tool with case study cities September, 2015
• Finalising tool with results from testing October – December, 2015
• Launch of tool with launch events from Jan 2016
• Stakeholder event to support dissemination March 2016
• Live tool available and support through to end of 2017
• Final conference September 2017
Key project dates
www.urban-transport-roadmaps.eu
Coming soon!
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Thank-you for your attention
Visit us on the TRIP stand (stand 111)
Guy Hitchcock
Knowledge Leader
Ricardo Energy and Environment
Guy.Hitchcock@ricardo.com
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