cdn prospects 2011

CDN Business Prospects : 2011

Dr.Ir.Joko Suryana

PT.LAPI ITB

Outline

• CDN Business Intro– CDN Players– CDN Market Size– CDN Market Drivers– CDN Existing Services– CDN Market Barriers

• CDN Telcos– Reason Entering CDN Business – Entry Strategies – Positioning– Indonesian CDN Telcos

CDN BUSINESS INTRO

CDN Market trends : Players

• Leading CDN are mostly pure players – Akamai (US based)– Limelight Networks (US based)– Edgecast, Highwinds– ChinaCache, CDNetworks in Asia

• Consolidation in progress within pure players– Panther Express, Velocix

• Telco CDN– Level 3, AT&T leading players for

backbone– BT, KPN most advanced for access

• Internet player CDN – Building internal solutions (Google,

Microsoft, DailyMotion, etc …)– e en sol tions third parties– Offering solutions for third-

(Amazon CloudFront)

• Equipment and solution vendors also positioning– Traditional vendors : Cisco, Juniper,

Alcatel- Lucent (Velocix), etc…– Specialized players : JetStream– Ericsson : Mobile Cloud Accelerator

with Akamai

The CDN market is composed by a myriad of players, with different strategies. Number of active players in the CDN industry :

CDN Market trends : Market Size

• The CDN market represented around $ 1.6 billion worldwide in 2009 (video and non-video)

• Should reach 3.5 billion by 2012 with 28% CAGR

• Still not enough

– CDN market growth < traffic growth

– CDN market growth still limited for an emerging market

– Strong price competition

CDN Market trends : Akamai

CDN Market trends : Drivers• Growth of Internet consumption and markets

– Good availability and uptime of services (ecommerce players)– E-commerce growing by 15-25%– Online advertising up by more than 10%

• Growth of media consumption– Usage itself– HD video (higher bandwidth requirement)– QoS requirements for premium content and live, especially with the move

towards connected TV– Involvement of players with revenues outside the online world (broadcasters,

DVD rental players, cable providers in the USA etc…)

• New screens with the TV set and the mobile phone• New video and QoS technologies

– Adaptative streaming technologies

• Services and marketing tools – CDN is way more than just traffic

• New pricing schemes

CDN Market trends : Services

• Services around content delivery value :– Content Creation– Content Platform – Hosting

– Delivery System– Network Delivery– Consumption Monitoring

CDN Market trends : Barriers

• Profitability of CDN business falls off• Unclear business models for significant video providers (ad-based mostly)

– Premium video content already profitable for some players (live events, some catch-up, VOD)

• Price wars depress revenue– Intense competition imposed by challengers of Akamai plus new entrants like

Amazon and Telcos– 5 to 40% per year Netflix paying as low as 1.5 cents per GB

• Content providers launch in-house initiatives– CDN providers could lose important content providers, which contribute a

large part of their revenue

• Increasingly personalized consumption• Evolution of the nature congestion?

– Traffic more local with video?– How to get closer to the user without getting deeper in ISP networks?– Traffic management from ISPs

CDN Market trends : Barriers

CDN Telcos : The Reasons

• A natural extension of their infrastructure– Natural players for managing bandwidth issues for web players, as Internet

traffic is going through their backbones (Tier 1) and/or their last-mile networks ( ISPs).

• Difficulties to monetize their network pipes due to the earlier developments of the Internet.– Services distribution with limited bandwidth costs, thanks to peering

agreements.– Low transit prices inherited from the telecom bubble (over-capacity)

• Telco to reduce the cost of traffic rather than to generate significant new revenues– Additional OPEX savings– Harsh competition in the short term with pure players– More QoS for the end-users

• A few players are still reselling CDN within their wholesale offerings (old practice)

CDN Telcos : New Revenue Streams

CDN Telcos : Entry Strategy

CDN Telcos : Positioning• Competitive advantages

– Network expertise : Core Business– ISP business : QoS management

for their subscribers– Network tools user : Network

equipment improvement benefits– Huge financial power :

Acquisitions and data center investments possible

• Major issues– Deployment : No existing

infrastructure, build from scratch– Business models : Low margins

while huge investments– Technical Performance :Offering

more QoS than traditional CDN– Net Neutrality : Unclear

framework yet on the capacity for ISPs to offer different levels of QoS

Indonesian CDN : NAP Info

• Since 2010, NAP Info have had deployment of numerous CDN clusters• Same rule: traffic ratio requirement

– Ratio: (Peering+CDN boxes) :Transit=55%: 45%

Indonesian CDN : Telkomsel

• Telkomsel launches CDN on Ericsson, Akamai platform– “Indonesian mobile operator Telkomsel has launched Asia-

Pacific’s first content delivery network (CDN) solution over a mobile network. Using Akamai and Ericsson’s Mobile Cloud Accelerator platform and Telkomsel’s mobile network, Thomson Reuters is asking its customers in the finance community to pay extra to get its content delivered faster. “

Nicole McCormick/Ovum April 30, 2012

TelecomsEMEA.net

Indonesian CDN : Telkomsel

Indonesian CDN : Telkomsel

• Telkomsel launches CDN on Ericsson, Akamai platform– In February 2011, Ericsson and Akamai announced the

launch of the Mobile Cloud Accelerator, which provides CDN and caching capabilities using Ericsson’s SmartEdgeBorder Network Gateway and Mobile Packet Gateway.

– Out of a handful of trial customers, Ericsson announced that Telkomsel would launch the first commercial service in February 2012.

– Telkomsel’s CDN offering reduces the download time of content by up to 70% compared to downloads from the same content sources without acceleration

Indonesian CDN : Telkomsel

Indonesian CDN : Telkom

• Guna medukung peningkatan bandwidth, Telkom menyiapkan kapasitas bandwidth gateway Internet sebesar 123 giga bit per second (Gbps), dengandidukung infrastruktur content deliver network (CDN) Google, Youtube, Akamai sebesar 82 Gbps di Jakarta, Batam, dan Surabaya, serta peering domestik sebesar32 Gbps.

• Telkom sebagai salah satu incumbent telco perlu untukmengembangkan bisnis CDN ini sejalan denganperkembangan implementasi GrooviaTV dan nantinyaakan lebih berkembangnya layanan OTT (over the top).

THANK YOU