alicorp s.a.a. -...
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Alicorp S.A.A.Independent opinion regarding the estimation of the pro-forma value of the future cash flows of the crushing and consumer business units of Industrias de Aceite S.A. and ADM-SAO S.A.
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Confidential— This report is strictly confidential and its use will be limited to the purposes set forth in Art. 51 of the Securities Market Law. The
report can not be distributed to third parties or used for purposes other than those provided for in the aforementioned regulation.
— This document has been prepared for Alicorp S.A.A. according to our service proposal and is under all the terms and conditions ofthat agreement, including disclosure restrictions and presentation of this document to third parties.
— If this report is received by another than Alicorp SAA, the recipient should consider that the attached report has been prepared onlyfor internal use of Alicorp SAA, and this report and its content may not be shared or disclosed to another recipient, without theconsent express and in writing of KPMG Asesores SC of R.L. (hereinafter KPMG Peru) and Alicorp S.A.A.
— KPMG Peru will not have any obligation to grant such consent, and may follow all the relevant legal means before an unauthorizedrecipient or before the unauthorized distribution of this document.
— The calculated pro-forma value of the future cash flows of the crushing and consumer business units of Industrias de Aceite S.A.and ADM-SAO S.A. it does not represent the joint operation of both entities and does not consider synergies, or a possible mergerof both entities, given that at the evaluation date these businesses operate independently, so the information of both businessestogether are for informative purposes, being the sole responsibility of the Client's administration.
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Private and confidentialDirectors of Alicorp S.A.A.Av. Argentina Nro. 4793, Carmen de la Legua ReynosoProvincia Constitucional del Callao, PeruApril 2018
Dear Directors of Alicorp S.A.A.,
We are pleased to present this report to you, Alicorp S.A.A. (hereinafter "Alicorp" or the "Client") to assist them in the Independent Opinion regarding the proforma estimation of the future cashflows of a business unit comprised of the following entities: Industrias de Aceite SA, Colcun SA, Global Cassini , SL, Tikal y R Trading SA (hereinafter "FINO") and ADM SAO SA (hereinafter "ADM-SAO").
This report provides the summary and conclusions of KPMG in relation to the contracted service and has been prepared in accordance with our service proposal, which includes Terms and Conditions. The information used in this report has not been verified by KPMG, nor has an audit been applied to the accounting records of the aforementioned company. We have considered and trusted the information provided by the client.
Our assignment consists of providing an Independent Opinion regarding the estimation of the pro-forma value of the future flows of the crushing and consumer business units of Industrias de Aceite S.A. and ADM-SAO S.A. based on the request of the Client, as well as the experience we can provide. Our services are subject to the scope and review procedures established in our proposal for professional services.
Our report should not be used for any other purpose or use different from those indicated above and in our professional proposal of services, the distribution of the same should be limited to the Client and KPMG, agreed previously under the nature and scope of the procedures, and no copy will be distributed without prior authorization from KPMG.
We hope to continue providing our services in the future.
Sincerely,
Oscar Caipo Magdalena BunikowskaSocio Director
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IndexFairness opinion regarding the estimation of the pro-forma value of the future cashflows of the crushing and consumer business units of Industrias de AceiteS.A. and ADM-SAO S.A.
Definitions and abbreviations
About the Transaction 6
Industrias del Aceite S.A. and ADM SAO S.A. 8
Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis 12
Business Valuation Methods 22
Main assumptions 25
Results 36
Appendices 39
1
2
3
4
5
6
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Definitions and AbbreviationsANAPO Association of Oilseed and Wheat Producers
BCRP Central Reserve Bank of Peru
BCB Central Bank of Bolivia
BOB Bolivian (currency)
CEPALSTATEconomic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean Statistics
EBIT Earnings Before Interest and Taxes
EBITDAEarnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization
USA United States of America
EIU The Economist Intelligence Unit
FCL Free Cash Flow
INE Statistics National Institute
GDP Gross Domestic Product
MT Metric tons
MT/day Metric tons per day
MT/Ha Metric tons per hectare
USD United States Dollar
USD M USD in thousands
Var % Percentage variation
WACC Weighted Average Cost of Capital
6
About the Transaction
7
About the Transaction
Fundamental Reason for the Transaction
Description of the Transaction
▬ Alicorp, as part of its strategy, intends to acquire 100% of Fino and ADM-SAO. FINO is aleading company in consumer products in the Bolivian market and ADM-SAO is a leadingoilseed crushing company in the Bolivian market.
Fuente: Información recibida por el Cliente Elaboración: KPMG
▬ Bolivia is one of the fastest growing economies in Latin America due to its dynamic evolutionof consumption.
▬ The acquisitions allows to create a leading platform in the Bolivian market in the crushing andconsumer goods market, and allows to develop a vertical integration that allows to providequality materials for consumer products.
▬ Likewise, according to the Client, it adds an added value to the business thanks to thesynergies obtained by the acquisition of both companies. The synergies include thecombination of businesses, complementary products in the portfolio and shared practices.
▬ The businesses acquired are in line with the pillars of growth and efficiency of Alicorp.
▬ The agriculture business is not part of the transaction.
Source: Information received from the Client Elaboration: KPMG
Source: Information received from the Client Elaboration: KPMG
Bolivia
8
Industrias de Aceite S.A. and ADM SAO S.A.
9
▬ The company was founded by the Said family in Cochabamba on February 15, 1944 underthe name of Compañía Agroindustrial del Oriente S.A. with the objective of using rawmaterial from Bolivia for the production of oils that would replace the imported products. Theraw material they used for the manufacture of oils was originally cotton nugget. In 1954, thecompany sold the first oil under the FINO brand. From that date, FINO was constituted asIndustrias de Aceite S.A.
Industrias de Aceite S.A. Industrias de Aceite S.A.
Pando
Beni
La Paz
Santa CruzCochabamba
Oruro
Potosi
Sucre
Tarija
Main Office
Crushing Plant
Grain Stores
Refining Plant
Owned Distribution Office
Third Party DistributionOffice
National Presence
Summary of Industrias de Aceite S.A.
▬ Leading agro-industrial and consumption company in Bolivia.
▬ More than 70 years of experience in the sector.
▬ More than 750 employees (in addition to 120 additional employees hired in harvest).
▬ Divided into 4 main business units:
1. Crushing
2. Agriculture
3. Mass Consumption
4. Distribution
Source: Industrias de Aceite S.A. website Elaboration: KPMG* The agriculture business is beyond the scope of this report.
10
Industrias de Aceite S.A. Timeline of expansion of Industrias de Aceite S.A.
Timeline of Expansion of
1944 The national textile industry grew and generated a surplus in its process, the cotton nugget. In this context, the Said family founded what we know today as "Industrias de Aceite S.A.", on February 15, 1944 in Cochabamba, with the objective of industrializing the nugget and producing edible oil for the national market.
1954 With only 23 workers and 7 employees, the first oil with the FINO brand goes on sale. Which, had the great challenge of winning the local markets, replacing the oils that were imported then from Argentina.
1970 In parallel GRUPO ROMERO bets on agro-industrial development in Bolivia and acquires Industrias de Aceite S.A. in the decade of the 70s, where a new stage of consolidation, growth and innovation begins.
1977 The hydrogenation plant is installed, both for domestic use and for industrial use, as a result KARINA and GORDITO together with Margarina REGIA remained leaders in the Bolivian market.
1980 The productive capacity of extraction is extended with a process by solvent, equipment known as CROWN plant, with an additional daily grinding of 400 MT of soybeans.
1990 FINO manages to enter with refined oils to Chile, Colombia and Venezuela, until processing 6,000 tons of monthly product, which today is achieved as installed capacity in the Cochabamba plant. Likewise, the supply of flours and crudes to the countries mentioned above and to other markets in the continent is extended: Peru, Ecuador and Central America.
2013 In 2013, a new extension allows a final milling of 2,500 MT / day. Achieving an installed capacity six times greater than what was in the 80s.
1. Crushing
2. Agriculture
3. Consumer Goods
4. Distribution
Main lines of business
▬ The largest buyer of soybeans and sunflower seeds in Bolivia.▬ It produces oil and soybean / sunflower oil and flour, soy pellets and full fat flour.▬ Vast experience in the commodity and hedging markets▬ Proven capacity to export worldwide through global and regional traders.
▬ More than 30 years of experience growing agricultural fields.▬ It produces mainly soybeans and sunflower. In winter, wheat, sorghum and corn are produced.▬ More than 10,000 hectares of its own.
▬ The largest producer and marketer of oils and fats in Bolivia.▬ Market leader in all food categories.▬ Serves a wide range of local and international clients
▬ Operates the largest distribution network in Bolivia▬ Present in 9 departments of Bolivia▬ Provides multi-channel distribution services with broad national coverage
Source: Industrias de Aceite S.A. website Elaboration: KPMG
* The agriculture business is beyond the scope of this report.
11
▬ Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) is one of the largest agricultural processors inBolivia. They transform crops into ingredients for food, ingredients for animal nutrition,renewable fuels and alternative industrial oils of natural origin.
▬ In Bolivia, ADM SAO S.A. processes soybeans and sunflower seeds, converting them intooils and flours. Also, the processing plant is located in the city of Santa Cruz de la Sierra.Commercial operations are carried out in the cities of La Paz, Cochabamba and Sucre.
▬ ADM SAO S.A. also provides commercialization and logistics services to national andinternational clients. They have approximately 400 employees throughout Bolivia.
ADM SAO S.A.ADM SAO S.A. Operational Silos
Summary of ADM SAO S.A.
▬ ADM SAO has 10 silos with a combined storage capacity of ~ 300,000 MT:
a
b
6 silos are fully operational in the short term:
Of these, 2 silos (~ 83,000 tons capacity) require small investments toensure their long-term operations.
4 silos (with a capacity of ~ 72,000 MT) are not operational and require additionalinvestments to be available
Silos Capacity (MT) Operational
Planta 108,100 Sí
San Pedro 27,660 Sí
Cuatro Cañadas 53,600 Sí
Pozo del Tigre 40,240 Sí
Pailon Este 29,600 Sí
Montero 2,500 Sí
Pailon Central 38,033 N/A
San José 4,400 N/A
KM84 25,000 Sí
Tres Cruces 4,495 Sí
Total 333,628
Silos Capacity (MT)
Not operational but repairable 42,433
Not operational 29,495
Total non-operational silos 71,928
Non-operational Silos
Source: Information provided by the Client Elaboration: KPMGSource: Information provided by the Client Elaboration: KPMG
12
Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis
13
Evolution of the Fiscal Balance (% PBI)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
United States of AmericaUnited KingdomSpainPortugalItalyGermanyFrance
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
202
1
France
Germany
Italy
Portugal
Spain
United Kingdom
United States of America
The international
financial crisis
affected the
performance of
various economies
globally
Macroeconomic Analysis - Global Environment
Spain, followed by Greece, isthe country with the highestunemployment rate.
0.29%0.69%
1.00% 0.80% 0.80% 0.70% 0.70% 0.70%
-8%
-7%
-6%
-5%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021*France Germany Italy Portugal Spain United Kingdom United States of America
Growth of the GDP of advanced economies - Real GDP (Var%)
Unemployment (% of Total Labor Force) of advanced economies
▬ The world economy has shown a synchronized progress in the different indicators of activity,projecting a global growth of 3.6% in the year 2017. It is estimated a growth of 3.6% and3.5% for the years 2018 and 2019, respectively, according to the BCRP .
▬ In the United States, the growth projection is maintained and it is estimated that theeconomy will grow 2.2% in 2017, 2.1% in 2018 and 2.0% in 2019. On the other hand, thegrowth projection of Latin America's GDP for the years 2017 and 2018 remains at 1.4% and2.4%, respectively.
▬ It is expected that in advanced economies, the number of unemployed will graduallydecrease. In several European countries, unemployment will remain close to historical highsand in the United States, as well as in other advanced economies, unemployment will fall tolevels similar to those before the international financial crisis of 2008.
Source: EIU. Elaboration: KPMG
Source: EIU. Elaboration: KPMGSource: EIU. Elaboration: KPMG *: Projected Data
14
50.0%+
22.2%
6.9%
6.1%
5.0%
4.2%
4.0%
3.5%
2.3%
2.3%
1.1%
Venezuela
Argentina
Uruguay
Mexico
Bolivia
Colombia
Paraguay
Brazil
Chile
Peru
Ecuador
2017*
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
Argentina Brazil
Chile Colombia
Ecuador Mexico
Peru Venezuela
Macroeconomic Analysis - LATAMGDP growth in Latin America (% Var)
Projected inflation (2017 and 2018) Public Debt (% of GDP) in Latin America
▬ It is estimated a slight growth in the region of 1.4% at the end of 2017. For the year 2018 anexpansion of 2.4% is estimated, a scenario that assumes a slight recovery in the averageprices of commodities and a lower political risk.
▬ In recent months, inflationary pressures have been reduced due to the fall in the price offood. A favorable situation for Colombia, which has favored the convergence of inflationtowards its target range. The opposite has happened for the cases of Brazil and Chile, whoseinflation have fallen below their target ranges. The context mentioned above has favored theeasing of monetary policy in the region, which is expected to continue in Chile, Colombia andBrazil.
▬ Among the Latin American countries with a low level of leverage are Chile, Ecuador andPeru.
Source: BCRP. Elaboration: KPMG *: Projected Data
Source: EIU Elaboration: KPMGSource: BCRP. Elaboration: KPMG *: Projected Data
50.0%+
15.6%
7.2%
5.0%
4.2%
4.0%
3.9%
3.5%
2.9%
2.0%
1.9%
Venezuela
Argentina
Uruguay
Bolivia
Brazil
Paraguay
Mexico
Colombia
Chile
Peru
Ecuador
2018*
-7.2% 0.4%
0.6%
1.4%
1.9%
2.1%
2.8%
2.8%
2.8%
3.9%
3.9%
Venezuela
Brazil
Ecuador
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Argentina
Paraguay
Bolivia
2017*
-2.4%
0.9%
2.1%
2.2%
2.8%
2.8%
2.8%
2.8%
3.7%
3.8%
4.2%
Venezuela
Ecuador
Brazil
Mexico
Uruguay
Chile
Colombia
Argentina
Paraguay
Bolivia
Peru
2018*
15
-0.93%
-0.09%
0.08%
0.17%
0.29%
0.38%
0.39%
0.49%
0.56%
0.58%
1.08%
-1.50% -1.00% -0.50% 0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50%
Oil and Gas
Mining
Utilities
Construction
Other Services
Manufacturing
Commerce
Public Adm. Services
Financial Services
Transport and Communications
Agriculture
17 17 2024 27 31 33 33 35
39 43 46 4953
58
6.1
3.4
4.1
5.2 5.1
6.8
5.5
4.8
4.14.0 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
20
17*
20
18*
20
19*
20
20*
20
21*
20
22*
139 148 156 160 167 175 183 193 202 212
4.5%
6.5%
5.2%
3.0%
4.0%
4.7%5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
0
50
100
150
200
250
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021*
Index Percentage change
▬ It is estimated that the Bolivian economy will continue to grow at more moderate levels(between 3.5% and 4% of annual variation).
▬ In the year 2017, the economic growth until March (3.3%) is mainly explained by theperformance of the Agriculture, Forestry, Hunting and Fishing sectors; Transport andCommunication; Financial Establishments; Services of the Public Administration andManufacturing Industry. The greater dynamism of the agricultural activity stands out for thegood agricultural year, with results superior to the year 2016, which was mainly affected bydroughts.
▬ Inflation rates have been rising steadily in recent years. On the other hand, the percentagechanges in the inflation rate have been unstable although it is estimated that they will remainconstant until 2021.
Macroeconomic Analysis - Local Environment (Bolivia)
GDP growth by economic sector (Var%) Historical and projected inflation
Real GDP (USD Billions) and Var (%)
Source: IMF. Elaboration: KPMG *: Projected Data
*Projected Data Source: IMF Elaboration: KPMGSource: BCB Elaboration: KPMG
16
Source: CEPALSTAT Elaboration: KPMG
Macroeconomic Analysis - Local Environment (Bolivia)
Government operations and global result (% of GDP) Public debt (% of GDP)
Imports and Exports of FOB goods (billions of USD)
Source: CEPALSTAT Elaboration: KPMG
4.56.4
5.06.4
8.4
11.3 11.7 12.8
8.77.0
-3.6-5.0 -4.5
-5.6
-7.9 -8.6 -9.3 -9.9 -9.0-7.8
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Exports Imports Trade Balance
32.8 32.7 32.830.8
32.835.0
36.7 37.736.1
30.532.7
34.830.9
33.9 33.235.4
40.2 40.6
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Total income and donations Total expenditure and net loan Overall result
Source: CEPALSTAT Elaboration: KPMG
▬ The trade balance of Bolivia has been growing in recent years due to the fact that exportshave been increasing at a higher rate than imports. However, in 2015 and 2016, the tradebalance fell to negative values mainly explained by the fall in commodity prices.
▬ In general terms, the overall result obtained by Bolivia has remained at stable levels withoutabrupt variations. In the last decade, public revenues and expenditures have been increasingin tandem. The Bolivian government went from having a level of public spending of 30.5% ofits GDP in 2007 to 40.6% in 2015.
▬ Public debt as a percentage of GDP has been decreasing in the last decade. These ratiosshow a low and sustainable debt. In 2016, external public debt over GDP (19.4%) issubstantially lower than the reference threshold (40%) handled by the Bolivian government,which means that there are no risks of unsustainability of the external public debt.
24.0 22.7 24.4 23.319.2
15.9 13.6 12.6 12.4 11.5
16.714.5
14.9 14.6
14.515.4
16.2 17.4 19.2 19.4
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Internal Debt External Debt
17
Industry Analysis – Crushing
Soybean: Surface, performance and production (Winter Season)
Soybean: Surface, performance and production (Summer Season)
▬ During the summer season, a total area of 999,000 hectares was planted with soybean, ofwhich 193,570 hectares were affected by drought and 13,000 hectares by excess moisture.From the planted area, it obtained an average yield of 2.39 MT/Ha.
▬ On average, 80% of the area planted is direct sowing and 20% is conventional sowing.
▬ The summer season for sowing in 2016 started in November 15th and ended in January10th.
▬ In the East side, the amount of seeds used for planting per hectare is between 50 to 60 kgper hectare, on the other hand, in the Zona Integrada, the amount of seeds used is between60 to 70 kg per hectare.
▬ During the winter season, a total area of 200,750 hectares was planted with soybean, ofwhich 22,300 hectares was affected by drought and 3,450 hectares by excess moisture. Forthe planted area, it obtained an average yield of 2.13 MT/ha.
▬ June´s and July´s sowing showed problems due to lack of rain, this event reducedproductivity and financially affected the farmers.
▬ The winder season for sowing in 2016 started in June and ended in August.
Source: ANAPO Elaboration: KPMG
Source: ANAPO Elaboration: KPMG
428,000
700,700 631,500
760,000820,000
890,000942,000 935,000
990,000
1.95 1.98 2.00
2.42 2.29
2.20 2.53 2.25
2.39
-
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Surface (Ha) Yield (MT/Ha)
195,950
284,900
255,200271,700 275,000
290,000 287,000 290,000
200,750
2.10
1.97 1.77
1.84 2.54
2.43 2.34 2.24
2.13
-
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Surface (Ha) Yield (MT/Ha)
18
259,218 250,872 235,685
142,791
221,040
285,525
194,082
103,284
146,772
1.15
1.41 1.32
1.07
1.02
0.97
1.02
1.020.89
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Surface (Ha) Yield (MT/Ha)
Industry Analysis – CrushingSunflower: Surface, performance and production (Winter Season)
▬ During the winter season, a total area of 146,772 hectares was planted with sunflower, ofwhich 98% is concentrated in the Eastern zone of Bolivia. From the planted area, an averageyield of 0.89 MT/ha was obtained.
▬ On average over the last 8 years, the yield has been 1.10 MT/ha. In recent years, there is adecline in yield in the sunflower sector. The lack of sufficient rainfall in the cultivated hectaresis the main cause of below average yield.
▬ In most of the areas, the conditions for it to generate thedisease of Sclerotinia was not given.
▬ Regarding insects and weeds, there were no problemssince the lack of moisture was not conductive of theirdevelopment.
▬ Sowing started at the beginning of march and ended atthe end of May.
▬ The amount of seeds used per hectare variesbetween 3 to 3.5 kg/ha, depending on the sizeof the seed.
▬ The winter season of 2016 was one of the driestin recent years, during March to July less than200 mm of rain was recorded, which causedlow yields.
▬ The type of seeds planted were mainly Dekalb4065, MG 360 and MG 310.
Sowing
Type of Seeds
Diseases
Dates
Source: ANAPO e INE Elaboration: KPMG
Source: ANAPO e INE Elaboration: KPMG
19
Industry Analysis – Consumer Goods
Sales and Market Growth of Edible Oil (BOB MM)
Sales and Market Growth of Edible Oil (MT)
▬ The edible oil market has grown 8% in nominal terms, and 3%, in real terms, reaching BOB1.1 billion and 81.2 tons of edible oils in 2017.
▬ Bolivia is a natural producer of vegetable oil, offering its consumers a wide variety of productsand brands. 69% and 30% of sales by volume were represented by soybean and sunfloweroils, respectively.
▬ The sales of edible oils in Bolivia are mostly made in bottles, offering its consumersaccessible and good quality products in all its categories.
▬ Industrias de Aceite FINO S.A. dominates the edible oil market with a market share of 38%in 2017.
▬ In terms of volume, the soybean oil market has grown on average 1.3% in annual terms, inthe last five years. Sales grew, in volume, from 48.2 tons in 2012 to 51.4 tons in 2017.
▬ On the other hand, the sunflower oil market has grown on average 4.3% in annual terms, inthe last five years. Sales grew, in volume, from 17.9 tons in 2012 to 22.1 tons in 2017.
▬ In terms of value, the soybean oil market has grown an average of 4.2% in annual terms, inthe last five years. Sales grew, in value, from BOB 586 MM in 2012 to BOB 720.6 MM in2017.
▬ On the other hand, the sunflower oil market has grown an average of 7% in annual terms, inthe last five years. Sales grew, in value, from BOB 241.5 MM in 2012 to BOB 338 MM in2017. FINO dominates the edible oils market with a market share of 38% in 2017.
Source: Euromonitor Elaboration: KPMG
Source: Euromonitor Elaboration: KPMG
48.2 49.9 50.4 51.2 50.0 51.4
17.9 18.0
18.8 20.4
21.3 22.1
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Soybean Oil Sunflower Oil
Soybean Oil (Var. %) Sunflower Oil (Var. %)
586.0 611.3 625.6 648.8 667.8 720.6
241.5 245.9 265.5 282.1 310.1
338.4
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
-
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
600.0
700.0
800.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Soybean Oil Sunflower Oil
Soybean Oil (Var. %) Sunflower Oil (Var. %)
20
Source: Euromonitor Elaboration: KPMG
Industry Analysis – Consumer Goods
Leading Brands in the Edible Oils Market (%)
Leading Companies in the Edible Oils Market (%)
▬ According to Euromonitor International, Fino dominated the Bolivian edible oils market with amarket share of 38% in 2017. The company had a strong position in all categories, havingproducts with competitive prices and wide distribution. Fino is well positioned in thefoodservice and retail market. The brand that most supported its growth in 2017 was FINOLight.
▬ FINO has a diversified portfolio with products that contain vitamins for children (vitamin E andDHA) and with Light content for consumers who desire healthier products. The companyalso introduced to the market products for consumers with low and medium income andtraditional retail market.
▬ FINO´s brands include Fino, La Patrona and Borges. Fino had a market share of 36.1% of theedible oils market in December of 2017.
▬ ADM-SAO SA´s brands include Sabrosa, SAO and Cocinero. Sabrosa had a market share of21.7% of the edible oils market in December of 2017.
▬ The top three brands (Fino, Sabrosa and Rico) represented 76% of the market share of edibleoils. This percentage demonstrates the dominance of local companies in the Bolivian market.
Industrias de Aceite FINO
S.A.38%
ADM-SAO S.A.28%
Industrias Oleaginosas IOL
S.A.18%
Empresa de Transformación Agroindustrial
S.A.9%
Others7%
Source: Euromonitor Elaboration: KPMG
Fino36%
Sabrosa22%
Rico18%
Crisol9%
Sao6%
La Patrona1%
Others8%
* Market Share determined by the level of revenue.
*Market Share determined by the level of revenue.
21
Industrias de Aceites FINO SA 37.9%
ADM-SAO SA 28.5%
Industrias Oleaginosas IOL SA 18.2%
Empresa de Transformación Agroindustrial SA
8.8%
Minoil Bolivia Ltda. 0.8%
Industrias Venado SA 0.1%
La Serrana Srl 0.1%
Others 5.4%
Market Concentration of the Edible Oils Market by Company (%)
Industry Analysis – Consumer Goods
Market Share of the Edible Oils Market in 2017 by Brand (%)
Edible Oils Sales by Category (in BOB MM) Market Share in the Edible Oils Market in 2017 by Companies (%)
Fino 36.1%
Sabrosa 21.7%
Rico 18.2%
Crisol 8.8%
Sao 6.1%
La Patrona 1.0%
Borges 0.9%
Others 7.2%
Source: Euromonitor Elaboration: KPMG
Olive Oil 55.8
Corn Oil 0.8
Soybean Oil 720.6
Sunflower Oil 338.4
-20% 0% 15%
Edible Oils 1,115.5 Annual Growth 2017 % CAGR 2012-2017 %
Source:Euromonitor Elaboration: KPMG
Source: Euromonitor Elaboration: KPMG
Source: Euromonitor Elaboration: KPMG
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Top 3 Companies Others
22
Business Valuation Methods
23
Asset ValuationBusiness Valuation Methods
The methodology for the estimation of the pro-forma value of the future cash flows of the crushing and consumer goods business units of FINO and ADM-SAO under a stand alonescenario and without including synergies of both businesses.
Discounted Cash Flow Market comparables (Cross-check)
Historical General Balance
Assumptions
Projected General Balance
CAPEX, projected operational working
capital
Present Assets Value
Present Equity Value
Historical Profits and Losses
Projections bybusiness line
Projected Profits and Losses
Multiples of comparable companies
Evaluate the comparability with the
company
Analysis of multiples of comparable
companies
Summary of thevaluation
Projected FCL
Description
This methodology estimates the present value of the free cash flows generated by the company discounted at a rate according to the risk of the asset. Also, to arrive at the value of the shares, the Net Debt is subtracted (debt minus cash).
Discount Rate: WACC
+ Net Debt(– Debt+Cash)+ Non-operative Cash+ Non-operative assets
24
Asset Valuation
Cash and Banks
Net Fixed Assets
Commercial accounts payable
and other operational
accounts payable
Equity
Commercial accounts
receivable and other operating
accounts receivable Financial
obligations
Commercial accounts payable
and other operational
accounts payable
Commercial accounts
receivable and other operating
accounts receivable Operating
Working Capital or OWC
Operational Need for Funds
+ EBIT*(1-t)- CAPEX+ Depreciation y Amortization+ Δ Operating Working Capital (OWC)
Free Cash Flow to the Firm
For the estimation of the Present Value of the Assets, the investments of the operating working capital must be taken into account, given that these represent the operational needs of funding for the operation of the business each year.
Operating Working Capital = Commercial accounts receivable + Inventories – Commercial Accounts Payable
Investments in operating working capital = (commercial accounts receivable t + Inventories t - Accounts payable t) - (Commercial accounts receivable t + 1 + Inventories t + 1 - Accounts payable t + 1)
Free Cash Flow
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
20
23
20
24
a) t = Effective Income Tax rate.
25
Main Assumptions
26
Source: BCB Elaboration: KPMG
Main Assumptions – Macroeconomics Assumptions
USA Inflation Rate (Var %) Exchange Rate/ Income Tax/ Legal Reserve
Bolivia Inflation Rate (Var %)
Source: BCB / Audited Financial Statements Elaboration: KPMGSource: IMF Elaboration: KPMG
▬ For modeling purposes, the inflation rate of Bolivia and the USA, both obtained from theWorld Economic Outlook Database dated April 2017, from the International Monetary Fund.
▬ For the calculation of the perpetuity value of the Crushing and Consumer Goods businesses,the inflation rate of the US (2.65%) was taken as the long-term growth rate.
▬ The Exchange rate (BOB/USD) was obtained from the Banco Central de Bolivia. It should benoted that as of June 2017, Bolivia maintains a fixed Exchange rate system.
▬ The effective income tax rate applied is 25.00%, in accordance with the tax legislation inforced at the valuation date and the Company´s audited financial statements.
▬ The percentage of legal reserve constitute of 5.00% of the profits of each fiscal year, prior toits distribution. This information was obtained through the Company´s audited financialstatements.
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Exchange Rate (BOB/USD) 6.96 6.96 6.96 6.96 6.96 6.96 6.96
Income Tax 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Legal Reserve 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Historical Forecasted
Historical Forecasted
4.55%
6.48%
5.20%
2.95%
4.00%
4.67%5.01% 5.01% 5.01% 5.01% 5.01% 5.01%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Bolivia Long-term Inflation Rate (%)
1.82%
1.34%
0.55%0.74%
2.20%2.34%
2.65%2.65% 2.65%2.65% 2.65% 2.65%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
US Long-term Inflation Rate (%)
27
264368 359 331 379
473 477 467353 350 351 380 377 387 397 408
800
1,134
787
925
1,2161,152
1,011
813
672 721 725 753 749 769 789 810
673
1,694
1,042
1,186
1,6221,489
1,341
1,0801,0221,010
952 936 936 961 987 1,013
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Soybean Meal Soybean Oil Sunflower Oil
673.0
1,693.6
1,041.7
1,186.0
1,621.8
1,489.5
1,341.1
1,080.3
1,022.2
1,009.7
951.8
936.2
936.2
961.1 986.5
1,012.7
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
317.3
453.3
378.5
384.9
484.2
537.8517.2
457.8
347.4
362.7
360.7
382.2
378.3
388.4
398.7
409.2
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: IMF Elaboration: KPMG
Main Assumptions - Crushing
Global Price of Sunflower (USD/MT) Global Price of Soybean Derivatives (USD/MT)
Global Price of Soybean (USD/MT)
Source: IMF Elaboration: KPMGSource: IMF Elaboration: KPMG
▬ The price evolution of Soy and Sunflower has been marked by a high volatility during theperiods that spam from 2007 to 2017, which has been noticeable in years. Likewise,historical max prices can be seen in 2008, 2011 and 2012. It should be noted that in 2016 theglobal price of soybean closed at 362.7 USD/MT and of sunflower at 1,009 USD/MT.
▬ For the forecasted global prices of soybean, soybean meal, soybean oil and sunflower,forecasts made by the International Monetary Fund, adjusted to the inflation rate of the USA,have been taken into account.
Historical Forecasted
Historical Forecasted
Increase in Soybean´s Price due to drop in supply of soybean in the US.
Historical Forecasted
28
1,229,000
1,225,000
1,190,750
1,262,217
1,269,549
1,310,884
1,353,564
1,397,633
1,443,137
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: INE and ANAPO Elaboration: KPMG
Main Assumptions – Crushing
Hectares of Sunflower
Hectares of Soybeans
Source: INE and ANAPO Elaboration: KPMGSource: INE and ANAPO Elaboration: KPMG
▬ The estimated growth of hectares for the production of soybean and sunflower wereconstructed from historical data, through the analysis of growth rates, the Compound AnnualGrowth Rate (CAGR) for the last 12 years was determined.
Growth of Productive Hectares in Santa Cruz- Bolivia
Cultivated Area 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Soybeans during Summer Season 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3%
Soybeans during Winter Season 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3%
Sunflower during Winter Season 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7%
CAGR 3 years
CAGR 5 years
CAGR 8 years
CAGR 10 years
CAGR 12 years
194,082
103,284
146,772
108,207
160,747168,226
176,053184,245
192,817
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Soybean
Sunflower
3.54% 4.84% 5.08% 3.42% 3.26%
-13.04% -9.73% -7.37% -1.09% 4.65%Historical
Historical
Forecasted
Forecasted
▬ To determine the growth in hectares of Soybean and Sunflower, the Compound AnnualGrowth Rate (CAGR) for the last 12 years was used.
▬ The percentage purchased of Soybean for the summer season, over the total cultivated areain Bolivia, is on average 16.5% and for the winter season is on average 17.2%.
▬ The percentage purchased of Sunflower for the winter season, over the total cultivated areain Bolivia, is on average 40.9%.
29
317.3
453.3
378.5
384.9
484.2
537.8 517.2
457.8 347.4
362.7
360.7 382.2 378.3 388.4 398.7
409.2
65.0
40.0
31.0 35.0
31.5 35.6
41.7
45.7
49.2
57.6
6.3
45.8
35.4 32.0 40.7
49.7 52.3 52.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
-
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
600.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Global Price of Soybean
Crush Margin (US$/TM) - Min.
Crush Margin (US$/TM) - Max.
Income obtained through thecapture of soybeans available for
processing
Main Assumptions – Crushing
Price vs Crush Margin of Soybean (USD/MT)
Soybeans Yield per hectare (MT/Ha)
Source: Historical Data and KPMG Estimation Elaboration: KPMG
▬ The estimation of the Crush Margin was performed the following way:
Cru
sh
Marg
in
Independent Variable “X”: Price of Soybean (USD/MT):Depedent Variable “Y”: Crush Margin of Soybean (USD/MT):
From them, the historical correlation between the variables “X” and “Y” was recorded by the Company in order to establish a benchmark.
Regressions were estimated, which took into consideration two variables:1
The Crush Margin is calculated base on the forecasted revenue and expenses of soybean, considering the benchmark beforehand, with the following formula:
2
Crush margin of Soybean
Cost of Goods Sold (storage, processing and packagingexpenses, and hedging costs)
Historical Forecasted
Historical Forecasted
The maximum range considers the best payment conditions, storage availability and storage services
Source: ANAPO Elaboration: KPMG
2.32.3
2.3
1.96
2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33
2.03
2.35
2.00
2.09
2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34 2.34
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Soybean Yield during the Summer Season Soybean Yield during the Winter Season
30
673.0
1,693.6
1,041.7
1,186.0
1,621.8 1,489.5
1,341.1
1,080.3 1,022.2 1,009.7 951.8 936.2 936.2
961.1 986.5 1,012.7
125.0
8.0
-16.0
41.0 26.2 35.8
41.9 48.3 50.2
58.1
-19.2
25.5
42.9 29.4
42.1 52.4 56.1 54.7
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
-
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
1,000.0
1,200.0
1,400.0
1,600.0
1,800.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Global Price of Sunflower
Crush Margin (US$/TM) - Min.
Crush Margin (US$/TM) - Max.
1.02 1.02
0.89
1.15
0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Main Assumptions – Crushing
Price vs Crush Margin of Sunflower (USD/MT)
Sunflower Yield per hectare (MT/Ha)
Source: INE Elaboration: KPMG
Source: Historical Data and KPMG Estimation Elaboration: KPMG
Cru
sh
Marg
in
Historical
Historical Forecasted
Income obtained through thecapture of sunflower available for
processing
▬ The estimation of the Crush Margin was performed the following way:
Independent Variable “X”: Price of Sunflower (USD/MT):Depedent Variable “Y”: Crush Margin of Sunflower (USD/MT):
From them, the historical correlation between the variables “X” and “Y” was recorded by the Company in order to establish a benchmark.
Regressions were estimated, which took into consideration two variables:1
The Crush Margin is calculated base on the forecasted revenue and expenses of sunflower, considering the benchmark beforehand, with the following formula:
2
Crush margin of Sunflower
Cost of Goods Sold (storage, processing and packagingexpenses, and hedging costs)
Forecasted
The maximum range considers the best payment conditions, storage availability and storage services
31
83,327
192,500176,214
202,830220,484
202,830
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Processing Sunflower Nominal Capacity - Sunflower Crushing Real Capacity - Sunflower Crushing
749,325
908,562 938,143 968,687 1,000,2261,032,792
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Processing Soybeans Nominal Capacity - Soybean Crushing Real Capacity - Soybean Crushing
Main Assumptions - CrushingInstalled Capacity – Soybean and Sunflower Factory (MT)
Source: Information Provided by the Client Elaboration: KPMG
+ of 150,000 MT of soybean appointed to the sunflower factory.
+ of 150,000 MT of soybean appointed to the sunflower factory.
Usage (%) 73.3% 84.1% 84.1% 84.1% 84.1% 84.1%
Usage (%) 31.7% 79.8% 67.1% 84.1% 83.9% 84.1%
In the determination of the effective capacity of Soybean and Sunflower plant, 6 days of bi-monthly maintenance, 4 non-programmable days for holiday and a 90% performance level are assumed.
32
27.41% 27.48% 27.55% 27.62% 27.69% 27.75%
41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0%
52.8% 52.8% 52.8% 52.8% 52.8% 52.8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
51,491 53,915
56,460 59,133
61,941 64,890
14,056 14,533 15,027 15,537 16,065 16,611
6,635 7,018 7,423 7,852 8,305 8,785
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1,360.2 1,398.2 1,437.2 1,477.4 1,518.6 1,561.0 1,647.6 1,691.2 1,736.1 1,782.1 1,829.3 1,877.8
2,085.3 2,140.6 2,197.3 2,255.6 2,315.4 2,376.8
-
500.0
1,000.0
1,500.0
2,000.0
2,500.0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Forecasted
Cooking Oil Butter
Margarine
Source: Information Provided by the Client and BCB Elaboration: KPMG
Forecasted
Main Assumptions – Consumer Goods
Price (USD/MT) – Main Products Products Gross Margins (%) – Main Products
Volume (MT) – Main Products
Source: Information Provided by the Client and BCB Ellaboration: KPMGSource: Información Provided by the Client and BCB Elaboration: KPMG
▬ For the forecasted period, the annual growth rates of all cooking oil products have beenindexed to the real historical variation of private consumption in Bolivia (3.4%).
▬ With respect to the estimated prices for each product, in the forecasted period they havebeen indexed to the long-term inflation rate of the USA (2.65%).
▬ The gross margins estimated for each cooking oil product are aligned to the historical marginsrecorded in 2017.
ForecastedHistoricalHistorical
Historical
33
1,445 1,495 1,545 1,598
1,652 1,708
619 641 662 685 708 732
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
38% 38% 38% 38% 38% 38%
36% 36% 36% 36% 36% 36%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
32%
34%
36%
38%
40%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1,647.6 1,691.2 1,736.1 1,782.1 1,829.3 1,877.8
2,085.3 2,140.6 2,197.3 2,255.6
2,315.4 2,376.8
-
500.0
1,000.0
1,500.0
2,000.0
2,500.0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Main Assumptions – Consumer Goods
Price (USD/MT) – Main Products Products Gross Margins (%) – Main Products
Volume (MT) – Main Products
Historical
▬ For the forecasted period, the annual growth rates of all cooking oil products have beenindexed to the real historical variation of private consumption in Bolivia (3.4%).
▬ With respect to the estimated prices for each product, in the forecasted period they havebeen indexed to the long-term inflation rate of the USA (2.65%).
▬ The gross margins estimated for each cooking oil product are aligned to the historical marginsrecorded in 2017.
Source: Information Provided by the Client and BCB Elaboration: KPMGSource: Information Provided by the Client and BCB Elaboration: KPMG
Source: Information Provided by the Client and BCB Elaboration: KPMG
Soybean Oil Sunflower Oil
Forecasted
Forecasted ForecastedHistorical
Historical
34
To determine the long-term discount rate of crushing and consumption businesses,
we use the WACC methodology as described below.
𝑾𝑨𝑪𝑪 = 𝑲𝒆 ∗𝑬
𝑫 + 𝑬+ 𝑲𝒅 ∗ 𝟏 − 𝑻 ∗
𝑫
𝑫 + 𝑬
Where:
Ke = Cost of equity
E = Equity value of comparable companies
Kd = Cost of debt
D = Value of debt of comparable companies
T= Corporate tax rate
(E/(E+D)) = Equity / (Equity + Debt)
(D/(E+D)) = Debt / (Equity + Debt).
The cost of equity uses the Capital Asset Pricing Model ("CAPM") methodology as
described:
𝑲𝒆 = 𝑹𝒇 + 𝜷 ∗ 𝑹𝒎 + 𝑹𝒇 + 𝑹𝒑 + 𝜶
Where:
𝑅𝑓 = Risk-free rate
(𝑅𝑚 - 𝑅𝑓) = It is the premium for market risk
ß = The beta factor is the measure of the systematic risk of a particular asset in
relation to the risk of the portfolio of all risky assets.
𝑅𝑝 = Country-specific risk factor.
= Business-specific risk factor - Size premium.
Discount Rate The Capital Asset Pricing Model methodology is used to determine an appropriate
cost of capital.
As a risk-free rate, the US 30-year bond rate of 2.84% was used.
The premium for market risk established by KPMG Global corresponds to 5.5%.
The country risk of Bolivia is 2.93% according to Capital IQ.
The Ibbotson size premiums range from 1.11% to 1.98%.
The effective tax rate equal to 25.00%.
To determine the beta, comparable companies obtained through Capital IQ were
used, thus obtaining an unlevered beta of 1.04.
An average cost of debt was used from a range of 8.13% and 8.34%, rates that
were obtained by estimating the cost of debt from the risk-free rate, the country risk
and the credit spread corresponding to the company were calculated based on the
Z-Altman Plus Score methodology and the RiskCalc platform of Moody's Analytics.
Conclusion
The WACC rates obtained for the crushing and consumption businesses are of
12.49% and 12.21% in dollars and in nominal terms, respectively.
35
Discount rate – Crushing and Consumer Goods
Risk-free rate
(𝑟𝑓)
2.84%
Premium for
market risk (𝑟𝑚 −𝑟𝑓)
5.50%
Beta of the
company (β)
1.25
Unleveraged
Beta
Debt / Equity 26.14%
1.04
Country risk( 𝑟𝑝 ) 2.93%
Ke range
Average Cost of
debt range
8.13%-
8.34%
Effective tax rateTax rate 25.00%
Kd range6.10% -
6.26%
WACC - USD 12.49%
Sources:
• Risk-free rate: Yield of
30 years - Treasury of
the United States -
Source: Treasury USA -
Spot Rate
• Premium for Market
Risk: Estimate made by
KPMG
• Debt / Equity: Average
Debt-Equity structure
among comparable
companies
• Country Risk: Credit
Default Swaps (CDS) -
Bolivia
• Premium by size:
Ibbotson
25.00%
13.73% -
14.60%
Size Premium
range (𝜶)
1.11%
-1.98%
WACC - USD 12.21%
Consumer goodsCrushing
36
Results
37
354,472
352,637
205,332
147,305
417,763
415,928
243,352
172,577
50,000 250,000 450,000 650,000 850,000
Equity Value - Proforma
Asset Value - Proforma
Consumption andDistribution
Crushing
ResultsFree Cash Flow for the Firm - USD M (Main Methodology)
( 4.37x )
( 8.21x )
( 5.13x )
( 9.73x )
A
B
BA( 6.01x ) ( 7.09x )
For a stand alone scenario and without synergies, the Asset Value, under the Free Cash Flow to the Firm methodology, ranges from USD 352,637 M to USD 415,928 M with a midpoint of USD 381,971 M sensitized with a discount rate that goes of 11.80% to 12.81% and a growth in perpetuity that goes of 2.45% to 2.85% (Long-term Inflation of the United States).
Likewise, the Equity Value ranges from USD 354,472 M to USD 417,763 M with an average point of USD 383,807 M.
C
AThe crushing value range goes from USD 147,305 M to USD 172,577 M with a midpoint of USD 159,032 M. The implied multiple range goes from 4.37x to 5.13x times the EBITDA.
B
C
The range of consumption and distribution value ranges from USD 205,332 M to USD 243,352 M with a mid point of USD 222,940 M. The implicit multiple range goes from 8.21xto 9.73x times the EBITDA.
It should be noted that for the estimation of the Equity Value a net cash level of USD 1,835 M * is assumed.
383,807
381,972
222,940
159,032
* According to the Client, the estimate of the net cash balance as of April 2018 is: USD 1,835 M.
38
Appendix
39
Appendix I – Consolidated Balance Sheet (I)
Cash and Cash Equivalents 106,337,853 40,438,070 124,122,925 128,205,129 90,621,908
Account Receivables 123,895,620 137,158,291 141,479,489 151,981,521 153,703,158
Account Receivable from Related Parties 86,679,361 107,962,525 110,234,023 114,836,098 118,025,601
Inventories 117,551,337 127,037,115 128,036,029 135,106,136 135,393,299
Prepaid Expenses 12,492,484 13,093,592 13,575,399 14,802,684 14,854,545
Income Tax Receivables 18,008,329 19,105,795 19,785,874 21,502,231 21,615,180
Total Current Assets 464,964,983 444,795,387 537,233,739 566,433,798 534,213,692
Permanent Inventories 17,355,376 17,355,376 17,355,376 17,355,376 17,355,376
Net Fixed Assets 100,160,040 95,776,603 93,746,687 97,051,325 100,544,903
Intangible Assets 2,010,478 2,010,478 2,010,478 2,010,478 2,010,478
Notes Receivables 368,816 368,816 368,816 368,816 368,816
Total Non-Current Assets 119,894,710 115,511,273 113,481,356 116,785,995 120,279,573
Total Assets 584,859,692 560,306,660 650,715,095 683,219,794 654,493,265
Account Payables 54,879,581 62,339,299 62,704,751 65,500,664 66,161,270
Account Payables from Related Parties 1,696,951 1,795,049 1,810,762 1,919,293 1,916,692
Notes Payables 49,937,245 26,653,016 107,328,409 77,377,366 44,219,289
Bonds Payables 49,087,860 39,284,483 29,869,389 38,357,113 25,635,803
Income Tax Payables 4,575,825 4,678,345 4,726,107 5,045,739 5,010,585
Total Current Liabilities 160,177,462 134,750,192 206,439,418 188,200,174 142,943,639
Notes Payables 4,081,164 2,231,090 7,167,017 5,326,946 3,293,843
Bonds Payables 81,744,454 65,419,201 49,740,545 63,874,882 42,690,489
Employee Benefits Payables and Others 7,276,108 7,276,108 7,276,108 7,276,108 7,276,108
Other Non-current Account Payables 982,322 982,322 982,322 982,322 982,322
Total Non-Current Liabilities 94,084,048 75,908,721 65,165,993 77,460,259 54,242,763
Total Liabilities 254,261,510 210,658,913 271,605,411 265,660,433 197,186,402
USD Jun-18 Jun-19 Jun-20 Jun-21 Jun-22
Balance Sheet
40
Appendix I – Consolidated Balance Sheet (II)
Equity 66,505,747 66,505,747 66,505,747 66,505,747 66,505,747
Adjustments to Equity 48,623,062 48,623,062 48,623,062 48,623,062 48,623,062
Adjustments to Global Equity 16,441,402 16,441,402 16,441,402 16,441,402 16,441,402
Revaluation Reserve 1,301,406 1,301,406 1,301,406 1,301,406 1,301,406
Legal Reserve 17,173,897 17,173,897 17,173,897 17,173,897 17,173,897
Adjustment to Legal Reserve 20,578,398 20,578,398 20,578,398 20,578,398 20,578,398
Retained Earnings 159,974,270 179,023,835 208,485,772 246,935,448 286,682,951
Total Equity 330,598,182 349,647,748 379,109,684 417,559,361 457,306,864
Total Liabilities and Equity 584,859,692 560,306,660 650,715,095 683,219,794 654,493,265
USD Jun-18 Jun-19 Jun-20 Jun-21 Jun-22
Balance Sheet
41
Appendix II – Income StatementUSD Jun-18 Jun-19 Jun-20 Jun-21 Jun-22
Statement of Comprehensive Income
Revenue 494,633,989 556,430,739 573,128,439 613,032,788 621,369,175
Cost of Good Sold (428,579,085) (479,864,714) (482,950,716) (505,946,110) (509,894,236)
Gross Profit 66,054,904 76,566,026 90,177,723 107,086,678 111,474,939
Operating Expenses (40,402,016) (43,295,011) (44,464,982) (44,810,733) (46,354,365)
Expenses (40,402,016) (43,295,011) (44,464,982) (44,810,733) (46,354,365)
Operating Profit 25,652,888 33,271,015 45,712,741 62,275,945 65,120,574
Investments (218,864) (302,438) (731,600) (1,255,255) (2,260,046)
Adjustments to Inflation 2,058,787 2,149,968 2,229,864 2,433,926 2,441,169
Other Expenses (3,052,531) (3,133,454) (3,216,522) (3,301,792) (3,389,322)
Financial Income and Financial Expenses (4,387,070) (7,561,985) (5,026,099) (8,397,750) (6,886,810)
Exchange Rate Difference - - - - -
Futures and Options (656,245) (802,884) (1,497,811) (2,361,687) (3,961,813)
Other Income 1,384,065 1,779,200 1,812,008 1,872,847 1,932,919
Earning Before Tax 20,781,030 25,399,420 39,282,582 51,266,235 52,996,671
Income Tax (5,195,257) (6,349,855) (9,820,646) (12,816,559) (13,249,168)
Net Income 15,585,772 19,049,565 29,461,937 38,449,676 39,747,503
42
Appendix II – Historical Pro-forma and Forecasted EBITDA
MM
US
D
Values presented from January to December
Values presented by the end of June of each year.
58.9
17.1
56.3
14.9
53.6 59.8 69.6 80.8 83.6
9.3%
3.2%
9.6%
3.1%
10.8% 10.7%
12.1%
13.2%13.5%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Pro-forma EBITDA EBITDA Margin (%)
43
368,200
366,365
203,522
162,843
449,614
447,779
248,749
199,030
50,000 250,000 450,000 650,000 850,000
Crushing
Consumption and Distribution
Pro-forma Asset Value
Pro-forma Equity Value
Comparable Companies – M USD (Comparable Approach)
For the stand alone scenario and without synergies, asset value, under the multiples approach, fluctuates from USD 366,365 M to USD 447,779 M with a midpoint of USD 407,072 M.
Likewise, the equity value fluctuates from USD 366,365 M to USD 447,779 M with a mid point of USD 408,907 M.
The Crushing value fluctuates from USD 162,843 M to USD 199,030 M with a midpoint of USD 180,936 M. The implicit multiples fluctuates from 4.84x to 5.91x times the EBITDA.
The Consumption and Distribution fluctuates from USD 203,522 M to USD 246,749 M witha middle point of USD 226,135 M. The implicit multiples fluctuates from 8.14x to 9.95xtimes the EBITDA.
For the estimation of the equity value a net debt level of USD 1,835 M* is assumed. It isimportant to mention that the multiples approach has been used as a contrast and is alignedwith the main approach of Free Cash Flow used by KPMG.
A
B
C
Appendix II – Results (Comparable Approach).
( 8.14x )
( 4.84x ) ( 5.91x )
( 9.95x )
( 6.24x ) ( 7.63x )
A
B
BA
C
180,936
226,135
407,072
408,907
* In accordance with the Client, the estimated net debt as of April of 2018 is USD 1,835 M.
44
Multiples from Comparable Companies – Mass Consumption
Appendix III – Comparable MultiplesMarket Approach – Comparable Multiples
EV/EBITDA Multiple
Multiples from Comparable Companies - Crushing
EV/EBITDA Multiple
* The multiples of comparable companies were adjusted to Bolivia´s country risk.
Source: Capital IQ Elaboration: KPMG
4.12x
5.95x
6.62x
4.91x
6.62x
4.12x
5.37x
5.39x
4.32x
6.42x
0.00x 2.00x 4.00x 6.00x 8.00x
Anglo-Eastern Plantations Plc
Sarawak Oil Palms Barhad
PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk
PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk
Max.
Min.
Mean
Median
Percentile 25
Percentile 75
7.29x
8.41x
9.05x
13.92x
9.00x
9.97x
7.77x
13.92x
7.29x
9.04x
8.41x
7.77x
9.05x
0.00x 5.00x 10.00x 15.00x
Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A.
Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V.
Gruma, S.A.B. de C.V.
Grupo Nutresa S.A.
Alicorp S.A.A
Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. de C.V.
Carozzi S.A.
Max.
Min.
Mean
Median
Percentile 25
Percentile 75
45
0.00x
2.00x
4.00x
6.00x
8.00x
10.00x
12.00x
14.00x
16.00x
18.00x
0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00%
Appendix III – Comparable Multiples (II)
Anglo-Eastern Plantations PlcEBITDA Margin: 29.92%EV/EBITDA: 4.12x
Sarawak Oil Palms BerhadEBITDA Margin: 8.71%EV/EBITDA: 5.85x
PT Astra Agro Lestari TbkEBITDA Margin: 29.09%EV/EBITDA: 6.62x
PT FKS Multi Agro TbkEBITDA Margin: 3.49%EV/EBITDA: 4.91x
Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A.EBITDA Margin: 5.35%EV/EBITDA: 7.29x
Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V.EBITDA Margin: 12.01%EV/EBITDA: 8.41x
Gruma, S.A.B. de C.V.EBITDA Margin: 15.93%EV/EBITDA: 9.05x
Grupo Nutresa S. A.EBITDA Margin: 11.51%EV/EBITDA: 13.92x
Alicorp S.A.A.EBITDA Margin: 12.58%EV/EBITDA: 8.00x
Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. de C.V.EBITDA Margin: 16.06%EV/EBITDA: 8.87x
Carozzi S.A.EBITDA Margin: 13.05%EV/EBITDA: 7.77x
Pro-forma EBITDA Margin (2018-2022): 12.07%EV/EBITDA: 6.51x
Percentile 25: 8.7% Percentile 75: 16.1%
EBITDA Margin (%)
EV
/EB
ITD
A M
ultip
le
Source: Capital IQ Elaboration: KPMG
46
Appendix IV – Comparable CompaniesCompanies Country Description
PT FKS Multi Agro TbkTogether with its subsidiaries, it manufactures, distributes, and markets food and condiments in Indonesia. The company offers foods such as oils, rice, soybeans, corn, wheat grains, oilseed products, etc. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in the south of Jakarta, Indonesia. PT FKS Multi Agro Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Era Investama Cemerlang.
PT Astra Agro Lestari TbkPT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the palm oil business in Indonesia. The company offers crude palm oil and its derivatives, palm kernel and its derivatives, and other products. It manages a total area of 290,961 hectares of palm plantation. The company was founded in 1988 and its headquarters are located in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Astra International Tbk.
Sarawak Oil Palms BerhadSarawak Oil Palms Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, grow palm oil and operates palm oil mills in Malaysia and Singapore. The company offers products for planting, such as fresh fruit bouquets, products for mills, such as crude palm oil and palm kernel. It has a total planting area of 87,744 hectares. Sarawak Oil Palms Berhad was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Miri, Malaysia.
Anglo-Eastern PlantationsAnglo-Eastern Plantations Plc owns, operates and develops plantations for agriculture in Indonesia and Malaysia. It produces mainly crude oil of palm and rubber. The company was founded in 1985 and its headquarters are located in London, England. Anglo-Eastern Plantations Plc is a subsidiary of Genton International Limited.
Carozzi S.A.Carozzi S.A., together with its subsidiaries, Empresas Carozzi S.A., operate in the food industry in Chile, Peru and internationally. It offers flours, rice, cookies and snacks, chocolates, among others. Carozzi S.A. It was founded in 1898 and its headquarters are located in Santiago, Chile. Carozzi S.A. is a subsidiary of Principadode Asturias, S.A.
Grupo Herdez, S.A.B de C.V.It operates in the processed foods segment in Mexico and the United States. It offers burritos, canned vegetables, guacamole, ice cream, organic food, tea, among others. The company operates through 22 distribution channels and approximately 475 Nutrisa stores. Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. of C.V. was founded in 1914 and its headquarters is located in Mexico City, Mexico. Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. of C.V. is a subsidiary of Hechos Con Amor S.A. of C.V.
Alicorp S.A.A.Alicorp S.A.A. offers consumer products and B2B products in Peru and internationally. The company offers oils, condiments, sweets, cereals, chocolates, pasta, industrial and cooking flour, soaps, margarines, desserts and animal feed. Alicorp was founded in 1956 and its headquarters are located in Callao, Peru.
Grupo Nutresa S.A.Grupo Nutresa S.A. operates mainly in the food industry in Colombia and Latin America. It operates in the segments of snacks, chocolates, coffee, retail products, ice cream and pasta. The company was previously known as Grupo Nacional de Chocolates S.A. and changed its name to Grupo Nutresa S.A. in 2011. Grupo NutresaS.A. was founded in 1920 and its headquarters are located in Medellín, Colombia.
Gruma, S.A.B. de C.V.Gruma S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells corn flour, tortilla and other related products. Its products are sold using the following brands: MASECA, TORTIMASA, MASARICA, among others. It operates in Mexico, the United States, Central America, Europe, Asia and Oceania. Gruma S.A.B. of C.V. was founded in 1949 and its headquarters is in San Pedro Garza García, Mexico.
Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V. Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes and commercializes pastry products and processed foods. Its produces include bread, pita bread, cookies, snacks, cakes, muffins, toasts, tortillas, among others. The company operates in Mexico, the United States, Canada, Central America, South America, Spain, among others. Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. of C.V. was founded in 1945 and its headquarters are located in Mexico City, Mexico.
Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A.
Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the food sector in Argentina and internationally. The company industrializes and markets food products such as oils, pasta, mate, flour, rice, snacks, among others. The company sells its products through the brand Lucchetti, Matarazzo, Granja del Sol, Gallo, Gallo Snacks, among others. Molinos Rio de la plata S.A. was founded in 1902 and its headquarters are located in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Molinos Rio de la Plata S.A. it is a subsidiary of PCF S.A.
Crushing Consumer goods
Source: Capital IQ Elaboration: KPMG
47
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