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Air Service Development Strategy 14

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Page 1: Air Service Development Strategy

Air Service Development Strategy

14

Page 2: Air Service Development Strategy
Page 3: Air Service Development Strategy

10th busiest airport in Canada

Page 4: Air Service Development Strategy

YLW passenger traffic grew by 10% in 2018

Source: Innovata Schedules (via Diio) outbound seats

Market Update

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

E/D

Pas

sen

ger

s (m

illio

ns)

38% growth 2013 - 2018

Page 5: Air Service Development Strategy

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

International

Transborder

Domestic

Market Update

Growth in all sectors

Page 6: Air Service Development Strategy

YTD Difference (2019 to 2018)

Month 2019 2018 Diff % Diff

January 181,729 176,389 5,340 3.03%

February 360,768 350,329 10,439 2.98%

March 554,483 536,125 18,358 3.42%

Monthly Difference (2019 to 2018)

Month 2019 2018 Diff % Diff

January 181,729 176,389 5,340 3.03%

February 179,039 173,940 5,099 2.93%

March 193,715 185,796 7,919 4.26%

YLW passenger traffic is up 3.4% in 2019Market Update

Page 7: Air Service Development Strategy

YLW seat capacity grew by 14.85% in 2018

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

2,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Sea

ts (T

ho

usa

nd

s)

Annual Outbound Seat Capacity

Moderate Growth+4.1% per annum

over 4 years

Strong Growth+23.4% over 2 years

Source: Innovata Schedules (via Diio) outbound seats

Market Update

Page 8: Air Service Development Strategy

YLW has out paced other airports in Canada

Source: Innovata Schedules (via Diio) outbound seats

YLW has significantly outpaced the overall

industry (seat capacity)

0.90

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

1.50

1.60

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

YLW

Total Canada

Market Update

Page 9: Air Service Development Strategy

Source: Innovata Schedules (via Diio) outbound seats.Note: Does not include sun charter service or Flair service (initiated in 2017).

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Major Airlines

Air Canada WestJet Alaska

Five year growth by airline

exit

Market Update

Page 10: Air Service Development Strategy

Almost all capacity growth is domestic

Source: Innovata Schedules (via Diio) outbound seats

1.9%

16.7%

-8.7%-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

Sun

spo

t

Do

mes

tic

Tran

sbo

rder

2018 Capacity Growth

2018 Capacity Share

Domestic (93%) Sunspots (5%) Transborder (2%)

Market Update

Page 11: Air Service Development Strategy

Air Canada & WestJet Update

Page 12: Air Service Development Strategy

16%

47%

77%

93%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

YYC YYZ YUL YVR

AC US/Int’l Seat Capacity at Hubs(Cumulative Growth 2014 - 2018)

10%

41%

208%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

YYC YVR YUL YYZ

AC YLW Seat Capacity by Hubs(Cumulative Growth 2014 - 2018)

Source: Innovata Schedules (via Diio)Note: * Announced on Air Canada’s website, growth measured using outbound seat capacity

N/A

Main focus has been on int’l growth at hubsAir Canada Update

Page 13: Air Service Development Strategy

787 Dreamliner (8 & 9 variants)

737 MAX (8 & 9 variants)*

A220

• Longer range and 20% more fuel efficient than older aircraft

• Used for international expansion• 35 aircraft operating (27 – 900 & 8 – 800), with 2

more being delivered in 2019

• Flight range increased by 640 km and fuel efficiency increased by 10% cost savings

• Used in major North American markets• European markets (Bordeaux)* Out of service until Q4 2019

• Allows for longer range service to smaller markets that were previously not financially feasible

• 45 aircraft that will replace Embraer and Airbus narrow-body aircraft, delivery start in Q4 2019

Efficiency gains have been supported by aircraft decisions:

Strong performance driven by efficiency gainsAir Canada Update

Page 14: Air Service Development Strategy

The long-term business model is evolving

Hub and Spoke

• Encore – Fleet of 47 Q400 aircraft

• Link – fleet of Saab 340B aircraft operated by Pacific Coastal Airlines

• Expanding internationally – have ordered 10 - 787 Dreamliner’s that start service in April 2019 and have announced a joint venture with Delta

Full Service Product

• New business class – offered on the 787 with lie flat seating

• Premium product for 737 (2x2 seating)

• Rewards program – targeting high value customers and premium travelers

• Focus on corporate bookings

WestJet Update

Page 15: Air Service Development Strategy

Dublin -YLW

Start Date: 1 June

Frequency: 3x/week

Paris -YLW

Start Date: 17 May

Frequency: 4x/week

London -YLW

Start Date: 28 April

Frequency: 7x/week

These flights connect well to existing YLW-

YYC services.

New Europe from CalgaryWestJet Update

Page 16: Air Service Development Strategy

There are good opportunitiesAir Canada & WestJet Update

Page 17: Air Service Development Strategy

US Carriers Update

Page 18: Air Service Development Strategy

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

United Delta American

Nu

mb

er o

f D

esti

nat

ion

s

Canadian Destinations ServedBy US Carriers From 2013 to 2018

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Sea

ts (T

ho

usa

nd

s)

US Carriers’ Transborder Seat Capacity

United Delta American

Key Points

• Overall capacity has decreased from peak to current.

• United and Delta have decreased the number of Canadian stations they serve.

• Recent example is YYJ loss of SFO and Seattle service.

Source: Innovata Schedules (via Diio).

US carriers have reduced Canada serviceUS Major Carrier Update

Page 19: Air Service Development Strategy

ULCC Update

Page 20: Air Service Development Strategy

Swoop continues to grow quickly

• Launched by WestJet in June 2018, Swoop provides low-cost point-to-point service

• Announced YLW-YWG and YLW-LAS summer 2019 seasonal service

– Currently operating with 6 737-800NGs that were transferred from WestJet mainline

– 4 additional aircraft to be transferred by summer 2019

– Targeting 40% cheaper fares

– Currently focused on a handful of bigger markets (YHM, YHZ, YEG, YXX, YWG)

ULCC Update

Page 21: Air Service Development Strategy

Flair continues to grow

• Currently operating YLW -Edmonton

• Growing from 4x to 5x weekly flights

ULCC Update

Page 22: Air Service Development Strategy

• Recently announced that they plan to launch in 2019 as a ULCC

• Currently working with investor group, including Claridge Inc., Stephenson Management Inc., and Indigo Partners

• Indigo Partners has extensive experience starting ULCCs (Spirit Airlines, Tiger Airways)

• No launch date confirmed at this point

ULCC Update

• Announced YLW will be one of their launch cities.

• Planning to launch in December 2019, some funding has been secured.

• Will operate with Airbus A320 aircraft.

• Appointed new CEO (from VivaAerobus)

• Planned route map focuses on having bases at Hamilton and Abbotsford

New market entrants

Page 23: Air Service Development Strategy

Other Initiatives

Page 24: Air Service Development Strategy

Charter Carriers

• Operating Varadero, Cancun and Cabo

• Operating Cancun and Puerto Vallarta

• YLW currently marketing sun destinations

Other Initiatives

Page 25: Air Service Development Strategy

US & International Carriers

Other Initiatives

Page 26: Air Service Development Strategy

Regional Carriers

• Whitehorse service

• Prince George service

Other Initiatives

• Victoria and Cranbrook service

Page 27: Air Service Development Strategy