adept poverty: table of...

CPU time

Notifications Errors, Warnings and Notifications generated by data checking process

Original Data

ReportOriginal Data Report 1.89

Table 2.1 Table 2.1: Overall Poverty TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 8.38

Table 2.2 Table 2.2: Poverty by Geographic Regions TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 16.28

Table 3.1 Table 3.1: Mean Expenditure for Different Groups TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 3.03

Table 3.6 Table 3.6: Regional Poverty Decomposition 0.86

Table 3.6a Table 3.6a: Urban-rural Poverty Decomposition 0.70

Table 4.1 Table 4.1: Poverty by The Status of Employment TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 8.67

Table 4.2 Table 4.2: Poverty by Household Head's Status of Employment TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 9.62

Table 4.3 Table 4.3: Poverty by Education Level TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 10.26

Table 4.4 Table 4.4: Poverty by Household Head's Education Level TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 10.52

Table 4.5 Table 4.5: Poverty by Household Head's Gender TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 8.18

Table 4.15 Table 4.15: Poverty by Age Groups TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 11.92

Table 4.16 Table 4.16: Poverty by Household Head's Age TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 9.67

Table 4.7 Table 4.7: Poverty by Demographic Composition TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 15.09

Table 6.1 Table 6.1: Mean per-capita incomes in real terms TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 2.78

Table 6.3 Table 6.3: Income-based poverty estimates TABLE_SE TABLE_FREQ 15.37

Table 7 Table 7: Other measures of poverty 6.97

Table 3.2 Table 3.2: Decomposition of inequality by regions 1.97

Table 3.2a Table 3.2a: Decomposition of inequality by urban and rural areas 1.47

Table 3.3 Table 3.3: Inequality in per-capita expenditure distribution by urban and rural areas TABLE_SE 4.65

Table 3.4 Table 3.4: Ratios of Selected Expenditure Percentiles in Urban and Rural Areas TABLE_SE 1.62

Table 3.5 Table 3.5: Growth and redistribution decomposition of poverty changes 1.00

Table 4.12 Table 4.12: Consumption Regressions 1.97

Table 4.13 Table 4.13: Changes in the probability of being in poverty (percent) 4.90

Table 4.14 Table 4.14: Probability of being poor 5.32

Table 5.1 Table 5.1: Sensitivity of Headcount Poverty Rate with Respect to the Choice of Poverty Line 2.81

Table 5.2 Table 5.2: Elasticity of Poverty with Respect to the Consumption 5.10

Table 5.3 Table 5.3: Elasticity of Poverty with Respect to the Inequality 9.98

Figure 2.1 Figure 2.1: Growth-incidence curve 15.46

Figure 5.1 Figure 5.1: Poverty Incidence Curve 3.43

Figure 5.2 Figure 5.2: Poverty Deficit Curve 3.37

Figure 5.3 Figure 5.3: Poverty Severity Curve 3.43

Figure 5.4 Figure 5.4: Probability Density Function 6.71

Figure 5.5 Figure 5.5: Lorenz Curve 4.21

Figure 5.6 Figure 5.6: Age-Gender Pyramid and Poverty 4.06

221.63

ADePT Poverty: Table of Contents

Total time (seconds)

Checking variables in 2002:

Household head In variable srodstvo value 1 was assumed to mean "Yes"

Economic status Suspected outliers with code(s): 1 3 - in variable aktivnost







Age some respondents might be too young for education level - Primary school

Errors, Warnings and Notifications generated by data checking process

N mean min max p1 p50 p99 N_unique

2002 C:\ADePT\example\adept_2002.dta

id (Household ID) 19,725 3,280.8 1.0 6,386.0 66.0 3,367.0 6,319.0 6,386

pline_u (Line 1) 19,725 6,281.1 6,281.1 6,281.1 6,281.1 6,281.1 6,281.1 1

pline_l (Line 2) 19,725 4,643.8 4,643.8 4,643.8 4,643.8 4,643.8 4,643.8 1

urban (Urban) 19,725 1.5 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2

consump (Welfare aggregate) 19,725 10,544.4 630.1 137,441.6 2,690.4 9,087.7 35,925.7 6,386

region (Regions) 19,725 3.3 1.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 6

income (Income) 19,725 9,519.8 96.6 160,991.7 1,219.8 8,180.4 33,319.5 6,386

hhweight (Household weights) 19,725 379.2 271.1 4,013.1 271.1 364.8 776.6 62

srodstvo (Household head) 19,725 2.5 1.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 8

starost (Age) 19,725 40.9 0.0 95.0 1.0 42.0 82.0 96

pol (Gender) 19,725 1.5 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2

obrazovanje (Education) 19,725 2.8 1.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 7

aktivnost (Economic status) 19,725 2.2 1.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 3

Generated (Household size) 19,725 3.9 1.0 10.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 10


id (Household ID) 8,027 1,310.3 1.0 2,548.0 30.0 1,337.0 2,524.0 2,548

pline_u (Line 1) 8,027 5,731.7 5,731.7 5,731.7 5,731.7 5,731.7 5,731.7 1

pline_l (Line 2) 8,027 4,763.0 4,763.0 4,763.0 4,763.0 4,763.0 4,763.0 1

urban (Urban) 8,027 1.5 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2

consump (Welfare aggregate) 8,027 11,206.0 1,718.9 84,542.6 2,886.7 9,720.5 34,351.1 2,548

region (Regions) 8,027 3.4 1.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 6

income (Income) 8,027 10,958.7 513.3 93,976.6 2,212.3 9,779.3 30,070.8 2,548

hhweight (Household weights) 8,027 936.4 569.2 3,293.5 569.2 841.4 1,796.9 60


starost (Age) 8,027 41.9 0.0 96.0 1.0 43.0 83.0 96

pol (Gender) 8,027 1.5 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2





id (Household ID) 17,375 2,771.1 1.0 5,557.0 56.0 2,778.0 5,499.0 5,557

pline_u (Line 1) 17,375 10,281.3 10,281.3 10,281.3 10,281.3 10,281.3 10,281.3 1

pline_l (Line 2) 17,375 9,361.1 9,361.1 9,361.1 9,361.1 9,361.1 9,361.1 1

urban (Urban) 17,375 1.5 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2

consump (Welfare aggregate) 17,375 20,896.4 1,937.1 221,147.1 5,346.1 17,863.7 67,058.8 5,556

region (Regions) 17,375 3.3 1.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 6

income (Income) 17,375 17,436.4 182.0 206,524.8 1,374.0 15,003.2 62,547.1 5,553

hhweight (Household weights) 17,375 426.5 127.0 2,842.3 201.3 383.0 1,220.6 582


starost (Age) 17,375 41.5 0.0 100.0 1.0 43.0 84.0 99

pol (Gender) 17,375 1.5 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2




Original Data Report

Note: The numbers in this table are unweighted

Note: Changes shown between years 2002 and 2003

Back to the table of contents

2002 2003 2007 change 2002 2003 2007 change 2002 2003 2007 change

Poverty line = pline_u

Urban 19.1 7.9 7.0 -11.2 4.2 1.4 1.5 -2.8 1.4 0.4 0.5 -1.0

Rural 28.3 21.1 15.6 -7.2 7.0 4.7 3.4 -2.2 2.6 1.6 1.2 -1.0

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 5.4 2.8 2.3 -2.6 1.9 0.9 0.8 -1.0

Poverty line = pline_l

Urban 7.0 3.3 5.3 -3.6 1.3 0.5 1.0 -0.8 0.4 0.1 0.3 -0.3

Rural 11.8 11.6 11.5 -0.3 2.6 2.3 2.4 -0.3 0.9 0.7 0.8 -0.2

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 1.8 1.3 1.6 -0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 -0.2

Table 2.1: Overall Poverty

Poverty Headcount Rate (P0) Poverty Gap (P1) Squared Poverty Gap (P2)





Urban 19.1 7.9 7.0 -11.2 4.2 1.4 1.5 -2.8 1.4 0.4 0.5 -1.0

standard error 0.40 0.41 0.28 0.57 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.14 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.06

Rural 28.3 21.1 15.6 -7.2 7.0 4.7 3.4 -2.2 2.6 1.6 1.2 -1.0

standard error 0.48 0.66 0.40 0.81 0.15 0.18 0.11 0.24 0.08 0.08 0.05 0.12

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 5.4 2.8 2.3 -2.6 1.9 0.9 0.8 -1.0

standard error 0.31 0.37 0.24 0.49 0.09 0.10 0.06 0.13 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.06


Urban 7.0 3.3 5.3 -3.6 1.3 0.5 1.0 -0.8 0.4 0.1 0.3 -0.3

standard error 0.26 0.28 0.25 0.38 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03

Rural 11.8 11.6 11.5 -0.3 2.6 2.3 2.4 -0.3 0.9 0.7 0.8 -0.2

standard error 0.34 0.51 0.36 0.62 0.10 0.13 0.10 0.16 0.04 0.06 0.04 0.07

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 1.8 1.3 1.6 -0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 -0.2

standard error 0.21 0.28 0.21 0.35 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.08 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.04





2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007


Urban 10,522 4,131 9,103 10,522 4,131 9,103 10,522 4,131 9,103

Rural 9,203 3,896 8,272 9,203 3,896 8,272 9,203 3,896 8,272

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 19,725 8,027 17,375 19,725 8,027 17,375


Urban 10,522 4,131 9,103 10,522 4,131 9,103 10,522 4,131 9,103

Rural 9,203 3,896 8,272 9,203 3,896 8,272 9,203 3,896 8,272

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 19,725 8,027 17,375 19,725 8,027 17,375







Urban 19.1 7.9 7.0 -11.2 46.7 32.8 38.8 -13.9 56.4 56.4 58.5 0.0

Rural 28.3 21.1 15.6 -7.2 53.3 67.2 61.2 13.9 43.6 43.6 41.5 0.0

Region

Belgrade 17.7 3.8 5.6 -13.8 16.1 5.9 11.8 -10.2 21.1 21.1 22.3 0.0

Vojvodina 20.9 10.8 9.5 -10.1 24.6 21.5 25.5 -3.1 27.1 27.1 28.3 0.0

Western Serbia 27.8 19.0 16.2 -8.8 13.5 15.6 16.1 2.1 11.2 11.2 10.5 0.0

Šumadija and Pomoravlje 22.9 12.9 8.0 -10.0 17.1 16.4 12.7 -0.8 17.3 17.3 16.8 0.0

Eastern Serbia 20.9 18.0 14.0 -2.9 8.4 12.3 11.4 3.9 9.3 9.3 8.6 0.0

Southeastern Serbia 33.5 27.7 17.5 -5.9 20.3 28.4 22.4 8.1 14.0 14.0 13.5 0.0

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0


Urban 7.0 3.3 5.3 -3.6 43.2 27.2 39.5 -16.0 56.4 56.4 58.5 0.0

Rural 11.8 11.6 11.5 -0.3 56.8 72.8 60.5 16.0 43.6 43.6 41.5 0.0

Region

Belgrade 7.1 1.5 4.3 -5.6 16.5 4.7 12.2 -11.8 21.1 21.1 22.3 0.0

Vojvodina 7.4 6.0 6.9 -1.5 22.2 23.3 24.8 1.1 27.1 27.1 28.3 0.0

Western Serbia 10.9 10.8 10.8 -0.1 13.4 17.3 14.4 4.0 11.2 11.2 10.5 0.0


Eastern Serbia 8.2 7.4 11.6 -0.8 8.3 9.9 12.7 1.6 9.3 9.3 8.6 0.0

Southeastern Serbia 14.4 16.1 14.7 1.7 22.1 32.5 25.2 10.3 14.0 14.0 13.5 0.0

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

Table 2.2: Poverty by Geographic Regions

Poverty Headcount Rate Distribution of the Poor Distribution of Population





Urban 19.1 7.9 7.0 -11.2 46.7 32.8 38.8 -13.9 56.4 56.4 58.5 0.0

standard error 0.40 0.41 0.28 0.57 0.76 1.41 1.18 1.60 0.37 0.57 0.40 0.68

Rural 28.3 21.1 15.6 -7.2 53.3 67.2 61.2 13.9 43.6 43.6 41.5 0.0

standard error 0.48 0.66 0.40 0.81 0.76 1.41 1.18 1.60 0.37 0.57 0.40 0.68

Region

Belgrade 17.7 3.8 5.6 -13.8 16.1 5.9 11.8 -10.2 21.1 21.1 22.3 0.0

standard error 0.66 0.57 0.47 0.87 0.59 0.86 0.92 1.04 0.34 0.55 0.40 0.65

Vojvodina 20.9 10.8 9.5 -10.1 24.6 21.5 25.5 -3.1 27.1 27.1 28.3 0.0

standard error 0.61 0.70 0.46 0.92 0.68 1.27 1.09 1.44 0.34 0.53 0.38 0.63

Western Serbia 27.8 19.0 16.2 -8.8 13.5 15.6 16.1 2.1 11.2 11.2 10.5 0.0

standard error 0.96 1.23 0.76 1.56 0.51 1.03 0.77 1.14 0.23 0.34 0.22 0.41


standard error 0.67 0.78 0.48 1.03 0.53 0.99 0.74 1.12 0.26 0.39 0.28 0.47

Eastern Serbia 20.9 18.0 14.0 -2.9 8.4 12.3 11.4 3.9 9.3 9.3 8.6 0.0

standard error 0.93 1.32 0.79 1.61 0.40 0.93 0.66 1.02 0.20 0.31 0.20 0.37


standard error 0.86 1.24 0.72 1.51 0.58 1.28 0.91 1.40 0.24 0.37 0.26 0.44

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.31 0.37 0.24 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00


Urban 7.0 3.3 5.3 -3.6 43.2 27.2 39.5 -16.0 56.4 56.4 58.5 0.0

standard error 0.26 0.28 0.25 0.38 1.20 1.92 1.38 2.26 0.37 0.57 0.40 0.68

Rural 11.8 11.6 11.5 -0.3 56.8 72.8 60.5 16.0 43.6 43.6 41.5 0.0

standard error 0.34 0.51 0.36 0.62 1.20 1.92 1.38 2.26 0.37 0.57 0.40 0.68

Region

Belgrade 7.1 1.5 4.3 -5.6 16.5 4.7 12.2 -11.8 21.1 21.1 22.3 0.0

standard error 0.43 0.37 0.42 0.57 0.93 1.10 1.10 1.45 0.34 0.55 0.40 0.65

Vojvodina 7.4 6.0 6.9 -1.5 22.2 23.3 24.8 1.1 27.1 27.1 28.3 0.0

standard error 0.39 0.53 0.40 0.66 1.06 1.84 1.26 2.12 0.34 0.53 0.38 0.63

Western Serbia 10.9 10.8 10.8 -0.1 13.4 17.3 14.4 4.0 11.2 11.2 10.5 0.0

standard error 0.68 0.97 0.63 1.18 0.82 1.51 0.84 1.72 0.23 0.34 0.22 0.41


standard error 0.47 0.52 0.39 0.70 0.86 1.26 0.80 1.53 0.26 0.39 0.28 0.47

Eastern Serbia 8.2 7.4 11.6 -0.8 8.3 9.9 12.7 1.6 9.3 9.3 8.6 0.0

standard error 0.59 0.90 0.74 1.08 0.61 1.20 0.81 1.35 0.20 0.31 0.20 0.37


standard error 0.64 1.01 0.67 1.19 0.95 1.87 1.10 2.09 0.24 0.37 0.26 0.44

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.21 0.28 0.21 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00





2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007


Urban 10,522 4,131 9,103 2,028 364 713 10,522 4,131 9,103

Rural 9,203 3,896 8,272 2,638 874 1,383 9,203 3,896 8,272

Region

Belgrade 3,574 1,104 2,788 658 44 165 3,574 1,104 2,788

Vojvodina 4,806 1,920 4,159 1,004 221 435 4,806 1,920 4,159

Western Serbia 2,225 1,010 2,318 628 200 407 2,225 1,010 2,318

Šumadija and Pomoravlje 3,958 1,831 3,264 906 248 272 3,958 1,831 3,264

Eastern Serbia 2,128 872 2,052 446 154 290 2,128 872 2,052

Southeastern Serbia 3,034 1,290 2,794 1,024 371 527 3,034 1,290 2,794

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 4,666 1,238 2,096 19,725 8,027 17,375


Urban 10,522 4,131 9,103 748 145 543 10,522 4,131 9,103

Rural 9,203 3,896 8,272 1,093 475 1,018 9,203 3,896 8,272

Region

Belgrade 3,574 1,104 2,788 266 17 123 3,574 1,104 2,788

Vojvodina 4,806 1,920 4,159 358 120 318 4,806 1,920 4,159

Western Serbia 2,225 1,010 2,318 235 113 273 2,225 1,010 2,318


Eastern Serbia 2,128 872 2,052 180 62 236 2,128 872 2,052

Southeastern Serbia 3,034 1,290 2,794 442 220 441 3,034 1,290 2,794

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 1,841 620 1,561 19,725 8,027 17,375





2002 2003 2007Percentage

change

Urban 11,388.1 13,319.9 24,516.1 17.0

Rural 9,707.5 9,487.9 18,638.9 -2.3

Region

Belgrade 11,651.9 14,204.9 27,865.5 21.9

Vojvodina 11,131.5 12,374.9 21,794.2 11.2

Western Serbia 9,384.5 9,972.8 18,425.8 6.3

Šumadija and Pomoravlje 10,569.9 11,193.1 21,054.8 5.9

Eastern Serbia 11,099.9 10,073.0 20,137.7 -9.3

Southeastern Serbia 9,057.8 9,341.5 18,474.1 3.1

Quintiles of WA

Lowest quintile 4,602.0 5,056.8 9,636.1 9.9

2 6,999.1 7,723.4 14,497.0 10.3

3 9,231.0 10,144.0 18,832.7 9.9

4 12,034.0 13,403.5 24,806.4 11.4

Highest quintile 20,409.0 21,908.0 42,582.8 7.3

Total 10,655.6 11,649.6 22,075.0 9.3

Table 3.1: Mean Expenditure for Different Groups




change

Urban 11,388.1 13,319.9 24,516.1 17.0

standard error 70.99 120.73 187.57 0.13

Rural 9,707.5 9,487.9 18,638.9 -2.3

standard error 67.81 85.68 133.28 0.13

Region

Belgrade 11,651.9 14,204.9 27,865.5 21.9

standard error 134.65 247.47 383.51 0.18

Vojvodina 11,131.5 12,374.9 21,794.2 11.2

standard error 97.37 153.25 236.56 0.15

Western Serbia 9,384.5 9,972.8 18,425.8 6.3

standard error 112.93 181.08 252.83 0.19


standard error 100.99 141.69 199.70 0.15

Eastern Serbia 11,099.9 10,073.0 20,137.7 -9.3

standard error 175.85 173.09 276.00 0.16


standard error 106.74 150.66 194.63 0.18

Quintiles of WA

Lowest quintile 4,602.0 5,056.8 9,636.1 9.9

standard error 16.05 25.46 35.55 0.15

2 6,999.1 7,723.4 14,497.0 10.3

standard error 9.83 16.53 21.13 0.08

3 9,231.0 10,144.0 18,832.7 9.9

standard error 10.97 21.29 24.77 0.06

4 12,034.0 13,403.5 24,806.4 11.4

standard error 18.48 30.15 42.87 0.06


standard error 131.69 202.24 365.77 0.09

Total 10,655.6 11,649.6 22,075.0 9.3

standard error 50.52 81.03 126.07 0.11




2002 2003 2007

Urban 10,522 4,131 9,103

Rural 9,203 3,896 8,272

Region

Belgrade 3,574 1,104 2,788

Vojvodina 4,806 1,920 4,159

Western Serbia 2,225 1,010 2,318

Šumadija and Pomoravlje 3,958 1,831 3,264

Eastern Serbia 2,128 872 2,052

Southeastern Serbia 3,034 1,290 2,794

Quintiles of WA

Lowest quintile 4,027 1,774 3,906

2 4,012 1,680 3,639

3 3,990 1,590 3,564

4 3,911 1,552 3,302

Highest quintile 3,785 1,431 2,964

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375




Absolute

change

Percentage

change


Change in poverty (P0) -9.46 100.00

Total Intra-sectoral effect -9.46 100.00

Population-shift effect 0.00 0.00

Interaction effect 0.00 0.00

Intra-sectoral effects:

Belgrade -2.92 30.88

Vojvodina -2.74 28.98

Western Serbia -0.99 10.42

Šumadija and Pomoravlje -1.72 18.23

Eastern Serbia -0.27 2.81

Southeastern Serbia -0.82 8.69







Belgrade -1.17 54.45

Vojvodina -0.40 18.69

Western Serbia -0.01 0.60

Šumadija and Pomoravlje -0.74 34.09

Eastern Serbia -0.07 3.32

Southeastern Serbia 0.24 -11.16

Table 3.6: Regional Poverty Decomposition



Absolute

change

Percentage

change







Urban -6.31 66.70

Rural -3.15 33.30







Urban -2.04 94.75

Rural -0.11 5.25

Table 3.6a: Urban-rural Poverty Decomposition





RECODE of b5 (Employment status of household members)

Employed 17.2 10.8 7.5 -6.3 26.5 28.7 28.0 2.3 35.6 36.2 39.7 0.6

Unemployed 32.7 17.2 16.8 -15.5 14.2 11.6 13.9 -2.6 10.0 9.2 8.7 -0.8

Inactive 25.2 14.9 11.9 -10.3 59.3 59.6 58.2 0.3 54.3 54.6 51.6 0.2

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0



Employed 5.6 5.3 5.4 -0.3 21.9 27.8 27.2 5.9 35.6 36.2 39.7 0.6

Unemployed 14.6 9.1 13.7 -5.5 16.2 12.1 15.2 -4.1 10.0 9.2 8.7 -0.8

Inactive 10.4 7.6 8.8 -2.7 62.0 60.1 57.6 -1.9 54.3 54.6 51.6 0.2

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

Table 4.1: Poverty by The Status of Employment







Employed 17.2 10.8 7.5 -6.3 26.5 28.7 28.0 2.3 35.6 36.2 39.7 0.6

standard error 0.46 0.56 0.31 0.73 0.66 1.31 1.03 1.47 0.36 0.56 0.41 0.67

Unemployed 32.7 17.2 16.8 -15.5 14.2 11.6 13.9 -2.6 10.0 9.2 8.7 -0.8

standard error 1.10 1.39 1.03 1.77 0.54 0.95 0.85 1.10 0.22 0.34 0.23 0.40

Inactive 25.2 14.9 11.9 -10.3 59.3 59.6 58.2 0.3 54.3 54.6 51.6 0.2

standard error 0.43 0.53 0.35 0.68 0.74 1.43 1.15 1.61 0.37 0.58 0.41 0.69

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.31 0.37 0.24 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00



Employed 5.6 5.3 5.4 -0.3 21.9 27.8 27.2 5.9 35.6 36.2 39.7 0.6

standard error 0.28 0.40 0.27 0.49 0.98 1.83 1.19 2.08 0.36 0.56 0.41 0.67

Unemployed 14.6 9.1 13.7 -5.5 16.2 12.1 15.2 -4.1 10.0 9.2 8.7 -0.8

standard error 0.84 1.05 0.96 1.35 0.92 1.36 1.04 1.64 0.22 0.34 0.23 0.40

Inactive 10.4 7.6 8.8 -2.7 62.0 60.1 57.6 -1.9 54.3 54.6 51.6 0.2

standard error 0.30 0.39 0.30 0.49 1.17 2.01 1.35 2.33 0.37 0.58 0.41 0.69

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.21 0.28 0.21 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00





2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007



Employed 6,964 2,896 6,917 1,246 360 618 6,964 2,896 6,917

Unemployed 1,987 744 1,523 647 138 272 1,987 744 1,523

Inactive 10,774 4,387 8,918 2,773 740 1,206 10,774 4,387 8,918

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 4,666 1,238 2,096 19,725 8,027 17,375



Employed 6,964 2,896 6,917 407 174 445 6,964 2,896 6,917

Unemployed 1,987 744 1,523 287 72 220 1,987 744 1,523

Inactive 10,774 4,387 8,918 1,147 374 896 10,774 4,387 8,918

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 1,841 620 1,561 19,725 8,027 17,375







Employment status of the household head

Employed 16.7 10.7 8.0 -6.0 38.4 40.1 41.3 1.7 53.3 51.3 54.8 -2.0

Unemployed 36.9 20.4 23.8 -16.5 11.3 8.8 14.9 -2.6 7.1 5.9 6.6 -1.2

Inactive 29.3 16.3 12.0 -13.0 50.3 51.2 43.8 0.9 39.6 42.9 38.6 3.2

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0



Employed 6.0 5.2 5.8 -0.8 35.1 38.6 40.3 3.5 53.3 51.3 54.8 -2.0

Unemployed 17.9 8.2 20.5 -9.7 14.0 6.9 17.2 -7.0 7.1 5.9 6.6 -1.2

Inactive 11.7 8.8 8.7 -2.9 50.9 54.5 42.5 3.5 39.6 42.9 38.6 3.2

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

Table 4.2: Poverty by Household Head's Status of Employment







Employed 16.7 10.7 8.0 -6.0 38.4 40.1 41.3 1.7 53.3 51.3 54.8 -2.0

standard error 0.37 0.46 0.29 0.59 0.73 1.42 1.16 1.60 0.37 0.58 0.41 0.69

Unemployed 36.9 20.4 23.8 -16.5 11.3 8.8 14.9 -2.6 7.1 5.9 6.6 -1.2

standard error 1.35 1.86 1.26 2.30 0.49 0.84 0.82 0.98 0.19 0.27 0.20 0.33

Inactive 29.3 16.3 12.0 -13.0 50.3 51.2 43.8 0.9 39.6 42.9 38.6 3.2

standard error 0.53 0.62 0.40 0.81 0.75 1.45 1.15 1.64 0.36 0.58 0.40 0.68

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.31 0.37 0.24 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00



Employed 6.0 5.2 5.8 -0.8 35.1 38.6 40.3 3.5 53.3 51.3 54.8 -2.0

standard error 0.23 0.34 0.25 0.41 1.13 1.99 1.36 2.29 0.37 0.58 0.41 0.69

Unemployed 17.9 8.2 20.5 -9.7 14.0 6.9 17.2 -7.0 7.1 5.9 6.6 -1.2

standard error 1.12 1.29 1.19 1.71 0.89 1.10 1.01 1.41 0.19 0.27 0.20 0.33

Inactive 11.7 8.8 8.7 -2.9 50.9 54.5 42.5 3.5 39.6 42.9 38.6 3.2

standard error 0.36 0.47 0.34 0.60 1.20 2.04 1.33 2.37 0.36 0.58 0.40 0.68

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.21 0.28 0.21 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00





2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007



Employed 10,474 4,104 9,467 1,827 503 872 10,474 4,104 9,467

Unemployed 1,369 472 1,176 514 104 303 1,369 472 1,176

Inactive 7,882 3,451 6,720 2,325 631 921 7,882 3,451 6,720

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 4,666 1,238 2,096 19,725 8,027 17,375



Employed 10,474 4,104 9,467 654 242 622 10,474 4,104 9,467

Unemployed 1,369 472 1,176 240 39 264 1,369 472 1,176

Inactive 7,882 3,451 6,720 947 339 675 7,882 3,451 6,720

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 1,841 620 1,561 19,725 8,027 17,375







RECODE of b1 (Finished school)

Without school or incomplete primary 30.9 21.4 19.1 -9.5 40.2 46.4 46.7 6.2 30.1 29.7 25.8 -0.4

Primary school 29.0 17.8 14.2 -11.2 25.3 25.6 26.6 0.3 20.2 19.7 19.8 -0.5

Vocational schools from 1-3 years 25.0 13.5 8.9 -11.5 15.9 16.5 10.4 0.6 14.7 16.7 12.2 2.0

Vocational schools 4 years 14.1 5.6 5.6 -8.5 13.5 8.7 13.3 -4.8 22.1 21.2 25.1 -0.9

High school 11.7 2.8 3.1 -8.9 1.6 0.6 1.4 -0.9 3.1 3.1 4.9 0.0

College 10.1 4.8 2.0 -5.3 1.9 1.5 1.0 -0.3 4.3 4.4 5.2 0.1

University 7.0 1.7 0.9 -5.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 -1.1 5.6 5.3 6.9 -0.3

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0




Primary school 12.0 8.7 10.5 -3.2 26.6 24.8 26.4 -1.8 20.2 19.7 19.8 -0.5

Vocational schools from 1-3 years 8.9 5.7 6.7 -3.2 14.4 13.7 10.3 -0.7 14.7 16.7 12.2 2.0


High school 1.8 1.9 1.5 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.2 3.1 3.1 4.9 0.0

College 2.4 2.0 1.1 -0.4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.1 4.3 4.4 5.2 0.1

University 2.0 0.4 0.6 -1.6 1.2 0.3 0.5 -0.9 5.6 5.3 6.9 -0.3

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

Table 4.3: Poverty by Education Level








standard error 0.61 0.82 0.58 1.02 0.73 1.45 1.16 1.62 0.34 0.53 0.35 0.63

Primary school 29.0 17.8 14.2 -11.2 25.3 25.6 26.6 0.3 20.2 19.7 19.8 -0.5

standard error 0.72 0.94 0.59 1.18 0.65 1.27 1.02 1.42 0.29 0.46 0.32 0.54


standard error 0.86 0.92 0.65 1.26 0.58 1.09 0.74 1.24 0.26 0.43 0.26 0.51


standard error 0.55 0.56 0.37 0.78 0.52 0.84 0.83 0.99 0.32 0.49 0.37 0.58

High school 11.7 2.8 3.1 -8.9 1.6 0.6 1.4 -0.9 3.1 3.1 4.9 0.0

standard error 1.47 1.07 0.67 1.82 0.21 0.24 0.31 0.32 0.16 0.21 0.19 0.27

College 10.1 4.8 2.0 -5.3 1.9 1.5 1.0 -0.3 4.3 4.4 5.2 0.1

standard error 1.07 1.19 0.50 1.60 0.21 0.39 0.24 0.44 0.15 0.25 0.20 0.29

University 7.0 1.7 0.9 -5.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 -1.1 5.6 5.3 6.9 -0.3

standard error 0.78 0.60 0.29 0.98 0.19 0.23 0.19 0.30 0.18 0.27 0.24 0.33

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.31 0.37 0.24 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00




standard error 0.45 0.65 0.53 0.79 1.19 2.05 1.36 2.37 0.34 0.53 0.35 0.63

Primary school 12.0 8.7 10.5 -3.2 26.6 24.8 26.4 -1.8 20.2 19.7 19.8 -0.5

standard error 0.51 0.69 0.52 0.86 1.04 1.78 1.19 2.06 0.29 0.46 0.32 0.54


standard error 0.58 0.62 0.58 0.85 0.91 1.43 0.88 1.69 0.26 0.43 0.26 0.51


standard error 0.31 0.34 0.31 0.46 0.73 1.01 0.94 1.25 0.32 0.49 0.37 0.58

High school 1.8 1.9 1.5 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.2 3.1 3.1 4.9 0.0

standard error 0.54 0.84 0.42 1.00 0.19 0.38 0.26 0.42 0.16 0.21 0.19 0.27

College 2.4 2.0 1.1 -0.4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.1 4.3 4.4 5.2 0.1

standard error 0.54 0.76 0.34 0.93 0.26 0.48 0.22 0.54 0.15 0.25 0.20 0.29

University 2.0 0.4 0.6 -1.6 1.2 0.3 0.5 -0.9 5.6 5.3 6.9 -0.3

standard error 0.41 0.29 0.23 0.50 0.25 0.22 0.20 0.33 0.18 0.27 0.24 0.33

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.21 0.28 0.21 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00





2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007



Without school or incomplete primary 6,126 2,510 4,817 1,929 585 996 6,126 2,510 4,817

Primary school 4,118 1,657 3,694 1,195 320 573 4,118 1,657 3,694

Vocational schools from 1-3 years 2,905 1,361 2,201 710 199 207 2,905 1,361 2,201

Vocational schools 4 years 4,176 1,583 4,156 599 102 265 4,176 1,583 4,156

High school 554 217 751 69 7 26 554 217 751

College 815 327 791 85 17 18 815 327 791

University 1,031 372 965 79 8 11 1,031 372 965

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 4,666 1,238 2,096 19,725 8,027 17,375



Without school or incomplete primary 6,126 2,510 4,817 870 332 785 6,126 2,510 4,817

Primary school 4,118 1,657 3,694 496 154 422 4,118 1,657 3,694



High school 554 217 751 11 5 15 554 217 751

College 815 327 791 20 7 11 815 327 791

University 1,031 372 965 23 2 6 1,031 372 965

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 1,841 620 1,561 19,725 8,027 17,375







Education of the household head


Primary school 35.0 21.3 16.8 -13.7 30.0 30.7 31.1 0.7 19.8 19.7 19.6 -0.1



High school 12.3 4.2 4.6 -8.1 1.1 0.5 1.4 -0.6 2.1 1.7 3.2 -0.4

College 12.0 5.0 3.5 -6.9 3.3 2.3 2.4 -1.0 6.4 6.2 7.2 -0.2

University 5.2 1.0 0.8 -4.2 1.9 0.6 0.8 -1.3 8.4 8.0 10.3 -0.4

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0



Without school or incomplete primary 17.4 19.5 21.5 2.1 35.5 49.6 38.6 14.1 18.6 17.7 14.2 -0.9

Primary school 15.9 10.4 12.3 -5.5 34.6 29.6 30.5 -5.0 19.8 19.7 19.6 -0.1



High school 3.6 2.4 3.2 -1.2 0.8 0.6 1.3 -0.2 2.1 1.7 3.2 -0.4

College 2.8 2.0 1.6 -0.8 2.0 1.8 1.4 -0.2 6.4 6.2 7.2 -0.2

University 0.8 0.0 0.8 -0.8 0.7 0.0 1.1 -0.7 8.4 8.0 10.3 -0.4

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

Table 4.4: Poverty by Household Head's Education Level








standard error 0.80 1.17 0.84 1.41 0.69 1.41 1.08 1.57 0.28 0.42 0.26 0.51

Primary school 35.0 21.3 16.8 -13.7 30.0 30.7 31.1 0.7 19.8 19.7 19.6 -0.1

standard error 0.76 1.00 0.64 1.26 0.68 1.34 1.08 1.51 0.29 0.45 0.31 0.53


standard error 0.70 0.72 0.56 1.00 0.62 1.18 0.91 1.33 0.30 0.50 0.32 0.58


standard error 0.48 0.47 0.34 0.68 0.50 0.77 0.83 0.92 0.32 0.51 0.38 0.60

High school 12.3 4.2 4.6 -8.1 1.1 0.5 1.4 -0.6 2.1 1.7 3.2 -0.4

standard error 2.16 1.71 0.97 2.75 0.20 0.22 0.30 0.30 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.22

College 12.0 5.0 3.5 -6.9 3.3 2.3 2.4 -1.0 6.4 6.2 7.2 -0.2

standard error 0.93 0.96 0.59 1.34 0.27 0.44 0.40 0.52 0.18 0.29 0.23 0.35

University 5.2 1.0 0.8 -4.2 1.9 0.6 0.8 -1.3 8.4 8.0 10.3 -0.4

standard error 0.56 0.41 0.23 0.69 0.20 0.24 0.22 0.31 0.24 0.34 0.28 0.42

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.31 0.37 0.24 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00



Without school or incomplete primary 17.4 19.5 21.5 2.1 35.5 49.6 38.6 14.1 18.6 17.7 14.2 -0.9

standard error 0.62 1.01 0.78 1.18 1.13 2.05 1.29 2.34 0.28 0.42 0.26 0.51

Primary school 15.9 10.4 12.3 -5.5 34.6 29.6 30.5 -5.0 19.8 19.7 19.6 -0.1

standard error 0.58 0.76 0.56 0.95 1.13 1.89 1.25 2.20 0.29 0.45 0.31 0.53


standard error 0.47 0.47 0.52 0.66 0.97 1.51 1.10 1.80 0.30 0.50 0.32 0.58


standard error 0.26 0.21 0.27 0.34 0.68 0.69 0.90 0.97 0.32 0.51 0.38 0.60

High school 3.6 2.4 3.2 -1.2 0.8 0.6 1.3 -0.2 2.1 1.7 3.2 -0.4

standard error 0.97 1.17 0.81 1.52 0.22 0.29 0.33 0.37 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.22

College 2.8 2.0 1.6 -0.8 2.0 1.8 1.4 -0.2 6.4 6.2 7.2 -0.2

standard error 0.48 0.60 0.36 0.77 0.34 0.54 0.33 0.64 0.18 0.29 0.23 0.35

University 0.8 0.0 0.8 -0.8 0.7 0.0 1.1 -0.7 8.4 8.0 10.3 -0.4

standard error 0.21 0.00 0.23 0.21 0.19 0.00 0.30 0.19 0.24 0.34 0.28 0.42

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.21 0.28 0.21 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00





2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007



Without school or incomplete primary 3,945 1,573 2,895 1,527 485 775 3,945 1,573 2,895

Primary school 4,121 1,709 3,777 1,425 384 665 4,121 1,709 3,777



High school 348 130 472 41 6 23 348 130 472

College 1,233 467 1,144 150 27 42 1,233 467 1,144

University 1,504 534 1,425 87 6 14 1,504 534 1,425

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 4,666 1,238 2,096 19,725 8,027 17,375



Without school or incomplete primary 3,945 1,573 2,895 675 314 643 3,945 1,573 2,895

Primary school 4,121 1,709 3,777 650 183 486 4,121 1,709 3,777



High school 348 130 472 14 4 16 348 130 472

College 1,233 467 1,144 34 11 19 1,233 467 1,144

University 1,504 534 1,425 13 0 14 1,504 534 1,425

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 1,841 620 1,561 19,725 8,027 17,375







Gender of the household head

Male 22.5 13.6 10.7 -8.9 81.7 82.5 79.7 0.8 83.9 82.8 78.9 -1.1

Female 26.4 13.9 10.2 -12.4 18.3 17.5 20.3 -0.8 16.1 17.2 21.1 1.1

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0



Male 8.6 6.8 8.1 -1.9 79.8 80.7 81.2 0.9 83.9 82.8 78.9 -1.1

Female 11.4 7.8 7.0 -3.7 20.2 19.3 18.8 -0.9 16.1 17.2 21.1 1.1

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

Table 4.5: Poverty by Household Head's Gender







Male 22.5 13.6 10.7 -8.9 81.7 82.5 79.7 0.8 83.9 82.8 78.9 -1.1

standard error 0.33 0.41 0.27 0.53 0.59 1.14 0.95 1.28 0.27 0.45 0.35 0.52

Female 26.4 13.9 10.2 -12.4 18.3 17.5 20.3 -0.8 16.1 17.2 21.1 1.1

standard error 0.80 0.95 0.51 1.24 0.59 1.14 0.95 1.28 0.27 0.45 0.35 0.52

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.31 0.37 0.24 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00



Male 8.6 6.8 8.1 -1.9 79.8 80.7 81.2 0.9 83.9 82.8 78.9 -1.1

standard error 0.22 0.30 0.24 0.37 0.95 1.67 1.07 1.92 0.27 0.45 0.35 0.52

Female 11.4 7.8 7.0 -3.7 20.2 19.3 18.8 -0.9 16.1 17.2 21.1 1.1

standard error 0.57 0.73 0.43 0.93 0.95 1.67 1.07 1.92 0.27 0.45 0.35 0.52

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.21 0.28 0.21 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00





2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007



Male 16,615 6,734 13,931 3,831 1,037 1,689 16,615 6,734 13,931

Female 3,110 1,293 3,444 835 201 407 3,110 1,293 3,444

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 4,666 1,238 2,096 19,725 8,027 17,375



Male 16,615 6,734 13,931 1,469 508 1,279 16,615 6,734 13,931

Female 3,110 1,293 3,444 372 112 282 3,110 1,293 3,444

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 1,841 620 1,561 19,725 8,027 17,375







Age

0-5 21.2 11.1 13.0 -10.0 4.6 3.4 6.3 -1.2 5.0 4.2 5.1 -0.8

6-14 21.8 13.5 13.2 -8.3 8.9 9.3 11.0 0.4 9.5 9.4 8.8 0.0

15-19 22.2 14.8 9.1 -7.4 6.1 6.6 5.5 0.4 6.4 6.1 6.4 -0.3

20-24 21.7 12.0 7.1 -9.8 6.3 5.6 4.7 -0.7 6.7 6.4 7.0 -0.4

25-29 19.4 9.5 8.8 -9.9 5.8 4.8 5.5 -1.0 7.0 6.9 6.7 0.0

30-34 19.7 10.2 9.3 -9.6 5.4 4.5 5.7 -0.9 6.3 6.0 6.6 -0.3

35-39 19.6 12.0 9.6 -7.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 0.0 6.6 6.3 6.0 -0.3

40-44 19.8 13.6 9.7 -6.3 5.8 6.5 6.1 0.7 6.8 6.5 6.7 -0.2

45-49 21.8 12.8 8.5 -9.1 7.5 6.9 5.8 -0.6 8.0 7.4 7.2 -0.6

50-54 19.3 11.0 6.4 -8.4 6.7 7.1 5.3 0.5 8.0 8.9 8.8 0.9

55-59 23.2 10.3 8.6 -13.0 5.8 4.8 6.7 -1.0 5.8 6.4 8.2 0.6

60-64 23.7 12.2 10.1 -11.5 6.5 5.2 5.0 -1.3 6.4 5.8 5.2 -0.6

65+ 32.5 20.7 16.4 -11.8 24.9 29.7 26.9 4.9 17.7 19.7 17.4 2.0

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0


Age

0-5 8.0 5.6 10.1 -2.3 4.4 3.4 6.6 -1.0 5.0 4.2 5.1 -0.8

6-14 9.8 5.7 10.7 -4.1 10.2 7.8 11.9 -2.4 9.5 9.4 8.8 0.0

15-19 9.5 7.6 7.1 -1.9 6.7 6.6 5.8 0.0 6.4 6.1 6.4 -0.3

20-24 8.0 6.2 5.5 -1.8 5.9 5.7 4.8 -0.2 6.7 6.4 7.0 -0.4

25-29 6.0 4.7 5.8 -1.3 4.6 4.7 4.9 0.1 7.0 6.9 6.7 0.0

30-34 7.8 4.6 6.9 -3.2 5.4 3.9 5.8 -1.5 6.3 6.0 6.6 -0.3

35-39 8.8 6.8 7.6 -2.0 6.4 6.1 5.8 -0.2 6.6 6.3 6.0 -0.3

40-44 7.5 5.2 7.7 -2.3 5.5 4.9 6.5 -0.6 6.8 6.5 6.7 -0.2

45-49 8.3 6.1 6.6 -2.2 7.2 6.5 6.0 -0.8 8.0 7.4 7.2 -0.6

50-54 6.7 5.5 4.2 -1.2 5.9 7.1 4.7 1.2 8.0 8.9 8.8 0.9

55-59 9.2 5.9 6.3 -3.3 5.8 5.5 6.5 -0.4 5.8 6.4 8.2 0.6

60-64 9.0 5.4 7.3 -3.5 6.3 4.5 4.8 -1.7 6.4 5.8 5.2 -0.6

65+ 13.2 11.7 11.8 -1.5 25.7 33.3 25.9 7.6 17.7 19.7 17.4 2.0

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

Table 4.15: Poverty by Age Groups






Age

0-5 21.2 11.1 13.0 -10.0 4.6 3.4 6.3 -1.2 5.0 4.2 5.1 -0.8

standard error 1.33 1.60 1.16 2.08 0.31 0.51 0.58 0.59 0.17 0.23 0.18 0.29

6-14 21.8 13.5 13.2 -8.3 8.9 9.3 11.0 0.4 9.5 9.4 8.8 0.0

standard error 0.95 1.18 0.87 1.52 0.42 0.82 0.73 0.92 0.21 0.34 0.23 0.41

15-19 22.2 14.8 9.1 -7.4 6.1 6.6 5.5 0.4 6.4 6.1 6.4 -0.3

standard error 1.19 1.58 0.88 1.98 0.36 0.72 0.54 0.81 0.18 0.28 0.20 0.33

20-24 21.7 12.0 7.1 -9.8 6.3 5.6 4.7 -0.7 6.7 6.4 7.0 -0.4

standard error 1.24 1.43 0.79 1.89 0.39 0.68 0.52 0.78 0.20 0.29 0.22 0.35

25-29 19.4 9.5 8.8 -9.9 5.8 4.8 5.5 -1.0 7.0 6.9 6.7 0.0

standard error 1.11 1.19 0.86 1.63 0.36 0.61 0.55 0.71 0.19 0.30 0.21 0.35

30-34 19.7 10.2 9.3 -9.6 5.4 4.5 5.7 -0.9 6.3 6.0 6.6 -0.3

standard error 1.17 1.30 0.86 1.75 0.34 0.58 0.54 0.67 0.19 0.28 0.21 0.34

35-39 19.6 12.0 9.6 -7.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 0.0 6.6 6.3 6.0 -0.3

standard error 1.11 1.43 0.88 1.81 0.34 0.67 0.50 0.75 0.18 0.29 0.19 0.34

40-44 19.8 13.6 9.7 -6.3 5.8 6.5 6.1 0.7 6.8 6.5 6.7 -0.2

standard error 1.12 1.46 0.97 1.84 0.35 0.71 0.62 0.79 0.19 0.29 0.21 0.35

45-49 21.8 12.8 8.5 -9.1 7.5 6.9 5.8 -0.6 8.0 7.4 7.2 -0.6

standard error 1.06 1.38 0.77 1.74 0.40 0.76 0.52 0.86 0.20 0.31 0.21 0.37

50-54 19.3 11.0 6.4 -8.4 6.7 7.1 5.3 0.5 8.0 8.9 8.8 0.9

standard error 1.04 1.14 0.59 1.54 0.38 0.75 0.49 0.84 0.21 0.33 0.24 0.39

55-59 23.2 10.3 8.6 -13.0 5.8 4.8 6.7 -1.0 5.8 6.4 8.2 0.6

standard error 1.33 1.33 0.83 1.88 0.37 0.64 0.65 0.74 0.17 0.29 0.24 0.34

60-64 23.7 12.2 10.1 -11.5 6.5 5.2 5.0 -1.3 6.4 5.8 5.2 -0.6

standard error 1.23 1.52 0.99 1.96 0.37 0.66 0.49 0.76 0.18 0.27 0.18 0.32

65+ 32.5 20.7 16.4 -11.8 24.9 29.7 26.9 4.9 17.7 19.7 17.4 2.0

standard error 0.81 1.00 0.66 1.28 0.65 1.33 1.01 1.48 0.28 0.46 0.31 0.54

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.31 0.37 0.24 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00


Age

0-5 8.0 5.6 10.1 -2.3 4.4 3.4 6.6 -1.0 5.0 4.2 5.1 -0.8

standard error 0.85 1.18 1.05 1.46 0.47 0.73 0.69 0.87 0.17 0.23 0.18 0.29

6-14 9.8 5.7 10.7 -4.1 10.2 7.8 11.9 -2.4 9.5 9.4 8.8 0.0

standard error 0.69 0.81 0.78 1.07 0.71 1.09 0.86 1.30 0.21 0.34 0.23 0.41

15-19 9.5 7.6 7.1 -1.9 6.7 6.6 5.8 0.0 6.4 6.1 6.4 -0.3

standard error 0.83 1.22 0.80 1.47 0.59 1.06 0.65 1.21 0.18 0.28 0.20 0.33

20-24 8.0 6.2 5.5 -1.8 5.9 5.7 4.8 -0.2 6.7 6.4 7.0 -0.4

standard error 0.76 1.06 0.73 1.30 0.56 0.97 0.64 1.12 0.20 0.29 0.22 0.35

25-29 6.0 4.7 5.8 -1.3 4.6 4.7 4.9 0.1 7.0 6.9 6.7 0.0



standard error 0.68 0.87 0.71 1.11 0.53 0.87 0.59 1.02 0.19 0.30 0.21 0.35

30-34 7.8 4.6 6.9 -3.2 5.4 3.9 5.8 -1.5 6.3 6.0 6.6 -0.3

standard error 0.77 0.89 0.76 1.17 0.54 0.76 0.63 0.94 0.19 0.28 0.21 0.34

35-39 8.8 6.8 7.6 -2.0 6.4 6.1 5.8 -0.2 6.6 6.3 6.0 -0.3

standard error 0.80 1.13 0.78 1.38 0.58 1.02 0.60 1.17 0.18 0.29 0.19 0.34

40-44 7.5 5.2 7.7 -2.3 5.5 4.9 6.5 -0.6 6.8 6.5 6.7 -0.2

standard error 0.72 0.94 0.90 1.18 0.54 0.88 0.77 1.03 0.19 0.29 0.21 0.35

45-49 8.3 6.1 6.6 -2.2 7.2 6.5 6.0 -0.8 8.0 7.4 7.2 -0.6

standard error 0.69 1.01 0.68 1.22 0.61 1.07 0.61 1.23 0.20 0.31 0.21 0.37

50-54 6.7 5.5 4.2 -1.2 5.9 7.1 4.7 1.2 8.0 8.9 8.8 0.9

standard error 0.66 0.81 0.48 1.05 0.58 1.03 0.54 1.18 0.21 0.33 0.24 0.39

55-59 9.2 5.9 6.3 -3.3 5.8 5.5 6.5 -0.4 5.8 6.4 8.2 0.6

standard error 0.94 1.01 0.73 1.38 0.61 0.94 0.76 1.12 0.17 0.29 0.24 0.34

60-64 9.0 5.4 7.3 -3.5 6.3 4.5 4.8 -1.7 6.4 5.8 5.2 -0.6

standard error 0.82 1.03 0.86 1.31 0.58 0.86 0.57 1.03 0.18 0.27 0.18 0.32

65+ 13.2 11.7 11.8 -1.5 25.7 33.3 25.9 7.6 17.7 19.7 17.4 2.0

standard error 0.58 0.78 0.57 0.97 1.04 1.92 1.15 2.18 0.28 0.46 0.31 0.54

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.21 0.28 0.21 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00



2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007


Age

0-5 983 351 874 222 46 128 983 351 874

6-14 1,887 774 1,556 427 122 225 1,887 774 1,556

15-19 1,266 495 1,114 286 80 115 1,266 495 1,114

20-24 1,289 497 1,158 279 67 95 1,289 497 1,158

25-29 1,356 554 1,105 273 61 111 1,356 554 1,105

30-34 1,227 489 1,113 251 58 118 1,227 489 1,113

35-39 1,290 496 1,057 264 67 118 1,290 496 1,057

40-44 1,322 521 1,158 269 81 121 1,322 521 1,158

45-49 1,588 575 1,253 351 81 124 1,588 575 1,253

50-54 1,550 703 1,512 311 89 118 1,550 703 1,512

55-59 1,139 506 1,384 258 57 124 1,139 506 1,384

60-64 1,247 467 917 303 61 108 1,247 467 917

65+ 3,581 1,599 3,174 1,172 368 591 3,581 1,599 3,174

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 4,666 1,238 2,096 19,725 8,027 17,375


Age

0-5 983 351 874 85 22 96 983 351 874

6-14 1,887 774 1,556 189 49 183 1,887 774 1,556

15-19 1,266 495 1,114 122 38 89 1,266 495 1,114

20-24 1,289 497 1,158 106 34 70 1,289 497 1,158

25-29 1,356 554 1,105 83 29 74 1,356 554 1,105

30-34 1,227 489 1,113 99 26 88 1,227 489 1,113

35-39 1,290 496 1,057 118 36 94 1,290 496 1,057

40-44 1,322 521 1,158 102 31 94 1,322 521 1,158

45-49 1,588 575 1,253 134 36 96 1,588 575 1,253

50-54 1,550 703 1,512 107 46 78 1,550 703 1,512

55-59 1,139 506 1,384 99 33 90 1,139 506 1,384

60-64 1,247 467 917 115 28 77 1,247 467 917

65+ 3,581 1,599 3,174 482 212 432 3,581 1,599 3,174

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 1,841 620 1,561 19,725 8,027 17,375







household head's age

15-19 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

20-24 20.8 0.0 0.0 -20.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 -0.4 0.5 0.2 0.6 -0.3

25-29 12.8 6.3 14.0 -6.4 1.2 0.7 2.1 -0.6 2.2 1.5 1.6 -0.8

30-34 16.8 6.4 4.4 -10.4 3.6 1.9 1.7 -1.8 5.0 4.0 4.1 -1.0

35-39 17.5 11.2 10.9 -6.3 5.5 4.8 6.8 -0.7 7.3 5.9 6.6 -1.4

40-44 19.8 13.6 9.6 -6.2 8.8 8.7 8.3 -0.1 10.3 8.7 9.1 -1.6

45-49 21.3 9.5 9.8 -11.8 11.9 7.9 10.5 -4.0 12.9 11.4 11.3 -1.5

50-54 17.6 11.1 7.7 -6.4 10.6 12.3 11.4 1.6 14.0 15.1 15.7 1.1

55-59 22.5 11.2 9.1 -11.3 10.5 10.4 12.6 -0.2 10.8 12.6 14.6 1.8

60-64 24.8 12.6 9.3 -12.1 11.5 9.2 8.1 -2.3 10.7 10.0 9.2 -0.8

65+ 31.6 19.6 15.0 -11.9 35.8 44.3 38.5 8.4 26.2 30.8 27.1 4.5

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0



15-19 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

20-24 6.1 0.0 0.0 -6.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 -0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 -0.3

25-29 5.5 2.6 13.4 -2.9 1.3 0.5 2.7 -0.8 2.2 1.5 1.6 -0.8

30-34 7.2 4.1 3.5 -3.2 4.0 2.3 1.8 -1.6 5.0 4.0 4.1 -1.0

35-39 7.4 7.0 8.8 -0.4 5.9 5.9 7.3 0.0 7.3 5.9 6.6 -1.4

40-44 9.1 6.2 7.6 -2.9 10.3 7.7 8.8 -2.6 10.3 8.7 9.1 -1.6

45-49 8.0 3.3 7.7 -4.7 11.3 5.5 11.1 -5.9 12.9 11.4 11.3 -1.5

50-54 5.5 4.7 5.0 -0.8 8.5 10.2 9.9 1.7 14.0 15.1 15.7 1.1

55-59 9.9 7.5 6.9 -2.4 11.8 13.7 12.8 1.9 10.8 12.6 14.6 1.8

60-64 10.0 3.2 7.2 -6.8 11.8 4.7 8.4 -7.2 10.7 10.0 9.2 -0.8

65+ 12.0 11.2 10.8 -0.9 34.7 49.5 37.2 14.8 26.2 30.8 27.1 4.5

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

Table 4.16: Poverty by Household Head's Age







15-19 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

standard error 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02

20-24 20.8 0.0 0.0 -20.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 -0.4 0.5 0.2 0.6 -0.3

standard error 4.28 0.00 0.00 4.28 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.07

25-29 12.8 6.3 14.0 -6.4 1.2 0.7 2.1 -0.6 2.2 1.5 1.6 -0.8

standard error 1.55 2.41 2.65 2.87 0.16 0.26 0.43 0.31 0.11 0.15 0.11 0.18

30-34 16.8 6.4 4.4 -10.4 3.6 1.9 1.7 -1.8 5.0 4.0 4.1 -1.0

standard error 1.23 1.25 0.73 1.75 0.27 0.37 0.28 0.46 0.18 0.23 0.17 0.29

35-39 17.5 11.2 10.9 -6.3 5.5 4.8 6.8 -0.7 7.3 5.9 6.6 -1.4

standard error 1.01 1.45 0.89 1.76 0.34 0.64 0.55 0.72 0.19 0.28 0.21 0.34

40-44 19.8 13.6 9.6 -6.2 8.8 8.7 8.3 -0.1 10.3 8.7 9.1 -1.6

standard error 0.89 1.23 0.79 1.52 0.42 0.80 0.68 0.90 0.23 0.33 0.24 0.40

45-49 21.3 9.5 9.8 -11.8 11.9 7.9 10.5 -4.0 12.9 11.4 11.3 -1.5

standard error 0.85 0.97 0.66 1.29 0.50 0.81 0.70 0.95 0.25 0.39 0.26 0.46

50-54 17.6 11.1 7.7 -6.4 10.6 12.3 11.4 1.6 14.0 15.1 15.7 1.1

standard error 0.74 0.87 0.48 1.14 0.45 0.94 0.70 1.05 0.28 0.42 0.30 0.50

55-59 22.5 11.2 9.1 -11.3 10.5 10.4 12.6 -0.2 10.8 12.6 14.6 1.8

standard error 0.95 1.00 0.65 1.38 0.48 0.92 0.86 1.04 0.23 0.39 0.30 0.45

60-64 24.8 12.6 9.3 -12.1 11.5 9.2 8.1 -2.3 10.7 10.0 9.2 -0.8

standard error 0.99 1.16 0.72 1.53 0.50 0.86 0.63 0.99 0.23 0.34 0.24 0.41

65+ 31.6 19.6 15.0 -11.9 35.8 44.3 38.5 8.4 26.2 30.8 27.1 4.5

standard error 0.65 0.78 0.52 1.01 0.72 1.44 1.13 1.61 0.32 0.54 0.36 0.62

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.31 0.37 0.24 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00



15-19 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

standard error 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02

20-24 6.1 0.0 0.0 -6.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 -0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 -0.3

standard error 2.62 0.00 0.00 2.62 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.07

25-29 5.5 2.6 13.4 -2.9 1.3 0.5 2.7 -0.8 2.2 1.5 1.6 -0.8

standard error 1.07 1.80 2.63 2.09 0.27 0.38 0.56 0.47 0.11 0.15 0.11 0.18

30-34 7.2 4.1 3.5 -3.2 4.0 2.3 1.8 -1.6 5.0 4.0 4.1 -1.0

standard error 0.84 1.02 0.64 1.32 0.46 0.59 0.33 0.75 0.18 0.23 0.17 0.29

35-39 7.4 7.0 8.8 -0.4 5.9 5.9 7.3 0.0 7.3 5.9 6.6 -1.4

standard error 0.69 1.19 0.80 1.38 0.56 1.01 0.66 1.15 0.19 0.28 0.21 0.34

40-44 9.1 6.2 7.6 -2.9 10.3 7.7 8.8 -2.6 10.3 8.7 9.1 -1.6

standard error 0.65 0.87 0.73 1.08 0.72 1.08 0.83 1.30 0.23 0.33 0.24 0.40

45-49 8.0 3.3 7.7 -4.7 11.3 5.5 11.1 -5.9 12.9 11.4 11.3 -1.5



standard error 0.54 0.63 0.58 0.83 0.75 1.02 0.81 1.27 0.25 0.39 0.26 0.46

50-54 5.5 4.7 5.0 -0.8 8.5 10.2 9.9 1.7 14.0 15.1 15.7 1.1

standard error 0.43 0.57 0.39 0.71 0.65 1.20 0.76 1.36 0.28 0.42 0.30 0.50

55-59 9.9 7.5 6.9 -2.4 11.8 13.7 12.8 1.9 10.8 12.6 14.6 1.8

standard error 0.72 0.82 0.59 1.09 0.84 1.42 1.04 1.65 0.23 0.39 0.30 0.45

60-64 10.0 3.2 7.2 -6.8 11.8 4.7 8.4 -7.2 10.7 10.0 9.2 -0.8

standard error 0.67 0.61 0.65 0.90 0.77 0.87 0.75 1.16 0.23 0.34 0.24 0.41

65+ 12.0 11.2 10.8 -0.9 34.7 49.5 37.2 14.8 26.2 30.8 27.1 4.5

standard error 0.45 0.61 0.44 0.76 1.13 2.05 1.29 2.34 0.32 0.54 0.36 0.62

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.21 0.28 0.21 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00



2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007



15-19 2 13 0 0 2 13

20-24 95 13 80 19 0 0 95 13 80

25-29 424 104 238 61 7 32 424 104 238

30-34 950 318 654 172 26 37 950 318 654

35-39 1,449 460 1,106 258 57 145 1,449 460 1,106

40-44 1,980 717 1,585 412 112 173 1,980 717 1,585

45-49 2,515 859 1,964 539 92 223 2,515 859 1,964

50-54 2,713 1,212 2,728 507 156 251 2,713 1,212 2,728

55-59 2,143 1,000 2,455 478 118 232 2,143 1,000 2,455

60-64 2,097 822 1,643 523 111 168 2,097 822 1,643

65+ 5,357 2,522 4,909 1,697 559 835 5,357 2,522 4,909

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 4,666 1,238 2,096 19,725 8,027 17,375



15-19 2 13 0 0 2 13

20-24 95 13 80 5 0 0 95 13 80

25-29 424 104 238 25 2 30 424 104 238

30-34 950 318 654 73 16 30 950 318 654

35-39 1,449 460 1,106 111 34 115 1,449 460 1,106

40-44 1,980 717 1,585 186 49 135 1,980 717 1,585

45-49 2,515 859 1,964 209 28 177 2,515 859 1,964

50-54 2,713 1,212 2,728 160 67 164 2,713 1,212 2,728

55-59 2,143 1,000 2,455 202 82 171 2,143 1,000 2,455

60-64 2,097 822 1,643 215 29 124 2,097 822 1,643

65+ 5,357 2,522 4,909 655 313 615 5,357 2,522 4,909

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 1,841 620 1,561 19,725 8,027 17,375







Number of children 0-6 years old

no children 23.1 13.4 9.7 -9.7 77.9 78.5 71.2 0.6 77.8 79.9 77.6 2.1

1 21.2 16.3 9.7 -4.9 14.3 16.9 14.0 2.6 15.6 14.1 15.3 -1.5

2 26.8 10.6 18.5 -16.2 6.8 4.1 10.1 -2.7 5.9 5.3 5.8 -0.6

3 or more children 32.9 11.4 38.0 -21.5 1.1 0.6 4.7 -0.5 0.8 0.7 1.3 -0.1

Household size

1 27.8 14.8 12.7 -13.1 6.8 6.1 7.2 -0.7 5.7 5.7 6.0 0.0

2 25.3 14.8 12.2 -10.5 17.6 17.4 17.8 -0.2 16.1 16.1 15.4 0.0

3 18.9 8.6 6.4 -10.3 15.8 12.2 11.3 -3.6 19.3 19.3 18.8 0.0

4 18.0 10.2 7.4 -7.9 22.0 21.0 18.2 -1.0 28.2 28.2 26.2 0.0

5 25.5 14.7 10.3 -10.8 15.5 13.6 15.3 -1.8 14.0 12.6 15.8 -1.4

6 28.2 21.7 14.0 -6.5 12.1 17.5 15.0 5.3 9.9 11.0 11.3 1.0

7 or more 34.5 23.1 24.4 -11.4 10.2 12.1 15.2 1.9 6.8 7.2 6.6 0.3

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0



no children 9.0 6.7 7.0 -2.3 77.2 77.6 69.1 0.3 77.8 79.9 77.6 2.1

1 8.6 8.5 7.8 -0.1 14.7 17.3 15.2 2.6 15.6 14.1 15.3 -1.5

2 10.6 5.2 14.2 -5.4 6.8 4.0 10.4 -2.9 5.9 5.3 5.8 -0.6

3 or more children 14.5 11.4 32.4 -3.1 1.2 1.1 5.4 -0.1 0.8 0.7 1.3 -0.1

Household size

1 12.8 7.1 8.8 -5.8 8.0 5.8 6.7 -2.2 5.7 5.7 6.0 0.0

2 10.1 8.4 8.7 -1.6 17.8 19.5 17.1 1.7 16.1 16.1 15.4 0.0

3 6.5 4.4 4.5 -2.2 13.9 12.2 10.7 -1.7 19.3 19.3 18.8 0.0

4 6.5 4.5 5.6 -2.0 20.1 18.4 18.5 -1.7 28.2 28.2 26.2 0.0

5 9.4 7.5 7.3 -1.9 14.5 13.7 14.5 -0.9 14.0 12.6 15.8 -1.4

6 10.8 11.0 10.3 0.2 11.7 17.4 14.7 5.6 9.9 11.0 11.3 1.0

7 or more 18.5 12.5 21.3 -6.0 13.9 13.0 17.8 -0.9 6.8 7.2 6.6 0.3

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

Table 4.7: Poverty by Demographic Composition







no children 23.1 13.4 9.7 -9.7 77.9 78.5 71.2 0.6 77.8 79.9 77.6 2.1

standard error 0.35 0.42 0.26 0.55 0.61 1.16 1.05 1.31 0.31 0.46 0.34 0.56

1 21.2 16.3 9.7 -4.9 14.3 16.9 14.0 2.6 15.6 14.1 15.3 -1.5

standard error 0.73 1.04 0.56 1.27 0.51 1.06 0.78 1.18 0.27 0.40 0.30 0.48

2 26.8 10.6 18.5 -16.2 6.8 4.1 10.1 -2.7 5.9 5.3 5.8 -0.6

standard error 1.38 1.37 1.28 1.94 0.37 0.54 0.72 0.65 0.20 0.25 0.19 0.32

3 or more children 32.9 11.4 38.0 -21.5 1.1 0.6 4.7 -0.5 0.8 0.7 1.3 -0.1

standard error 3.73 3.94 3.32 5.42 0.15 0.20 0.48 0.25 0.06 0.10 0.09 0.12

Household size

1 27.8 14.8 12.7 -13.1 6.8 6.1 7.2 -0.7 5.7 5.7 6.0 0.0

standard error 1.35 1.68 1.01 2.16 0.38 0.72 0.58 0.81 0.17 0.27 0.20 0.32

2 25.3 14.8 12.2 -10.5 17.6 17.4 17.8 -0.2 16.1 16.1 15.4 0.0

standard error 0.79 0.97 0.64 1.25 0.57 1.11 0.89 1.25 0.27 0.42 0.30 0.50

3 18.9 8.6 6.4 -10.3 15.8 12.2 11.3 -3.6 19.3 19.3 18.8 0.0

standard error 0.65 0.73 0.44 0.98 0.55 1.01 0.75 1.15 0.29 0.47 0.34 0.55

4 18.0 10.2 7.4 -7.9 22.0 21.0 18.2 -1.0 28.2 28.2 26.2 0.0

standard error 0.55 0.64 0.40 0.84 0.64 1.21 0.92 1.37 0.34 0.55 0.37 0.64

5 25.5 14.7 10.3 -10.8 15.5 13.6 15.3 -1.8 14.0 12.6 15.8 -1.4

standard error 0.86 1.05 0.58 1.36 0.55 0.97 0.83 1.12 0.26 0.38 0.29 0.45

6 28.2 21.7 14.0 -6.5 12.1 17.5 15.0 5.3 9.9 11.0 11.3 1.0

standard error 1.07 1.31 0.76 1.69 0.48 1.07 0.80 1.17 0.24 0.35 0.25 0.42

7 or more 34.5 23.1 24.4 -11.4 10.2 12.1 15.2 1.9 6.8 7.2 6.6 0.3

standard error 1.24 1.62 1.32 2.04 0.43 0.91 0.88 1.00 0.18 0.28 0.19 0.33

Total 23.1 13.7 10.6 -9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.31 0.37 0.24 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00



no children 9.0 6.7 7.0 -2.3 77.2 77.6 69.1 0.3 77.8 79.9 77.6 2.1

standard error 0.24 0.31 0.22 0.39 0.98 1.68 1.25 1.95 0.31 0.46 0.34 0.56

1 8.6 8.5 7.8 -0.1 14.7 17.3 15.2 2.6 15.6 14.1 15.3 -1.5

standard error 0.50 0.79 0.51 0.94 0.83 1.53 0.94 1.74 0.27 0.40 0.30 0.48

2 10.6 5.2 14.2 -5.4 6.8 4.0 10.4 -2.9 5.9 5.3 5.8 -0.6

standard error 0.91 1.02 1.17 1.37 0.58 0.78 0.87 0.98 0.20 0.25 0.19 0.32



3 or more children 14.5 11.4 32.4 -3.1 1.2 1.1 5.4 -0.1 0.8 0.7 1.3 -0.1

standard error 2.75 3.94 3.17 4.80 0.25 0.40 0.59 0.47 0.06 0.10 0.09 0.12

Household size

1 12.8 7.1 8.8 -5.8 8.0 5.8 6.7 -2.2 5.7 5.7 6.0 0.0

standard error 1.01 1.19 0.86 1.56 0.64 0.97 0.66 1.16 0.17 0.27 0.20 0.32

2 10.1 8.4 8.7 -1.6 17.8 19.5 17.1 1.7 16.1 16.1 15.4 0.0

standard error 0.54 0.74 0.55 0.92 0.91 1.61 1.02 1.85 0.27 0.42 0.30 0.50

3 6.5 4.4 4.5 -2.2 13.9 12.2 10.7 -1.7 19.3 19.3 18.8 0.0

standard error 0.41 0.53 0.38 0.67 0.84 1.41 0.86 1.64 0.29 0.47 0.34 0.55

4 6.5 4.5 5.6 -2.0 20.1 18.4 18.5 -1.7 28.2 28.2 26.2 0.0

standard error 0.36 0.43 0.35 0.56 1.01 1.61 1.07 1.89 0.34 0.55 0.37 0.64

5 9.4 7.5 7.3 -1.9 14.5 13.7 14.5 -0.9 14.0 12.6 15.8 -1.4

standard error 0.55 0.79 0.48 0.97 0.83 1.39 0.91 1.62 0.26 0.38 0.29 0.45

6 10.8 11.0 10.3 0.2 11.7 17.4 14.7 5.6 9.9 11.0 11.3 1.0

standard error 0.70 1.01 0.67 1.23 0.75 1.53 0.93 1.71 0.24 0.35 0.25 0.42

7 or more 18.5 12.5 21.3 -6.0 13.9 13.0 17.8 -0.9 6.8 7.2 6.6 0.3

standard error 1.02 1.31 1.28 1.66 0.79 1.36 1.09 1.57 0.18 0.28 0.19 0.33

Total 9.1 6.9 7.9 -2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.21 0.28 0.21 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00



2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007



no children 15,300 6,287 13,473 3,589 953 1,505 15,300 6,287 13,473

1 3,116 1,226 2,661 695 220 296 3,116 1,226 2,661

2 1,148 462 1,020 329 57 200 1,148 462 1,020

3 or more children 161 52 221 53 8 95 161 52 221

Household size

1 1,120 431 1,036 320 72 159 1,120 431 1,036

2 3,156 1,296 2,606 820 214 378 3,156 1,296 2,606

3 3,711 1,404 3,054 714 129 249 3,711 1,404 3,054

4 5,404 2,068 4,436 984 248 376 5,404 2,068 4,436

5 2,810 1,105 2,855 715 175 315 2,810 1,105 2,855

6 2,022 1,008 2,112 588 234 324 2,022 1,008 2,112

7 or more 1,502 715 1,276 525 166 295 1,502 715 1,276

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 4,666 1,238 2,096 19,725 8,027 17,375



no children 15,300 6,287 13,473 1,402 477 1,096 15,300 6,287 13,473

1 3,116 1,226 2,661 282 110 237 3,116 1,226 2,661

2 1,148 462 1,020 133 25 148 1,148 462 1,020

3 or more children 161 52 221 24 8 80 161 52 221

Household size

1 1,120 431 1,036 147 36 112 1,120 431 1,036

2 3,156 1,296 2,606 330 126 270 3,156 1,296 2,606

3 3,711 1,404 3,054 249 66 180 3,711 1,404 3,054

4 5,404 2,068 4,436 348 112 284 5,404 2,068 4,436

5 2,810 1,105 2,855 270 85 230 2,810 1,105 2,855

6 2,022 1,008 2,112 222 114 234 2,022 1,008 2,112

7 or more 1,502 715 1,276 275 81 251 1,502 715 1,276

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 1,841 620 1,561 19,725 8,027 17,375






change

Urban 9,051.5 11,603.9 18,696.8 28.2

Rural 10,033.7 10,747.7 17,311.5 7.1

Region

Belgrade 9,247.1 13,384.6 20,565.0 44.7

Vojvodina 9,600.8 11,242.1 18,347.7 17.1

Western Serbia 9,354.1 10,352.6 17,102.4 10.7


Eastern Serbia 10,794.8 10,144.9 18,096.6 -6.0


Quintiles of income

Lowest quintile 3,670.4 4,754.8 5,586.0 29.5

2 6,180.2 7,747.9 11,145.6 25.4

3 8,208.4 10,070.4 15,470.3 22.7

4 10,695.1 13,144.8 20,962.5 22.9


Total 9,479.6 11,230.7 18,121.4 18.5

Table 6.1: Mean per-capita incomes in real terms




change

Urban 9,051.5 11,603.9 18,696.8 28.2

standard error 62.87 108.42 173.04 0.16

Rural 10,033.7 10,747.7 17,311.5 7.1

standard error 77.73 97.63 143.88 0.14

Region

Belgrade 9,247.1 13,384.6 20,565.0 44.7

standard error 113.66 221.12 346.01 0.23

Vojvodina 9,600.8 11,242.1 18,347.7 17.1

standard error 90.32 137.48 226.24 0.17

Western Serbia 9,354.1 10,352.6 17,102.4 10.7

standard error 125.75 176.03 261.45 0.19


standard error 119.17 150.41 215.08 0.18

Eastern Serbia 10,794.8 10,144.9 18,096.6 -6.0

standard error 219.20 184.00 303.06 0.18


standard error 96.30 150.43 210.18 0.20

Quintiles of income

Lowest quintile 3,670.4 4,754.8 5,586.0 29.5

standard error 19.18 30.97 44.94 0.22

2 6,180.2 7,747.9 11,145.6 25.4

standard error 9.24 17.83 21.30 0.09

3 8,208.4 10,070.4 15,470.3 22.7

standard error 9.86 18.72 22.82 0.07

4 10,695.1 13,144.8 20,962.5 22.9

standard error 14.52 27.08 38.85 0.07


standard error 154.49 194.08 329.69 0.10

Total 9,479.6 11,230.7 18,121.4 18.5

standard error 49.03 74.77 117.88 0.13




2002 2003 2007

Urban 10,522 4,131 9,103

Rural 9,203 3,896 8,272

Region

Belgrade 3,574 1,104 2,788

Vojvodina 4,806 1,920 4,159

Western Serbia 2,225 1,010 2,318

Šumadija and Pomoravlje 3,958 1,831 3,264

Eastern Serbia 2,128 872 2,052

Southeastern Serbia 3,034 1,290 2,794

Quintiles of income

Lowest quintile 3,968 1,734 3,509

2 3,983 1,611 3,763

3 3,876 1,614 3,556

4 3,925 1,608 3,436

Highest quintile 3,973 1,460 3,111

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375






Urban 33.2 12.9 25.5 -20.2 59.9 49.1 58.2 -10.8 56.4 56.4 58.5 0.0

Rural 28.7 17.4 25.8 -11.3 40.1 50.9 41.8 10.8 43.6 43.6 41.5 0.0

Region

Belgrade 27.9 5.2 22.1 -22.7 18.9 7.5 19.2 -11.5 21.1 21.1 22.3 0.0

Vojvodina 29.2 12.7 26.3 -16.5 25.4 23.2 29.0 -2.2 27.1 27.1 28.3 0.0

Western Serbia 32.3 21.8 24.7 -10.5 11.6 16.4 10.1 4.8 11.2 11.2 10.5 0.0

Šumadija and Pomoravlje 31.5 15.8 22.9 -15.7 17.4 18.3 15.0 0.9 17.3 17.3 16.8 0.0

Eastern Serbia 31.0 22.8 26.3 -8.2 9.2 14.3 8.8 5.0 9.3 9.3 8.6 0.0


Total 31.2 14.9 25.6 -16.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0


Urban 15.2 7.9 22.3 -7.3 56.4 50.7 59.6 -5.7 56.4 56.4 58.5 0.0

Rural 15.2 9.9 21.2 -5.3 43.6 49.3 40.4 5.7 43.6 43.6 41.5 0.0

Region

Belgrade 13.3 2.8 19.7 -10.5 18.5 6.8 20.1 -11.8 21.1 21.1 22.3 0.0

Vojvodina 14.8 8.5 22.7 -6.3 26.4 26.2 29.4 -0.2 27.1 27.1 28.3 0.0

Western Serbia 17.0 12.2 21.3 -4.8 12.5 15.6 10.2 3.0 11.2 11.2 10.5 0.0


Eastern Serbia 15.3 11.8 21.0 -3.6 9.4 12.5 8.3 3.1 9.3 9.3 8.6 0.0


Total 15.2 8.7 21.8 -6.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

Table 6.3: Income-based poverty estimates






Urban 33.2 12.9 25.5 -20.2 59.9 49.1 58.2 -10.8 56.4 56.4 58.5 0.0

standard error 0.48 0.51 0.50 0.70 0.63 1.43 0.78 1.56 0.37 0.57 0.40 0.68

Rural 28.7 17.4 25.8 -11.3 40.1 50.9 41.8 10.8 43.6 43.6 41.5 0.0

standard error 0.49 0.62 0.51 0.79 0.63 1.43 0.78 1.56 0.37 0.57 0.40 0.68

Region

Belgrade 27.9 5.2 22.1 -22.7 18.9 7.5 19.2 -11.5 21.1 21.1 22.3 0.0

standard error 0.79 0.69 0.88 1.05 0.53 0.95 0.74 1.09 0.34 0.55 0.40 0.65

Vojvodina 29.2 12.7 26.3 -16.5 25.4 23.2 29.0 -2.2 27.1 27.1 28.3 0.0

standard error 0.67 0.76 0.71 1.01 0.58 1.26 0.75 1.39 0.34 0.53 0.38 0.63

Western Serbia 32.3 21.8 24.7 -10.5 11.6 16.4 10.1 4.8 11.2 11.2 10.5 0.0

standard error 1.01 1.31 0.91 1.66 0.42 1.03 0.42 1.11 0.23 0.34 0.22 0.41

Šumadija and Pomoravlje 31.5 15.8 22.9 -15.7 17.4 18.3 15.0 0.9 17.3 17.3 16.8 0.0

standard error 0.75 0.86 0.76 1.14 0.47 1.01 0.54 1.11 0.26 0.39 0.28 0.47

Eastern Serbia 31.0 22.8 26.3 -8.2 9.2 14.3 8.8 5.0 9.3 9.3 8.6 0.0

standard error 1.06 1.42 1.01 1.78 0.37 0.95 0.38 1.02 0.20 0.31 0.20 0.37


standard error 0.89 1.15 0.95 1.46 0.47 1.11 0.58 1.21 0.24 0.37 0.26 0.44

Total 31.2 14.9 25.6 -16.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.34 0.40 0.36 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00


Urban 15.2 7.9 22.3 -7.3 56.4 50.7 59.6 -5.7 56.4 56.4 58.5 0.0

standard error 0.36 0.41 0.48 0.54 0.92 1.87 0.84 2.08 0.37 0.57 0.40 0.68

Rural 15.2 9.9 21.2 -5.3 43.6 49.3 40.4 5.7 43.6 43.6 41.5 0.0

standard error 0.39 0.49 0.47 0.62 0.92 1.87 0.84 2.08 0.37 0.57 0.40 0.68

Region

Belgrade 13.3 2.8 19.7 -10.5 18.5 6.8 20.1 -11.8 21.1 21.1 22.3 0.0

standard error 0.59 0.51 0.85 0.78 0.77 1.19 0.83 1.41 0.34 0.55 0.40 0.65

Vojvodina 14.8 8.5 22.7 -6.3 26.4 26.2 29.4 -0.2 27.1 27.1 28.3 0.0

standard error 0.51 0.63 0.68 0.81 0.84 1.71 0.82 1.91 0.34 0.53 0.38 0.63

Western Serbia 17.0 12.2 21.3 -4.8 12.5 15.6 10.2 3.0 11.2 11.2 10.5 0.0

standard error 0.83 1.06 0.87 1.34 0.63 1.33 0.46 1.48 0.23 0.34 0.22 0.41


standard error 0.59 0.64 0.70 0.87 0.67 1.25 0.56 1.41 0.26 0.39 0.28 0.47

Eastern Serbia 15.3 11.8 21.0 -3.6 9.4 12.5 8.3 3.1 9.3 9.3 8.6 0.0

standard error 0.81 1.09 0.93 1.36 0.52 1.17 0.40 1.28 0.20 0.31 0.20 0.37




standard error 0.69 0.98 0.91 1.20 0.65 1.52 0.63 1.65 0.24 0.37 0.26 0.44

Total 15.2 8.7 21.8 -6.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0

standard error 0.26 0.31 0.34 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00



2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007 2002 2003 2007


Urban 10,522 4,131 9,103 3,586 611 2,449 10,522 4,131 9,103

Rural 9,203 3,896 8,272 2,600 697 2,120 9,203 3,896 8,272

Region

Belgrade 3,574 1,104 2,788 1,044 56 633 3,574 1,104 2,788

Vojvodina 4,806 1,920 4,159 1,411 256 1,138 4,806 1,920 4,159

Western Serbia 2,225 1,010 2,318 705 220 585 2,225 1,010 2,318

Šumadija and Pomoravlje 3,958 1,831 3,264 1,207 296 746 3,958 1,831 3,264

Eastern Serbia 2,128 872 2,052 628 201 555 2,128 872 2,052

Southeastern Serbia 3,034 1,290 2,794 1,191 279 912 3,034 1,290 2,794

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 6,186 1,308 4,569 19,725 8,027 17,375


Urban 10,522 4,131 9,103 1,633 368 2,124 10,522 4,131 9,103

Rural 9,203 3,896 8,272 1,356 390 1,737 9,203 3,896 8,272

Region

Belgrade 3,574 1,104 2,788 492 30 551 3,574 1,104 2,788

Vojvodina 4,806 1,920 4,159 724 171 979 4,806 1,920 4,159

Western Serbia 2,225 1,010 2,318 360 118 502 2,225 1,010 2,318


Eastern Serbia 2,128 872 2,052 318 103 451 2,128 872 2,052

Southeastern Serbia 3,034 1,290 2,794 522 187 763 3,034 1,290 2,794

Total 19,725 8,027 17,375 2,989 758 3,861 19,725 8,027 17,375







Urban 0.085 0.032 0.031 -0.053 0.085 0.028 0.030 -0.057 0.053 0.016 0.019 -0.036

Rural 0.133 0.092 0.068 -0.041 0.139 0.095 0.068 -0.044 0.090 0.059 0.042 -0.031

Total 0.106 0.060 0.047 -0.047 0.108 0.057 0.046 -0.051 0.069 0.035 0.029 -0.034


Urban 0.029 0.013 0.023 -0.016 0.025 0.010 0.021 -0.015 0.015 0.006 0.013 -0.009

Rural 0.053 0.048 0.049 -0.005 0.052 0.046 0.048 -0.006 0.033 0.028 0.030 -0.004

Total 0.040 0.029 0.035 -0.011 0.037 0.026 0.032 -0.011 0.023 0.016 0.020 -0.007

Table 7: Other measures of poverty

Sen Index Sen-Shorrocks-Thon Index Watts Index



GE(0) GE(1) GE(2) GE(0) GE(1) GE(2) GE(0) GE(1) GE(2)

Total 14.4 15.1 19.3 13.7 13.9 16.5 14.5 15.4 19.6

Region

Belgrade 13.9 14.1 17.1 12.6 13.4 16.9 15.8 16.4 20.2

Vojvodina 14.3 14.7 17.9 12.7 12.6 14.2 14.0 14.8 19.3

Western Serbia 12.2 12.7 15.5 12.8 13.5 16.5 11.5 12.5 17.1

Šumadija and Pomoravlje 13.8 14.5 18.1 11.7 11.8 13.4 11.2 11.7 14.1

Eastern Serbia 16.1 18.1 27.0 11.5 11.4 12.7 13.9 14.2 16.9

Southeastern Serbia 14.1 15.4 21.1 14.4 14.2 15.9 12.6 12.5 14.1

Within-group inequality 14.1 14.7 18.9 12.6 12.9 15.5 13.5 14.2 18.5

Between-group inequality 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1

Between as a share of total 2.7 2.5 1.9 7.7 7.5 6.4 7.4 7.2 5.8

Table 3.2: Decomposition of inequality by regions

2002 2003 2007



GE(0) GE(1) GE(2) GE(0) GE(1) GE(2) GE(0) GE(1) GE(2)

Total 14.4 15.1 19.3 13.7 13.9 16.5 14.5 15.4 19.6

Urban 13.6 13.9 16.8 12.5 12.7 15.0 14.4 15.0 18.7

Rural 14.8 16.2 22.5 12.0 12.2 14.2 12.6 13.5 17.8

Within-group inequality 14.1 14.8 19.0 12.3 12.5 15.2 13.6 14.5 18.7

Between-group inequality 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9

Between as a share of total 2.2 2.0 1.6 10.1 9.7 8.1 6.2 5.7 4.4

Table 3.2a: Decomposition of inequality by urban and rural areas

2002 2003 2007



Upper Half of

the

Distribution

Interquartile

RangeTails

p90/p75 p75/p25 p90/p10 Gini

Total

2002 1.37 2.00 3.72 29.54

2003 1.39 2.00 3.88 28.86

2007 1.39 1.96 3.66 29.69

Urban

2002 1.35 2.02 3.70 28.75

2003 1.31 1.99 3.47 27.58

2007 1.39 1.98 3.70 29.53

Rural

2002 1.39 1.90 3.65 29.72

2003 1.29 1.95 3.38 27.10

2007 1.35 1.87 3.38 27.58

Table 3.3: Inequality in per-capita expenditure distribution by urban and rural areas



Upper Half of

the

Distribution

Interquartile

RangeTails

p90/p75 p75/p25 p90/p10 Gini

Total

2002 1.37 2.00 3.72 29.54

standard error 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.27

2003 1.39 2.00 3.88 28.86

standard error 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.40

2007 1.39 1.96 3.66 29.69

standard error 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.33

Urban

2002 1.35 2.02 3.70 28.75

standard error 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.34

2003 1.31 1.99 3.47 27.58

standard error 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.53

2007 1.39 1.98 3.70 29.53

standard error 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.44

Rural

2002 1.39 1.90 3.65 29.72

standard error 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.42

2003 1.29 1.95 3.38 27.10

standard error 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.53

2007 1.35 1.87 3.38 27.58

standard error 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.44

Table 3.3: Inequality in per-capita expenditure distribution by urban and rural areas



p10 p25 p50 p75 p90

2002 1.18 1.16 1.21 1.23 1.19

2003 1.39 1.38 1.42 1.41 1.43

2007 1.25 1.25 1.29 1.33 1.37

Table 3.4: Ratios of Selected Expenditure Percentiles in Urban and Rural Areas



p10 p25 p50 p75 p90

2002 1.18 1.16 1.21 1.23 1.19

standard error 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02

2003 1.39 1.38 1.42 1.41 1.43

standard error 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03

2007 1.25 1.25 1.29 1.33 1.37

standard error 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02

Table 3.4: Ratios of Selected Expenditure Percentiles in Urban and Rural Areas



2002 2003 Actual change Growth Redistribution Interaction


Total 23.12 13.66 -9.46 -5.41 -6.00 1.96

Urban 19.12 7.94 -11.18 -7.24 -6.26 2.32

Rural 28.29 21.07 -7.22 1.83 -8.03 -1.02


Total 9.10 6.94 -2.16 -2.55 1.20 -0.81

Urban 6.97 3.35 -3.62 -3.34 0.24 -0.52

Rural 11.84 11.58 -0.26 1.06 -1.21 -0.11

Table 3.5: Growth and redistribution decomposition of poverty changes

Change in incidence of poverty



coef se coef se coef se coef se coef se coef se

Household characteristics

Log of household size -0.148 0.00 -0.165 0.00 -0.110 0.01 -0.226 0.01 -0.069 0.00 -0.132 0.00

Log of household size squared -0.028 0.00 0.036 0.00 -0.079 0.00 0.059 0.00 -0.052 0.00 0.024 0.00

Share of children 0-6 (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted)

Share of children 7-16 -0.142 0.01 0.113 0.02 -0.106 0.02 -0.195 0.03 0.075 0.01 0.091 0.01

Share of male adults -0.128 0.01 0.309 0.02 0.003 0.02 0.000 0.03 0.269 0.01 0.251 0.01

Share of female adults -0.216 0.01 0.328 0.02 -0.171 0.02 -0.002 0.03 0.151 0.01 0.306 0.01

Share of Elderly (>=60) -0.439 0.01 0.105 0.02 -0.335 0.02 -0.264 0.03 -0.019 0.01 0.013 0.01

Region

Belgrade (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base)

Vojvodina 0.047 0.00 0.141 0.00 -0.005 0.00 -0.004 0.00 -0.067 0.00 -0.123 0.00

Western Serbia 0.011 0.00 0.101 0.00 -0.100 0.00 -0.079 0.00 -0.140 0.00 -0.219 0.00

Šumadija and Pomoravlje 0.034 0.00 0.159 0.00 -0.057 0.00 -0.035 0.00 -0.049 0.00 -0.072 0.00

Eastern Serbia -0.007 0.00 0.227 0.00 -0.146 0.00 -0.092 0.01 -0.163 0.00 -0.057 0.00

Southeastern Serbia -0.106 0.00 -0.043 0.00 -0.216 0.00 -0.307 0.00 -0.195 0.00 -0.255 0.00

Individual characteristics

_TMP_VAR_LHHAGE 0.002 0.00 -0.027 0.00 -0.031 0.00 0.001 0.00 -0.272 0.00 -0.040 0.00


Male (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base)

Female 0.000 0.00 -0.044 0.00 -0.011 0.00 -0.044 0.00 0.042 0.00 -0.009 0.00


Without school or incomplete primary (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base)

Primary school 0.027 0.00 0.089 0.00 0.128 0.00 0.118 0.00 0.065 0.00 0.093 0.00

Vocational schools from 1-3 years 0.218 0.00 0.197 0.00 0.291 0.00 0.198 0.00 0.246 0.00 0.270 0.00

Vocational schools 4 years 0.358 0.00 0.329 0.00 0.453 0.00 0.386 0.00 0.310 0.00 0.313 0.00

High school 0.429 0.00 0.396 0.02 0.586 0.01 0.288 0.07 0.412 0.00 0.436 0.01

College 0.407 0.00 0.424 0.00 0.473 0.00 0.394 0.01 0.517 0.00 0.533 0.00

University 0.574 0.00 0.536 0.01 0.745 0.00 0.727 0.01 0.681 0.00 0.569 0.00


Employed (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base)

Unemployed -0.261 0.00 -0.211 0.00 -0.185 0.00 -0.221 0.00 -0.203 0.00 -0.287 0.00

Inactive -0.094 0.00 -0.066 0.00 -0.046 0.00 0.008 0.00 0.006 0.00 -0.019 0.00

Intercept 9.387 0.01 8.862 0.02 9.587 0.02 9.257 0.04 10.811 0.03 9.788 0.05

Number of observations

Adjusted R2

Table 4.12: Consumption Regressions

2002 2003 2007

Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural

3,509 2,849 1,366 1,175 2,959 2,594



0.21 0.13 0.30 0.19 0.29 0.20


Demographic event, child born in the family:

Change from having no children 0-6 years old to having 1 child -0.2 16.3 15.8 -1.7 32.4 18.3

Change from having no children 0-6 years old to having 2 children 4.4 26.2 39.0 -3.3 64.2 30.6


Male (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base)

Female 0.1 9.5 4.2 12.4 -13.8 2.7


Without school or incomplete primary (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base)

Primary school -5.7 -16.0 -33.9 -26.3 -18.0 -22.4

Vocational schools from 1-3 years -41.5 -34.0 -64.6 -41.7 -56.4 -56.1

Vocational schools 4 years -61.7 -52.8 -82.9 -69.1 -66.2 -62.5

High school -69.8 -60.9 -91.4 -56.3 -78.1 -76.9

College -67.4 -64.1 -84.5 -70.0 -86.6 -84.8

University -82.6 -74.8 -96.6 -93.0 -94.3 -87.1


Employed (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base)

Unemployed 96.1 51.3 94.5 68.6 92.7 109.4

Inactive 30.2 15.1 19.4 -2.1 -2.0 5.7

Table 4.13: Changes in the probability of being in poverty (percent)

2002 2003 2007



coef se coef se coef se coef se coef se coef se

Household characteristics

Log of household size 0.354 0.03 0.107 0.02 0.374 0.15 0.364 0.06 -0.382 0.05 0.390 0.03

Log of household size squared 0.011 0.01 0.011 0.01 0.155 0.03 -0.027 0.01 0.290 0.01 -0.163 0.01

Share of children 0-6 (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted) (omitted)

Share of children 7-16 0.252 0.10 -0.164 0.11 1.764 0.62 0.581 0.40 0.950 0.24 -0.789 0.16

Share of male adults 0.317 0.09 -0.326 0.11 0.570 0.64 0.114 0.40 0.206 0.25 -1.226 0.16

Share of female adults 0.167 0.10 -0.580 0.12 0.931 0.68 -0.027 0.44 0.168 0.26 -1.485 0.18

Share of Elderly (>=60) 0.688 0.10 -0.102 0.12 1.468 0.71 0.638 0.43 0.508 0.28 -0.661 0.18

Region

Belgrade (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base)

Vojvodina -0.108 0.01 -0.287 0.01 0.065 0.03 0.303 0.08 -0.132 0.01 0.281 0.03

Western Serbia -0.107 0.01 -0.241 0.01 0.186 0.05 0.443 0.08 -0.060 0.02 0.677 0.03

Šumadija and Pomoravlje -0.180 0.01 -0.277 0.01 -0.156 0.04 0.422 0.08 -0.197 0.02 0.218 0.03

Eastern Serbia -0.050 0.01 -0.379 0.02 0.360 0.04 0.534 0.09 0.314 0.02 0.325 0.03


Individual characteristics

_TMP_VAR_LHHAGE -0.014 0.00 0.068 0.00 0.137 0.01 0.077 0.01 0.391 0.07 -0.060 0.04


Male (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base)

Female 0.007 0.01 0.116 0.01 -0.183 0.03 0.240 0.02 -0.170 0.01 0.107 0.01


Without school or incomplete primary (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base)

Primary school -0.143 0.01 -0.149 0.00 -0.380 0.03 -0.265 0.01 -0.185 0.01 -0.200 0.01

Vocational schools from 1-3 years -0.553 0.01 -0.458 0.01 -0.781 0.03 -0.445 0.02 -0.557 0.02 -0.587 0.01

Vocational schools 4 years -0.959 0.01 -0.658 0.01 -1.211 0.04 -0.780 0.03 -0.809 0.02 -0.639 0.01

High school -0.918 0.03 -0.754 0.17 -1.216 0.19 0.198 0.56 -0.925 0.06 -5.223 29,419.18

College -1.000 0.02 -0.848 0.03 -1.292 0.09 -0.814 0.11 -1.183 0.04 -0.902 0.07

University -1.318 0.02 -0.611 0.06 -2.001 0.21 -4.458 7,300.12 -1.406 0.05 -1.383 0.17


Employed (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base) (base)

Unemployed 0.743 0.01 0.464 0.01 0.447 0.05 0.291 0.05 0.555 0.02 0.687 0.02

Inactive 0.298 0.01 0.105 0.00 -0.095 0.04 -0.102 0.01 -0.028 0.01 0.069 0.01

Intercept -1.105 0.10 -0.349 0.12 -2.923 0.73 -2.021 0.46 -2.798 0.97 -0.126 0.64

Number of observations

Adjusted R2

Table 4.14: Probability of being poor

2002 2003 2007


3,509 2,849 1,366 1,175 2,959 2,594



0.13 0.07 0.18 0.11 0.14 0.12

Poverty

Headcount

Rate (P0)

Change from

actual (%)

Poverty

Headcount

Rate (P0)

Change from

actual (%)

Poverty

Headcount

Rate (P0)

Change from

actual (%)


Actual 23.1 0.0 13.7 0.0 10.6 0.0

+5% 26.3 14.0 15.7 14.8 12.5 17.7

+10% 29.1 26.0 17.5 28.3 14.7 39.0

+20% 35.2 52.2 22.4 63.9 19.4 82.9

-5% 19.9 -13.9 12.1 -11.4 8.9 -15.6

-10% 17.0 -26.7 10.0 -26.7 7.6 -28.2

-20% 11.7 -49.5 6.1 -55.7 4.6 -56.6


Actual 9.1 0.0 6.9 0.0 7.9 0.0

+5% 10.6 17.1 8.7 25.5 9.2 16.0

+10% 12.3 35.8 10.5 51.3 10.7 35.0

+20% 16.2 78.5 13.6 96.3 14.3 81.5

-5% 7.5 -17.1 5.8 -16.8 6.6 -16.0

-10% 6.2 -31.7 4.4 -36.8 5.0 -36.9

-20% 3.9 -56.8 2.4 -64.8 3.4 -57.1

Table 5.1: Sensitivity of Headcount Poverty Rate with Respect to the Choice of Poverty Line

2002 2003 2007





Urban 3.29 4.68 3.23 1.40 4.17 6.39 4.56 2.22 4.78 7.11 4.54 2.33

Rural 3.34 2.67 3.57 -0.67 3.46 4.36 4.16 0.90 3.82 4.80 4.64 0.98

Total 3.31 3.27 3.44 -0.05 3.76 4.86 4.31 1.10 4.20 5.28 4.60 1.08


Urban 5.32 8.03 6.46 2.71 5.12 7.35 4.67 2.23 5.73 7.65 4.38 1.92

Rural 3.60 4.13 4.08 0.54 4.26 4.94 4.48 0.68 4.54 5.00 4.90 0.45

Total 4.29 5.02 4.93 0.72 4.59 5.42 4.55 0.83 4.95 5.42 4.70 0.47

Table 5.2: Elasticity of Poverty with Respect to the Consumption





Poverty line = pline_u e vt

Urban -3.29 -9.70 -9.55 -6.41 -7.26 -20.53 -15.75 -13.27 -11.99 -32.18 -22.97 -20.19

Rural -1.99 -1.87 -3.57 0.12 -4.37 -5.90 -7.26 -1.53 -7.27 -9.58 -11.79 -2.30

Total -2.63 -4.82 -5.49 -2.19 -5.76 -10.98 -11.46 -5.22 -9.49 -17.15 -17.94 -7.66


Urban -10.97 -19.56 -11.85 -8.59 -19.10 -41.92 -19.54 -22.82 -31.39 -67.96 -29.06 -36.57

Rural -4.91 -5.18 -5.88 -0.28 -10.58 -10.54 -9.58 0.05 -16.61 -15.61 -15.47 1.00

Total -7.50 -12.07 -9.07 -4.57 -14.34 -19.47 -14.56 -5.13 -22.64 -28.77 -23.47 -6.12

The figures are elasticities of FGT poverty measures (P0, P1, P2) with respect to Gini inequality index

The change of Gini is done via the following transformation of the actual income structure:

1. shift of all incomes by a fixed amount (lump-sum transfer); 2. normalization of incomes to bring

the mean of the new distribution to the mean of the original distribution (tax on incomes).



Table 5.3: Elasticity of Poverty with Respect to the Inequality


Notes:

Figure 2.1: Growth-incidence curve


-9

-2

5

12

19

26

Ann

ua

l gro

wth

rate

%

1 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Expenditure percentiles

Growth-incidence 95% confidence bounds

Growth at median Growth in mean

Mean growth rate

Total (years 2002 and 2003)

-9

-2

5

12

19

26

Ann

ua

l gro

wth

rate

%

1 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100




Mean growth rate

Rural

-9

-2

5

12

19

26

Ann

ua

l gro

wth

rate

%

1 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100




Mean growth rate

Figure 5.1: Poverty Incidence Curve


0

.2

.4

.6

.8

1

Cum

ula

tive d

istr

ibu

tion

0 15 30 45 60 75

Welfare indicator, '000

2002

2003

Total

0

.2

.4

.6

.8

1

Cum

ula

tive d

istr

ibu

tion

0 15 30 45 60 75


2002

2003

Urban

0

.2

.4

.6

.8

1

Cum

ula

tive d

istr

ibu

tion

0 15 30 45 60 75


2002

2003

Rural

Figure 5.2: Poverty Deficit Curve


0

20

40

60

Tota

l de

ficit

0 15 30 45 60 75


2002

2003

Total

0

10

20

30

40

50

Tota

l de

ficit

0 15 30 45 60 75


2002

2003

Urban

0

10

20

30

Tota

l de

ficit

0 15 30 45 60 75


2002

2003

Rural

Figure 5.3: Poverty Severity Curve


0

.5

1

1.5

2

Tota

l seve

rity

, '0

00

0 15 30 45 60 75


2002

2003

Total

0

.5

1

Tota

l seve

rity

, '0

00

0 15 30 45 60 75


2002

2003

Urban

0

200

400

600

Tota

l seve

rity

0 15 30 45 60 75


2002

2003

Rural

Figure 5.4: Probability Density Function


Me

an

0

.05

.1

Pro

bab

ility

de

nsity f

un

ction

1 16 31 46 61 76

Consumption per capita, '000

Total

Urban

Rural

2002

Me

an

0

.05

.1

Pro

bab

ility

de

nsity f

un

ction

1 11 21 31 41 51

Total consumption, '000

Total

Urban

Rural

2003

Me

an

0

.02

.04

.06

Pro

bab

ility

de

nsity f

un

ction

1 26 51 76 101 126

main welf agg: total consumption by rso (oecd) adult equiv, current prices (sum, '000

Total

Urban

Rural

2007

Figure 5.5: Lorenz Curve


0

.2

.4

.6

.8

1

Lo

ren

z c

urv

e

0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1

Cumulative population proportion

2002, Gini=29.54

2003, Gini=28.86

Line of equality

Total

0

.2

.4

.6

.8

1

Lo

ren

z c

urv

e

0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1


2002, Gini=28.75

2003, Gini=27.58

Line of equality

Urban

0

.2

.4

.6

.8

1

Lo

ren

z c

urv

e

0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1


2002, Gini=29.72

2003, Gini=27.10

Line of equality

Rural

Figure 5.6: Age-Gender Pyramid and Poverty


23

23

21

21

20

20

21

22

20

24

18

23

24

25

30

33

46

50

64

18

22

20

23

19

18

16

17

20

20

18

24

26

31

33

37

40

28

58 Poverty Rate, Female Male, Poverty Rate

5

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

95

Ag

e in

ye

ars

5

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

95

Age in y

ears

6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

Share in total population, %

Total Population

Poor Population

2002

10

12

14

11

13

10

11

13

15

13

9

11

11

17

18

22

29

51

22

11

15

13

14

10

9

10

10

10

12

10

10

13

18

21

26

24

40


5

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

95

Ag

e in

ye

ars

5

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

95

Age in y

ears

6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6


Total Population

Poor Population

2003

13

11

12

9

7

9

8

10

10

9

6

9

9

12

10

18

21

26

21

12

14

12

9

6

7

10

9

8

6

6

9

10

15

16

21

21

25


5

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

95A

ge in

ye

ars

5

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

95

Age in y

ears

6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6


Total Population

Poor Population

2007

adept poverty: table of...

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