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LOREM IPSUM DOLOREM COMPANY Insert You Tagline Here

Shenggen FanDirector General

Washington, DC | March 14, 2013

Highlights

Food Policy in 2012 Agricultural Productivity

Food Policy Indicators: Tracking Change

Green Economy Women in Agriculture

Employment in Agriculture

US and EU Farm Policies

Regional Developments

Looking Ahead

The global food system remained fragile

New numbers, same problem

Drought and volatile food pricesUnited States, Eastern Europe, Central Asia, Southern Africa, Sahel

ConflictDRC, Mali, Somalia, Syria

Long-term drivers of global food system

Old and new FAO estimates of undernourished people worldwide, 1990-2010

AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY

A Changing Global Harvest

Agricultural productivity growth has accelerated substantially

Location and composition of production have changed(more in developing countries; more high-value crops)

Sources of production growth and regional contributions are different (sustained high growth in Brazil and China; low growth in Africa)

For long-term productivity growth

Develop national capacities in agricultural R&D

Provide better genetic materialsand inputs

Create enabling environment for rapid technology adoption

Sources of growth in global agricultural production

GREEN ECONOMY

Sustainable and Growing, Food Secure?

Rio+20 conference introduced several new initiatives (e.g. Green Economy, Zero Hunger Challenge, Zero Net Land and Forest Degradation)

Bioeconomy also gained ground

Rio+20 lacked firm policy roadmap and timeframe

What is needed?

Clear measures, timeframes, and accountability mechanisms

Incentives and information for civil society and private sector

Rio+20: Towards a “green economy”

WOMEN IN AGRICULTURE

Closing the Gender Gap

Role of gender equality in agriculture gained growing attention (FAO’s State of Food and Agriculture and World Bank’s World Development Report)

Women’s Empowerment in Agriculture Index was created (IFPRI, USAID, and Oxford Poverty and Human Development)

Development programming moving from gender-blind to gender-aware programs

More needs to be done to

Build evidence base

Strengthen women’s assets

Engage with women’s groups as real development partners

EMPLOYMENT IN AGRICULTURE

Jobs for Africa’s Youth

Africa south of the Sahara has the fastest growing population and the youngest (additional 150 million people in rural areas from 2010-50)

Engagement of Africa’s youth in agriculture is crucial to gain “youth dividend”

To realize agriculture’s potential

Constraints to land, capital, and skills must be eased

Programs must be friendly to needs of the youth

Clear vision and political commitment is needed

Rural population share and number of people entering rural and urban labor markets in Africa south of the Sahara, 1950–2050

US AND EU FARM POLICIES

The Subsidy Habit

Farm subsidies in the US and EU persist, the debate continues

Not much was done to expand productivity-increasing public agricultural research

What must be done?

Revisit farm policies

Promote non-distorting

trade policies

Engage in WTOtrade negotiations

Composition of EU agricultural budget, annual expenditures, 1990-2010

REGIONAL DEVELOPMENTS

Policy Choices on the Ground

Africa Agricultural transformation accelerated Lack of capacity to cope with

increased shocks and conflict

South Asia Bangladesh planned a path for food security India embraced FDI in the retail sector Nepal proposed to increase fertilizer subsidies

Arab World Long-term policies and investments

was initiated by several countries

Food security remains a key challenge

East Asia China released plan for large

agricultural R&D investment

Myanmar took steps to reform the agricultural sector

Thailand implemented scheme which led to uncompetitive rice prices

Latin America and the Caribbean Increased role of the region in

food supply

Public agricultural R&D declined in smaller, poorer countries

Continued divide in land holdings

Difference in population at risk of hunger (%), compared with baseline, 2050

LOOKING AHEAD

Scenarios for the Future of Food

E. Asia & Pacific

Europe & C. Asia

LAC MENA S. Asia SSA World0

5

10

15

20

E. Asia & Pacific

Europe & C. Asia

LAC MENA S. Asia SSA World-40

-30

-20

-10

0HIGHER AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY HIGHER ENERGY PRICES

S. Asia S.E. Asia Asia SSA LAC World-10

-8-6-4-20

Lower meat demand in high-income countriesLower meat demand in high-income countries + Brazil and China

LOWER MEAT DEMAND

Agricultural Science and Technology Indicators1

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3

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FOOD POLICY INDICATORS

Tracking Change

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Statistics of Public Expenditure for Economic Development

Global Hunger Index

Food Policy Research Capacity Indicators

Total and Partial Factor Productivity

OUTLOOK FOR 2013

Walk the Talk!

Build resilience of global and national food systems and the poor

Give attention to dry areas

Further advance the nexus approach (agriculture, nutrition, health & food, water, land, energy)

Fulfill L’Aquila commitments, build national capacities, and support implementation of country-led processes

Ensure post-2015 development agenda focuses on poor people while pursuing sustainable development goals