2011 valuation media
TRANSCRIPT
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Harris County Appraisal DistrictApril 28, 2011
2011 Valuation
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Foreclosure Activity
Texas - 82,823 home foreclosures $149,425 Average Foreclosure Sales Price
Harris County 47,652 foreclosure homes in
2010, almost 16 percent increase over 2009 $136,027 Average Foreclosure Sales Price
January 2011 activity represents a nearly 41percent decline from January 2010
A 32.6 percent decrease from properties foreclosedon in December 2010
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Foreclosure SalesCount
Geographical
Comparison of
Foreclosure Filings
Source: RealtyTrac
Harris County
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2011 Parcel Creations
NOTES:
1. Minimum parcels to be created per sum of Lots and Reserves shown on recorded plats and number of Units to be
created from condominium declarations.
2. Number does not reflect street and right-of-way dedication parcels.
3. Data information is current as of Jan. 11, 2011 for instruments recorded up to Dec. 30, 2010.
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Subdivision/Condo Recordings
NOTES:
1. Plat/Instrument totals for each year were filed and recorded the previous calendar year.
2. 2011 count reflects instruments recorded up to December 30, 2010.
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2011 Residential Valuation
The majority of values will remain flat, with some
decreases expected county-wide
Predominant foreclosure markets will continue to see
significant decreases, especially in the low-end to $100Kmarket (north and southeast areas hit the hardest)
The $500K and over market has shown an uptick in home
pricing; a few areas that were flat or decreased in 2010
will see appraised value increases for 2011
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Harris County
Residential Noticed Parcels
(as of April 25)
Noticed
Parcels
% of
Parcels
Noticed
MARKET VALUE Capped
ParcelsUnchanged Decreased Increased
Parcels % Parcels % Parcels % Parcels %
990,170 96.1% 731,717 73.9% 191,780 19.4% 66,673 6.7% 29,910 3.0%
Market
Unchanged
Appraised
Increased
Market
Decreased
Appraised
IncreasedParcels Percent Parcels Percent
25,753 3.5% 1,662 0.8%
* Includes capped and non-capped parcels
Market Increased
with New
Construction
Market Increased
without New
Construction
Parcels Percent Parcels Percent
48,855 73.3% 17,818 26.7%
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HOUSTON/HARRIS COUNTY
APARTMENT VALUATION
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Apartments
Have begun to rebound after experiencing one of
their weakest years in recent history
First property to recover due to short-term leases
Investment activity has seen an upswing in 2010 Strong pricing has emerged as limited amounts of
investor grade assets are being offered
Sudden halt of new construction since late 2008
and increase in renters created positiveabsorption during 2010 and is expected to
continue for 2011
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HOUSTON/HARRIS COUNTY
COMMERCIAL VALUATION
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Commercial Real Property
Valuation Positive trends contributing to a general
stabilization in property values:
Increase in 2010 sales dollar volume and leasingactivity
Decreased vacancies
Stabilization of rental rates
Improved lower capitalization rates
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HOUSTON/HARRIS COUNTY
VACANT LAND VALUATION
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Vacant Land
Land sales decreased from 1,284 in 2009 to1,001 sales in 2010
Includes foreclosures and auction purchases
Investors are challenged in finding quality landtracts due to higher prices in active areas
Sales activity is biased towards Houstons Inner Loop,
West Houston, and Cy-Fair/Tomball submarkets.
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HOUSTON/HARRIS COUNTY
INDUSTRIAL VALUATION
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Refineries
Some improvement in demand for oil andpetroleum products worldwide in 2010compared to 2009 World oil use is up 2.3 percent from last summer
Price of oil increased throughout 2010
Increased product margins for refiners in U.S. Trucking and rail shipment activity has
strengthened
Natural gas prices remain relatively low
Industry utilization increased from an averageof 83 percent in 2009 to 90 percent in 2010
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Refineries: 2011 Valuation
It is anticipated that refinery values and
inventories will be the same or slightly higher
in 2011 relative to 2010
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Chemicals
Dismal outlook as the economy stays depressed
However, some positive signs as a result of plant
shutdowns have allowed remaining producers to
increase their production Chemical-related inventory volumes should be
near the levels they were on January 1, 2010, but
prices should be up slightly over last year.
Value changes for chemicals facilities look to be
flat coming into 2011
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Utilities
Gas, Electric and Telephone utility values are down asa result of the lack of new residential growth
Cable companies are looking at a decrease in valuedue to limited investment and depreciation of theircurrent assets
The futures of cable and telephone companies areunstable due to intense competition in their market
Ability for these industries to provide phone,
television, and Internet has led to a very challengingeconomic environment for both industries
Telecommunications will continue to get lessexpensive as technology advances
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HOUSTON/HARRIS COUNTY
BUSINESS PERSONAL PROPERTY VALUATION
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Retail
Houstons retail market experienced a slight
improvement in market conditions in 4th
Qtr 2010
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Business Personal Property
Overall, personal property tax base declined
approximately 3.72 percent for tax year 2010
Tax base is likely to be flat or slightly less in 2011
than in 2010
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Taxing Jurisdiction Estimates
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($$$ BILLIONS $$$)
(As of April 28, 2011) 2010
Tax Base
2011
Tax Base
Overall
ChangeRoll Data: March 25, 2011
Residential & Rural Improved $117.250 $116.498 -0.0064
Apartments $18.036 $17.876 -0.0088
Commercial $60.529 $61.822 0.0214
Vacant Land $9.878 $9.425 -0.0459
Industrial Real $14.745 $14.380 -0.0248
Utility $4.389 $4.291 -0.0225
Commercial Personal $23.911 $22.910 -0.0419
Industrial Personal $23.686 $22.263 -0.0601
Other $0.700 $0.724 0.0336
2010 2011 Net
Roll Value Net Total Change
$273.125 $270.187 -0.0108
Harris County2011 Certified Estimate of Taxable Value
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Harris County and College Districts2011 Estimate of Taxable Value Summary
JurisdictionProjected 2011
Taxable Value
Overall
Change
2010 Taxable
Value
Harris County 270,187,323,975 -0.0108 273,124,926,319
Lone Star Col System District 86,697,323,050 -0.0028 86,938,311,838
Lee Jr College District 5,257,453,076 -0.0399 5,475,876,243
San Jacinto Community Col Dist 35,526,948,116 -0.0353 36,828,208,388
Houston Community College 119,937,560,828 -0.0068 120,757,768,967
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School Districts2011 Certified Estimate of Taxable Value Summary
JurisdictionProjected 2011
Taxable Value
Overall
Change
2010 Taxable
Value
Houston ISD 103,970,026,590 -0.0087 104,886,570,864
Deer Park ISD 6,454,298,895 -0.0370 6,702,517,183
Waller ISD 708,420,887 -0.0446 741,460,379
Cypress-Fairbanks 31,120,976,690 -0.0021 31,185,340,296
Crosby ISD 1,334,127,345 0.0119 1,318,390,659
Channelview ISD 2,162,851,552 -0.0504 2,277,651,121
New Caney ISD 55,006,914 -0.0145 55,816,118
Alief ISD 10,483,849,455 -0.0202 10,699,457,301
Aldine ISD 12,704,317,406 -0.0171 12,924,910,830North Forest ISD 1,473,735,594 -0.0385 1,532,815,581
Galena Park ISD 5,365,293,550 -0.0250 5,502,602,225
Goose Creek CISD 5,360,626,097 -0.0392 5,579,490,444
Klein ISD 12,723,961,866 -0.0032 12,764,369,254
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School Districts (contd)2011 Certified Estimate of Taxable Value Summary
JurisdictionProjected 2011
Taxable Value
Overall
Change
2010 Taxable
Value
Humble ISD 10,605,585,769 0.0029 10,574,431,154
Katy ISD 11,955,528,958 0.0018 11,933,746,823
La Porte ISD 5,642,915,149 -0.0289 5,811,028,391
Pasadena ISD 9,452,924,843 -0.0247 9,692,440,631
Sheldon ISD 3,868,887,874 -0.0367 4,016,251,170
Spring ISD 7,099,802,634 -0.0314 7,329,740,265
Spring Branch ISD 18,499,344,469 0.0160 18,208,292,311
Tomball ISD 4,909,555,802 0.0301 4,765,922,076
Clear Creek ISD 10,351,941,050 0.0049 10,301,180,744Dayton ISD 1,765,276 0.0633 1,660,177
Pearland ISD 124,791,537 -0.0085 125,858,150
Huffman ISD 809,744,066 0.0048 805,878,987
Stafford ISD 6,204,018 -0.0396 6,460,007
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Cities2011 Certified Estimate of Taxable Value Summary
JurisdictionProjected 2011
Taxable Value
Overall
Change
2010 Taxable
Value
City ofBaytown 2,219,717,480 -0.0173 2,258,730,369
City ofBellaire 3,198,512,240 -0.0063 3,218,782,354
Bunker Hill Village 1,351,463,408 0.0243 1,319,398,390
City of Deer Park 1,748,832,765 0.0048 1,740,542,710
Hedwig Village 661,918,787 0.0238 646,530,038
City of El Lago 183,123,013 -0.0266 188,125,162
City of Galena Park 341,171,431 -0.0343 353,293,350
City of Friendswood 483,654,085 -0.0104 488,735,141
City of Pearland 427,292,753 0.0138 421,494,274Hilshire Village 127,106,385 0.0520 120,823,514
City of Houston 140,763,010,179 -0.0121 142,483,815,524
City of Humble 1,237,133,377 0.0154 1,218,413,574
City of Katy 513,901,948 -0.0139 521,126,321
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Cities (contd)2011 Certified Estimate of Taxable Value Summary
JurisdictionProjected 2011
Taxable Value
Overall
Change
2010 Taxable
Value
City of Missouri City 194,693,398 -0.0177 198,198,366
Hunters Creek Village 1,860,351,224 0.0257 1,813,697,288
City of Jacinto City 343,639,892 0.0130 339,244,207
City of League City 80,808,172 0.0739 75,249,055
Jersey Village 826,292,884 -0.0048 830,303,009
City of La Porte 2,184,205,654 -0.0221 2,233,674,635
City of Morgans Point 164,887,349 -0.0306 170,097,288
City of Nassau Bay 449,279,525 0.0152 442,541,572
City of Pasadena 5,588,643,084 -0.0101 5,645,723,566Piney Point Village 1,703,511,108 0.0130 1,681,693,112
City of Seabrook 820,065,131 -0.0295 845,001,119
City of Shoreacres 96,232,729 0.0054 95,715,595
City of South Houston 487,489,433 0.0044 485,341,758
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Cities (contd)2011 Certified Estimate of Taxable Value Summary
JurisdictionProjected 2011
Taxable Value
Overall
Change
2010 Taxable
Value
City of Southside Place 506,724,588 0.0011 506,157,239
City of Spring Valley 686,638,057 0.0431 658,251,773
Taylor Lake Village 344,884,169 0.0069 342,525,181
City of Tomball 1,105,166,876 -0.0172 1,124,525,349
City of Webster 1,316,666,853 -0.0138 1,335,066,087
West University Place 4,010,355,144 -0.0175 4,081,853,040
City of Waller 51,469,349 -0.0053 51,745,032