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Page 1: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

1Q15 Earnings

MAY 5, 2015

Page 2: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

Forward-Looking Statements and Other Disclaimers

2

This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, included in this

presentation that address activities, events or developments that Concho Resources Inc. (the “Company”) expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements contained in this

presentation specifically include statements, estimates and projections regarding the Company's future financial position, operations, performance, business strategy, capital expenditure budget, liquidity and capital resources, the timing and success of

specific projects, outcomes and effects of litigation, claims and disputes, derivative activities and potential financing. The words “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “potential,” “could,” “may,” “foresee,” “plan,” “goal” or other similar

expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, which generally are not historical in nature. However, the absence of these words does not mean that the statements are not forward-looking. These statements are based on certain

assumptions made by the Company based on management's experience, expectations and perception of historical trends, current conditions, anticipated future developments and other factors believed to be appropriate. Forward-looking statements are not

guarantees of performance. Although the Company believes the expectations reflected in its forward-looking statements are reasonable and are based on reasonable assumptions, no assurance can be given that these assumptions are accurate or that any

of these expectations will be achieved (in full or at all) or will prove to have been correct. Moreover, such statements are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, which may cause

actual results to differ materially from those implied or expressed by the forward-looking statements. These include the factors discussed or referenced in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company's most recent Form 10-K filing; risks relating to declines in

the prices the Company receives for its oil and natural gas; uncertainties about the estimated quantities of oil and natural gas reserves; drilling and operating risks, including risks related to properties where the Company does not serve as the operator and

risks related to hydraulic fracturing activities; the adequacy of the Company’s capital resources and liquidity including, but not limited to, access to additional borrowing capacity under the Company’s credit facility; the effects of government regulation,

permitting and other legal requirements, including new legislation or regulation of hydraulic fracturing and the export of oil and natural gas; environmental hazards, such as uncontrollable flows of oil, natural gas, brine, well fluids, toxic gas or other pollution

into the environment, including groundwater contamination; difficult and adverse conditions in the domestic and global capital and credit markets; risks related to the concentration of the Company’s operations in the Permian Basin of Southeast New Mexico

and West Texas; disruptions to, capacity constraints in or other limitations on the pipeline systems that deliver the Company’s oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas and other processing and transportation considerations; shortages of oilfield equipment,

services and qualified personnel and increases in costs for such equipment, services and personnel; potential financial losses or earnings reductions from the Company’s commodity price management program; risks and liabilities related to the integration of

acquired properties or businesses; uncertainties about the Company’s ability to successfully execute its business and financial plans and strategies; uncertainties about the Company’s ability to replace reserves and economically develop its current reserves;

general economic and business conditions, either internationally or domestically; competition in the oil and natural gas industry; uncertainty concerning the Company’s assumed or possible future results of operations; and other important factors that could

cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on any of the Company’s forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made,

and the Company undertakes no obligation to correct or update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.

This presentation includes financial measures that are not in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), including adjusted net income and EBITDAX. While management believes that such measures are useful for investors, they

should not be used as a replacement for financial measures that are in accordance with GAAP. For a reconciliation of adjusted net income and EBITDAX to the nearest comparable measure in accordance with GAAP please see the appendix.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) requires oil and natural gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose proved reserves, which are those quantities of oil and natural gas, which, by analysis of geoscience and engineering data, can

be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically producible—from a given date forward, from known reservoirs, and under existing economic conditions (using the trailing 12-month average first-day-of-the-month prices), operating methods, and

government regulations—prior to the time at which contracts providing the right to operate expire, unless evidence indicates that renewal is reasonably certain, regardless of whether deterministic or probabilistic methods are used for the estimation. The SEC

also permits the disclosure of separate estimates of probable or possible reserves that meet SEC definitions for such reserves; however, the Company currently does not disclose probable or possible reserves in its SEC filings.

In this presentation, proved reserves attributable to the Company at December 31, 2014 are estimated utilizing SEC reserve recognition standards and pricing assumptions based on the trailing 12-month average first-day-of-the-month prices of $91.48 per

Bbl of oil and $4.35 per MMBtu of natural gas. The Company’s estimate of its total proved reserves at December 31, 2014 is based on reports prepared by Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. and Netherland, Sewell & Associates, Inc., independent

petroleum engineers. The Company may use the terms “unproved reserves,” “resource potential,” “EUR” per well, “upside potential” and “prospective acreage” to describe estimates of potentially recoverable hydrocarbons that the SEC rules prohibit from

being included in filings with the SEC. These are based on analogy to the Company’s existing models applied to additional acres, additional zones and tighter spacing and are the Company’s internal estimates of hydrocarbon quantities that may be

potentially discovered through exploratory drilling or recovered with additional drilling or recovery techniques. These quantities may not constitute “reserves” within the meaning of the Society of Petroleum Engineer’s Petroleum Resource Management System

or SEC rules. EUR estimates, resource potential and identified drilling locations have not been fully risked by Company management and are inherently more speculative than proved reserves estimates. Actual locations drilled and quantities that may be

ultimately recovered from the Company’s interests could differ substantially. There is no commitment by the Company to drill all of the drilling locations, which have been attributed to these quantities. Factors affecting ultimate recovery include the scope of

the Company’s ongoing drilling program, which will be directly affected by the availability of capital, drilling and production costs, availability of drilling services and equipment, drilling results, lease expirations, transportation constraints, regulatory approvals,

actual drilling results, including geological and mechanical factors affecting recovery rates, and other factors. Estimates of unproved reserves, resource potential, per well EUR and upside potential may change significantly as development of the Company’s

oil and natural gas assets provide additional data. The Company’s production forecasts and expectations for future periods are dependent upon many assumptions, including estimates of production decline rates from existing wells and the undertaking and

outcome of future drilling activity, which may be affected by significant commodity price declines or drilling cost increases.

Page 3: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

First Quarter 2015 Highlights

3 1Adjusted EPS and EBITDAX are non-GAAP measures. See appendix for reconciliations to GAAP measures.

Operational

• Record quarterly production of

132.2 MBoepd

• 38% oil production growth year-

over-year and 9% quarter-over-

quarter

• Excellent well results from the

Avalon Shale in the northern

Delaware Basin

Financial

• Financial results affected by weak

commodity price environment

• $0.06 diluted EPS; $0.36

adjusted EPS1

• EBITDAX1 of $408 MM

• Unit costs LOE, DD&A and G&A

lower year-over-year

Outlook

• Raised FY15 production growth

target range to 18% to 22% from

16% to 20%

• FY15 capital outlook flat-to-down

at $1.8 BN to $2.0 BN

• Lowered FY15 unit cost guidance

for LOE and DD&A

Page 4: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

First Quarter 2015 Execution

1Q15

OIL PRODUCTION

Marks 21st

Consecutive Quarter

of Crude Oil

Production Growth

4

101.6 107.8

113.5

124.8

132.2

1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15

Total Production Growth 30% Growth

Year-over-Year

Total Production (MBoepd)

65.0 68.5

72.7

82.1

89.6

1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15

Oil Production Growth

38% Growth

Year-over-Year

42.3

49.1

55.2

64.5

68.9

1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15

63% Growth

Year-over-Year

Horizontal Production Growth (MBoepd)

Delaware Basin Growth Engine:

Horizontal Production Growth

Oil Production (MBopd)

Page 5: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

3735

30

24

18

4Q14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Current

2015 Capital Program

1Based on 2015 production guidance midpoint. 5

• Maintain significant capital and operational

flexibility

• Hedge position for remainder of 2015 covers

~65% anticipated oil production at $78.82/Bbl1

FY15 OUTLOOK

UPDATE

Raised Production

Growth Target to

18% to 22%

Total Capital Program

Flat-to-Down at

$1.8 BN to $2.0 BN

76%

12%

12%

Capital Program Allocation

Total Capital: $1.8 BN to $2.0 BN

Delaware Basin Midland Basin New Mexico Shelf

CAPTURING

SERVICE

COST REDUCTIONS

~20% Savings

vs. YE14 Well Costs

Rig Program Progression

↓19 Rigs

since 4Q14

Average Rig Count

Page 6: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

Northern Delaware Basin

ACREAGE POSITION

~365,000 gross

(255,000 net) acres

CURRENT RIG

COUNT

11 Horizontal Rigs

CXO ACREAGE

CXO 1Q15 HZ W ELL

• Significant resource captured from large

acreage position and multiple target zones

• Continue to deliver industry-leading results in

the northern Delaware Basin

• Added 42 new horizontal wells with at least

30 days of production data in 1Q15

• Avg. lateral length: 5,020’

• Avg. 30-day peak rate: 891 Boepd (73%

oil)

• Avg. 24-hour peak rate: 1,430 Boepd

• Strong results in the oil-rich Avalon Shale

• 3 new wells with at least 30 days of

production data in 1Q15

• Avg. 30-day peak rate: 1,586 Boepd

(77% oil)

• Avg. 24-hour peak rate: 2,487 Boepd

Acreage as of December 31, 2014.

EDDY LEA

CULBERSON LOVING

6

Page 7: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

Execution-Driven Capital Efficiency

7

36

27

24 22

1Q12 1Q13 1Q14 1Q15

372

536

587

667

1Q12 1Q13 1Q14 1Q15

Drilling Days

Feet Drilled/Day

(39)%

+79%

$589

$545

$483

$442

1Q12 1Q13 1Q14 1Q15

Drilling Cost/Lateral Foot ($/Ft)

(25)%

NORTHERN DELAWARE BASIN

Operational

Efficiencies that

Improve Returns and

Withstand Price

Cycles

Lateral Length

Up 17%

Page 8: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

Southern Delaware Basin

ACREAGE POSITION

~275,000 gross

(170,000 net) acres

CURRENT RIG

COUNT

3 Horizontal Rigs

• Strong well results driven by enhanced geologic

model and completion design

• Added 8 new horizontal wells with at least 30

days of production data in 1Q15

• Avg. lateral length: 5,088’

• Avg. 30-day peak rate: 997 Boepd (79% oil)

• Avg. 24-hour peak rate: 1,238 Boepd

CXO ACREAGE

CXO 1Q15 HZ W ELL

Acreage as of December 31, 2014.

PECOS

REEVES

WARD

LOVING

8

Page 9: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

Midland Basin

HORIZONTAL CORE

ACREAGE POSITION

~200,000 gross

(110,000 net) acres

CURRENT RIG

COUNT

2 Horizontal Rigs

• Targeting oil-prone, repeatable Wolfcamp and Spraberry zones

• Strong well results driven by drilling and completion optimization

• Added 12 new horizontal wells with at least 30 days of

production data in 1Q15

• Avg. lateral length: 6,343’

• Avg. 30-day peak rate: 742 Boepd (83% oil)

• Avg. 24-hour peak rate: 957 Boepd

CXO ACREAGE

CXO 1Q15 HZ W ELL

Acreage as of December 31, 2014.

ANDREWS MARTIN

ECTOR MIDLAND

GLASSCOCK

UPTON

CRANE

REAGAN

Average lateral length for horizontal inventory increased 20%

year-over-year

Concho’s ~200,000 gross acres are prospective for multiple zones

with downspacing potential

Spraberry

Upper Wolfcamp

Lower Wolfcamp

Wells per

Section

4

4

4

Formation Identified

Locations

550

400

1,150

Avg. Lateral

Length

1.0 - 1.5 mile

1.0 - 1.5 mile

1.0 - 1.5 mile

Deep Inventory of Identified Horizontal Locations

9

Page 10: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

New Mexico Shelf

ACREAGE POSITION

~160,000 gross

(110,000 net) acres

CURRENT RIG

COUNT

2 Horizontal Rigs

10

• Deep inventory of high-return, low-cost

locations

• 1,600 horizontal Yeso locations

• 1,000 vertical Yeso locations

• Horizontal drilling and completion

technology expanding play boundaries

• Added 7 new horizontal wells with at

least 30 days of production data in 1Q15

• Avg. 30-day peak rate: 331 Boepd

(84% oil)

• Avg. 24-hour peak rate: 511 Boepd

• Avg. well cost: $2.5 MM to $3.5 MM

CXO ACREAGE

CXO 1Q15 HZ W ELL

Acreage as of December 31, 2014.

LEA EDDY

CHAVES

Page 11: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

Key Takeaways

11

Optimizing drilling and completion techniques,

improving resource recovery and returns

Executing a returns-based, disciplined capital

program with operational flexibility

Maintaining financial strength is a top priority

Service costs adjusting to lower commodity prices

Proven strategy, quality assets and experienced

team to weather commodity price cycles

Capital efficiency driving 20% production growth

with 35% less capital year-over-year

Page 12: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

Appendix

Page 13: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

Resource and Results

13

1Wells with a minimum of 30 days of production at March 31, 2015.

Concho’s ~365,000 gross acres are prospective for six zones

with downspacing potential

Brushy Canyon

Avalon Shale

1st Bone Spring

2nd Bone Spring

3rd Bone Spring

Wolfcamp Shale

Well

Count1

Avg. Peak Rate (Boepd)

30-Day (% Oil) 24-Hour

19

14

63

62

249

17

632 (82%)

517 (72%)

645 (85%)

972

977

1,063

1,337

1,454

1,269

763 (49%)

923 (76%)

801 (40%)

Formation Identified

Locations

700

1,400

1,400

1,500

3,200

1,600

Wells per

Section

4

4

4

4 to 6

4 to 6

4

Deep Inventory of Identified Horizontal Locations

NORTHERN DELAWARE BASIN

Page 14: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

2015 Operational & Financial Outlook

2Q15 OUTLOOK

Production:

138 - 142 MBoepd

Production

Year-over-year growth 18% - 22%

Oil mix 63% - 65%

Price realizations, excluding commodity derivatives (% of NYMEX)

Crude oil (per Bbl) 90% - 93%

Natural gas (per Mcf) 100% - 120%

Operating costs and expenses ($/Boe, unless otherwise noted)

LOE

Direct LOE $7.75 - $8.25

Oil & gas taxes (% of oil & gas revenues) 8.25%

G&A

Cash G&A $3.40 - $3.90

Non-cash stock-based compensation $1.20 - $1.30

DD&A $23.00 - $25.00

Exploration $1.50 - $2.50

Interest expense ($ MM)

Cash $210 - $220

Non-cash $10

Income tax rate (%) 38%

Current taxes ($ MM) $40 - $50

Capital expenditures ($ BN) $1.8 - $2.0 (UPDATED AS OF MAY 4, 2015)

14

Page 15: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

Hedge Position

2Q15 - 4Q15

OIL HEDGES

15.7 MMBbls

~65% Production1

15

(UPDATED AS OF MAY 4, 2015)

(a) The index prices for the oil contracts are based on the NYMEX – West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) monthly average futures price.

(b) The basis differential price is between Midland – WTI and Cushing – WTI.

(c) The index prices for the natural gas price swaps are based on the NYMEX – Henry Hub last trading day futures price.

(d) The basis differential price is between the El Paso Permian delivery point and NYMEX – Henry Hub delivery point.

2016 OIL HEDGES

12.5 MMBbls

Second Quarter Third Quarter Fourth Quarter Total 2016 2017

Oil Swaps: (a)

Volume (Bbl) 5,114,000 5,719,000 4,904,000 15,737,000 12,499,000 3,948,000

Price (Bbl) 80.62$ 77.19$ 78.84$ 78.82$ 83.43$ 65.58$

Oil Basis Swaps: (b)

Volume (Bbl) 4,350,500 4,462,000 4,232,000 13,044,500 12,164,000

Price (Bbl) (3.24)$ (3.06)$ (2.99)$ (3.10)$ (2.23)$

Natural Gas Swaps: (c)

Volume (MMBtu) 5,915,000 5,980,000 5,980,000 17,875,000

Price (MMBtu) 4.16$ 4.16$ 4.16$ 4.16$

Natural Gas Basis Swaps: (d)

Volume (MMBtu) 1,365,000 1,380,000 1,380,000 4,125,000

Price (MMBtu) (0.13)$ (0.13)$ (0.13)$ (0.13)$

2015

1Based on 2015 production guidance midpoint.

Page 16: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

Adjusted Net Income Reconciliation (Unaudited)

16 1The tax impact is computed utilizing the Company's effective tax rates shown in the table above.

(in thousands, except per share amounts)

Net income - as reported $ 7,512 $ 91,307

Adjustments for certain non-cash and unusual items:

(Gain) loss on derivatives not designated as hedges (115,340) 35,615

Cash receipts from (payments on) derivatives not designated as hedges 167,156 (14,837)

Leasehold abandonments 1,919 3,945

(Gain) loss on disposition of assets, net 39 (146)

Tax impact1 (19,144) (9,266)

Adjusted net income $ 42,142 $ 106,618

Adjusted earnings per share:

Basic $ 0.37 $ 1.01

Diluted $ 0.36 $ 1.01

Effective tax rates 35.6% 37.7%

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2015 2014

Page 17: 1Q15 Earnings · 2015-10-16 · 1Q15 Earnings MAY 5, 2015 . ... This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act

EBITDAX Reconciliation (Unaudited)

17

The Company defines EBITDAX as net income, plus (1) exploration and abandonments expense, (2) depreciation, depletion and amortization expense, (3) accretion expense, (4) non-cash stock-based

compensation expense, (5) (gain) loss on derivatives not designated as hedges, (6) cash receipts from (payments on) derivatives not designated as hedges, (7) (gain) loss on disposition of assets, net,

(8) interest expense and (9) federal and state income taxes. EBITDAX is not a measure of net income or cash flows as determined by GAAP.

The Company’s EBITDAX measure (which includes continuing and discontinued operations) provides additional information which may be used to better understand the Company’s operations. EBITDAX

is one of several metrics that the Company uses as a supplemental financial measurement in the evaluation of its business and should not be considered as an alternative to, or more meaningful than, net

income, as an indicator of operating performance. Certain items excluded from EBITDAX are significant components in understanding and assessing a company's financial performance, such as a

company's cost of capital and tax structure, as well as the historic cost of depreciable assets, none of which are components of EBITDAX. EBITDAX, as used by the Company, may not be comparable to

similarly titled measures reported by other companies. The Company believes that EBITDAX is a widely followed measure of operating performance and is one of many metrics used by the Company’s

management team, and by other users, of the Company’s consolidated financial statements. For example, EBITDAX can be used to assess the Company’s operating performance and return on capital in

comparison to other independent exploration and production companies without regard to financial or capital structure, and to assess the financial performance of the Company’s assets and the Company

without regard to capital structure or historical cost basis.

(in thousands)

Net income $ 7,512 $ 91,307

Exploration and abandonments 5,755 25,375

Depreciation, depletion and amortization 267,205 221,392

Accretion of discount on asset retirement obligations 1,994 1,671

Non-cash stock-based compensation 15,495 11,432

(Gain) loss on derivatives not designated as hedges (115,340) 35,615

Cash receipts from (payments on) derivatives not designated as hedges 167,156 (14,837)

(Gain) loss on disposition of assets, net 39 (146)

Interest expense 53,569 56,135

Income tax expense 4,150 55,331

EBITDAX $ 407,535 $ 483,275

Three Months Ended

2015 2014

March 31,