1 airi statistics – trends in nih awards presented at association of independent research...

1

AIRI Statistics – Trends in NIH AwardsPresented at Association of Independent Research

Institutes (AIRI) 2008 Annual Meeting

September 10, 2008, Washington, DC

Robert F. MooreKatrina PearsonRobin M. Wagner

Division of Information ServicesOffice of Research Information Systems

Office of Extramural Research/Office of the Director

2

Overview

• Methods• NIH Budget• NIH Support to All Grantees - Trends• NIH Support to AIRI Members - Trends• Competing Applications and Success Rates• Characteristics of First time and Young Investigators• Summary

3

Methods

• Data sources: PB and NIH systems • Fiscal years evaluated = 1950 - 2009• Analyzed grants and contracts for current AIRI

members– Exception: FY07 contracts data are excluded

because they are not yet available – Evaluated budget in terms of current dollars and

constant dollars adjusted for inflation– Budget figures in current dollars unless otherwise

stated – Analyzed and compared data on all NIH applicants

and awardees to the subset from AIRI institutions

4

Fiscal Year (FY) 2009 President's Budget Request

Research Project Grants, 52.70%

Other Research, 6.06%

Training, 2.67%

Research & Develop. Contracts, 11.12%

Res. Management & Support, 4.62%

All Other, 2.18%

Research Centers, 10.06%

Intramural Research, 10.59%

Total NIH Budget Authority$29,457 Million

5

NIH Budget Authority, FYs 1983 and 2009

$4.3$10.3

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

Bil

lion

s

Constant Current

*BRDPI = Biomedical Research and Development Price Index

Constant Dollars and Inflation BRDPI* for 1983 = 100.0

6

NIH Research GrantsFYs 1950 – 2007

$20.4

$1.6

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

21

Am

ou

nt A

war

ded

in B

illio

ns

Current Dollars Constant Dollars

Constant dollars based on BRDPI FY 1950 = 100.0FY 2007 =1266.1

7

Yearly Change in Amount of NIH Research Grant Awards

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007

Change from prior year

Fis

cal Y

ea

r

Constant Dollars, FY 1950 = 100.0

8

NIH Extramural Grants by Activity, FYs 1998 and 2007

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12Billions

1998 2007

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Excludes R&D Contracts

9

NIH Extramural Grants by Kind of Institution, FYs 1998, 2003 and 2007

$1,427$830

$8,509

$7,631

$1,452 $1,218

$197$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

AIRI Other ResearchInstitutes

Higher Education- Private

Higher Education- Public

Hospitals Other Domestic Foreign

Millions

1998 2003 2007


10

NIH Support to AIRI Members – Percent of Total Grants

6.7%6.9%6.6%6.5%6.8%6.9%7.0%

6.8%6.5%6.3%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

FY 1998 $652

FY 1999 $768

FY 2000 $932

FY 2001 $1092

FY 2002 $1223

FY 2003 $1345

FY 2004 $1339

FY 2005 $1392

FY 2006 $1457

FY 2007 $1427

Amounts in Millions

Per

cent

of N

IH T

otal

($)


11

$34

$52

$38

$49 $48

$81

$101

$112

$723.8%

5.0%

3.4%

4.3%

3.4%

3.8%

4.3%

5.1%

3.3%

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Mil

lio

ns

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

NIH R&D Contracts Awardedto AIRI Members, FYs 1998 - 2006

% o

f N

IH B

ud

get

12

Effects of Inflation on NIH Grants to AIRI Members

$652

$1,427

$1,030

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Mill

ion

s

Current Constant

Constant Dollars based on BRDPI FY 1998 = 100.0, FY 2007 = 138.6


13

NIH Extramural Grants by Activity to AIRI Members, FYs 1998 and 2007

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700Millions

1998 2007

59.9%

22.0%

11.9%

48.2%

30.7%

15.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

R&D Contracts are excluded

14

NIH Grant Support to AIRI Members by Institute and Center, FY 2007

NCI $ 342,101,037 NHGRI $ 41,342,255 OD $ 5,469,499

NIAID $ 300,840,982 NEI $ 39,107,513 NIBIB $ 3,096,648

NHLBI $ 131,798,229 NIMH $ 33,502,024 NCCAM $ 1,777,752

NIGMS $ 117,405,635 NIAMS $ 28,022,771 NINR $ 804,695

NIDDK $ 78,453,017 NIDA $ 26,361,771 NLM $ 799,287

NINDS $ 60,069,867 NIAAA $ 20,835,380 FIC $ 780,436

NCRR $ 56,558,510 NIDCD $ 20,775,424 NCMHD $ 402,667

NIA $ 47,338,736 NIDCR $ 14,431,459

NICHD $ 44,488,617 NIEHS $ 10,411,092

Total NIH Grant Support to AIRI Members - $1,426,975,303


15

AIRI Members Accounted for 6.7% of NIH Grant Support, FY 2007

NIAID 11.4% NIA 5.5% NIEHS 2.6%

NCI 11.0% NIDDK 5.4% NCCAM 1.7%

NHGRI 9.8% NIDCR 5.1% NLM 1.4%

NEI 7.1% OD 5.0% FIC 1.1%

NIAMS 6.6% NICHD 4.8% NIBIB 1.1%

NIDCD 6.6% NCRR 4.7% NINR 0.7%

NIGMS 6.2% NINDS 4.5% NCMHD 0.3%

NIAAA 6.2% NIDA 3.4%

NHLBI 5.6% NIMH 3.0%


16

NIH Training and Career Awards to AIRI MembersFYs 1998, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2006, and 2007

$7.0$7.9

$4.7

$10.4

$8.9

$5.8

$17.9

$12.5

$5.5

$23.4

$12.5

$6.7

$22.4

$11.4

$7.5$6.7

$13.0

23.8

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

Research Career Training Grants Fellowships

Mil

lio

ns

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2007

17

NIH R01 Equivalent (R01, R29 AND R37) Awards, FY 2007

Average Budgeted Direct and Total Costs

$250

$360

$410

$245

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

$450

All Institutions AIRI Members

Th

ou

san

ds

Average Direct Cost Average Total Cost

18

Indirect Cost (Facilities & Administration) as a Percentage of Total Cost

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

2007

Total AIRI Private University Public University Other Domestic

NIH Research Grants - Excludes awards with limited facilities and administration reimbursement, and foreign and federal institutions

19

17,357

20,421

19,256

17,714

13,168

-

3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000

15,000

18,000

21,000

Original Applications Amendments

NIH Competing R01 Equivalent Applications by Fiscal Year of Review

20

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

Review Year

Original New Applications Original Competing Continuations

Amendments to New Applications Amendments to Competing Continuations

NIH R01 Equivalent Applications by Submission Status and Award Type, FYs 1990 - 2008

21

NIH Competing R01 Equivalent Applications: Amendments as % of All Applications

30% 30% 29% 29%32%

34% 35%

30% 29% 28%

32% 31% 30% 30%33%

36%38%

41% 40%

39% 40% 39%42% 42% 42%

46%

39%37%

35% 37% 36% 37% 38%41%

44%

48% 48%

52%

32% 33% 32% 33%34%

36%38%

32% 31% 30%33% 33% 32% 32%

35%38%

40%42% 43%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Fiscal Year

New (type 1) Applications Competing Continuations All Applications

22

Success Rates of NIH New Competing (Type 1) RO1 Equivalent Awards: Original v. Amended

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Originals Amendments

23

Success Rates of NIH Competing Continuation (Types 2, 4, and 9) Applications

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Originals Amendments

24

% of R01 Equivalent Grants Eventually Funded Based on IRG Action on Original Application

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Scored Unscored

25

Success Rates of Competing R01 Equivalent Applications: AIRI v. All NIH Grantees

30.9%32.1% 32.0% 31.7% 30.7% 30.2%

25.4%

22.7%20.7%

23.6%

38.2%37.0%

38.6%

35.0%33.1%

35.9%

29.5%27.0%

23.3% 24.2%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

NIH Total AIRI

26

NIH R01 Equivalent Research Project Applications from AIRI Members

986 10151079 1061 1054

1343

14311487 1476

1419

377 376417

371 349

482422 401

344 344

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Success Rate Base Awarded

27

1,426 1,497 1,530 1,525 1,521 1,6071,468

1,3001,531

9376 83 63 65

8871

6461

65

1,398

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Other AIRI

Number of First Time R01 Equivalent Awardees: AIRI v. Other Grantees, FYs 1998 - 2007

28

Average Age of Competing NIH R01 Equivalent Awardees: First time v. All, FYs 1970 – 2007

42.542.2

39.1

36.835.2

49.748.2

44.6

42.440.7

30

35

40

45

50

55

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2007

First Time Total

29

Age of First-Time R01 Equivalent Investigators Increased since 1980, but Recently Leveled Off

35

36

37

38

39

40

41

42

43

44

45

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Fiscal Year

Age

Median Average

30

Success Rates of R01 Equivalent Applications by Type and Age of Applicant, FY 2007

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Type 1 Type 2

31 - 35 36 - 40 41 - 45 46 - 50 51 - 55 56 - 60 61 - 65 66 and over

31

Summary - I

• Over the last 6 decades, the NIH budget has generally increased steadily. Since its doubling ended in 2003, the NIH budget has been about level in current dollars. However, the support provided by the NIH budget has declined in this period due to inflation.

• In FY 2007, AIRI members received over $1.4 billion in NIH extramural support excluding R&D contracts.

• AIRI members continue to receive a steady percentage of the total NIH grant budget (6.5 – 7.0 percent)

• A smaller percent of NIH grant support is devoted to R01 equivalents in FY 2007 (49 percent) than in FY 1998 (58 percent). The data for AIRI Institutions is similar (59.9 percent in FY 1998, 48.2 percent in FY 2007)

• NCI and NIAID provide the largest amount of grant support to AIRI members, both in terms of amount and percent of the Institute budget devoted to these grants.

32

Summary - II

• Grants to AIRI cost more due to higher indirect costs.

• The number of distinct R01 equivalent amended applications is increasing. Amendments have higher success rates than original applications, both for competing new and continuation R01 applications.

• Historically, AIRI members had better success rates than the NIH average. In 2007, the gap closed and AIRI members had the about the same success rates as all NIH grantees.

• The trend toward older first time investigators has leveled off and remained about the same since 2000.

• In FY07, younger applicants had higher success rates for new R01 equivalent awards than older groups, but this pattern was not observed for competing continuations.

33

Resources

• Award Information and Trend Data: http://report.nih.gov/award/award.cfm

• Data Inquires: [email protected]

• General Inquires:

[email protected]

• Application Submission:

http://grants.nih.gov/grants/submitapplication.htm

Contacts

Robert F. Moore

Consultant, Reporting Branch

Division of Information Services

Office of Research Information Systems


National Institutes of Health

6705 Rockledge Dr., Suite 4090, Room 4174

Bethesda, MD 20892

Office: 301-435-2696

Email: [email protected]

Katrina Pearson

Senior Program Analyst, Reporting Branch






Bethesda, MD 20892

Office: 301-435-2709


Robin M. Wagner

Chief, Reporting Branch






Bethesda, MD 20892

Office: 301-443-5234


Contacts and Other Resources

1 airi statistics – trends in nih awards presented at association of independent research...

Documents

current airi membersexception

nih research grantsfys

terms of current dollars

nih awardspresented

nih applicants

brdpi fy

biomedical research

millionnih budget authority