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Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved. SERC Discussion Paper: SERC09006 Learning from Japan’s Experience in Energy Conservation Taishi Sugiyama * Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry Abstract: Japan has achieved the highest level of energy conservation in the world. Every indicator of energy efficiency shows that Japan is positioned in a leading group. Then, how has Japan achieved such energy conservation? In this paper, we will learn lessons from this valuable experience, and discuss how the domestic global warming mitigation policies for the future should be. * Corresponding author. [e-mail: [email protected]] 免責事項 本ディスカッション・ペーパー中,意見にかかる部分は筆者のものであり, (財)電力中央研究所又はその他機関の見解を示すものではない。 Disclaimer The views expressed in this paper are solely those of the author(s), and do not necessarily reflect the views of CRIEPI or other organizations.

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Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

SERC Discussion Paper: SERC09006

Learning from Japan’s Experience in Energy Conservation

Taishi Sugiyama*

Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry

Abstract:

Japan has achieved the highest level of energy conservation in the world. Every indicator of

energy efficiency shows that Japan is positioned in a leading group. Then, how has Japan achieved

such energy conservation? In this paper, we will learn lessons from this valuable experience, and

discuss how the domestic global warming mitigation policies for the future should be.

* Corresponding author. [e-mail: [email protected]]

免責事項

本ディスカッション・ペーパー中,意見にかかる部分は筆者のものであり,

(財)電力中央研究所又はその他機関の見解を示すものではない。

Disclaimer

The views expressed in this paper are solely those of the author(s), and do not necessarily

reflect the views of CRIEPI or other organizations.

- 1 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

This paper is organized as follows.

First, we will review establishing pollution control measures, that is to say a formative experience

for Japan that made huge impacts on the country’s later efforts on environmental problems.

Second, we will present “theories of energy conservation policies” in detail. “Theories” of

environmental taxes and emission trading systems are relatively known to many people, but the

“theories of energy conservation policies” are known to few people. However, since we shouldn’t

develop future global warming mitigation policies without understanding these theories, we will

fully explain them.

Third, we will confirm the proven results of the energy conservation policies.

Finally, we will mention that other policy instruments besides regulations have also played

important roles. Technological development policies will be discussed elsewhere.

1. Proven results of pollution control measures

A feature of Japanese environmental policies is that they have been implemented using

frameworks of industry policies and achieved great results.

This experience has been taken over by later energy conservation policies, and it is still alive as a

frame of current global warming mitigation policies.

Let us take up air pollution control measures below, focusing on ones against SO2 emissions, as an

example of pollution control measures which are deeply related to global warming issues.

As a result of large-scale industrial complex construction projects and energy conversion from

coal to oil during 1950s and early 1960s, SO2 air pollution occurred, being accompanied by serious

public health damage. To tackle the problems, various measures had been taken since late 1960s,

with the result that considerable reduction in SO2 emissions and improvement of environmental

quality level was brought in short-term.

Figure 1 shows that average SO2 concentration in the air started decreasing dramatically since late

1960s, and by the middle of 1970s, the environmental standards had been achieved at more than 80

percent of monitoring stations throughout the country. Since then, up to date, the achievement rate of

environmental standards has remained at an excellent level of almost 100 percent.

- 2 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Source: Ministry of the Environment, “About the Status of Air Pollution”

Fig. 1 Changes in SOx Air Pollution Improvement

● Fine-turned policies

What made this immediate environmental quality improvement possible?

It was because a wide range of policies had been implemented to promote development and

diffusion of pollution control technologies (Figure 2).

With pollution problems becoming serious, the control measures were planned upon

comprehensively considering the cost and feasibility through opinion exchange with experts and

related industries, at Task Force for Low-Sulfurization that was established in a governmental

advisory agency, Advisory Committee for Energy.

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

ppm

1969 SO2 Environmental Standards

1970 Pollution Session of the Diet (developing environmental legal system including nationalizing

K-Value regulations)

1974 Air Pollution Control Law Amendment and Introduction

of Total Emission Regulation Method

1972 Mie Prefecture Pollution Control Ordinance (total emission

More than 80 percent of monitoring

stations have met environmental

standard values

SO2 Environmental Standard Value

1968 Enactment of Air Pollution Control Law

SO

2concentr

atio

n(a

vera

geva

lue

of

monitoring

stat

ions)

- 3 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 2 Fine-tuned Air Pollution Control Policies

At this time, regarding the development and diffusion of control technologies, full discussion was

made on certain factors including which technologies would be effective and which technologies

could be introduced. Concretely, these technologies included ① lowering sulfur content of fuels

(promoting import of low-sulfur crude oil, crude oil burning, and expanding use of LNG), ②

desulfurization of heavy oil, and ③ flue gas desulfurization technology.

According to a judgment based on the circumstances surrounding these technologies at the time, it

would never be easy for each measure’s goal to be achieved. However, eventually, a decision was

made that the levels of these goals were attainable if the every measure would be taken. And then,

detailed plans based on the long-term view were developed to achieve the goals.

Policy instruments that were adopted then included technological development, tax breaks,

regulations, and agreements.

First of all, development of flue gas desulfurization equipment started as a national technological

development program. Also, financial measures including customs reduction and special loans by

development banks were taken for private companies’ installation of equipment for desulfurization

of heavy oil, flue gas desulfurization, and desulfurization by gasification process to promote the

Technological Development and Investment in Pollution Control

Development of flue gas desulfurization technology

(National Project 1966-70, launching manufacturers’ technological development 1962-)

Customs reduction, special loans, etc. for introduction of environmental equipment

Administrative GuidanceSecuring low sulfur crude oil

Planned introduction of heavy oil desulfurization

equipment (National Project 1967-70)

Pollution Control Agreements

Regulations (K-value regulations 1968-, total emission regulations 1974-)

- 4 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

measure of installing such equipment.

Regarding regulations, under Air Pollution Control Act, K-value regulations were introduced and

sliding-scale-type strengthening of regulations was attempted. In 1974, for large emission sources

including large plants, total emission standards that would apply to individual plants came into effect,

and for small emission sources including small plants that were exempted from total emission

regulations, fuel utilization standards that would be complied with at individual factories took effect.

With regard to the approach of total emission regulations, it allowed business flexibility in how

they would address the regulations, by providing an approach that establishes a cap on total amount

of pollutants emitted from every target facility of a business entity and does not regulate emissions

from individual facilities of the entity.

In addition, large-scale business entities began to voluntarily sign pollution control agreements

with local municipalities and implement pollution control measures at much higher levels than ones

the laws provided.

● Great results

As a result of a series of policies mentioned above, Japan has achieved great results (Figure 3).

International comparison on SO2 emission intensity (SO2 emissions per kWh of power generation) at

coal- and oil-fired power stations shows that Japan has succeeded in significant emission reductions

in advance of other countries. Other countries were much behind in improvement of emission

intensity, and, for example, in South Korea and Germany, it occurred twenty years later. As for

emission intensity in the U.S.A., which introduced emission trading systems, it can not be said that

the emissions have been reduced since 1995 in comparison with trend of emissions before then.

Moreover, regarding technologies, the U.S. has merely utilized existing ones which had already

turned into practical use in other countries such as Japan.

- 5 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Source: Reference 2

Fig. 3 International Comparison of SOx emissions

Japan’s fine-turned policy instruments have realized ambitious emission reductions ahead of the

rest of the world, and have become a superior precedent to other countries.

2. Theories of energy conservation policies

Next, we will discuss on energy conservation policies. We will present data of results later, and

we will explain about the theories first.

To make the explanation organized, we will start by talking about the stage of diffusion of

existing technologies, followed by discussion on the stage of research and development of new

technologies.

Now, to begin with, why are some policies necessary in promoting energy savings (Figure 4) ?

0

2

4

6

8

1 0

1 2

1 4

1 6

1 8

2 0

1 9 6 5 1 9 7 0 1 9 7 5 1 9 8 0 1 9 8 5 1 9 9 0 1 9 9 5 2 0 0 0

発電

量あ

たり

SO

x排出

量(g

-SO

2/kW

h)

Japan:

Technology Development (National

Project)/Direct Regulation/Tax Credit/

Subsidies

Europe: Convention on Trans-Boundary Air Pollution / Direct Regulation

The U.S.A.:

Direct Regulation

Japan has achieved the highest level of emission control in advance of other countries. S

O2 e

mis

sion

s pe

r ge

nera

ted

pow

er (

g-S

O2/k

Wh)

The U.S.A.(95~):Emission

trading scheme

- 6 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 4 Why “Energy Conservation Policies” Are Necessary?

Some argue that government doesn’t have to do anything because, in many cases, energy

conservation will lead to energy cost reductions.

However, it is not true. The fact is that even energy conservation measures which are assumed to

be fully cost-effective have not been implemented by various reasons. Then, governments’ policies

are required.

● “What are barriers to impede energy conservation?”

To help you understand this fact, we will explain, with concrete examples, the barriers that

prevent investments in energy conservation and consumption of energy-efficient products from

being realized (Fig. 5).

Fig.5 Barriers which prevent investment in energy conservation and consumption of energy-

efficient equipment from being realized

There are barriers against implementing energy conservation.

Therefore, even highly-economical energy saving activities are not implemented!

Then, the government has a role to play.

Priority on other purposes Preference of consumers Lack of information Practices of industries Distortion in energy price structure Instability of macro-market

Could energy conservation improvement be pursued without government intervention for the reason that it would lead to cost reductions?

- 7 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

For instance, let us imagine that, when we’re going to buy a refrigerator, there’re two candidate

products. One is expensive and its energy efficiency is high, and the other is cheap and its energy

efficiency is low.

Consumers may just not be interested in how much energy these products will consume, and they

may select one of them according to their preference of color, design, performance, or actresses who

are advertising the products. In this way, “precedence of other purposes” and “preference of

consumers” are considered as barriers from a viewpoint of encouraging energy conservation.

Next, imaging when information on difference of effectiveness of energy savings between these

two refrigerators, such as electricity charges and energy efficiency, is not available at stores, energy-

efficient products won’t be selected. This barrier is called “lack of information.”

Also, in case of building construction, various businesses including designers, constructors,

owners, and tenants are involved in one project. Although all of the stakeholders should work

together to construct highly energy-efficient buildings, in the actual industry practices, on the

contrary, energy conservation tends to be given secondary importance. For instance, people engaged

in building design and people engaged in selecting air conditioners rarely have opportunities to

exchange their opinions. In this way, “industry practices” is another barrier to impede energy

conservation.

With regards to the fifth barrier indicated in Fig. 5, when subsidies for electricity charges are

excessive and don’t reflect actual cost of power supply, the number of people who would like to buy

energy-efficient products will decrease. This is a barrier which is called “energy price distortion,” a

phenomenon which is often seen in developing countries.

Furthermore, though refrigerator manufacturers need stable macroeconomic conditions so that

they could invest in production lines of more refined and more energy-efficient refrigerators, there

are some cases in which such conditions are not met. This is as well one of the barriers which is

often seen particularly in developing countries.

An actual state is that the progress of energy conservation has been very slow because of the

existence of these barriers as mentioned above.

● “What is payback period?”

In this book, payback period means, “the years required to recover the necessary amount of the

investment by saved energy cost in case of certain investment in energy conservation.”

We will illustrate it using Fig. 6. Installing insulation at a building costs you one million yen.

When this measure can save electricity and heating expenses by 500,000 yen per year, the payback

period is two years, as a result of a calculation of dividing one million yen by 500,000 yen.

- 8 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 6 What Is Payback Period

The payback period can be measured when the information on the necessary cost for investment

in energy efficiency improvement and the amount of energy actually saved by the investment is

obtained through observing actual economic activities or surveying companies with questionnaires.

The results of the measurement on the obtained information indicate that many opportunities for

energy conservation have not been realized in any countries.

In the case of ordinary factories, the payback period of investment in energy conservation will be

short and it is around one to three years. In the case of electric home appliances, the payback period

is much shorter, and in some cases, it is only six months (Figure 7).

Example In the case of Payback Period = two years

Insulation

OOnnee mmiilllliioonn yyeenn Cost

550000,,000000

Second First

550000,,000000

Effectiveness of energy conservation

Payback Period = Years required for investment to be fully recovered by energy conservation

- 9 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 7 Without Policies, Energy Conservation Doesn’t Easily Advance

Probably, you have experienced selecting a product of which price without tax is cheap, rather

than “an energy-saving appliance” at a store, not paying attention to its energy consumption. Of

course, though some people will buy energy-saving products “in which investment will require 30

years to be fully recovered,” such cases are probably rare.

On the other hand, the payback period is longer in some industries such as power companies

whose main business is energy production, or steel making, cement, and petrochemical industries in

which energy costs account for a large part of production costs. Even in these industries, the period

is about three to seven years.

Thus, an actual state is that even the investment in energy-saving products, in which the

investment could be recovered in just a few years, has not been implemented.

● “The role of energy conservation policies”

Then, the time has come for government to play its role (Figure 8).

Ordinary factories

One year - Three years

Consumption behavior

Six months - ? years

Intensively energy consuming industries

Three years - Seven years

Investment in energy conservation

10 years 20 years

- 10 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 8 Energy Conservation Policies by Government

The government will provide information on estimated electricity and heating expenses through

establishing energy efficiency standards and an energy-saving labeling program for electric home

appliances and automobiles. Consequently, poor quality products with high energy cost will be

removed from the market, and companies and consumers who would like to purchase products will

be able to select ones taking account of the total costs including electricity and heating expenses.

Also, regarding factories, the government will address the problems by establishing a qualified

energy manager system, a system of developing long-term energy conservation plans, and

management standards including technical guidelines.

Factories larger than a certain scale will be required to be staffed with employees who have

qualification as a manager having expertise on energy and to ensure that employees who are

responsible for promoting energy conservation will be available all the time.

Also, developing long-term energy conservation plans will provide opportunities to consider what

potential the factories will have for energy conservation.

Moreover, specific technical guidelines including one on temperature management for the

equipment important for energy saving such as boilers are prepared in order to routinize tasks of

qualified energy managers, opportunities to promote energy saving will not be missed.

Setting Energy Efficiency Standards (Top Runner Law)

Providing Information(Energy-Saving Labeling)

Setting Management Standards(Energy Conservation Law for Factories) Qualified energy manager system System of developing long-term energy conservation plans Technical guidelines, etc.

- 11 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

● Promoting technological development

In the above, we have discussed on the stage of diffusing technologies.

On the other hand, the government has its role to play in promoting technological development as

well (Figure 9).

Fig. 9 Technological Development Promotion by Government

Various policies promote development of technologies. They are generally categorized into two

approaches; one is a method of “pulling” technological development by creating a market for

energy-saving equipment, and the other is a method of “technology push” which facilitates

technological development activities themselves.

The following will further provide information on an energy-saving labeling program and a

governmental procurement program on energy-saving equipment among these various policies.

● Energy-saving labeling program

First, we will see the labeling, which shows information on energy-saving performance of

equipment at retail stores (Figure 10).

Technology Push

Market Pull

National Technological Development Programs

Tax Relief for Cost of Technological Development

Subsidies and Tax Relief for Procuring Equipment

Government Procurement of Energy-Saving Equipment

Energy Conservation Standards and Labeling

- 12 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 10 Uniform Energy-Saving Label

On the label, the following three kinds of information are provided about the electric home

appliances including refrigerators and air conditioners;

1. Multi-stage rating system: it indicates energy-saving performance of the appliances in five

stages, from one star (☆) to five stars (☆☆☆☆☆).

2. Energy-saving labeling system: it consists of two kinds of energy-saving logos, a green colored

one with a white cutout letter “e” or an orange colored one with the “e” letter. The green logo with a

white “e” means that the appliance has already met the top runner standards before its target deadline

year.

3. Estimated annual electricity charges: it provides consumers with information of energy-saving

performance of individual appliances. Consumers will refer to the information when they are going

to buy the products.

● Procurement of energy-saving products by government

Next, let us talk about government procurement of energy-saving products.

The government’s choice on what equipment to buy is very important. In every country,

【Multi-stage rating system】 ・Energy-saving performance is indicated in 5 stages, from 1 to 5 stars, from low to high performance of products offered on the market. ・In order to clarify the compliance level with the Top Runner standards, arrows are placed under the stars showing achievement and non-achievement.

【Energy-saving labeling system】 ・ Products which achieved the Top Runner standards carry a green “e” logo, while others carry an orange “e” logo. ・Achievement level of the standards and energy consumption efficiency (including annual electricity consumption) are also indicated

【Estimated annual electricity charges】 ・The estimated annual electricity charges are indicated to clearly show the energy consumption efficiency (including annual electricity consumption).

- 13 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

government procurement accounts for 10 to 20 percent of its GDP, and therefore, if the government

purchases energy-saving equipment, it will considerably contribute to energy conservation

throughout the county.

Figure 11 shows the roles the government plays in energy-saving procurement, comparing its

effectiveness with that of the top runner program.

Fig. 11 Technological Innovation Driven by Government Procurement

In the Figure, a red line curve shows distribution of equipment before introduction of both of top

runner program and government procurement system, and a solid curve shows distribution after their

introduction. A vertical line shows sales of equipment (for example, air conditioners), and a

horizontal line shows energy efficiency of the equipment.

Under the top runner program, a top runner standard value is set up just behind the top runner

product (a gray colored person in the Figure). Since manufacturers have to ensure that the average

energy efficiency value of the equipment they sell will exceed the standard value, the distribution of

the products in the target year will be like that shown with the solid curve.

At this time, if the government sets a procurement standard value that is higher than the top runner

standard value or will likely front-load the target year, government procurement opportunities will

be awarded to a tiptop group among top runners.

In developing the guidelines for such government procurement, the labels with stars and energy-

Top Runner standard value

Government procurement standard

Before

implementation

of policies

After

implementation

of policies

Other technological development policies

Information-providing labeling

Num

berof

equ

ipment

units

Energy efficiency of equipment

- 14 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

saving “e” logos are utilized.

The government procurement creates markets for cutting edge energy-efficient products and likely

accelerates technological development.

In addition, if governmental departments establish longer payback period than that established in

private sectors, it will lead to reductions in governmental expenditure.

Of course, it is essential that the standards and labeling programs are properly set or developed

and the technical capabilities are assured upon full consideration so that such government

procurement can work well. Regarding the technical capabilities, technical consideration on

individual equipment must be done respectively and concretely.

3. Proven results of energy conservation

Now, upon your understanding the theories of energy conservation policies, let us look at data

which show what results has been seen.

● Energy saving improvement of electric home appliances

First, we will explain about the changes of energy efficiency of room air conditioners, as a

successful example of the top runner program (Figure 12).

COP

Fig.12 Energy Saving Improvement of Equipment

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05

Introduction of Top Runner Program

Source: Prepared from materials of Association for Electric Home Appliances

and Jyukankyo Research Institute Inc. (2.8kW class)

- 15 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Currently, average Coefficient of Performance (COP) of room air conditioners is around 5.5.

This means that when the units consume 100W of electricity, 550W of cooling and heating

capacity will be produced.

Efficiency can virtually exceed 100, because a room air conditioner is a system that takes unused

heat in the air into a room.

After the top runner program was introduced, energy efficiency of the products has been sharply

improved. Many experts agree that such improvement couldn’t have been achieved without the top

runner program.

In addition, the top runner program improved vehicle fuel efficiency, and it also stopped the trend

that an annual total amount of CO2 emissions from cars had been increasing (Figure 13).

Fig. 13 CO2 emissions from vehicles

Moreover, as for many other electric home appliances covered by the program, a significant

improvement of energy efficiency has been realized.

The Figure 14 shows an estimate of reduction in CO2 emissions achieved by the top runner

program.

217

268

215

225

235

245

255

265

275

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04

BAU

Introduction of Top Runner Program

217

262

268

215

225

235

245

255

265

275

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04

Year

Hypothetic Outcome without Top Runner Program

Source: Prepared from materials of Japan Business Federation

One

-mill

ion

-ton

CO

2/ye

ar

- 16 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 14 CO2 Emission Reductions by Top Runner Program

Of course, not every regulation was proper, and some of them need to be reviewed. However, the

results have proved that the method of establishing appliance-specific energy efficiency standards

was effective as a measure for energy conservation as well as global warming mitigation.

In the Figure 15, we will find that even overseas, energy efficiency standards have achieved a

great result in energy saving in private and transportation sectors.

トップランナー基準による機器の効率向上

689925

1,548

1,943

2,401

2,901

478310

1,215

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

省エ

ネ量

見込

み(万

kL)

29million t - CO2

トップランナー基準による自動車燃費の改善

405599

1,032

1,247

1,466

1,686

2,117

809

1,904

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

CO

2削

減量

(万

t-CO

2) 21million t - CO2

Energy Efficiency Improvement of Equipment

Source: Prepared from materials of Agency for Natural Resources and Energy

Fuel Efficiency Improvement of Vehicles

Est

imat

e of

Ene

rgy

Eff

icie

ncy

Im

prov

emet

(10

000

kL)

C

O2

Em

issi

on R

educ

tion

(10

000

t- C

O2)

- 17 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 15 Energy Efficiency Standards Have Leaded to Success In Energy Savings Even

Overseas

Fig. 16 Electricity Consumption per Capita

2000

15

10

5

‘ ’ ’ ’ ’

Enactment of California Energy Conservation Regulation (1974)

Implementation of California Energy Conservation Regulation(1974)

Federal Energy Conservation Regulation of 1990

Federal Energy Conservation Regulation of 1993

Federal Energy Conservation Regulation of 2001

Average Energy Consumption of new refrigerators in the U.S.A.

Source: Prepared from materials of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

kWh

/yea

r

Per Capita Electricity Consumption

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

kWh

/per

son

California

U.S.A

Texas

Source: Prepared from materials of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

- 18 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

The Figure 16 clearly shows that California which proactively introduced energy efficiency

regulations has succeeded in stabilizing electricity consumption per person. Such trend in California

outstandingly contrasts with that in the entire U.S. or Texas.

● Energy conservation of factory

We have discussed on energy saving of electric home appliances and vehicle, and now, we will

look at the energy conservation of factory.

In the Figure 17, which shows the changes of energy consumption per Index of Industrial

Production (IIP), we will see a remarkable improvement has been realized in energy intensive

industries after the oil crises.

Fig. 17 Energy Consumption per Index of Industrial Production (IPP)

Today, energy efficiency in the power sector of Japan has been at the top level of the world

(Figure 18). Also, in other sectors of Japan, the energy efficiency has reached to the highest level

(Figure 19 and Figure 20).

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

年度

原単

位指

数(1965年

度=

100)

Chemical

Ceramics,Stone

and Clay Products

Non-metal Paper & Pulp

Iron and Steel

Raw Material

Manufacturing

Source: Prepared from EDMC database of the Institute of Energy Economics, Japan

Energy Intensity Index

(FY1995=100)

Fiscal Year

1974 First Oil Crisis

1979 Second Oil Crisis

1979 Enactment and Implementation

of Energy Conservation Law

1997 Voluntary Action Plan of

Japan Business Federation

1997 Kyoto Global Warming Conference

1998 Energy Conservation

Law Amendment/Introduction of

measures for middle-scale

factory, etc.

2005

Implementation of

Kyoto Protocol

- 19 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 18 International Comparison about Efficiency at Thermal Power Plant

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40

42

44

46

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002

インド

中国

ドイツフランス

北欧

日本

米国

イギリス・アイルランド

Source: ECOFYS; The Federation of Electric Power Companies of Japan

U.K/Ireland

Japan

Northern Europe

U.S.A.

Germany France

China

India

Therm

al Efficiency (%

)

- 20 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 19 Comparison of Energy Efficiency in Manufacturing Industry (1)

Fig. 20 Comparison of Energy Efficiency in Manufacturing Industry (2)

- 21 -

Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Since there are some controversies on indexes of this kind of international comparison, Japan can

not always take the first place when other indexes are used. However, many experts on energy

conservation of factory believe that Japan has made maximum efforts in taking energy saving

measures.

4. Non-regulatory policy instruments

We have discussed on the theories of energy conservation policy so far, and we have also

examined data of proved results of energy conservation on both electric home appliances and factory.

By the way, not only regulation but also many other factors work on such promotion of energy

conservation. In this paper, we will brief on voluntary measures and national technological

development programs which have played important roles though they are not so familiar to us.

In factory, since 1997, global warming mitigation measures have been promoted by voluntary

approaches of Japan Business Federation, for the reason that energy conservation went around as the

results of measures taken after the oil crises and making regulation stricter was deemed improper.

The goal of these approaches is “to reduce CO2 emissions from industry and energy conversion

sectors in 2010 to 1990 level.” A wide range of sectors from manufacturing to service, distribution

and transportation participates in these voluntary approaches.

Among the participants, industry and energy conversion sectors account for about 45 percent of

the total CO2 emissions in Japan. In the Fig. 21, we will see the changes of CO2 emissions from

these participant industries. The Figure shows that CO2 emissions from them had been below the

1990 level for six continuous years since 2000 and thus the goal had been attained. If it had not been

for long-term shutdown of nuclear power plants since 2002, more CO2 emissions could have been

reduced.

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Fig. 21 Voluntary Approaches by Japan Business Federation

In the voluntary action plans for the environment, effectiveness of the measures are ensured

through a cycle of “Plan,” “Do,” “Check,” and “Act” (PDCA cycle) that works as a review system in

industries (Figure 22).

CO2 emissions from industrial and energy conversion

sectors

Fiscal Year

0.6 percent reduction from FY1990 levels

Hypothetical reduction of 2.0 percent without about 7.3 million t – CO2 (1.4 percent) addition due to impact of nuclear plant shutdown

Below

FY1990 levels

Source: Japan Business Federation (2006)

Goal Impact from nuclear plant shutdown

(10

000

t–

CO

2)

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Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 22 PDCA Cycle in Voluntary Approaches by Japan Business Federation

In addition, Japan Business Federation itself established a third party review committee in

FY2002, and since then, a verification function by third-party has been added to the industries’

review system. Moreover, in the system, the measures are also regularly reviewed by a follow-up

committee created by related ministries and agencies, and the industries are called for further

measures, as appropriate.

A vital feature of the voluntary approaches is that such PDCA cycle has been established. It is

assumed important that the PDCA cycle will be expanded to other energy conservation policies.

● Beyond “outcome without voluntary efforts”

By the way, as energy conservation is basically an extension of the daily efforts for efficiency

improvement of production process, it is not easy for us to answer the question, “how much additive

the effectiveness of voluntary energy conservation measures is in comparison with outcome the

industries could have attained in the same manner as before without doing their voluntary

approaches.”

There are some examples, however, which clearly seem to be results from the voluntary

approaches. Let us introduce a few of them.

A voluntary action goal of the iron and steel industry is to reduce energy consumption in steel

production process to 10 percent below 1990 level in 2010. Today, since it is not easy for the

D

A

P

C

Government’s Long-Term Energy Supply & Demand Outlook

Basic Energy Plan

Regularly following up by voluntary review system,

third party review committee and ministries

concerned (Ministry of Economy, Trade and

Industry, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport

and tourism, Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and

Fisheries, Ministry of Internal Affairs and

Communications, and Ministry of the Environment)

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Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

industry to achieve the goal, they have been considering additional measures including further

efficiency improvement. Moreover, when it will turn out to be hard for industry to attain the goal,

they are ready to struggle for securing credits through Kyoto Mechanism, mainly CDM.

The iron and steel industry has also engaged in effective use of waste materials including waste

plastic in steelmaking processes such as blast furnace. Though its actual usage of the waste plastic is

currently about 450,000 tons, the goal is set at one million tons.

It is considered that all of those measures have been pushed by the existence of framework of

voluntary approaches.

Next, we will introduce an example of the electric power industry. The goal of its voluntary

approaches is to reduce CO2 emission intensity by 20 percent below 1990 level in 2010. It was

highly ambitious goal-setting which was based on the prospect of high economic growth and the

optimistic siting plans for nuclear power stations, both of which were made around in 1997.

However, contrary to the government’s prospect, the economic growth didn’t measure up to its

expectation, and also the stagnation of power demand significantly delayed the development plans of

nuclear power. This raised possibility of falling short of the 20-percent reduction target by about 5

percent. Therefore, the electric power industry has taken additional steps including improvement of

capacity utilization rate of nuclear power stations, further enhancement of thermal power generation

efficiency, and utilization of Kyoto mechanism, heading toward the goal.

Looking at the entire voluntary action plans, according to the results of a follow-up study on the

achievements of FY2005 for 33 industries (25 industry and energy conversion sectors, 3 private

business sectors, and 3 non-members of Japan Business Federation) which are under the jurisdiction

of the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, 21 industries out of 33 successfully have met their

goals, while other 12 industries have failed to attain theirs. Out of 12 non-attainment industries, six

industries which are represented by the iron and steel and the electric power are intending to achieve

their goals by additional measures, and in the case that they still won’t have reached the goals, they

intend to acquire credits by using Kyoto mechanism to complement their voluntary approaches. In

this way, though the environmental voluntary action plans of Japanese domestic industries are

essentially voluntary approaches and they are never regulations, the industries have taken additional

measures to achieve their own goals, having contributed to energy efficiency improvement beyond

outcome we would have but for their voluntary efforts.

● National technological development program

We will change the subject here and talk about the government’s national technological

development programs. Since the programs will be fully analyzed elsewhere, here we will mention

just two points.

First, since the oil crises, government’s development budget in areas of new energy and energy

conservation has been at the top level of the world in comparison with GDP (Figure 23).

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Fig. 23 Government’s Research and Development Budget in the Area of New Energy and

Energy Conservation

The total amount of these budgets between 1974 and 2002 reached 1300 billion yen (value in

2002). It was an investment in technological development of which continuousness and largeness of

scale were unusual even across the world.

As a result of this investment, some of the technologies, including solar cell, high efficiency gas

turbine and heat pump, have come into practical use.

Looking at individual technological development projects, you will find that some of them haven’t

led to practical use yet. It is partly unavoidable, however, because technological development,

inherently, won’t always end up in success.

In addition, there are some projects which have led not only to practical use but also to creating

new industries. Moreover, even though some projects have failed to come into practical use, the

national technological development projects have given impacts on theme setting by private

companies and research institutions and have enabled such entities to continue to invest in research

and development activities.

Of course, the programs have had much criticism and many problems. However, the achievements

as a whole have gotten a passing mark so far, and it seems important to further improve and make

use of the programs (Figure 24).

0.00%

0.01%

0.02%

0.03%

0.04%

0.05%1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

U.S.A

Japan

Germany

France

Japan’s Energy R&D Budget ratio has been at the

top level of the world, even in comparison with

GDP

Source: Prepared from IEA “Energy R&D Database”

U.K.

(Budget-to-GDP ratio, % )

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Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Fig. 24 Results of National Technology Development Programs

5. Conclusions

We would like to close this paper by summarizing the long talk we have got above (Figure 25).

Fig.25 Sector- and technology-specific fine-tuned approaches has realized the highest level

of energy efficiency improvement of the world

1.10 out of 23 projects have come into practical use.

2 . Effectiveness of energy saving and CO2 reduction in

practical use is generally regarded valid for the entire

investment.

3.A number of projects have led to new industries formation.

4.Even though some projects have failed in coming into

practical use, the national technological development

programs have set the important themes and have made

continuous development investment possible.

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Copyright 2009 CRIEPI. All rights reserved.

Japan has implemented fine-turned policy instruments, and as a result, it has realized energy

conservation at the highest level in the world.

There are three reasons why the fine-turned policy instruments are necessary.

The first reason is to overcome barriers to energy conservation.

The second reason is to enhance technological development.

The third reason is to prevent business activities from being disturbed. The policies should be

taken after their feasibilities are concretely and respectively discussed, and if not, business activities

could suffer adverse impact.

Because Japan has achieved a number of results, we should learn that experience more, and with

confidence, we should continue to put the experience at the heart of its fine-tuned global warming

mitigation measures.

However, unfortunately, little is known about matters including what policies have worked and

how much they have worked, or what external factors such as oil price have worked and how they

have made impacts on business actions. Since some of existing policy instruments may be out-of-

date or out-of-focus, what is important in the future will be steadily continuing assessment and

improvement of the policy instruments, that is to say, making PDCA cycle on the instruments work

properly.

【References】

1) Masayo Wakabayashi and Taishi Sugiyama, Case Study Review about Effectiveness of European

Environmental Taxes (Japanese version), Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry

Report Y06002, 2006

2) Masayo Wakabayashi and Taishi Sugiyama, Case Study Review about Effectiveness of Emission

Trading Schemes (Japanese version), Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry Report

Y06010, 2007

3) Osamu Kimura, Yoshiyuki Ozawa, Taishi Sugiyama, Analysis of government-sponsored energy

R&D projects (Japanese version), Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry Report

Y06019, 2007

4) Howard Geller, The Experience with Energy efficiency policies and Programs in IEA Countries:

Learning from the Critics, IEA, 2005