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Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke International Energy Studies Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance Deployment (SEAD) Initiative: Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance Deployment (SEAD) Initiative: Lessons from the Technical Analysis of Lessons from the Technical Analysis of Televisions Televisions June 2012

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Page 1: Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke International Energy Studies Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance

Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke

International Energy Studies Group

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance Deployment (SEAD) Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance Deployment (SEAD)

Initiative: Initiative:

Lessons from the Technical Analysis of Lessons from the Technical Analysis of

TelevisionsTelevisions

June 2012

Page 2: Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke International Energy Studies Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance

Page 2

Technology TransitionTechnology Transition

Source: Quarterly Advanced Global TV Shipment and Forecast Report, Third Quarter 2011, DisplaySearchNote: Global shipments of rear projection TVs were 0.17 million units in 2010 and are expected to decrease. Organic Light Emitting Diode (OLED) TVs are expected to reach 2.7 million units in 2015.

• LCD TVs are expected to account for more than 85% of the global TV market through

2012. (CCFL-LCD TV : ~29%, LED-LCD TVs : ~60% in 2012)

Page 3: Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke International Energy Studies Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance

Page 3

Technology TransitionTechnology Transition

Source: Quarterly Advanced Global TV Shipment and Forecast Report, Third Quarter 2011, DisplaySearch

• The large scale transition from CCFL to LED backlights is likely to bring

substantial improvement in efficiency.

Total TV screen area

2010: 79 Mm2

2015: 104 Mm2

Total LED backlit LCD TV screen area

2010: 15 Mm2

2015: 92 Mm2

* Mm2 (million square meters)

Page 4: Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke International Energy Studies Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance

Page 4

Efficiency Improvement Options in Efficiency Improvement Options in LCD TVsLCD TVs

Page 5: Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke International Energy Studies Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance

Page 5

Low Cost of Conserved ElectricityLow Cost of Conserved Electricity

1. CCE and Savings for Reflective Polarizer (Dual Brightness Enhancement Film)

Screen Size BacklightΔ Pon-mode

per unit (W)

Δ CDBEF

per unit ($)

CCE(m)($/kWh)

Δ CDBEF-consumer

per unit ($)

 CCE(c)($/kWh)

32"CCFL 12.3 6.0 0.041 9.0 0.062

LED 8.2 5.5 0.058 7.0 0.072

42"CCFL 17.9 9.9 0.047 11.0 0.052

LED 12.6 7.4 0.050 10.0 0.067

Screen Size BacklightΔ Pon-mode

per unit (W)

Δ CDimming

per unit (W)

CCE(m)($/kWh)

Δ CDim-consumer

per unit (W)

CCE(c)($/kWh)

32"CCFL 12.3 6.1 0.042 10.0 0.069

LED 8.2 6.7 0.069 9.0 0.093

42"CCFL 17.9 6.3 0.030 7.0 0.033

LED 12.6 7.2 0.048 10.0 0.067

Assumptions: efficiency improvement=20%, discount rate=5%, economic lifetime=8years, daily usage=5hoursCCE(m): CCE for manufacturer, CCE(c): CCE for consumer

• Although rapid TV technology transitions are likely to reduce the consumption of

a TV unit, it can be further reduced by 20% to 40% cost effectively.

Note: Based on a comment from DisplaySearch, it is estimated about 80% of LCD TVs 40 inches or larger, i.e., about 26% of all LCD TVs in terms of shipment, are using reflective polarizers in 2011.

2. CCE and Savings for Backlight Dimming

Note: Manufacturers employ either a complete dimming or no dimming option for low-end products, and advanced dimming methods are mostly limited to high-end products.

Page 6: Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke International Energy Studies Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance

Page 6

Cost-Effective Efficiency OptionsCost-Effective Efficiency Options

• The CCEs for the two technical options are less than average residential

electricity prices of many countries.

Source for energy prices: IEA 2011, US EIA 2010, McNeil 2008, Rosen and Houser 2007.

Page 7: Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke International Energy Studies Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance

Page 7

Insights for EE ProgramsInsights for EE Programs

• Standards/entry-level of labeling programs – a level that remains

technology neutral and thereby leads to additional savings.

• Advanced levels of labeling and incentive programs – a level that efficient

units, i.e., LED-LCDs, can meet by employing cost-effective options.

Page 8: Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke International Energy Studies Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance

Page 8

Global LCD TV Savings PotentialGlobal LCD TV Savings Potential

CCFL-LCD TVs with the selected cost-effective

options (reflective polarizer + backlight dimming)

LED-LCD TVs with the selected cost-effective

options (reflective polarizer + backlight dimming)

LCD TVs with additional options such as auto-

brightness control and occupancy sensors

• If in every year the efficient designs reach an average of 40-90% of the market

varying by technology type, size, and improvement option, the electricity savings

potential would be about 18 to 24 TWh per year in 2015.

Possible savings by labeling

and incentive programs

Possible savings by standards

Page 9: Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke International Energy Studies Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance

Page 9

ConclusionsConclusions

• There is estimated to be a significant decrease in energy consumption for newly

sold TVs globally, because of the large-scale transition toward LED-LCD TVs and

rapid efficiency improvement in TV technologies.

Expected market penetration rates of LED backlights in 2012 LCD TV shipments

>80% (Japan, Western Europe), 65-75% (China, Eastern Europe), 45-60% (Other)

• TV consumption can be cost effectively reduced further beyond the BAU

improvements with a saving potential of 18-24 TWh per year in 2015.

• Market transformation programs such as standards, labeling, and financial

incentives need to take into account these rapid developments and determine

more stringent efficient targets than are currently in place, as well as re-evaluate

these levels often, as technology evolves.

Page 10: Won Young Park, Nihar Shah, Amol Phadke International Energy Studies Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance

Page 10

SEAD TV Analysis (full report)SEAD TV Analysis (full report)

TV Energy Consumption Trends and Energy-Efficiency Improvement, July 2011, LBNL

http://www.superefficient.org/~/media/Files/SEAD%20Televisions%20Technical%20Analysis

.pdf

Efficiency Improvement Opportunities in TVs: Implications for Market Transformation

Programs (shorter/updated version - under review)

We wish to thank the reviewers of the original report, TV Energy Consumption Trends and Energy-Efficiency Improvement Options (LBNL5024-E).

Please contact us for the updated report.Won Young Park [email protected] Nihar Shah [email protected] Amol Phadke [email protected]