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What is the current evidence between alcohol and cancer? STAP International Conference on Alcohol, Health and Policy 3 October 2014 Giota Mitrou PhD MSc Head of Research Funding & Science Activities

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What is the current evidence between alcohol and cancer?STAP International Conference on Alcohol, Health and Policy

3 October 2014

Giota Mitrou PhD MSc

Head of Research Funding & Science Activities

Outline

World Cancer Research Fund network & World Cancer

Research Fund International

The case for cancer prevention

The Continuous Update Project process

The Continuous Update Project evidence

Mechanisms

Research issues & future research directions

Conclusions

World Cancer Research Fund Network

American Institute for Cancer Research (1982)

World Cancer Research Fund UK (1990)

World Cancer Research Fund Netherlands (1994)

World Cancer Research Fund Hong Kong (1997)

Members of the World Cancer Research Fund network of cancer charities with

a global reach, dedicated to the prevention of cancer through diet, weight and

physical activity:

World Cancer Research Fund International (1999) leads and unifies the network

of cancer charities

Vision: to live in a world where no one develops a preventable cancer

World Cancer Research Fund International Supports the scientific community in their research

Stimulates and nurtures research and innovation in cancer prevention and survivorship

Encourages more young scientists to enter the field

Encourages scientists to cite us in scientific papers and to help disseminate our information

Encourages and enables governments and policymakers to adopt and implement effective policy actions

Engages and influences decision-makers to involve us in the development of their policies on cancer prevention and non-communicable diseases

The case for cancer prevention

Global Alcohol Consumption

Source: WHO's annual World Health Statistics report 2010

Europe: In men about

10% and in women

about 3% of all

cancers attributable to

alcohol Devaux and Sassi, OECD

Publishing, 2013.

Alcohol and disease

3rd highest risk factor for disease & mortality in Europe

Light to moderate alcohol consumption might reduce cardiovascular risk especially CHD mortality (reverse causation and confounding cannot be excluded)

High consumption might precipitate myocardial ischemia/infarction and coronary death

Since 1998 IARC classified alcohol as Group 1 carcinogen

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

Nu

mb

er

(mil

lio

ns

)

Year

Estimated global number of new cases of cancer (actual and predicted)

Data from Parkin et al, Pisani et al, Globocan 2012, IARC

International Agency for Research on Cancer

“We are not going to be able to address this problem by simply improving

the treatment of the disease…Prevention is absolutely critical and is

somewhat neglected…Tidal wave of cancer and restrictions on alcoholand sugar need to be considered” – Chris Wild, Director

World Cancer Research Fund cancer preventability estimates from alcohol intake

Cancer USA

(%)

UK

(%)

Brazil

(%)

China

(%)

Oesophagus 34 51 23 11

Mouth,

Pharynx &

Larynx

27 41 17 10

Liver 15 17 6 6

Colorectum 5 7 2 1

Breast 11 22 6 1Source: http://www.wcrf.org/cancer_statistics/preventability_estimates/preventability_estimates_food.php

The Continuous Update Project process

Continuous Update Project

The Continuous Update Project analyses global cancer prevention

and survival research linked to diet, nutrition and physical activity.

Among experts worldwide it is a trusted, authoritative scientific

resource, which underpins current guidelines and policy for cancer

prevention

It ensures the World Cancer Research Fund network

Recommendations for Cancer Prevention are based on the latest

evidence

The Continuous Update Project is produced in partnership with the

American Institute for Cancer Research, World Cancer Research

Fund UK, World Cancer Research Fund NL and World Cancer

Research Fund HK

Continuous Update Project

Agreed process for systematically

reviewing evidence for 2007 Report

Researchers at Imperial College London:

Continuous Update Project database

of epi research

Systematically review the evidence

Expert Panel:

Draw conclusions

Make recommendations

People

Currently more than 100

scientists from 17

countries around the

world

International panel of 12

experts

Researchers, peer

reviewers, advisers

Hierarchy of evidence

Meta-analysis

RCT

Cohort

Case control

Ecological

Opinion

Grading criteria

Predefined requirements for;

Number and types of studies

Quality of exposure and outcome assessment

Heterogeneity within and between study types

Exclusion of chance, bias or confounding

Biological gradient

Evidence of mechanisms

Size of effect

Grading the evidenceDecreases

risk

Increases

risk

Strong

evidence

Convincing

Probable

Limited

evidence

Limited -

suggestive

Limited – no

conclusion

Strong

evidence

Substantial

effect on risk

unlikely

Basis for recommendations

The Continuous Update Project: what is the current evidence

Assessing alcoholic drink intake

Alcohol is a common term for ethanol

Alcoholic drinks include beer, wine and

spirits – ethanol concentration varies

Measures of exposure:

Number of alcoholic drinks/time period (eg

per day or per week)

Ethanol intake (g or ml)/time period

Breast Cancer Report 2010

Breast Cancer Report 2010

Postmenopausal Breast Cancer & Alcohol

Relative risk:

8% per 10g ethanol/d

No. of studies: 13

Postmenopausal Breast Cancer & AlcoholHigh vs Low intake

Direction of effect:

increased risk

Range: 0g to >60g ethanol/d

No. of studies: 13

Colorectal Cancer Report 2011

Colorectal Cancer & Alcohol by sex

Men:Relative risk:

11% per 10g

ethanol/d

No. of studies: 7

Women: Relative risk:

7% per 10g

ethanol/d

No. of studies: 2

Pancreatic Cancer Report 2012

Strong evidence for alcohol & other cancersSecond Expert Report 2007

Cancer site Increased risk Intake

Mouth, pharynx, larynx 24% 1 drink/week

Oesophageal 4% 1 drink/week

Liver 10% 10g/day

Note: Multiplicative synergistic effects for combined exposure to alcohol

drinking and tobacco smoking and upper respiratory tract cancers

Mouth

, phary

nx, la

rynx

Naso

phary

nx

Oeso

phagus

Lung

Sto

mach

Pancr

eas

Gallbla

dder

Liv

er

Colo

rect

um

7

Bre

ast

pre

menopause

Bre

ast

post

menopause

Ovary

Endom

etr

ium

Pro

state

Kid

ney

Skin

Foods containing dietary fibre

Aflatoxins

Non-starchy vegetables1

Allium vegetables

Garlic

Fruits2

Foods containing lycopene

Food containing selenium3

Red meat

Processed meat

Cantonese-style salted fish

Diets high in calcium4

Salt, salted and salty foods

Glycaemic load

Arsenic in drinking water

Maté

Coffee

Beta-carotene6

Physical activity

Body fatness

Adult attained height

Greater birth weight

Lactation

Alcoholic drinks5

Convincing decreased risk

Probable decreased risk

Probable increased risk

Convincing increased riskSubstantial effect on risk unlikely

Continuous Update

Project matrix of

strong evidence

Recommendation for cancer

prevention

Year Publication

2010 Breast

2011 Colorectum

2012 Pancreas

2013-14 Endometrium, ovary, breast cancer survivors, prostate

2014-15 Bladder, kidney, liver, gallbladder

2015-16 Stomach, oesophagus, lung

2016-17 Mouth, pharynx, larynx, nasopharynx, breast, colorectum

2017 Review Recommendations for Cancer Prevention

Publications timetable

Mechanisms

Alcohol Cancer

Biological/Cellular Pathway

?

Mechanisms

Ethanol (acetaldehyde) is human carcinogen (Group 1, IARC)

Ethanol metabolism activates other pro-carcinogens eg ROS

Disrupts folate metabolism- important in DNA synthesis and repair

Suppresses the immune system which may facilitate tumour cell spread

Cancer site specific mechanisms Digestive tract cancers:

Variation in ethanol metabolising enzymes (ADH, ALDH)

modulates cancer risk

Oral cavity, larynx, pharynx and oesophagus cancers:

Synergistic effect of carcinogens in tobacco and alcoholic

drinks lead to mucosal hyperproliferation

Liver cancer:

Mediates cirrhosis of the liver which is associated with cancer

development

Breast cancer:

Increases oestrogen and androgen levels/induces expression

of ER/PR hormone receptors

Research issues and future research directions

Better standardisation across studies in assessing alcohol intake, timing and pattern of exposure eg binge drinking

Better characterisation of cumulative lifetime exposure (better info on age at start of drinking, assessing alcohol intake during lifecourse, stopping drinking and risk)

Interactions with other lifestyle factors eg body weight or with nutrients eg folate

Better understanding cancer site specific mechanisms egepigenetic mechanisms, main effect modifiers

Understanding individual attitudes towards alcohol drinking and cultural and social influences for tailored public health messages

Conclusions Continuous Update Project is trusted, authoritative scientific resource,

which underpins current guidelines and policy for cancer prevention

Continuous Update Project database of evidence largest of its kind on diet, nutrition and physical activity

Enables comprehensive recommendations for cancer prevention based on the most up-to-date scientific evidence

Strong evidence that alcohol causes cancer of:

Breast

Colorectal

Mouth, pharynx, larynx

Oesophageal

Liver

Conclusions

Risk increases in dose-dependent manner-higher amount, higher risk of cancer development

Consumption of any amount of alcohol increases cancer risk

Reducing consumption or even better avoiding alcohol completely will help reduce cancer risk

Important implications for prevention and alcohol policy

World Cancer Research Fund cancer prevention recommendation

For further information

@wcrfint

facebook.com/wcrfint

www.wcrf.org

Giota Mitrou PhD

Head of Research Funding & Science Activities

[email protected]