week1-floating rate and term structure
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Financial Engineering and Risk ManagementFloating rate bonds and term structure of interest rates
Martin Haugh Garud Iyengar
Columbia UniversityIndustrial Engineering and Operations Research
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Linear pricing
Theorem. (Linear Pricing) Suppose there is no arbitrage. Suppose also
Price of cash flow cA is pA
Price of cash flow cB is pB
Then the price of cash flow that pays c = cA + cB must be pA + pB .
Let p denote the price of the total cash flow c. Suppose p < pA + pB , i.e. c ischeap! Will create an arbitrage portfolio, i.e. a free-lunch portfolio.
Purchase c at price p
Sell cash flow cA and cB separately
Price of the portfolio = p − pA − pB < 0, i.e. net income at time t = 0.
The cash flows cancel out at all times. Future cash flows = zero. Free lunch!
No arbitrage ≡ no free lunch. Therefore, p ≥ pA + pB
We can reverse the argument if p > pA + pB
Note that we need a liquid market for buying/selling all the cash flows.
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Simple example of linear pricing
Cash flow c = (c 1, . . . , c T ) is a portfolio of T separate cash flows
c(t ) pays c t at time t and zero otherwise.
Suppose the cash flows are annual and the annual interest rate is r .
Price of cash flow c(t ) = ct (1+r )t .
Price of cash flow c =T
t =1 Price of cash flow c(t ) =
T t =1
ct (1+r )t
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Floating interest rates
Interest rates are random quantities ... they fluctuate with time.
Let r k denote the per period interest rate over period [k , k + 1)
The exact value of r k becomes known only at time k
1-period loans issued in period k to be repaid in period k + 1 are charged r k
Cash flow of floating rate bond
coupon payment at time k : r k −1F
face value at time n : F
Goal: Compute the arbitrage-free price P f of the floating rate bond
Split up the cash flows of floating rate bond into simpler cash flows
pk = Price of contract paying r k −1F at time k
P = Price of Principal F at time n = F (1+r )n
Price of floating rate bond P f = P + n
k =1 pk 4
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Price of contract that pays r k −1F at time k
Goal: Construct a portfolio that has a deterministic cash flow
The price of a deterministic cash flow at time t = 0 is given by the NPV
t = 0 t = k − 1 t = k
Buy contract −pk r k −1F
Borrow α over [0, k −1] α −α(1 + r 0)k −1
Borrow α(1 + r 0)k −1 over [k −1, k ] α(1 + r 0)k −1 −α(1 + r 0)k −1(1 + r k −1)
Lend α from [0, k ] −α α(1 + r 0)k
Cash flow at time k
c k = r k −1F − α(1 + r 0)k −1(1 + r k −1) + α(1 + r 0)k
= F − α(1 + r 0)k −1r k −1
random
+αr 0(1 + r 0)k −1
deterministic
Set α = F (1+r 0)(k −1) . Then the random term is 0.
Net cash flow is now deterministic ... c k = αr 0(1
+ r 0)
k −1
= Fr 05
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Price of floating rate bond (contd)
Price of the portfolio = pk − α + α = pk = ck (1+r )k
= Fr 0(1+r )k
Recall that
P f = F
(1 + r 0)n +
n k =1
pk
=
F
(1 + r 0)n +
n
k =1
Fr 0
(1 + r 0)k
= F
(1 + r 0)n +
Fr 0
(1 + r 0)
n k =1
1
(1 + r 0)k −1
= F
(1 + r 0)n + Fr 0
(1 + r 0) ·1−
1
(1+r 0)n
1− 1
1+r 0
= F
The price P f of a floating rate bond is equal to its face value F 6
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Term structure of interest rates
Interest rates depend on the term or duration of the loan. Why?
Investors prefer their funds to be liquid rather than tied up.
Investors have to be offered a higher rate to lock in funds for a longer period.Other explanations: expectation of future rates, market segmentation.
Spot rates: s t = interest rate for a loan maturing in t years
A in year t ⇒ PV = A
(1 + s t )t
Discount rate d (0, t ) = 1
(1+st )t . Can infer the spot rates from bond prices.
Forward rate f uv : interest rate quoted today for lending from year u to v .
0 u v
(1 + su)u (1 + f uv)(v−u)
(1 + sv)v
(1+s v )v
= (1+s u )u
(1+ f uv )(v −u
) ⇒ f uv = (1 + s v )v
(1 + s u )u
1
v −u
−1
Relation between spot and forward rates
(1 + s t )t =
t −1
k =0
(1 + f k ,k +1)
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