weather radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

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Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft Keflavik, Iceland Based on paper by C. Lacasse, S. Karlsdóttir, G Larsen, H Suusalu, W I Rose and G G J Ernst, 2003 Weather radar observations of the Hekla 2000 eruption cloud, Iceland, Bulletin of Volcanology 66:457-473 William I Rose Michigan Technological Univ Fall 2009 Ashfall Graduate Class lecture

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Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft. William I Rose Michigan Technological Univ. Based on paper by C. Lacasse, S. Karlsdóttir, G Larsen, H Suusalu, W I Rose and G G J Ernst, 2003 Weather radar observations of the Hekla 2000 eruption cloud, Iceland, - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik, Iceland

Based on paper by

C. Lacasse, S. Karlsdóttir, G Larsen, H Suusalu, W I Rose and G G J Ernst, 2003

Weather radar observations of the Hekla 2000 eruption cloud, Iceland,

Bulletin of Volcanology 66:457-473

William I Rose

Michigan Technological Univ

Fall 2009 Ashfall Graduate Class lecture

Page 2: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Meteorological Radar Systems are designed to detect “large” (raindrop-sized) particles such as those found in thunderstorms.

They are pulsed, active remote sensing systems which send and receive electromagnetic radiation with wavelengths of 3-10 cm.

The strength of radar return from a cloud is measured in dBz, a unit which is based on relative numbers of mm sized raindrops in a specific volume of cloud.

Large particles produce MUCH stronger returns than small ones--the relationship scales to the SIXTH POWER of the radius.

The detection is excellent for particles that are cm sized, and very poor for particles smaller than 1 mm….

Page 3: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft
Page 4: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Explosive EruptionExplosive Eruption

+15 sec. +30 sec.

+40 sec. +60 sec. +5 min.

Page 5: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Eruption Column RiseEruption Column Rise

Page 6: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Ash Fall RateAsh Fall Rate

Page 7: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Volcanic Clouds can only be distinguished by radar if large particles are present.

But such particles must fall quickly…

So radar mapping becomes problematic after the volcanic cloud is more than 30 min old and the large particles have

fallen out.

Practical Strategy:

Use the radar during eruption and immediately after it.

Obtain height information and determine the direction and speed of movement.

Then, if you wish to track it after that--you need another tool (eg infrared satellite data).

Page 8: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Schneider et al, 1995, USGS Bull 2139: 27-36

Sept 17-20, 1992

Page 9: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

2000 Eruption of Hekla 2000 Eruption of Hekla• Hekla

– Elongate Shield Volcano– Regular series of eruptions (1845, 1947, 1970, 1980,

1991)– Began eruption on Feb 26, 2000 at 1800 UT– Silicic explosive onset to eruptions– Brief explosions followed by fissure fed lava flows

Explosive onset

Fissure activity and lava flows--main phaseOlder Hekla silicic fall deposits

Page 10: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

26 Feb 2000 1835 UT

Ground view of Hekla eruption column, as seen from Vik, Iceland, ~67 km SSE of the volcano (J. Erlendsson)

Page 11: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Remote sensing of the brief explosive phase of the eruption shows development of cold cloud with shadows, winds and temperatures reflecting the tropopause.

DMSP VIS 2/26/00 DMSP VIS 2/26/00 1815 UT1815 UT

shadow

Rose et al, 2003, AGU Geophys Monograph 139

Page 12: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft
Page 13: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft
Page 14: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Table 1. Specifications of the weather radar system in Keflavík, SW Iceland.

Type C-band Ericsson radar system EWIS

Location 64º01’35”N, 22º38’09”W

Operational since January 1991

Height of antenna 47 m above sea level

Peak transmitted power 245.2 kW

Beam width 0.9º

Elevation angle 0.5º

Pulse duration 2.15 µm

Wavelength 5 cm

Pulse repetition rate 250 ± 2 Hz

Maximum range 480 km

Actual gain of antenna 44.9 dB

Page 15: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Range-height diagram for Keflavik radar, applicable during the Hekla eruption. Shaded region shows detection limits.

Page 16: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

The maximum height limit set on the Keflavik radar was determined based on meteorological, not volcanological criteria. Although there may be advantages during routine operations when there is no eruption, this decision unfortunately limited the ability of the radar to measure the maximum height of the eruption cloud.

The farther the volcano is from the radar, the more the minimum height is affected---this is due to curvature of the earth. Thus the early onset of explosive eruptions will be missed for more distant volcanoes.

The overall maximum range of the radar is listed at 480 km, but practically this is an overestimate, because of curvature.

Page 17: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

100 km

Hekla

Vertical Maximum Intensity VMI “normal” before erupttion

Page 18: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft
Page 19: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1820 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology HeklaHekla

Page 20: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1830 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 21: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1840 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 22: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1850 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 23: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1900 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 24: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1910 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 25: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1920 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 26: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1930 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 27: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1940 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 28: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2015 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 29: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2045 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 30: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2130 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 31: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2200 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 32: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2230 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 33: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2300 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 34: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 27 Feb 2000• 0000 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 35: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 27 Feb 2000• 0100 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 36: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 27 Feb 2000• 0230 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 37: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 27 Feb 2000• 0400 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 38: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 27 Feb 2000• 0639 UT• VMI normal

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 39: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Volcanic cloud rose quickly during eruption and expanded to the NE for several hours.

The strength of the radar return is high (>60 dBz)--values that are consistent with very large raindrop-sized particles (lapilli).

We expect this radar return to decay quickly (~30 min) from inevitable ash fallout as soon as the eruption wanes.

In this case, the eruption wanes, but the radar In this case, the eruption wanes, but the radar reflection does reflection does notnot decline as quickly as expected… decline as quickly as expected…

We infer that residual fine ash, still in the drifting We infer that residual fine ash, still in the drifting cloud, but not itself detectable by radar, is nucleating cloud, but not itself detectable by radar, is nucleating ice formation and this process preserves the radar ice formation and this process preserves the radar signal longer.signal longer.

Page 40: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

HeklaHekla

Page 41: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1820 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology HeklaHekla

Page 42: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

• 26 Feb 2000• 1830 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Keflavik Radar

Page 43: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1840 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 44: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1850 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 45: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1900 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 46: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1910 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 47: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1920 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 48: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1930 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 49: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 1940 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 50: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2015 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 51: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2045 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 52: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2130 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 53: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2200 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 54: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2230 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 55: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 26 Feb 2000• 2300 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 56: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 27 Feb 2000• 0000 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 57: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 27 Feb 2000• 0100 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 58: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 27 Feb 2000• 0230 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 59: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 27 Feb 2000• 0400 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 60: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Keflavik Radar

• 27 Feb 2000• 0639 UT• EchoTop

• Lacasse et al, 2004, Bull Volcanology

Page 61: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft
Page 62: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft
Page 63: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft
Page 64: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Here successive radar images are used to measure the advancing, advecting volcanic cloud, reflecting the dispersion by winds. At left 4 successive images are superimposed with the leading edge of 15 dBz. At right are maps made from such images

Page 65: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Here a radar map 2 hrs after the eruption onset is compared with an ashfall map. They are similar, but ashfall occurred slightly westward of the radar position. We infer that the ash was advected westward during its fall through the troposphere by winds.

Page 66: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Radar observations, 26 February 2000, eruption of Hekla

Column Height > 12 km

Most Explosive Eruption duration 1-2 hrs, correllates with seismic record

Cloud drifts to NNE, 30-50 m/sec

Radar reflections range up to >60 dBz above the volcano, fade after a few hours to near 0

Downwind portion of the volcanic cloud fades slowly, reflecting ice nucleation by finer ash

Fallout of ash occurs in area which reflects advection of falling ash by lower level winds

Page 67: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft
Page 68: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Other references about radar detection of volcanic clouds

Marzano, F S, G Vulpiani and W I Rose, 2006, Microphysical Characterization of Microwave Radar Reflectivity due to Volcanic Ash Clouds, IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing 44:313-327.

Marzano, F S, S Barbieri, G Vulpiani and W I Rose, 2006, Volcanic ash cloud retrieval by ground-based microwave weather radar, IEEE Trans on Geoscience and Remote Sensing 44: 3235-3246.

Page 69: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Weather Radar online

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/radar/index_e.htmlhttp://www.wunderground.com/radar/map.asp

Page 70: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

The February-March 2000 Eruption of Hekla, Iceland from a satellite perspective

W I Rose, Y Gu, I M Watson, T Yu, GJS Bluth, A J Prata, A J Krueger, N Krotkov, S Carn, M D Fromm, D E Hunton, G G J Ernst, A A Viggiano, T M Miller, J O Ballentin, J M Reeves, J C Wilson, B E Anderson and D E Flittner

2003, AGU Geophysical Monograph 139 (ed by A Robock and C Oppenheimer) 107-132

A detailed study of the Hekla volcanic cloud was made using satellite remote sensing methods and was reported in a paper published last year…

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Page 74: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft
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Total mass of fine particles in the Hekla volcanic cloud peaks at ~ 10^6 tonnes and decreases after 10 hours.

Page 76: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

28 Feb 2000 1115 UT

7.3 m 0.16 Tg 8.6 m 0.16-0.24 Tg

Page 77: Weather Radar systems for mitigation of volcanic cloud hazards to aircraft

Eruption Summary

• Magma erupted: 0.11 km3 = 3 x 105 Tg, mostly long after explosive phase

• Ice in stratospheric cloud = 1 Tg• SO2 in stratospheric cloud 150-240 kT

(MODIS 7.3 and 8.6)• Sulfate in stratospheric cloud 3-5 kT• Fine ash mass ~100 kT --only detected in first

hour