vertical structure of convection during the dry and wet spells of...

1
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Height (km) West East West (a) Dry Period (b) Wet Period East 72.75 73 73.25 73.5 73.75 74 74.25 74.5 74.75 12 15 18 21 24 3 6 9 12 2 4 6 8 10 12 15-dBZ ETH (km) Longitude ( o E) Longitude ( o E) Local Time (Hrs.) 72.75 73 73.25 73.5 73.75 74 74.25 74.5 74.75 12 15 18 21 24 3 6 9 12 Windward Lee Windward Lee Dry period : associated with strong diurnal cycle and weak upstream winds Wet Period: associated with weak diurnal cycle and strong upstream winds Inferred that the observed convective features during dry (wet) periods are associated with the thermally (mechanically) induced circulations. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Normalized Occurrence 0-dBZ ETH (km) -0.6 -0.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Height (km) Latent Heating (K hr -1 ) -7.5 -7.0 -6.5 -6.0 -5.5 -5.0 -4.5 -4.0 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 r = -0.79 Low Level Static Stability (dT v /dz low ) 30-dBZ ETH (km) d) b) -7.5 -7.0 -6.5 -6.0 -5.5 -5.0 -4.5 -4.0 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Low Level Static Stability (dT v /dz low ) r = - 0.44 30-dBZ ETH (km) c) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Normalized Occurrence 0-dBZ ETH (km) -0.6 -0.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Latent Heating (K hr -1 ) Height (km) a) Dry Period Wet Period 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 3 4 5 6 7 8 0-dBZ ETH 15-dBZ ETH 30- dBZ ETH 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 3 4 5 6 7 8 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 mode: 5.53 ms -1 Horizontal Wind Cross-Shore Component (ms -1 ) Occurrence (x 10 2 ) -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 Horizontal Wind Cross-Shore Component (ms -1 ) mode: 18.14 ms -1 a) b) ETH (km) c) d) Weak Strong Medium Weak Strong Medium Wet Period Dry Period Local Time (hrs.) Local Time (hrs.) Vertical Structure of Convection during the Dry and Wet spells of Monsoon over the Western Ghats of India Within ISM domain, some of the highest & most spatially variable rainfall rates are found along & upstream of the Western Ghats (WG), which acts as anchors for generating convective centers of monsoon [Xie et al. 2006]. Mesoscale precipitation pattern: steep west-to-east gradient of precipitation across WG. Within season, rainfall over WG fluctuates between dry and wet spells usually occurring during active & break spells of large-scale rainfall over monsoon zone NWP models: continuing efforts to improve simulation of organization of clouds and precipitation in the monsoon ISO scale; but suffers owing to limited observations of mesoscale convective features under different ISO settings. Past studies on orographic precipitation & intra-seasonal variability over the WG, were mainly based on satellite and reanalysis data sets. In present study, time-continuous X-band radar observations are used to characterize the vertical structure and evolution of convective cloud fields during the dry and wet epochs of monsoon & relate small-scale convective features (as obtained form radar data) to the large-scale atmospheric state. Auxiliary data from satellites, reanalysis and Lightning Location Network are used. Background, data, and methodology Lightning, convective tops & area fractions Work in this study is supported by IITM, Pune We thank DST-Inspire, for fellowship of Utsav Bhowmik & Thunderstorm Dynamics group at IITM for LLN data. Echo top heights relationship with LH profiles & low-level stability Figure 6: Time zonal sections of composite diurnal 15‐dBZ ETH cycle (latitudinal average over radar domain) during (a) dry & (b) wet periods. Mean elevation profile of topography above the plots is shown in gray Utsav Bhowmik, Sachin Deshpande * , Subrata Das, G. Pandithurai and Dev Niyogi Figure 4: Top Panel: Vertical profiles of 0 dBZ ETH distribution and TRMM 3G31 LH profiles for a) dry and b) wet period.. Bottom Panel: Scatter plot of 30 dBZ ETH and low level static stability (1.5-4.5km) for c)dry and d) wet periods. Diurnal cycle of convection and its control by upstream winds Figure 5: Top panel: Diurnal cycle of 0, 15 and 30 dBZ during a) dry & b) wet period. Bottom panel: Histogram of cross shore horizontal wind at 850 hPa during c) dry & d) wet days. Spell identification & large scale features Figure 2 : Identification of dry and wet spells of Monsoon 2014 (JJAS) using gridded IMD rainfall (0.25 o x 0.25 o ) over radar domain. A period is marked as wet (dry) if the standardized rainfall anomaly is above (below) 0.5 (-0.5) for 3 consecutive days Figure 8: Diurnal variations of (a) total lightning, (b) fractional area with 30‐dBZ echo‐top heights (ETHs) >5 km, and (c) convective area fraction with their standard errors for dry period (red line) and for wet period (blue line). Convection relative to precipitation maxima Figure 7: Scatter plot of total lightning as a function of 30‐dBZ echo‐top height (ETH) for (a) dry and (b) wet periods. Radar volumes with zero flashes have been excluded in this analysis. Dry period : Strong diurnal amplitude; two broad maxima due to deep convection of lee Wet Period: Small diurnal amplitude on both windward & leeward sides. Shallow ETHs over upslope Dry period: Penetration of 30-dBZ ETH above the 0 ° C isotherm : indicator of the existence of large particles in mixed phase region of the cloud, supported by updrafts well correlated with increased lightning occurrence Wet period: Seldom electrical activity, which may be related to insufficient updraft speeds within convective core to produce lightning. Summary : pictorial flowchart Figure 1 : TRMM monsoon precipitation climatology [Shige et al., 2017] Jun 1 Jun 30 Jul 31 Aug 31 Sep 30 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Day (June-September, 2014) Standardized rainfall anomaly 500-mb Gpt Hgt OLR Rain Rate Precipitable Water 500-mb Gpt Hgt OLR Precipitable Water Rain Rate Figure 3: Anomalies of geopotential height at 500hPa (a & e); OLR (b & f); Precip. water (c & g) and rain rate (d & h) during dry & wet spells of monsoon. Dry composites +ve GPH : anticyclonic circulation: fewer precipitation systems. +ve OLR & -ve precip water weak rain belt along coast Wet composites Negative GPH anomaly: cyclonic circulation; anomalous south-west flow; many precipitation systems Anomalies of -ve OLR & positive precipitable water Rainfall maxima along WG, extending over Arabian Sea Dry: Suppressed heating and sharp decline in 0-dBZ ETH occurrence Wet: Enhanced 0-dBZ ETH occurrence :cooling below 2 km & increased heating aloft with maxima at 6 km. Similar variations in ETH and LH profiles implying that heating profiles has a distinct signature for different distribution of cloud tops ETH of precipitating convection decreases with increasing low level stability. Low-level static stability inhibits cloud growth beyond freezing level, promote cloud detrainment; important factor in determining top heights of precipitation. Positive feedback between low-level heating and low-level static stability maintains shallow nature of convection over Western Ghats. Upstream wind at 850 hPa: 16.75 o N-19.25 o N, 69 o E-75 o E over the Arabian Sea [Shige et. al 2017] Three wind regimes defined: weak ( ̅ ), medium ( ̅ < < ̅ + ), strong ( ̅ + ) Reduced dimension analysis Total lightning & 30-dBZ ETH Dry: An afternoon peak in lightning production is observed accompanied by increased penetration of 30-dBZ ETH > 0°C isotherm, increased convective area fractions, favouring strong electrification within convection. Wet: Overall lightning activity is reduced by almost 50%; with subdued Convective area fraction Figure 9: Daily evolution of a)Rainfall b)SST c)0 dBZ ETH Occurrence d) IR T B e) 0-dBZ echo coverage f) Relative Humidity & g) evolution of cumulus, congestrus and Deep clouds from 0 dBZ ETH Three episodes of high rainfall (P1,P2, P3), 3-5 day periodicity Cloud top heights increase steadily at about same rate for 1 week prior to rainfall event. Mid-tropospheric moisture rapidly increased over a period of 2 to 3 days ahead of the increase in cloud top heights and their areal coverage near the high precipitation events. Atmosphere is always moist below 3 km Maximum moisture variations found above 3 km Midtroposphere moistening & drying occurs during peak occurrence of congestus & shallow convection modes. Acknowledgements Journal of Geophysical Research, 124, February 2019 P1 P2 P3

Upload: others

Post on 12-Mar-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Vertical Structure of Convection during the Dry and Wet spells of …MOES/rac-2020/Utsav_Bhowmik... · 2020-02-24 · Vertical Structure of Convection during the Dry and Wet spells

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

He

igh

t (k

m)

West East West

(a) Dry Period (b) Wet Period

East

72.75 73 73.25 73.5 73.75 74 74.25 74.5 74.75

12

15

18

21

24

3

6

9

12

2

4

6

8

10

12

15

-dB

Z E

TH

(k

m)

Longitude (o E) Longitude (o E)

Loca

l T

ime

(H

rs.)

72.75 73 73.25 73.5 73.75 74 74.25 74.5 74.75

12

15

18

21

24

3

6

9

12

Windward Lee Windward Lee

Dry period : associated with strong diurnal cycle and weak

upstream winds

Wet Period: associated with weak diurnal cycle and strong

upstream winds

Inferred that the observed convective features during dry

(wet) periods are associated with the thermally

(mechanically) induced circulations.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0Normalized Occurrence

0-d

BZ

ET

H (

km

)

-0.6 -0.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

He

igh

t (k

m)

Latent Heating (K hr-1)

-7.5 -7.0 -6.5 -6.0 -5.5 -5.0 -4.5 -4.02

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

r = -0.79

Low Level Static Stability (dTv/dz

low)

30

-dB

Z E

TH

(k

m)

d)

b)

-7.5 -7.0 -6.5 -6.0 -5.5 -5.0 -4.5 -4.02

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Low Level Static Stability (dTv/dz

low)

r = - 0.44

30

-dB

Z E

TH

(k

m)

c)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

Normalized Occurrence

0-d

BZ

ET

H (

km

)

-0.6 -0.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Latent Heating (K hr-1)

He

igh

t (k

m)

a)

Dry Period Wet Period

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23

3

4

5

6

7

8 0-dBZ ETH

15-dBZ ETH

30- dBZ ETH

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23

3

4

5

6

7

8

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

mode: 5.53 ms-1

Horizontal Wind Cross-Shore Component (ms-1)

Oc

cu

rre

nc

e (

x 1

02)

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 200

3

6

9

12

15

18

Horizontal Wind Cross-Shore Component (ms-1)

mode: 18.14 ms-1

a) b)

ET

H (

km

)

c) d)

Weak Strong

Medium

Weak Strong

Medium

Wet Period Dry Period

Local Time (hrs.) Local Time (hrs.)

Vertical Structure of Convection during the Dry and Wet spells of Monsoon over the Western Ghats of India

Within ISM domain, some of the highest & most spatially variable rainfall rates

are found along & upstream of the Western Ghats (WG), which acts as anchors

for generating convective centers of monsoon [Xie et al. 2006].

Mesoscale precipitation pattern:

steep west-to-east gradient of

precipitation across WG.

Within season, rainfall over WG fluctuates between dry and wet spells usually

occurring during active & break spells of large-scale rainfall over monsoon zone

NWP models: continuing efforts to improve simulation of organization of clouds

and precipitation in the monsoon ISO scale; but suffers owing to limited

observations of mesoscale convective features under different ISO settings.

Past studies on orographic precipitation & intra-seasonal variability over the WG,

were mainly based on satellite and reanalysis data sets.

In present study, time-continuous X-band radar observations are used to

characterize the vertical structure and evolution of convective cloud fields during the

dry and wet epochs of monsoon & relate small-scale convective features (as obtained

form radar data) to the large-scale atmospheric state. Auxiliary data from satellites,

reanalysis and Lightning Location Network are used.

Background, data, and methodology Lightning, convective tops & area fractions

Work in this study is supported by IITM, Pune We thank DST-Inspire, for fellowship of

Utsav Bhowmik & Thunderstorm Dynamics group at IITM for LLN data.

Echo top heights relationship with LH profiles & low-level stability

Figure 6: Time zonal sections of composite diurnal 15‐dBZ ETH cycle

(latitudinal average over radar domain) during (a) dry & (b) wet periods.

Mean elevation profile of topography above the plots is shown in gray

Utsav Bhowmik, Sachin Deshpande*, Subrata Das, G. Pandithurai and Dev Niyogi

Figure 4: Top Panel: Vertical profiles of 0 dBZ ETH distribution

and TRMM 3G31 LH profiles for a) dry and b) wet period..

Bottom Panel: Scatter plot of 30 dBZ ETH and low level static

stability (1.5-4.5km) for c)dry and d) wet periods.

Diurnal cycle of convection and its control by upstream winds

Figure 5: Top panel: Diurnal cycle of 0, 15 and 30 dBZ during a)

dry & b) wet period. Bottom panel: Histogram of cross shore

horizontal wind at 850 hPa during c) dry & d) wet days. Spell identification & large scale features

Figure 2 : Identification of dry and wet spells

of Monsoon 2014 (JJAS) using gridded IMD

rainfall (0.25ox 0.25o) over radar domain.

A period is marked as wet (dry) if the

standardized rainfall anomaly is above

(below) 0.5 (-0.5) for 3 consecutive days

Figure 8: Diurnal variations of (a) total

lightning, (b) fractional area with 30‐dBZ

echo‐top heights (ETHs) >5 km, and (c)

convective area fraction with their standard

errors for dry period (red line) and for wet

period (blue line).

Convection relative to precipitation maxima

Figure 7: Scatter plot of total lightning as a function of 30‐dBZ

echo‐top height (ETH) for (a) dry and (b) wet periods. Radar volumes

with zero flashes have been excluded in this analysis.

Dry period : Strong diurnal amplitude; two broad maxima due

to deep convection of lee

Wet Period: Small diurnal amplitude on both windward &

leeward sides. Shallow ETHs over upslope

Dry period: Penetration of 30-dBZ ETH above the 0°C

isotherm : indicator of the existence of large particles in mixed

phase region of the cloud, supported by updrafts well

correlated with increased lightning occurrence

Wet period: Seldom electrical activity, which may be related

to insufficient updraft speeds within convective core to

produce lightning.

Summary : pictorial flowchart

Figure 1 : TRMM monsoon precipitation

climatology [Shige et al., 2017]

Jun 1 Jun 30 Jul 31 Aug 31 Sep 30

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Day (June-September, 2014)

Sta

nd

ard

ize

d

rain

fall

an

om

aly

500-mb Gpt Hgt

OLR

Rain Rate

Precipitable Water

500-mb Gpt Hgt

OLR

Precipitable Water

Rain Rate

Figure 3: Anomalies of

geopotential height at 500hPa

(a & e); OLR (b & f); Precip.

water (c & g) and rain rate (d

& h) during dry & wet spells

of monsoon.

Dry composites

+ve GPH : anticyclonic

circulation: fewer

precipitation systems.

+ve OLR & -ve precip

water

weak rain belt along coast

Wet composites

Negative GPH anomaly:

cyclonic circulation;

anomalous south-west flow;

many precipitation systems

Anomalies of -ve OLR &

positive precipitable water

Rainfall maxima along

WG, extending over Arabian

Sea

Dry: Suppressed heating and sharp decline in 0-dBZ

ETH occurrence

Wet: Enhanced 0-dBZ ETH occurrence :cooling below 2

km & increased heating aloft with maxima at 6 km.

Similar variations in ETH and LH profiles implying that

heating profiles has a distinct signature for different

distribution of cloud tops

ETH of precipitating convection decreases with

increasing low level stability. Low-level static stability

inhibits cloud growth beyond freezing level, promote

cloud detrainment; important factor in determining top

heights of precipitation.

Positive feedback between low-level heating and low-level

static stability maintains shallow nature of convection

over Western Ghats.

Upstream wind at 850 hPa: 16.75o N-19.25o N, 69o E-75o E

over the Arabian Sea [Shige et. al 2017]

Three wind regimes defined: weak (𝑈 ≤ 𝑈 ̅ − 𝜎), medium (𝑈 ̅ − 𝜎 < 𝑈 < 𝑈 ̅ + 𝜎), strong (𝑈 ≥ 𝑈 ̅ + 𝜎)

Reduced dimension analysis Total lightning & 30-dBZ ETH

Dry: An afternoon peak in lightning

production is observed accompanied by

increased penetration of 30-dBZ ETH

> 0°C isotherm, increased convective

area fractions, favouring strong

electrification within convection.

Wet: Overall lightning activity is

reduced by almost 50%; with subdued

Convective area fraction

Figure 9: Daily evolution of a)Rainfall

b)SST c)0 dBZ ETH Occurrence d) IR TB e)

0-dBZ echo coverage f) Relative Humidity &

g) evolution of cumulus, congestrus and

Deep clouds from 0 dBZ ETH

Three episodes of high rainfall (P1,P2,

P3), 3-5 day periodicity

Cloud top heights increase steadily at

about same rate for 1 week prior to

rainfall event.

Mid-tropospheric moisture rapidly

increased over a period of 2 to 3 days

ahead of the increase in cloud top

heights and their areal coverage near

the high precipitation events.

Atmosphere is always moist below 3 km

Maximum moisture variations found

above 3 km

Midtroposphere moistening & drying

occurs during peak occurrence of

congestus & shallow convection modes.

Acknowledgements

Journal of Geophysical Research, 124, February 2019

P1 P2 P3