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Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 1 Academy on the Academy on the UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment

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Page 1: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 1 Academy on the

Academy on the

UNEP’s Green Economy

Assessment

Page 2: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 2 Academy on the

Adding the countries where UNEP is currently supporting the development of green economy along with the PAGE countries totals close to 65 countires around the world

Where is UNEP supporting Green

Transformation?

National green economy

related strategies

UNEP advisory

services

PAGE countires

Page 3: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 Academy on the

GE Assessment

Model:

•a simplification of reality

•a collection of parts that interact with one

another to function as a whole

The Green Economy Model

The modeling exercise should be tailored

around a set of specific issues and a

geographical context.

Use of System Dynamics Modeling (T21)

in order to evaluate social, economic and

environmental impacts of green

investments.

Page 4: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 4 Academy on the

Cross-sectoral linkages within T21

model

society

environment

economyeducation

health

population

infrastructure

labor

poverty

production

government

investment

row

households

technology

energy

minerals emissions

land

sustainability

water

Page 5: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 5 Academy on the

Three layers of analysis

PoliciesInvestment

(e.g.,capitalinvestmentinREandEEfor

extracapacityandretrofits)

Mandatesandtargets(e.g.,REandEEstandards,deforestation

andreforestationtargets)

Subsidies(e.g.,feedintariffsforenergy,taxrebates,paymentsforecosystem

services)

Scenarios Climatechange,energyprices,conflicts,peakoil,worldeconomicgrowth,etc.

Structure

Socialsectors Economicsectors Environmentalsectors

Population

Education

Infrastructure(e.g.transport)

Employment

Incomedistribution

Production(GDP)

TechnologyHouseholdsaccounts

Governmentaccounts

Investment(publicandprivate)

Balanceandfinancing

GovernmentdebtBalanceofpayment

Internationaltrade

LandallocationanduseWaterdemandandsupply

Energydemandandsupply

(bysectorandenergysource)

GHGandotheremissions

(sourcesandsinks)Footprint

Society

Economy Environment

Page 6: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 6 Academy on the

National level actions and 0utcomes: Kenya

Key Partners: GoK, KIPPRA, AfDB, UNDP, WWF

National stakeholder consultation

Priorities sectors for

Kenya’s Vision 2030

/ Green Jobs

Assessment (by ILO)

Emerging Opportunitie

s: Energy, Agriculture,

Manufacturing, Transport

Green Economy Roadmap linked to

Kenya’s next Medium

Term Plan (2013-2017)

to implement

Vision 2030.

Inter-Ministerial Committee on Green Economy (ENV, FIN, PLAN, ENER, AG)

2011-2012 2011-2012 2013

Page 7: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 7 Academy on the

Senegal: Real GDP growth 2012-

2035

Page 8: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 8 Academy on the

Kenya: Poverty headcount

Page 9: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 9 Academy on the

Job creation in S. Africa

Page 10: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 10 Academy on the

CO2 emissions in South Africa

Page 11: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 11 Academy on the

Ultimate goal of GEA

• Ghana’s Shared Growth and Development Agenda II

• To promote the adoption of the principles of green economy in the

national development planning

• Kenya’s Medium-Term Plan (2013-2017)

• Endorse the development of a national green economy strategy

• Senegal’s National Strategy for Economic and Social Development

(2013-2017)

• To promote green economy

• Mauritius National Development Plan, the Blueprint 2020

• Green economy action plan

Page 12: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 12 Academy on the

Before the Green Economy Initiative started in 2008, about 16 countries had developed national strategies related to green economy, such as all encompassing sustainable development plans.

National Green Economy strategies – 2008

National green economy

related strategies

Page 13: UNEP’s Green Economy Assessment...Academy on the Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 GE Assessment Model: •a simplification of reality •a collection of parts that interact with

Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 13 Academy on the

By 2014, more than 48 countries had developed their national green economy or sustainable development plans.

National Green Economy strategies – 2014

National green economy

related strategies