unep’s green economy assessment...academy on the turin, italy 06-17 october 2014 3 ge assessment...
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Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 1 Academy on the
Academy on the
UNEP’s Green Economy
Assessment
Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 2 Academy on the
Adding the countries where UNEP is currently supporting the development of green economy along with the PAGE countries totals close to 65 countires around the world
Where is UNEP supporting Green
Transformation?
National green economy
related strategies
UNEP advisory
services
PAGE countires
Turin, Italy 06-17 October 2014 3 Academy on the
GE Assessment
Model:
•a simplification of reality
•a collection of parts that interact with one
another to function as a whole
The Green Economy Model
The modeling exercise should be tailored
around a set of specific issues and a
geographical context.
Use of System Dynamics Modeling (T21)
in order to evaluate social, economic and
environmental impacts of green
investments.
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Cross-sectoral linkages within T21
model
society
environment
economyeducation
health
population
infrastructure
labor
poverty
production
government
investment
row
households
technology
energy
minerals emissions
land
sustainability
water
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Three layers of analysis
PoliciesInvestment
(e.g.,capitalinvestmentinREandEEfor
extracapacityandretrofits)
Mandatesandtargets(e.g.,REandEEstandards,deforestation
andreforestationtargets)
Subsidies(e.g.,feedintariffsforenergy,taxrebates,paymentsforecosystem
services)
Scenarios Climatechange,energyprices,conflicts,peakoil,worldeconomicgrowth,etc.
Structure
Socialsectors Economicsectors Environmentalsectors
Population
Education
Infrastructure(e.g.transport)
Employment
Incomedistribution
Production(GDP)
TechnologyHouseholdsaccounts
Governmentaccounts
Investment(publicandprivate)
Balanceandfinancing
GovernmentdebtBalanceofpayment
Internationaltrade
LandallocationanduseWaterdemandandsupply
Energydemandandsupply
(bysectorandenergysource)
GHGandotheremissions
(sourcesandsinks)Footprint
Society
Economy Environment
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National level actions and 0utcomes: Kenya
Key Partners: GoK, KIPPRA, AfDB, UNDP, WWF
National stakeholder consultation
Priorities sectors for
Kenya’s Vision 2030
/ Green Jobs
Assessment (by ILO)
Emerging Opportunitie
s: Energy, Agriculture,
Manufacturing, Transport
Green Economy Roadmap linked to
Kenya’s next Medium
Term Plan (2013-2017)
to implement
Vision 2030.
Inter-Ministerial Committee on Green Economy (ENV, FIN, PLAN, ENER, AG)
2011-2012 2011-2012 2013
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Senegal: Real GDP growth 2012-
2035
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Kenya: Poverty headcount
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Job creation in S. Africa
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CO2 emissions in South Africa
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Ultimate goal of GEA
• Ghana’s Shared Growth and Development Agenda II
• To promote the adoption of the principles of green economy in the
national development planning
• Kenya’s Medium-Term Plan (2013-2017)
• Endorse the development of a national green economy strategy
• Senegal’s National Strategy for Economic and Social Development
(2013-2017)
• To promote green economy
• Mauritius National Development Plan, the Blueprint 2020
• Green economy action plan
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Before the Green Economy Initiative started in 2008, about 16 countries had developed national strategies related to green economy, such as all encompassing sustainable development plans.
National Green Economy strategies – 2008
National green economy
related strategies
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By 2014, more than 48 countries had developed their national green economy or sustainable development plans.
National Green Economy strategies – 2014
National green economy
related strategies