top roi for community power

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Presented by Dr. Ingo Koenig Toronto, 29th of January 2010 The Value Factory Top ROI for community power

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Top ROI for Community Power - by Dr. Ingo Koenig, Managing Partner, Koenig & Consultants, at the Green Energy Act Finance Forum on Friday January 29, 2010. For more information visit http://www.marsdd.com/greenenergyforum

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Top ROI for Community Power

Presented by Dr. Ingo Koenig

Toronto, 29th of January 2010

The Value Factory ™

Top ROI for community power

Page 2: Top ROI for Community Power

2

AGENDA

! What is community power (in Europe)?

! Why does community power generate superior returns?

! Risks?

! Lessons for Ontario

Page 3: Top ROI for Community Power

302/02/2010

Wind energy value chain

Initiate and Develop

Build and construct

Operate and Maintain

" Find suitable land" Set-up technology" Procure relevant

permits

" Financing " Refund

scheme/ buyers

" Construction " Run " Maintain

" Sell energy" Public support

Community power makes a difference!

Page 4: Top ROI for Community Power

4

Wind power is leading new power

generation capacity in Europe

36%

29%

18%

10%

3%

2%

0%

6%

New power capacity in Europe 2008

Wind power Gas PV Oil Coal Hydro Nuclear

Page 5: Top ROI for Community Power

5

Community power in Europe is....

Definition: A community wind farm is a consequent financial,

conceptual and organisational participation of citizens (local

community) in a wind farm.

Community Community wind farms

Rigid

Relaxed

Exclusive investment and participation of

people living in the vicinity of the farm

Management is done by local investors

Investment and participation of people

living in the vicinity of the farm, but also

from outside the community with max.

participation (e.g. $50,000)

Management is done by local investors

or professional service firms

Page 6: Top ROI for Community Power

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Legal Structure and Taxes

A German "GmbH & Co. KG" is a limited partnership in which the general

partner is a GmbH, a private limited company.

General Partner(GmbH)

Limited partners(Kommanditist)

Limited partners can deduct losses whenever they

occur in personal tax statement!

Page 7: Top ROI for Community Power

7

Financing

Debt: Private commercial banks, state owned banks with preferable rates

Equity: At first: Individual investors via closed funds, medium sized investment

groups, cooperatives; now utilities and larger cooperation, insurance companies

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Community power Absantee investors

State sponsored loans

Commercial banks

Equity

Page 8: Top ROI for Community Power

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AGENDA

! What is community power (in Europe)?

! Why does community power generate superior returns?

! Risks?

! Lessons for Ontario

Page 9: Top ROI for Community Power

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Community power in Europe is more

profitable because...

" High personal involvement keeps “soft costs” low (5-10% of investment compared to 15-40% investment)

" High personal involvement improves information flow, and peer pressure lead to short repair reaction times and therefore higher availability and revenues

" Lower land leases as everybody is a community member (3% vs. 6%)

" Improved understanding in community leads to faster permitting process; from push to pull (They do not have to accept the park, they now want it!)

" Equity is relatively inexpensive, you do not deal with professional investors and very expensive due diligence processes

255

260

265

270

275

280

285

290

295

300

Total payback

Community

power

Other farms

Page 10: Top ROI for Community Power

10

Community power has other benefits than

an improved ROI

Local multiplier effect benefits everyone

" Every local dollar invested results in a minimum of 3 times the benefit

to the local community <--> If an external developer owns and controls

the project these benefits are lost

" Re-Powering of machines becomes much easier in the future

" Municipal, provincial taxes stay locally

Jobs

" ~ 110,000 new jobs have been created in Europe

" Potential construction jobs and training for local community

" Two local positions per project created to administer and maintain the

project and coordinate owners and finances

" Service personnel is regionally based (accountant, lawyers,

maintenance, etc.)

Page 11: Top ROI for Community Power

11

AGENDA

! What is community power (in Europe)?

! Why does community power generate superior returns?

! Risks?

! Lessons for Ontario

Page 12: Top ROI for Community Power

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Community power has risks...

Specific risks:

! Limits to financing

e.g. for off-shore

projects

! Depending on

number of investors,

decision making can

be difficult and exit

can be even more

difficult

Risks

General risks:

! High investment, but

No planning consent/permits

Grid access delayed or too costly if additional infrastructure is required

! Unprofitable project, because

Analysis (e.g. wind forecast) was too optimistic

Operations and maintenance becomes too expensive

Page 13: Top ROI for Community Power

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…that can be mitigated

" Create a network of support and

knowledge

" Learn from comparable projects

" Employ experts as required

" Ensure access to sufficient capital

" Make allowances for bad wind years

" Choose your partners carefully

" Make long term maintenance contracts

with availability guarantees

" Get as much community involvement as

possible (partners and owners)

Page 14: Top ROI for Community Power

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AGENDA

! What is community power (in Europe)?

! Why does community power generate superior returns?

! Risks?

! Lessons for Ontario

Page 15: Top ROI for Community Power

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Lessons for Ontario...

! Make wind power a grass-roots movement by

including as many Ontarians as possible in the set-up

of farms, funds, and their future.

! The GEA and its Feed-in-tariffs are very strong

incentives to start the movement.

! Educate finance community, it is a profitable low-risk

investment.

! Do it yourself , do not let big developers “shave” the

profitability by including to many “soft costs”.

Ontarians become wind power entrepreneurs!!!

! Make wind power a grass-roots movement by

including as many Ontarians as possible in the set-up

of farms, funds, and their future.

! The GEA and its Feed-in-tariffs are very strong

incentives to start the movement.

! Educate finance community, it is a profitable low-risk

investment.

! Do it yourself , do not let big developers “shave” the

profitability by including to many “soft costs”.

Ontarians become wind power entrepreneurs!!!

Page 16: Top ROI for Community Power

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Thank you for your attention!

www.koenigconsultants.ca