top roi for community power
DESCRIPTION
Top ROI for Community Power - by Dr. Ingo Koenig, Managing Partner, Koenig & Consultants, at the Green Energy Act Finance Forum on Friday January 29, 2010. For more information visit http://www.marsdd.com/greenenergyforumTRANSCRIPT
Presented by Dr. Ingo Koenig
Toronto, 29th of January 2010
The Value Factory ™
Top ROI for community power
2
AGENDA
! What is community power (in Europe)?
! Why does community power generate superior returns?
! Risks?
! Lessons for Ontario
302/02/2010
Wind energy value chain
Initiate and Develop
Build and construct
Operate and Maintain
" Find suitable land" Set-up technology" Procure relevant
permits
" Financing " Refund
scheme/ buyers
" Construction " Run " Maintain
" Sell energy" Public support
Community power makes a difference!
4
Wind power is leading new power
generation capacity in Europe
36%
29%
18%
10%
3%
2%
0%
6%
New power capacity in Europe 2008
Wind power Gas PV Oil Coal Hydro Nuclear
5
Community power in Europe is....
Definition: A community wind farm is a consequent financial,
conceptual and organisational participation of citizens (local
community) in a wind farm.
Community Community wind farms
Rigid
Relaxed
Exclusive investment and participation of
people living in the vicinity of the farm
Management is done by local investors
Investment and participation of people
living in the vicinity of the farm, but also
from outside the community with max.
participation (e.g. $50,000)
Management is done by local investors
or professional service firms
6
Legal Structure and Taxes
A German "GmbH & Co. KG" is a limited partnership in which the general
partner is a GmbH, a private limited company.
General Partner(GmbH)
Limited partners(Kommanditist)
Limited partners can deduct losses whenever they
occur in personal tax statement!
7
Financing
Debt: Private commercial banks, state owned banks with preferable rates
Equity: At first: Individual investors via closed funds, medium sized investment
groups, cooperatives; now utilities and larger cooperation, insurance companies
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Community power Absantee investors
State sponsored loans
Commercial banks
Equity
8
AGENDA
! What is community power (in Europe)?
! Why does community power generate superior returns?
! Risks?
! Lessons for Ontario
9
Community power in Europe is more
profitable because...
" High personal involvement keeps “soft costs” low (5-10% of investment compared to 15-40% investment)
" High personal involvement improves information flow, and peer pressure lead to short repair reaction times and therefore higher availability and revenues
" Lower land leases as everybody is a community member (3% vs. 6%)
" Improved understanding in community leads to faster permitting process; from push to pull (They do not have to accept the park, they now want it!)
" Equity is relatively inexpensive, you do not deal with professional investors and very expensive due diligence processes
255
260
265
270
275
280
285
290
295
300
Total payback
Community
power
Other farms
10
Community power has other benefits than
an improved ROI
Local multiplier effect benefits everyone
" Every local dollar invested results in a minimum of 3 times the benefit
to the local community <--> If an external developer owns and controls
the project these benefits are lost
" Re-Powering of machines becomes much easier in the future
" Municipal, provincial taxes stay locally
Jobs
" ~ 110,000 new jobs have been created in Europe
" Potential construction jobs and training for local community
" Two local positions per project created to administer and maintain the
project and coordinate owners and finances
" Service personnel is regionally based (accountant, lawyers,
maintenance, etc.)
11
AGENDA
! What is community power (in Europe)?
! Why does community power generate superior returns?
! Risks?
! Lessons for Ontario
12
Community power has risks...
Specific risks:
! Limits to financing
e.g. for off-shore
projects
! Depending on
number of investors,
decision making can
be difficult and exit
can be even more
difficult
Risks
General risks:
! High investment, but
No planning consent/permits
Grid access delayed or too costly if additional infrastructure is required
! Unprofitable project, because
Analysis (e.g. wind forecast) was too optimistic
Operations and maintenance becomes too expensive
13
…that can be mitigated
" Create a network of support and
knowledge
" Learn from comparable projects
" Employ experts as required
" Ensure access to sufficient capital
" Make allowances for bad wind years
" Choose your partners carefully
" Make long term maintenance contracts
with availability guarantees
" Get as much community involvement as
possible (partners and owners)
14
AGENDA
! What is community power (in Europe)?
! Why does community power generate superior returns?
! Risks?
! Lessons for Ontario
15
Lessons for Ontario...
! Make wind power a grass-roots movement by
including as many Ontarians as possible in the set-up
of farms, funds, and their future.
! The GEA and its Feed-in-tariffs are very strong
incentives to start the movement.
! Educate finance community, it is a profitable low-risk
investment.
! Do it yourself , do not let big developers “shave” the
profitability by including to many “soft costs”.
Ontarians become wind power entrepreneurs!!!
! Make wind power a grass-roots movement by
including as many Ontarians as possible in the set-up
of farms, funds, and their future.
! The GEA and its Feed-in-tariffs are very strong
incentives to start the movement.
! Educate finance community, it is a profitable low-risk
investment.
! Do it yourself , do not let big developers “shave” the
profitability by including to many “soft costs”.
Ontarians become wind power entrepreneurs!!!
16
Thank you for your attention!
www.koenigconsultants.ca