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    Washington State University-2010 1

    Fundamental Exam Review

    TOC Thinking Processes Segment

    The Theory of Constraints

    [email protected]

    http://www.engrmgt.wsu.edu/

    James R. Holt, Ph.D., PEProfessor

    Engineering & Technology

    Management

    mailto:[email protected]://www.engrmgt.wsu.edu/http://www.engrmgt.wsu.edu/mailto:[email protected]
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    Washin ton State Universit -2010 2

    TOCICO Segmented Fundamentals Exam

    Fundamentals Certificate

    Multiple Choice Exam(Identify, Exploit, Subordinate, Elevate, Go to Step 1)

    Fundamentals

    Certificate of

    TOC Philosophy

    Fundamentals

    Certificate of

    TOC ThinkingProcesses

    Fundamentals

    Certificate of

    TOC Applications

    Fundamentals

    Certificate of

    TOC Finance &Measures

    Inherent Potential

    Inherent

    SimplicityInherent Win-Win

    Five Focusing

    Steps

    Three Questions

    Conflict

    Cloud

    Negative

    Branch

    Ambitious

    Target

    DBRT, I, OE

    PQ TypeProblemProject

    Management

    Replenishment

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    Washin ton State Universit -2010 3

    Topics in TOC Thinking Process

    Cause and Effect Evaporating Cloud Surfacing Assumptions

    Invalidating Assumptions Negative Branch Reservation Overcoming Obstacles (PRT)

    Categories of Legitimate Reservation Layers of Resistance

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    TOC Thinking Process Elements

    Two types of Logic (in Natural Language) If , Then . In order to , There must be .

    Logical Causality Tools used to Answer the threequestions: What to Change? What to Change to?

    How to Cause the Change?

    TOC is a Systemic Thinking Process. There are a set of rules to guide and check validity. Could be called Visual Thinking.

    Sufficiency Logic

    Necessary Logic

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    Everyone Can Think

    Goal: Lower the Ball yetkeep it attached.

    Minimize: Y

    subject to:(X-1)^2+(Y-8)^2

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    The Real World

    My View of

    my World

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    Thinking Time

    We all think! Its what we do! Our minds are like CPUs. They keep on running

    and running and running

    We feel uncomfortable if we dont have thoughts inour head. Thats why junk TV still survives.

    We feel uncomfortable if we start thinking thewrong thoughts Thats why there are magazines in Doctors

    offices!

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    Thinking Experiment

    Get out a pencil and paper. Wait for the starting signal. Then, Work really hard at not thinking for One

    Minute!

    GO!

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    QUICK!

    Write down every thought you had in the lastminute!

    Jot down a word to catch the thought you had

    Capture as many as possible.

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    How Many Thoughts did youhave in 1 Minute?

    0 3 6 9 12 15 18

    How many of those

    thoughts have you

    had before? 40%,

    60%, 80%?

    Pr

    obable

    #

    Number of thoughts

    In the production world, we would

    call recurring thoughts RE-WORK!

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    Improving our Mental Throughput

    We need to increase our mental effectiveness We need to tie together the stray pieces so we

    dont have to deal with individual thoughts

    We need to get the whole picture, solve it, andmove on.

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    What is this?

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    Jonathans Family

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    Thinking Process Tools

    The Basic Set of Thinking Process Tools Include: Current Reality Tree

    Evaporating Cloud

    Future Reality Tree Negative Branch Reservation

    Pre-Requisite Tree

    Transition Tree

    Derivatives Tools: Three Cloud Approach

    Chronic Conflict

    Layers of Resistance

    All of these tools

    are Scrutinized bytheCategories ofLegitimateReservation.

    Thinking Process elements includedin the Fundamentals Exam

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    For Fun!

    In order to understand the function and power ofthe Thinking Process Tools

    Lets examine a Thinking Process Example. One that is fairly well known by most people

    One that is not well solved by most people

    Marital Strife

    Fi t th A h Th Thi ki

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    First the Approach: The ThinkingProcess

    What to Change?

    Find the cause of

    the UnDesirable

    Effects- UDEs.

    Change (Remove)

    the Core Problem.

    UDEs

    UDEs

    UDEsUDEs

    UDEs

    UDEs

    UDEs

    UDEs

    Core

    Problem

    Arrows are LogicalConnections areTailHead:If , Then .

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    Find Whats Blocking the Solution

    Injection that invalidates

    the assumptionGoal

    Necessary

    Condition

    Necessary

    Condition

    Prerequisite

    Prerequisite

    What to Change To?

    Assumptions that

    explain the necessary

    connection.

    Arrows are LogicalConnections areHeadTail:In Order to ,

    Must have .

    Thinking Process elements includedin the Fundamentals Exam

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    How to Cause the

    Change?

    DE DE

    DE DE

    DE

    DE

    DEDE

    Key

    Action

    KeyAction

    Key

    Action

    Achieving the Solution

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    Marital StrifeUnDesirable Effects

    Lack of

    Affection

    Lack of

    Trust One Carries

    Excessive Load

    Unequal Workload

    InfidelityFrequent

    Disagreements

    LittleSupport

    Lack ofCompassion Difference of

    Opinion

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    Story - Trust

    1. My spouse doesnt come home when I expect him (her).

    This is happening more and more. The stories seem to be

    weaker and weaker. I want to trust my spouse. But I dont

    want to be hurt.

    I feel goodabout my

    marriage

    My spouse

    feels free from

    my bondage

    I dont get hurt

    I trust my

    spouse at all

    times

    I dont trust

    my spouseThinking Process elements includedin the Fundamentals Exam

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    Story - Support

    2. My spouse is deeply involved in ______. He/she expects me to support

    him/her by taking care of __________ while he/she is gone. I dont mind

    doing it, but it leaves me little time for my own hobbies.

    We use our

    time well

    My spouse cando his/her own

    thing

    I have time formyself

    Give lots ofsupport

    Give littlesupport

    Thinking Process elements includedin the Fundamentals Exam

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    Story-Workload

    3. My spouse is in a stressful job and at a critical point in his/her career.

    It seems like this critical point is getting longer and longer. In the mean

    time, I have to do my job and hold down the domestic duties too!

    We bothAchieve

    I survivemy Job

    My spousegets ahead

    We balance ourdomestic workload

    We have unequalworkloadThinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam

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    Generic Conflict(a consolidated Evaporating Cloud)

    Happy

    Marriage

    My Spouseis Happy

    I amHappy

    My spouse does

    what he/she wants

    My spouse doesnt get

    what he/she wants

    1. Feel Good

    2. Use Time Effective

    3. Achieve

    1. Spouse freedom

    2. Spouse does own thing

    3. Spouse gets ahead

    1. Im not hurt

    2. Time for me

    3. I Survive

    1. Trust

    2. Support

    3. Unequal work

    1. Lack of Trust

    2. Lack of Support

    3. Balanced workThinking Process elements includedin the Fundamentals Exam

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    Core Conflict

    We want

    a Happy

    Marriage

    My Spouse needs

    to be happy

    I need to be

    happy

    There is pressure to

    give my spouse doeswhat he/she wants There is pressure not togive what he/she wants

    My personal

    feelings are

    important

    I not happy unless

    my spouse is happy

    I have real

    needsThe things my

    spouse wants

    are importantto our

    marriage

    Our wants

    are different

    We have

    different goals

    I am often slightedOften, my spousetakes second

    place

    Core Problem

    What to Change?

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    The Current Reality TreeResults of the Core Conflict

    We have different

    goals

    Excessive burdens

    Different Opinions

    Frequent

    arguments

    Loss of trust

    Lack of support

    Lack of Affection

    Infidelity

    Lack of Compassion

    Unequal workload

    Things need to be

    done

    Different people have

    different levels of

    importance

    Time

    continues

    A P i l F

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    A Potential FutureDesirale Effects (DEs)

    We have a close

    relationship

    We have complete

    confidence We share our

    burdens

    We share theworkload Committed to

    each other

    We rarely disagreeon important

    matters

    We support

    each other Caring

    Relationship

    We reallyunderstand

    each other

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    Starting Injection

    My spouse and I share

    common goals, objectives

    and direction in the importantaspects of our lives.

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    Start of the Future

    We want

    a Happy

    Marriage

    My Spouse

    needs to

    be Happy I need tobe Happy

    My personal

    feelings are

    importantI not happy unless my

    spouse is happy

    We have commongoals, objectives

    and direction in the

    important aspects

    of our lives.

    My spouse

    works

    towards

    spousesgoals

    I work

    toward

    my

    goals

    Spouse is

    working to our

    common goals

    Im working to

    our common

    goals

    We are working towards ourcommon goals/direction

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    More Actions Needed

    We are working towards our

    common goals/direction

    We have completeconfidence

    We have a close

    relationshipWe share our

    burdens

    We rarely

    disagree We really understand

    each other We have a Caring

    Relationship

    We support

    each other

    We share the

    workload

    ? ? ? ? ?

    A P ibl Ni

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    A Possible NiceFuture Reality Tree

    We are working towards

    our common

    goals/direction

    We have completeconfidence in each other

    We have a close

    relationshipWe share our burdens

    We rarely disagreeWe really

    understand each

    other

    We have good

    communication

    Caring Relationship

    We support each otherWe share the

    workload

    We realize we need

    each other to reach

    our common goalsWe make it a point

    to communicate

    (good & bad)

    We share a

    common set of

    moral virtues

    What toChange to?

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    The Bad SideThe Good Side

    Negative Branch Reservation

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    We have common goals,

    objectives and direction in the

    important aspects of our lives.

    Im working to

    our common

    goals

    My spouseworks

    towards

    spouses

    goals

    My spouses

    goals are

    achieved. Most of my

    spouses goals areour common goals

    I am very

    busy

    My goals

    take a lotof time

    Im not working

    on my goals

    I cant achieve

    my goals

    Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam

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    Negative Branch Reservation

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    Im working to

    our common

    goals

    My spouseworks

    towards

    spouses

    goals

    My spouses

    goals are

    achieved. Most of my

    spouses goals areour common goals

    I am very

    busy

    My goals

    take a lotof time

    Im not working

    on my goals

    I cant achieve

    my goals

    The Good Side The Bad Side

    I work on

    things I

    value

    I work on our goals

    AND my goals

    I feel good about

    my progress

    I finally

    prioritize

    my life

    We have common goals,

    objectives and direction in the

    important aspects of our lives.

    Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam

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    OK, Injections, But HOW?How to Cause the Change?

    We have common

    goals, objectives

    and direction in the

    important aspects

    of our lives.

    My spouse

    workstowards

    spouses

    goals

    I work

    toward

    mygoals

    We realize we need

    each other to reach

    our common goals

    We make it a pointto communicate

    (good & bad)

    We share a

    common set of

    moral virtues

    Create the PreRequisite Tree(Ambitious Target Tree).

    Practice on this Injection

    I finally

    prioritize

    my life

    We share a common

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    We share a commonset of moral virtues

    ObstaclesPreventing

    IntermediateObjectives

    Its a gray world out there.

    (I cant tell right from wrong)

    We dont want to change.

    Values change according tothe circumstances.

    We have differentbackgrounds.

    Our desires differ.

    We both enjoy some moralindiscretions.

    Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam 34

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    We share a common setof moral virtues

    ObstaclesPreventing

    IntermediateObjectives

    We agree on common virtues

    We are willing to work on this

    We agree on a common virtues

    We really know each other

    We share a set of common goals

    We live our set of virtues in allcases

    Its a gray world (cant tell right

    from wrong)

    We dont want to change

    Values change according to thecircumstances

    We have different backgrounds

    Our desires differ

    We both enjoy some moralindiscretions

    Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam

    Sequencing the solution

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    Sequencing the solution(Structure of the PRT)

    We recognize ourown frailties

    We dont want to

    admit error

    We really communicate

    We subordinateourselves to each other

    We really know each other

    We share a set of common goals

    We agree on a common virtues

    We live our set of

    virtues in all cases

    We share a common set of moral virtues

    Our desires differ

    Its hard to tell right

    from wrong

    We enjoy ourindiscretions

    We dont

    talk much

    We are

    different

    We dont know

    each other

    Thinking Process elements includedin the Fundamentals Exam

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    Putting the Intermediate Objectives Into Place

    The PreRequisite Tree exposed the IntermediateObjectives (Milestones) needed forHow to Cause the Change?

    But, How to We actually Get there? How will, We Really Communicate? For this, the Transition Tree gives the Step-by-Step

    Approach to getting there.

    We recognize our

    own frailties

    We dont want to

    admit error

    We really communicate

    We subordinate

    ourselves to each other

    We dont

    talk much

    Working Upwards on a

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    Working Upwards on aTransition Tree

    We recognize our

    own frailties

    We dont want

    to admit error

    We really

    communicate

    We subordinate

    ourselves to eachother

    We dont

    talk much

    We recognize (moreand more of) our

    own frailties

    People rarely respectpeople who make a lot

    of mistakes

    We wantothers to

    respect us

    We aremortal

    There are (andshould be) few

    secrets between

    spouses

    We, each of us, try tohide our mistakes

    Spouses can be asignificant help and supportfor dealing with problems

    Mistakes areinevitable

    We generally know about eachothers mistakes that we try to hide

    We wantto improve

    We, each, admit(confidentially) to

    some of ourproblems that wewish to eliminate

    Working Upwards on a

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    Working Upwards on aTransition Tree

    We recognize our

    own frailties

    We dont want

    to admit error

    We really

    communicate

    We subordinate

    ourselves to each other

    We dont

    talk much

    We subordinateourselves (more andmore) to each other

    We desire to love each othereven more than we do nowWe Loved

    each otherin the past

    We both havemade some

    mistakes

    We are willing to dosome things that show

    love to our spouse

    We need to resolve someproblems on both sides

    Real love comes fromsacrificing self for the

    benefit of others.

    Our marriage hassome strife caused

    by each of us.

    We need cooperation(give and and take)

    from both sides

    We want

    to improve

    We, each, acceptwe will do morethings for each

    other than we arecurrently doing

    Mistakes areinevitable

    It is easierto lovewhenloved.

    Working Upwards on a Transition Tree

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    Working Upwards on a Transition Tree

    We recognize our

    own frailties

    We dont want

    to admit error

    We really

    communicate

    We subordinate

    ourselves to each

    other

    We dont

    talk much We recognizemore and

    more) of ourown frailties

    We talk frequentlyabout our

    successes together

    We talkfrequently aboutour challenges

    We dedicatetime to spend

    with eachother

    Neither of usdominates thediscussion (for

    too long)

    We both havetopics of interest

    to each other

    We dont talk much

    We reallycommunicate

    (more and more)

    We subordinateourselves (more

    and more) toeach other

    We want

    to improve

    We need totalk more

    We each mentionthree good things

    that are happening

    in our lives

    We each mentionthree problems thatwe want to improve.

    We are verypatient and

    listen withoutjudgment.

    Working Upwards on a Transition Tree

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    Working Upwards on a Transition Tree

    We recognize

    our ownfrailties

    We dont want

    to admit error

    We really

    communicate

    We subordinate

    ourselves to each

    other

    We dont

    talk

    much

    We dedicate

    time to spendwith each

    other

    We reallycommunicate

    (more and more)

    We each mentionthree good things

    that are happening

    in our lives

    We each mentionthree problems thatwe want to improve.

    We, each, admit (confidentially)to some of our problems that we

    wish to eliminate

    We are very

    patient andlisten withoutjudgment.

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    The Strategic/Tactic Plan for Marriage

    S. MaritalBliss

    T. Love Each

    Other

    S. Get

    Along

    T. Accept

    Each Other

    S. Focus on

    the OtherT. Have

    Common

    Goals

    S. Trust

    Each Other

    T. Share

    Moral Code

    S. Spouse

    Loves Me

    T. Take

    Actions tocause Spouse

    to love meCommunication

    Work at MarriageForgiveness

    FidelityShared

    Responsibility

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    The Evaporating Cloud

    A. The

    Goal

    B. My

    Need

    C. OthersNeed

    D. What I

    Want

    D. What

    theOthers

    Want

    Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam

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    Creating the Evaporating Cloud

    D. What I

    Want

    1. What is it that I Want (thatIm having trouble getting)?

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    Creating the Evaporating Cloud

    D. What I

    Want

    D. What

    theOthers

    Want

    1. What is it that I Want (thatIm having trouble getting)?

    2. What is it that the Others Want(that I dont want them to have)?

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    Creating the Evaporating Cloud

    B. My

    Need

    D. What I

    Want

    D. What

    theOthers

    Want

    1. What is it that I Want (thatIm having trouble getting)?

    2. What is it that the Others Want(that I dont want them to have)?

    3. Why do I want what I want?What Need am I trying to fulfill?

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    Creating the Evaporating Cloud

    B. My

    Need

    C. OthersNeed

    D. What I

    Want

    D. What

    theOthers

    Want

    1. What is it that I Want (thatIm having trouble getting)?

    2. What is it that the Others Want(that I dont want them to have)?

    3. Why do I want what I want?What Need am I trying to fulfill?

    4. Why do the Others want whatthey want? What Need do they

    have?

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    Creating the Evaporating Cloud

    A. The

    Goal

    B. My

    Need

    C. OthersNeed

    D. What I

    Want

    D. What

    theOthers

    Want

    1. What is it that I Want (thatIm having trouble getting)?

    2. What is it that the Others Want(that I dont want them to have)?

    3. Why do I want what I want?What Need am I trying to fulfill?

    4. Why do the Others want whatthey want? What Need do they

    have?

    5. What Goal do wemutually share? Whyare we still arguing?

    Reading the Cloud:In order to I musthave .

    Communicating the

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    Communicating theEvaporating Cloud

    A. The

    Goal

    B. My

    Need

    C. OthersNeed

    D. What I

    Want

    D. What

    theOthers

    Want

    5. And you WANT to meetyour Need as well.

    3. Acknowledge the Other sideWants to act on meeting their

    Need.

    4. Point out that you also have asignificant Need.

    2. Recognize you understand theOthers Need must be meet to

    reach the Goal.

    1. Start the Mutual Goal.It is common ground.Both interested.

    Reading the Cloud:In order to I musthave .

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    Lets Do Some Examples

    A. The Goal

    B. Why I

    Want It

    C. Why the

    Other SideWants What

    They Want

    D. What I

    Want (to do)

    D. What the

    Other SideWants

    Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam

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    Lets Do Some Examples

    A. Get the

    Customer

    order

    B. Make the

    offer

    attractive to

    thecustomer

    C. Insure

    the qualityof the

    product

    D. Supplier

    makes the

    mold

    D.

    Customermakes the

    Mold

    Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam

    STUDENTEXAMPLE

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    Lets Do Some Examples

    A. Make

    more Profit

    B. Motivate

    better

    Performance

    C. ControlExpenses

    D. Pay High

    Salaries

    D. Dont

    pay HighSalaries

    Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam

    Because: Motivated

    employees deliver

    more profit

    Because: Money is

    the ONLY motivator

    Because: Expenses

    subtract from profitBecause: Salaries are

    a significant part of

    expenses

    Because: This will

    create conflict with

    the team.

    Salaries are fixed.

    STUDENTEXAMPLE

    Evaporating the

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    Washin ton State Universit -2010 53

    Evaporating theEvaporating Cloud

    A. Manage

    Production

    Effectively

    B.

    Produce a

    Lot

    C. Keep

    Costs andDelivery

    in Control

    D. Increase

    the Work-In-

    Process

    D.

    Decreasethe Work-In-

    Process

    Assumption: We aremeasured upon ourProduction Level

    Assumption: All machines mustbe keep busy all the time.

    Assumption:We cantincrease WIPand DecreaseWIP at thesame time.

    Assumption: WIP is expensive.High WIP delays flow time.

    Assumption: Our profitsare not high. Customersdemand on-time delivery.

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    Washin ton State Universit -2010 54

    There is an Injection for Every Conflict

    Arrow Assumption Injection AB Productive Deliver Max Capacity AC Cost Effective Price on Value BD Busy Machines Keep Constraint 100% CD Expensive WIP Throughput Focus D/D Cant do Both Buffer Constraint only

    Chosen Injection:Focus on the Capacity Constrained Resource.Release work to the system at the rate of theCapacity Constrained Resource a Buffer Time in

    Advance (no sooner, no later).Use Buffer Management to improve the system.

    Sometimes TOC Solutions Are Counter

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    Washin ton State Universit -2010 55

    Sometimes TOC Solutions Are CounterIntuitive

    DBR: To get more out, put less in. CCPM: To finish project sooner, delay the Start. CCPM: To be safer, remove the safety.

    Replenishment: To get your products quicker tothe customer, store them farther away. To Solve the Conflict, Ignore the conflict. To Make More Money, Sell at below Cost.

    If you cant find an injection, then just do what is

    opposite of what everyone else is doing (andthen do whatever it takes to make it work).

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    Negative Branch Reservation Practice

    Story Line. I just had an exposure to the Negative Branch

    Reservation Tool of the TOC Thinking Process.

    I can remember parts of it (the Good Side, the

    Bad Side part sticks out). The class instructor now tells us to make a

    Negative Branch Reservations as an in classquiz.

    Assignment. Draw the Negative Branch Reservation and the

    results of the trimming Injection.

    Washin ton State Universit -2010 56

    Thinking Process elements includedin the Fundamentals Exam

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    The Bad SideThe Good Side

    Negative Branch Reservation

    Washin ton State Universit -2010 57

    I draw a NBR Tree

    Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam

    ..

    .

    .

    We might I will lookd!

    We mightI Wont be

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    The Bad SideThe Good Side

    Negative Branch Reservation

    Washin ton State Universit -2010 58

    I draw a NBR Tree

    Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam

    I learn betterhow to dothe NBR

    Im not too

    good at theNBR

    I might becalled topresent

    I Could lookbad.

    My NBR treemay not look

    good

    Practice

    Get Help fromEach other

    Two idiotsare betterthan one

    glearn fromEach other

    good!g

    Miss it.I Wont be

    alone

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    PreRequisite Tree Practice

    The AMBITIOUS TARGET: To Learn the Evaporating Cloud, the Negative

    Branch Reservation and PRT (Ambitious Target)Tree in the next half hour.

    What are the Obstacles?

    What are the Injections?

    Washin ton State Universit -2010 59

    Learn EC NBR PRT in

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    Washin ton State Universit -2010

    Learn EC, NBR, PRT in30 Mins

    ObstaclesPreventing

    IntermediateObjectives

    . .

    Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam 60

    Learn EC NBR PRT in

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    Washin ton State Universit -2010

    Learn EC, NBR, PRT in30 Mins

    ObstaclesPreventing

    IntermediateObjectivesWe are preoccupied.

    We are sleepy (after lunch)

    Too many callsDetails unknown to us

    Not enough time

    No writing materials

    Not willing to accept learning

    Not motivated.

    Difficult, complex, hard

    Full Time Call Concentration

    Coffee

    Switch off (no distractions)

    We Know the Details

    Plenty of time

    Write on White Board

    We paid for this class!

    I really want to do this

    With the right materials, this is easy!Thinking Process elements included

    in the Fundamentals Exam 61

    Sequencing the solution

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    Washin ton State Universit -2010 62

    (Structure of the PRT)

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    I learn the EC, NBR, PRT in 30 Mins.

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    Thinking Process elements includedin the Fundamentals Exam

    Categories of Legitimate Reservation

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    g gUsed to Scrutinize All Logic Trees

    First: Clarity

    Second: Entity ExistenceCausality

    Third CauseInsufficiency

    Additional Cause

    Cause ReversalPredicted EffectTautology

    The Cause

    The Effect

    This simple set of rules, which compiles all the key elements necessary

    and sufficient for anyone to validate or invalidate logic, is one of Eliyhau M.Goldratts si nificant contribution to thinkin . 63 Washin ton State Universit -2010

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    Resistance to Change

    Why dont People Change? Resistance to change is a good thing. It prevents

    most un-needed changes.

    People resist because they dont understand the

    value of the change and / or see significantnegative branches without a way to deal withthem.

    There are six basic layers of resistance and sixmethods to overcome them.

    Washin ton State Universit -2010 64

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    Layers of Resistance

    Layer 1. Disagree on the problem Solution: Agree on the problem (CRT) Layer 2. Disagree on the direction of the solution Solution: Agree on the direction of the solution (EC)

    Layer 3. Disagree that the solution solves the problem.

    Solution: Agree that the solution solves the problem (FRT) Layer 4. Yes, But, there are potential Negative consequences. Solution: Agree that the solution will not lead to any significant

    negative effects (NBR)

    Layer 5. Yes. But, there are obstacles to implementing the solution. Solution: Agree on the way to overcome any obstacles that might

    block or distort implementation of the solution (PRT)

    Layer 6. Unverbalized fears Solution: Overcome Unverbalized fears (TT)

    Washin ton State Universit -2010 65

    Categories of Legitimate

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    g gReservation: CLRClarity

    A School only for Pretty Girls?Or, is it a Pretty School for young girls?Or, just a very Little School?Could it be a school for one particularly

    Pretty Girl (you missed the apostrophe)?Are there boys there too?

    Does the building look particularly nice?What is the enrollment?

    This is a pretty

    little girls school

    This is a smallschool for girls

    Expressing logic visually gives the opportunityfor scrutiny often missed when voiced only.

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    CLREntity Existence

    Entity Existence Reservation:Do these things really exist in

    your world?

    Operating costsof the car are oflittle concern

    There is freemaintenance for100,000 miles

    The exteriorappearance of thecar doesnt matter

    A brand newLexus costs$15,000

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    CLRCausality

    Causality: Show me how the parts in theEffect (at the point of the arrow) come fromthe Cause (from the tail).

    I open aSavings

    Account

    I receive20%interest

    I want to bedifferent

    I need pantslike Joes

    My roommatehas a car

    I needa car

    I buy stock

    I become amillionaire

    There are problems with each one.The Cause

    The Effect

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    CLRCause Insufficiency

    Insufficiency Reservation: Your

    Group needs to complete agood Group Project too.

    I get excellentgrades in Class

    My Projectgoes well

    I turn-ingoodhomework

    My GroupProjectgoes well

    Insufficiency Reservation: YouNeed to do your Project well.

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    CLR(More on Insufficiency)

    Is it sufficient?

    Not without theTriangle!

    70 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    C R Addi i l C

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    CLRAdditional Cause

    I dont get

    good GasMileage

    My Truck islarge

    Additional Cause Reservation:

    I carry heavyloads

    Additional Cause Reservation:

    I drive too fast

    Ah-Ha! We see an

    area wereimprovement ispossible.

    71 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    CLR C R l

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    CLRCause Reversal

    My Garage isfull of stuff.

    My Garage istoo small.

    The Garage didnt

    create all the extrathings.

    My Garage isfull of stuff

    My Garage istoo small.

    I cant get my

    car in theGarage.

    72 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    CLR P di t d Eff t

    The Most DifficultCLR t (

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    CLRPredicted Effect

    Our Income

    is toolow

    We dont

    have enoughmoney

    to pay our

    bills

    Predicted Effect Reservation:If our income is too low, Iwould expect to see mostpeople with the same incomeunable to pay their bills.

    Others with thesame incomewould not be

    able to pay their

    bills

    Many otherswith same or

    less income dopay their bills

    And yet, I see lots of peoplewith the same or less incomepaying their bills just fine.

    We buy toomany things

    we really dont

    need

    Discovery Happens!

    We have toomany bills

    CLR to use (youhave to think).

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    CLRTautology Most Frequent

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    The Cause is the Excuse

    The Circular Logicof the Cause isaccepted becauseof the Effect.

    How do you know the Beavers are a lousy Team?Because, they lost the game didnt they!

    The Beaverslost the game

    The Beavers area lousy team.

    Whenever you hear, a BECAUSE,that is the same as the Effect you havea Tautology (bad logic).

    The Cause

    The Effect

    qLogical Error!

    75 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    CLRTautology

    Most Frequent

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    The Cause is Hard to Define

    To resolve the Tautology, the Cause needs to be somethingthat can be determined and challenged;

    Not an Abstract Concept.In this case, the abstract word is lousy. What does that

    mean? We need another substantial meaning.

    The Beaverslost the game

    The Beavers area lousy team.

    When the BECAUSE is ABSTRACT,

    we need to dig further.

    The Circular Logic of the Tautologycomes from a Cause which is abstract;difficult to determine, define or quantify.So, too often the Cause is notchallenged.And, it seems the undefined Cause isaccepted because of the Effect.

    Logical Error!

    76 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    CLRTautology: SearchingF A Alt t C ti

    Most Frequent

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    For An Alternate Connection

    The Beaverslost the game

    The Beavers area lousy team.

    The Beavers playa lousy game

    The Beaversdont prepare

    well for games

    The Beaversdont execute

    well

    The Beavers aredepressed by their

    mistakes

    People feelbad whenthey make

    dumbmistakes

    The Beavers areperceived as a

    lousy team.

    The Beavers maynot be so bad.

    The Beaversface an easy

    team

    The Beavers arein a slump

    They are not

    thinking clearly

    Logical Error!

    77 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    How Do TautologiesH ?

    Most Frequent

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    Happen?

    I tell themwhat to do

    They dont

    do it

    I push them

    They stilldont do it

    I push themharder

    They areobstinate

    I push them

    hard

    They areobstinate

    Cause for Tautology isunanswered questions.

    Do we every stop tothink why they are notanswered?Why dont people do

    what they are told?

    Hum?

    Logical Error!

    78 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    Cause for the TautologyPre Conceived Notion

    Most Frequent

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    Pre-Conceived Notion

    In General, the most common error in Jumping toConclusions is the Tautology!

    He is ajerk

    He wont

    help us

    They are Part ofManagement!

    Hes Indian

    They are Muslims

    He is Black

    They are Poor

    Shes a Woman

    Men!

    Hum?What is the underlying reason for these crude remarks?

    Sometimes aTautology is asingle statement.

    Logical Error!

    79 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    T t l i ft K J k

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    Tautology is often a Knee Jerk

    When we hear, BECAUSE (same as Effect) When the BECAUSE is ABSTRACT When the ABSTRACT is DEROGITORY

    It is probably a Tautology Logic Problem Basic Assumptions of the Theory of Constraints:

    All PeopleThink

    All People areGood

    Every action is logical

    (within the environment and inaccordance with the individualsunderstanding of their ability to

    change the environment)Emotion is evidence ofpassionate, logical thinking!

    80 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    P ti C ti K J k

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    Practice Correcting a Knee Jerk

    They are Part ofManagement!

    Why Should they?

    Im important

    I do a good job

    Managements Role is to

    oversee systemicperformance

    Management isIncompetent=>

    I dont get

    what I need

    ManagementIgnores me

    ManagementDoesnt

    Respond

    ManagementDoesnt

    Listen

    Im glad its not me!

    I am not thesystems

    problemManagement must

    be dealing withsome very seriousneeds

    81 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    An Additional TOC Insight

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    An Additional TOC Insight

    Systems are Inherently Simple

    E=MC2

    In free markets, economic stability iscontrolled by the Interest Rate.

    System A System B

    82 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    Look for a Simple Solution!

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    Look for a Simple Solution!

    Thehomework is

    too hard

    I cant domy

    homework

    I dont know what the words mean

    I dont understand the problems

    I dont understand the book

    Lecture doesnt make sense

    I cant see the connections

    There are too many concepts

    Its too complicated

    Did you ask

    anyone forclarity?

    No.

    83 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    Thinking Processes

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    Thinking Processes

    The Goal: Improve Systems (Remove UDEs)The Measure: Number, Scope and Severity of ProblemsThe Constraint: Core Conflict

    There once was an old SystemThat lived in a shoe.That had so many UDEsIt didnt know what to do

    UDE

    UDE

    UDE

    UDEUDE UDE

    UDE

    UDE

    UDE

    UDE

    UDE

    UDE

    UDE

    UDE UDEUDEUDE

    UDEUDE

    84 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    Thinking Processes

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    Thinking Processes

    The Analysis:The Paradigm Shift: Cause theErroneous Assumption to Go Away(Fix Rules, Measures)

    Let the System Behave Correctly!

    85 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    Thinking Process Results

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    Thinking Process Results

    What do we learnhere to apply to

    Daily Lives?

    Conflicts can be Resolved.

    Negative Branches should be Trimmed.

    Be James Bond -- A Few, RightlyPlaced Injections can Make DramaticImprovement!

    We can achieve Ambitious Targets

    Communication is Greatly Improved!

    Buy-In Happens!

    Problems Go Away-Are Replaced By Desirable Entities!

    86 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    Thinking ProcessesLessons Learned

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    Lessons Learned

    There are Answers -- Dont Despair Look for Cause-->Effect Relationships Think Clearly Clarity, Causality, Insufficiency, Additional Cause,

    Predicted Effect, Cause Reversal Dont Accept Compromise (No Win-Lose orLose-Lose) Learn to find Breakthrough Injections

    A Cloud-A-Day keeps the Conflict Away Become Justifiably Self-Confident Enter a Complex World, Find the One Spot that

    Needs Fixing, Fix it.

    Then, Look for the Next Spot to Fix 87 Washin ton State Universit -2010

    Next Topics

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    Next Topics

    TOC Thinking Processes TOC Applications Operations

    Project Management

    Replenishment

    TOC Finances and Measures

    Some TOC Philosophy will be blended into theseadditional topics.