TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter (Beta)Week 75 – 03/01/15 Report

Open-ended responses for Questions #1, #4, and #5 start on page 3.

Question #2. Based on any technical or fundamental indicators you want to use, would you predict that the S&P 500 index will move higher or lower next week? (from Monday's open to Friday's close; March 2-6)

Higher: 46.6%Lower: 53.4%

Question #3. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 on a scale of 0 to 10 (with 0 being no confidence and 10 being extremely confident).

Average of All Responses: 6.591Average For "Higher" Responses: 7.146Average For "Lower" Responses: 6.106

Responses Submitted This Week: 88

Brief Analysis: Last week's sentiment was was incorrect as the market dropped 0.25% on a slightly bullish prediction. This week the sentiment is slightly bearish but with strong confidence on the bullish side.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):TimingResearch.com/rawdata.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, "Date" field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Correct Percentage: 46.5%

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reportsRaw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdataCurrent Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurveyAny feedback email: news@timingresearch.com

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous responders tothis survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some useless/irrelevant responses (e.g. "none") have been omitted. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/rawdata.

Question #1. What developing events (technical or fundamental) will you be watching out for next week (March 2-6) that might have a positive or negative impact on the S&P 500 and other US markets?

• Congress proceeding beyond Homeland Security funding. Greece has been delayed for 4 months so back to earnings and econ forecasts.

• VIX.• ISIS RUSSIA TERRORISM• Putin• US dollar, oil• see is nas can hit 5000 or sp500 confirms new closing highs• Oil, ukraine• USD NFPR• overbought/oversold indicators• "ISM Manufacturing PMI that provides the overall economic condition of the US in

February,the GDP of Canada annualized (QoQ),the US non=manufacturing PMI issued by the Institute of Supply Management, the BoE interest rate decision,the ECB monetary policy statement, the US non-farm payroll for Feb. and the US unemployment rate for Feb., price of oil, price of Gold."

• Jobs report. Greece (again! Grrr...) Should be mostly quiet unless Putin gets antsy. Low vol week, ending slightly down (SPY closes around 209 Thursday before jobs).

• Central Banks reports• Greece default• Fridays NFP report• "ISM Manufacturing survey

Earnings"• Mobile technology• kremlin/putin• home sales• earnings• m6 money supply, GDP, SPY price action• "Negative-• Greece proposal, US&European new sanctions on Russia, Overbought technical, Oil losses

Positive -- continued melt up"• The RSI and the MACD• us economic data• Macro in US• Positive• Nasdaq 5000--everyone will be keying on that, meaningful or not. And of course, European

news. Oil has taken a back seat.• state of the economy• "Lots of data releases this week.

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Earnings plays. Will Friday's bearish action continue?"• Funding homeland security• Looking for a bounce to the upside• North Korea likely to be in the news causing instability and losses in the S&P 500• markets in overbought territory• "greek IMF payment

astrological outlook"• Reports due this week, USO &VIX• money flow daily turning negative• interest rate• Jobs report.• ukrane api• "MA-90

Bolinger BandsFast Stochastics"

• Employment• none• employment report• China backing Russia about Ukraine. S&P holding 2103.• rsi,moving averages• Fed reports, changes in interest rates,news from oil producing regions, news on terrorists

activity that may cause movement in the markets.• "Gold needs to move above 1220 to continue to move higher.

The SPX. 500 broke support and closed below 2110 and hit a 3 day low of 1209.60."• Oil and other economic news• "Employment report

Oil pricing"• Fed Speaches, Employment Reports, Putin, Volume, Oil prices and inventory• Job Report on Friday March 6th• markets will move lower as fundamentals deteriorate. Future EPS guidance lower.• "A lot of leading stocks sold off this week,

looking to see if they bounce back or continue to sell off."

• eut\ro dolar u\yen dollar and german bonds chinese easing• "Non-Farm Payroll Report

Personal Income and Consumer SpendingISM Reports"

• "consumer spendingpayrolls"

• The state of the US economy.• Economic reports.• March is traditionally up as well as the first of the month• whether the markets rise with influx of fund deposits during first 5 days of trading• Positive impact due to index being slightly oversold allowing buyers to come in• Greece, stocks continuing the breather they took Friday oil based or not.• Hold above 1990 including retests

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Question #4. If you could go back in time and give your 20-year-old self some financial advice, what would it be?

• buy more new technology stocks• Spend more.• Save money. Buy real property and invest the profits in index funds• Buy oil• Invest early• start saving asap• Save more...• Don't partnership with anyone.• Learn to trade when you are young.• Save early, save often.• learn to read charts• Be invested most of the time. Don't be scared to get back in.• Save your money.• Paper trade for three years to become comfortable with the markets before going live.• Buy more etf's• learn first to save regularly and then invest wisely!• buy AAPL long calls• just don't trade unless 50 d sma crosses 200 convincingly. use etf's• Save each month, learn more about how the stock market works• Invest more money• use stop loss!• Save as much as you can and buy stocks that pay dividends• To know as much as I know now.• Start investing NOW!• "start saving Now

get involved in the stock market with blue chip stocks"• Follow Steve Martin's advice - "Get Small"• Stay in the market and keep contributing. Buy real estate• Save and invest in growth• Only invest in companies that have been in business for a long time, pay dividends and

provide products or services that will always be needed.• save more• buy strength save more• Buy Gold• More patient and using more dollar cost average purchasing• start NOW• buy sandp and never look back• Always exit a losing position with a small a loss as possible.• Make time to never stop learning• learn to trade• Buy, MSFT, APPL, CAT, Short Kodac• Compound interest• Patience• Buy Apple when it pulled back to $11 as the first Batman movie came out. Just be stupid &

keep (buy and hold) the mutual funds. Do NOT be so smart about the mkt.

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• Buy a house, make babies, excercise• Take opportunity on sharp pull backs.• learn options ASAP, pay attention to what made the great trades work out so well and study

hard the whys of what went wrong.• Just don't do nothing which is what I too my kid (3) more than 20years ago. They are doing

well with saving today.• "Invest early for your retirement in any programs that are available to you

When companies called Microsoft, Genentech, Netflix, Amazon and Google come to market, buy as much as you can afford and hold the for a few years at least. For Facebook, wait a few weeks before buying and then hold"

• Open a Roth IRA, Always Buy Low, Sell Cash Covered OTM Puts, Keep 30% in cash to utilize during corrections, Sell way OTM covered calls, Buy Leveraged Index ETF's when the market corrects, Never buy IPO's

• Cut losses much quicker.• Save and invest 25% of my gross earning. As I make more I save more.• Stay single!• "Learn and study the markets,

Find a solid method based on market conditionand trade it over and over.Practice proper money management.Listen to charts not my feeling, and the news."

• learn about the stock market at younger age• take winnings off the table before Schwab disconnects you from internet• Save more than you think you should or need• invest more• To learn the most above the market.• It's all in the charts, and use the right mentor!• The magic of compounding and start investing early and consistently• start to learn about financial markets behavior sap and consider the ways one might profit

from them• Start learning to become financially independent and rely on yourself and find a mentor

whose feet you can sit at and learn• Focus more on dividend stocks.• Back then we didn't have a good internet. I was doing options with the help of a regular

broker. Having to read the newspaper or Investors Business Daily for updates that were a day late. Should not have been options without the on time info we have now. I stopped after a few months.

• Stay away from most trainers, And trade what you see not what you think• Form a plan,write it down,educate yourself,invest consistently.

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Question #5: Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

Thank you for all the feedback, feel free to contact us at any time with any other questions or comments.

• By the way, the Crusades were caused by the Muslim invasion of Europe.Not once but twice. Check Iit out.

• drink more beer!• Invest in the market and stop wasting your money on pro sports events such as the Lakers

and etc.• Will mid caps and sma (eutf) are the where to be?• Netlist is likely to finally get a legal ruling in their favor sometime in March that will be a big

financial gain.• Markets seem to be in very flat up slope• We need a firm fiscal foundation for the free market to work. As soon as possible we must

transition to getting all government revenue at every level from the collection of land rent and eliminate all other counter-productive taxes.

• Cheers!• I saved US savings bonds in the military in the 1960's for 4 years and needed them for a

house down payment. I again in my working life for 20 more years and held on for full maturity 30 years. The interest rate is great and a nice addition to our retirement monthly. I doubt many even think of this today.

• Are there any Elliot Wave, or Market Cycle billionaires?• Even though I responded above based on fundamentals I believe the market will begin to

react more and more to technicals. Buying and selling stocks will be mostly determined by technical analysis.

• Dont use Schwab...crooks.Check n\bank account daily.• This yr. the statement "Sell in may and go away" really needs to be adhered

to !!!!!

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